证券研究报告·行业跟踪周报·电力设备 电力设备行业跟踪周报 固态电池产业化全面提速，特斯拉人形方案 调整不改产业趋势 增持（维持） [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 投资要点 2025 年 06 月 22 日 执业证书：S0600516080001 021-60199793 zengdh@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 阮巧燕 执业证书：S0600517120002 021-60199793 ruanqy@dwzq.com.cn 研究助理 许钧赫 执业证书：S0600123070121 xujunhe@dwzq.com.cn 行业走势 -11% -1% 9% 19% 29% 2024-6-21 2024-10-20 2025-2-18 2025-6-19 电力设备 沪深300 证券分析师 曾朵红 相关研究 《新能源入市刺激抢装，光伏涨价 风 电排产向上——新能源月报：2025 年 4 月报》 2025-06-20 《固态电池产业化进展加快，特斯拉 Robotaxi 定档》 2025-06-15 东吴证券研究所 1 / 45 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 ◼ 电气设备 6630 下 ...

2025 年 06 月 22 日 资金缩圈至银行与科技绩优，北证 中报行情徐徐展开 ——北交所策略周报（20250616-20250622） 本周策略观点： 本周市场行情： 北交所新股： 新三板动态： ⚫ 本周新挂牌 2 家，摘牌 6 家，周新增计划融资 0.06 亿元，完成融资 1.21 亿元。 风险提示： ⚫ 个股业绩季度波动过大风险，宏观经济下行的风险。 相关研究 证券分析师 刘靖 A0230512070005 liujing@swsresearch.com 王雨晴 A0230522010003 wangyq@swsresearch.com 研究支持 郑菁华 A0230525060001 zhengjh@swsresearch.com 汪秉涵 A0230123090006 wangbh@swsresearch.com 吕靖华 A0230124070002 lvjh@swsresearch.com 联系人 郑菁华 (8621)23297818× zhengjh@swsresearch.com 新 三 板 研 究 证 券 研 究 报 告 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 ...

Technical Analysis - The Shanghai Composite Index fell below 3400 points, closing around 3360 points, with trading volume shrinking to around 1 trillion [3] - The support level is strong at 3340-3360 points, which corresponds to the lower boundary of a previous consolidation range and the 60-day moving average [3] - The ChiNext Index nearly breached 2000 points, indicating a growing demand for a rebound due to overselling [3] News Impact - The Middle East conflict, particularly between Iran and Israel, has led to rising oil prices, with Brent crude oil experiencing significant increases, potentially exceeding $100 according to Goldman Sachs [4] - This situation presents a dual impact on A-shares: sectors like oil, gas, and gold may benefit, while export-reliant sectors such as electronics and home appliances could face challenges [4] - Domestic policies are supportive, with the launch of cross-border payment services and various financial opening measures announced by the central bank, which could benefit banks and digital currency sectors [4] Policy Environment - The central bank injected 1.4 trillion in liquidity but did not adjust the Loan Prime Rate (LPR), indicating a focus on targeted support rather than broad stimulus [5] - Policy easing in the real estate sector, such as the removal of purchase restrictions in Guangzhou, may provide some stimulus to building materials and home furnishings, but expectations for a significant sector rally should be tempered [5] - Key sectors like semiconductors and AI computing are receiving clear policy support, presenting opportunities during market pullbacks [5] Capital Flow - Northbound capital saw a net outflow of over 20 billion, while domestic institutional investors withdrew more than 60 billion, indicating a cautious market sentiment [6] - Despite the outflows, sectors such as semiconductors and pharmaceuticals attracted investment, with banks and utilities serving as safe havens [6] - The valuation advantage of A-shares remains, suggesting that capital may return once geopolitical tensions ease [6] Strategy for Next Week - A cautious approach is recommended, maintaining a position of around 50% to allow for flexibility [7] - Key focus areas include cross-border payment initiatives, oversold technology sectors, and defensive assets like oil and gold [7] - Monitoring trading volume and sector performance will be crucial for potential adjustments in positions [7]

Core Views - The A-share market is expected to continue a consolidating pattern in the short term, influenced by geopolitical factors and domestic policy expectations [2][10][11] - The adjustment in the main industry is likely to be limited, with the banking sector showing resilience while small-cap stocks face downward pressure [2][21][23] - Mid to long-term industry styles are expected to return to elasticity, suggesting opportunities for strategic allocation during the consolidation phase [2][30][34] Market Overview - The market is currently experiencing a box-like consolidation pattern, with short-term sentiment nearing a peak, limiting upward potential [12][11] - Geopolitical risks are manageable, and the A-share market is anticipated to revert to fundamental drivers as long as conflicts do not escalate [11][12] - Recent performance indicates a mixed sentiment, with strong retail sales and industrial output, but investment growth is weakening due to real estate sector pressures [11][12] Industry Performance - The banking sector has outperformed due to its defensive nature and favorable funding conditions, while sectors like innovative pharmaceuticals and new consumption are showing signs of profit-taking [21][23] - The AI and humanoid robotics sectors have faced challenges in maintaining upward momentum, with recent news affecting sentiment [23][24] - The financial technology sector, particularly related to stablecoins and RWA (Real-World Assets), is expected to see continued growth and investment opportunities [30][31] IPO and Regulatory Developments - The reopening of the IPO channel for unprofitable companies on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board is a significant development, aimed at supporting high-quality tech firms [41][42] - The new regulatory framework is designed to enhance inclusivity and adaptability for innovative companies, particularly in emerging sectors like AI and aerospace [41][42]

证券研究报告|行业研究周报 [Table_Date] 2025 年 6 月 22 日 [Table_Title] 固态电池产业化推进，美国储能补贴有望延长 特斯拉 Optimus gen3 推进研发 随着国内外企业布局&AI 技术突破，人形机器有望迎来量产落地 时点。在降本需求的驱动下，人形机器人核心零部件的国产替 代需求强烈，市场空间广阔，率先取得突破的国内企业有望深 度受益。 2.新能源汽车 固态电池产业化不断推进 我们认为，电池技术的升级迭代始终是终端需求扩大的核心推 动力，固态电池凭借高能量密度以及高安全性等优势，成为确 定性的下一代电池技术方向。随着电池技术的成熟以及产业链 配套的完善，固态相关新产品有望陆续发布、产能建设不断落 地、终端性能预计持续获得验证，固态电池的产业化进程加 速。材料、电池、设备等全产业链各环节均有望实现迭代升 级，看好具备技术优势、订单率先落地以及实现放量的公司。 3.新能源 美国参议院修订美丽大法案，储能补贴有望延长 我们认为，此次美国修订后法案延长了储能 ITC 补贴时间+放松 补贴门槛，若该法案通过，则明确利好美国大储市场景气度。 目前美国仍是高溢价高盈利市场，此次放 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the mechanical equipment sector [1] Core Insights - The solid-state battery industry is accelerating towards commercialization, with equipment manufacturers being the primary beneficiaries. The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology plans to establish a standard system for solid-state batteries by 2025, with significant investments already made in R&D [2] - The forklift industry shows strong growth, with May sales reaching 123,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 12%. The demand for large forklifts is particularly strong, indicating a robust outlook for leading companies in Q2 [3] - The engineering machinery sector is witnessing a recovery in non-excavator sales and exports, with May excavator sales at 18,202 units, a 2.12% increase year-on-year. The sector is currently undervalued, presenting investment opportunities [4] Summary by Sections Lithium Battery Equipment - Solid-state battery commercialization is accelerating, benefiting equipment suppliers. Key players include: - **Xian Dao Intelligent**: Offers a complete solution for solid-state battery manufacturing [2] - **Yinghe Technology**: Recently delivered core solid-state battery equipment to a leading domestic battery company [2] - **Huaya Intelligent**: Signed an agreement for a 200MWh solid-state battery production line project [2] - Investment recommendations focus on solid-state battery equipment suppliers like Xian Dao Intelligent and laser welding equipment manufacturers [2] Forklift Industry - May forklift sales reached 123,000 units, with domestic sales at 79,000 units (up 9%) and exports at 44,000 units (up 17%). The demand for large forklifts is particularly strong, indicating a positive outlook for leading companies in Q2 [3] - Key players include Anhui Heli, Hangcha Group, and Zhongli Group, which are actively pursuing smart logistics solutions [3] Engineering Machinery - May excavator sales were 18,202 units, with a slight year-on-year increase. The sector is seeing a recovery in non-excavator sales and exports, with a 9% increase in export value for engineering machinery in the first five months of 2025 [4] - Recommended stocks include Sany Heavy Industry, XCMG, and LiuGong, as the sector is currently undervalued [4] General Recommendations - The report suggests a focus on companies with strong growth potential in the solid-state battery and engineering machinery sectors, highlighting the importance of technological advancements and market demand [2][4]

1—5月国内网上零售额增长8.5% 6月20日，商务部电子商务司负责人表示，据国家统计局数据，1—5月网上零售额同比增长8.5%。品质商品、网络服务消费、新模式新业态成为 新动能，线上线下融合态势深化，重点监测平台数字产品、15类以旧换新家电和数码、网络服务消费、即时零售销售额分别增长10.4%、14%、 13.3%和12%，4月以来平台外贸专区销售额超20亿。 据悉，丝路电商伙伴国升级扩围，与哈萨克斯坦升级、与孟加拉新建双边电商合作机制，伙伴国增至35个。全年40项重点活动协同发力、精准 赋能，在河南、陕西、湖南举办"丝路电商"国际合作对接会、中国-中亚"丝路电商"深化合作圆桌会、非洲好物网购季等12场活动，52国政府、 协会、企业参与，达成100余项合作意向。（商务部官网） ｜点评｜ 5月"国补"叠加"618"活动提前开启，网上零售额增速再提速。家用电器、影像器材、手机等品类零售额领涨，多重优惠叠加下，居民 对耐用消费品的升级换代需求被激活。不过，今年居民新增信贷需求较弱，表明居民在收入前景不明的情况下，更愿意用储蓄进行消费。"国 补"活动短期暂停后，预计很快将重新上线，但补贴范围和力度或将难以进一步扩大 ...

6月20日，工业和信息化部党组书记、部长李乐成主持召开第十次中小企业圆桌会议。会上，来自量子 科技、人工智能、人形机器人、生物制造等未来产业领域的10家初创期中小企业负责人介绍了技术研 发、人才引育、投融资支持、场景应用等方面情况，结合各自生产经营中遇到的困难和挑战，提出政策 举措建议。李乐成强调，我国中小企业有灵气、有活力，发展未来产业前景广阔、大有可为。希望大家 树立雄心壮志，加强前沿技术和颠覆性技术突破，打造原创技术策源地，加快产出标志性产品、形成引 领性标准。要坚持走专精特新发展道路，聚焦细分领域苦练内功，不断提高企业质量、效益和核心竞争 力。要大力弘扬企业家精神，坚定发展信心，保持战略定力，用足用好国家各类支持政策，乘势而上， 当好前行者、开拓者，为发展新质生产力、推进新型工业化积极贡献力量。(工信微报) ...

Group 1 - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) has decided to temporarily suspend IPOs, but is implementing a pre-review mechanism for high-quality technology companies, indicating a cautious approach rather than a full opening of the IPO market [1] - The CSRC's actions can be seen as a signal to further support IPOs after encouraging mergers and acquisitions, suggesting a positive market sentiment and potential for a bull market [1] Group 2 - The A-share market has shown a downward trend, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3362 points after a day of weak trading and a significant drop in trading volume to approximately 1.2 trillion [3] - There is a noticeable shift in market dynamics, with previously strong sectors like innovative pharmaceuticals and digital currencies experiencing declines, while underperforming sectors like humanoid robots saw a rebound [3] Group 3 - Over 4000 stocks in the A-share market declined, with a significant increase in selling pressure as the market showed weak performance, leading to a closing volume exceeding 56 billion [5] - The lack of strong buying support during the market's decline suggests that large funds are not currently inclined to intervene, which could lead to further downward pressure if the market continues to fall [5] Group 4 - The Shanghai Composite Index is at a critical turning point, with the 3330 to 3350 point range being particularly sensitive; if this range is breached, it could lead to more severe declines [6] - Historical patterns suggest that if the index can maintain this range, there may be potential for recovery, although current market conditions make predictions uncertain [6] Group 5 - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.79%, while the ChiNext and Shenzhen Composite Indexes dropped by over 1% [7]

家电丨市场观察 本周看点： -奔向AI的厨电战争，该为谁打响？ -阿里、小米们加速"围攻"Meta，AI眼镜打响"持久战"; -空间计算机很好， 但苹果、INAIR、魅族谁更接近未来？ 行业环境 1.奔向AI的厨电战争，该为谁打响？ 关键词 ： 厨房,年轻人,智能化,烹饪,户外经济 概要 ： 在消费格局变化下，厨房对年轻人吸引力减弱，中国厨电企业通过AI技术融合推出智 能化产品吸引用户，如"食神"大模型。但市场对其高溢价和数据安全问题态度不一。行业还面 临房地产下行、海外竞争等挑战，企业尝试多元化发展、优化设计并加速出海。未来，厨电企 业需拓展饮食产业链，借助AI赋能降低下厨门槛，重塑市场格局，把握智能化发展机遇。 2.阿里、小米们加速"围攻"Meta，AI眼镜打响"持久战" 关键词 ： AI眼镜,智能硬件,市场表现,供应链,佩戴体验 概要 ： 扎克伯格认为智能眼镜将成未来手机，2024年一季度全球销量达60万台，同比增长 216%，远超VR和AR。Meta引领行业，苹果等加速布局，但中国产品多停留在"PPT"阶段。AI 眼镜因成本低、佩戴舒适受青睐，预计2025年销量达550万台。然而，技术设计平衡、SKU ...