Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the significant performance of the stock market in 2025, with various indices and stocks experiencing substantial gains, indicating a bullish trend and potential investment opportunities in the coming years [3]. Group 1: Market Performance - In 2025, micro-cap stocks surged by 80%, the ChiNext Index rose by 50%, and the North Exchange 50, China Securities 2000, and Sci-Tech 50 indices all increased by over 35% [3]. - The Shanghai Composite Index gained nearly 20% throughout the year, leading to over 600 A-shares achieving a doubling in price, with four stocks increasing by more than ten times [3]. Group 2: Top Performing Stocks - The top-performing stock in 2025 was Aowei New Materials (688585.SH), which saw an 18-fold increase, driven by market interest following the acquisition by Zhiyuan Robotics [5]. - Tianpu Co., Ltd. (605255.SH) ranked second with a 16-fold increase, attributed to rumors of a partnership in artificial intelligence, although the company later clarified it had no such plans [5]. - Other notable stocks included Star Map Control (920116.BJ) and Haibo Technology (688411.SH), both of which also experienced significant price increases [7]. Group 3: Sector Trends - The second half of 2025 was characterized by a focus on technology, particularly in the hardware sector driven by the demand for computing power, with PCB-related stocks becoming particularly popular [8]. - Companies like Shenghong Technology and Dingtai High-Tech saw their stock prices increase by over 5.5 times, with Shenghong's market capitalization reaching 245.9 billion [8]. Group 4: Institutional Investment - In 2025, the total market turnover reached 41.98 trillion, a 64.1% increase from the previous year, indicating a recovery in market activity [9]. - Key players in the AI wave included companies like Zhongji Xuchuang and Xinyi Technology, which were among the top traded stocks, although their price increases varied significantly [9]. Group 5: Future Outlook - The focus for 2026 will be on deepening the exploration of industrial chains, particularly in the robotics sector, with companies like Sanhua Intelligent Control and Wolong Electric Drive favored by institutions [11][12]. - The securities sector is expected to see a valuation recovery in 2026, with significant interest in brokerage stocks, despite mixed performance in 2025 [13].

2026 年 01 月 04 日 策略周报 研究所： 证券分析师： 赵阳 S0350525100003 zhaoy05@ghzq.com.cn 证券分析师： 陈艺鑫 S0350525010003 chenyx03@ghzq.com.cn [Table_Title] 若人民币汇率持续升值，风格行业如何选择 ——策略周报专题 最近一年走势 相关报告 鹏》——2025-06-17 本篇报告解决了以下核心问题：1、人民币强升值或弱升值期间，配置什 么风格或行业胜率弹性较高？2、当下应该关注哪些性价比较高的行业？ 核心要点: 国海证券研究所 请务必阅读正文后免责条款部分 《投资黄金如何增强收益——策略周报*陈艺鑫， 胡国鹏》——2025-09-28 《策略周报：反内卷行情有望进入第二阶段*陈艺 鑫，袁稻雨》——2025-08-24 《投资红利如何增强收益-——红利系列报告*陈艺 鑫，胡国鹏》——2025-07-25 《基于"三步走"的黄金交易策略*陈艺鑫，胡国 《我国财政货币双宽松下，大类资产如何配置*陈 艺鑫，胡国鹏》——2025-03-09 1、根据内需经济复苏强弱，将 2015 年 811 汇改后人民币升值阶段 ...

Group 1 - The short-term performance of A-shares after the New Year is mainly influenced by policies, external events, liquidity, and overseas market trends [1][6] - Since 2010, in 16 years, the Shanghai Composite Index has risen in 11 instances during the 10 trading days before the holiday and has shown similar patterns after the holiday [1][6] - Positive policies and external events are core influencing factors for post-holiday A-share performance, with examples including the resolution of the "fiscal cliff" in the US in January 2013 and the easing of US-China trade tensions in early 2019 [1][6] Group 2 - Current observations suggest that the A-share spring market is ongoing, with potential for a strong but volatile performance post-New Year [1][6] - There is a likelihood of further positive policy implementation after the holiday, including the rollout of guidelines for equipment updates and trade-in policies, as well as local government meetings to stimulate consumption [1][6] Group 3 - External risks post-holiday are expected to be limited, with a high probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut in January and stable US-China relations, although tensions with Japan may persist [2][7] - Liquidity is anticipated to further loosen, with potential for accelerated capital inflow into the stock market [2][7] Group 4 - The economic recovery remains weak, with industrial profits continuing to decline, but there is potential for recovery in certain sectors, particularly in technology and cyclical industries [2][7] - Historical trends indicate that industries driven by upward policies and trends before the holiday are likely to maintain their strength afterward [3][8] Group 5 - Recommendations for post-holiday investment include focusing on technology, certain cyclical sectors, and consumer industries, with specific mention of machinery, military, new energy, media, computing, electronics, telecommunications, and pharmaceuticals [4][9] - Current PEG ratios for growth sectors like power equipment and media are relatively low, indicating potential for investment [4][9]

Core Viewpoint - The market experienced narrow fluctuations before the New Year, with most broad indices slightly declining. Looking ahead, the rise of Hong Kong stocks and the A50 index during the New Year period suggests a high probability of a "good start" for A-shares after the holiday. However, the sustainability of the three driving factors behind the recent A-share rally (A500 ETF volume and price increase, strong performance of optical modules, and booming commercial aerospace) remains uncertain post-holiday, necessitating a dual-preparation strategy in the short term. From a mid-term perspective, the market is expected to rise further before March [1][4][10]. Market Overview - The major indices showed slight declines before the New Year, with a narrow range of fluctuations observed [7]. - Sector performance indicated strength in petrochemicals and commercial aerospace, while robotics and soft technology sectors also saw gains [7]. - Market sentiment improved with a rise in trading volume in Shanghai and Shenzhen, although stock index futures contracts were generally at a discount [7]. - Fund flows showed an increase in margin trading balances, with the securities ETF experiencing the highest net inflow [7]. Market Attribution - The Ministry of Finance announced a continuation of a more proactive fiscal policy for 2026 [9]. - The official release of the 2026 national subsidy plan was noted [9]. - A reduction in the value-added tax rate from 5% to 3% for individuals selling homes purchased for less than two years was implemented [9]. - The China Securities Regulatory Commission issued new regulations on the management of sales expenses for publicly raised securities investment funds [9]. Investment Strategy - Based on the outlook for the Year of the Horse, the recommendation is to maintain current holdings and avoid chasing prices, especially for those that have seen significant gains this year. If a situation similar to the "golden pit" of early 2025 arises, it is advised to increase allocations at lower prices [5][11]. - Sector focus should be on high-tech sectors that have recently undergone sufficient adjustments, such as the Hang Seng Technology and Sci-Tech 50 indices [5][11]. - Industry attention should be directed towards the brokerage sector, which has shown significant lag and market share expansion, as well as robotics-related machinery and automotive sectors, AI application-related media and computing sectors, and sectors benefiting from the Spring Festival retail surge, including electronics and chemicals [5][11]. - Individual stock selection should prioritize low-priced, lagging stocks within the aforementioned sectors and industries [5][11].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - This year after the New Year's Day, the A - share spring market is underway and may be volatile and bullish, affected by factors such as policy implementation, liquidity, and the performance of the Hong Kong stock market [1][4][7]. - After the holiday, technology growth and some cyclical industries may be relatively dominant, with continuous upward industrial trends and policy support [1][26]. - After the holiday, it is recommended to continue to allocate industries such as technology, some cyclical and consumer sectors on dips [1][38][46]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Post - holiday Spring Market is Underway 3.1.1 Factors Affecting Post - holiday A - share Movement - Since 2010, in 11 out of 16 years, the Shanghai Composite Index showed the same upward or downward trend in the 10 trading days before and after the holiday. The post - holiday short - term market performance is affected by policies, external events, liquidity, and the performance of the Hong Kong stock market [1][4]. - Positive policies and external events may lead to a short - term rise in the post - holiday A - shares, while tight policies or negative external events may result in weak performance. Liquidity also plays a key role, and the performance of the Hong Kong stock market during the holiday has a certain impact on the post - holiday A - shares [4]. 3.1.2 This Year's A - share Spring Market is Underway and May be Volatile and Bullish - Positive policies may continue to be implemented after the holiday, and external risks may be limited. The "two new" policies are accelerating implementation, local two - sessions may be held intensively, and consumption - stimulating policies may be introduced. Externally, the Fed may cut interest rates in January, Sino - US relations may remain stable, and geopolitical conflicts may ease [7][8]. - Post - holiday short - term liquidity may be further relaxed. Overseas, the Fed is likely to cut interest rates, and the RMB exchange rate may be strong. Domestically, the central bank may cut interest rates and reserve requirements. Also, stock market funds may accelerate inflow [9]. - The Hong Kong stock market performed strongly during the New Year's Day holiday, which may boost the post - holiday A - shares. The correlation coefficient between the Hong Kong stock market's rise and fall during the New Year's Day holiday and the Shanghai Composite Index's rise and fall in the 10 trading days after the holiday is about 0.5 [18][19]. - The post - holiday economy and corporate profits are still in weak recovery. The economy is in a weak recovery state, and corporate profits may continue to recover, although the industrial enterprise profits in November continued to decline [21]. 3.2 Industry Allocation: Focus on Growth after the Holiday 3.2.1 Technology Growth and Some Cyclical Industries May be Relatively Dominant after New Year's Day - Historically, policy and industrial trends drive pre - holiday strong industries to maintain their strength after the holiday. Pre - holiday leading industries may switch due to high sentiment or market adjustments. Industries with continuous strength around the New Year's Day usually have a relatively low historical quantile of trading volume [26]. - This year, the industrial trends of technology growth and some cyclical industries may continue to rise after the holiday. The pre - holiday leading cyclical industries have neutral - low sentiment, while the technology growth industries have high sentiment [26]. 3.2.2 Currently, the PEG of Electric Power, Media, and Automobile is Low - Among the primary growth industries, the predicted PEG of electric power equipment, media, and automobile is relatively low, at 0.64, 0.86, and 1.13 respectively. The historical quantiles of trading volume of medicine, computer, media, and automobile are low [40]. - Among the secondary growth industries, the sentiment of traditional Chinese medicine, biological products, automobile services, and chemical pharmaceuticals is low. The predicted PEG of nautical equipment, games, commercial vehicles, and wind power equipment is relatively low [44]. 3.2.3 After the Holiday, it is Recommended to Continue to Allocate Industries such as Technology, Some Cyclical and Consumer Sectors on Dips - It is recommended to allocate industries with upward policy and industrial trends, such as machinery (robotics), military (commercial aerospace), electric power (nuclear fusion, energy storage), media (AI applications, games), computer (AI applications, satellite Internet), electronics (semiconductors, AI hardware), communication (AI hardware), and medicine (innovative drugs) on dips [46]. - In the short term, it is recommended to allocate sectors that may make up for lost ground and have potentially improved fundamentals, such as securities and consumer sectors (food, retail, social services) on dips [56].

Core Viewpoint - Meike Home (600337) is planning a strategic transformation by acquiring 100% equity of Shenzhen Wande Technology Co., Ltd. in the computing power sector through a combination of shares and cash, while also raising matching funds not exceeding 100% of the transaction price [1][5][27] Group 1: Transaction Details - The acquisition will be executed through issuing shares and cash payments to specific investors, with the total number of shares issued not exceeding 30% of the company's total share capital prior to the transaction [5][9] - The specific transaction price is yet to be determined, pending the completion of auditing and evaluation work [6][9] - The transaction is expected to constitute a related party transaction but will not be classified as a major asset restructuring or restructuring listing [5][8] Group 2: Financial Performance of Wande Technology - Wande Technology reported revenues of 45.98 million yuan, 46.81 million yuan, and 76.29 million yuan for the years 2023, 2024, and the first nine months of 2025, respectively, with net profits of 3.98 million yuan, 6.78 million yuan, and 18.35 million yuan during the same periods [14][15] - As of September 30, 2025, Wande Technology's total assets were 145 million yuan, with total liabilities of 55 million yuan and shareholders' equity of 89.45 million yuan [15] Group 3: Strategic Shift and Market Position - Meike Home is strategically shrinking its traditional furniture business, which has been experiencing continuous losses, and is exploring new industries supported by national policies [10][27] - The acquisition aims to leverage Wande Technology's expertise in high-speed copper cables and intelligent loopback testing modules to provide competitive interconnect solutions for servers and network devices [10][11] - The move into the computing power sector represents a significant shift from Meike Home's traditional focus on mid-to-high-end wooden furniture [11][27] Group 4: Market Context and Future Outlook - The market analysis indicates that the transition from furniture to computing power is a substantial leap for Meike Home, with the potential for the acquisition to be a critical self-rescue strategy amid ongoing losses [27] - Investors are advised to closely monitor the subsequent transaction evaluation, performance commitments, and the successful implementation of matching fundraising [27]

经济导报记者 杨佳琪 据证监会网站披露，青岛智腾科技股份有限公司（下称"青岛智腾"）2025年12月31日在青岛证监局辅导备案，辅导券商为国泰海通证 券股份有限公司（下称"国泰海通证券"）。 | 辅导对象 | 青岛智腾科技股份有限公司 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 成立日期 | 2015年8月24日 | | | | 注册资本 | 998. 3339 万元 | 法定代表人 | 刘军 | | 注册地址 | 山东省青岛市高新区名园路11号1号楼 | | | | 控股股东 及持股比 | 刘军,44.88% | | | | 例 | | | | | 行业分类 | C39 计算机、通信和其他 | 在其他交易场 所(申请)挂 | 无 | | | 电子设备制造业 | 牌或上市的情 | | | | 况 | | | | 备注 | 公司最近3年内不存在提交首次公开发行股票/存托凭证并上市申 | | | | | 请被终止审查、不予核准、不予注册的情况 | | | 公开信息显示，青岛智腾成立于2015年8月，注册资本998.33万元，位于青岛高新区，是一家专注于高精度传感器及智能微系统研发制 造的高 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes innovation as a weapon and encourages actively seizing the spring market opportunities, with a focus on AI, domestic production, and cutting-edge technology for 2026 [1][2] - In 2025, the Shenwan Computer Index had an annual increase of 18.24%, ranking 14th out of 31, underperforming the Wind All A Index by 9.41 percentage points due to moderate performance improvement in the computer industry and the hardware investment characteristics of the AI revolution [1] - The report suggests that the performance of domestic AI computing power is expected to accelerate, with continuous improvement in the commercialization capabilities of AI applications and breakthroughs in cutting-edge innovation fields such as commercial aerospace, digital currency, brain-computer interfaces, and quantum technology [1] Group 2 - In the short term, the report advocates for increasing positions and actively laying out the computer sector for the spring market, noting that the computer industry has adjusted sufficiently since September 2025, and the stabilization of performance brings valuation switching, enhancing investment value [2] - Historically, due to policy and industrial dividends, the computer industry often shows good profitability effects in Q1, especially in February, with current high levels of technology sector holdings but low levels in the computer sector, indicating potential upward movement for this year's spring market [2] - The report highlights the recent acquisition of Manus by Meta, indicating major companies' commitment to deepening their AI application strategies, and the release of a new model framework by Deepseek that significantly enhances the stability and efficiency of large model training [3]

Core Viewpoints - The report is optimistic about the A-share market post-New Year, anticipating a "good start" after the holiday due to the rise in Hong Kong stocks and the A50 index [1][2][50] - There is uncertainty regarding the sustainability of the three driving factors behind the recent A-share rally: the A500 ETF's volume and price increase, the strength of optical modules, and the booming commercial aerospace sector [1][2][50] - The mid-term outlook suggests that the market may continue to rise before March, with a general recommendation to be bullish and proactive in investments [1][2][50] Market Overview - The market experienced narrow fluctuations before the New Year, with most broad indices slightly declining; the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.13%, while the CSI 300 and SSE 50 fell by 0.59% and 0.47% respectively [10][48] - The A500 ETF's share increased by only 1.58 billion shares in the last three days before the holiday, a significant drop from the previous week [10][48] - The overall market sentiment indicated a tendency to "rest and prepare for the next battle," as reflected in the low volatility before the holiday [10][48] Sector Observations - The report highlights strong performance in the petrochemical and commercial aerospace sectors, with the oil and petrochemical sector rising by 3.92% and the commercial aerospace sector increasing by 3.05% [13][49] - The report notes a resurgence in interest in robotics and AI applications, with automotive and machinery sectors rising by 1.44% and 1.32% respectively, while consumer sectors like food and beverage saw declines [13][49] Fund Flow Analysis - The latest margin trading balance reached 2.54 trillion yuan, an increase of 0.47% from the previous week, indicating a positive trend in fund inflow [26][48] - The report indicates that the securities ETF saw the highest net inflow of 13.1 billion yuan, while the electronic ETF experienced the largest outflow of 8.9 billion yuan [26][48] Valuation Insights - The dynamic valuation model shows that the current market indices have seen an increase in valuation levels, with the Shanghai Composite Index's PE-TTM at 16.59, placing it in the 91.99 percentile [40][42] - The Shenzhen Component Index's PE-TTM is at 31.24, in the 77.52 percentile, indicating a generally elevated valuation across major indices [40][42]

Group 1 - The core view is that the A-share bull market is expected to continue into 2026, with resource products likely becoming a new main direction after the technology sector [1][2] - The concept of "New Four Bulls" for A-shares and Hong Kong stocks includes "Capital Inflow Bull," "Technology Innovation Bull," "Institutional Reform Bull," and "Consumption Upgrade Bull," which will continue to drive the market upward in 2026 [1][3] - The expected GDP growth for 2026 is around 5%, supported by policy support, stable domestic demand, and industrial upgrades [2] Group 2 - In the A-share market, the index is expected to continue to rise but with a slower growth rate, and investors will focus more on fundamental improvements and economic verification [2] - Key industries to focus on include new energy, non-ferrous metals, basic chemicals, oil and petrochemicals, non-bank financials, military industry, machinery, and computers [2] - The Hong Kong market is anticipated to see increased activity due to the listing of high-quality domestic companies and the evolution of the U.S. interest rate cycle, presenting significant upward opportunities [1][3] Group 3 - In the global market, key assets to track in 2026 include precious metals like gold and silver, and under the influence of major trends, non-ferrous metals such as copper and aluminum [3] - The AI industry chain remains worth tracking amid the U.S.-China technology security competition [3] - The bond market is expected to see a steepening yield curve, with credit spreads remaining low, and convertible bonds may exhibit significant oscillation characteristics [3]