科创创业ETF国泰（588360）跟踪的是科创创业50指数（931643），单日涨跌幅限制达20%，该指数从 科创板与创业板中选取市值较大的50只新兴产业上市公司证券作为指数样本，以反映代表性新兴产业的 整体表现。指数聚焦于电子、电力设备、通信、医药生物等行业，强调科技属性和创新成长性，行业配 置相对均衡。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） 2月24日，科技行情节后启动，科创创业ETF国泰（588360）收涨超1.1%。 华创证券指出，科技+顺周期仍是市场主线，节奏上科技有望率先启动。春节期间国内科技产业催化不 断：国产大模型的普及和应用显示居民对AI的接受度持续提升，中国AI大模型有望实现弯道超车；同 时，四家机器人企业登上春晚展示，显示出中国人形机器人产业在集群控制、硬件制造和量产能力上的 优势。从配置看，康波周期下的科技博弈有望继续打开估值上限，短期受益于产业催化，机器人、AI 相关产业链有望率先反应。结构上应关注算力硬件、AI应用、机器人、智能驾驶、储能等领域。 ...

兴业证券此前发布研报称，重庆日立能源是日立全球750KV以上特高压变压器主要生产基地之一，受益 于海外高压电网建设；重庆康明斯为康明斯中国唯一的大缸径发动机企业，由于行业供应紧张，公司也 在积极扩充产能，数据中心和其他领域用大马力发动机预期未来几年还将持续增长。 消息面上，电力供给不足已成为制约AI算力扩张的核心瓶颈。有机构表示，北美发展AI需要大规模建 设数据中心，考虑到其电网薄弱&基础设施供应链紧缺状态会一直持续到2028年，看好中国供应链(燃 机、变压器等)。 重庆机电(02722)尾盘涨超5%，高见3.11港元，再创历史新高。截至发稿，涨5.07%，报3.11港元，成交 额5267.37万港元。 ...

兴业证券此前发布研报称，重庆日立能源是日立全球750KV以上特高压变压器主要生产基地之一，受益 于海外高压电网建设；重庆康明斯为康明斯中国唯一的大缸径发动机企业，由于行业供应紧张，公司也 在积极扩充产能，数据中心和其他领域用大马力发动机预期未来几年还将持续增长。 智通财经APP获悉，重庆机电(02722)尾盘涨超5%，高见3.11港元，再创历史新高。截至发稿，涨 5.07%，报3.11港元，成交额5267.37万港元。 消息面上，电力供给不足已成为制约AI算力扩张的核心瓶颈。有机构表示，北美发展AI需要大规模建 设数据中心，考虑到其电网薄弱&基础设施供应链紧缺状态会一直持续到2028年，看好中国供应链(燃 机、变压器等)。 ...

Core Conclusions - In the second week of February, a total net outflow of funds from the market amounted to 72.3 billion yuan, an increase from the previous week's outflow of 52.2 billion yuan [1] - Short-term sentiment indicators are at a medium-high level since 2005, while long-term sentiment indicators are at a medium-low level since 2005 [1] - From an industry perspective, the highest trading volume in the past week was seen in the telecommunications, semiconductor, and electrical equipment sectors [1] Fund Flow Analysis - In the second week of February, the total net outflow of funds was 72.3 billion yuan, compared to 52.2 billion yuan in the previous week. Fund inflows included a decrease in financing balance by 74.7 billion yuan, an increase in public fund issuance by 43.6 billion yuan, net redemptions of ETFs amounting to 23.1 billion yuan, and an estimated net inflow of 3 billion yuan from northbound funds. Fund outflows included an IPO financing scale of 800 million yuan, net reduction of industrial capital by 10.1 billion yuan, and transaction fees of 10.3 billion yuan [8] Short-term Sentiment Indicators - The short-term sentiment indicators are currently at a medium-high level since 2005, with the recent weekly turnover rate (annualized) at 430%, placing it in the 76th percentile historically. The recent weekly financing transaction ratio is 9.74%, placing it in the 72nd percentile historically [15] Long-term Sentiment Indicators - The long-term sentiment indicators are at a medium-low level since 2005. The recent weekly A-share risk premium (the inverse of the overall A-share PE minus the yield of ten-year government bonds) is 2.52%, placing it in the 45th percentile historically. The recent weekly dividend yield of the CSI 300 index (excluding financials) compared to the yield of ten-year government bonds is 1.23, placing it in the 5th percentile historically [15] Industry Performance - In terms of trading volume, the top three industries with the highest historical percentile for transaction volume in the past week were telecommunications (99%), semiconductors (98%), and electrical equipment (97%). The lowest were real estate (1%), food processing (1%), and transportation (1%) [15] - The highest financing transaction ratio by industry was seen in machinery equipment (88%), electrical equipment (80%), and social services (78%), while the lowest were banking (10%), coal (12%), and real estate (17%) [15]

Core Conclusions - In the second week of February, a total net outflow of funds from the market amounted to 72.3 billion yuan, an increase from the previous week's outflow of 52.2 billion yuan [1] - Short-term sentiment indicators are at a medium-high level since 2005, while long-term sentiment indicators are at a medium-low level since 2005 [1] - From an industry perspective, the highest trading volume share in the past week was seen in the telecommunications, semiconductor, and electrical equipment sectors [1] Fund Flow Analysis - In the second week of February, the total net outflow of funds was 72.3 billion yuan, compared to 52.2 billion yuan in the previous week. Fund inflows included a decrease in financing balance by 74.7 billion yuan, an increase in public fund issuance by 43.6 billion yuan, net redemptions of ETFs amounting to 23.1 billion yuan, and an estimated net inflow of northbound funds of 3 billion yuan. Fund outflows included an IPO financing scale of 800 million yuan, net reduction of industrial capital by 10.1 billion yuan, and transaction fees of 10.3 billion yuan [8] Short-term Sentiment Indicators - The short-term sentiment indicators, which primarily consider turnover rate and financing transaction ratio, show that the recent weekly turnover rate (annualized) was 430%, currently at the 76th percentile historically. The recent weekly financing transaction ratio was 9.74%, currently at the 72nd percentile historically [15] Long-term Sentiment Indicators - The long-term sentiment indicators, which mainly look at the price comparison of major asset classes, indicate that the recent weekly A-share risk premium (the inverse of the overall A-share PE minus the yield of ten-year government bonds) was 2.52%, currently at the 45th percentile historically. Additionally, the recent weekly dividend yield of the CSI 300 index (excluding financials) compared to the yield of ten-year government bonds was 1.23, currently at the 5th percentile historically [15] Industry Performance - In terms of trading volume share, the top three industries with the highest historical percentile in the past week were telecommunications at 99%, semiconductors at 98%, and electrical equipment at 97%. The lowest were real estate at 1%, food processing at 1%, and transportation at 1% [15] - The highest financing transaction ratio by industry was seen in machinery equipment at 88%, electrical equipment at 80%, and social services at 78%. The lowest were banking at 10%, coal at 12%, and real estate at 17% [15]

证券研究报告·宏观报告·宏观周报 金融产品周报 20260207 海外市场流动性有企稳迹象，情绪或会好转 【勘误版】 [Table_Summary] 基金规模统计：（2026.2.2-2026.2.6） 市场行情展望：（2026.2.9-2026.2.13） 基金配置建议： 2026 年 02 月 24 日 《商品流动性冲击之后，哪些品种被 "错杀"？》 2026-02-04 《黄金 ETF，2026 年 1 月复盘与 2 月 证券分析师 芦哲 展望》 执业证书：S0600524110003 luzhe@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 唐遥衎 2026-02-03 执业证书：S0600524120016 东吴证券研究所 1 / 20 tangyk@dwzq.com.cn 相关研究 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 [Table_Tag] ◼ 权益类 ETF 基金规模变化统计：规模变化排名前三名的权益类 ETF 类 型分别为：规模指数 ETF（154.06 亿元），跨境行业指数 ETF（66.24 亿 元），策略指数 ETF（53.71 亿元）；基金规模变化排名后三名的权益 类 ETF 类型分别为：跨境规模 ...

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is expected to focus on technology as the main theme for 2026, with attention also on consumer and dividend sectors as investment opportunities [1] Group 1: Investment Strategies and Themes - E Fund emphasizes the increasing value of dividend assets in a low-interest-rate environment, with dividend yields around 5% and a potential influx of funds into these assets in 2026 [1] - 华夏基金 suggests that concerns over tightening overseas liquidity may be overestimated, and long-term investors could find attractive entry points in sectors like AI, media, and lithium batteries [2] - 富国基金 predicts a "central oscillation upward" trend for the A-share market in 2026, driven by recovery opportunities in consumption and real estate [3] - 汇添富 identifies A-shares as the most promising asset for 2026, highlighting the clear trend in the AI industry and the potential for valuation increases [8] - 博时基金 recommends focusing on emerging industries, resource upgrades, and domestic demand recovery as key investment directions for 2026 [10] Group 2: Sector-Specific Insights - 国泰基金 notes a policy shift towards domestic demand, which is expected to enhance China's economic outlook and asset returns, suggesting a good time for mid-term adjustments in sectors like AI and power equipment [5] - 鹏华基金 highlights the wine sector's potential for valuation recovery in 2026, while also emphasizing the attractiveness of the tourism sector in Hong Kong stocks [6][7] - 景顺长城 focuses on the long-term structural benefits for the equity market, particularly in technology sectors like AI, semiconductors, and consumer electronics [9] - 银河基金 discusses the commercial viability of space solar power and the need for domestic companies to overcome challenges in reusable rocket technology [11] - 东方红 suggests that cyclical sectors have high potential but require supply-side adjustments, while advocating for a bottom-up approach to identify undervalued stocks [12]

据交易所数据显示，截至2月24日午间收盘，大盘主力资金净流入122.98亿元。主力资金流入前十大板块分别为：电子（80.30亿元）、 通信设备（61.74亿 元）、通信（57.85亿元）、通信网络设备及器件（55.10亿元）、 有色金属（50.11亿元）、元件（36.64亿元）、 电力设备（36.36亿元）、印制电路板 （34.30亿元）、 电网设备（33.06亿元）、 建筑装饰（32.31亿元）。 | | 板块名称 涨跌幅 (%) 板块资金流向 | | 净流入最大 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 电子 | 2 | 80.30亿元 | 沪电股份 | | 通信设备 | 2.76 | 61.74亿元 | 中际旭创 | | 通信 | 1.84 | 57.85亿元 | 中际旭创 | | 通信网络设 备及器件 | 3.62 | 55.10亿元 | 中际旭创 | | 有色金属 | 3.42 | 50.11亿元 | 湖南白银 | | 元件 | 3.91 | 36.64亿元 | 沪电股份 | | 电力设备 | 2.22 | 36.36亿元 | 协鑫集成 | | --- | --- | --- | ...

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market experienced a collective rise on the first trading day after the Spring Festival, with the ChiNext Index increasing by 2%, driven by strong performance in hard technology sectors and the Double Innovation Leader ETF (588330) showing significant gains [1][5]. Market Performance - On February 24, the A-share market saw all three major indices rise, with the ChiNext Index's gains reaching 2% and the Double Innovation Leader ETF (588330) peaking at a 2.12% increase during trading [1]. - The ETF's price rose by 1.8% during the session, recovering its 5-day and 20-day moving averages [1]. Sector Highlights - Leading stocks in the optical module sector surged, with Tianfu Communication rising over 14% to reach a historical high, while Zhongji Xuchuang and Xinyi Sheng increased by over 7% and 4%, respectively [1][3]. - Other notable performers included Runze Technology, which rose over 14%, and Sanhuan Group, which increased by over 12% [1][3]. Fund Inflows - The total inflow of new capital from public funds into the market exceeded 90 billion CNY, with a focus on technology growth sectors [3]. - CITIC Securities noted that the overall strong performance of global markets during the Spring Festival period contributed to a positive market sentiment in A-shares, suggesting a potential new upward trend [3]. ETF Performance - The Double Innovation Leader ETF (588330) has achieved a cumulative increase of 60.86% year-to-date, outperforming major indices such as the ChiNext 50 (57.45%) and the ChiNext Index (49.57%) [5]. - The ETF is designed to track a selection of 50 large-cap strategic emerging industry companies from the STAR Market and ChiNext, focusing on sectors like optical modules, semiconductors, and photovoltaic equipment [5]. Historical Trends - Historical data indicates that the probability of the Shanghai Composite Index and ChiNext Index rising on the first trading day after the Spring Festival is around 60% [4]. - Analysis from Zhongyuan Securities suggests that the market's upward trend is likely to continue in the following trading days, aligning with the "14th Five-Year Plan" and global monetary easing trends [4].

Summary of Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The conference call primarily discusses the renewable energy sector, focusing on solar energy, energy storage, lithium batteries, wind power, and electric power equipment. The overall sentiment is optimistic about the growth potential in these areas, particularly in North America and China [1][2][3][4]. Key Points and Arguments Solar Energy - The North American visits by solar equipment companies and changes in U.S. trade policies are expected to catalyze the space solar and energy storage markets [1] - The Solar Association's January cost analysis provides support for price recovery in the industry, with a need to monitor demand expectations for traditional solar trends [1] - Companies recommended for investment include space solar battery and satellite power firms such as JunDa, RiSheng, MingYang, JingNeng, and TianHe, as well as equipment manufacturers with strong order visibility like MaiWei, AoTeWei, JingSheng, and ShuangLiang [1] Energy Storage - The first implementation guidelines for large-scale energy storage (OBBB) have been released, alleviating the most pessimistic expectations, while the expiration of fentanyl and equivalent tariffs presents a marginal benefit for U.S. energy storage sentiment [2] - Anticipation of increased orders for North American AIDC energy storage and the introduction of provincial pricing regulations in China are expected to stimulate market activity [2] - The household storage sector is showing resilience in Q1, with strong performance in Ukraine, Australia, and the UK, and expectations for significant month-on-month production increases in March [2][3] Lithium Batteries - Post-holiday production is expected to continue rising, potentially reaching new highs, with a favorable window for price negotiations across the supply chain [3] - Long-term recommendations focus on battery segments, particularly companies with alpha potential like Ningde and Yiwei, while also suggesting investments in undervalued separator and copper foil sectors [3] - Companies with price elasticity in the lithium iron phosphate segment, such as PuTaiLai, Enjie, JiaYuan, TianCi, FuLin, YuNeng, and ShangTai, are also recommended [3] Wind Power - Emphasis on the new wind power cycle starting in the 14th Five-Year Plan, with expectations for commercial aerospace developments and profitability recovery in wind turbine manufacturing [4] - Recommended companies in the wind power sector include DaJin, HaiLi, TianShun, and MingYang Intelligent [4] Electric Power Equipment - During the Spring Festival, PJM plans to invest $11.8 billion in the power grid to support data centers, while OpenAI has announced a $600 billion investment plan with $1,000 billion in financing [4] - Continued recommendations for "North America Power Shortage 3+3" include transformers from SiYuan, Igor, and JinPan, as well as AI power solutions from SiFang, MaiMi, and KeShiDa [4] - Focus on high-voltage transformer export expansion with companies like TeBei, WangBian, BaiYun, AnKao, and HongYuan [4] New Directions - Attention is drawn to Tesla's contract situation and upcoming robot version releases, with recommended robotics companies including SanHua, XinQuan, SiLing, FuSai, RongTai, BeiTe, and MingZhi, along with potential suppliers like KeDaLi [4]