Investment Rating - The report assigns an investment rating of "Positive" for the steel industry, indicating an expectation of overall returns exceeding the benchmark index by more than 10% [4]. Core Insights - The Simandou iron ore project in Guinea, which has the largest and highest-grade undeveloped iron ore reserves globally, officially commenced production on November 11, 2025. Chinese enterprises hold over 50% of the equity resources in the project [2][11]. - The initial combined production capacity of the Simandou project is expected to reach 120 million tons per year, with production ramping up from 2026 and expected to reach full capacity around 2030. This project is strategically significant for China to reduce its reliance on Australian and Brazilian iron ore imports [2][16]. - The Simandou project is anticipated to contribute 5% to global iron ore supply upon reaching full production, equivalent to 10% of China's iron ore imports in 2024 [16]. Summary by Sections Project Overview - The Simandou iron ore project is located in southeastern Guinea and features significant reserves of over 4.4 billion tons with an average iron content exceeding 65% [11][12]. - The project is divided into northern and southern blocks, with major Chinese companies like China Baowu and Chalco leading the northern block's development [12][15]. Market Impact - The project is expected to shift the global iron ore supply-demand balance from a tight equilibrium to a more relaxed state, leading to a gradual decline in iron ore prices. The average all-in sustaining cost (AISC) for Simandou is projected to be in the 75th percentile globally, which will pressure higher-cost marginal mines [3][22][23]. - The anticipated increase in supply from Simandou, along with expansions from other major mines, is expected to create downward pressure on iron ore prices, which have been fluctuating around $100 per dry ton [22][23]. Strategic Significance - The Simandou project exemplifies a successful model for Chinese enterprises to secure strategic resources abroad through collaborative efforts, enhancing China's bargaining power in the global iron ore market [24][25]. - The project is part of a broader strategy to diversify China's iron ore import sources and reduce dependency on the four major mining companies that dominate the market [16][20].

本报告中的信息均来源于被广发明货有限公司认为可缔的已公开资料，但广发明的对这些信息的准确性及完整性不作任何保证。本报告反映研究人员的不同观点、见解及 分析方法，并不代表厂发期货或亮晰局机构的立场。在任何情况下，报告内管仅供参考，报告中的信息或所表达的意见并不拘成所述品种采类的出价或海价，投资者偏比 投资，风险自担。本报告旨在发送给广发明焕特定客户及其他专业人士，版权归广发期货所有，未经广发期货书面授权，任何人不得对本报告进行任何形式的发布、复制 。如引用、刊发，需注明出处为"广发期货"。 | 材产业期现日报 | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可 [2011] 1292号 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 周敏波 | 2025年11月19日 | | | | Z0010559 | | | 钢材价格及价差 | | | | | | | | 品种 | | WWE | 削值 | 张庆 | 其差 | 单位 | | 螺纹钢现货(华东) | | 3230 | 3220 | 10 | 140 | | | 螺纹钢现货(华北) | | 3240 | 3240 ...

报告导读： 供需方面，上周的数据显示螺纹表观需求环比回落 ，螺纹产量下降，库存继续回落。热卷的库存环比回落，但明显高于历年同期。由于钢厂毛利大 幅回落，且消费高峰期过去，钢厂减产幅度可能会超过正常季节性的减产规模 ，从而可能会引发阶段性的负反馈循环 。近期煤焦价格也出现了走弱 迹象，铁矿石价格高位回落，钢材成本支撑减弱。从技术上看，在日 K 线图上，螺纹和热卷短线快速上涨，上方面临 60 日均线和布林带上轨的压 制，布林带开口收窄，期价有可能企稳，但中线下行趋势仍没有改变。 操作建议： 维持观望，不可追涨杀跌，耐心等待回调后做多，中线交易。 表1：螺纹、热卷相关数据 投资咨询系列报告 山金期货黑色板块日报 一、螺纹、热卷 更新时间：2025年11月19日08时20分 | 数据类别 | 指标 | 单位 | 最新 | | 较上日 | | 较上周 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 螺纹钢主力合约收盘价 | 元/吨 | 3090 | -7 | -0.23% | 65 | 2.15% | | 期现货价格 | 热轧卷板主力合约收盘价 | 元/吨 ...

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoint The iron ore market is expected to continue its oscillating trend with weak upward momentum, and attention should be paid to the performance of steel products. The current situation of the iron ore market is weak, and there is no substantial improvement in the fundamentals of the ore market, with high supply and limited improvement in demand [1][2]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalog 3.1 Variety Viewpoint Reference - For the iron ore 2601 contract, the short - term (within one week) and medium - term (two weeks to one month) trends are expected to be oscillating, while the intraday trend is expected to be weakly oscillating. It is recommended to pay attention to the support at the MA60 line. The core logic is that the current situation is weak and the upward driving force is not strong [1]. 3.2 Market Driving Logic - The supply - demand pattern of iron ore has not improved. Although the terminal consumption of ore has increased, the profitability of steel mills is poor, and the industrial contradictions in the steel market remain unresolved, with limited room for improvement. - The arrival of ore at domestic ports has been continuously decreasing, but the shipments from overseas miners have increased significantly and reached a high for the year. According to the shipping schedule, the subsequent arrivals will increase. The supply of foreign ore remains active, and the supply of domestic ore is stable, so the ore supply remains at a high level. - Thanks to the switch of the arbitrage logic and the improvement of ore demand, the ore price has rebounded from a low level. However, due to the high supply, there is no substantial improvement in the fundamentals of the ore market, and the upward driving force is not strong [2].

登录新浪财经APP 搜索【信披】查看更多考评等级 ● 海南矿业股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）股票于2025年11月14日、11月17日连续两个交易日内收盘 价格涨幅偏离值累计超过20%，根据《上海证券交易所交易规则》的有关规定，属于股票交易异常波动 情况。 ● 经公司自查并向控股股东、实际控制人书面发函查证，不存在应披露而未披露的重大事项或重要信 息。 ● 敬请广大投资者注意投资风险，审慎决策，理性投资。 经公司自查，公司目前生产经营活动正常，市场环境、行业政策没有发生重大调整，生产成本和销售等 情况没有出现大幅波动，内部生产经营秩序正常。 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容 的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 一、股票交易异常波动的具体情况 二、公司关注并核实的相关情况 （一）生产经营情况 公司股票于2025年11月14日、11月17日连续两个交易日内收盘价格涨幅偏离值累计超过20%，根据《上 海证券交易所交易规则》的有关规定，属于股票交易异常波动情况。 公司于2025年10月31日披露《2025年第三季度报告》，因铁矿石和原油市 ...

研究所 黑色研发报告 铁矿石日报 2025 年 11 月 18 日 | | 今日 | 昨日 | 涨跌 | | 今日 | 昨日 | 涨跌 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | DCE01 | 792.0 | 788.5 | 3.5 | I01-I05 | 34.5 | 32.0 | 2.5 | | DCE05 | 757.5 | 756.5 | 1.0 | I05-I09 | 23.5 | 24.5 | -1.0 | | DCE09 | 734.0 | 732.0 | 2.0 | I09-I01 | -58.0 | -56.5 | -1.5 | | 现货 | 昨天 | 前天 | 涨跌 | 折标准品 | 01厂库基差 | 05厂库基差 | 09厂库基差 | | PB粉(60.8%) | 787 | 778 | 9 | 857 | 61 | 93 | 117 | | 纽曼粉 | 789 | 779 | 10 | 855 | 59 | 91 | 115 | | 麦克粉 | 785 | 775 | 10 | 856 | 59 | 91 | 116 | ...

钢材产业期现日报 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可 【2011】1292号 2025年11月18日 周敏波 Z0010559 | 钢材价格及价差 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 品种 | 现值 | 前值 | 涨跌 | 某美 | 单位 | | 螺纹钢现货(华东) | 3220 | 3190 | 30 | 123 | | | 螺纹钢现货(华北) | 3240 | 3210 | 30 | 143 | | | 螺纹钢现货(华南) | 3320 | 3270 | 50 | 223 | | | 螺纹钢05合约 | 3147 | 3105 | 42 | 73 | | | 螺纹钢10合约 | 3192 | 3144 | 48 | 28 | | | 螺纹钢01合约 | 3097 | 3053 | 44 | 123 | | | 热卷现货(华东) | 3310 | 3260 | 50 | 8 | 元/吨 | | 热卷现货(华北) | 3210 | 3190 | 20 | -92 | | | 热卷现货(华南) | 3320 | 3270 | 50 | -3 | | | ...

数据宝统计，截至10:45，大中矿业成交额24.05亿元，创2021年5月24日以来新高。最新股价上涨 1.65%，换手率5.77%。上一交易日该股全天成交额为21.26亿元。（数据宝） ...

钢材产业期现日报 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可 【2011】1292号 2025年11月18日 铁矿石观点 可以看到产量、库存继续季节性下降。表需下降。需求转弱。库存方面，港 口库存累库,但交割品库存低。疏港量增加,钢厂权益矿库存上升。展望后 市,虽然本周铁水回升,但继续往上空间不大。以目前钢厂的利润率以及累 库水平不足以引发负反馈。预计铁矿石高位震荡走势,单边观望。 数据来源：Wind、Mysteel、富宝资讯、广发期货研究所。请仔细阅读报告尾端免责声明。 周敏波 Z0010559 | 钢材价格及价差 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 品种 | 现值 | 前值 | 涨跌 | 某美 | 单位 | | 螺纹钢现货(华东) | 3220 | 3190 | 30 | 123 | | | 螺纹钢现货(华北) | 3240 | 3210 | 30 | 143 | | | 螺纹钢现货(华南) | 3320 | 3270 | 50 | 223 | | | 螺纹钢05合约 | 3147 | 3105 | 42 | 73 | | | 螺纹钢10合约 | 319 ...

铁水转增，成本支撑带动钢价低位回升 ——周报20251117 研究所 ：林娜 联 系 方 式 ：0371-58620083 电 子 邮 箱 ：linna_qh@ccnew.com 执 业 证 书 编 号 ：F03099603 投 资 咨 询 编 号 ：Z0020978 | 本期观点——螺纹钢、热卷 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 品种 | 主要逻辑 | 策略建议 | 风险点 | | | 供应：螺纹钢高炉周产量200万吨（环比-4.10%，同比-14.51%），全国热卷周产 | | | | | 量313.66万吨（环比-1.41%，同比+1.67%）。螺纹钢和热卷均呈现减产。 | | | | | 消费：螺纹钢表观消费216.37万吨（环比-0.98%，同比-7.61%），热卷表观消费 | | | | | 313.59万吨（环比-0.23%，同比-1.23%）。螺纹钢和热卷表需均呈现小幅下降。 | | | | | 库存：螺纹总库存576.17万吨（环比-2.76%，同比+29.33%），热卷总库存 | 震荡偏强 | | | | 410.52万吨（环比+0.02%，同比+27 ...