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有色商品日报(2025 年 9 月 19 日)-20250919
Guang Da Qi Huo· 2025-09-19 05:36
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Copper: Overnight copper prices fluctuated within a narrow range. After the Fed's rate cut, the Bank of England maintained its interest rate, and central banks were cautious about further rate cuts. LME copper inventory decreased by 900 tons, Comex inventory increased by 2144 tons, SHFE copper warehouse receipts decreased by 822 tons, and BC copper decreased by 2229 tons. Downstream demand was weak due to high prices and macro uncertainties. Considering policy expectations and the peak demand season, copper prices may be viewed as relatively strong, as a decline could prompt downstream restocking [1]. - Aluminum: Alumina fluctuated weakly, with AO2601 closing at 2932 yuan/ton, a 0.54% decline. Shanghai aluminum fluctuated strongly, with AL2510 closing at 20800 yuan/ton, a 0.02% increase. Aluminum alloy fluctuated weakly. Alumina's short - term decline space is limited as it approaches the cost line, and aluminum ingots showed narrow de - stocking, adding to the peak - season expectations. With the cancellation of tax rebates, scrap aluminum prices are supported, and aluminum alloy is expected to continue to be strong [1][2]. - Nickel: Overnight, LME nickel fell 0.71% and Shanghai nickel fell 0.63%. LME nickel inventory decreased by 18 tons, and domestic SHFE warehouse receipts decreased by 275 tons. Nickel ore prices were stable, stainless - steel inventory decreased, but supply increased. In the new - energy sector, demand weakened slightly in September, and MHP supply was tight. Due to previous supply disruptions in Indonesia and price increases in nickel - iron and MHP, nickel prices may face correction pressure, and overseas macro conditions need to be monitored [2]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Research Views - **Copper**: Macro factors led to increased market volatility, and downstream demand was weak. Considering policy and demand, copper prices may remain strong [1]. - **Aluminum**: Alumina prices were near the cost line, and aluminum ingot de - stocking supported the market. Aluminum alloy followed the upward trend of aluminum [1][2]. - **Nickel**: After a rapid price increase, nickel prices may correct, and attention should be paid to overseas macro factors [2]. 3.2 Daily Data Monitoring - **Copper**: On September 18, 2025, the price of flat - water copper decreased by 620 yuan/ton compared to the previous day. LME inventory decreased by 900 tons, and SHFE warehouse receipts decreased by 822 tons. The active - contract import loss was 89.9 yuan/ton, a significant change from the previous day [3]. - **Lead**: The average price of 1 lead increased by 50 yuan/ton. LME inventory decreased by 2675 tons, and SHFE warehouse receipts decreased by 9843 tons [3]. - **Aluminum**: The prices of aluminum in Wuxi and Nanhai decreased by 110 yuan/ton. LME inventory increased by 30125 tons, and the total SHFE inventory increased by 4421 tons. The active - contract import loss was 1541 yuan/ton [4]. - **Nickel**: The price of Jinchuan nickel decreased by 100 yuan/ton. LME inventory decreased by 18 tons, and SHFE nickel warehouse receipts decreased by 275 tons. The active - contract import loss was 1381 yuan/ton [4]. - **Zinc**: The主力结算 price decreased by 0.9%. LME inventory decreased by 150 tons, and SHFE inventory increased by 793 tons. The active - contract import loss was 0 yuan/ton [6]. - **Tin**: The主力结算 price decreased by 1.0%. LME inventory remained unchanged, and SHFE inventory increased by 124 tons. The active - contract import loss was 0 yuan/ton [6]. 3.3 Chart Analysis - **Spot Premium**: Charts show the historical trends of spot premiums for copper, aluminum, nickel, zinc, lead, and tin from 2019 - 2025 [8][9][10][11][12]. - **SHFE Near - Far Month Spread**: Charts display the historical trends of the near - far month spreads for copper, aluminum, nickel, zinc, lead, and tin from 2020 - 2025 [14][15][16][18][19][20]. - **LME Inventory**: Charts illustrate the historical trends of LME inventories for copper, aluminum, nickel, zinc, lead, and tin from 2019 - 2025 [21][22][23][24][25][26]. - **SHFE Inventory**: Charts present the historical trends of SHFE inventories for copper, aluminum, nickel, zinc, lead, and tin from 2019 - 2025 [28][29][30][31][32][33]. - **Social Inventory**: Charts show the historical trends of social inventories for copper, aluminum, nickel, zinc, stainless - steel, and 300 - series from 2019 - 2025 [34][35][36][37][38][39]. - **Smelting Profit**: Charts display the historical trends of copper - concentrate index, rough - copper processing fee, aluminum - smelting profit, nickel - iron smelting cost, zinc - smelting profit, and stainless - steel 304 smelting profit rate from 2019 - 2025 [40][41][42][43][44][45]. 3.4 Team Introduction - **Zhan Dapeng**: A master of science, the director of non - ferrous research at Everbright Futures Research Institute, a senior precious - metals researcher, and an intermediate gold investment analyst. He has over a decade of commodity - research experience and has won multiple industry awards [47]. - **Wang Heng**: A master of finance from the University of Adelaide, Australia, an analyst at Everbright Futures Research Institute, focusing on aluminum and silicon research [47]. - **Zhu Xi**: A master of science from the University of Warwick, UK, an analyst at Everbright Futures Research Institute, focusing on lithium and nickel research [48].
美联储如期降息后美元反弹且需求偏弱,有色回吐近期涨幅
Zhong Xin Qi Huo· 2025-09-19 02:27
Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating was provided in the report. Core Viewpoints - After the Fed's expected interest rate cut, the US dollar rebounded and demand was weak, causing the non - ferrous metals to give back recent gains. In the medium and short term, the weak US dollar and supply disruptions support prices, while weak terminal demand expectations limit the upside. It is expected that basic metals will generally maintain a pattern of oscillating upward. In the long term, the expectation of potential incremental stimulus policies in China and supply disruptions in copper, aluminum, and tin support the prices of basic metals [2]. Summary by Variety Copper - **Viewpoint**: After the Fed's interest rate cut, copper prices had a phased decline. In the medium term, it is expected to be oscillating and slightly stronger. - **Analysis**: The Fed cut interest rates by 25 basis points in September 2025. Freeport - McMoRan's Indonesian mine suspended operations. In August, SMM China's electrolytic copper production decreased slightly month - on - month but increased year - on - year. The spot premium of electrolytic copper rebounded, and copper inventories increased. The "770 - Document" led to production cuts in the recycled copper market. - **Logic**: Macro - wise, the market's optimistic sentiment declined after the interest rate cut. On the supply side, mine supply disruptions increased, and recycled copper production cuts were expected. On the demand side, the peak season had arrived, but inventory reduction was not obvious. - **Outlook**: Copper supply constraints remain, and with increased supply disruptions and a low - level US dollar index, copper is expected to show an oscillating and slightly stronger pattern [8][9]. Alumina - **Viewpoint**: The weak fundamentals have not improved significantly, and alumina prices are oscillating weakly. - **Analysis**: Alumina spot prices declined in multiple regions on September 18. In August 2025, China's alumina exports increased year - on - year, and aluminum bauxite imports increased year - on - year but decreased month - on - month. Alumina warehouse receipts decreased. - **Logic**: Macro sentiment interfered with the market. Fundamentally, refinery profits shrank, but raw materials were relatively abundant. Operating capacity continued to reach new highs, and the market was in an oversupply situation. - **Outlook**: In the short term, it is expected to be oscillating and slightly weaker, with prices under pressure. Consider short - selling on rallies or waiting and watching, and also pay attention to the 10 - 1, 2 - 3 reverse arbitrage opportunities [10][12]. Aluminum - **Viewpoint**: After the interest rate cut, aluminum prices declined. - **Analysis**: On September 18, the average price of SMM AOO aluminum decreased, and inventories of electrolytic aluminum ingots and aluminum rods changed. The Shanghai Futures Exchange's electrolytic aluminum warehouse receipts remained unchanged. Relevant policies were issued, and a company's new project is expected to be put into production in 2026. - **Logic**: In the short term, the interest rate cut was in line with expectations, and risk - aversion sentiment increased. On the supply side, replacement production capacity was put into operation, and on the demand side, the peak season was approaching, but the inventory reduction inflection point was not clear. - **Outlook**: In the short term, it is expected to be range - bound. In the medium term, supply growth is limited, and demand remains resilient, with the price center expected to rise [13][14]. Aluminum Alloy - **Viewpoint**: As the first warehouse receipt registration approaches, the market is oscillating. - **Analysis**: On September 18, the price of Baotai ADC12 decreased, and the price difference between Baotai ADC12 and AOO aluminum changed. The EU may impose a tax on scrap metal exports, and most die - casting enterprises plan to have holidays in October. - **Logic**: On the cost side, scrap aluminum supply was tight, providing cost support. On the supply side, the start - up rate increased marginally, and on the demand side, there was marginal improvement, but the peak - season performance remains to be seen. - **Outlook**: In the short term, ADC12 and ADC12 - A00 are oscillating at a low level. In the future, there is room for an increase, and cross - variety arbitrage opportunities can be considered [14][15]. Zinc - **Viewpoint**: After the Fed's interest rate cut, zinc prices declined with the non - ferrous metals. - **Analysis**: On September 18, the spot premium of zinc in different regions changed, and SMM's seven - region zinc ingot inventory increased. The CZSPT released the import zinc concentrate processing fee guidance for the end of the fourth quarter of 2025. - **Logic**: Macro - wise, the interest rate cut was in line with expectations, and the non - ferrous metals sector declined. On the supply side, zinc ore supply was loose, and smelters' profitability was good. On the demand side, it was in the transition period between peak and off - peak seasons, and demand expectations were average. - **Outlook**: In September, zinc ingot production will remain high, and inventories may continue to accumulate. Zinc prices are expected to be oscillating [16][17]. Lead - **Viewpoint**: The supply of recycled lead decreased, and lead prices are oscillating. - **Analysis**: On September 18, the price of waste electric vehicle batteries remained unchanged, and the price difference between primary and recycled lead increased. SMM's lead ingot price increased, and the spot premium decreased. Lead ingot social inventories increased slightly, and Shanghai lead warehouse receipts decreased. - **Logic**: On the spot side, the spot discount and the price difference between primary and recycled lead increased, and warehouse receipts decreased. On the supply side, recycled lead production decreased, and on the demand side, it was in the transition period between peak and off - peak seasons, and the lead - acid battery start - up rate was high. - **Outlook**: The macro - environment is positive. Lead demand is stable, and supply may tighten slightly. The supply - demand gap may continue, and lead prices are expected to be oscillating and slightly stronger [17][20]. Nickel - **Viewpoint**: LME nickel inventories increased significantly, and nickel prices are oscillating widely. - **Analysis**: On September 18, LME nickel inventories decreased slightly, and Shanghai nickel warehouse receipts decreased. The price of high - nickel pig iron was firm, and relevant company events had little impact on production. - **Logic**: Market sentiment dominates the market. The industrial fundamentals are weakening marginally. Nickel supply is in excess, and inventories are accumulating. - **Outlook**: In the short term, nickel prices are oscillating widely, and in the long term, it is advisable to wait and watch [20][22]. Stainless Steel - **Viewpoint**: After the Fed's interest rate cut, stainless steel is operating weakly. - **Analysis**: Stainless steel futures warehouse receipts decreased, the spot premium of stainless steel changed, and the average price of high - nickel pig iron increased. - **Logic**: The prices of nickel iron and chrome iron are stable. Stainless steel production increased in August, and inventory reduction was limited. - **Outlook**: Be vigilant about the possibility of production cuts by steel mills. Stainless steel is expected to be range - bound in the short term [24]. Tin - **Viewpoint**: Shanghai tin inventories have been declining continuously, and tin prices are oscillating. - **Analysis**: On September 18, LME tin warehouse receipts remained unchanged, Shanghai tin warehouse receipts decreased, and the spot price of tin decreased. - **Logic**: The supply side is the core concern. The复产 of the Wa State mine is slow, and African tin production is unstable. Supply is tight, but terminal demand is weakening, and inventories are rising. - **Outlook**: Tin prices are expected to be oscillating due to tight supply at the mine end [25].
永安期货有色早报-20250919
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-09-19 02:13
Report Industry Investment Ratings - No industry investment ratings are provided in the report. Core Viewpoints - Copper prices are expected to be prone to rising and difficult to fall in the third and fourth quarters of this year. If short - term bullish factors are realized and the copper price corrects, long positions can be considered for mid - term layout below 79,500 yuan, or put options below 78,000 yuan can be sold [1]. - For aluminum, with a small increase in supply and improved downstream开工, pay attention to demand. Hold long positions at low prices under the low - inventory pattern and pay attention to inter - month and inter - market reverse arbitrage [1]. - For zinc, short - term unilateral can be used as a short - side configuration, and long positions in inter - market positive arbitrage can be continued [2]. - For nickel, the short - term fundamental situation is weak, and attention should be paid to the impact of the Indonesian forestry department's takeover of part of the nickel mine [3][4]. - For stainless steel, the fundamental situation remains weak, and it is affected by the Indonesian incident and macro - anti - involution expectations [6]. - For lead, the price is expected to fluctuate significantly next week, ranging from 16,800 to 17,200 yuan [7]. - For tin, it is recommended to wait and see in the short term and hold long positions near the cost line in the medium and long term [9]. - For industrial silicon, the supply and demand will be in a tight balance in September and October, and the price will fluctuate at the bottom of the cycle in the long term [10]. - For lithium carbonate, the price has strong downward support during the peak season before the supply - side disturbance is realized, and the price elasticity is high after the disturbance is realized [12]. Summary by Metal Copper - **Price and Inventory**: Copper prices fluctuated widely around 80,000 yuan this week and broke through on Thursday and Friday. The domestic social inventory of copper did not accumulate despite the increase in imported copper arrivals. The downstream is in the stage of consuming finished - product inventory [1]. - **Premium**: The domestic spot premium declined slightly, and the internal - external positive arbitrage has room [1]. - **Macro**: Copper benefits from the global fiscal and monetary double - easing, and attention should be paid to the possible realization of short - term bullish factors after the FOMC meeting next week [1]. Aluminum - **Price and Inventory**: Aluminum prices declined slightly this week. The supply increased slightly, and the inventory is expected to decline in September [1]. - **Demand**: Downstream开工 improved, but overseas demand declined significantly [1]. - **Strategy**: Hold long positions at low prices under the low - inventory pattern and pay attention to inter - month and inter - market reverse arbitrage [1]. Zinc - **Price and Inventory**: Zinc prices fluctuated narrowly this week. Domestic social inventory continued to rise, and overseas LME inventory decreased [2]. - **Supply and Demand**: Domestic supply is affected by smelter maintenance and high - volume imported zinc ore. Domestic demand is seasonally weak, and overseas demand has production resistance [2]. - **Strategy**: Short - term unilateral can be used as a short - side configuration, and long positions in inter - market positive arbitrage can be continued [2]. Nickel - **Price and Inventory**: Nickel prices fluctuated slightly this week. Domestic inventory increased slightly, and overseas inventory increased due to warehousing [3]. - **Supply and Demand**: Supply is at a high level, and demand is weak [3]. - **News**: The Indonesian parade subsided, and the Indonesian forestry department took over part of the nickel mine [4]. Stainless Steel - **Price and Inventory**: Stainless steel prices were stable this week. The inventory in Xijiao and Wuxi remained stable, and the warehouse receipts decreased slightly [6]. - **Supply and Demand**: Supply is expected to recover, and demand is mainly for rigid needs [6]. - **Cost**: The price of nickel iron remained stable, and the price of chrome iron increased slightly [6]. Lead - **Price and Inventory**: Lead prices rose this week. The LME registered warehouse receipts decreased by 10,000 tons [7]. - **Supply and Demand**: Supply is expected to be tight, and demand is in the peak season but not prosperous [7]. - **Price Forecast**: The price is expected to fluctuate significantly next week, ranging from 16,800 to 17,200 yuan [7]. Tin - **Price and Inventory**: Tin prices fluctuated widely this week. Domestic inventory fluctuated, and LME inventory rebounded from a low level [9]. - **Supply and Demand**: Supply is short - term tight, and demand has limited elasticity [9]. - **Strategy**: Wait and see in the short term and hold long positions near the cost line in the medium and long term [9]. Industrial Silicon - **Price and Inventory**: The basis of industrial silicon changed this week, and the warehouse receipts decreased slightly [10]. - **Supply and Demand**: Supply is expected to increase, and the supply - demand will be in a tight balance in September and October [10]. - **Price Trend**: The price will fluctuate at the bottom of the cycle in the long term [10]. Lithium Carbonate - **Price and Inventory**: Lithium carbonate prices fluctuated widely this week. The futures price dropped significantly in the middle of the week, and the basis strengthened slightly [12]. - **Supply and Demand**: The supply is affected by compliance disturbances, and the demand is in the peak season but the destocking amplitude is small [12]. - **Price Elasticity**: The price has strong downward support during the peak season before the supply - side disturbance is realized, and the price elasticity is high after the disturbance is realized [12].
楚江新材:关于获得政府补助的公告
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2025-09-18 13:36
Core Viewpoint - Chuangjiang New Materials announced the receipt of government subsidies amounting to 26,340,874.47 yuan, which is related to revenue, through its wholly-owned subsidiary Anhui Chuangjiang Senhai Copper Industry Co., Ltd. [2] Group 1 - The government subsidy received is specifically tied to revenue-related support [2] - The announcement was made on the evening of September 18 [2] - The subsidy amount is approximately 26.34 million yuan [2]
云南铜业:公司主营业务主要包括矿山和冶炼
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2025-09-18 12:13
Core Viewpoint - Yunnan Copper Industry focuses on its main business of mining and smelting, primarily producing cathode copper and recovering various precious metals, while committing to improving asset quality and returning value to investors [2]. Group 1: Company Overview - The main business of Yunnan Copper includes mining and smelting operations [2]. - The primary product is cathode copper, with by-products including gold, silver, and industrial sulfuric acid [2]. - The company also recovers rare metals such as molybdenum, selenium, tellurium, platinum, palladium, and rhenium, but does not directly produce copper foil products [2]. Group 2: Future Strategy - Yunnan Copper plans to continue focusing on its core business [2]. - The company aims to enhance asset quality in the future [2]. - There is a commitment to providing returns to a broad base of investors [2].
楚江新材:全资孙公司获得政府补助约2634万元
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-09-18 09:14
Group 1 - The company, Anhui Chuangjiang Technology New Materials Co., Ltd., announced that its wholly-owned subsidiary, Anhui Chuangjiang Senhai Copper Industry Co., Ltd., received government subsidy funds of approximately 26.34 million yuan [1] - This subsidy is related to revenue and is associated with the company's daily operations, representing 11.46% of the audited net profit attributable to the shareholders of the listed company for the fiscal year 2024 [1]
楚江新材(002171.SZ):获得政府补助2634万元
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-09-18 09:11
Group 1 - The company, Chujiang New Materials (002171.SZ), announced that its wholly-owned subsidiary, Anhui Chujiang Senhai Copper Industry Co., Ltd., received government subsidy funds amounting to 26,340,874.47 yuan [1] - This subsidy is related to revenue and is associated with the company's daily operational activities [1] - The subsidy represents 11.46% of the company's audited net profit attributable to shareholders for the fiscal year 2024 [1]
铜陵有色提前赎回“铜陵定02”,提醒投资者注意转股风险
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-18 08:28
铜陵有色金属集团股份有限公司发布提前赎回"铜陵定02"的第十次提示性公告。因自2025年8月13日至9 月4日,公司股票十五个交易日收盘价格不低于"铜陵定02"当期转股价格(3.20元/股)的130%,触发有 条件赎回条款。赎回价格100.063元/张(含当期应计利息),赎回登记日为2025年10月10日,赎回日为 10月13日。截至该日收市后仍未转股的"铜陵定02"将被强制赎回,赎回完成后将在深交所摘牌。公司提 醒投资者注意在限期内转股,否则可能面临损失。 ...
美元维持弱势,基本金属仍有望走强
Zhong Xin Qi Huo· 2025-09-18 07:13
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - The investment ratings for different metals are as follows: copper - oscillating strongly; alumina - short - term oscillating weakly; aluminum - short - term oscillating, medium - term expected to move up; aluminum alloy - short - term oscillating, ADC12 and ADC12 - A00 expected to rise later; zinc - oscillating; lead - oscillating strongly; nickel - oscillating weakly; stainless steel - oscillating; tin - oscillating [8][10][15][18][19][20][23][25][26][27] 2. Core Viewpoint of the Report - The US dollar remains weak, and base metals are still expected to strengthen. Weak US dollar and supply disruptions support prices, but weak terminal demand limits the upside. In the short to medium term, base metals are expected to maintain an oscillating upward pattern. In the long term, potential domestic stimulus policies and supply disruptions in copper, aluminum, and tin support metal prices [3] 3. Summary by Catalog 3.1行情观点 (Market Views) 3.1.1 Copper - **View**: The US dollar index oscillates at a low level, and copper prices operate at a high level. It is expected to be oscillating strongly [8] - **Analysis**: US non - farm employment in August was far lower than expected; a mine in Indonesia suspended operations; August copper production decreased slightly month - on - month; spot copper premiums declined; copper inventory increased; a policy led to production cuts in the recycled copper market; August US CPI rose [8][9] - **Logic**: The low - level US dollar index supports copper prices. Supply is disrupted by mine accidents and policy - induced production cuts. Demand is in the peak season, but inventory reduction is not obvious. If inventory drops, copper prices may strengthen [9] 3.1.2 Alumina - **View**: The weak fundamentals have not improved significantly, and alumina prices are under pressure to fall. It is expected to be oscillating [10] - **Analysis**: Alumina spot prices in different regions declined; an aluminum plant's bid price for alumina decreased; there was a strike warning in a Guinean aluminum - bauxite enterprise; a Guinean company had a strong复产 expectation; there was an overseas alumina transaction; alumina warehouse receipts remained unchanged [10][11][13] - **Logic**: Macro sentiment affects prices. Fundamentally, refinery profits have shrunk, production capacity is at a new high, supply is in excess, and imports may increase, so prices are under pressure [14] 3.1.3 Aluminum - **View**: Pay attention to the demand quality, and aluminum prices oscillate. Short - term consumption and inventory turning points need to be observed, and the medium - term center is expected to move up [15][16] - **Analysis**: Aluminum prices declined slightly; inventory continued to accumulate; a policy on new energy power was released; a company planned to replace and build an electrolytic aluminum project [15] - **Logic**: Short - term interest rate cut expectations are rising, and the US dollar is weak. Supply capacity is high, demand is expected to improve, but the inventory reduction turning point is not clear, so prices oscillate [15] 3.1.4 Aluminum Alloy - **View**: As the first warehouse receipt registration approaches, the futures price oscillates. ADC12 and ADC12 - A00 are expected to rise later, and cross - variety arbitrage opportunities can be considered [18] - **Analysis**: Aluminum alloy prices declined; relevant policies on margin and export tax were introduced; a company extended its product line [16][17][18] - **Logic**: The cost of scrap aluminum supports prices. Supply and demand are both marginally improving, and inventory is accumulating. The AD - AL spread is expected to rise [18] 3.1.5 Zinc - **View**: Inventory continues to accumulate, and zinc prices oscillate. In the long - term, there is room for prices to fall [20] - **Analysis**: Spot zinc discounts remained stable; zinc inventory increased; the import zinc concentrate processing fee was determined [19] - **Logic**: The US labor market is weak, and the US dollar is under pressure. Zinc supply is loose, demand is average, and the market is in excess. With the expectation of Fed rate cuts, zinc prices oscillate in the short term [20] 3.1.6 Lead - **View**: Recycled lead supply decreases, and lead prices oscillate strongly [20] - **Analysis**: Scrap battery prices were stable; lead prices were stable; lead inventory increased due to delivery and is expected to fall after delivery; downstream consumption is in the transition period, and battery factory operating rates are high [20][21][22] - **Logic**: Spot premiums are stable, supply is reduced by policy - induced production cuts, and demand is stable. The supply - demand gap may continue, so prices are oscillating strongly [22][23] 3.1.7 Nickel - **View**: LME nickel inventory increased significantly, and nickel prices oscillate weakly [24] - **Analysis**: LME nickel inventory increased, and domestic inventory decreased slightly; high - nickel pig iron prices were stable; an Indonesian mine was not significantly affected by an incident; a company completed a nickel - mine acquisition [23][24] - **Logic**: Market sentiment dominates the market. The industrial fundamentals are marginally weakening, with increased inventory and weak price support, so prices oscillate weakly [25] 3.1.8 Stainless Steel - **View**: Nickel - iron prices are stable, and stainless steel prices operate weakly. It is expected to oscillate [26] - **Analysis**: Stainless steel warehouse receipts decreased; spot premiums were stable; nickel - iron prices were stable; August stainless steel production increased; inventory decreased slightly [26] - **Logic**: Nickel - iron and chrome - iron prices are stable. Production has recovered, and inventory pressure has eased. Attention should be paid to demand during the peak season [26] 3.1.9 Tin - **View**: Raw material supply is still tight, and tin prices oscillate at a high level [27] - **Analysis**: LME and SHFE tin warehouse receipts changed; spot tin prices declined; the复产 of a mine in Wa State was slow; Indonesian exports will gradually return to normal; African tin production is unstable; domestic tin concentrate processing fees are low, and production rates are falling; tin inventory has increased [27] - **Logic**: Supply is tight, which supports prices. However, terminal demand has weakened, and inventory has increased, so upward momentum is limited [27] 3.2行情监测 (Market Monitoring) - The report lists different metals including copper, alumina, aluminum, aluminum alloy, zinc, lead, nickel, stainless steel, and tin, but no specific monitoring content is provided in the given text [30][44][56][69][82][95][109][124][136] 3.3商品指数 (Commodity Indexes) - On September 17, 2025, the comprehensive index was 2245.98 (- 0.33%), the commodity 20 index was 2515.59 (- 0.45%), and the industrial products index was 2270.66 (+ 0.04%). The non - ferrous metals index was 2396.21, with a daily decline of 0.39%, a 5 - day increase of 0.38%, a 1 - month increase of 1.19%, and a year - to - date increase of 3.81% [155][157]
锌业股份股价跌5.01%,华夏基金旗下1只基金重仓,持有20.54万股浮亏损失3.9万元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-18 06:30
Group 1 - Zinc Industry Co., Ltd. experienced a decline of 5.01% on September 18, with a stock price of 3.60 CNY per share and a trading volume of 210 million CNY, resulting in a turnover rate of 4.07% and a total market capitalization of 5.816 billion CNY [1] - The company, established on September 11, 1992, and listed on June 26, 1997, is primarily engaged in the smelting and sales of zinc and lead, with its main revenue sources being cathode copper (46.36%), zinc products (32.53%), other products (16.32%), non-ferrous metal trading (3.03%), and lead (1.76%) [1] Group 2 - According to data from the top ten holdings of funds, one fund under Huaxia Fund has a significant position in Zinc Industry Co., Ltd. The Huaxia CSI 2000 ETF (562660) held 205,400 shares in the second quarter, accounting for 0.33% of the fund's net value, ranking as the sixth largest holding [2] - The Huaxia CSI 2000 ETF (562660) was established on September 6, 2023, with a latest scale of 194 million CNY. Year-to-date returns are 45.24%, ranking 754 out of 4222 in its category, while the one-year return is 103.55%, ranking 444 out of 3804, and since inception, the return is 64% [2]