2025年7月9日 星期三 股债 数据体现我国经济韧性,市场避险情绪缓和,建议股指多头持有。市场利率 盘整,国债走势窄幅反弹,国债多头轻仓持有。 黑色 临汾地区部分停产煤矿陆续复产,"反内卷"下成材供应或有望收缩,关注 政策的具体文件落地,需求侧暂无明显增量,螺纹供需弱平衡。 黄金 东南亚产区天气趋于缓和,割胶工作逐步恢复,胶水系需求拖拽,与原料杯 胶价格表现分化。轮胎样本企业产能利用率下行。供需两端矛盾未有明显缓 解,天然橡胶价格仍延续承压。 特朗普延长关税暂缓期,贸易谈判显示乐观情绪,但仍存不确定性。市场对 美联储最早降息时间推至10月,关注本周美联储会议纪要。预计黄金维持高 位震荡。 原木 现货市价格偏稳运行,到港量预计环减,供应中枢下移,供应压力减缓,日 均出库量维持在6.7万方左右,供需矛盾不大,关注原木期货交割对原木价格 的影响。 橡胶 生猪 当前养殖端挺价情绪较强,北方多地生猪走货顺畅,猪价短期或延续涨势, 进入7月后,南方生猪供应预计偏紧,或接棒北方引领新一轮行情上涨。 - 浙江新世纪期货有限公司 - 客服热线:400-700-2828 关注#新世纪期货#微信公众号 了解更多 油粗 美豆种植面 ...

Group 1: Macro Insights - The recent tariff increase by the US affects 14 countries, including Japan, South Korea, and ASEAN nations, with a significant adjustment in tariffs on Vietnam to 20% and 40% on transshipment trade [2] - The overall US tariff level is expected to remain between 15-20%, while tariffs on China are likely to stay between 30-40%, with a stronger focus on specific categories [2] Group 2: Market Trends - The market is currently in a volatile phase, with structural highlights present but facing resistance; trading funds remain active, while foreign passive allocation shows significant inflows [3] - The net outflow of broad-based ETFs reached a new high since March, indicating potential market instability [3] Group 3: Fixed Income and Asset Correlation - Changes in global order have altered asset pricing logic, leading to a unique positive correlation between US stocks, the dollar, and bonds, resulting in increased volatility [4] - The domestic stock-bond negative correlation provides a favorable environment for diversified asset allocation [4] Group 4: Machinery Industry - Excavator sales in June reached 18,800 units, a year-on-year increase of 13.3%, with exports growing by 19% [5] - The growth in second-hand excavator exports is expected to stimulate domestic replacement demand, benefiting leading companies in the sector [5] Group 5: Agriculture Sector - The "anti-involution" policy in the pig farming industry is expected to release inventory and positively impact pig prices in the autumn and winter seasons [7] - Major pig farming companies are adjusting their production strategies, which may enhance overall profitability in the long term [7] Group 6: Chemical and Oil Industry - The capital expenditure growth rate in the chemical and oil sector is declining, indicating a potential turning point in industry prosperity [9] - The demand recovery in downstream chemical products is anticipated alongside a reduction in capital expenditure, which may lead to a recovery in the second half of 2025 [9] Group 7: Telecommunications Industry - The global telecommunications industry is experiencing steady growth, driven by demand in emerging markets and increasing ARPU in North America [10] - The integration of AI technologies is expected to bring transformative opportunities to the telecommunications sector [10] Group 8: Electric Power and New Energy - The recent policy from the National Development and Reform Commission aims to promote the construction of high-power charging facilities, which is expected to enhance the profitability of equipment manufacturers [11] - The goal is to have over 100,000 high-power charging facilities nationwide by the end of 2027, indicating strong policy support for the sector [11] Group 9: Company Performance - Shengquan Group expects a net profit of 491-513 million yuan for the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 48%-55% [12] - Industrial Fulian anticipates a net profit of 11.958-12.158 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, marking a growth of 36.84%-39.12% [14]

Group 1 - Xi Jinping emphasized the development of wind power, hydrogen energy, and other energy sources to build a new energy system while ensuring coal supply responsibilities [1] - The coal industry is encouraged to transition from low-end to high-end products, moving from primary fuels to high-value products [1] Group 2 - Trump announced a 50% tariff on copper products and up to 200% on pharmaceuticals, causing New York copper futures to surge by 17% to a record high [2] - The potential tariffs could increase costs for many industries reliant on copper and disrupt the global copper supply chain [2] Group 3 - The State Council issued a directive to promote the application of AI large models and new technologies in government services to enhance administrative efficiency [3] - The focus is on ensuring safety while steadily advancing the integration of these technologies [3] Group 4 - Tongwei Co. stated that there is no confirmed news regarding the recent rumors of silicon material storage, but prices for silicon materials have significantly increased [4] - The photovoltaic sector is actively responding to market conditions, leading to notable performance among silicon material companies [4] Group 5 - The Chinese government is set to release June CPI data, which may impact market expectations and investment strategies [5] - Investment advice emphasizes avoiding foolish mistakes rather than trying to appear overly clever, highlighting the importance of long-term advantages [5] Group 6 - Various securities firms suggest that "anti-involution" and AI are key drivers for market growth, with potential for major financial and cyclical resource sectors to lead the way [6][7] - There is a high probability of the Shanghai Composite Index breaking through the 3500-point mark, with financial and technology sectors expected to play crucial roles [7] Group 7 - Seven departments jointly released opinions to accelerate the construction of a universal childcare service system, indicating growth potential in the maternal and infant sector [8] - Zhejiang province launched a consumption promotion action for the summer of 2025, focusing on cultural tourism and sports events, which may benefit related sectors [9] Group 8 - Meta reportedly invested $3.5 billion in a European partner for AI smart glasses, which are expected to be a key application for AI technology [10] - The market is anticipated to enter a phase of intensive new product releases, benefiting the related industry chain [10] Group 9 - Shen Shen Fang A reported a net profit of 85 million to 120 million yuan for the first half of the year, marking a year-on-year increase of 1411.70% to 2034.17% [11] - Shengnong Development expects a net profit of 850 million to 950 million yuan for the first half of the year, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 732.89% to 830.88% [13]

登录新浪财经APP 搜索【信披】查看更多考评等级 证券代码：002661 证券简称：克明食品 公告编号：2025-073 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露内容的真实、准确和完整，没有虚假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗 漏。 2、生猪市场价格波动的风险是整个生猪生产行业的系统风险，对任何一家生猪生产者来说，都是客观 存在的、不可控制的外部风险。生猪市场价格的大幅波动，可能会对公司的经营业绩产生重大影响。 四、其他提示 陈克明食品股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）控股子公司阿克苏兴疆牧歌食品股份有限公司（以下简 称"兴疆牧歌"）经营范围包括畜禽养殖业务，现公司就每月畜禽销售情况进行披露，具体内容如下： 一、2025年6月生猪销售情况 兴疆牧歌2025年6月份销售生猪5.88万头，销量环比增长21.79%，同比增长144.37%；销售收入5,826.16 万元，销售收入环比增长11.20%，同比增长111.22%。 2025年1-6月，公司累计销售生猪29.73万头，较去年同期增长27.13%；累计销售收入32,914.54万元，较 去年同期增长18.80%。 上述数据未经审计，与定期报告披露的数据之间可能存在差异，因此 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company expects significant growth in its financial performance for the first half of 2025, with a substantial increase in net profit attributed to various operational improvements and strategic initiatives [1]. Financial Performance Summary - The company anticipates a net profit attributable to shareholders of approximately 850 million CNY, representing a year-on-year increase of 732.89% [1]. - The net profit after deducting non-recurring gains is projected to be around 330 million CNY, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 256.20% [1]. - Basic earnings per share are expected to rise to 0.6893 CNY, compared to 0.0816 CNY in the same period last year [1]. Performance Drivers - The significant increase in performance is primarily driven by the growth in market share, particularly in the C-end retail channel, alongside steady growth in export and catering sectors [1]. - The company has improved its cost structure, with a notable reduction in comprehensive meat production costs compared to the previous year, which has helped mitigate market price pressures [1]. - Non-recurring gains from the valuation difference of long-term equity investments are estimated to contribute approximately 540 million to 550 million CNY to the net profit, positively impacting the consolidated financial results [1]. Strategic Outlook - The company plans to leverage its unique core advantages derived from self-sufficient breeding sources and an integrated industry chain layout to build resilience against industry cyclicality [1]. - The focus will remain on high-quality development to create greater value for shareholders, using the strong performance in the first half of 2025 as a new starting point [1].

湖南一星律师事务 所 法律意见书 湖南一星律师事务所 关于唐人神集团股份有限公司 2025 年 第一次临时股东会的法律意见书 致：唐人神集团股份有限公司 湖南一星律师事务所（以下简称本所）接受唐人神集团股份有限公司（以下 简称公司）的委托，依据《中华人民共和国公司法》《中华人民共和国证券法》 《上市公司股东会规则》等法律、法规和规范性文件以及《公司章程》的规定， 出具本法律意见。本法律意见书仅供贵公司 2025 年第一次临时股东会之目的使用。 为出具本法律意见书，本所负责出具法律意见的谭清炜、杨萍律师（下称经 办律师）依法出席本次股东会，对其所涉及的有关事项进行了审查，查阅了《公 司章程》及其他有关文件。根据《上市公司股东会规则》要求，按照律师行业公 认的业务标准、道德规范和勤勉尽责的精神，现出具法律意见如下： 一、本次股东会的召集、召开程序 所 法律意见书 本次股东会由公司董事会召集，公司董事会已于 2025 年 6 月 19 日在巨潮资 讯网、《中国证券报》《证券时报》《证券日报》《上海证券报》公告了《关于 召开 2025 年第一次临时股东会的通知》，将本次股东会的召开时间、地点、会议 议程及审议事项以公 ...

Group 1 - The company reported a pig sales volume of 413,200 heads in June 2025, which includes 401,600 heads of commercial pigs and 11,600 heads of piglets, showing an increase from 293,500 heads in June 2024, where commercial pig sales rose by 37.75% [1] - The sales revenue for June 2025 reached 4,484.02 million yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 51.99% [1] - The disclosed data is preliminary and may differ from the figures in regular reports, serving only as a reference for investors [1] Group 2 - The increase in sales volume is attributed to a rise in production capacity [1] - The announcement emphasizes that the disclosed information pertains solely to the company's pig farming business, excluding feed and meat product sales [1] - The company acknowledges the inherent risks associated with market price fluctuations in the pig industry, which can significantly impact operational performance [1]

7月8日晚间，白羽肉鸡龙头企业圣农发展（002299）披露了一份亮眼的业绩预告。 公司预计2025年上半年实现归母净利润为8.5亿至9.5亿元，同比增长732.89%至830.88%，上年同期为 1.02亿元；预计扣非归母净利润为3.3亿元至4.2亿元，同比增长256%至353.35%，上年同期为9264.33万 元。 | 项目 | 本报告期 | 上年同期 | | --- | --- | --- | | 归属于上市公司 | 盈利: 85,000.00 万元— 95,000.00 万元 | 盈利: 10,205.43 万元 | | 股东的净利润 | 比上年同期增长 732.89 %- 830.88% | | | 扣除非经常性损 | 盈利: 33,000.00 万元— 42,000.00 万元 | 盈利: 9.264.33 万元 | | 益后的净利润 | 比上年同期下增长 256.20 %- 353.35% | | | 基本每股收益 | 盈利:0.6893元/股— 0.7705元/股 | 盈利: 0.0816 元/股 | 公司官网介绍，圣农发展是亚洲最大白羽肉鸡公司圣农集团的A股上市企业，建立集自主育种、种鸡养 ...

正帆科技：拟收购汉京半导体约62%股权 正帆科技公告称，公司拟以现金方式购买辽宁汉京半导体材料有限公司（以下简称汉京半导体）5名股 东持有的62.23%股权，交易完成后，汉京半导体将成为正帆科技的控股子公司。汉京半导体拥有高精 密石英和先进陶瓷材料制造技术，主要产品包括石英管、石英舟、石英环等。 每经记者｜范芊芊 每经编辑｜文多 并购重组 增减持 严牌股份：控股股东一致行动人拟增持公司股份 严牌股份公告称，公司控股股东、实际控制人的一致行动人天台友凤投资咨询管理有限公司计划自公告 披露日起6个月内，通过深圳证券交易所允许的方式增持公司A股股份，增持总金额不低于1700万元， 不超过3400万元，且增持数量不超过公司总股本的5%。 金域医学：国创开元拟减持不超过1%公司股份 金域医学公告称，公司持股5%以上的股东国创开元股权投资基金（有限合伙）（简称国创开元）计划 通过集中竞价方式减持不超过463.26万股，占公司总股本的1%。减持期间为2025年7月30日至10月29 日。减持原因是股东自身资金需求。 深深房A公告称，预计上半年归母净利润为8500万元至1.2亿元，比上年同期增长1411.70%至 2034. ...

以下文章来源于惊蛰研究所 ，作者惊蛰研究所消费组 惊蛰研究所 . 探索发现新经济。 在直播间里，从爱好到生意。 文 ｜ 白露 来源｜ 惊蛰研究所（ID：jingzheyanjiusuo） 封面来源 ｜ unsplash 400多年前，明朝末年的广州诞生了世界上最早的人工养殖观赏鱼——"珍珠鳞"金鱼。到清朝末年，广州芳村地区的花农们为了点缀庭院吸引游客，又在花 园中开挖池塘养殖金鱼，由此开启了广州系统性养殖观赏鱼的历史。 公开资料显示，2022年时广州观赏鱼产业的年产值就已达5.4亿元。另据央视财经2024年报道，整个广东水族业年产值已接近400亿元，带动近30万人就业， 养殖面积达10多万亩，年产观赏鱼数百亿尾，相关水族器材厂家两千余家。 数百年间，观赏鱼已经从一个小众商业行为，逐渐成长为一个百亿规模的系统性产业。而如今，广州的观赏鱼产业又在直播间里找到了新的发展方向。 当小众爱好"浮出水面" 近几年来，疗愈经济的流行推动了不少新消费现象的产生，其中就有一种名为"盘草缸"的小众爱好。 作为一种逐渐流行的小众圈层文化，盘草缸的魅力在于它可以让爱好者们按照自己的喜好，用各种水草、造景石和观赏类的鱼、虾等生物，打造 ...