Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market continued its strong performance in the first half of 2025, attracting mainland enterprises, particularly from Zhejiang, which saw 9 companies successfully listed [1][2] - A total of 42 new stocks were listed on the Hong Kong stock exchange in the first half of 2025, representing a 40% year-on-year increase, with total fundraising reaching a new high since 2021, surpassing 87.6 billion HKD for the entire year of 2024 [2][5] - Zhejiang enterprises accounted for the highest number of listings, with a total of 9 companies raising 14.4 billion HKD, a significant increase from just 1.016 billion HKD in the same period of 2024 [2][3] Group 2 - The listed Zhejiang companies span various sectors, including healthcare, consumer goods, and manufacturing, showcasing a diversified development trend [2][3] - Notable companies that went public include Sanhua Intelligent Control, which is a global leader in thermal management, and Cao Cao Travel, the largest ride-hailing platform in Hong Kong [2][4] - The trend of "A+H" dual platform listings is emerging, with leading A-share companies accelerating their listings in Hong Kong, exemplified by Sanhua Intelligent Control's recent IPO [3][4] Group 3 - The Hong Kong IPO market achieved the highest global fundraising amount in the first half of 2025, totaling 102.1 billion HKD, driven by international capital and supportive policies from both mainland and Hong Kong [5] - The market's internationalization provides direct support for enterprises, facilitating access to diverse overseas financing channels and enhancing global strategic layouts [5][6] - Expectations for the second half of 2025 indicate continued market heat, with projected fundraising of 200 billion HKD, primarily in technology, media, and consumer sectors [6]

证券研究报告：社会服务 | 公司点评报告 发布时间：2025-07-01 个股表现 资料来源：聚源，中邮证券研究所 | 最新收盘价（港元） | 127.00 | | --- | --- | | 总股本/流通股本（亿股）1.05 | | | 总市值/流通市值（亿港 | 133.61 | | 元） | | | 52 周内最高/最低价 | 158.40 / 117 | | 资产负债率(%) | 36.1948 | | 市盈率 | 37.6146 | | 第一大股东 | | | 公司 | | 分析师:李鑫鑫 SAC 登记编号:S1340525010006 Email:lixinxin@cnpsec.com 股票投资评级 沪上阿姨(2589.HK) 增持|首次覆盖 北方茶饮王者，多品牌齐发力 投资要点 沪上阿姨成立于 2013 年，最初售卖"五谷奶茶"，2019 年主攻鲜 果茶赛道，逐步实现在全国各地的快速扩张。公司是北方排名第一、 中国排名第三的中价现制茶饮店品牌，专注为消费者带来高性价比的 健康现制造饮品。沪上阿姨旗下有"沪上阿姨"、"沪咖"、"茶瀑布" 三大品牌矩阵，截至 2024 年底沪上阿姨全国共有门店 91 ...

Core Insights - The article discusses the rise of three new consumer giants: Labubu, Laopu Gold, and Mixue Ice City, highlighting their contrasting pricing strategies and market appeal [1][2][3] Group 1: Market Performance - Labubu's stock price reached HKD 239.6 as of June 20, 2025, with a year-to-date increase of 170%, following a previous increase of 342% [1] - Laopu Gold has also seen a remarkable year-to-date increase of 267% [1] - Mixue Ice City, which recently went public, has surged over 150% this year, contributing to the trio's status as new consumer giants [1] Group 2: Pricing Strategies - Labubu and Laopu Gold represent the high-end of the market, with Labubu's limited edition toys selling for multiples of their original price, while Laopu Gold maintains a fixed price strategy despite fluctuations in gold prices [2][3] - Mixue Ice City operates on the opposite end of the spectrum, offering products at low prices, with most items priced under 10 yuan, appealing to budget-conscious consumers [3][4] Group 3: Supply Chain and Cost Management - Mixue Ice City's supply chain is a key focus, providing a one-stop solution for beverage ingredients, which allows for significant cost reductions [5][6] - The company’s ability to control upstream resources contributes to its competitive pricing strategy [6] Group 4: Consumer Behavior and Emotional Value - The success of the three giants reflects young consumers' desire for both emotional value and practicality, with Labubu symbolizing social recognition and Mixue Ice City representing value for money [7][9] - Labubu's appeal lies in its scarcity and the emotional experience of unboxing, while Laopu Gold leverages its luxury branding to create a sense of exclusivity [9][10] Group 5: Challenges and Market Dynamics - The article highlights potential challenges for the three giants, including low industry barriers and increasing competition, particularly for Labubu and Laopu Gold [14][15] - The emergence of competitors like Fugglers poses a threat to Labubu's market position, as consumer preferences can shift rapidly [15][17] - Laopu Gold faces challenges in maintaining its luxury status amid fluctuating gold prices and increasing competition from similar brands [21][22] Group 6: Future Outlook - The future of commercial competition will hinge on balancing emotional economics with affordability, as brands that can meet both emotional and financial needs will thrive [23]

社会服务新消费研究 之茶饮行业研究框架 长江证券研究所社服研究小组 2025-07-01 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 分析师 赵刚 分析师 杨会强 联系人 马健轩 SAC执业证书编号：S0490517020001 SAC执业证书编号：S0490520080013 SFC执业证书编号：BUX176 分析师及联系人 证券研究报告 • 证券研究报告 • 评级 看好 维持 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 2 目 录 01 消费：经济周期、人口周期共振的产物 02 茶饮：空间、格局、壁垒 03 投资建议 %% research.95579.com 3 01 消费：经济周期、人口周期共振的产物 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 4 1.1 消费：经济周期、人口周期共振的产物 9 7 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 197 ...

Group 1: Coffee Industry - As of June 30, there are over 246,000 coffee-related enterprises in China, with approximately 26,000 new registrations in 2025 [1] - The registration of coffee-related enterprises has shown a yearly growth trend until 2023, peaking in that year, followed by a slight decline in 2024 [1] - Guangdong, Yunnan, and Jiangsu provinces account for over 86,000 coffee-related enterprises, representing 35.1% of the total [1] - About 1.86% of coffee-related enterprises are involved in judicial cases [1] - Recent studies indicate that the way coffee is consumed significantly affects health outcomes, with black coffee reducing cancer and mortality risks, while sugary coffee may increase them [1][2] - Drinking coffee in the morning is linked to a significant reduction in cardiovascular disease and all-cause mortality risk [1] Group 2: Dairy Industry - Universal Dairy Limited (UDL), the controlling shareholder of New Hope Dairy, plans to reduce its stake, leading to an 8.79% drop in the company's stock price on June 30 [4] - New Hope Dairy's revenue for 2024 is projected to be 10.665 billion yuan, a 2.93% decrease, marking the first revenue decline since 2015 [4] - The company's net profit for 2024 is expected to be 538 million yuan, a 24.80% increase [4] - In Q1 2025, New Hope Dairy's revenue reached 2.625 billion yuan, a 0.42% increase, with a net profit of 133 million yuan, up 48.46% [4] Group 3: Tea Industry - FamilyMart in Japan is recalling approximately 2.27 million bottles of jasmine tea due to potential contamination with metal fragments [3] - The recalled product, "Guangqing Baorun Jasmine Tea," is sold in 1L bottles at a price of 149 yen (160 yen including tax) [3] - The recall affects about 14,499 stores across Japan, excluding the Kyushu and Okinawa regions [3] Group 4: Pu'er Tea Market - The price of ancient tree tea from Menghai County in Yunnan has dropped by 19.66% over the past eight weeks, with current prices at 108.00 yuan per jin [5] - Other varieties from Yunnan's Lianghe County also saw a significant price decline of 16.47% [5] Group 5: Coffee Futures Market - Arabica coffee futures prices have fallen to their lowest level since December, primarily due to increased supply from Brazil [6] - The most active futures contract dropped 4.1%, falling below $3 per pound for the first time in over six months [6] - The ongoing harvest season in Brazil is alleviating short-term supply issues that had persisted due to low domestic inventory levels [6]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that the Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX) has regained its position as the world's leading IPO market, with a significant increase in fundraising activities in the first half of 2025 [2][14]. - According to Ernst & Young's report, HKEX's IPO fundraising accounted for 24% of the global total in the first half of 2025, surpassing both NASDAQ and NYSE [2]. - The number of IPOs and the amount raised in Hong Kong are expected to grow by 33% and 711% respectively compared to the same period last year [2]. Group 2 - As of June 20, 2025, HKEX had 31 IPO projects with a total fundraising of 884 billion HKD, exceeding the total amount raised in the previous year [2]. - The average fundraising amount for IPOs in Hong Kong in 2023 was only 6.77 million HKD, marking a ten-year low, with only one IPO exceeding 5 billion HKD [3]. - The IPO market in Hong Kong has seen a turnaround this year, with several notable IPOs contributing to the market's recovery [3][4]. Group 3 - Notable IPOs this year include the toy company Bluc, which set a record with a subscription amount of 877.5 billion HKD, and the beverage company Mixue, which raised 1.84 trillion HKD in subscriptions [4][8]. - The performance of newly listed companies like Mixue and InnoCare has significantly improved market sentiment, with Mixue's stock price rising by 153.6% from its issue price [8][9]. - The influx of southbound capital through the Stock Connect program has reached a record net inflow of 186 billion HKD in the first half of 2025, indicating strong investor interest [9][13]. Group 4 - The structure of the Hong Kong stock market is changing, with a shift towards sectors such as healthcare, technology, and consumer goods, which have shown strong performance [11][12]. - The Hang Seng Index has seen significant gains, reaching its highest levels since 2021, driven by strong performances from various sectors [11]. - The article highlights the potential for continued growth in the Hong Kong IPO market, with expectations for over 50 new economy companies to list in the second half of 2025, potentially raising over 160 billion HKD [13][14].

2025 年 6 月 30 日 耐用消费品及服装: 中性 证券研究报告 / 首次覆盖报告 蜜雪集团 (2097 HK, 买入, 目标价: HK$660.00) 确定性源自对极致性价比模式的深刻理解 性价比定位确保广阔受众，合理利润分配成就万店加盟：蜜雪从最初的刨冰果断转向更具 规模且更易标准化的现制茶饮赛道，以及定位极致性价比紧抓下沉市场庞大需求无不体现 其独到的市场洞察力；平衡标准化与受众群体构造单店模型也为后续连锁扩张奠定了坚实 根基。作为首家突破万店的茶饮品牌，蜜雪的渠道扩张则演绎了加盟模式"持续寻求利润 分配最优解"的生意本质——初期尽量降低加盟商的准入成本与充分让利迅速展店，而后 随门店数量不断提升积极变革管理模式与渠道策略，确保门店运营高度标准化与单店盈利 相对稳定，持续调整利润分配方案。在管理没有跟上扩张速度的时候蜜雪暂停扩张、变革 管理，在选择多、粘性低的餐饮赛道依然可以迅速重拾品牌势能、重启扩张，展现了不俗 的纠错能力。公司四万余家加盟店的开拓与行业领先的盈利能力并非偶然，而是水到渠成 的必然结果。 高效撬动外部营销资源，供应链上延下伸降本增效：蜜雪先与深耕餐饮营销的华与华合作 打造视听记忆 ...

以下文章来源于FBIF食品饮料创新 ，作者FBIF FBIF食品饮料创新 . 深度，创新 来源丨FBIF食品饮料创新（ID：FoodInnovation） 如今日本很多便利店的货架上，都摆着几瓶瓶身写有"濃い茶"字样的饮料。它们的占比虽然不高，但 在整体色彩鲜艳的饮料中，其深色的包装令人"眼前一暗"。 图片来源：小红书@了不起的麻其 这些深色包装的茶饮料，就是如今在日本消费者当中流行的"浓茶"。它们以使用比常规产品更高含量 的茶粉，或茶汤含有更高浓度的儿茶素 （茶多酚中的一种，是茶叶苦涩味的来源之一）为主要特点 。其中，浓郁型绿茶是最主要的类型。 据伊藤园方面分享的数据，目前日本浓郁型绿茶的市场份额，已经占到日本绿茶饮料市场的30%左 右。 [1] 据日本软饮料联合会提供的数据显示，2024年日本绿茶饮料市场规模为5252.19亿日元， 由此可以推测，浓郁型绿茶的市场规模约为1575亿日元（77亿人民币）。 [2] 2004年至今，日本市场上主要的绿茶品牌，都推出了其经典绿茶产品的"加浓版"。 比如伊藤园大单品Oi Ocha在2004年就推出了浓度更高的"Oi Ocha浓味（お～いお茶 濃い 味）"（后更名为 ...

Core Insights - The article highlights the rise of Chinese brands in the global market, indicating a shift in consumer preferences from Western brands to local alternatives [1][8] - It emphasizes that Chinese consumers are increasingly favoring domestic luxury brands, high-end cosmetics, and local food and beverage options, marking a significant change in consumption patterns [1][4] Group 1: Rise of Chinese Brands - The popularity of the LABUBU toy exemplifies the success of Chinese brands, with its demand leading to a surge in the stock price of its manufacturer, Pop Mart [1][3] - Chinese brands like Kudi and Luckin Coffee are gaining traction by offering quality comparable to international brands like Starbucks at significantly lower prices [3][4] - The jewelry brand Laopu Gold has seen rapid growth, with its average store sales exceeding those of many foreign competitors by at least 50% [4][6] Group 2: Changing Consumer Behavior - Consumers are now willing to pay prices comparable to imported goods for local products, as seen with the high-end tea brand Bawang Chaji, which positions itself as a premium option [4][6] - There is a notable shift in consumer awareness, with younger demographics researching products more thoroughly and seeking local alternatives that offer similar quality at lower prices [6][7] - The success of brands like Mao Geping in the high-end cosmetics market illustrates the changing landscape, as it becomes the only domestic player among the top ten luxury beauty groups in China [6][7] Group 3: Strategic Market Positioning - Many Chinese brands are expanding their presence in lower-tier cities, where consumer activity is reportedly stronger than in major urban centers [7][8] - The strategy of targeting smaller cities has proven effective for brands like Bawang Chaji and Mxue Ice City, which began in less affluent areas before moving to larger markets [7][8] - The article notes that the increasing recognition of these brands internationally will likely enhance their appeal domestically, signaling a potential end to the era where retail trends predominantly flowed from the West to China [8]

Core Insights - The new tea beverage industry is undergoing a milestone transformation with the launch of Naixue's "No Sugar Natural Nutrition+" plan, marking a shift from "sugar reduction" to "natural nutrition" in the 5.0 light health era [2][3] - The plan emphasizes the use of at least three green ingredients in each product, aligning with the 2023 version of the "Chinese Residents' Dietary Nutrient Reference Intake" and the "2022 Chinese Residents' Dietary Guidelines" [2][3] - The focus on health elements in tea beverages has intensified, with brands promoting low sugar, low fat, and natural ingredients as key selling points [2] Industry Trends - The introduction of the "No Sugar Natural Nutrition+" plan highlights the increasing importance of nutrients like anthocyanins, Omega-9, Omega-3 fatty acids, and dietary fiber in tea products [3] - Consumer demand for ready-to-drink tea is evolving, with a growing emphasis on nutritional health attributes rather than just sugar reduction [3] - The tea beverage industry is responding to national health policies, such as the "Healthy China Action (2019-2030)," by aligning product offerings with consumer health needs [3][4] Future Outlook - The health focus is becoming a foundational aspect of tea brands, redefining the future landscape of the tea beverage industry [4] - Experts believe that the health upgrade in the tea beverage sector serves as a positive demonstration for the entire industry, enhancing national health literacy [4]