Core Viewpoint - The recent rumors regarding the failure of the silicon material storage platform have been officially denied by the China Photovoltaic Industry Association, emphasizing that the industry is working steadily on related efforts [2][3] Group 1: Market Reactions - The stock prices of related listed companies and the polysilicon futures market experienced fluctuations due to the rumors [2] - Since May, the polysilicon price has shown a significant increase, and related listed companies have also seen their prices rise from low levels [3] Group 2: Industry Dynamics - The polysilicon storage plan poses substantial risks and could significantly alter market dynamics and production capacity, necessitating careful evaluation of its benefits versus drawbacks [3][4] - The ongoing discussions and media coverage regarding the storage plan have led to a chaotic information environment, with repeated speculation affecting market sentiment [3] Group 3: Regulatory Considerations - The implementation of the polysilicon storage plan should be approached with caution and within a framework of marketization and rule of law to avoid market exploitation [4]

受消息影响，相关上市公司股价、多晶硅期货市场均出现波动。 过去一年时间里，这样的剧情在多晶硅领域反复上演——收储方案定了！收储方案又定了！收储方案黄 了！"小作文"反复横跳，也把市场的心牵动得七上八下。有投资人开玩笑说，虽然收储方案没有落地， 但一篇篇小作文已经让部分市场主体赚得盆满钵满。 这明显与法治化市场化"反内卷"的要求有所背离。 首先，由于多晶硅收储方案可能对市场格局和产能带来巨大改变，其本身就潜藏着对市场的极大影响。 在多晶硅正经历技术迭代的关键时期，收储到底是利大于弊还是弊大于利，就是需要谨慎衡量的。 近日，有消息称某多晶硅上市公司董秘在会议中说，"硅料收储平台黄了。"11月12日下午，中国光伏行 业协会紧急辟谣，称"当下，协会和行业内各企业正一道努力，相关工作正在稳步推进。网络流传的小 道消息均为不实信息，望请各位注意甄别，慎重决策"。 但反观从5月至今的多晶硅收储进程，尽管方案并未最终落地，但相关上市公司人士多次在公开场合或 者接受媒体采访时以各种方式提及硅料收储，行业的小作文也此起彼伏，让整个进程始终处于一种反复 被炒作，但信息极度混乱的情况中。 毫无疑问，如此庞大的收储方案，每一个进程都必 ...

Core Viewpoint - The domestic polysilicon market is maintaining a weak and stable pattern, with prices remaining steady despite fluctuations caused by declining prices in downstream silicon wafers and battery cells [1][2] Group 1: Price Trends - The transaction price range for n-type polysilicon is between 49,000 to 55,000 CNY per ton, with an average transaction price of 53,200 CNY per ton, showing no change from the previous week [1] - The transaction price range for n-type granular silicon is between 50,000 to 51,000 CNY per ton, with an average transaction price of 50,500 CNY per ton, also remaining stable week-on-week [1] Group 2: Market Dynamics - The overall market condition remains characterized by an oversupply, with high inventory pressure persisting [2] - Although price reductions and production cuts in downstream sectors may weaken short-term demand for polysilicon, companies are not in a hurry to lower prices to clear inventory due to already high social inventory levels [2] - Despite the prevailing pessimistic sentiment in the market, actual operations are expected to remain stable, with low likelihood of significant price fluctuations due to ongoing production cuts and policy support from suppliers [2]

Report Summary 1) Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. 2) Core View of the Report The spot price of polysilicon will continue to be in a stalemate in the short - term. The supply improvement of polysilicon lacks internal driving force, and attention should be paid to the support strength at the lower edge of the range [4]. 3) Summary by Relevant Catalogs a. Market Performance - The price of the polysilicon main contract fluctuated strongly first. The closing price of the PS2601 contract was 53,720 yuan/ton, with a gain of 1.08%. The trading volume was 218,786 lots, and the open interest was 125,974 lots, with a net increase of 457 lots [4]. - The transaction price range of polysilicon n - type re - feeding materials was 49,000 - 55,000 yuan/ton, with an average transaction price of 53,200 yuan/ton, remaining flat month - on - month. The transaction price range of n - type granular silicon was 50,000 - 51,000 yuan/ton, with an average transaction price of 50,500 yuan/ton, also remaining flat month - on - month [4]. b. Future Market Outlook - In November, the polysilicon output was 120,000 tons. Whether the production cut will be implemented under the current profit improvement needs further observation. The output of downstream silicon wafers and cells remained stable at 55 - 60GW, but there was no optimistic expectation for the repair of the cliff - like decline in terminal demand. The industrial chain profit was currently concentrated in the silicon material end, and the downstream's willingness to continue price hikes was decreasing [4]. - The policy support continued to fall short, and the internal driving force for the improvement of polysilicon supply - demand was limited. There was an increase in positions and a decline in volume during the session, so attention should be paid to the support strength at the lower edge of the range (net short increase of 11,785) [4]. c. Market News - On November 11, the number of polysilicon warehouse receipts was 9,850 lots, remaining unchanged from the previous trading day [4]. - In September 2025, the newly - installed photovoltaic capacity was 9.66GW, a month - on - month increase of 31.25%. From January to September, the cumulative newly - installed photovoltaic capacity was 240.27GW [4]. d. Energy Development Measures - Coordinate the external transmission and local consumption of "Shagehuang" new energy bases, optimize the integrated development and consumption of hydropower, wind, and solar bases, promote the standardized and orderly development and consumption of offshore wind power, scientifically and efficiently promote the development and consumption of provincial - level centralized new energy, and actively expand the development and consumption space of distributed new energy [4][5].

Report Investment Rating - No investment rating information is provided in the report. Core Viewpoints - For industrial silicon, the spot price is stable, production in the southwest region is decreasing, and the supply - demand pattern may improve. The industrial silicon futures market is mainly affected by overall commodity sentiment and policy - related news. If there are policies promoting capacity exit, the futures price may rise as the current valuation is low [3]. - For polysilicon, the supply - demand fundamentals have slightly improved, but both supply and demand are weakening. The decline in downstream products due to weak consumption has led to a drop in the polysilicon futures market. The market is affected by anti - involution policies and weak reality, with large price fluctuations, and is expected to be mainly volatile [9]. Market Analysis Industrial Silicon - **Futures Market**: On November 11, 2025, the industrial silicon futures price fluctuated. The main contract 2601 opened at 9,265 yuan/ton and closed at 9,180 yuan/ton, a change of - 50 yuan/ton (- 0.54%) from the previous settlement. The open interest of the 2511 main contract was 270,959 lots, and the total number of warehouse receipts was 46,079 lots, a change of - 176 lots from the previous day [1]. - **Supply Side**: The spot price of industrial silicon remained stable. The price of East China oxygen - passing 553 silicon was 9,400 - 9,600 yuan/ton, 421 silicon was 9,700 - 9,800 yuan/ton, Xinjiang oxygen - passing 553 silicon was 8,800 - 8,900 yuan/ton, and 99 silicon was 8,800 - 8,900 yuan/ton. The silicon prices in various regions were flat, and the price of 97 silicon was stable. The domestic silicon - coal market showed a pattern of supply contraction, with a regional differentiation of "three increases, one decrease, and two stabilizations" since mid - October [1]. - **Consumption Side**: The quoted price of organic silicon DMC was 11,000 - 11,300 yuan/ton. As the monomer industry conference approached, most monomer factories had officially closed their offers and would resume quoting after the conference [2]. Polysilicon - **Futures Market**: On November 11, 2025, the main contract 2601 of polysilicon futures declined, opening at 53,600 yuan/ton and closing at 51,930 yuan/ton, a - 2.50% change from the previous trading day. The open interest of the main contract reached 138,468 lots (125,974 lots the previous day), and the trading volume was 324,598 lots [5]. - **Spot Market**: The spot price of polysilicon weakened slightly. The price of N - type material was 49.40 - 55.00 yuan/kg, and n - type granular silicon was 50.00 - 51.00 yuan/kg. The inventory of polysilicon manufacturers and silicon wafers decreased. The latest polysilicon inventory was 25.90 (a - 0.77% change), silicon wafer inventory was 17.52GW (a - 7.45% change), the weekly polysilicon production was 27,000.00 tons (a - 4.30% change), and the silicon wafer production was 13.45GW (a - 5.55% change) [5]. Silicon Wafers - The prices of domestic N - type silicon wafers decreased. Two leading silicon wafer companies took the lead in reducing production, driving other companies to implement production cuts in November. The planned production in November is expected to decrease by 3 - 4GW compared to the previous month. The supply pattern of the silicon wafer market has deteriorated due to excessive contract manufacturing. In November, battery manufacturers tightened demand and limited procurement prices, leading to a sharp reduction in procurement orders and panic selling by second - and third - tier silicon wafer companies with tight cash flows. This caused the silicon material futures price to drop during trading on the 11th, but the spot price of silicon material remained unchanged as of the time of publication [7]. Battery Cells and Components - The prices of battery cells and components were generally stable. For example, the price of high - efficiency PERC182 battery cells was 0.27 yuan/W, PERC210 battery cells were about 0.28 yuan/W, etc. The mainstream transaction prices of components also remained unchanged [8]. Strategies Industrial Silicon - **Unilateral**: Short - term range trading, and consider buying on dips for contracts during the dry season [4]. - **Other Strategies**: No cross - period, cross - variety, spot - futures, or options strategies are proposed [4]. Polysilicon - **Unilateral**: Short - term range trading, with the price expected to fluctuate between 48,000 - 55,000 yuan/ton [9]. - **Other Strategies**: No cross - period, cross - variety, spot - futures, or options strategies are proposed [10].

Core Insights - Precious metals continue to strengthen, with silver leading the gains at over 3% and gold rising by 2.67% due to favorable market sentiment following the U.S. Senate's approval of a temporary funding bill [2] - The three major oils (rapeseed oil, palm oil, and soybean oil) are experiencing a rebound, supported by declining commercial inventories and tight supply expectations [3] - Double焦 (coke and coking coal) prices have dropped over 3%, influenced by government energy supply meetings and declining steel mill profitability [4] - Multi-crystalline silicon has seen a decline of over 2%, with production expectations decreasing in both silicon and downstream silicon wafer sectors [6] Precious Metals - Silver futures on the domestic market rose by 3.20%, while gold futures increased by 2.67% [2] - The market sentiment is buoyed by liquidity expectations following the U.S. government's funding approval, despite potential bearish fundamentals from economic conditions [2] Oilseeds - The main contracts for rapeseed oil increased by over 2%, while palm oil rose by over 1% [3] - Domestic commercial inventories of the three major oils have decreased by 100,000 tons week-on-week and 150,000 tons month-on-month, indicating tightening supply [3] Double焦 and Multi-crystalline Silicon - Double焦 prices fell over 3%, with the market affected by government directives on energy supply and declining steel production profitability [4] - Multi-crystalline silicon prices dropped over 2%, with production cuts expected in both upstream and downstream sectors, leading to a low-level consolidation phase [6]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - Industrial silicon supply is tightening, with demand mainly for rigid procurement. The oversupply situation remains unchanged, and weak demand and high inventory are the main factors restricting price increases. Short - term silicon prices are expected to range between 8,500 - 9,500 yuan/ton [3]. - The "purchase and storage platform" for polysilicon has not been implemented, and the market has become desensitized. With weak demand and high inventory risks, polysilicon spot prices have declined, and the high premium in the futures market lacks support. Short - term prices are expected to consolidate, and previous long positions should protect profits [3]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Industrial Silicon 3.1.1 Cost and Profit - Petroleum coke prices have slightly increased, while silica, electrode prices have remained stable. With the southwest region entering the dry - season, power costs have significantly increased [3]. - In September, the average profit of industrial silicon 553 was - 1,029 yuan/ton, a month - on - month increase of 252 yuan/ton; the average profit of 421 was - 665 yuan/ton, a month - on - month increase of 267 yuan/ton [36]. 3.1.2 Supply - In Sichuan, as it enters the normal - water period and electricity prices rise, most manufacturers have stopped production. In Yunnan, due to the dry - season and increased costs, most businesses have stopped production. In the north, the start - up rate is slowly increasing, but a factory in Xinjiang reduced production last week. The overall supply is expected to fall below 400,000 tons in November, a decrease of about 12% [3]. - On November 7, the number of open furnaces decreased by 37 week - on - week, mainly in Sichuan and Yunnan, and slightly in Xinjiang [37]. 3.1.3 Demand - Some polysilicon manufacturers are under maintenance, and production is expected to decline. Organic silicon enterprises that previously cut production have gradually resumed, increasing the demand for industrial silicon, but purchases are mainly for rigid replenishment. The silicon - aluminum alloy industry has no plans to increase or decrease production, and the start - up rate is relatively stable [3]. 3.1.4 Inventory - Except for some southwest silicon enterprises that have reduced production, most manufacturers are in normal production. Due to low prices, silicon enterprises are reluctant to sell, and inventory continues to accumulate [3]. 3.1.5 Market Outlook - The oversupply situation of industrial silicon remains unchanged. Weak demand and high inventory restrict price increases. Short - term silicon prices are expected to range between 8,500 - 9,500 yuan/ton [3]. 3.2 Polysilicon 3.2.1 Supply - Last week, polysilicon production was 27,000 tons, a week - on - week decrease of 1,200 tons. As of November 6, the inventory was 259,000 tons, a decrease of 2,000 tons. In October, production was 134,000 tons, an increase of 4,000 tons from September. In November, production is expected to decline to about 120,000 tons [68]. 3.2.2 Demand - The upstream demand from the component side is weak, and there is no obvious inventory - building action. The support from the battery - chip side is insufficient, and the silicon - wafer production plan for November has declined [3]. 3.2.3 Inventory - As of November 6, the total polysilicon inventory was 259,000 tons, and the silicon - wafer inventory was 17.52GW. As of November 7, the registered polysilicon warehouse receipts were 9,850 lots [3]. 3.2.4 Market Outlook - The "purchase and storage platform" has not been implemented, and the market has become desensitized. With weak demand and high inventory risks, polysilicon spot prices have declined, and the high premium in the futures market lacks support. Short - term prices are expected to consolidate [3]. 3.3 Organic Silicon 3.3.1 Supply - In October, the DMC start - up rate was 69.71%, a month - on - month decrease of 1.54 percentage points, and the output was 209,600 tons, a month - on - month decrease of 600 tons. Recently, the previously maintained devices in Yunnan and Jiangxi have gradually resumed production, and the supply shows an increasing trend [97]. 3.3.2 Price - As of November 7, the average DMC price was 11,150 yuan/ton, a week - on - week increase of 1.36%; the average 107 - rubber price was 11,500 yuan/ton, remaining unchanged; the average silicone oil price was 13,050 yuan/ton, a week - on - week increase of 1.56%. In the long - term, prices may continue to weaken due to oversupply [104]. 3.4 Aluminum Alloy 3.4.1 Start - up Rate - In the week of November 6, the start - up rate of primary aluminum alloy was 59.4%, a week - on - week increase of 0.2 percentage points; the start - up rate of recycled aluminum alloy was 59.1%, remaining unchanged [112]. 3.4.2 Price - As of November 7, the average ADC12 price was 21,450 yuan/ton, a week - on - week increase of 0.70%; the average A356 price was 22,000 yuan/ton, a week - on - week increase of 1.38% [115]. 3.5 Inventory - As of November 6, the industrial silicon social inventory (social + delivery warehouse) was 552,000 tons, a week - on - week decrease of 6,000 tons; the total factory inventory in Xinjiang, Yunnan, and Sichuan was 172,000 tons, a week - on - week increase of 3,900 tons. As of November 7, the exchange - registered warehouse receipts were 46,180 lots, equivalent to 230,900 tons of spot [126].

Report Industry Investment Ratings No relevant content provided. Core Views Tin - The supply of tin ore remains tight, and the supply improvement is limited. The demand is weak, and the traditional consumption decline cannot be compensated by the new - demand growth. With the expected end of the US government shutdown and improved market sentiment, long positions should be held. The subsequent trend depends on the macro - end and the supply recovery in Myanmar [1]. Nickel - The macro - environment has some pressure, and the industry is multi - empty intertwined. The supply is expected to be relatively loose in the medium - term, and the price is expected to fluctuate within a range, with the main contract referring to 118,000 - 124,000. Attention should be paid to macro - expectations and Indonesian industrial policies [4]. Stainless Steel - The policy and macro - drive are weakening, the supply pressure remains, and the demand is not significantly boosted. The short - term price is expected to be weakly volatile, with the main contract referring to 12,500 - 13,000. Follow - up attention should be paid to macro - expectations and steel mill supply [6]. Lithium Carbonate - The macro and policy environment is favorable, and the capital is optimistic. The fundamentals show a slight increase in production. The short - term price has a strong reality support, but the upward movement is mainly driven by funds. The subsequent trend depends on the demand change in the off - season and the upstream project release [9]. Industrial Silicon - The industrial silicon market still faces inventory accumulation pressure in November, but it is less than in October. The price is expected to oscillate at a low level, with the main range of 8,500 - 9,500 yuan/ton. Attention should be paid to the digestion of warehouse receipts after the concentrated cancellation of the November contract [10]. Polysilicon - The polysilicon market maintains a situation of both supply and demand decline, with inventory accumulation expectations in each link. The price is expected to oscillate in a high - level range. The trading strategy includes low - level trial - buying in the futures market, selling put options in the options market, and holding or taking profits in the equity market [12]. Aluminum - Alumina prices are expected to remain weakly volatile, with the main contract referring to 2,750 - 2,900 yuan/ton. The electrolytic aluminum price will be in a game between event - drive and weak fundamentals, with the main contract referring to 21,000 - 21,800 yuan/ton. Attention should be paid to relevant factors such as LME warehouse receipts and overseas macro - trends [15]. Copper - The copper price rebounded slightly. In the macro - aspect, there may be a "vacuum period" in November. Fundamentally, the supply of copper ore is tight, and the demand has strong resilience. The long - term supply - demand contradiction supports the upward movement of the price center. The main contract should pay attention to the 84,000 - 85,000 support [17]. Zinc - The liquidity risk of zinc is expected to be mitigated. The supply pressure may be limited in the future, and the demand is average. The LME zinc has upward pressure, while the export of zinc ingots may boost the domestic price. The main contract refers to 22,300 - 23,000 [20]. Aluminum Alloy - The casting aluminum alloy market is strongly volatile. The cost has rigid support, and the supply - demand is in a tight balance. The ADC12 price is expected to maintain a strong - side oscillation, with the main contract referring to 20,400 - 21,100 yuan/ton. Attention should be paid to factors such as scrap aluminum supply and inventory changes [22]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Tin - **Price and Basis**: SMM 1 tin price increased by 0.74% to 285,800 yuan/ton, and the SMM 1 tin premium increased by 30% to 650 yuan/ton. The import loss decreased by 7.99% to - 14,989.79 yuan/ton [1]. - **Fundamentals**: In September, tin ore imports decreased by 15.13% month - on - month, and the SMM refined tin output in October increased by 53.09% month - on - month. The inventory of SHEF and social inventory increased [1]. Nickel - **Price and Basis**: SMM 1 electrolytic nickel price increased by 0.25% to 121,200 yuan/ton, and the 1 Jinchuan nickel premium increased by 20% to 3,600 yuan/ton. The import loss increased by 7.99% to - 1,825 yuan/ton [4]. - **Fundamentals**: China's refined nickel production increased by 0.84% month - on - month, and the import volume increased by 124.36% month - on - month. The SHFE and social inventories increased [4]. Stainless Steel - **Price and Basis**: The price of 304/2B stainless steel coils remained unchanged at 12,800 yuan/ton, and the futures - spot price difference decreased by 9.88% to 365 yuan/ton [6]. - **Fundamentals**: China's 300 - series stainless steel crude steel production increased by 0.38% month - on - month, and the net export volume decreased by 9.83% month - on - month. The 300 - series social inventory decreased slightly [6]. Lithium Carbonate - **Price and Basis**: The SMM battery - grade lithium carbonate average price increased by 0.44% to 80,750 yuan/ton, and the basis decreased by 88.49% to 290 yuan/ton [9]. - **Fundamentals**: In October, lithium carbonate production increased by 5.73% month - on - month, and the demand increased by 8.70% month - on - month. The total inventory decreased by 10.90% month - on - month [9]. Industrial Silicon - **Price and Basis**: The price of some industrial silicon spot increased by 50 yuan/ton, and the futures price increased by 70 yuan/ton to 9,290 yuan/ton. The basis of some varieties decreased [10]. - **Fundamentals**: The national industrial silicon production increased by 7.46% month - on - month, and the export volume decreased by 8.36% month - on - month. The social inventory decreased slightly [10]. Polysilicon - **Price and Basis**: The N - type polysilicon average price remained unchanged, and the futures price increased by 0.95% to 53,720 yuan/ton. The N - type material basis decreased by 49.75% [12]. - **Fundamentals**: The polysilicon production decreased by 4.26% week - on - week, and the net export volume decreased by 56.83% month - on - month. The polysilicon inventory decreased slightly [12]. Aluminum - **Price and Basis**: The SMM A00 aluminum price decreased by 0.23% to 21,490 yuan/ton, and the import loss increased by 202.3 yuan/ton to - 2,316 yuan/ton [15]. - **Fundamentals**: In October, the alumina production increased by 2.39% month - on - month, and the electrolytic aluminum production increased by 3.52% month - on - month. The aluminum profile and cable operating rates decreased [15]. Copper - **Price and Basis**: The SMM 1 electrolytic copper price increased by 0.60% to 86,232 yuan/ton, and the refined - scrap price difference increased by 13.58% to 3,394 yuan/ton [17]. - **Fundamentals**: In October, the electrolytic copper production decreased by 2.62% month - on - month, and the import volume increased by 26.50% month - on - month. The domestic social inventory decreased [17]. Zinc - **Price and Basis**: The SMM 0 zinc ingot price decreased by 0.31% to 22,570 yuan/ton, and the import loss increased by 596.07 yuan/ton to - 4,818 yuan/ton [20]. - **Fundamentals**: In October, the refined zinc production increased by 2.85% month - on - month, and the zinc ingot social inventory decreased by 1.30% week - on - week [20]. Aluminum Alloy - **Price and Basis**: The SMM aluminum alloy ADC12 price remained unchanged at 21,450 yuan/ton, and the refined - scrap price difference in Foshan decreased by 2.78% to 1,751 yuan/ton [22]. - **Fundamentals**: In October, the regenerated aluminum alloy ingot production decreased by 2.42% month - on - month, and the social inventory increased by 1.82% week - on - week [22].

Group 1: Industry Investment Rating - No information provided Group 2: Core Views - For industrial silicon, the supply - demand pattern may improve due to the slight increase in spot prices and production cuts during the dry season in the southwest. The industrial silicon futures price is mainly affected by overall commodity sentiment and policy - related news. With the expected increase in silicon - coal prices, there is some support for industrial silicon. If there are relevant capacity - exit policies, the futures price may rise [2][4]. - For polysilicon, the supply - demand fundamentals have slightly improved, but there is still significant inventory pressure. The downstream production schedule may weaken, and consumer support is average. The futures price is affected by anti - involution policies and weak market reality, and is expected to fluctuate mainly [5][8]. Group 3: Market Analysis of Industrial Silicon - On November 10, 2025, the industrial silicon futures price showed a strong and volatile trend. The main contract 2601 opened at 9,230 yuan/ton and closed at 9,290 yuan/ton, a change of 120 yuan/ton (1.31%) from the previous settlement. The position of the main contract 2511 was 281,503 lots, and the total number of warehouse receipts was 46,255 lots, a change of 75 lots from the previous day [2]. - The spot price of industrial silicon increased slightly. The price of East China oxygen - passing 553 silicon was 9,400 - 9,600 yuan/ton (a 50 - yuan increase), and 421 silicon was 9,700 - 9,800 yuan/ton (a 50 - yuan increase). The price of Xinjiang oxygen - passing 553 silicon was 8,800 - 8,900 yuan/ton, and 99 silicon was 8,800 - 8,900 yuan/ton, with no change. Silicon prices in some regions such as Kunming, Huangpu Port, and others increased, while the price of 97 silicon remained stable [2]. - In Yunnan, the dry season has arrived. Most silicon enterprises in production stopped production at the end of October, and a few stopped in early November. Currently, there are only over 20 silicon furnaces in production in the entire Yunnan region, and the remaining enterprises are of the integrated or long - order delivery types [2]. - The consumption side: The quotation of organic silicon DMC was 11,000 - 11,300 yuan/ton with no change. Yunneng Silicon Materials' Qujing Branch completed a key technological transformation project, which improved the tank utilization rate to 100% and laid a foundation for process optimization and cost control [3]. Group 4: Strategy for Industrial Silicon - Unilateral: Short - term range operation, buy on dips - No strategies for inter - delivery spread, cross - variety, cash - futures, and options [4] Group 5: Market Analysis of Polysilicon - On November 10, 2025, the main contract 2601 of polysilicon futures maintained a volatile trend, opening at 53,000 yuan/ton and closing at 53,720 yuan/ton, a change of 1.08% from the previous trading day. The position of the main contract was 125,974 lots (125,517 lots the previous day), and the trading volume was 218,786 lots [5]. - The spot price of polysilicon weakened slightly. The price of N - type material was 49.40 - 55.00 yuan/kg, and N - type granular silicon was 50.00 - 51.00 yuan/kg, with no change. Polysilicon manufacturers' inventory increased, while silicon wafer inventory decreased. The latest polysilicon inventory was 25.90 (a month - on - month change of - 0.77%), and silicon wafer inventory was 17.52GW (a month - on - month change of - 7.45%). The weekly polysilicon production was 27,000 tons (a month - on - month change of - 4.30%), and silicon wafer production was 13.45GW (a month - on - month change of - 5.55%) [5][6]. - In October, the polysilicon production was expected to be about 133,500 tons, an increase compared to September, exceeding market expectations. In November, production in the southwest region will be significantly reduced, and production is expected to decline [6]. - Silicon wafer prices: The price of domestic N - type 18Xmm silicon wafers was 1.32 yuan/piece, N - type 210mm was 1.69 yuan/piece, and N - type 210R silicon wafers was 1.34 yuan/piece, with no change [6]. - Battery cell prices: The price of high - efficiency PERC182 battery cells was 0.27 yuan/W, PERC210 was 0.28 yuan/W, Topcon M10 was 0.31 yuan/W, Topcon G12 was 0.30 yuan/W, Topcon 210RN was 0.28 yuan/W, and HJT210 half - piece battery was 0.37 yuan/W, with no change [6]. - Component prices: The mainstream transaction price of PERC182mm was 0.67 - 0.74 yuan/W, PERC210mm was 0.69 - 0.73 yuan/W, N - type 182mm was 0.66 - 0.68 yuan/W, and N - type 210mm was 0.68 - 0.69 yuan/W, with no change [7]. Group 6: Strategy for Polysilicon - Unilateral: Short - term range operation, the 12 - contract is expected to fluctuate in the range of 52,000 - 57,000 yuan/ton - No strategies for inter - delivery spread, cross - variety, cash - futures, and options [8][9]

Report Summary 1. Investment Rating - Not provided in the content 2. Core Views - The current supply and demand of industrial silicon are both decreasing, with slow inventory depletion. The short - term industrial silicon futures market is expected to maintain wide - range fluctuations, and attention should be paid to the start - up changes of large factories in the northwest [6]. - The current supply and demand of polysilicon are both weak, and there is still pressure on inventory accumulation. However, it is supported by industrial policies and market expectations. It is expected to maintain high - level fluctuations in the short term, and attention should be paid to the implementation of policies [7]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Industrial Silicon - **Price**: As of November 7, 2025, the spot price of Xinjiang industrial silicon 553 oxygen - passed was 8900 yuan/ton, unchanged from last week; the futures main contract bottomed out and rebounded, closing at 9220 yuan/ton on November 7 [6]. - **Supply**: The operating rate in Xinjiang remained stable, with a slight increase in output; the operating rate in the northwest (Qinghai, Ningxia, Gansu) changed little; most silicon enterprises in Yunnan stopped production in late October, and some stopped in early November; some silicon enterprises in Sichuan may stop production partially. Overall, the output of industrial silicon decreased month - on - month [6]. - **Demand**: The weekly operating rate of polysilicon enterprises decreased month - on - month; the operating rate of silicone was basically stable; the operating rate of aluminum alloy enterprises changed little, with on - demand procurement. In September, the export of industrial silicon was 70200 tons, a month - on - month decrease of 8% and a year - on - year increase of 8% [6]. - **Cost**: The cost of industrial silicon remained stable this week [6]. - **Inventory**: As of November 6, the total social inventory of industrial silicon in the country was 552000 tons, a decrease of 6000 tons from last week [6]. Polysilicon - **Price**: As of November 7, 2025, the spot price of N - type dense material was 50000 yuan/ton, unchanged from last week; the futures main contract fluctuated and declined, closing at 53215 yuan/ton on November 7 [7]. - **Supply**: The output of polysilicon in October was 137400 tons, a slight increase from September. In November, with the successive shutdowns in the southwest production areas, the production schedule of polysilicon declined significantly [7]. - **Demand**: Terminal demand remained weak, and price transmission in the industrial chain was poor. Silicon wafer and battery prices were loose, and downstream crystal - pulling enterprises only maintained rigid - demand procurement. In September, the import volume of polysilicon was 1291.8 tons, a month - on - month increase of 28%; the export volume was 2149.5 tons, a month - on - month decrease of 28% [7]. - **Cost**: The cost of polysilicon remained stable this week [7]. - **Inventory**: There was little change in inventory recently, and there was still a possibility of inventory accumulation as subsequent orders decreased [7]. Price and Spread - **Industrial Silicon Price and Spread**: As of November 7, 2025, the prices of Xinjiang industrial silicon 553 and 421 oxygen - passed were unchanged from last week; the spread between Yunnan's 553 and 421 oxygen - passed industrial silicon and Xinjiang's 553 and 421 oxygen - passed industrial silicon remained stable compared with last week [10][14]. - **Polysilicon Price and Spread**: As of November 7, 2025, the spot prices of N - type dense material, P - type dense material, and P - type cauliflower material were unchanged from last week; the spread between N - type dense material and P - type dense material, and N - type dense material and P - type cauliflower material remained stable compared with last week [17][21]. Cost - **Silicon Coal and Silica Stone**: As of November 7, 2025, the delivered prices of silicon coal in Ningxia and Xinjiang remained stable; the delivered prices of silica stone in Hubei, Xinjiang, and Yunnan remained stable [25]. - **Petroleum Coke and Electricity Price**: As of November 7, 2025, the price of Saudi petroleum coke at Shandong ports remained stable; the electricity prices in Xinjiang, Sichuan, and Yunnan remained stable [28]. - **Wood Chips and Graphite Electrodes**: As of November 7, 2025, the prices of wood chips and charcoal in Yunnan, and high - power graphite electrodes in Jiangsu remained stable [32]. Downstream Products - **Silicon Wafers**: As of November 7, 2025, the average prices of N - type silicon wafers decreased slightly compared with last week. Affected by weak terminal demand and cautious downstream procurement, silicon wafer prices decreased slightly, but the decline space may be limited due to cost support [34]. - **Batteries**: As of November 7, 2025, the prices of various types of single - crystal TOPCon batteries decreased compared with last week. The battery market continued to be weak, with component manufacturers pressing prices and battery manufacturers lowering quotes [38]. - **Components**: As of November 7, 2025, the prices of various types of TOPCon components remained stable. The market demand was differentiated, with large - size components having firm quotes due to domestic centralized project demand, while conventional - size components had high inventory and weak demand, with prices hovering at low levels [41]. - **Organic Silicon**: As of November 7, 2025, the price of organic silicon DMC in East China increased by 500 yuan/ton compared with last week, and the operating rate was basically stable [45]. - **Aluminum Alloy**: As of November 7, 2025, the price of Shanghai aluminum alloy ingot ADC12 increased by 100 yuan/ton compared with last week, the operating rate of aluminum alloy enterprises remained stable, and they procured industrial silicon on - demand [49].