Core Insights - The Inclusive Finance Prosperity Index for September reached 49.50 points, an increase of 0.32 points from August, indicating improvements in both operational and financing dimensions [1] - The financing prosperity index stood at 54.93 points, up 0.71 points from August, reflecting effective release of corporate financing demand and a stable decline in financing costs [1] - The total social financing stock at the end of September was 437.08 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.7%, with RMB loans to the real economy at 267.03 trillion yuan, up 6.4% year-on-year [1] Financing Dimension - The average interest rate for newly issued corporate loans in September was approximately 3.1%, down about 40 basis points from the same period last year, indicating a continued low-cost financing environment [1] - The growth rates for inclusive small and micro loans and medium to long-term loans in the manufacturing sector were 12.2% and 8.2% respectively, both exceeding the growth rate of other loans [1] Operational Dimension - The operational prosperity index for September was 48.44 points, an increase of 0.24 points from August, driven by a sustained recovery in consumer demand and improved performance of small and micro enterprises [2] - The operational vitality index rose by 0.29 points in September, becoming a key driver for the increase in the operational prosperity index, as companies accelerated production and optimized service processes [2] Industry Trends - Among nine major industries, six showed an increase in operational prosperity, particularly in wholesale and retail, accommodation and catering, and transportation services, while the real estate and construction industries experienced declines [2] - The industrial economy demonstrated steady growth, with advancements in artificial intelligence and modern service industries contributing to the overall economic development [2] Regional Insights - The operational prosperity index across seven major regions showed five increases and two decreases, with notable improvements in East China, South China, Central China, Northwest, and Southwest regions [2] - The Northeast and North China regions experienced declines in their operational prosperity indices [2]

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Although the Shanghai Composite Index failed to hold above 4000 points with a slight decline in trading volume, it is certain that the index will reach 4000 points. Considering the "15th Five-Year Plan" and the current market environment, the strategic value of the technology and military sectors is prominent. It is recommended to focus on these two core sectors and seize the opportunity to go long on stock index futures [3]. Summary by Related Catalogs Market Analysis - The full text of the "15th Five-Year Plan" proposal has been released, aiming for economic growth within a reasonable range, increased total factor productivity, and a significantly higher household consumption rate. It also aims to boost technological self - reliance, deepen reforms, and ensure synchronous growth of household income and economic growth, as well as labor compensation and labor productivity. The plan proposes to accelerate the development of strategic emerging industries and promote new economic growth points. It also plans to break through key core technologies in key areas and implement the "Artificial Intelligence +" action. Additionally, it aims to boost consumption and improve the capital market [1]. - The central bank governor stated that the moderately loose monetary policy will be implemented, and new policy measures will be studied and reserved to consolidate the positive momentum of the capital market and improve the market - stabilizing mechanism. Overseas, the three major US stock indexes closed higher [2]. Spot Market - A - share indexes rose and then fell. The Shanghai Composite Index dropped 0.22% to 3988.22 points, and the ChiNext Index fell 0.15%. Most sector indexes declined, with national defense and military, transportation, and textile and apparel sectors leading the gains, while non - ferrous metals, beauty care, and steel sectors had the largest declines. The trading volume of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets was 2 trillion yuan [2][13]. Futures Market - In the futures market, the basis of the current - month contracts of the four major stock index futures rebounded. The trading volume and open interest of stock index futures decreased simultaneously [2][15]. Strategy - Focus on the technology and military sectors and seize the opportunity to go long on stock index futures [3].

Core Insights - The Ministry of Transport reported that by the third quarter of 2025, China achieved a cross-regional personnel flow of 50.6 billion person-times, marking a year-on-year increase of 3.1% [1] - The total volume of commercial freight reached 4.325 billion tons, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3.89% [1] - Port cargo throughput amounted to 1.357 billion tons, with a year-on-year increase of 4.6% [1] - Fixed asset investment in transportation reached 2.6 trillion yuan [1] Industry Performance - The economic operation of the transportation industry shows a stable trend, with new growth drivers accelerating and resilience in development being continuously demonstrated [1] - Overall, the industry is exhibiting a stable and progressive development trend [1]

Core Insights - The Ministry of Transport reported that by the third quarter of 2025, the cross-regional personnel flow in China reached 50.6 billion trips, marking a year-on-year increase of 3.1% [1][3] - The total freight volume for the same period was 4.325 billion tons, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3.89% [3] - Port cargo throughput reached 1.357 billion tons, with a year-on-year increase of 4.6% [3] - Fixed asset investment in transportation amounted to 2.6 trillion yuan [3] - The overall economic operation of the industry shows a stable trend, with new growth drivers accelerating and resilience in development being highlighted [3] Industry Performance - Cross-regional personnel flow increased by 3.1% year-on-year, indicating a steady recovery in transportation demand [1][3] - The freight volume growth of 3.89% suggests a robust logistics sector, supporting economic activities across regions [3] - The port cargo throughput growth of 4.6% indicates strong international and domestic trade activities [3] - Fixed asset investment of 2.6 trillion yuan reflects ongoing infrastructure development and investment confidence in the transportation sector [3] - The overall stability and progress in the industry underscore a positive outlook for future growth and resilience [3]

Group 1 - The Ministry of Transport reported that by the third quarter of 2025, the cross-regional passenger flow in China reached 50.6 billion trips, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3.1% [1][2] - The total volume of freight transport reached 4.325 billion tons, with a year-on-year increase of 3.89% [2] - Port cargo throughput amounted to 1.357 billion tons, showing a year-on-year growth of 4.6% [2] - Fixed asset investment in transportation reached 2.6 trillion yuan [2] Group 2 - The overall economic operation of the transportation industry is stable, with new growth drivers accelerating and resilience in development being continuously demonstrated [2] - The industry is exhibiting a trend of overall stability and progress [2]

Group 1: Major Achievements in Infrastructure and Exploration - China has achieved historic breakthroughs in major engineering and frontier exploration, including the world's only continuous manned deep-sea diving in the Arctic, the completion of the main structure of Xi'an East Station, and the connection of the longest long-distance heating pipeline in the country [1] Group 2: Arctic Manned Deep-Sea Diving - The Arctic manned deep-sea diving team successfully completed 43 diving missions using the "Fendouzhe" manned submersible, in collaboration with the "Jiaolong" submersible, marking a new model of underwater cooperative operations [2][4] - The team conducted the first manned deep-sea scientific exploration in the Arctic ice zone, reaching a maximum depth of 5,277 meters, and collected valuable samples and observation data to support research on rapid climate change in the Arctic [4] Group 3: Xi'an East Station - The main structure of Xi'an East Station, a key project in China's 14th Five-Year Plan, has been completed, covering a total area of 394,000 square meters and featuring 13 platforms and 27 tracks [5][8] - The station is expected to handle over 36.5 million passengers annually, significantly alleviating passenger flow pressure in the Xi'an railway hub [5] Group 4: Long-Distance Heating Pipeline - The "Liaohuo into Jinan" project, which utilizes waste heat from a power plant in Liaocheng to provide heating for Jinan, has achieved full-line connection, with a total length of 110 kilometers and a diameter of 1.6 meters, making it the longest and largest heating pipeline in China [9][12] - The project is expected to reduce coal consumption by 1.2989 million tons and cut carbon dioxide emissions by 3.564 million tons each heating season, equivalent to the carbon sequestration of four Saihanba forest farms in a year [12]

Group 1 - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) has announced the resumption of government bond trading, which is expected to release liquidity and benefit both the stock and bond markets [5] - Following the announcement, the bond market saw an overall increase, with the 30-year main contract rising by 0.55%, the 10-year main contract by 0.25%, the 5-year main contract by 0.15%, and the 2-year main contract by 0.08% [5] - The A-share market opened lower but later surged, with the Shanghai Composite Index breaking the 4000-point mark for the first time in 10 years, although trading volume was insufficient, indicating a lack of strong buying momentum [1][3] Group 2 - Compared to previous years (2007 and 2015), the current market atmosphere appears less enthusiastic, primarily driven by technology stocks, while other sectors, including the securities sector, have shown weak performance [3] - The current 4000-point level in the A-share market is viewed as a continuation of the bull market rather than a peak, as the domestic economy has not fully recovered and the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts are just beginning [3] - The upcoming earnings reports from major cloud companies in the U.S. are anticipated to be critical for further market support [3] Group 3 - In the stock market, certain sectors such as defense, transportation, textiles, and computers have shown gains, while sectors like non-ferrous metals, beauty care, and steel have experienced declines [12] - The storage sector saw a significant drop, attributed to a recent price increase, while major PCB companies like Shenghong Technology reported disappointing third-quarter results, leading to a slight market correction [9][12] - Public fund reports indicate a significant increase in holdings in sectors such as electronics, communication, and new energy, with electronic sector holdings exceeding 20%, suggesting potential overcrowding risks [9]

Market Overview - On October 28, the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.22%, the CSI 300 decreased by 0.51%, the STAR Market 50 dropped by 0.84%, the CSI 1000 declined by 0.22%, the ChiNext Index decreased by 0.15%, and the Hang Seng Index fell by 0.33% [3][4] - The best-performing sectors on October 28 were Comprehensive (+2.06%), Defense and Military Industry (+1.07%), Transportation (+0.24%), Textile and Apparel (+0.19%), and Computer (+0.13%). The worst-performing sectors were Non-ferrous Metals (-2.72%), Beauty and Personal Care (-1.51%), Steel (-1.35%), Construction Decoration (-0.88%), and Coal (-0.79%) [3][4] - The total trading volume of the A-share market on October 28 was 21,653 billion, with a net inflow of 2.258 billion HKD from southbound funds [3][4] Key Insights - From January to September 2025, the profit growth of industrial enterprises maintained a recovery trend, primarily influenced by a low base effect. The impact of "anti-involution" remains to be observed, with its sustainability and intensity dependent on substantial supply-side policy effects. Overall, "anti-involution" may support a moderate recovery in industrial profits, but its strength is yet to be determined [5] - Industrial profits are significantly affected by base effects, indicating that the current readings may not fully reflect underlying economic conditions [5] - High-tech manufacturing has emerged as a crucial driver for the high-quality development of industrial enterprises [5]

Market Overview - US stock indices reached new highs, driven primarily by a few tech giants like Microsoft, Nvidia, and Apple, while most other stocks declined [3] - Microsoft announced a new partnership with OpenAI, leading to a 2% increase in its stock price, regaining a market cap of $4 trillion [3] - Nvidia's CEO expressed optimism about AI, resulting in a nearly 5% surge in its stock price, pushing its market cap close to $5 trillion [3] - Gold prices fell below $4,000 per ounce, marking a continuation of a downward trend, while silver experienced a V-shaped recovery [3][10] - The Chinese stock market saw the Shanghai Composite Index briefly surpass 4,000 points before closing down 0.2% [3] Key Developments - The "15th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes the need for breakthroughs in key technologies and the implementation of "AI+" initiatives, with a strong focus on finance [5][14] - The US private sector added an average of 14,000 jobs per week as of October 11, indicating a modest employment growth [6] - OpenAI transitioned to a profit-oriented organization, securing a $250 billion Azure service order from Microsoft, which holds a 27% stake in OpenAI [18] - Nvidia plans a $1 billion equity investment in Nokia to collaborate on AI and 6G networks, while also launching several partnerships in various sectors [17][21] Company Earnings - China Bank reported a return to profit growth in Q3, driven by non-interest income [26] - Ping An Insurance's Q3 net profit surged by 45.4%, showing accelerating growth [26] - ZTE's Q3 revenue increased by 5.11%, but net profit fell by 87.84% [27] - Sunny Solar's Q3 revenue grew by 20.83%, with a 57.04% increase in net profit [27] Industry Trends - The gold market is experiencing significant fluctuations, with a notable drop in ETF holdings, indicating reduced demand for safe-haven assets [15] - The AI sector is facing scrutiny, with concerns about potential bubbles as interest rates are expected to rise [21] - The gas turbine supply shortage is impacting the expansion of AI data centers, leading to increased demand for modified jet engines [38] Upcoming Events - The Federal Reserve is set to announce its interest rate decision, with market participants closely watching for any changes in monetary policy [39] - Major companies including Microsoft, Alphabet, Meta, Caterpillar, and Boeing are scheduled to release their earnings reports [40]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information about the industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - The convertible bond market experienced a volume - shrinking decline on October 28, 2025, with compressed valuations. The CSI Convertible Bond Index decreased by 0.24% compared to the previous day, and the trading sentiment in the convertible bond market weakened. The total convertible bond market turnover was 57.096 billion yuan, a 14.27% decrease from the previous day [1]. - The convertible bond price center declined, and the proportion of high - priced bonds decreased. The overall weighted average closing price of convertible bonds was 133.05 yuan, a 0.25% decrease from the previous day. The proportion of bonds with a closing price above 130 yuan decreased by 2.07 percentage points [2]. - In the industry performance, more than half of the underlying stock industry indices declined. Among A - share markets, the top three declining industries were non - ferrous metals (-2.72%), beauty care (-1.51%), and steel (-1.35%); the top three rising industries were national defense and military industry (+1.07%), transportation (+0.24%), and textile and apparel (+0.19%) [3]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Market Main Index Performance - The CSI Convertible Bond Index closed at 484.03, down 0.24% for the day, up 2.01% for the week, up 1.05% for the month, and up 16.76% since the beginning of 2025. Other major indices also showed different degrees of decline or increase [7]. - In terms of market style, large - cap value stocks were relatively dominant. Large - cap growth decreased by 0.26%, large - cap value decreased by 0.25%, mid - cap growth decreased by 0.97%, mid - cap value decreased by 1.76%, small - cap growth decreased by 0.29%, and small - cap value decreased by 0.61% [1][8]. Market Fund Performance - The trading volume in the convertible bond market decreased, with a turnover of 57.096 billion yuan, a 14.27% decrease from the previous day. The total turnover of the Wind All - A index was 2.165307 trillion yuan, an 8.12% decrease from the previous day. The net outflow of main funds from the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets was 34.079 billion yuan, and the yield of the 10 - year treasury bond decreased by 2.44 basis points to 1.82% [1]. Convertible Bond Price and Valuation - The convertible bond price center declined. The overall weighted average closing price was 133.05 yuan, a 0.25% decrease from the previous day. The price median was 132.09 yuan, a 0.44% decrease from the previous day. The proportion of high - priced bonds above 130 yuan decreased by 2.07 percentage points [2]. - The convertible bond valuation was compressed. The fitted conversion premium rate of 100 - yuan par value was 30.23%, a 0.55 - percentage - point decrease from the previous day. The overall weighted par value was 101.66 yuan, a 0.22% decrease from the previous day [2]. Industry Performance - In the underlying stock market, 21 industries declined. The top three declining industries were non - ferrous metals (-2.72%), beauty care (-1.51%), and steel (-1.35%); the top three rising industries were national defense and military industry (+1.07%), transportation (+0.24%), and textile and apparel (+0.19%) [3]. - In the convertible bond market, 21 industries declined. The top three declining industries were non - ferrous metals (-1.97%), steel (-1.17%), and household appliances (-1.05%); the top three rising industries were building decoration (+0.14%), machinery and equipment (+0.14%), and national defense and military industry (+0.13%) [3]. - In terms of different sectors, the closing price of the large - cycle sector decreased by 0.61%, manufacturing decreased by 0.28%, technology decreased by 0.16%, large - consumption decreased by 0.30%, and large - finance decreased by 0.16%. The conversion premium rate, conversion value, and pure bond premium rate of each sector also showed different changes [3]. Industry Rotation - The national defense and military industry, transportation, and textile and apparel industries led the rise in industry rotation. The national defense and military industry had a daily increase of 1.07% in the underlying stock market and 0.13% in the convertible bond market; transportation had a 0.24% increase in the underlying stock market and a -0.34% decrease in the convertible bond market; textile and apparel had a 0.19% increase in the underlying stock market and a -0.04% decrease in the convertible bond market [61].