农历新年临近，返乡的人多了，村里也变得热闹了。在安徽省马鞍山市当涂县太白镇长江村，四年前从安徽长江钢铁股份有限公司退休的周圣 亮，在村里当起了网格员。沿河埂望去，一些返乡人在河边散步休闲，他不时叮嘱"注意安全"。"如今退休有个事做，村庄的环境也好了，老年生 活过得有滋有味。"周圣亮说。 2019年，隶属于马钢的长江钢铁被宝武集团并购。2020年，根据宝武集团长江流域环境保护总体规划，这家位于村里的钢铁企业也制定了一份 《安徽长江钢铁股份有限公司长江生态保护环境治理规划》，明确在节能低碳、水资源管理、固废利用与处置、废气超低排放等方面进行升级改 造。 走进长江钢铁，记者看到，相较于雨水收集池，工业废水收集池里明显浑浊。长江钢铁能源环保部环保管理室负责人杨忠林说，以前一下暴雨， 厂区污水会和雨水一起向厂区外排放，如今他们将污水和初期雨水集中收集，经气浮到磁混凝高密度池再经过过滤，处理达标后返回至生产用水 系统，"我们每天污水处置量达1.2万吨，这些污水成了节约下来的生产资源，不仅外排污染风险去除了，生产一吨钢的新水消耗比以前下降了约 20%。" 长江村虽然距离长江干流直线距离约5公里，但村名由来并非因为靠近长江。 ...

（文章来源：新华财经） 2026年12月31日前，省级生态环境主管部门组织发电、钢铁、水泥、铝冶炼行业重点排放单位按时足额 完成2025年度碳排放配额清缴。 新华财经北京2月9日电生态环境部办公厅2月9日公布《关于做好2026年全国碳排放权交易市场有关工作 的通知》。其中明确，2026年4月10日前，省级生态环境主管部门向钢铁、水泥、铝冶炼行业重点排放 单位预分配2025年度碳排放配额。2026年6月30日前向发电行业重点排放单位预分配2025年度碳排放配 额。 2026年9月20日前，省级生态环境主管部门基于2025年度核查结果，按照年度配额总量和分配方案核定 2025年度发电、钢铁、水泥、铝冶炼行业重点排放单位应发放配额量，并向全国碳排放权注册登记机构 书面报送相关数据表，进行核定配额的注册登记。9月30日前，省级生态环境主管部门向发电、钢铁、 水泥、铝冶炼行业重点排放单位分配2025年度碳排放配额。 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the document 2. Core Views of the Report - The overall black market is expected to operate in a low - level consolidation. Steel products show a seasonal situation of weak supply and demand, and there may still be capital outflows before the Spring Festival, leading to a decrease in market trading volume. The macro - level is calm and has little impact on prices [12]. - For iron ore, it is recommended to mainly short - allocate. The macro - level driving force has weakened, the supply - demand contradiction has continued to accumulate in the short term, and the price is restricted by the industrial chain profit. The strategy is to conduct range operations and sell out - of - the - money call options [13]. - For coal and coke, the current supply - demand contradiction in the market is general, and the inventory pressure is not large, providing some support for prices. However, due to the off - season effect, there is no continuous upward driving force, and prices fluctuate with market sentiment. Prudent operation is required [14]. - For ferroalloys, before the Spring Festival, the market trading is cold. The alloy fundamentals remain in a situation of weak supply and demand, and there is still inventory pressure. It is expected that the prices will follow the black market and fluctuate within a narrow range before the Spring Festival [16] 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 Week - to - Week Market Review - The closing prices of most futures and spot products in the black industry chain decreased from January 30 to February 6, 2026, except for the scrap steel whose price index increased by 0.61%. For example, the futures price of rebar RB2605 decreased by 1.63%, and the spot price of HRB400E: Φ20 in Shanghai decreased by 0.92% [8] 3.2 This Week's Black Market Forecast Overall Market - Logic: The blast furnace operating rate of 247 steel mills increased, and the average daily hot - metal output also increased. The average capacity utilization rate of 94 independent electric - arc furnace steel mills decreased. As the Spring Festival approaches, the spot market enters the holiday mode, showing a seasonal situation of weak supply and demand. There may be capital outflows before the festival, and the macro - level has little impact on prices [12]. - View: Low - level consolidation [12] Iron Ore - Logic: Macroscopically, the short - term inflation expectation has declined, and the employment has weakened marginally. The domestic economic recovery shows a pulsed characteristic. In terms of supply, although the external ore shipment is in the off - season, it is higher than the same period in previous years. The domestic ore supply is also in the off - season. In terms of demand, the domestic demand has slightly recovered, but the steel mill's profitability is weak, and the terminal demand is in the seasonal off - season. The steel mill's restocking is coming to an end, and the port inventory is at a high level [13]. - View: Short - allocate mainly, conduct range operations and sell out - of - the - money call options [13] Coal and Coke - Logic: The coal and coke futures prices first rose and then fell due to the false rumor of production quota cuts in Indonesia. Recently, the overall trend of steel and ore has been weak, and the off - season restricts the rebound height. The domestic coal mines are starting to shut down for the holiday, and the output is expected to decline significantly. However, the downstream has stocked up in advance, and there is no continuous upward driving force [14]. - View: The supply - demand contradiction is general, and the inventory pressure is not large, providing support for prices. But due to the off - season, there is no continuous upward driving force, and prices fluctuate with market sentiment. Prudent operation is required [14] Ferroalloys - Logic: Overseas, the US manufacturing PMI has entered the expansion range, but the geopolitical situation in the Middle East is tense. Domestically, the three major PMI indices have declined. The prices of ferromanganese and ferrosilicon futures have slightly declined. In terms of supply, the output and operating rate of ferromanganese have slightly shrunk, and those of ferrosilicon have slightly increased. In terms of demand, the demand from steel mills has weakened, and the restocking is coming to an end. In terms of inventory, the inventory of ferromanganese has increased, and that of ferrosilicon has decreased slightly. In terms of cost, the manganese ore price is expected to remain firm, and the cost of ferrosilicon is well - supported [17]. - View: Before the Spring Festival, the market trading is cold. The alloy fundamentals remain in a situation of weak supply and demand, and there is still inventory pressure. It is expected that the prices will follow the black market and fluctuate within a narrow range before the Spring Festival [17] 3.3 Variety Data 3.3.1 Finished Products - **Rebar** - Production: The weekly output last week was 191.68 million tons, with a week - on - week decrease of 8.15 and a year - on - year increase of 7.88. The long - process output was 162.81 million tons, a week - on - week decrease of 4.81 and a year - on - year decrease of 18.79. The short - process output was 28.87 million tons, a week - on - week decrease of 3.34 and a year - on - year increase of 26.67 [20][23]. - Apparent demand: Last week, it was 147.64 million tons, a week - on - week decrease of 28.76 and a year - on - year increase of 16.09 [20]. - Inventory: The social inventory was 365.92 million tons, a week - on - week increase of 39.52 and a year - on - year decrease of 119.45. The steel mill inventory was 153.65 million tons, a week - on - week increase of 4.52 and a year - on - year decrease of 66.36. The total inventory was 519.57 million tons, a week - on - week increase of 44.04 and a year - on - year decrease of 185.81 [27]. - Basis: In Shanghai, the basis for January was 62 yuan/ton, a week - on - week increase of 23 and a year - on - year increase of 72; for May, it was 143 yuan/ton, a week - on - week increase of 21 and a year - on - year increase of 88; for October, it was 96 yuan/ton, a week - on - week increase of 23 and a year - on - year increase of 96 [38]. - **Hot - rolled Coil** - Production: The weekly output last week was 309.16 million tons, a week - on - week decrease of 0.05 and a year - on - year decrease of 14.97 [31]. - Apparent demand: Last week, it was 305.54 million tons, a week - on - week decrease of 5.87 and a year - on - year increase of 7.11 [31]. - Inventory: The social inventory was 280.45 million tons, a week - on - week increase of 2.12 and a year - on - year decrease of 36.92. The steel mill inventory was 78.75 million tons, a week - on - week increase of 1.50 and a year - on - year decrease of 18.20. The total inventory was 359.20 million tons, a week - on - week increase of 3.62 and a year - on - year decrease of 55.12 [35]. - Basis: In Shanghai, the basis for January was - 44 yuan/ton, a week - on - week increase of 22 and a year - on - year increase of 34; for May, it was - 1 yuan/ton, a week - on - week increase of 17 and a year - on - year decrease of 4; for October, it was - 19 yuan/ton, a week - on - week increase of 22 and a year - on - year increase of 18 [45] 3.3.2 Iron Ore - Imported ore port inventory (45 ports): The total inventory this week was 17140.71 million tons, a week - on - week increase of 118.45 and a year - on - year increase of 1748.18. The Australian ore inventory was 7903.27 million tons, a week - on - week increase of 104.08 and a year - on - year increase of 1155.26. The Brazilian ore inventory was 5536.43 million tons, a week - on - week decrease of 47.54 and a year - on - year decrease of 427.29 [49]. - 247 steel mills' imported ore inventory/consumption: The inventory was 10316.64 million tons, a week - on - week increase of 348.05 and a year - on - year increase of 821.90. The inventory - to - sales ratio was 36.55, a week - on - week increase of 1.07 and a year - on - year increase of 3.36. The daily consumption was 282.24 million tons/day, a week - on - week increase of 1.28 and a year - on - year decrease of 2.93 [60]. - 247 steel mills' operating rate/profitability: The blast furnace operating rate was 79.53%, a week - on - week increase of 0.53 percentage points and a year - on - year increase of 1.55 percentage points. The iron - making utilization rate was 85.69%, a week - on - week increase of 0.22 percentage points and a year - on - year decrease of 0.07 percentage points. The profitability rate was 39.39%, unchanged from the previous week and a year - on - year decrease of 12.13 percentage points [64]. - Global shipments (19 ports): The total global shipment this week was 2535.3 million tons, a week - on - week decrease of 559.3 and a year - on - year increase of 200.4. The shipment from Australia and Brazil to the world was 1881.1 million tons, a week - on - week decrease of 585.4 and a year - on - year decrease of 17.0 [68] 3.3.3 Coal and Coke - Coke inventory: The total inventory (coke enterprises + steel mills + ports) last week was 976.2 million tons, a week - on - week increase of 15.53 and a year - on - year decrease of 48.7. The independent coke enterprises' inventory was 82.7 million tons, a week - on - week decrease of 1.7 and a year - on - year decrease of 74.0 [93]. - Coking coal inventory: The total inventory (coke enterprises + steel mills + coal mines + ports + coal washing plants) last week was 2998.56 million tons, a week - on - week increase of 84.18 and a year - on - year increase of 80.0 [100]. - Independent coke enterprises' average profit per ton of coke: Last week, it was - 10 yuan, a week - on - week increase of 45 and a year - on - year increase of 17 [105]. - Independent coke enterprises' capacity utilization rate and daily coke output: The capacity utilization rate last week was 72.2%, a week - on - week increase of 0.3 and a year - on - year decrease of 0.8. The daily coke output was 63.1 million tons, a week - on - week increase of 0.3 and a year - on - year decrease of 1.93 [109] 3.3.4 Ferroalloys - Spot prices: On February 6, the price of semi - carbonate manganese ore in Tianjin Port was 36 yuan/dry ton degree, unchanged from the previous week and a year - on - year decrease of 5. The spot price of ferromanganese in Inner Mongolia was 6520 yuan/ton, a week - on - week increase of 820 and a year - on - year increase of 120. The spot price of ferrosilicon in Inner Mongolia was 5370 yuan/ton, a week - on - week increase of 40 and a year - on - year decrease of 680 [132]. - Manganese ore inventory: In the week of January 30, the total port inventory was 435.7 million tons, a week - on - week increase of 10.9 and a year - on - year increase of 42.3. The inventory in Tianjin Port was 332.5 million tons, a week - on - week increase of 9.5 and a year - on - year decrease of 4.8 [136]. - Output: The weekly output of ferromanganese was 190995 tons, a week - on - week decrease of 1400 and a year - on - year decrease of 2345. The weekly output of ferrosilicon was 9.92 million tons, a week - on - week increase of 0.07 and a year - on - year decrease of 1.11 [139][141]. - Demand: The weekly demand for ferromanganese from five major steel products was 116059 tons, a week - on - week decrease of 1161 and a year - on - year increase of 2251. The weekly demand for ferrosilicon was 18497.7 tons, a week - on - week decrease of 261 and a year - on - year increase of 621 [143]. - Inventory: On February 6, the inventory of ferromanganese was 377800 tons, a week - on - week increase of 3500 and a year - on - year increase of 227300. The inventory of ferrosilicon was 66860 tons, a week - on - week decrease of 1040 and a year - on - year decrease of 9380 [147]

证券日报网讯2月9日，安阳钢铁（600569）发布公告称，截至公告披露日，公司及控股子公司担保总额 为577634.67万元，占公司最近一期经审计净资产的比例为218.19%，其中公司对控股子公司提供的担保 总额为人民币566634.67万元，占公司最近一期经审计净资产的比例为214.03%；因向控股股东安阳钢铁 集团有限责任公司出售原控股子公司安钢集团永通球墨铸铁管有限责任公司全部股权，形成关联担保总 额11000万元，占公司最近一期经审计净资产的比例为4.16%。截至本公告披露日，公司无逾期对外担 保的情形。 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The supply and demand of steel products are weak, and steel prices are fluctuating. The supply side shows that steel mills are reducing production, while the demand side is weak due to the approaching festival. The cost - side support is weakening, and the steel market is expected to operate weakly and fluctuate in the short term, with attention paid to the demand recovery after the festival [4][5]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Supply - Steel mills are reducing production. The weekly output of rebar at major steel mills nationwide is 1916800 tons (-81500 tons), and the weekly output of hot - rolled coils is 3091600 tons (-500 tons). From a process perspective, the long - process rebar output decreased by 48100 tons, and the short - process output decreased by 33400 tons [4][34]. 3.2 Demand - As the festival approaches, demand is weak, and the demand for hot - rolled coils has declined. The apparent demand for rebar last week was 1476400 tons (-287600 tons), and the apparent demand for hot - rolled coils was 3055400 tons (-58700 tons). The weekly average trading volume of rebar is 34800 tons, and that of hot - rolled coils is 25000 tons, with the trading volume of hot - rolled coils decreasing [4][43][47]. 3.3 Inventory - Rebar inventory accumulation has increased, and hot - rolled coil inventory has also accumulated. The total rebar inventory is 5195700 tons (+440400 tons), the social inventory is 3695200 tons (+395200 tons), and the steel mill inventory is 1536500 tons (+45200 tons). The total hot - rolled coil inventory is 3592000 tons (+36200 tons), the social inventory is 2804500 tons (+21500 tons), and the steel mill inventory is 787500 tons (+15000 tons). The inventory of major steel products is 9401300 tons, a week - on - week increase of 491500 tons, and the billet inventory in Tangshan is 578000 tons, a week - on - week increase of 49500 tons [6][50]. 3.4 Price - As of February 6, the national aggregated average price of rebar is 3306 yuan/ton, a week - on - week decrease of 10 yuan/ton; the national aggregated average price of hot - rolled coils is 3284 yuan/ton, a week - on - week decrease of 15 yuan/ton [10]. 3.5 Basis - As of February 6, the basis of the main rebar contract is 143 yuan/ton (+21 yuan/ton), and the basis of the main hot - rolled coil contract is - 1 yuan/ton (+17 yuan/ton) [5]. 3.6 Raw Materials - The cost - side support is weakening. The price of quasi - first - grade metallurgical coke is 1470 yuan/ton, the price of main coking coal in Lvliang is 1483 yuan/ton, and the price of 61.5% PB powder at Qingdao Port is 765 yuan/ton, with a week - on - week change of - 29 yuan/ton [15][16]. 3.7 Other Market Indicators - The profitability rate of steel mills has fallen to 39.39%. The molten iron output is 2285800 tons, a week - on - week increase of 6000 tons. The blast furnace operating rate is 79.53%, a week - on - week increase of 0.53%; the blast furnace capacity utilization rate is 85.69%, a week - on - week increase of 0.22%; the electric furnace operating rate is 57.33%, a week - on - week decrease of 13.33%; the electric furnace capacity utilization rate is 48.12%, a week - on - week decrease of 7.59%. The Tangshan blast furnace operating rate is 92.3%, a week - on - week increase of 2.46% [5][29]. 3.8 Industry - related Data - In November, steel exports were 9.98 million tons, a month - on - month increase of 197800 tons; from January to November, the cumulative steel export volume was 107.7 million tons, a cumulative year - on - year increase of 6.7%. In November, hot - rolled coil exports were 1.8303 million tons. In November, automobile production was 3.532 million vehicles, a month - on - month increase of 173300 vehicles; automobile sales were 3.429 million tons, a month - on - month increase of 106900 tons. In November, new energy vehicle production was 1.88 million vehicles, a month - on - month increase of 108000 vehicles; new energy vehicle sales were 1.823 million tons, a month - on - month increase of 108000 tons. From January to December, national real estate development investment decreased by 17.2% year - on - year, the cumulative new housing construction area decreased by 20.4% year - on - year, the cumulative housing completion area decreased by 18.1% year - on - year, the new commercial housing sales area decreased by 8.7% year - on - year, the new commercial housing sales volume decreased by 12.6% year - on - year, and the funds in place for development enterprises decreased by 13.4% year - on - year [60][64][68].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The main contract price of rebar oscillated downward with a daily decline of 0.84%, showing a decrease in volume and an increase in open interest. As the holiday approaches, both supply and demand of rebar are weakening, and the fundamentals remain weak. The steel price in the off - season continues to be under pressure, with cost support being a relative positive factor. It is expected to continue the weak oscillating trend, and attention should be paid to inventory changes [5]. - The main contract price of hot - rolled coil oscillated weakly with a daily decline of 0.55%, and both volume and open interest increased. Currently, the supply of hot - rolled coil is at a high level while the demand is weakening. The fundamentals are weak, and the price will continue to oscillate at a low level under pressure. Attention should be paid to the demand performance and beware of the intensified contradiction of weakening demand [5]. - The main contract price of iron ore oscillated at a low level with a daily decline of 0.46%, and both volume and open interest decreased. At present, although the demand for iron ore has slightly recovered, the improvement is limited, and the supply pressure has limited relief. The fundamentals of iron ore are weak. Under the dominance of the real - world logic, the ore price is expected to remain under pressure and run weakly. Attention should be paid to the performance of finished steel [5]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Industry Dynamics - According to the C50 Wind Direction Index survey, the liquidity in February is likely to remain stable and loose. Although there are three phased disturbances in February, the central bank's attitude of loose monetary policy is obvious, and liquidity injection is expected to increase. Among 20 market institutions surveyed, 1 believes there is basically no liquidity gap, 17 think the overall capital pressure is not large and the liquidity gap may be about one trillion yuan, and 2 believe it is neutral and tight with a liquidity gap exceeding two trillion yuan [7]. - In 2026, the sales of automobile trade - in programs exceeded 50 billion yuan. As of February 5, 2026, there were 335,000 subsidy applications for automobile trade - in, driving new - car sales of 53.77 billion yuan. In January, the average price of new cars involved in trade - in exceeded 160,000 yuan, and the number of scrapped automobiles recycled nationwide was 659,000, a year - on - year increase of 50.2% [8]. - On February 6, 2026, Brazil's Department of Foreign Trade Secretariat of the Ministry of Development, Industry, Trade and Services issued Announcement No. 6 of 2026, making a positive preliminary anti - dumping ruling on wire rods originating from China and Russia. It suggested continuing the investigation without implementing temporary anti - dumping measures and extended the deadline for making a final ruling to within 18 months from the date of filing the case [9]. 3.2 Spot Market - The spot prices of rebar in Shanghai, Tianjin, and the national average are 3,190 yuan, 3,150 yuan, and 3,304 yuan respectively, with price changes of 0 yuan, - 10 yuan, and - 2 yuan. The spot prices of hot - rolled coil in Shanghai, Tianjin, and the national average are 3,240 yuan, 3,140 yuan, and 3,283 yuan respectively, with price changes of - 10 yuan, - 10 yuan, and - 1 yuan. The price of Tangshan billet is 2,910 yuan with no change, and the price of Zhangjiagang heavy scrap is 2,160 yuan with no change. The volume - spiral spread is 5 yuan, and the spiral - scrap spread is 1,030 yuan [10]. - The price of PB powder at Shandong ports is 757 yuan with a change of 1 yuan, the price of Tangshan iron concentrate (wet basis) is 767 yuan with no change, the Australian and Brazilian freight rates are 8.45 yuan and 23.46 yuan respectively, with changes of 0.11 yuan and - 0.11 yuan. The SGX swap (current month) is 99.58 yuan with a change of - 1.32 yuan, and the iron ore price index (61% FE, CFR) is 98.70 yuan with a change of - 1.60 yuan [10]. 3.3 Futures Market - The closing price of the rebar futures active contract is 3,064 yuan, with a decline of 0.84%. The highest price is 3,083 yuan, the lowest price is 3,060 yuan, the trading volume is 665,539 lots with a decrease of 57,768 lots, and the open interest is 2,005,501 lots with an increase of 90,248 lots [12]. - The closing price of the hot - rolled coil futures active contract is 3,239 yuan, with a decline of 0.55%. The highest price is 3,253 yuan, the lowest price is 3,235 yuan, the trading volume is 348,786 lots with an increase of 72,117 lots, and the open interest is 1,499,810 lots with an increase of 15,200 lots [12]. - The closing price of the iron ore futures active contract is 761.5 yuan, with a decline of 0.46%. The highest price is 765.0 yuan, the lowest price is 757.5 yuan, the trading volume is 169,680 lots with a decrease of 46,579 lots, and the open interest is 513,384 lots with a decrease of 1,361 lots [12]. 3.4 Related Charts - The report presents various charts related to steel and iron ore inventories, including weekly changes in rebar and hot - rolled coil inventories, total inventories (steel mills + social warehouses), and iron ore inventories at 45 ports, 247 steel mills, and domestic mines. It also shows charts of steel mill production, such as the blast furnace operating rate, capacity utilization rate, and profitability of 247 sample steel mills, as well as the operating rate and profitability of 94 independent electric - arc furnace steel mills [14][20][29] 3.5 Market Outlook - For rebar, as the holiday approaches, both supply and demand are seasonally weakening, and inventory is continuously accumulating. The weekly output of rebar decreased by 81,500 tons, and the inventory level is significantly higher than the same period last lunar year. Demand is in a weak seasonal pattern, and the weak demand pattern is difficult to change, dragging down the steel price. The cost support is a relative positive factor. It is expected to continue the weak oscillating trend, and attention should be paid to inventory changes [37]. - For hot - rolled coil, the supply - demand pattern has little change, and inventory has increased again. The weekly output of hot - rolled coil decreased slightly by 50 tons, remaining at a relatively high level, and the inventory level is high. The demand for hot - rolled coil is weakening, and although the downstream cold - rolled production is at a high level, there are concerns about demand. The price will continue to oscillate at a low level under pressure, and attention should be paid to demand performance [37]. - For iron ore, the supply - demand pattern remains weak, and inventory is continuously rising. Although the terminal consumption of ore has slightly increased, the improvement in demand is limited due to the poor profitability of steel mills and the accumulation of steel market contradictions. The supply of overseas ore has shrunk in the short term, and the supply pressure has limited relief. The ore price is expected to remain under pressure and run weakly, and attention should be paid to the performance of finished steel [38].

Report Overview - The report is a fixed - income report released on February 9, 2026, focusing on high - frequency economic data analysis and providing investment - related insights [1] Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content Core Viewpoints - High - frequency economic data shows production heat differentiation, with rising coke oven, blast furnace, and PTA operating rates and falling asphalt and tire operating rates [2][31] - The commercial housing transaction area decreases, while the land supply area slightly increases [2][31] - Overall prices are declining, including energy, metal, and agricultural product prices [2][31] - As the holiday approaches, subway passenger volume and peak congestion index in first - tier cities decline, while domestic and international flight volumes grow rapidly [2][31] - Short - term focus should be on the implementation of fiscal and monetary coordinated policies [2][31] Summary by Directory 1. Production - **Steel**: Coke oven capacity utilization increases by 0.48 pct, blast furnace operating rate rises by 0.53 pct, and rebar production drops by 8.15 tons. The inventory increases by 4.52 tons [8] - **Petroleum Asphalt**: The operating rate drops by 1.0 pct to 24.5% [8] - **Chemical Industry**: PX operating rate remains flat, while PTA operating rate increases by 1.07 pct to 76.9% [8] - **Automobile Tires**: The full - steel tire operating rate drops by 1.74 pct to 60.7%, and the semi - steel tire operating rate drops by 2.08 pct to 72.76% [9] 2. Demand - **Real Estate**: The commercial housing transaction area decreases by 28.05 square meters to 123.24 square meters. The inventory - to - sales ratio drops by 1.83 to 114.86. The land supply area increases by 29.65 square meters to 1021.03 square meters, and the residential land transaction premium rate drops by 2.91 pct to 0.01% [13] - **Movie Box Office**: The box office drops by 0.2 billion yuan to 284 million yuan [13] - **Shipping Freight Rates**: The SCFI index drops by 3.81%, the CCFI index drops by 4.55%, and the BDI index drops by 10.47% [16] 3. Prices - **Energy**: Brent crude oil price drops by 3.73% to $68.05 per barrel, and coking coal futures price drops by 1.83% to 1154 yuan per ton [20] - **Metals**: LME copper, aluminum, and zinc futures prices change by - 0.08%, - 0.81%, and + 0.39% respectively, and domestic rebar futures price drops by 1.81% [21] - **Agricultural Products**: The agricultural product wholesale price 200 index drops by 0.70%. Pork, egg, and vegetable prices drop by 1.45%, 1.28%, and 1.78% respectively, while fruit prices increase by 0.25% [24] 4. Logistics - **Subway Passenger Volume**: In Beijing, it drops by 5.73 million person - times to 9.9066 million person - times, with a weekly change of - 0.57%. In Shanghai, it drops by 8.57 million person - times to 9.96 million person - times, with a weekly change of - 0.85% [27] - **Flight Volume**: Domestic (excluding Hong Kong, Macao, and Taiwan) flight volume increases by 1050.43 flights to 14699.14 flights, with a weekly change of 7.7%. Domestic (Hong Kong, Macao, and Taiwan) flight volume increases by 15.57 flights to 397.29 flights, with a weekly change of 4.08%. International flight volume increases by 107.43 flights to 1929.43 flights, with a weekly change of 5.9% [28] - **Urban Traffic**: The peak congestion index in first - tier cities drops by 0.07 to 1.58, with a weekly change of - 4.15% [28]

研究所 黑色金属研发报告 黑色金属日报 2026 年 02 月 09 日 螺纹热卷日报 第一部分 市场信息 1/ 10 研究员：戚纯怡 期货从业证号： F03113636 投资咨询证号： Z0018817 研究所 黑色金属研发报告 第二部分 市场研判 【相关价格】 现货：网价上海中天螺纹 3190 元（-），北京敬业 3120 元（-），上海鞍钢热卷 3250 元（-），天津河钢热卷 3140 元（-）。 :021-65789253 :qichunyi_qh@chinastock.c om.cn 【交易策略】 今日钢材盘面维持震荡偏弱走势，整体波动率偏低，钢材现货成交整体一般偏 弱。上周钢联数据公布，五大材整体减产，但铁水仍然增产，钢厂陆续进入节日停产 检修的模式；钢材总库存加快累库进度，其中螺纹累库进度快于热卷，总体社库压力 大于厂库；近期天气转冷，下游工地陆陆续续停工，建材需求快速下滑；而钢材出口 受出口许可证下滑，海外制造业陆续结束补库，热卷需求同样下行。整体钢材基本面 边际转弱。近期铁水持续复产，叠加钢厂仍有补库需求，对原料成本产生支撑。预计 节前钢材仍然跟随宏观情绪维持震荡走势。但目前钢材库存偏高， ...

2026 年 02 月 09 日 信任命 相关研究 证券分析师 郭中伟 A0230524120004 quozw@swsresearch.com 马焰明 A0230523090003 maym@swsresearch.com 陈松涛 A0230523090002 chenst@swsresearch.com 马昕晔 A0230511090002 maxy@swsresearch.com 联系人 郭中耀 A0230124070003 quozy@swsresearch.com 价格波动较大，向好趋势不 金属&新材料行业周报 20260202-20260206 本期投资提示: 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 波段人分出品 若研究报 申万宏源研究微信服务号 o 一周行情回顾：据 iFind，环比上周 1）上证指数下跌 1.27%，深证成指下跌 2.11%，沪深 300 下跌 1.33%，有色金属（申 万 指数下跌 8.51%，跑输沪深 300 指数 7.18 个百分点，2) 分子板块看，环比上周，贵金属下跌 17.38%，铝下跌 6.24%，能源金属下跌 3.59%，小金属下跌 3.20%，铜下跌 9. ...

Core Viewpoint - The focus of the 2026 state-owned enterprise reform is to deepen the "three systems" reform, emphasizing the integration of technological innovation and industrial innovation to enhance productivity and drive economic growth [1] Group 1: Technological Innovation in State-Owned Enterprises - Central enterprises have invested 1.1 trillion yuan in R&D, maintaining over 1 trillion yuan for four consecutive years, and have established 23 innovation alliances with over 100 participants [2] - The China State Construction Engineering Corporation has developed a roof system for the Shenzhen Qianhai Ice and Snow World that can withstand typhoons and generate 6.3 million kWh of green electricity annually [2] - The roof features a photovoltaic system with an area of approximately 35,000 square meters, achieving a conversion efficiency of 20% [2] Group 2: Integration of Innovation and Industry - The State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission (SASAC) emphasizes the deep integration of technological and industrial innovation, aiming to reshape the industrial chain through technological advancements [1][6] - SASAC supports the establishment of 97 original technology sources and has facilitated the promotion of over 1,000 outstanding technological achievements across more than 6,000 enterprises [6][7] - The focus for this year includes increasing high-quality technological supply, enhancing efficient results transformation, and building a high-level innovation ecosystem [6][7] Group 3: Strategic Development and Policy Support - Central enterprises are encouraged to strengthen their role in innovation, with a focus on key core technology breakthroughs and increasing the proportion of basic research investment [7] - The annual meetings of various central enterprises have led to new deployments for technological and industrial innovation, with a focus on optimizing innovation layouts and integrating AI with traditional energy sectors [8] - The importance of state-owned enterprises as a crucial part of the national strategic technological force is highlighted, with calls for improved policies and incentives to support original technology development [8]