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刚刚,大幅下调!关税突袭,影响多大?
券商中国· 2025-05-19 11:28
Economic Outlook - The European Commission has downgraded the economic growth forecast for the Eurozone, expecting a GDP growth of only 0.9% for this year, down from a previous estimate of 1.3% [1][2] - For 2026, the GDP growth is projected to be 1.4%, also lower than the earlier forecast of 1.6% [2] - The downgrade is attributed to rising tariffs, recent shifts in U.S. trade policy, and increased uncertainty regarding tariff configurations [1][2] Trade Relations - The Eurozone's growth outlook is significantly impacted by the ongoing "trade war," leading to strengthened ties between the EU and the UK [1] - A bilateral summit was held between the UK and the EU, marking the first since Brexit, focusing on defense, trade, and fishing rights [5][6] - A breakthrough agreement was reached to significantly reduce trade barriers and extend fishing rights until 2038 [6] Economic Challenges - Germany's economy is stagnating, with a projected growth rate of zero for this year, primarily due to its heavy reliance on exports and rising energy costs [3] - The European Commission noted that the risks to the growth outlook are skewed to the downside, with potential further fragmentation of global trade and climate-related disasters posing ongoing risks [2][3] Inflation and Employment - The unemployment rate in the Eurozone is expected to decline over the next two years, reaching 5.7% next year [4] - Consumer inflation is projected to decrease from 2.4% last year to 2.1% this year, and further down to 1.7% by 2026 [4] Fiscal Outlook - The public finance situation in the Eurozone is expected to slightly deteriorate, with the budget deficit as a percentage of GDP rising from 3.1% last year to 3.2% this year [4] - Public debt as a percentage of GDP is projected to increase from 88.9% in 2024 to 89.9% this year, and further to 91% by 2026 [4]
南向资金今日成交活跃股名单(5月19日)
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2025-05-19 10:49
5月19日恒生指数下跌0.05%,南向资金全天合计成交金额为844.98亿港元,其中,买入成交464.79亿港 元,卖出成交380.19亿港元,合计净买入金额84.59亿港元。具体来看,港股通(深)累计成交金额 321.14亿港元,买入成交166.53亿港元,卖出成交154.61亿港元,合计净买入金额11.92亿港元;港股通 (沪)累计成交金额523.85亿港元,买入成交298.26亿港元,卖出成交225.59亿港元,合计净买入金额 72.68亿港元。 成交活跃股方面,今日上榜个股中,南向资金成交金额最多的是阿里巴巴-W,合计成交额98.74亿港 元,小米集团-W、腾讯控股成交额紧随其后,分别成交88.56亿港元、51.58亿港元。以净买卖金额统 计,净买入的个股共有10只,建设银行净买入额为8.62亿港元,净买入金额居首,该股收盘股价下跌 1.01%,中国移动净买入额为8.13亿港元,盈富基金净买入额为7.97亿港元。净卖出金额最多的是腾讯 控股,净卖出4.72亿港元,该股收盘股价上涨1.18%,小米集团-W、中国海洋石油遭净卖出3.20亿港 元、6902.30万港元。 今日上榜个股中,泡泡玛特、阿里巴巴- ...
能源化工期权策略早报-20250519
Wu Kuang Qi Huo· 2025-05-19 09:12
能源化工期权 2025-05-19 | 期权品种 | 标的合约 | 最新价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量 | 量变化 | 持仓量 | 仓变化 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | (%) | (万手) | | (万手) | | | 原油 | SC2507 | 463 | 1 | 0.30 | 9.58 | 1.43 | 3.03 | 0.35 | | 液化气 | PG2507 | 4,206 | 7 | 0.17 | 3.50 | 0.27 | 5.26 | -0.30 | | 甲醇 | MA2507 | 2,308 | -15 | -0.65 | 1.30 | -0.08 | 0.64 | 0.08 | | 乙二醇 | EG2509 | 4,497 | 8 | 0.18 | 35.10 | 2.80 | 29.17 | 0.53 | | 聚丙烯 | PP2509 | 7,124 | 2 | 0.03 | 28.19 | -9.77 | 41.96 | -0.03 | | 聚氯乙烯 | V2509 | 4,9 ...
整理:每日全球大宗商品市场要闻速递(5月19日)
news flash· 2025-05-19 06:40
Group 1 - The London Metal Exchange (LME) plans to set position limits to curb excessive holdings [1] - Emirates Global Aluminium is advancing plans to build its first new primary aluminium production plant in the United States [1] - Goldman Sachs maintains a cautious outlook on oil prices, citing potential pressure from increased Iranian supply [1] Group 2 - Iranian Foreign Minister states that uranium enrichment activities will continue regardless of any agreements reached [1] - The Iranian President warns Western countries of the consequences of interrupting oil supplies, suggesting they would face paralysis [1] - Turkey has discovered natural gas in the Black Sea valued at $30 billion [1] Group 3 - The CEO of Abu Dhabi National Oil Company indicates that the UAE and the US plan to invest $440 billion in the energy sector by 2035 [1] - According to trade sources, Angola is set to load 33 oil tankers in July, down from 34 in June [1]
股神巴菲特正式宣布“退居二线”!2026年年会不再登台
Jin Shi Shu Ju· 2025-05-19 02:59
据《奥马哈世界先驱报》上周日报道,伯克希尔哈撒韦创始人兼董事长巴菲特将不会登台伯克希尔哈撒 韦的2026年年会,而是希望在他退休后将站在聚光灯下的机会让给他的继任者阿贝尔。 报道称,巴菲特仅将坐在公司董事会旁边,由其继任者、现任副董事长兼候任首席执行官阿贝尔回答问 题。 据悉,伯克希尔最新的秘密股票投资可能是一家工业公司。在上周四提交给美国证交会的13-F文件中, 伯克希尔表示,"在这份公开的13-F表格中省略了一笔或多笔要求保密处理的持股。" 虽然伯克希尔可能买入了不止一只股票,但外媒猜测,该公司只买入了一只股票。根据5月初提交的一 季度10-Q报告,该公司将其近3000亿美元的股票投资组合分为三类:金融、消费和"商业、工业和其 他"类别。商业和工业类别的成本在一季度增加了近20亿美元,该秘密股票的建仓规模可能在这一水 平,这可能就是那只神秘的股票。 投资者可能要等到8月中旬或11月中旬伯克希尔提交第二和第三季度的13F财报时,才能知道这家公司 的身份。 最近的秘密处理请求可能是巴菲特的投资副手之一——托德·库姆斯或泰德·韦施勒所为,特别是在巴菲 特决定在今年年底卸任首席执行官后。这位94岁的传奇人物最近透 ...
宝城期货品种套利数据日报-20250519
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-05-19 01:56
投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1778 号 运筹帷幄 决胜千里 宝城期货品种套利数据日报(2025 年 5 月 19 日) 一、动力煤 | 商品 | | | 动力煤(元/吨) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 日期 | 基差 | 5月-1月 | 9月-1月 | 9月-5月 | | 2025/05/16 | -187.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | | 2025/05/15 | -187.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | | 2025/05/14 | -184.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | | 2025/05/13 | -182.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | | 2025/05/12 | -171.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -250 -200 -150 -100 -50 0 50 100 150 450 550 650 750 850 950 1050 动力煤基差 基差(右) 动力煤现货价:秦皇岛 期货结算价(活跃合约) :动力煤 www.bcqhgs.com 1 杭州市求是路8号公元大厦东南裙 ...
场外布局优质红利资产!工银中证港股通高股息精选ETF联接(A类:024247;C类:024248)正式发行
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-19 00:37
工银瑞信基金公告显示,工银中证港股通高股息精选ETF联接(A类:024247,C类:024248)于5月19日起至6月6日公开发售,市场将再添场外布局港股优 质红利资产新工具。 该基金主要通过投资港股红利ETF(代码:159691),紧密跟踪中证港股通高股息精选指数。中证港股通高股息精选指数从港股通证券中选取30只流动性 好、连续分红、股息率高且兼具盈利持续性与成长性的上市公司证券,采用股息率加权,以反映香港市场高股息与成长性并重的优质企业整体表现。Wind 数据显示,截至2025年5月15日,该指数前十大权重股包括中国移动、中国海洋石油、中国财险、新鸿基地产、电能实业等。前十大权重股合计占比达 75.01%。(注:相关个股仅为指数成分股展示,不作为个股推荐。) | 言言 中证指数 首页 产品与服务 | 研究与洞见 国际合作 | 信息披露 关于我们 | | --- | --- | --- | | CHINA SECURITIES INDEX | | | 图片来源:中证指数官网 此外,港股通高息精选指数创新引入质量因子,通过ROA、净利润增速、现金流等指标筛选高质量标的,有效规避"高股息陷阱"。Wind数据显示 ...
英媒:中国企业正加速拓展东南亚融资渠道,寻求多元化资本布局
Huan Qiu Shi Bao· 2025-05-18 22:52
Group 1 - At least five Chinese companies plan to conduct IPOs, dual listings, or placements in Singapore within the next 12 to 18 months, indicating a trend of Chinese firms seeking to diversify their capital sources in Southeast Asia [1] - The companies planning to list in Singapore span various industries, including an energy company, a medical group, and a Shanghai-based biotechnology firm [1] - Some companies may aim to raise approximately $100 million through listings on the Singapore mainboard [1] Group 2 - This trend is expected to boost the performance of the Singapore Exchange (SGX), which has struggled to attract large listings and increase trading volume [2] - In 2024, the SGX has only recorded four IPOs, and it is not typically the first choice for Chinese companies looking to list overseas, with Hong Kong being more favored [2] - To enhance market attractiveness, Singapore has introduced a series of revitalization measures for the stock market, including tax incentives and simplified listing processes [2] Group 3 - Observers note that Singapore's local investors are relatively conservative, and the stricter listing requirements may hinder the exchange's ability to close the gap with Hong Kong in the short term [2] - Singapore is recognized as a world-class financial center with mature legal and regulatory frameworks, which can be appealing to Chinese companies [2] - Companies need to be aware of market risks, regulatory differences, and valuation recognition when considering listings in Singapore [2]
以包容合作、共同发展谱写时代新乐章(国际论坛)
Ren Min Ri Bao· 2025-05-18 22:02
Group 1 - The article emphasizes the importance of international cooperation, particularly between France and China, in addressing global challenges and fostering technological innovation [2][3] - The establishment of the Greater Bay Area International Vaccine Innovation Center in Shenzhen showcases the collaborative efforts in vaccine distribution and technology, highlighting the potential of cross-cultural partnerships [2] - China's significant market size, with over 1.4 billion people and more than 400 million middle-income individuals, positions it as a vital engine for global economic growth, contributing approximately 30% to global economic growth [3] Group 2 - The deepening cooperation between France and China, especially in third-party market collaborations, has shown substantial potential, with projects in Africa and Central and Eastern Europe [3] - The fourth round of third-party market cooperation projects signed in 2022 includes seven projects in infrastructure, environmental protection, and renewable energy, totaling over $1.7 billion [3] - The article advocates for a future where global development is characterized by collaboration rather than conflict, promoting a harmonious international community [4]
《2025ESG白皮书》:A股企业ESG报告披露率显著增长 金融业覆盖率超90%
Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang· 2025-05-18 13:21
行业分布方面,金融行业的整体披露覆盖率已超过90%,公用事业和能源行业超过60%。地区差异也在缩小,截至2024年8月,西部地区A股上市公司的ESG 报告披露率达45%,较2023年增长13%。《白皮书》指出,这些数据反映出中国企业对可持续发展和社会责任的重视程度不断提高。随着"双碳"目标的深入 推进,碳排放、能源使用效率及绿色供应链已成为最受投资者与公众关注的议题之一。 《白皮书》还显示,中国大型国企与民营企业在ESG信息披露方面各具特色,但都展现出越来越高的透明度与合规性。国企更多是受国家战略引导,披露内 容围绕社会责任、环境管理和安全生产展开,着重展示其对社会公共利益的贡献;而民营企业则更强调市场化驱动和国际化对标,注重通过创新和商业模式 融合,实现可持续发展目标,推动企业在全球竞争中占据有利位置。两类企业在中国ESG信息披露的不同路径和策略中,展现了各自特色,同时也反映出中 国企业在全球资本市场中对可持续发展的日益重视。 《白皮书》同时提到,尽管中国企业的ESG信息披露水平已有显著提升,但在数据质量、信息透明度和报告一致性方面仍存在较大差距。不同企业对"环 境""社会""治理"的定义和指标口径差异明显 ...