Core Viewpoint - The A-share market experienced a low opening but rebounded, with all major indices turning positive by midday, indicating a recovery trend in the market [1]. Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3883.46 points, up by 0.21% - The Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12967.66 points, up by 0.72% - The ChiNext Index closed at 3052.87 points, up by 0.71% [1]. Sector Performance Top Performing Sectors - Energy Metals: Increased by 2.18%, with a total trading volume of 256.80 million hands and a net inflow of 19.76 billion - Beverage Manufacturing: Increased by 1.80%, with a total trading volume of 380.66 million hands and a net inflow of 3.02 billion - Optical Electronics: Increased by 1.69%, with a total trading volume of 1517.53 million hands and a net inflow of 5.26 billion [2]. Underperforming Sectors - Traditional Chinese Medicine: Decreased by 1.08%, with a total trading volume of 696.43 million hands and a net outflow of 13.21 billion - Paper Manufacturing: Decreased by 0.72%, with a total trading volume of 554.09 million hands and a net outflow of 2.40 billion - Internet E-commerce: Decreased by 0.61%, with a total trading volume of 169.20 million hands and a net outflow of 3.06 billion [2].

Core Viewpoint - The non-ferrous metal sector is leading the market, with the Non-Ferrous Metal Leader ETF (159876) showing strong performance and attracting significant capital inflow, indicating positive market sentiment towards the sector [1][3]. Group 1: ETF Performance - The Non-Ferrous Metal Leader ETF (159876) saw an increase of over 1.95%, currently up 1.72%, and has recovered above the 10-day moving average [1]. - Over the past 10 days, the ETF has attracted 233 million yuan in capital, reflecting strong investor interest [1]. - As of November 27, the ETF's latest scale is 672 million yuan, making it the largest among three ETFs tracking the same index [1]. Group 2: Component Stocks - Major stocks contributing to the ETF's performance include Shengxin Lithium Energy and Guocheng Mining, both rising over 7%, with Yahua Group close to 6% [3]. - Other notable stocks include Zijin Mining and Luoyang Molybdenum, both increasing by over 1% [3]. Group 3: Market Drivers - Recent comments from Federal Reserve officials and delayed economic data have bolstered expectations for interest rate cuts, with the likelihood of a 25 basis point cut in December rising from about 40% to over 80% [3]. - The price of gold on COMEX has surpassed 4200 USD/oz, driven by expectations of Fed rate cuts and increased demand for gold as a safe-haven asset [4]. Group 4: Industry Outlook - The current non-ferrous metal bull market is characterized as a "new quality productivity bull market," driven by demand from emerging sectors such as new energy, AI, and aerospace, alongside supply-side disruptions [5]. - Policy support includes a joint plan from eight departments to stabilize growth in the non-ferrous metal industry, emphasizing resource security and digital upgrades [5]. - Analysts predict a new cycle of supply-demand balance in the non-ferrous metal sector, with potential for further market advancements by 2026 [5]. Group 5: Investment Strategy - The Non-Ferrous Metal Leader ETF (159876) provides comprehensive coverage across various metals, making it a suitable option for investors looking to diversify their exposure to the sector [6].

Core Viewpoints - The report from China Galaxy highlights a positive outlook for cobalt prices due to the implementation of annual export quota management in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC), which dominates global cobalt supply [1][2] - The report anticipates a recovery in the non-ferrous metals industry starting in 2025, driven by macroeconomic improvements and supply chain disruptions, leading to a new upward cycle in metal prices and industry performance [1][2] - The gold market is expected to continue its bullish trend, supported by potential Federal Reserve rate cuts and increased global demand for gold as a safe-haven asset [1][2] Non-Ferrous Metals Industry - The industry is projected to stabilize in 2024, with a recovery in macroeconomic expectations following the Geneva Agreement between the US and China, leading to improved performance in 2025 [1][2] - The combination of US tariffs, China's countermeasures, and resource control policies from other countries will continue to disrupt supply chains, contributing to rising prices and profitability in the non-ferrous metals sector [1][2] Precious Metals - The report suggests that the gold bull market is likely to persist, driven by continued liquidity easing from the Federal Reserve and increasing purchases of gold by global central banks and private investors [1][2] - The acceleration of US debt growth and potential challenges to the Federal Reserve's independence may exacerbate credit issues, prompting a shift towards gold in asset allocation [1][2] Industrial Metals - The narrative surrounding copper supply remains positive, with ongoing production disruptions and limited new projects expected to maintain upward pressure on copper prices [2][3] - Demand for copper is expected to benefit from macroeconomic improvements and structural demand from sectors like renewable energy and data centers [2][3] Energy Metals - The DRC's new export quota management is anticipated to create upward price elasticity for cobalt, as global supply shortages become more apparent [2][3] - The demand for cobalt is expected to grow due to the high-end electric vehicle market and increased military and strategic reserve needs [2][3] Rare Metals - The strategic value of rare earth metals is increasing, with stable long-term demand and new applications emerging in robotics and low-altitude economies [3] - Domestic supply controls are expected to enhance the global monopoly position of China's rare earth industry, leading to improved profitability for rare earth enterprises [3] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends investing in companies such as Zhongjin Gold, Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, Huayou Cobalt, and Northern Rare Earth, based on the anticipated upward trends in gold, copper, cobalt, and rare earth prices [3]

Core Viewpoint - The non-ferrous metals industry is expected to stabilize after hitting bottom in 2024, with a new upward cycle anticipated in 2025 due to macroeconomic improvements, supply chain disruptions, and liquidity easing from the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts [1] Group 1: Precious Metals - The bull market for gold is likely to continue, driven by the Federal Reserve's ongoing interest rate cuts and potential balance sheet expansion, which will increase global gold ETF purchases and push up gold prices [1] - The acceleration of U.S. debt growth and potential challenges to the Federal Reserve's independence may exacerbate U.S. credit issues, prompting global central banks and private investors to increase gold holdings [1] Group 2: Industrial Metals - The narrative around copper supply constraints continues, with limited new copper mining projects and concentrated smelting capacity, leading to persistent supply tightness [2] - Demand for copper is expected to improve due to reduced pressure from traditional sectors and structural demand growth from the energy transition and data centers, resulting in a favorable supply-demand balance [2] Group 3: Energy Metals - The Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC), a key supplier of cobalt, is implementing annual export quotas, which will create a supply gap as new projects in Indonesia cannot fully compensate [3] - The demand for cobalt is anticipated to rise due to the high-end electric vehicle market and recovery in consumer electronics, with a widening supply-demand gap expected by 2025-2026 [3] Group 4: Rare Metals - The strategic value of rare earths is increasing, with stable long-term demand from traditional sectors and emerging needs from robotics and low-altitude economies [4] - Domestic supply controls are tightening, enhancing industry concentration and strengthening the global monopoly position of China's rare earth industry, leading to a steady increase in rare earth prices [4] Investment Recommendations - Gold prices are expected to rise due to increased purchases by global central banks and investors, with a recommendation for China National Gold Group (600489) [4] - Copper prices are projected to continue rising due to supply constraints and new demand from AI data centers, recommending Zijin Mining (601899) and Luoyang Molybdenum (603993) [4] - Cobalt prices are set to increase due to supply restrictions from the DRC, recommending Huayou Cobalt (603799) [4] - Rare earth prices are expected to stabilize and improve profitability for companies in the sector, recommending Northern Rare Earth (600111) [4]

Core Insights - Rongjie Co., Ltd. has seen a stock price increase of 73.44% year-to-date, but has recently experienced a decline of 12.99% over the past five trading days [2] - The company specializes in the lithium battery materials industry, with a primary focus on lithium mining, lithium salt processing, and lithium battery equipment manufacturing [2] - As of October 31, the number of shareholders increased to 52,000, with an average of 4,983 circulating shares per person [3] Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Rongjie Co., Ltd. reported revenue of 510 million yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 26.21%, while net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 21.22% to 144 million yuan [3] - The company has distributed a total of 495 million yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 375 million yuan distributed over the past three years [4] Market Activity - As of November 26, the stock price was 55.04 yuan per share, with a trading volume of 1.164 billion yuan and a turnover rate of 8.31% [1] - The stock has appeared on the "Dragon and Tiger List" twice this year, with the most recent net purchase of 224 million yuan on November 19 [2] Shareholder Composition - As of September 30, 2025, the second-largest circulating shareholder is Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, holding 5.2546 million shares, an increase of 1.6942 million shares from the previous period [4] - Several ETFs are among the top ten circulating shareholders, with notable changes in their holdings [4]

Market Overview - The A-share market experienced a rebound in early trading, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3875.48 points, up 0.14% [1] - The Shenzhen Component Index rose by 1.61% to 12982.74 points, while the ChiNext Index increased by 2.76% to 3063.09 points [1] Sector Performance Top Performing Sectors - The pharmaceutical retail sector led the gains with an increase of 3.18%, totaling a transaction volume of 581.68 million hands and a transaction value of 63.63 billion [2] - The energy metals sector followed with a rise of 2.57%, achieving a transaction volume of 298.55 million hands and a transaction value of 135.48 billion, with a net inflow of 8.84 billion [2] - The chemical pharmaceuticals sector saw a 1.98% increase, with a transaction volume of 2128.49 million hands and a transaction value of 321.82 billion, along with a net inflow of 12.43 billion [2] Underperforming Sectors - The military equipment sector experienced the largest decline at -2.64%, with a transaction volume of 1423.12 million hands and a transaction value of 338.82 billion, showing a net outflow of 62.72 billion [2] - The automotive electronics sector decreased by 1.23%, with a transaction volume of 1301.01 million hands and a transaction value of 194.69 billion, resulting in a net outflow of 45.87 billion [2] - The gaming sector fell by 0.90%, with a transaction volume of 911.37 million hands and a transaction value of 146.91 billion, also showing a net outflow of 6.23 billion [2]

Core Viewpoint - Shengtu Mining's stock price has seen significant fluctuations, with a year-to-date increase of 144.81%, but a recent decline of 5.22% over the past five trading days [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - As of November 26, Shengtu Mining's stock price was 11.80 CNY per share, with a market capitalization of 36.469 billion CNY [1] - The stock experienced a net outflow of 3.2404 million CNY in principal funds, with large orders buying 83.6251 million CNY and selling 97.2158 million CNY [1] - The company has appeared on the trading leaderboard three times this year, with the most recent occurrence on October 9 [1] Group 2: Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Shengtu Mining achieved a revenue of 21.717 billion CNY, representing a year-on-year growth of 22.99%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.702 billion CNY, showing a slight increase of 0.06% [2] - The company's main business revenue composition includes 66.55% from energy metals, 27.88% from basic metals, and 5.56% from metal trading and other services [1] Group 3: Shareholder Information - As of September 30, the number of shareholders for Shengtu Mining was 140,900, an increase of 8.17% from the previous period, with an average of 21,929 circulating shares per shareholder, a decrease of 7.55% [2] - The company has distributed a total of 933 million CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with 388 million CNY distributed in the last three years [3]

A股开盘，三大指数小幅低开，沪指低开0.07%报3867.43点，深证成指低开0.06%，创业板指低开 0.14%。盘面上，能源金属、工程机械板块高开，CPO概念股普遍回调。 ...

Investment Strategy Overview - The report maintains a standard rating for the non-ferrous metals industry, highlighting the positive outlook for copper and aluminum, while emphasizing the potential for rare metals and lithium to rise due to supply-demand dynamics and technological advancements [1][3]. Copper Industry - The copper supply-demand landscape is influenced by ongoing global supply disruptions and a favorable macroeconomic environment, with expectations for price increases supported by a global interest rate cut cycle [3][21]. - Domestic copper production is projected to slow down due to tightening copper concentrate supplies and low smelting fees, while demand from the renewable energy sector and AI electronics is expected to continue rising [3][50]. - In the first three quarters of 2025, China's refined copper production reached 889.5 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 13.14%, driven by significant contributions from recycled copper and improved smelting technology [3][28]. Aluminum Industry - The aluminum market is characterized by rigid supply constraints and differentiated demand, with prices expected to rise due to strong demand from the renewable energy sector and gradual recovery in the real estate market [3][55]. - Domestic aluminum production is supported by stable bauxite supply and increasing imports, with a notable rise in imported bauxite by 33.6% year-on-year [3][59]. - The report indicates that the aluminum price is likely to maintain an upward trajectory due to the ongoing economic recovery and the anticipated demand from various sectors [3][55]. Strategic Metals - The rare earth supply is expected to stabilize, but demand needs to be boosted, particularly from sectors like electric vehicles and renewable energy [3][4]. - Tungsten supply is projected to remain tight due to resource depletion and environmental regulations, while demand is stable, driven by applications in hard alloys and emerging technologies [3][4]. - Lithium production is set to benefit from the rapid expansion of energy storage and solid-state battery technologies, with a significant increase in demand anticipated [3][4]. Precious Metals - Gold is expected to maintain its upward momentum due to declining dollar credit and ongoing central bank purchases, despite short-term volatility [3][5]. - The report highlights that gold's monetary attributes are likely to be reinforced amid geopolitical tensions and a global trend towards de-dollarization [3][19]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies such as Tianshan Aluminum (002532), Luoyang Molybdenum (603993), and Western Mining (601168) for industrial metals, while recommending Xiamen Tungsten (600549) and Xingye Silver Tin (000426) for small metals and new materials [6]. - For energy metals, Ganfeng Lithium (002460) and Tianqi Lithium (002466) are highlighted as key players to watch [6]. - In the precious metals sector, Zijin Mining (601899) and Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining (600988) are recommended due to their potential for price appreciation [6].

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The report highlights a significant rebound in antimony prices, suggesting potential investment opportunities in antimony-related sectors [47][49] - The Federal Reserve's October meeting minutes indicate a considerable division among policymakers regarding a potential interest rate cut in December, which could impact market conditions [16][19] - U.S. non-farm payrolls exceeded expectations, with a notable increase of 119,000 jobs in September, leading to a rise in the unemployment rate to 4.4%, which may temper rate cut expectations [18] - The extension of the artisanal mining trade ban in the Democratic Republic of Congo adds pressure to global supplies of tin, tantalum, and tungsten, critical materials for various industries [20][21] Summary by Sections Market Review - The non-ferrous metals sector experienced a decline of 6.75%, underperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 2.85 percentage points [10][11] - Key stocks showed varied performance, with Shengxin Lithium Energy leading with a gain of 12.16%, while Minfa Aluminum faced a significant drop of 25.40% [10][12] Metal Prices and Inventory Changes - Copper prices on the LME were reported at $10,778 per ton, down 0.63% week-on-week, with COMEX inventories rising by 5.66% [22][24] - Aluminum prices decreased to $2,808 per ton on the LME, with SHFE inventories increasing by 7.67% [22][24] - Zinc prices fell to $2,992 per ton, while LME inventories surged by 18.39% [23][24] Strategic Metals - Antimony prices have shown a significant increase, with the average price reaching 165,900 yuan per ton, reflecting a 16.59% rise week-on-week [47][49] - The report emphasizes the potential for investment in strategic metals, particularly in light of China's easing of export restrictions on certain rare earth materials [61]