近几周来，交易员们越来越乐观地认为该行将放松货币政策。芝商所"美联储观察"工具显示，市场预计降息25个基点的概率为89.6%，按兵不动的 概率仅略高于10%。 Northern Trust首席投资官Eric Freedman评论道，市场关注的焦点理所当然地集中在FOMC上，投资者或许更关注投票成员的前景以及未来美联储领 导层的动态。 摩根大通策略师称，在美联储降息后，美股最近的涨势可能因投资者获利了结而陷入停滞，"投资者可能更倾向于在年底锁定收益，而不是增加方 向性敞口。" 华尔街长期多头、投资咨询公司Yardeni Research则建议，相对于标普500指数的其他成分股，现在应减配"科技七巨头"，因预测其未来盈利增长趋 势将发生变化。 正在交易的欧洲股市涨跌不一，德国DAX指数现涨0.21%，英国富时100指数跌0.1%，法国CAC40指数跌0.16%。 智通财经12月8日讯（编辑 赵昊）周一（12月8日）美股盘前，三大指数期货涨跌不一。截至发稿，道琼斯指数期货跌0.02%，标普500指数期货涨 0.08%，纳斯达克100指数期货涨0.24%。 | 名称 ▼ | 月 ▼ | 最新 | 最高 | 最低 | ...

继续实施更加积极的财政政策和适度宽松的货币政策。 中共中央政治局12月8日召开会议，分析研究2026年经济工作。为实现"十五五"良好开局，2026年经济 工作的政策基调已经明确。 会议指出，做好明年经济工作，要实施更加积极有为的宏观政策，增强政策前瞻性、针对性、协同性， 持续扩大内需、优化供给，做优增量、盘活存量，因地制宜发展新质生产力，纵深推进全国统一大市场 建设，持续防范化解重点领域风险，着力稳就业、稳企业、稳市场、稳预期，推动经济实现质的有效提 升和量的合理增长，保持社会和谐稳定，实现"十五五"良好开局。 与去年同期政治局会议"稳中求进、以进促稳"的要求不同，今年强调"稳中求进、提质增效"，并提 出"切实提升宏观经济治理效能"。"加强超常规逆周期调节"的表述调整为"加大逆周期和跨周期调节力 度"，显示宏观政策积极发力的同时，更加注重中长期增长的质量和效益。 多位专家对第一财经记者表示，2026年是"十五五"开局之年，政策取向将直接影响未来五年经济发展的 节奏与质量。政策基调将更为积极，重点解决经济运行中的结构性矛盾，通过更加精准有效的政策组合 拳，激发经济增长新动能。 加大逆周期和跨周期调节力度 会议指 ...

来源：华盛证券 华盛资讯12月8日讯，美股自11月中旬"AI泡沫"担忧以来持续反弹，纳指、标普再度冲刺新高之际，美联 储将于本周北京时间周四凌晨3点公布利率决议，主席鲍威尔将在2点30分召开新闻发布会。 数据显示，12月往往是美股表现强劲的月份，这场恰逢年末的利率决议，被全球市场视为触发"圣诞老人 行情"的关键因素，投资者关注鲍威尔、哈塞特两位关键联储人物的最新发言。 标普500指数再度逼近历史高位 宏观周来袭，华尔街交易员普遍预期本周美联储将降息25基点，"圣诞老人行情"能否如期？哪些降息交易 值得投资者提前关注？一文带你看懂。 降息25基点板上钉钉！鲍威尔VS哈塞特定调美联储"鸽派"or"鹰派" 编者按：美股再冲新高之际，市场押注本周降息25基点板上钉钉，这项关键数据将暗示"圣诞行情"能否如 期而至。投资者如何抢跑布局？ 鲍威尔VS哈塞特！这项关键数据暗示"圣诞老人行情"能否如期而至 目前美联储再次降息几乎已成定局，市场一方面关注，鲍威尔讲话将如何表述下个月进一步宽松的前景， 另一方面则关注"影子美联储主席"哈塞特的最新观点。 根据以往鲍威尔习惯而言，华尔街预期其将再次上演"鹰派降息"发言，意味着鲍威尔在 ...

（来源：东海研究） 登录新浪财经APP 搜索【信披】查看更多考评等级 全球大类资产回顾。12月5日当周，全球股市多数上涨，A股表现相对较好；主要商品期货中铜、原油、铝收涨，黄金收跌；美元指数小幅下跌，非美货 币升值。1）权益方面：创业板指>沪深300指数>深证成指>恒生科技指数>纳指>恒生指数>德国DAX30>道指>日经225>上证指数>标普500>科创50>法国 CAC40>英国富时100。2）当周美债收益率上升影响金价表现，黄金震荡回落；原油受地缘政治冲突升级影响当周小幅震荡上行。3）工业品期货：南华 工业品价格指数上涨，螺纹钢、水泥小幅上涨，炼焦煤、混凝土小幅回落；高炉开工率当周下跌；乘用车当周日均零售7.54万辆，环比上涨25.39%，同比 下跌7.00%；BDI环比上涨6.52%。4）国内利率债收益率涨跌不一，全周中债1Y国债收益率下跌0.01BP至1.4016%，10Y国债收益率上涨0.68BP收至 1.8480%。5）美日国债收益率普遍上行。2Y美债收益率当周上行9BP至3.56%，10Y美债收益率上行12BP至4.14%；10Y日债收益率上涨12.7BP至 1.9390%。6）美元指数收于98 ...

Group 1: Background and Motivation - Local government debt risks have intensified due to increasing fiscal imbalances, prompting the need to activate state-owned assets[4] - As of the end of 2024, China's state-owned assets total approximately 957.8 trillion yuan, highlighting the potential for asset activation to stabilize economic growth[6] - The central and local governments have emphasized the importance of activating existing assets to alleviate debt risks and enhance fiscal revenues[6] Group 2: Impact on Regional Development - In 2024, Chongqing activated assets worth 485.5 billion yuan, recovering 261 billion yuan, demonstrating the effectiveness of asset activation in generating cash flow[7] - Non-tax revenue in China is projected to grow by 25.4% in 2024, largely due to the activation of state-owned resources, contributing to 20.36% of the general public budget revenue[9] - The activation of idle assets can significantly enhance resource allocation efficiency, allowing for better utilization of land and infrastructure[14] Group 3: Effects on Urban Investment Companies - Urban investment companies can alleviate short-term debt pressures by selling non-core and idle assets, thereby optimizing their balance sheets[16] - The issuance of public REITs or asset-backed securities allows urban investment companies to broaden financing channels and reduce reliance on traditional financing methods[16] - Asset activation fosters the development of market-oriented operational capabilities, enabling urban investment companies to transition from financing to urban operation roles[17] Group 4: Case Studies in Fujian Province - Fujian Province employs restructuring and financing activation methods tailored to local fiscal conditions and resource endowments, exemplifying a "localized" approach[5] - Coastal cities like Fuzhou and Xiamen focus on upgrading low-efficiency industrial land through innovative financial instruments like REITs, enhancing land utilization[19] - Resource-rich mountainous cities like Longyan utilize resource certification methods to convert idle rural assets into tradable capital, balancing social and economic benefits[28]

Core Viewpoint - Xiangyuan Holdings is facing a liquidity crisis due to the inability to redeem guaranteed financial products, leading to a significant drop in stock prices of its listed companies [1][2] Group 1: Stock Performance - On December 8, the stock prices of Xiangyuan Holdings' subsidiaries, including Xiangyuan Cultural Tourism, Jiaojian Co., and Haichang Ocean Park, fell by 3.62%, 10.02%, and 3.85% respectively [1] - The decline in stock prices is attributed to the company's financial difficulties related to unredeemed financial products [1] Group 2: Financial Product Issues - Xiangyuan Holdings and its actual controller, Yu Faxiang, guaranteed several financial asset income rights products issued by Zhejiang Jin Center, which have not been redeemed upon maturity [1] - The Zhejiang Jin Center app has disabled the withdrawal function, indicating severe liquidity issues [1] - The financial products in question were linked to the company's real estate projects, with yields ranging from 4% to 5% [1] Group 3: Company Response and Clarification - A representative from Xiangyuan Holdings stated that the company is experiencing temporary cash flow difficulties due to issues in the real estate sector and is hoping for government support [1] - On December 7, the listed companies issued announcements clarifying that the financial products are unrelated to them and that they bear no responsibility for redemption or guarantees [1] Group 4: Background and Context - Signs of financial strain within the Xiangyuan group have been evident, with over 37 million yuan in overdue balances reported as of November 30, 2025 [2] - Xiangyuan Holdings, founded by Yu Faxiang in 1992, primarily operates in the cultural tourism sector, with real estate being a significant part of its business model [2] - The "land-based tourism" business model has become unsustainable amid the ongoing adjustments in the real estate industry [2] Group 5: Regulatory Environment - The Zhejiang Jin Center lost its financial asset trading business qualification as announced by the Zhejiang Provincial Financial Supervision Administration in October last year [2] - Following this announcement, the app only allows for the transfer and purchase of existing products [2] - The major shareholder of Zhejiang Jin Center has changed to private capital, and it was renamed to "Zhejiang Zhejin Asset Operation Co., Ltd." earlier this year [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that Yue Gang Wan Holdings has announced a share placement to raise approximately HKD 188 million, with a net amount of about HKD 187.6 million [1][4][7] - The placement involves issuing a total of 34.18 million shares at a price of HKD 5.5 per share, which represents a discount of approximately 3.51% compared to the previous trading day's closing price of HKD 5.7 [4][7] - The shares being placed account for about 3.04% of the existing issued share capital and will represent approximately 2.95% of the enlarged share capital after completion [4] Group 2 - Approximately 70% of the raised funds will be used for the delivery of AI computing power cloud services, 20% for project construction costs, and 10% for daily operational expenses [4] - Yue Gang Wan Holdings is pursuing a dual business development strategy focusing on infrastructure and AI, which includes providing AI computing technology services, operating AI computing centers, and developing comprehensive AI solutions for clients [7]

越秀地产(00123)发布公告，于2025年12月8日，公司(作为借款人)与一家银行订立一份融资协议，据 此，贷款人在融资协议的条款及条件的规限下提供2亿人民币(或等值的港元)的双币定期贷款融资，贷 款期由首次提款日期起计364天。 ...

保利发展：11月合约销售金额-25％。 ...

这种由政策不确定性导致的观望情绪，在美国制造业体现得尤为明显。尽管借贷成本下降，但由于关税政策持续波动，许多企业选择暂缓投资决策，等待形 势明朗。美国供应管理学会的数据显示，工厂活动已连续多月萎缩。有企业高管直言，在客户因不确定性而停止订购新设备之前，降息本身"不会影响我们 的业务"。 货币政策传导机制本身也面临挑战。当美联储调整基准利率时，其影响渗透至整体经济通常需要长达十八个月。然而，当前环境可能使这一滞后期进一步延 长。一方面，市场往往提前消化降息预期，使其对金融市场的直接影响减弱；另一方面，大部分现有企业和消费者债务（如固定利率抵押贷款）并不会立即 对降息做出反应。更关键的是，持续的高通胀和联邦预算赤字等因素，共同将美债收益率维持在高位，从而限制了其他贷款利率的下行空间。 美联储预计将在本周的会议上再次宣布降息。然而，越来越多的经济学家和市场分析指出，这轮预期的宽松政策对经济的刺激效果可能远逊于以往，其积极 作用不仅会姗姗来迟，更可能被货币政策无法控制的因素所削弱。 传统上，降息能通过降低借贷成本来刺激对利率敏感的行业，如地产和制造业。但本轮周期的情况截然不同。在地产市场，尽管抵押贷款利率已从峰值回 ...