| | 黑色产业数据每日监测（7.07） | | --- | --- | | 品种 | 主力合约收盘价 涨跌 涨跌幅 现货价格 基差 | | 螺纹 | 3061 -21 -0.68% 3180 119 | | 热卷 | 3191 -20 -0.62% 3260 69 | | 铁矿 | 731 -5 -0.68% 730 -1 | | 焦煤 | 835 -15 -1.76% 880 45 | | 焦炭 | 1422.5 -13.5 -0.94% 1182 -240.5 | | | 市场概况 | | | 今日黑色系商品期货整体下跌。螺纹收于3061元/吨，跌幅0.68%；热卷主力合 | | | 约收于3191元/吨，下跌0.62%；铁矿今日主力合约收于731元/吨；双焦今天继 | | | 续下跌。 | | | 市场分析 | | | 247家钢厂日均铁水产量仍处于绝对高位水平，上周回落至4月末以来最低位 | | | 240.85万吨。另外七八月传统高温多雨天气影响，下游实际需求增量或有限， | | | 部分钢厂有减产意向，钢厂仍将以销定产为主，采购情绪整体偏谨慎。 | | | 焦炭价格累计下跌四轮后，原料煤并未跟跌 ...

投资咨询系列报告 报告导读： 周二中央财经委召开会议，要求加大落后产能淘汰力度，依法依规治理企业低价无序竞争。市场把本次会议理解为要推出新一轮供给侧改革 。但本 次会议的主要目标并不是在产业链上游推进供给侧改革 ，而是要在下游的制造环节反内卷。因此，价格的上涨或并不具备持续性。 5 月各线房价环 比均回落，1-6 月 top100 房企总销售额同比下降 11.8%，降幅比 上月有所扩大，显示目前的房地产市场仍处于筑底的过程中 。5 月的经济数据整体 略不及预期，6 月的 PMI 数据环比有所改善。供需方面，我的钢铁公布的数据显示，本周螺纹产量有所上升，厂库下降，社库增加，总库存迹象下 降，表观需求环比略有回升，数据显示目前处于供需双弱的状态 。从需求的季节性规律看，随着高温天气的到来，需求将进一步走弱，且库存预计 将会小幅回升。整体来看，目前市场交易的是弱现实和强预期 。从技术上看，期价维持震荡偏强的走势，目前已经突破了上方布林带上轨的阻力 。 操作建议： 维持观望，回调之后可短线做多，追涨须谨慎。 表1：螺纹、热卷相关数据 | 数据类别 | 指标 | 单位 | 最新 | | 较上日 | | 较上周 | | ...

Core Insights - The manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for June 2025 is at 49.7%, indicating a slight improvement but still within a downward trend [1] - The non-manufacturing business activity index stands at 50.5%, showing continued expansion [1] - The central bank's monetary policy committee suggests increasing regulatory intensity to maintain ample liquidity and support key sectors [1] Manufacturing Sector - The production and new orders indices are at 51.0% and 50.2%, respectively, reflecting a rise of 0.3 and 0.4 percentage points [1] - The purchasing volume index increased to 50.2%, up by 2.6 percentage points [1] - Price indices for major raw materials show a rebound, with purchasing and factory gate price indices at 48.4% and 46.2%, rising by 1.5 percentage points [1] Non-Manufacturing Sector - The construction business activity index is at 52.8%, up by 1.8 percentage points, indicating high activity in civil engineering [1] - The service sector business activity index is stable at 50.1%, with some industries experiencing high activity while others see a decline [1] - The business activity expectation index is in a high range, suggesting optimism among enterprises [1] Monetary Policy - The central bank announced a 300 billion MLF operation on June 25, with a net injection of 118 billion, marking four consecutive months of excess renewal [1] - The monetary policy is expected to expand domestic demand and stabilize growth in the second half of the year, with MLF likely to continue increasing [1] - The focus is on supporting private and small enterprises, revitalizing existing resources, and stabilizing the real estate market [1]

Report Summary 1. Investment Rating The provided content does not mention the industry investment rating. 2. Core Viewpoints - In 2025, the core contradiction throughout the upstream, midstream, and downstream industries is the "structural gap during the new - old kinetic energy conversion period." In the first half of the year, the industry was affected by external uncertainties, with intensified internal differentiation, and overall prosperity relied on policy support. In the second half of the year, with the "two new" policies further boosting domestic demand and upgrading the industrial structure, the industry is expected to achieve a systematic leap from "quantity" to "quality" expansion [2][7]. 3. Summary by Directory Market Overview - **Upstream Materials**: In H1 2025, raw material prices were under pressure due to weak demand and Sino - US trade conflicts, showing significant differentiation. In H2, the structural differentiation will continue. Enterprises should focus on capacity elimination, tariff negotiations, and climate risks [8]. - **Midstream Manufacturing**: In H1 2025, it presented a differentiated pattern of "traditional under pressure, high - tech doing well." In H2, policies will support both demand and supply - side reforms, and traditional manufacturing is expected to break through cost dilemmas through intelligent and digital transformation [8]. - **Downstream Consumption**: In H1 2025, it showed a "weak recovery" pattern. In H2, the consumption market will continue to be structurally differentiated, and the recovery highly depends on policy implementation efficiency and business model innovation [9][10]. Upstream: Raw Material Price Fluctuations - **H1 2025 Situation**: Raw material prices were under pressure. Metal mining showed a divergence between black and non - ferrous metals; chemical raw materials had multi - directional fluctuations; energy sources like crude oil and coal were more differentiated; most agricultural products were at near - five - year lows [8][15]. - **H2 2025 Outlook**: The price differentiation will continue. Traditional raw materials' rebound depends on supply - side reforms and policy support, while emerging demand - driven products are more resilient. Enterprises should focus on capacity elimination, tariff reviews, and extreme weather [15][16]. Midstream: Short - term Stabilization, Continued New - Old Kinetic Energy Conversion - **Overall Situation**: In H1 2025, the manufacturing industry was affected by external factors, with traditional manufacturing under pressure and high - tech manufacturing supported by policies. After the tariff war, there was short - term stabilization, and both external and internal demands recovered to some extent [43][53]. - **Traditional Manufacturing**: In H1 2025, profits declined due to over - capacity and weak demand. In H2, policies will expand to more traditional manufacturing sectors, promoting transformation and efficiency improvement [59][75]. - **High - tech Manufacturing**: In H1 2025, it recovered significantly compared to the beginning of the year, benefiting from strong policy support. In H2, it is expected to continue to improve [69][75]. Downstream: Intensified Retail Differentiation, Weak Real Estate Recovery - **Retail Industry**: In H1 2025, online e - commerce grew due to the "trade - in" policy, while traditional physical retail was under pressure. In H2, the differentiation will continue, with emerging formats having growth potential and traditional retail relying on policy and innovation [82][93]. - **Leasing Industry**: In H1 2025, it was in a downturn. In H2, the "price - for - volume" trend will continue, and the de - stocking of commercial land will continue [92][93]. - **Real Estate Industry**: In H1 2025, it achieved "weak stabilization" under policy support. In H2, it is expected to continue to recover slowly with further policy optimization and improved supply - demand balance [99][115].

天眼查App显示，近日，河南嵩勤智能矿山有限公司成立，法定代表人为张鑫华，注册资本5000万人民 币，安徽融联创业投资有限公司、卢氏县金川矿业有限公司持股。 序号股东名称持股比例1安徽融联创业投资有限公司80%2卢氏县金川矿业有限公司20% 经营范围含矿产资源储量评估服务；园区管理服务；环境应急治理服务；生态保护区管理服务；工业工 程设计服务；技术服务、技术开发、技术咨询、技术交流、技术转让、技术推广；消防技术服务；自然 生态系统保护管理；土地整治服务；生态资源监测；工程技术服务（规划管理、勘察、设计、监理除 外）；工程管理服务；人工智能公共数据平台；环境应急技术装备销售；会议及展览服务；组织文化艺 术交流活动；大数据服务；园林绿化工程施工；安全咨询服务；供应链管理服务；物业管理；与农业生 产经营有关的技术、信息、设施建设运营等服务；软件开发；旅游开发项目策划咨询；人工智能基础资 源与技术平台；特种作业人员安全技术培训；紧急救援服务；信息技术咨询服务；规划设计管理；人工 智能公共服务平台技术咨询服务；安防设备销售；劳动保护用品销售；非金属矿及制品销售；消防器材 销售；金属矿石销售（除依法须经批准的项目外，凭营 ...

转自：新华财经 新华财经北京7月5日电（记者刘玉龙）5日，由中物联大宗商品流通分会和上海钢联等单位联合调查，中国物流与采购联合会发布的2025年6月份中国大宗商 品价格指数（CBPI）为110.8点，环比上涨0.5%，同比下跌5.2%。 业内人士分析，从指数运行情况看，随中美伦敦经贸会谈释放积极信号，国内逆周期调节政策加力实施，企业生产经营活动继续回暖，指数连续两月温和回 升，大宗商品市场运行总体平稳，呈现稳中有进发展态势。 | 项目 | 中国大宗商品 | 能源价格 | 化工价格 | 黑色价格 | 有色价格 | 矿产价格 | 农产品价格 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 价格指数 | 指数 | 指数 | 指数 | 指数 | 指数 | 指数 | | 单位 | 点 | 点 | 点 | 点 | 点 | 点 | 点 | | 25.06 | 110.8 | 97.3 | 104.3 | 76.6 | 128.8 | 73.6 | 98.1 | | 25.05 | 110. 3 | 96. 3 | 102. 8 | 78.7 | 127.7 | ...

Core Viewpoint - The "ESG Action Group" data platform has updated its ESG rating data for 2024, reflecting the growing importance of ESG factors in investment decisions and corporate governance [1] Group 1: ESG Ratings Overview - The number of A-share listed companies included in the ESG ratings has increased to 5,354 from 5,330 last year, covering major exchanges in Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing [2] - The average ESG scores for the top five industries are in insurance, catering, construction installation, postal services, and black metal mining [2][5] - The average ESG scores for listed companies in Beijing, Tianjin, Ningxia, Shanghai, and Hainan rank highest among regions, with scores of 59.03, 57.96, 55.84, 54.34, and 53.93 respectively [7] Group 2: Industry and Regional Insights - The analysis indicates that industries with fewer listed companies may show inflated ESG scores due to the "head effect" from top-performing firms [6] - Industries such as ecological protection, power production, and waste resource utilization have high average ESG scores when excluding smaller sample sizes [6] - The ranking of listed companies by ESG scores has changed slightly, with local governments increasingly prioritizing sustainable development through policy initiatives [7] Group 3: Corporate Nature and Board Performance - The ranking of ESG scores by corporate nature is led by central state-owned enterprises, followed by other enterprises, local state-owned enterprises, public enterprises, collective enterprises, foreign enterprises, and private enterprises [8] - The scoring order by listing board remains consistent with last year, with the Sci-Tech Innovation Board leading, followed by the Main Board, Growth Enterprise Market, and North Exchange Market [8] Group 4: Regulatory and Market Developments - The regulatory focus on enhancing ESG rating capabilities in China's capital market has intensified, with the Shanghai Stock Exchange implementing a special action plan to improve ESG ratings [12] - By the end of 2024, 342 listed companies in Shanghai are expected to be included in the MSCI ESG ratings, with 100 companies achieving upgrades in their latest ratings [12] - The action plan emphasizes the importance of both international and domestic ESG rating systems, advocating for a dual benchmarking approach for companies [13]

| | 黑色产业数据每日监测（7.04） | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 品种 | 主力合约收盘价 涨跌 涨跌幅 现货价格 | | | 基差 | | 螺纹 | 3072 7 0.23% | | 3170 | 98 | | 热卷 | 3201 8 | 0.25% | 3270 | 69 | | 铁矿 | 732.5 4.5 0.62% | | 718 | -14.5 | | 焦煤 | 839.5 -9 -1.06% | | 880 | 40.5 | | 焦炭 | 1433 -6 -0.42% 1182 -251 | | | | | | 市场概况 | | | | | | 今日黑色系商品期货整体表现一般。螺纹收于3072元/吨，上涨0.23%；热卷主 | | | | | | 力合约收于3201元/吨，上涨0.25%；铁矿今日主力合约收于732.5元/吨；双焦 | | | | | | 今天小幅下跌。 | | | | | | 市场分析 | | | | | | 本周期钢盘面打破了持续一个月的窄幅震荡行情，价格重心上移近百点，主要 | | | | | | 得益于供应端的利 ...

盖色金属数据日报 7000 1000 6000 800 5000 600 4000 400 3000 2000 1000 -200 螺纹基差(石轴) = 价格:螺纹钢:HRB400 20mm:上 - 期货收盘价(活跃合约):螺纹钢 8000 800 600 6000 400 200 2000 -200 60-6700 10-570 as 2008 2008 2008 200 | 热卷基差(右轴) = 价格:热轧板卷:Q235B:4. 75r 期货收盘价(活跃合约):热轧卷板 1000 -500 焦煤基差(右轴) 5000 800 【钢材】续涨动能尚可,周数据好转也添了一点油 4000 600 周四黑色板块依然算是坚挺,盘面延续增仓反弹,期盘续涨动能尚可;钢联周度数据显示淡季累库幅度和需求掉的节奏都没 3000 有失速,暂时托住了市场的信心。"反内卷"的导火线带来资金的跟随,期现正套以及前期反套被空单可能会带来短期现货 400 成交及投机需求的放量,观察持续性;我们更倾向于若短期未看到实质性政策出台,则对利润的利好影响及成材价格的独自 2000 利好并不能持续太久。值得关注的是,黑色板块品种的基差近期持续收缩, ...

投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1778 号 运筹帷幄 决胜千里 宝城期货品种套利数据日报（2025 年 7 月 4 日） 一、动力煤 二、能源化工 -100 -80 -60 -40 -20 0 20 40 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 原油基差 基差（右） 原油现货价:中国胜利 期货收盘价(活跃合约):INE原油 | 商品 | | | 动力煤（元/吨） | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 日期 | 基差 | 5月-1月 | 9月-1月 | 9月-5月 | | 2025/07/03 | -180.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | | 2025/07/02 | -180.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | | 2025/07/01 | -180.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | | 2025/06/30 | -180.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | | 2025/06/27 | -181.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -250 -200 -150 -100 -50 0 50 100 45 ...