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美国抵押贷款利率降至2022年9月以来最低 仍难撬动买家需求
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-02-25 13:24
然而,今年以来抵押贷款利率累计下降接近四分之一个百分点,但是在持续以来的高房价,以及对通胀的担忧在全美持续回荡、美国 消费者们仍然担心失业以及其他宏观经济因素,他们倾向把钱花在必需品以及他们认为有价值的新商品上,抵押贷款利率下行仍未能 激发买家们大举入场,这表明美国住房市场仍难以积聚制造动能。MBA衡量购房申请的指标上周下降4.7%,创下至自2025年4月以来的 最低水平。 在2025年末,美国新房销售额有所回暖,部分得益于开发商们的激励措施。二手房市场也在年末表现强劲,为房地产市场在多年低迷 后开始回暖带来希望。但这只是住房市场等式的一部分,因为房价仍接近历史高位且长期需求持续疲软。 尽管如此,徘徊在略高于6%的长期限抵押贷款利率,随着春季销售季临近,仍有潜力吸引买家涌入,叠加美国总统唐纳德.特朗普上月 要求房利美(Fannie Mae)和房地美(Freddie Mac)购买2,000亿美元的抵押贷款支持证券(MBS),以推动住房融资成本下降,美国住房市场 购置成本可能持续下行。 根据美国抵押贷款银行家协会(即MBA)周三公布的数据,美国抵押贷款利率上周小幅下滑至自2022年9月以来的最低水平,带动住房市 ...
港龙中国地产(06968.HK)1月实现合同销售金额约2.01亿元
Ge Long Hui· 2026-02-25 13:05
格隆汇2月25日丨港龙中国地产(06968.HK)公告,集团连同其合营公司和联营公司由2026年1月共实现合 同销售金额约人民币2.01亿元。 ...
上海225楼市新政点评:楼市改善趋势下政策放松加码,更彰显维稳房价的目标和决心
行 业 及 产 业 房地产 行 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 2026 年 02 月 25 日 楼市改善趋势下政策放松加码,更彰显维稳房 价的目标和决心 看好 ——上海 225 楼市新政点评 事件: ⚫ 2026 年 2 月 25 日,上海市住房城乡建设管理委、市房屋管理局、市财政局、市税务局、 市公积金管理中心等五部门联合印发《关于进一步优化调整本市房地产政策的通知》,其 中:1)优化限购:缩短非沪籍居民购买外环内住房所需缴纳社保或个税年限。对非本市 户籍居民家庭或成年单身人士购买外环内住房的,购房所需缴纳社会保险或个人所得税的 年限,调整为购房之日前连续缴纳满 1 年及以上。符合条件非沪籍居民可在外环内增购 1 套住房。符合条件的持《上海市居住证》群体可在本市购买住房。2)优化住房公积金贷 款政策。3)完善个人住房房产税政策。 点评: 证券分析师 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 博时基金 博时基金管理有限公司(researchreport@bosera.com) 使用。1 评 证 券 研 究 报 告 相关研究 袁豪 A0230520120001 yuanhao@sws ...
港龙中国地产(06968)1月实现合同销售金额约2.014亿元,同比减少55.24%
智通财经网· 2026-02-25 13:03
智通财经APP讯,港龙中国地产(06968)公布,该集团连同其合营公司和联营公司由2026年1月共实现合 同销售金额约人民币2.014亿元,同比减少55.24%。 ...
ETF日报:当前钢铁板块或是弹性大且有预期差的底部板块,关注钢铁ETF
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-25 12:30
今日A股高开高走,上证指数收涨0.72%报4147.23点,深证成指涨1.29%,创业板指涨1.41%,北证50涨 0.77%,科创50涨0.54%,中证A500涨0.96%。钢铁、有色等周期股走强,午后上海官宣楼市新政策,建 材板块活跃。A股全天成交2.48万亿元,上日成交2.22万亿元。风险偏好来看,今日风险偏好中性偏 强。全市场超3700只个股上涨。风格层面,小盘强于大盘但微盘稍弱,成长弱于价值,双创强于主板。 总体而言,今日风险偏好处于中性偏强状态。 春节后红包行情持续。我们统计2006—2025年历史数据进行复盘,发现: | | | | | 历年春节后A股涨跌明细(中证全指) | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | स्टेसि | 1周 | 2問 | 1月 | W | स्टेसि | 1周 | 2周 | 1月 | W | | 2025 | +2.37% | +4.08% | +5.76% | | 2015 | +4.18% | +5.12% | +10.20 | | | 2024 | ...
恒指温和收涨 周期股领涨科技分化
21世纪经济报道记者 黄子潇 深圳报道 2月25日,港股市场在政策利好与大宗商品价格走强推动下震荡上行,但科技板块受获利回吐影响表现偏 弱,市场呈现"周期强、科技弱"的结构性特征。南向资金净流出35.69亿港元。 恒生指数收涨0.66%,报26765.72点,成交额2367.65亿港元;恒生科技指数受获利回吐影响微跌0.19%,报 5260.5点,成交额519.08亿港元。市场呈现显著结构性分化:周期板块(房地产、建材、采矿)强势领涨, 科技板块分化走弱。 个股方面,资源股与消费股领涨,AI应用股回调。其中天保能源(+69.49%)因业绩预增(去年纯利同比 增长84.5%)涨幅居前,森美控股(+60.53%)或受益于小盘股市场情绪活跃推动;跌幅靠前的个股包括紫 荆国际金融(-26.32%)、卓悦控股(-23.08%)、中国生物制药(-18.75%)。 此外,成交额前三分别为腾讯控股(119.81亿港元)、阿里巴巴-W(71.10亿港元)、汇丰控股(61.93亿港 元) 消息面上,香港财政预算案提出优化上市制度,包括修订"同股不同权"要求、推进"T+1"结算周期咨询,计 划年内提交数字资产政策条例草案,提升市场 ...
雅居乐集团:清盘呈请聆讯延期至3月2日
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-02-25 12:06
雅居乐集团(03383)发布公告,于2026年2月25日的高等法院聆讯中,高等法院颁令将呈请聆讯延期至 2026年3月2日。本公司将适时另行刊发公告,以知会股东及投资者任何有关呈请的重大进展。 ...
越秀集团236亿元竞得广州马场路地块
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-25 11:46
【越秀集团236亿元竞得广州马场路地块】智通财经2月25日电,据广州公共资源交易中心公示信息,天 河区黄埔大道以南、马场路以东地块(马场1期地块)经过243轮竞价,网上竞价活动已经结束。竞价结 果显示,本次竞价最终报价为236.04亿元,最终报价人为广州越诚达有限公司(号牌:828)。天眼查 信息显示,广州越秀集团持有广州越诚达有限公司100%股权。(智通财经记者 王海春) 转自:智通财经 ...
多重利好叠加,房地产板块及黑色商品期货大涨
Qi Huo Ri Bao· 2026-02-25 11:07
Core Viewpoint - The recent announcement of the "Shanghai Seven Measures" aims to optimize the city's real estate policies by reducing housing purchase restrictions and increasing financial support for homebuyers, thereby stimulating market demand and stabilizing expectations in the real estate sector [1][2]. Policy Adjustments - The new policy allows non-Shanghai residents who have paid social insurance or individual income tax for at least one year to purchase unlimited housing outside the outer ring and one unit within the inner ring. Those with three years of contributions can buy two units in the inner ring, while holders of a Shanghai residence permit for over five years can buy one unit citywide [1]. - The policy also raises the public housing fund loan limit for first-time buyers to 2.4 million yuan, with a maximum of 3.24 million yuan, and optimizes loan conditions to alleviate financial pressure on families [1]. Market Impact - The announcement is expected to boost housing transactions during the traditional peak season of "Golden March and Silver April," with the real estate sector and related industries, such as steel, experiencing significant stock price increases [2][3]. - The real estate sector accounts for approximately 25% of domestic steel consumption, making it a crucial demand driver for the black metal sector [3]. Inventory and Production Insights - As of February 23, 2026, social steel inventory was reported at 10.52 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of 10.8%, while member companies of the China Iron and Steel Association reported a steel inventory of 15.11 million tons, down 6.8% year-on-year [4]. - The reduction in high furnace loads in northern steel mills due to environmental regulations is expected to lead to a decrease in daily iron output, coinciding with the seasonal increase in downstream demand [5]. Future Outlook - The market sentiment is cautiously optimistic, with expectations of a stable demand environment as the policy effects take time to materialize. The focus will be on the sales data for March and April to determine if the anticipated demand growth is realized [6]. - The steel market is expected to maintain a strong performance due to cost support from supply constraints, although the potential for significant price increases will depend on the speed of demand recovery [6].
策略点评:周期股领涨市场
Tebon Securities· 2026-02-25 11:00
Market Overview - The A-share market continues to show a strong upward trend, with the three major indices collectively rising. The cyclical sectors, including real estate services, non-ferrous metals, and steel, lead the market, while the technology growth sector shows mixed performance [3][6] - As of the market close, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.72% to 4147.23 points, the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 1.29% to 14475.87 points, and the ChiNext Index climbed by 1.41% to 3354.82 points. The total market turnover reached approximately 2.48 trillion, indicating a good profit effect with 3742 stocks rising and 1609 falling [2][3] Sector Performance - The cyclical stocks have shown significant strength, with steel, non-ferrous metals, real estate, building materials, and basic chemicals rising by 4.26%, 3.53%, 2.51%, 2.41%, and 2.37% respectively. The recent policy adjustments in Shanghai's real estate sector have further boosted these sectors [6][8] - The rare earth sector also experienced a surge, with prices for various rare earth products increasing significantly post-holiday. For instance, the average price of praseodymium and neodymium oxide rose by 4.16 million yuan/ton, while neodymium metal increased by 8 million yuan/ton [6][8] Investment Themes - The report identifies several key investment themes, including AI applications, commercial aerospace, nuclear fusion, quantum technology, brain-machine interfaces, robotics, consumer sectors, brokerage firms, precious metals, and non-ferrous metals. Each theme has specific core logic and follow-up points for future monitoring [9][10] - The AI application sector is highlighted for its potential growth driven by product application acceleration and technological upgrades. The commercial aerospace sector is supported by the establishment of a commercial aerospace office, while nuclear fusion and quantum technology are gaining traction due to industrialization and policy support [9][10] Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - The report suggests a shift in market sentiment from "concept-driven" to "price-driven" profit enhancement, indicating a balanced allocation between technology and consumer sectors. The upcoming "Two Sessions" may further influence the cyclical sectors, particularly in real estate policy implementation and commodity prices [8][11] - The bond market is experiencing adjustments, with the long-end bonds leading the decline. The report notes that the LPR rates remain unchanged, and the market is expected to maintain a stable liquidity environment in the short term [8][11]