Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the metals industry, indicating an upward cycle despite liquidity disturbances [2][3]. Core Views - The Federal Reserve's indecisiveness regarding interest rate cuts and changing market sentiment towards AI narratives have led to fluctuations in base metal prices. However, the fundamentals for energy metals remain strong, with prices trending upwards [2][3]. Summary by Sections 1. Precious Metals - Market sentiment is affected by volatility in risk assets and central banks reducing gold reserves. The Federal Reserve's mixed economic assessments and fluctuating expectations for a December rate cut dominate the market [5][7]. - Gold prices as of November 21: SHFE gold decreased by 3.36% to 926.94 CNY/g, while COMEX gold fell by 0.77% to 4062.80 USD/oz [7][25]. - China's gold reserves increased by 30,000 ounces to 7,409 million ounces as of the end of October, marking 12 consecutive months of growth [7]. 2. Copper - Copper prices are under pressure due to fluctuating expectations for interest rate cuts. As of November 21, SHFE copper decreased by 1.43% to 85,660 CNY/ton, and LME copper fell by 0.69% to 10,777.5 USD/ton [10][22]. - The supply side is impacted by an accident in the Democratic Republic of Congo, while demand remains strong, particularly from AI data centers and power grids [10][22]. 3. Aluminum - Aluminum prices are experiencing high volatility due to macroeconomic expectations. As of November 21, SHFE aluminum decreased by 2.29% to 21,340 CNY/ton, and LME aluminum fell by 2.54% to 2,786 USD/ton [9][22]. - Domestic electrolytic aluminum supply remains stable, while overseas supply concerns persist. The processing operating rate is steady at 62% [9][22]. 4. Energy Metals - The lithium sector shows strong demand, with lithium prices trending upwards. As of last week, lithium carbonate production was 22,100 tons, up by 585 tons, while inventory decreased by 2,052 tons [11]. - Cobalt prices remain high due to tight upstream raw material supply, while demand from the downstream sector is cautious [11]. 5. Rare Earths - Prices for praseodymium and neodymium have slightly increased before retreating, with no significant changes in the fundamentals. As of November 21, prices were 549,000 CNY/ton for praseodymium and neodymium, and 1,485,000 CNY/ton for dysprosium [12].

Core Viewpoint - The global capital markets experienced a significant sell-off of risk assets, with the A-share market also declining sharply, indicating a shift in investor sentiment towards defensive sectors [1] Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 3.90%, the Shenzhen Component dropped by 5.13%, and the ChiNext Index decreased by 6.15%, all reaching new lows [1] - Over 5,000 stocks declined, with nearly 100 hitting the daily limit down, reflecting extreme market pessimism [1] - Defensive sectors such as shipbuilding, cultural media, and agriculture showed resilience, while previously popular sectors like energy metals, batteries, and photovoltaic equipment faced significant losses [1] Global Market Context - The Hang Seng Index fell by 5.09%, the S&P 500 dropped by 1.95%, and the Nasdaq decreased by 2.74%, influenced by cooling expectations for interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve and instability in the U.S. AI narrative [1] - Federal Reserve officials began to signal dovish stances, with New York Fed President Williams stating there is still room for rate cuts, potentially alleviating liquidity concerns [1] Technical Analysis - The Shanghai Composite Index has broken below the lower Bollinger Band, indicating significant short-term overselling [2] - Following the panic selling, some institutional funds are starting to position themselves against the trend, increasing the likelihood of a technical and emotional market recovery [2] Key Factors to Watch - Upcoming U.S. economic data, including September retail sales and PPI, could influence market sentiment, especially if they underperform, potentially reinforcing expectations for a December rate cut [3] - International events such as the progress of the Russia-Ukraine peace plan and the UK's autumn budget may also impact market emotions [4] Sector Opportunities - Performance certainty will remain a core theme, with technology sectors like AI applications, robotics, and storage chips showing potential for recovery due to their recent declines and technological advancements [4] - Low-valuation, high-dividend sectors like banks and utilities are suitable for risk-averse investors [4] Investment Strategy - Prioritize high-quality stocks with solid performance and significant pullbacks while avoiding speculative stocks [5] - Continuous monitoring of Federal Reserve policy and global economic data is crucial, as these will be key variables determining market direction [6] Market Signals - A successful market rebound, even if limited, would indicate the market's self-repair mechanism is functioning, suggesting underlying resilience [6] - Conversely, a failure to rebound would signal that market confidence is still fragile and that a trend reversal is not yet imminent [6][7] Observational Approach - Investors should remain vigilant, recognizing that the market may still be searching for a true bottom, requiring patience and careful observation [7] - Quality rebounds should be accompanied by increasing trading volume and orderly rotation of market hotspots, while weak performance may indicate deeper adjustment pressures [8]

Market Overview - The global market experienced a significant downturn, referred to as "Black Friday," with major indices like the NASDAQ dropping by 5% at one point and closing down 2.15% [13][16] - A-shares also faced severe declines, with the ChiNext Index falling by 4.02%, the Shenzhen Component Index down 3.41%, and the Shanghai Composite Index down 2.45%, marking a new low in market sentiment [6][16] Sector Performance - The semiconductor sector saw a decline of over 4%, while the battery sector dropped more than 7%, and energy metals fell by over 9% [9][10] - Notably, over 5,000 stocks experienced declines, indicating widespread market distress [6] Global Economic Factors - The recent drop in markets is attributed to uncertainties surrounding the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions and ongoing debates about the "AI bubble," compounded by significant disturbances in the Japanese bond market [30][31] - Japan's new stimulus measures raised concerns about increasing government debt, leading to a spike in long-term bond yields, which could affect global capital flows [30] Recovery Signals - Following the downturn, U.S. markets showed signs of recovery with a strong rebound, as the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December surged from 39% to nearly 70% [28] - Key comments from Federal Reserve officials indicated a potential for rate cuts, which helped restore some market confidence [28] Investment Strategies - Investors are advised to be cautious and avoid common pitfalls such as excessive leverage, chasing high prices, concentrated holdings, and failing to set stop-loss orders [33][34] - The importance of diversification in investment portfolios is emphasized to mitigate risks associated with individual stock volatility [35]

Core Insights - The energy metals sector experienced a significant decline of 8.9% on November 21, with Hanrui Cobalt leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3834.89, down 2.45%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12538.07, down 3.41% [1] Sector Performance - Major stocks in the energy metals sector saw substantial losses, with several companies reporting a decline of 10% or more, including: - Sai Rui Aluminum: -10.98% [1] - Ganfeng Lithium: -10.00% [1] - Tibet Mining: -10.00% [1] - Yongshan Lithium: -10.00% [1] - Shengxin Lithium Energy: -10.00% [1] - Rongjie Co., Ltd.: -10.00% [1] - Tianqi Lithium: -10.00% [1] - Yongxing Materials: -9.99% [1] - Shengtun Mining: -9.14% [1] - Huayou Cobalt: -8.94% [1] Capital Flow - The energy metals sector saw a net outflow of 3.769 billion yuan from major funds, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 2.551 billion yuan [1] - Specific stock capital flows indicated: - Ganfeng Lithium: Major net outflow of 10.90 billion yuan [2] - Huayou Cobalt: Major net outflow of 9.51 billion yuan [2] - Tianqi Lithium: Major net outflow of 7.81 billion yuan [2] - Shengtun Mining: Major net outflow of 2.79 billion yuan [2] - Tibet Mining: Major net outflow of 1.71 billion yuan [2]

Market Overview - The A-share market experienced weak fluctuations with the three major indices closing lower, where the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 2.45%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 3.41%, and the ChiNext Index by 4.02% [1][2] - The total market turnover reached 198.36 billion yuan, an increase of 26.1 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] Sector Performance - The China Shipbuilding sector saw a notable increase of over 3%, while sectors such as energy metals, batteries, and silicon energy underwent adjustments [2] - New stock Dapeng Industrial surged over 1200%, and leading stocks in the coated sand industry, such as Changjiang Materials, hit the daily limit [2][4] - The energy metals sector faced significant declines, with leading stocks like Ganfeng Lithium, Shengxin Lithium Energy, and Tianqi Lithium hitting the daily limit down [2] AI and Technology Sector Insights - Concerns regarding the ability of AI investments to achieve substantial capital returns through a commercial loop are central to market anxieties about the technology sector [3] - The technology sector is currently experiencing a divergence of opinions, with some analysts viewing AI valuations as high and capital expenditure pressures significant, while others remain optimistic about long-term applications [2][3] Specific Company Developments - Changjiang Materials, a leader in the coated sand industry, reported a total market value of 3.816 billion yuan and plans to expand its 3D printing sand products [6][4] - Pingao Co., Ltd. announced a planned investment of 400 million yuan in Jiangyuan Technology, acquiring a 14.2151% stake, which is expected to increase to 15.4182% post-investment [8] Price Trends in Energy Metals - The energy metals sector saw a significant drop of 9.11%, with lithium carbonate and lithium hydroxide prices expected to decline by 25.17% and 21.47% respectively in the first three quarters of 2025 compared to 2024 [9] - Analysts predict a potential rebound in energy metal prices in the third quarter of 2025, supported by macroeconomic easing expectations [9][10]

Market Overview - A-shares experienced a significant decline on November 21, with the Shanghai Composite Index falling below 3900 points and the ChiNext Index dropping below 3000 points, closing down 2.45% at 3834.89 points [6][2] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was approximately 19656.61 billion yuan, an increase of about 2574.72 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [6][2] - Out of the total stocks, 354 rose while 5072 fell, with 33 hitting the daily limit up and 99 hitting the limit down [6][2] Sector Performance - The shipbuilding sector showed activity, with Jiuzhiyang hitting the daily limit up and China Shipbuilding Defense rising over 6% [6][2] - The battery sector faced a broad decline, with Tianhua New Energy, Xingyuan Material, and Honggong Technology all dropping over 10%, and Dexin Technology hitting the limit down [6][2] - Energy metals experienced significant adjustments, with companies like Ganfeng Lithium and Tianqi Lithium hitting the limit down [6][2] - The silicon energy sector also saw declines, with companies such as Dawi Co. and Chenguang New Materials hitting the limit down [6][2] Investment Insights - CITIC Securities highlighted that the current adjustment in the computing power sector presents an opportunity for investment, as the demand driven by AI remains strong [7][3] - The report from CITIC Securities on November 21 suggested that A-shares are expected to transition to a "low volatility slow bull" market, with "global exposure" becoming a key variable for assessment [9][3] - High foreign exposure companies contributed 39% of profits and 35% of market value in the non-financial sector, indicating their potential to drive overall market performance [9][3] - The outlook for 2026 predicts a 4.7% growth in overall A-share profits, with an increase in high prosperity and performance improvement sectors [11][3]

Market Performance - The three major A-share indices opened lower and experienced a downward trend throughout the day, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing down 2.45% at 3834.89 points, falling below the 3900-point mark [1] - The Shenzhen Component Index and the ChiNext Index fell by 3.41% and 4.02%, closing at 12538.07 points and 2920.08 points respectively [1] Sector Performance - The energy metals sector saw significant declines, with stocks such as Tibet Mining and Shengxin Lithium Energy hitting the daily limit down [1] - The storage chip sector also weakened, with companies like Demingli and Dawi Shares experiencing daily limit down [1] - Only three sectors, namely shipbuilding, Kimi concept, and Sora concept, showed positive performance on that day [1] Individual Stock Performance - A total of 354 A-shares rose, with 33 stocks hitting the daily limit up, while 5072 stocks declined, including 99 stocks hitting the daily limit down [1] - Notably, the newly listed stock Dapeng Industrial on the Beijing Stock Exchange surged on its first trading day, with an intraday increase of over 1600%, ultimately closing up 1211.11%, marking the largest first-day gain for a new stock this year [1] Trading Volume - The trading volume for the Shanghai Stock Exchange was approximately 824.93 billion yuan, while the Shenzhen Stock Exchange recorded about 1.14 trillion yuan, leading to a combined trading volume of around 1.97 trillion yuan [1]

国家能源局：10月份全社会用电量8572亿千瓦时同比增长10.4% 国家能源局消息，10月份，全社会用电量8572亿千瓦时，同比增长10.4%。分产业看，第一产业用电量 120亿千瓦时，同比增长13.2%；第二产业用电量5688亿千瓦时，同比增长6.2%，其中，工业用电量同 比增长6.4%；第三产业用电量1609亿千瓦时，同比增长17.1%，其中，充换电服务业以及信息传输、软 件和信息技术服务业用电量增长较快；城乡居民生活用电量1155亿千瓦时，同比增长23.9%。 截至收盘，沪指报3834.89点，跌幅2.45%，成交额约8249亿元；深成指报12538.07点，跌幅3.41%，成 交额约11407亿元；创业板指报2920.08点，跌幅4.02%，成交额约5374亿元；科创综指报1503.36点，跌 幅3.75%，成交额约1726亿元；北证50指数报1377.39点，跌幅4.71%，成交额约182亿元。 机构观点 巨丰投顾：周五市场震荡调整，中船系板块涨幅居前。从目前趋势看，市场整体趋势依然向上，但短期 阶段性调整已然展开。三季报行情结束，但红利板块与科技股反复拉锯的局面没有结束，投资者仍需重 点关注前期热 ...

Market Overview - On November 21, A-shares experienced a collective decline, with the Shanghai Composite Index falling by 2.45% to close at 3834.89 points, breaching the 3900-point mark [1] - The Shenzhen Component and ChiNext Index dropped by 3.41% and 4.02%, closing at 12538.07 points and 2920.08 points respectively [1] Sector Performance - The energy metals sector led the declines, with stocks such as Tibet Mining and Shengxin Lithium Energy hitting the daily limit down [1] - The storage chip sector also weakened, with companies like Demingli and Dawi Shares experiencing significant losses [1] - Only three sectors, namely shipbuilding, Kimi concept, and Sora concept, showed positive performance on that day [1] Individual Stock Movements - A total of 354 A-shares rose, with 33 stocks hitting the daily limit up, while 5072 stocks fell, including 99 stocks hitting the daily limit down [1] - Notably, the newly listed stock Dapeng Industrial on the Beijing Stock Exchange surged on its first trading day, peaking with an increase of over 1600% and ultimately closing up 1211.11%, marking the largest first-day gain for a new stock this year [1] Trading Volume - The trading volume for the Shanghai Stock Exchange reached approximately 8249.31 billion yuan, while the Shenzhen Stock Exchange recorded about 11407.3 billion yuan, leading to a combined trading volume of around 1.97 trillion yuan [1]

A股三大指数集体收跌，截至收盘，上证指数跌2.45%，深证成指跌3.41%，创业板指跌4.02%，北证50 跌4.71%。沪深京三市全天成交额19836亿元，较上日放量2610亿元。全市场超5000只个股下跌。板块 题材上，中船系、Sora概念活跃，电池、能源金属、硅能源板块调整。盘面上，中船系板块活跃，久之 洋涨超15%。Sora概念部分活跃，易点天下、视觉中国涨停封板。电池板块全线走弱，天华新能、星源 材质、宏工科技等数十只跌超10%，德新科技等数只个股跌停。能源金属大幅调整，赣锋锂业、天齐锂 业等数只个股跌停。硅能源板块调整，大为股份、晨光新材跌停。 ...