智通财经APP获悉，招商证券发布研报称，展望10月，市场将会继续延续9月的趋势，保持震荡上行且 低斜率的走势。十月将会进入三季报窗口，由于去年基数较低，今年三季报预计多数行业盈利增速都会 出现一定程度的反弹，也将会在基本面强化市场信心。因此总体来看市场上行趋势的概率较大。综合盈 利、行业景气和交易等维度，10月份建议行业配置方面重点围绕高景气有望持续和困境反转的方向布 局，推荐重点关注：有色金属、电力设备、机械、汽车、电子、传媒等。 招商证券主要观点如下： 大势研判和核心逻辑 展望10月，市场将会继续延续9月的趋势，保持震荡上行且低斜率的走势。目前市场处在牛市第二阶段 的判断没有发生变化，增量资金持续流入的态势没有发生变化，而指数上行速度放缓后，增量资金更加 平稳，是驱动市场稳健上行的关键力量。公募私募融资余额均呈现净流入的态势，也使得市场风格更加 均衡。 10月下旬将会召开四中全会，四中全会将提出的十五五规划，成为市场预期和交易的重要方向。重要规 划的提出也使得市场风险偏好在10月有望维持高位。而十月将会进入三季报窗口，由于去年基数较低， 今年三季报预计多数行业盈利增速都会出现一定程度的反弹，也将会在基本面 ...

2020-2025年1-8月中国焦炭产量统计图 数据来源：国家统计局，智研咨询整理 知前沿，问智研。智研咨询是中国一流产业咨询机构，十数年持续深耕产业研究领域，提供深度产业研 究报告、商业计划书、可行性研究报告及定制服务等一站式产业咨询服务。专业的角度、品质化的服 务、敏锐的市场洞察力，专注于提供完善的产业解决方案，为您的投资决策赋能。 上市企业：国际实业（000159）,美锦能源（000723）,蓝焰控股（000968）,山西焦煤（000983）,长春燃 气（600333）,安泰集团（600408）,云维股份（600725） 相关报告：智研咨询发布的《2026-2032年中国焦炭行业投资战略分析及发展前景研究报告》 根据国家统计局数据显示：2025年8月中国焦炭产量为0.4亿吨，同比增长3.9%；2025年1-8月中国焦炭 累计产量为3.3亿吨，累计增长2.8%。 ...

程强系德邦证券研究所所长、首席经济学家、中国首席经济学家论坛理事 PART.01 市场概览 2025年9月30日周二，A股市场震荡分化上行，科技股维持强势；30年期国债期货新低后反弹收涨；期货 分化明显，黄金领涨，焦煤领跌。 PART.02 市场行情分析 1）股票市场：三季度收官，创业科创均涨约50% 市场震荡上行。今日作为国庆中秋双节前最后一个交易日，A股市场呈现分化上行格局。上证指数收涨 0.52%，报3882.78点；创业板指收平、科创50收涨1.69%，二者盘中均再创年内新高。全市场成交额约 2.20万亿，较前一交易日略有放量，但较9月25日（2.39万亿）、23日（2.52万亿）等近期高位有所回 落，显示节前部分资金趋于谨慎，兑现获利需求显现。从月度情况看，9月成交额整体维持在2万亿元以 上，市场流动性充裕，支撑结构性行情展开。 节前最后一日，风格有所分化。今日成长板块延续强势，金融等防御性板块表现承压，半导体（存储芯 片涨价催化）、锂电设备（固态电池产业化提速）等表现突出，反映资金对科技成长赛道的持续关注； 周期板块方面，美联储降息后金、铜商品价格均表现强势，且9月PMI回升至49.8%创近6个月 ...

姓名：涂伟华 宝城期货投资咨询部 从业资格证号：F3060359 投资咨询证号：Z0011688 电话：0571-87006873 邮箱：tuweihua@bcqhgs.com 作者声明 本人具有中国期货业协会 授予的期货从业资格证书，期 货投资咨询资格证书，本人承 诺以勤勉的职业态度，独立、 客观地出具本报告。本报告清 晰准确地反映了本人的研究观 点。本人不会因本报告中的具 体推荐意见或观点而直接或间 接接收到任何形式的报酬。 黑色金属 | 日报 2025 年 9 月 29 日 煤焦日报 专业研究·创造价值 节前资金离场，煤焦弱势运行 投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1778 号 核心观点 焦炭：截至 9 月 26 日当周，独立焦化厂和钢厂焦化厂焦炭日均产量合计 112.78 万吨，周环比降 0.59 万吨。30 家独立焦化厂吨焦盈利录得-34 元 /吨，亏损扩大 17 元/吨，对焦企生产积极性带来一定压制。需求端，全 国 247 家钢厂铁水日均产量 242.36 万吨，周环比增加 1.34 万吨。库存方 面，本周焦炭库存向下游转移，上游独立焦化厂和中间港口环节库存均环 比下降，247 家钢厂焦炭库存 ...

从资金流向上来看，当日焦炭板块主力资金净流出5021.31万元，游资资金净流入478.6万元，散户资金净 流入4542.71万元。焦炭板块个股资金流向见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 主力净流入(元) | 主力净占比 游资净流入 (元) | | 游资净占比 散户净流入 (元) | | 散户净占比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 600408 | 安泰集团 | 555.71万 | 10.21% | 36.26万 | 0.67% | -591.97万 | -10.88% | | 601011 | 宝泰隆 | 224.85万 | 1.66% | -376.84万 | -2.79% | 151.99万 | 1.12% | | 600725 云维股份 | | -86.99万 | -1.93% | -23.16万 | -0.51% | 110.15万 | 2.44% | | 600792 云煤能源 | | -590.75万 | -11.67% | 113.92万 | 2.25% | 476.83万 | 9.42% | | 601015 陕西黑猫 ...

Core Viewpoint - The coking coal sector experienced a slight increase of 0.42% on September 26, with Antai Group leading the gains, while the overall market indices, Shanghai Composite and Shenzhen Component, saw declines of 0.65% and 1.76% respectively [1] Coking Coal Sector Performance - The closing prices and performance of key stocks in the coking coal sector are as follows: - Antai Group (600408): Closed at 2.20, up 1.38% with a trading volume of 266,500 shares and a turnover of 58.6454 million yuan - Baotailong (601011): Closed at 2.87, up 1.06% with a trading volume of 587,800 shares and a turnover of 170 million yuan - Meijin Energy (000723): Closed at 4.70, up 0.64% with a trading volume of 668,800 shares and a turnover of 316 million yuan - Yunwei Co. (600725): Closed at 3.40, up 0.29% with a trading volume of 108,400 shares and a turnover of 36.8709 million yuan - Yunmei Energy (600792): Closed at 3.73, up 0.27% with a trading volume of 136,800 shares and a turnover of 51.4452 million yuan - Shanxi Coking (600740): Closed at 3.93, unchanged with a trading volume of 187,900 shares and a turnover of 74.044 million yuan - Shaanxi Black Cat (601015): Closed at 3.48, down 0.29% with a trading volume of 207,100 shares and a turnover of 72.667 million yuan [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The coking coal sector saw a net inflow of 70.5909 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 69.4229 million yuan [1] - The detailed capital flow for key stocks is as follows: - Meijin Energy (000723): Net inflow of 59.5783 million yuan from institutional investors, with a net outflow of 33.6498 million yuan from retail investors - Baotailong (601011): Net inflow of 17.2837 million yuan from institutional investors, with a net outflow of 35.6812 million yuan from retail investors - Yunmei Energy (600792): Net inflow of 2.1718 million yuan from institutional investors, with a net outflow of 2.9701 million yuan from retail investors - Shanxi Coking (600740): Net inflow of 0.9660 million yuan from institutional investors, with a net inflow of 0.6218 million yuan from retail investors - Antai Group (600408): Net inflow of 0.7760 million yuan from institutional investors, with a net outflow of 2.3517 million yuan from retail investors - Yunwei Co. (600725): Net outflow of 1.3976 million yuan from institutional investors, with a net inflow of 0.4285 million yuan from retail investors - Shaanxi Black Cat (601015): Net outflow of 8.7873 million yuan from institutional investors, with a net inflow of 4.1795 million yuan from retail investors [2]

9月26日，美锦能源盘中上涨2.14%，截至10:39，报4.77元/股，成交1.21亿元，换手率0.58%，总市值 210.05亿元。 资金流向方面，主力资金净流入366.95万元，特大单买入854.89万元，占比7.09%，卖出692.66万元，占 比5.74%；大单买入1960.01万元，占比16.24%，卖出1755.28万元，占比14.55%。 资料显示，山西美锦能源股份有限公司位于山西省太原市迎泽区劲松北路31号哈伯中心12层，成立日期 1997年1月8日，上市日期1997年5月15日，公司主营业务涉及煤炭、焦化、天然气、氢燃料电池汽车为 主的新能源汽车等商品的生产销售。主营业务收入构成为：煤焦化产品及副产品97.45%，新能源车辆 及运营2.55%。 美锦能源所属申万行业为：煤炭-焦炭Ⅱ-焦炭Ⅲ。所属概念板块包括：GDR概念、股权转让、MSCI中 国、融资融券、中盘等。 截至6月30日，美锦能源股东户数24.87万，较上期减少5.77%；人均流通股17679股，较上期增加 6.12%。2025年1月-6月，美锦能源实现营业收入82.45亿元，同比减少6.46%；归母净利润-6.74亿元，同 比增 ...

广发早知道-汇总版 广发期货研究所 电 话：020-88818009 E-Mail：zhangxiaozhen@gf.com.cn 目录： 金融期货： 股指期货、国债期货 贵金属： 黄金、白银 集运欧线 商品期货： 有色金属： 铜、氧化铝、铝、铝合金、锌、锡、镍、不锈钢、碳酸锂 黑色金属： 钢材、铁矿石、焦煤、焦炭 农产品： 油脂、粕类、玉米、生猪、白糖、棉花、鸡蛋、红枣、苹果 能源化工： 原油、PTA、乙二醇、苯乙烯、短纤、尿素、瓶片、烧碱、PVC、LLDPE、 PP 特殊商品： 金融衍生品： 橡胶、玻璃纯碱、工业硅、多晶硅 2025 年 9 月 26 日星期五 投资咨询业务资格： 证监许可【2011】1292 号 组长联系信息： 张晓珍（投资咨询资格：Z0003135） 电话：020- 88818009 邮箱：zhangxiaozhen@gf.com.cn 刘珂（投资咨询资格：Z0016336） 电话：020-88818026 邮箱：qhliuke@gf.com.cn 叶倩宁（投资咨询资格：Z0016628） 电话：020- 88818017 邮箱：yeqianning@gf.com.cn 周敏波（投资咨 ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent fluctuations in coking coal futures indicate a potential rebound in coking prices, driven by supply constraints and steady downstream demand, despite some steel mills experiencing profit declines [6] Supply - As of September 25, the average daily coking coal production from independent coking plants was 663,000 tons, a week-on-week decrease of 4,000 tons [3] - The total coking coal production from 247 steel mills was 464,000 tons per day, also down by 2,000 tons week-on-week, leading to a total production of 1,128,000 tons per day, a decrease of 6,000 tons week-on-week [3] Demand - The average daily pig iron production was 2,423,600 tons, an increase of 13,400 tons week-on-week [4] - The blast furnace operating rate was 84.45%, up by 0.47% week-on-week, while the capacity utilization rate for pig iron production was 90.86%, an increase of 0.50% week-on-week [4] - The profitability rate for steel mills was 58.01%, down by 0.86% week-on-week [4] Inventory - As of September 25, the total coking coal inventory was 9.816 million tons, an increase of 97,000 tons week-on-week [5] - Independent coking enterprises held 630,000 tons of coking coal inventory, a decrease of 34,000 tons week-on-week, while the inventory at 247 steel mills was 6.613 million tons, an increase of 166,000 tons week-on-week [5] - Port inventory stood at 2.573 million tons, down by 35,000 tons week-on-week [5] Price Trends - As of September 25, the main coking coal futures contract (2601) rose by 30.0 (+1.73%) to 1,760.0, while the far-month contract (2605) increased by 29.0 (+1.55%) to 1,900.0 [1] - The price of premium wet quenching metallurgical coke in Lüliang was reported at 1,240 yuan/ton, unchanged from the previous day, while the trade price in Rizhao was 1,490 yuan/ton, an increase of 40 yuan [1][6] Market Outlook - The recent price adjustments by major steel mills, with a cumulative reduction of 50/55 yuan/ton, have led to expectations of a gradual rebound in coking coal prices, potentially allowing for 2-3 rounds of price increases [6] - The steel industry is under pressure to control production capacity and reduce pollution, with a focus on the actual implementation of these measures in Shanxi province [6] - The market is advised to monitor the fluctuations in the steel market and the fulfillment of seasonal demand expectations during September and October [6]

Group 1 - Domestic commodity futures market experienced widespread increases on September 25, with major contracts such as shipping European routes, international copper, and glass rising over 3% [1][2] - The China Securities Commodity Futures Price Index closed at 1468.33 points, up 13.64 points or 0.94% from the previous trading day [1] - The shipping European route continued its upward trend, with the main contract closing up 3.99%, driven by good cargo collection and stable current cabin quotes [2] Group 2 - International copper and Shanghai copper futures opened higher, reaching a six-month high, with respective increases of 3.58% and 3.40% due to supply disruptions from Freeport's Grasberg mine [3] - The suspension of operations at Grasberg is expected to tighten global copper supply further, with forecasts indicating a continued decline in supply growth through 2026 [3] - Other commodities such as glass, rapeseed oil, and coke also saw significant price increases, with glass futures closing up 3.08% [3] Group 3 - Precious metals experienced slight adjustments, with Shanghai gold down 0.45% while silver saw a minor increase, influenced by profit-taking and a lack of new stimuli [4] - Long-term bullish factors for gold remain, including rising U.S. debt and ongoing central bank purchases, despite short-term fluctuations [4] - Natural rubber and No. 20 rubber contracts saw slight declines, with limited impact from weather disturbances, as the Southeast Asian production season is expected to increase output [5]