7月21日，A股市场整体上涨。 截至收盘，上证指数收报3559.79点，上涨0.72%，深证成指收报11007.49点，上涨0.86%，创业板指收 报2296.88点，上涨0.87%，北证50指数上涨2.38%。A股市场合计成交17274.28亿元，较上一交易日增 加1339.22亿元。 1. A股市场全天主力资金净流出136.41亿元 今日A股市场主力资金开盘净流出52.22亿元，尾盘净流入15.76亿元，全天净流出136.41亿元。 | | | 沪深两市近五日主力资金流向情况(亿元) | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 日期 | | 净流入金额 开盘净流入 | | 尾盘净流入 超大单净买入 | | 2025-7-21 | -136.41 | -52. 22 | 15. 76 | -9.08 | | 2025-7-18 | -256. 41 | -65. 68 | -5.90 | -135.30 | | 2025-7-17 | 69.86 | -16. 82 | 13. 64 | 124. 01 | | 2025-7-16 | -134. 35 | -8.00 | ...

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is experiencing a structural bull market, with significant gains in infrastructure and cement sectors, driven by favorable policies and large-scale investments [6][7][8]. Group 1: Market Performance - A-share indices collectively rose, with the Shanghai Composite and ChiNext Index reaching new highs for the year, and over 4,000 stocks increased in value [1][3]. - The total trading volume in the two markets reached 1.7 trillion yuan, with infrastructure and cement sectors leading the gains [5]. Group 2: Institutional Investment - The "national team" increased its holdings by over 200 billion yuan in the second quarter, focusing on various ETFs, which helped stabilize the market [2][13]. - Central Huijin Asset Management significantly purchased multiple ETFs, including the CSI 300 ETF and the SSE 50 ETF, with total purchases estimated at 210 billion yuan [14]. Group 3: Sector Highlights - The launch of the Yarlung Zangbo River downstream hydropower project, with a total investment of approximately 1.2 trillion yuan, has led to a surge in related stocks [8][9]. - Analysts predict that the ongoing construction of the Yarlung Zangbo River project will benefit suppliers of hydropower equipment and core components for power grid projects [10]. Group 4: Fund Manager Strategies - Star fund manager Zhang Kun adjusted his portfolio in the second quarter, reducing holdings in Tencent and increasing positions in liquor stocks, indicating a shift towards valuation recovery [15][17]. - Overall, active management funds increased their positions, particularly in telecommunications, banking, and defense sectors, while reducing exposure to food and beverage, automotive, and power equipment sectors [18].

Group 1 - Lenovo (Beijing) Co., Ltd. has applied for a patent titled "Data Processing Method, Device, and Electronic Equipment," with publication number CN120335915A, filed on March 2025 [1] - The patent describes a method for data processing that includes obtaining a request to present a UEFI system configuration interface and reading a first configuration file from a read-only storage medium [1] - The first configuration file is written to the read-only storage medium before the UEFI system leaves the factory, and the method involves generating at least one target configuration item based on the first and a second configuration file [1] Group 2 - Lenovo (Beijing) Co., Ltd. was established in 1992 and is located in Beijing, primarily engaged in the manufacturing of computers, communications, and other electronic devices [2] - The company has a registered capital of 565 million HKD and has invested in 107 enterprises, participated in 5,000 bidding projects, and holds 1,751 trademark records and 5,000 patent records [2] - Additionally, Lenovo (Beijing) Co., Ltd. possesses 238 administrative licenses [2]

Investment Strategy - The recovery of H20 supply is expected to drive the AIDC hardware industry chain, alleviating domestic AI computing power shortages. The H20 chip has a peak FP16 computing power of 148 TFLOPS, significantly lower than the nearly 2000 TFLOPS of the H100, but its 96GB HBM3 memory and 4.0TB/s memory bandwidth make it suitable for applications requiring large memory capacity and high bandwidth, outperforming previous A100/A800 series [12][13] - The trend towards domestic chip replacement and technological self-sufficiency is irreversible. The Chinese government aims for a 70% self-sufficiency rate in chips by 2025. Domestic products like Huawei's Ascend 910 series and Haiguang's Deep Computing No. 3 are continuously improving their performance, with the Ascend 910C matching NVIDIA's H200 [13] - High demand for edge-side applications is expanding growth opportunities for H20 and RTX PRO. AI application monthly active users in China grew rapidly, with AI plugin applications increasing by 106% year-on-year. The high bandwidth characteristics of H20 are accelerating the large-scale implementation of AI inference scenarios [14][15] Industry News - The initial lifting of overseas computing chip restrictions allows H20 and MI308 to re-enter the Chinese market, which is expected to significantly accelerate domestic IDC construction progress. NVIDIA plans to resume sales of H20 and introduce a new compliant GPU, RTX PRO, suitable for digital twin AI applications [16] - T-Mobile's NTN service, T-Satellite, will officially launch on July 23, focusing on satellite direct-to-cellular networks to address communication challenges in areas without ground network coverage. This service has attracted over 1.8 million users during testing, indicating strong market demand [17] - OpenAI announced the launch of a general-purpose AI agent within ChatGPT, capable of assisting users with various computer-based tasks. This development is expected to drive further growth in AI applications and increase computing power demand [18][19] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology released the 2025 work priorities for the integration of information technology and industrialization, emphasizing the need for 5G and 6G technology investment and the development of industrial internet platforms [20] - SpaceX plans to launch its third-generation Starlink satellites in the first half of 2026, aiming to provide significantly higher downlink and uplink capacities compared to previous generations, potentially competing with ground cellular networks [21][22] Weekly Review and Focus - The communication sector saw a 7.02% increase this week, outperforming major indices. The IDC, optical modules, and optical communications sectors led the gains, with increases of 11.83%, 9.71%, and 6.10% respectively [23][24]

Group 1 - Jiangte Electric plans to change its control rights, with stock suspension starting from July 22, expected to last no more than 2 trading days. Additionally, its subsidiary Yichun Yinli will suspend operations for equipment maintenance for approximately 26 days, which is not expected to significantly impact annual performance [3] - Core Technology intends to sell 100% equity of its subsidiary Zhongshan Core Automation Technology for 156 million yuan and transfer related assets for a total of approximately 82 million yuan. The company aims to optimize its business structure by consolidating resources [4] - Fengmao Co. plans to invest no more than 1.5 billion yuan to establish an intelligent chassis thermal control system production base in Yuyao, while terminating the project for a parts production base in Jiaxing, which had not yet commenced [5] - Haopeng Technology's controlling shareholder voluntarily extends the lock-up period for pre-IPO restricted shares by 12 months, reflecting confidence in the company's future development [6] - Good Products has been involved in a share transfer dispute, with the court accepting the case involving 996 million yuan. The outcome may introduce uncertainties regarding the control transfer of its major shareholder [7] Group 2 - Haitan Ruisheng expects a net profit increase of 607.01% to 960.52% for the first half of 2025, driven by rapid growth in AI technology and its applications [9] - GeKao Micro anticipates a revenue growth of 22.27% to 36.51% for the first half of 2025, supported by the recognition of its high-pixel chip integration technology [10] - Jinghe Integration forecasts a net profit increase of 39.04% to 108.55% for the first half of 2025, benefiting from improved industry conditions and increased product sales [11] - Best Beauty expects a net profit increase of 100.07% to 168.38% for the first half of 2025, attributed to significant profit growth in trade products [12] - Juzan Optoelectronics reports a net profit growth of 3.43% for the first half of 2025, with a proposed stock dividend of 4.5 shares for every 10 shares held [13] - Changshu Bank reports a net profit of 1.969 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 13.55% [14] - Keda Li anticipates a net profit increase of 15.73% to 26.53% for the first half of 2025, driven by the growth in new energy vehicle sales [15] - *ST Sitong reports a net loss of 16.201 million yuan for the first half of 2025, despite a revenue increase of 75.88% [16] Group 3 - Gaode Infrared has signed contracts totaling 685 million yuan for overseas market orders, representing 25.59% of its projected 2024 revenue [18] - Dajin Heavy Industry has signed a contract worth approximately 430 million yuan for offshore wind farm foundation supplies, accounting for 11.38% of its projected 2024 revenue [20] - Dongfang Precision has established a strategic partnership with Leju Robotics, focusing on embodied intelligent robots [21] - Chuling Information's subsidiary has signed a framework contract with China Mobile for a total amount of 421 million yuan, involving intelligent network integration products [22] - Hongxin Technology has entered into contracts with a leading domestic flying car company for component development and procurement [23] Group 4 - Dongcai Technology's chairman plans to reduce his stake by up to 0.43% due to personal financial needs [25] - Tianchuang Fashion's shareholder Visions plans to reduce its stake by up to 1% through centralized bidding [26]

发布时间：2025-07-21 研究所 证券研究报告：金融工程报告 分析师:肖承志 SAC 登记编号:S1340524090001 Email:xiaochengzhi@cnpsec.com 研究助理:李子凯 SAC 登记编号:S1340124100014 Email:lizikai@cnpsec.com 近期研究报告 《稳定币应用场景及行业研究》 - 2025.07.18 《大金融表现居前助指数突破，GRU 行 业轮动调入非银行金融——行业轮动 周报 20250713》 - 2025.07.14 《ETF 流入金融与 TMT，连板高度与涨停 家数限制下活跃资金处观望态势—— 行 业 轮 动 周 报 20250706 》 – 2025.07.07 《指数创下年内新高但与题材炒作存 在较大割裂，银行 ETF 获大幅净流入— — 行 业 轮 动 周 报 20250629 》 - 2025.06.30 《ETF 资金大幅净流入金融地产，石油 油气扩散指数环比提升靠前——行业 轮动周报 20250629》 – 2025.06.23 《融资资金持续大幅净流入医药，GRU 行业轮动调出银行——行业轮动周报 2025061 ...

2025年，全球经济与技术竞争进入白热化阶段，中国的崛起成为国际社会关注的焦点。麻省理工学院教授David Autor和哈佛肯尼迪学院教授Gordon Hanson 在2025年7月14日《纽约时报》发表文章，提出"中国冲击2.0"的概念，指出中国在高技术领域的突破正对美国构成前所未有的挑战。 这场新冲击不仅关乎经济，更涉及技术主导权与地缘政治格局的重塑。两位教授的分析引发广泛讨论，揭示了中国从低端制造向技术强国的转型轨迹，以及 美国在应对中的战略困境。 进入21世纪，全球化深刻改变了世界经济格局。中国自2001年加入世界贸易组织后，经济规模迅速扩大，成为全球制造业中心。1999年至2007年，中国的低 成本制造能力席卷全球，引发了"中国冲击1.0"，重创美国等发达国家的传统制造业。 2025年，全球经济面临新的转折点：技术革命、地缘政治博弈和气候变化压力交织，人工智能、电动车、5G通信等领域的竞争成为焦点。中美之间的博弈 从贸易扩展到技术与供应链控制。美国通过关税和出口管制试图遏制中国，但效果有限。中国的技术进步和产业升级，使得其在全球价值链中的地位显著提 升，促使美国学界重新审视应对策略。 "中国冲击1. ...

Core Viewpoint - The AI Fund Huatai Fuhua Value Growth Balanced Investment Mixed A (011271) reported a profit of 23.34 million yuan for Q2 2025, with a net asset value growth rate of 2.13% during the period [2]. Fund Performance - As of July 18, the fund's unit net value was 0.59 yuan, with a three-month net value growth rate of 10.94%, ranking 83 out of 182 comparable funds [3]. - The fund's six-month net value growth rate was 13.13%, ranking 65 out of 182, while the one-year growth rate was 16.34%, ranking 102 out of 181 [3]. - Over the past three years, the fund's net value growth rate was -23.23%, ranking 132 out of 172 [3]. Risk Metrics - The fund's Sharpe ratio over the past three years was -0.2035, ranking 134 out of 174 comparable funds [9]. - The maximum drawdown over the past three years was 43.72%, with the largest single-quarter drawdown occurring in Q1 2022 at 30.55% [11]. Fund Composition - As of June 30, the fund maintained an average stock position of 89.95% over the past three years, compared to the industry average of 87.22% [14]. - The fund's top ten holdings as of Q2 2025 included Tencent Holdings, Pop Mart, Xiaomi Group-W, SMIC, Zijin Mining, Alibaba-W, Sanhua Intelligent Control, CATL, Kelun Pharmaceutical-B, and Northern Huachuang [19]. Market Insights - The fund manager noted that sectors performing well in Q2 2025 included military, banking, telecommunications, media, and agriculture, while underperforming sectors included food and beverage, home appliances, steel, building materials, and automotive [2]. - The fund made adjustments to its portfolio by reducing holdings in companies facing weakened demand and increased competition, while increasing investments in high-quality technology and emerging consumer companies [2]. Fund Size - As of the end of Q2 2025, the fund's total size was 1.149 billion yuan [16].

Investment Rating - The report gives a "Recommended" rating for the telecommunications industry, considering the sustained high prosperity of the sector driven by AI, 5.5G, and satellite communications [2][5]. Core Insights - The overall market performance for the week (July 14-20, 2025) saw the Shanghai Composite Index rise by 0.69%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 2.04%, and the ChiNext Index by 3.17%. The telecommunications sector, represented by the Shenwan Communications Index, increased by 7.56% [2][10]. - Within the telecommunications sub-sectors, the highest increase was seen in communication network equipment and devices, which rose by 15.82%. Conversely, the communication engineering and services sector experienced a slight decline of -0.14% [12][13]. - Notable individual stock performances included Xinyi Technology with a rise of 39.01%, followed by Zhongji Xuchuang at 24.33% and Shijia Guangzi at 22.43% [14][15]. Summary by Sections Market Overview - The telecommunications sector is experiencing a high growth phase, with significant contributions from AI and advanced communication technologies [2][3]. - The report highlights the strong performance of the telecommunications index and individual stocks, indicating a positive market sentiment [10][12]. Sub-sector Performance - The communication network equipment and devices sub-sector showed the most significant growth, while communication engineering and services faced minor setbacks [12][13]. - The report emphasizes the importance of the computing power supply chain, particularly in hardware segments benefiting from domestic and international demand [3]. Company Announcements - Key announcements from companies in the telecommunications sector include significant earnings forecasts, with some companies like Xinyi Technology expecting a substantial increase in net profit by 327.68% to 385.47% [21][22]. - Other companies, such as Yiwai Communication, are forecasting a decline in earnings due to global economic slowdowns and trade tensions [21][22]. Future Outlook - The report suggests that the demand for computing power will continue to expand, driven by advancements in AI and related technologies, which will positively impact hardware sales and services [4][3]. - The anticipated recovery of H20 GPU sales in the Chinese market is expected to alleviate supply bottlenecks and accelerate data center construction [3][19].

主力资金净流出的行业有20个，计算机行业主力资金净流出规模居首，全天净流出资金93.19亿元，其 次是电子行业，净流出资金为20.52亿元，净流出资金较多的还有医药生物、银行、通信等行业。 资金面上看，两市主力资金全天净流出69.45亿元，今日有11个行业主力资金净流入，电力设备行业主 力资金净流入规模居首，该行业今日上涨2.06%，全天净流入资金31.93亿元，其次是建筑材料行业，日 涨幅为6.06%，净流入资金为20.38亿元。 计算机行业资金流入榜 沪指7月21日上涨0.72%，申万所属行业中，今日上涨的有27个，涨幅居前的行业为建筑材料、建筑装 饰，涨幅分别为6.06%、3.79%。跌幅居前的行业为银行、综合，跌幅分别为0.77%、0.34%。计算机行 业位居今日跌幅榜第三。 计算机行业今日下跌0.31%，全天主力资金净流出93.19亿元，该行业所属的个股共335只，今日上涨的 有154只，涨停的有1只；下跌的有174只。以资金流向数据进行统计，该行业资金净流入的个股有87 只，其中，净流入资金超5000万元的有5只，净流入资金居首的是淳中科技，今日净流入资金1.34亿 元，紧随其后的是优刻得、科创信 ...