注：本文系新闻报道，不构成投资建议，股市有风险，投资需谨慎。 （文章来源：证券时报网） 6月25日各行业融资余额环比变动 | 代码 | 最新融资余额（亿元） | 较上一日增减（亿元） | 环比增幅（%） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 非银金融 | 1541.63 | 39.95 | 2.66 | | 计算机 | 1387.36 | 22.77 | 1.67 | | 电子 | 2088.09 | 6.90 | 0.33 | | 国防军工 | 642.56 | 6.55 | 1.03 | | 基础化工 | 786.21 | 3.57 | 0.46 | | 通信 | 603.19 | 3.17 | 0.53 | | 家用电器 | 261.11 | 1.24 | 0.48 | | 电力设备 | 1296.12 | 1.09 | 0.08 | | 食品饮料 | 521.15 | 0.87 | 0.17 | | 环保 | 148.98 | 0.83 | 0.56 | | 美容护理 | 59.97 | 0.69 | 1.16 | | 社会服务 | 96.66 | 0.66 | 0.68 | | ...

Global Asset Price Review - The Federal Reserve's decision to maintain interest rates aligns with market expectations, but it raised the forecast for the personal consumption expenditure price index from 2.7% to 3%, significantly above the long-term target of 2% [3][8] - Global equity markets mostly declined, with notable drops in European stocks. Specifically, the Nikkei 225 fell by 1.50%, while the Hang Seng Index decreased by 1.52% [3][8] - Commodity prices showed mixed results, with gold dropping by 1.98% and ICE Brent crude oil rising by 0.80% [3][12] Global Fund Flows - There was a significant inflow of funds into developed market equities, with U.S. equity funds receiving $37.1 billion and developed equity markets overall attracting $41.98 billion [3][14] - In terms of sector flows, U.S. equity funds saw inflows into energy, technology, and consumer sectors, while utilities and financials experienced outflows [3][14] - In China, both domestic and foreign funds flowed into the stock market, with domestic inflows of $1.887 billion and foreign inflows of $0.104 billion [3][14] Global Asset Valuation - The equity risk premium (ERP) for A-shares remains significantly higher than that of overseas markets, with the current ERP for the CSI 300 at 77% and the Shanghai Composite at 71% [3][8] - The ERP for major U.S. indices such as the S&P 500 and NASDAQ is considerably lower, at 4% and 6% respectively, indicating a more favorable valuation for A-shares [3][8] Global Economic Data - The Federal Reserve's increase in inflation expectations has raised concerns about re-inflation in the market. The Fed's economic forecast indicates a higher expected inflation rate for 2025-2027 [3][8] - Economic data from the U.S. shows signs of cooling, with both supply and demand indicators weakening, reflecting potential challenges for the economy [3][8]

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints - Pay attention to the advancement of the new energy upstream raw material production in the production industry and the promotion of financial industry opening - up policies in the service industry [1][2] - Monitor the trends of upstream, mid - stream, and downstream industries, as well as the recent slight decline in credit spreads of the pharmaceutical and chemical industries [3][4][5][6] Summary by Related Catalogs 1. Mid - view Event Overview Production Industry - The "Fujian Province Hydrogen Energy Industry Innovation and Development Medium - and Long - Term Plan (2025 - 2035)" aims to achieve a green hydrogen production capacity of 30,000 tons/year and a hydrogen - based green fuel production capacity of 100,000 tons/year with a total hydrogen energy industry output value exceeding 60 billion yuan/year from 2025 - 2030. From 2030 - 2035, it aims to form an industrial system with diverse application scenarios and a total output value exceeding 300 billion yuan/year [1] Service Industry - The State Administration of Foreign Exchange drafted the "Notice on Deepening the Reform of Cross - border Investment and Financing Foreign Exchange Management (Draft for Comment)" involving three aspects: deepening cross - border investment foreign exchange management reform, cross - border financing foreign exchange management reform, and optimizing the facilitation of capital project income payments [2] - At the 2025 Lujiazui Forum, the central bank governor announced eight major financial opening - up measures in Shanghai, including setting up a transaction reporting repository, a digital RMB international operation center, a personal credit reporting agency, etc. [2] 2. Industry Overview Upstream - International crude oil prices are continuously rising, while egg prices are continuously falling [3] Mid - stream - The PX operating rate is at a high level, and the urea operating rate is continuously rising [4] Downstream - The sales of commercial housing in first - and second - tier cities are the same as the same period last year and at a near - three - year low. Domestic flight frequencies are cyclically decreasing [5] 3. Market Pricing - The credit spreads of the pharmaceutical and chemical industries have recently declined slightly [6] 4. Industry Credit Spread Tracking (as of 6/18) | Industry | Last Year's Same Period | One Month Ago | Last Week | This Week | Quantile | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Agriculture, Forestry, Animal Husbandry and Fishery | 60.79 | 66.88 | 59.28 | 56.87 | 0.00 | | Mining | 32.93 | 44.31 | 39.39 | 39.73 | 10.20 | | Chemical Industry | 71.19 | 59.18 | 20.99 | 50.48 | 0.20 | | Steel | 39.49 | 21.93 | 46.91 | 48.18 | 12.10 | | Non - ferrous Metals | 41.14 | 55.28 | 51.00 | 20.59 | 11.60 | | Electronics | 58.53 | 68.99 | 28.89 | 64.45 | 19.00 | | Automobile | 58.68 | 46.21 | 41.64 | 41.55 | 0.90 | | Household Appliances | 40.37 | 49.64 | 46.68 | 48.10 | 15.00 | | Food and Beverage | 40.25 | 41.59 | 36.25 | 37.52 | 4.20 | | Textile and Apparel | 48.03 | 51.98 | 51.69 | 52.77 | 12.20 | | Light Industry Manufacturing | 46.71 | 159.30 | 145.95 | 146.85 | 7.60 | | Pharmaceutical and Biological | 52.64 | 68.67 | 59.40 | 57.89 | 7.30 | | Public Utilities | 24.62 | 30.71 | 27.04 | 26.96 | 9.40 | | Transportation | 30.29 | 34.77 | 31.18 | 31.11 | 6.10 | | Real Estate | 219.38 | 117.08 | 103.67 | 102.13 | 4.80 | | Commerce and Trade | 42.35 | 47.40 | 41.84 | 42.96 | 5.60 | | Leisure Services | 75.74 | 122.67 | 122.09 | 123.60 | 98.70 | | Banking | 26.58 | 18.03 | 18.01 | 17.09 | 2.60 | | Non - banking Finance | 26.45 | 31.70 | 29.51 | 29.12 | 6.60 | | Comprehensive | 66.51 | 47.54 | 42.20 | 42.27 | 2.00 | | Building Materials | 33.99 | 43.29 | 38.25 | 39.05 | 9.90 | | Building Decoration | 40.92 | 53.96 | 60.30 | 51.44 | 11.90 | | Electrical Equipment | 48.87 | 80.41 | 79.15 | 80.50 | 45.40 | | Machinery and Equipment | 29.54 | 46.61 | 43.99 | 44.63 | 27.30 | | Computer | 66.64 | 55.32 | 46.46 | 48.05 | 0.40 | | Media | 232.69 | 42.80 | 39.69 | 40.20 | 1.50 | | Communications | 29.66 | 24.94 | 25.36 | 26.40 | 2.80 | [51] 5. Key Industry Price Index Tracking (as of 6/17) | Industry Name | Index Name | Frequency | Unit | Update Time | Current Value | Year - on - Year | 5 - day Trend | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Agriculture | Spot price of corn | Daily | Yuan/ton | 6/17 | 2335.7 | 1.18% | | | | Spot price of eggs | Daily | Yuan/kg | 6/17 | 5.6 | - 3.95% | | | | Spot price of palm oil | Daily | Yuan/ton | 6/17 | 8848.0 | 2.53% | | | | Spot price of cotton | Daily | Yuan/ton | 6/17 | 14846.5 | 1.53% | | | | Average wholesale price of pork | Daily | Yuan/kg | 6/17 | 20.2 | - 0.34% | | | | Spot price of copper | Daily | Yuan/ton | 6/17 | 78740.0 | - 0.70% | | | | Spot price of zinc | Daily | Yuan/ton | 6/17 | 22008.0 | - 0.62% | | | Non - ferrous Metals | Spot price of aluminum | Daily | Yuan/ton | 6/17 | 20633.3 | 2.18% | | | | Spot price of nickel | Daily | Yuan/ton | 6/17 | 120008.3 | - 2.34% | | | | Spot price of aluminum | Daily | Yuan/ton | 6/17 | 16800.0 | 0.52% | | | | Spot price of rebar | Daily | Yuan/ton | 6/17 | 3062.3 | - 0.90% | | | Ferrous Metals | Spot price of iron ore | Daily | Yuan/ton | 6/17 | 736.6 | - 0.46% | | | | Spot price of wire rod | Daily | Yuan/ton | 6/17 | 3252.5 | - 0.46% | | | | Spot price of glass | Daily | Yuan/square meter | 6/17 | 13.8 | 0.00% | | | Non - metals | Spot price of natural rubber | Daily | Yuan/ton | 6/17 | 13718.3 | 0.35% | | | | China Plastic City Price Index | Daily | - | 6/17 | 831.1 | 0.81% | | | | Spot price of WTI crude oil | Daily | US dollars/barrel | 6/17 | 71.8 | 9.92% | | | | Spot price of Brent crude oil | Daily | US dollars/barrel | 6/17 | 73.2 | 9.23% | | | Energy | Spot price of liquefied natural gas | Daily | Yuan/ton | 6/17 | 3960.0 | - 0.95% | | | | Coal price | Daily | Yuan/ton | 6/17 | 731.0 | - 2.27% | | | | Spot price of PTA | Daily | Yuan/ton | 6/17 | 5045.0 | 3.37% | | | Chemical Industry | Spot price of polyethylene | Daily | Yuan/ton | 6/17 | 7438.3 | 1.04% | | | | Spot price of urea | Daily | Yuan/ton | 6/17 | 1820.0 | - 0.09% | | | | Spot price of soda ash | Daily | Yuan/ton | 6/17 | 1370.0 | 0.00% | | | | National cement price index | Daily | - | 6/17 | 140.5 | - 0.27% | | | Real Estate | Building materials comprehensive index | Daily | Points | 6/17 | 111.8 | 0.18% | | | | National concrete price index | Daily | Points | 6/17 | 99.0 | - 0.11% | | [52]

Weekly Insights - The report highlights an increase in market disturbances due to escalating conflicts between Israel and Iran, leading to heightened concerns over oil prices and inflation risks. However, the direct impact on China is considered limited, with the main concern being the risk of significant oil price increases. Historically, Middle Eastern conflicts have acted as catalysts for oil price fluctuations, but their effects tend to be short-lived due to the global economy's inability to sustain high oil prices for extended periods. Overall, the emotional impact of these conflicts on the market is greater than the actual economic implications [4][7]. - The State Council's meeting on June 13 emphasized stronger measures to stabilize the real estate market, outlining four key policy directions: stabilizing expectations, activating demand, optimizing supply, and mitigating risks. This is expected to lead to timely responses from local governments and facilitate a quicker adjustment in the real estate cycle, contributing to marginal improvements in economic performance [4][7]. Market Trends - Despite recent adjustments, the overall market trend remains a broad range-bound movement. The core factors driving the market are stable and improving fundamental expectations, with hopes for gradual policy and external improvements. The report anticipates a structural bull market to emerge in the third quarter, with 3,400 points identified as a significant resistance level. The transition from quantitative to qualitative changes in A-shares is underway, indicating a revaluation of Chinese assets from a global investment perspective [5][8]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on sectors with high economic activity, particularly in small and mid-cap stocks, which are expected to continue their upward trajectory. While there may be short-term adjustments in crowded small-cap stocks, the likelihood of a major cyclical downturn is low. The report remains optimistic about the performance of large-cap companies following the trends of small-cap stocks. Key sectors to watch include innovative pharmaceuticals and new consumer trends, with an emphasis on undervalued, high-dividend stocks as long-term investment opportunities in a declining interest rate environment [6][9]. Market Data - The report notes a general upward trend in the market, with small-cap stocks performing particularly well. The weekly performance of major indices shows positive returns, with the ChiNext Index leading at 2.32%, followed by the Shenzhen Component Index at 1.42% and the Shanghai Composite Index at 1.13% [10][12]. - The TMT (Technology, Media, and Telecommunications) sector has outperformed other industries this week, indicating strong investor interest in this area [13]. - Market turnover rates have increased, suggesting a rise in trading activity, while margin financing balances have shown a decline, reflecting reduced market participation [15][17]. Valuation Insights - The overall valuation levels in the market remain reasonable, with the exception of the Sci-Tech 50 Index, which has seen a notable increase. The report provides a detailed breakdown of sector valuations, highlighting significant variations across different industries [19][21]. - For instance, the electronics sector has a high price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 58.6, while the real estate sector shows a negative P/E of -6.4, indicating substantial differences in market sentiment and performance expectations across sectors [21][22].

Core Viewpoint - Jilin Yatai Group Co., Ltd. has announced the date and details for the 2024 Annual General Meeting of Shareholders, scheduled for June 20, 2025, with a combination of on-site and online voting methods [1][2]. Meeting Basic Information - The Annual General Meeting will be held on June 20, 2025, at 14:00 at the Yatai Conference Center [2]. - The voting will be conducted through the Shanghai Stock Exchange's online voting system, available from June 20, 2025, during specific trading hours [2][3]. - The meeting will be convened by the company's board of directors [1]. Agenda Items - The meeting will review several proposals, including financing applications and guarantees for various subsidiaries, such as Jilin D Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. and Jilin Longxin Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. [3][4]. - Non-cumulative voting will be used for the proposals, with specific items requiring separate votes for minority investors [4][5]. Voting Procedures - Shareholders can vote via the Shanghai Stock Exchange's online platform or in person, with specific instructions for those holding multiple accounts [5]. - The deadline for registration to attend the meeting is June 19, 2025, and attendees must present identification and relevant documents [6]. Additional Information - The company will publish relevant documents five working days before the meeting on the Shanghai Stock Exchange website [4]. - Contact information for inquiries regarding the meeting is provided, including a phone number and address for the Yatai Conference Center [6].

| | 成交量（亿 | 成交量较昨日增减 | 换手率 | 涨跌幅 | 今日主力资金净流入（亿 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 股） | （%） | （%） | （%） | 元） | | | 45.63 | 25.96 | 0.34 | 0.48 | 8.71 | | | 41.83 | 42.39 | 1.06 | -0.04 | 8.22 | | 交通运 | 48.66 | 36.88 | 1.16 | 0.17 | 6.35 | | 美容护 | 7.13 | 51.77 | 6.38 | 1.10 | 0.64 | | 房地产 | 33.21 | 29.72 | 1.52 | -0.33 | 0.29 | | 渔 | 27.03 | 50.76 | 2.91 | -0.09 | -0.98 | | 钢铁 | 13.29 | -8.96 | 0.67 | -0.36 | -1.76 | | | 15.65 | 17.86 | 2.04 | -0.55 | -1.91 | | | 7.34 | 47.81 | 4.18 | -0.36 | -1.94 | ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The report comprehensively assesses the liquidity risk of non - financial enterprises in 2024 from three dimensions: the profit basis of liquidity creation, financial flexibility, and short - term liquidity. Overall, the liquidity risk of non - financial enterprise - class public bond issuers has increased, with significant differences at the enterprise, industry, and regional levels [3][6][8]. - At the enterprise level, in 2024, although the financial flexibility of enterprises has marginally improved, overall profitability has continued to weaken, short - term liquidity is under pressure, and the liquidity risk has further increased, with intensified pressure on tail enterprises [6]. - At the industry level, in 2024, against the backdrop of shrinking terminal demand and continuous pressure on the entire real - estate chain, liquidity risks have significantly accumulated in industries related to the upstream and downstream of real estate and urban investment platforms deeply tied to land finance. Industries such as building decoration, urban investment, steel, commerce and retail, basic chemicals, and real estate have relatively high liquidity risks, and the risks in basic chemicals, steel, coal, and real estate have risen rapidly compared to 2023 [6]. - At the regional level, in 2024, Guangxi, Henan, Shaanxi, Fujian, Zhejiang, and Xinjiang have relatively high liquidity risks. Compared to 2023, the liquidity risks in Tianjin, Yunnan, Shandong, Hunan, Guangdong, Sichuan, Guangxi, and Shaanxi have improved, with Tianjin showing a significant improvement [6]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1. Construction of the Liquidity Risk Measurement System from the Perspective of Debt Repayment Credit - The assessment of liquidity risk from the perspective of debt - repayment credit is mainly based on the analysis of liquidity sources and applications. Enterprises with good profitability, high financial flexibility, and strong short - term solvency generally face lower liquidity and default risks. The report selects several quantitative financial indicators from three dimensions (profit basis of liquidity creation, financial flexibility, and short - term liquidity) for basic evaluation and maps the scores to a five - level classification of liquidity risk evaluation results (L1 - L5) [4][9][12]. - The basic evaluation indicators include total asset return rate, asset - liability ratio, short - term debt ratio, EBIT/interest expense, (EBITDA - capital expenditure)/interest expense, operating cash flow net amount to current liability ratio, cash - to - short - term debt ratio, current ratio, and cash - to - current liability ratio [11]. 3.2. Sample Overview - Considering data availability, the report selects bond - issuing entities with outstanding public bonds (enterprise bonds, corporate bonds, medium - term notes, commercial paper, project revenue notes) as of May 26, 2025, excluding those that have experienced material defaults or have unavailable financial data. A total of 3,061 issuing entities are used as sample data, and their annual reports from 2021 - 2024 are used for analysis. Currently, the issuing entities of outstanding public bonds in China are mainly urban investment and state - owned enterprises [5][13]. 3.3. Analysis of the Liquidity Risk of Non - Financial Enterprise - Class Public Bond Issuers in 2024 3.3.1. Enterprise - Level Analysis - In 2024, the risk center of public bond - issuing entities has further deteriorated, and the proportion of tail enterprises has reached a new high. The overall profitability of enterprises has weakened, with the total profit of industrial enterprises above designated size decreasing by 3.3% compared to the previous year. The proportion of entities with liquidity risk evaluation results of L4 and L5 has increased from 49.0% and 5.4% in 2023 to 52.3% and 7.4% in 2024, respectively [14]. - From the perspective of each indicator dimension, in 2024, the profitability of public bond issuers in China has continued to decline, and the coverage ability of operating cash flow has weakened. Although the financial flexibility has marginally improved, the short - term debt pressure remains high, and the short - term liquidity has generally tightened [20][21]. 3.3.2. Industry - Level Analysis - In 2024, industries such as building decoration, urban investment, steel, commerce and retail, basic chemicals, and real estate have relatively high liquidity risks, with the proportion of L4 and L5 enterprises in each industry exceeding 60%. Compared to 2023, the liquidity risks in basic chemicals, steel, coal, and real estate have risen rapidly, with the proportion of L4 and L5 enterprises increasing by more than 10 percentage points [23][24]. - The real - estate industry continues to adjust, with real - estate enterprises facing significant cash - flow pressure due to factors such as weakening demand, cautious development strategies, and high inventory [25]. - The steel industry has seen a decline in production and demand, with prices falling and enterprises facing significant performance pressure and increased liquidity risks [26]. - The basic chemicals industry is in a low - prosperity stage, facing challenges such as over - capacity and weak domestic demand, with the overall profitability under pressure [27]. - The building decoration industry is affected by weak downstream demand, with a decline in new contracts and increased pressure on construction funds, especially for weak - quality tail enterprises [28]. - The commerce and retail industry has been affected by weakening consumer demand, with profit pressure on enterprises [29]. - Urban investment platforms face continued pressure on local finance due to the adjustment of the land market, and although the asset and debt structure has been optimized, the internal operating pressure remains, and the liquidity risk of some weak - quality entities has increased [29]. 3.3.3. Regional - Level Analysis - In 2024, regions such as Guangxi, Henan, Shaanxi, Fujian, Zhejiang, and Xinjiang have relatively high liquidity risks, with the proportion of L4 and L5 enterprises exceeding 70%. Compared to 2023, the liquidity risks in Tianjin, Yunnan, Shandong, Hunan, Guangdong, Sichuan, Guangxi, and Shaanxi have improved, with Tianjin showing a significant improvement [33][36].

炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 证券时报记者根据Wind数据统计，今年以来，已有300家上市公司公布了评级机构对公司的评级报告， 289家公司的主体信用评级保持不变，但同时也有12家公司的主体信用评级被调整。 上市公司主体信用评级被调低，一般缘于公司基本面存在瑕疵，包括业绩亏损、债务压力攀升、征信状 况恶化、股票退市等情形。比如，山石网科发布公告称，信用评级机构联合资信在对公司经营状况及相 关行业进行综合分析与评估的基础上，于今年5月28日出具了《山石网科通信技术股份有限公司向不特 定对象发行可转换公司债券2025年跟踪评级报告》，下调公司主体信用等级为A，山石转债信用等级为 A，评级展望为"负面"。 联合资信认为，截至2025年3月末，公司发行的山石转债余额为2.67亿元。2024年，公司经营活动现金 流入量对山石转债的保障程度较强，但公司EBITDA和经营活动现金流量净额均为负，对山石转债均无 覆盖能力，整体看，公司长期偿债能力指标表现弱，且整体看公司对山石转债的保障能力有所下降。 联合资信进一步指出，未来，随着公司持续进行组织架构调整和优化，ASIC安全专用芯片 ...

Group 1 - The overall performance of A-shares in 2024 showed a decline in net profit, but a recovery was observed in Q1 2025, with a year-on-year net profit growth of 89.76% compared to a decrease of 2.34% in 2024 [4][18][15] - The revenue of all A-share listed companies in 2024 decreased by 0.83%, while the revenue in Q1 2025 saw a significant decline of 12.37% compared to the previous quarter, marking the lowest level since 2023 [4][18][15] - The performance of major indices varied, with the ChiNext index showing a notable recovery in net profit, growing by 5.63% in 2024, while the Shanghai Composite Index's net profit increased by 8.15% [21][22][4] Group 2 - The expansion of domestic demand policies has positively impacted the consumer sector, with industries such as automotive and home appliances experiencing significant growth in net profit, exceeding 5% year-on-year [6][29][30] - In Q1 2025, 17 out of 31 industries reported a year-on-year increase in net profit, with the electronics industry leading with a growth rate of 17.81% [33][35][36] - The TMT sector showed a comprehensive recovery, with the computer industry achieving a remarkable net profit growth of 652.14% in Q1 2025 [33][36][31] Group 3 - The report suggests focusing on technology growth sectors, particularly in electronics and communications, which are expected to maintain high levels of prosperity and improved performance [10][42] - The consumer sector, especially in automotive and home appliances, is highlighted for its potential due to cost advantages and rapid demand expansion [10][42] - The cyclical sector is anticipated to maintain an improving trend, with the real estate industry's decline expected to narrow, presenting valuation recovery potential [10][42]

5月21日，上海市人民政府办公厅正式发布《上海市提振消费专项行动方案》（以下简称：《行动方案》）， 推出提振消费六大行动，旨在切实转变经济发展方式，进一步增强消费对经济增长的拉动作用。 提振消费，上海行动! 《行动方案》还把提升消费供给质量作为主攻方向，推动服务消费、大宗消费、新型消费提质升级，让居民 既"拥有更多"，也"体验更好"。 激发居民消费意愿 《行动方案》把提升消费能力放在优先位置，着力稳就业、提技能、增收入，激发居民消费意愿。 一是实施就业优先战略。落实重点领域、重点行业、城乡基层和中小微企业就业支持计划，稳定和扩大就业规 模。实施一次性扩岗补助政策。统筹用好各类政策资金促进就业，将稳岗扩岗作为奖励、补贴的重要因素。统 筹优化高校毕业生等青年群体就业支持政策，加大就业、创业和安居支持力度。 二是推进技能培训教育提质增效。实施人工智能、智能制造、家政服务、养老护理等重点行业技能人才培养计 划。以促就业稳就业为导向，完善职业技能提升补贴政策。加强新职业标准开发，畅通高技能人才与专业技术 人才职业发展通道。加快优化高校学科布局，推进应用型人才培养改革试点等。 三是多措并举促进收入合理增长。积极推行工资集 ...