Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [5] Core Insights - The report highlights that GEO represents a new form of content marketing reshaped by AI, differing from traditional SEO by focusing on enhancing "AI visibility" in chatbot and AI search overview products [8] - The report emphasizes that companies that first adopt GEO strategies are likely to establish a technological and data validation loop, gaining insights into large model citation logic and accumulating valuable data feedback [8] - The report notes the differences in content ecosystems between overseas and domestic markets, suggesting that domestic players may have an advantage in GEO due to their extensive operational data and marketing content experience [8] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The report discusses the emergence of AI-driven traffic entry points, creating new marketing channel opportunities [2] - It identifies the growing importance of AI platforms as essential marketing battlegrounds for advertisers [8] Investment Recommendations and Targets - Companies that are early adopters of GEO are recommended as potential investment targets, including BlueFocus (300058, not rated), Yidian Tianxia (301171, not rated), and Gravity Media (603598, not rated) [8] - Companies with substantial operational data and marketing content experience are also highlighted, including Worth Buying (300785, Buy), Qingmu Technology (301110, not rated), and Yiwang Yichuang (300792, not rated) [8]

中信建投研报认为，近期美元指数有所反弹，但人民币汇率仍然坚挺，整体环境对A股仍然较为有利。 通胀水平温和回升，经济复苏的内生动能逐渐修复，利好A股慢牛行情持续性。从市场情绪看，我们认 为跨年行情有望继续演绎，但短期技术性回调风险上升。当前市场行业表现分化，有充分预期的板块横 盘等待兑现验证，与此同时概念主题表现活跃，前期落后板块补涨。整体而言，我们继续看好跨年行 情，行业主要围绕未来产业热点、AI和半导体、资源品涨价链展开。行业重点关注：半导体、AI、有 色金属、化工、机械、传媒、计算机、医药；主题重点关注：脑机接口、商业航天、可控核聚变、人形 机器人、量子科技等。 ...

- The report introduces a **market timing system** based on the distance between the short-term moving average (20-day) and the long-term moving average (120-day) of the WIND All A Index. The system identifies market trends by observing whether the short-term moving average is above the long-term moving average and the absolute difference exceeds 3%. The latest data shows the 20-day moving average at 6394 and the 120-day moving average at 6142, with a difference of 4.10%, indicating an upward trend[6][11]. - The **profitability effect** is used as a core indicator to assess market conditions. The current profitability effect is 5.28%, which is significantly positive, suggesting that the market is likely to continue its upward trend[6][11]. - The **industry trend allocation model** highlights sectors with strong upward trends, including AI applications, commercial aerospace, computing power, industrial metals, and energy storage. Additionally, the **mid-term reversal expectation model** signals opportunities in media and innovative healthcare sectors[6][11]. - The **TWO BETA model** recommends focusing on technology sectors, particularly AI applications and commercial aerospace[6][11]. - The **valuation metrics** for the WIND All A Index show that the PE ratio is near the 90th percentile, indicating a relatively high valuation, while the PB ratio is at the 50th percentile, reflecting a moderate valuation level. Based on these metrics and the market trend, the allocation model suggests an 80% equity position for absolute return products[7][11]. - Backtesting results for the market timing system show that the WIND All A Index increased by 5.11% over the past week, with small-cap stocks (CSI 1000) rising by 7.03%, mid-cap stocks (CSI 500) by 7.92%, and large-cap indices (HS300 and SSE50) by 2.79% and 3.4%, respectively. Sector-wise, defense and media performed strongly, with defense rising by 14.56%, while banking and transportation lagged, with banking declining by 1.88%[2][5][6].

中银国际证券股份有限公司 具备证券投资咨询业务资格 策略研究 证券分析师：王君 (8610)66229061 jun.wang@bocichina.com 证券投资咨询业务证书编号：S1300519060003 证券分析师：徐沛东 (8621)20328702 peidong.xu@bocichina.com 证券投资咨询业务证书编号：S1300518020001 证券分析师：郭晓希 (8610)66229019 xiaoxi.guo@bocichina.com 证券投资咨询业务证书编号：S1300521110001 证券分析师：徐亚 （8621）20328506 ya.xu@bocichina.com 证券投资咨询业务证书编号：S1300521070003 证券分析师：高天然 | 观点回顾 4 | | --- | | 大势与风格 5 | | 中观行业与景气 7 | | 一周市场总览、组合表现及热点追踪 9 | | 风险提示 10 | tianran.gao@bocichina.com 证券投资咨询业务证书编号：S1300522100001 策略研究 | 证券研究报告 — 总量周报 2026 年 1 月 11 ...

Group 1 - The major indices have shown significant increases, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 3.82%, the Shenzhen Component by 4.40%, and the ChiNext by 3.89% [1][16] - Most industry main lines are not showing obvious overheating signs and remain in a position where accumulation is possible [2][17] - The A-share ROE is expected to rise for the first time in five years after 14 consecutive quarters of decline, which is a prerequisite for stabilizing valuations [2][17] Group 2 - The spring market is characterized by a lack of major downside risks, with only short-term adjustments expected after sufficient market performance [3][18] - The market is likely to continue its upward trend, with a focus on technology as the main line of the bull market [5][20] - The current market structure shows a significant increase in trading volume, indicating sustained market activity [29] Group 3 - The upcoming policy catalysts, including the review of the 14th Five-Year Plan and potential improvements in Sino-US trade relations, are expected to stabilize market expectations [4][19] - The market is experiencing a "rotation + broad rise" state, with small-cap growth indices performing particularly well [7][22] - Investors are advised to focus on sectors such as AI applications, traditional consumption benefiting from policy support, and undervalued real estate [21][24] Group 4 - The short-term market may continue its upward trend, with significant inflows into sectors like robotics and commercial aerospace [8][24] - The commercial aerospace sector has shown strong capital inflows, although it is currently at a historically high trading density [8][25] - The overall market sentiment is improving, supported by macroeconomic factors and policy measures [28][29]

- The report does not contain any specific quantitative models or factors for analysis [1][2][3] - The report primarily focuses on market trends, valuation metrics, and style performance without detailing quantitative models or factor construction [1][2][3] - No formulas, construction processes, or backtesting results for quantitative models or factors are provided in the report [1][2][3]

证券研究报告 | 金融工程 gszqdatemark 2026 01 11 年 月 日 量化周报 科创 50 迎来日线级别上涨 科创 50 迎来日线级别上涨。本周（ 1.5-1.9），大盘强势上行，上证指数全 周收涨 3.82%。在此背景下，科创 50、传媒、计算机、钢铁、建筑、纺服 迎来日线级别上涨。至此，几乎所有的规模指数重归日线级别上涨，且 21 个行业处于日线级别上涨中。当下，我们认为市场的日线级别上涨大概率 还能持续，理由如下：1、上证指数的上涨只走了 1 浪结构，短期结束的 概率低；2、目前市场量价齐升，走势比较健康；3、传媒、计算机、钢铁、 建筑、纺服已于近期重新迎来日线级别上涨，而且上涨只走了 1 浪结构， 短期结束的概率低。因此，我们认为市场的日线级别上涨将会持续一段时 间，短期即便有调整，也只是 30 分钟级别，不足为惧。中期来看，上证 指数、上证 50、沪深 300、中证 500、深证成指、创业板指、科创 50 纷 纷确认周线级别上涨，而且在日线上只走出了 3 浪结构，中期牛市只进行 到上半场；此外，已有 27 个行业处于周线级别上涨中，且 18 个行业周线 上涨走了 1-3 浪结构，因 ...

Group 1 - The report emphasizes the strong underlying drivers of the current bull market, including liquidity support, policy backing for capital markets, moderate fundamental recovery, and continuous industry catalysts, despite short-term overseas disturbances [1][9][10] - The report highlights the significant inflow into the A500 ETF, which accounted for 92.2% of the total net inflow of 110.6 billion yuan in December, indicating a strong market sentiment and confidence in the Chinese market [10][14] - The continuous appreciation of the RMB reflects a recovery in international capital confidence towards China, supported by a decline in the US dollar index and a surge in corporate foreign exchange settlements [18][19][21] Group 2 - The report identifies the small-cap index, CSI 2000, as an "invisible champion," outperforming the large-cap index during the recent market rally, supported by a favorable liquidity environment and moderate fundamental recovery [2][25] - The report suggests that the current bull market is characterized by a unique valuation expansion, where small-cap stocks face less resistance compared to large-cap stocks, potentially breaking the historical underperformance of small caps at year-end [2][25] - The report anticipates strong elasticity in small-cap stocks under conditions of risk appetite and liquidity support, indicating a positive outlook for their performance [2][25] Group 3 - The report discusses the dual focus on technology and cyclical sectors, suggesting that both can thrive simultaneously, driven by a global tech cycle and supportive policies [3][28] - It highlights the importance of monitoring the marginal change in profit growth (ΔG) for AI hardware, indicating that as long as ΔG remains stable, the sector is likely to continue benefiting from the ongoing valuation bull market [38] - The report notes that AI applications are transitioning from being a supporting role to becoming the core narrative of the tech sector, driven by policy support, demand release, and a mature industry ecosystem [49][50]

Group 1 - The macroeconomic environment is improving, with December 2025 PMI and inflation data showing a seasonal rebound, indicating better demand and supply conditions [9][12][24] - Various commodity prices have shown signs of recovery from their lows since mid-December 2025, with non-ferrous metals, petrochemicals, and black raw materials leading the recovery [9][12] - The micro-funding environment remains ample, with institutional funds providing incremental support, and trading funds expected to gradually recover, enhancing market liquidity [12][24] Group 2 - The thematic market is very active, with potential for further index uplift if the themes can expand into relatively low sectors [16][24] - Future thematic allocations should focus on sectors with price increase expectations supported by performance, such as non-ferrous metals, power battery supply chains, and chemicals [17][24] - Other areas of interest include themes that may see policy or unexpected technological breakthroughs, such as AI applications and tourism consumption [17][24] Group 3 - The report suggests that the current market conditions may favor a bullish sentiment, with the potential for a spring market rebound if the thematic trends continue to spread [8][16] - The report highlights the importance of monitoring the performance of various sectors and themes, particularly those that are expected to benefit from policy support and technological advancements [17][24] - The report emphasizes the need for caution regarding potential volatility in the short term, especially in high-demand technology themes like commercial aerospace and satellite internet [17][24]

Core Viewpoint - The market is expected to continue its upward trend in the short term, with opportunities for investors to strategically position themselves before the Chinese New Year [1][2]. Market Performance - The A-share market has shown strong upward momentum, with major indices like the Wind All A, CSI 300, and CSI 2000 rising by 5.11%, 2.79%, and 6.54% respectively this week [2]. - The Shanghai Composite Index has risen by 3.82%, surpassing 4100 points and achieving a 16-day consecutive increase, marking a significant trend [2]. - Daily trading volume has increased, with the average daily turnover reaching 2.85 trillion yuan, and a single-day turnover exceeding 3 trillion yuan, indicating a strong influx of new capital [2]. Sector Analysis - The robotics sector has seen continuous net inflows, indicating it remains a key focus area for investment [1]. - The commercial aerospace sector is also experiencing strong capital inflows, but its trading density is at historical highs, suggesting a shift from a primary upward phase to a "theme diffusion" phase [1][3]. - Other sectors such as controllable nuclear fusion, sports and consumer services, and non-ferrous metals are showing signs of sustained capital inflows, making them potential structural investment opportunities [1]. Industry Highlights - The technology sector has been a strong market driver, with significant gains in media (13.11%), computer (8.50%), and electronics (7.74%) industries [3]. - The defense and military industry has surged by 13.63%, influenced by geopolitical events and the ongoing development of commercial aerospace [3]. - Non-ferrous metals have also risen by 8.56%, supported by strong demand and strategic reserves [3]. Future Outlook - The upward trend in indices is likely to continue as long as trading volume remains robust, with average daily turnover increasing by 51.63% compared to the previous month [4]. - The market is expected to focus on technology sectors and resource demand, with a potential shift towards less crowded segments within technology [4]. - The growth of northbound and leveraged funds is providing strong momentum for the market, with margin financing balances steadily breaking previous highs [4].