● 2022 ↓ 2023 ↓ 2024 ↓ 2025 3,600 3,300 3,000 2,700 2,400 2,100 1,800 品周H 1月 2月 3月 4月 5月 6月 7月 8月 9月 10月11月12月 短流程日耗 ◆ 2022 ↓ 2023 ↓ 2024 ● 2025 唱启剧H lle 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 1月 2月 3月 4月 5月 6月 7月 8月 9月 10月11月12月 张家港废钢到货 废钢早报 研究中心黑色团队 2025/08/01 华东 स्क 中部 东北 日期 华南 2025/07/25 2230 2071 2269 2269 2318 原点 2238 2025/07/28 2312 2074 2252 2276 2244 2025/07/29 2232 2310 2065 2278 2025/07/30 2236 2312 2068 2253 2283 2025/07/31= 12 2233 ~2310 原占 2069 2235 原品 2281 环比 -3 -2 -18 -2 1 沙钢重三价格 (含税) ◆ 2022 ↓ 2023 ↓ 2024 ● 2025 4 ...

2025年以来3种钢材价格走势，数据来源：上海钢联 据中国钢铁工业协会官方微信公众号消息，中钢协会长，首钢集团党委书记、董事长赵民革近日接受采访时表示，从供给端来看，今年国家将继续实施粗 钢产量调控政策，预计相关调控措施在下半年开始有所显现，钢铁供需矛盾会有所缓解。 作为炼钢的重要原料，焦炭价格上涨，下游企业的接受度如何？ "如果自产焦能满足生产，公司就能节约（部分成本），反之只能被迫接受焦炭提价。"上述知情人说。 产业链的联动逻辑在此轮涨价中尤为清晰：当前，焦炭上游焦煤价格、下游钢铁价格均有上涨，作为中游环节，此次焦炭价格上涨，或能与上下游共享产 业链利润。 上游原材料端，焦煤主力合约7月30日收盘报1117元/吨，该合约价格自6月以来持续攀升。上海钢联数据显示，自2021年9月起，吕梁主焦煤价格高位回 落。不过，7月下旬起吕梁主焦煤价格迅速上涨，7月30日价格为1411元/吨。 下游钢材方面，螺纹钢主力合约7月30日下午收盘价报3315元/吨，较6月3日年度最低价（2912元/吨）累计上涨13.8%。热卷主力合约同期收于3483元/吨， 盘中价格创5个月以来新高，较年内低点上涨15%，6月以来总体呈上涨趋 ...

Group 1 - The recent surge in coke prices is attributed to cost support and improved demand, with major steel mills in Tangshan raising wet coke prices by 50 CNY/ton and dry coke by 55 CNY/ton effective from July 29, 2025 [1][2] - The coke market has experienced a total increase of 200 CNY/ton since July 15, with expectations of further increases totaling around 300 CNY/ton [1][2] - The first half of 2025 saw a decline in coke prices, with an average drop of 33.12% year-on-year due to weak domestic demand in the steel industry [1][2] Group 2 - The rebound in coke prices is driven by a decrease in domestic supply of coking coal since mid-June due to environmental and safety regulations, leading to a better supply-demand balance [2] - The price of coking coal has increased significantly, with a maximum rise of 350-400 CNY/ton, which has substantially raised the production costs for coke [2][6] - Despite the price increases, many coke enterprises are still facing losses, with only two out of seven forecasted companies expected to avoid losses in the first half of 2025 [4][5] Group 3 - The demand for coke remains stable, with steel mills actively replenishing their inventories, as indicated by an average daily supply of 2.413 million tons of molten iron in July, which is 20,000 tons higher than the same period last year [3] - The profitability of the steel industry has improved, with several companies forecasting significant profit increases, contrasting with the ongoing losses faced by coke producers [4][5] Group 4 - Short-term forecasts suggest that coke prices may continue to rise due to high coking coal prices and strong demand from steel mills, with a potential fifth price increase of 50 CNY/ton expected [7][8] - Long-term expectations indicate that the traditional peak consumption season in September and October may lead to increased demand for coke, although there are concerns about potential production cuts in the steel sector [8]

医药股持续活跃，其中辰欣药业等多股涨停。影视股再度走强，其中幸福蓝海20CM3连板。超级水电 概念股一度冲高，其中西宁特钢7天6板。油气、创新药、钢铁等板块涨幅居前。 消息面：恒瑞医药与葛兰素史克达成一项总潜在金额高达125亿美元的License-out合作；日本将于7月30 日9时5分左右暂停福岛第一核电站核污染水排海；安徽拟发布有色金属产业优化升级方案，力争2027年 产业营收突破5000亿元。 欢迎您在评论中分享自己的看法，大家一起学习和讨论。 早盘市场延续分化，沪指高开高走后冲高回落，截止午盘上涨0.52%，深成指探底回升后维持在中轴附 近窄幅盘整，截止午盘微跌0.06%，创业板指始终维持在低位盘整，截止午盘下跌0.71%。两市合计超 3100只个股下跌，合计成交额1.09万亿。 盘面上热点维持杂乱状态，稳定币概念股展开调整，包括东信和平等多股跌超5%。电池、电子身份 证、多元金融、稀土永磁、固态电池、人形机器人等行业板块跌幅居前。 ...

Group 1: Non-Banking Financial Sector - The Hong Kong Monetary Authority has released regulatory guidelines for stablecoin issuance, detailing applicant qualifications, application processes, reserve asset requirements, anti-money laundering measures, and transitional provisions for existing issuers [3][4][5] - The guidelines encourage interested parties to contact the HKMA by August 31, 2025, and submit applications by September 30, 2025, if they are ready [4][18] - The issuance of stablecoin licenses is expected to benefit companies with relevant application scenarios, particularly those involved in cross-border payments [5][19] Group 2: Overseas Technology Sector - Google - Google's revenue for Q2 2025 reached $96.428 billion, a year-on-year increase of 14%, driven by double-digit growth in core businesses such as search, YouTube ads, and Google Cloud [8][9] - The company has adjusted its revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 to $393.9 billion, $437.5 billion, and $483.9 billion, respectively, with net profits projected at $115.7 billion, $135.7 billion, and $154 billion [7][8] - AI search developments have led to a doubling of token usage, with significant increases in search volume and user engagement, indicating a stable search market for Google [9][10] Group 3: Pharmaceutical Sector - WuXi AppTec - WuXi AppTec reported a 20.6% year-on-year increase in revenue for H1 2025, amounting to RMB 20.8 billion, with a 24.2% increase in continuous operations revenue [12][29] - The company has raised its full-year revenue guidance, expecting a growth rate adjustment from 10-15% to 13-17%, with total revenue projected between RMB 425 billion and RMB 435 billion [29][28] - The TIDES business segment showed remarkable growth, with revenue increasing by 141.6% year-on-year in H1 2025, and a 48.8% increase in orders [29][12]

7月30日，三大指数涨跌不一，截至收盘，沪指涨0.17%，深成指跌0.77%，创业板跌1.62%，科创50指数跌1.11%，两市超1600只个股上涨，沪深两市今日成 交额约1.84万亿元。 影视板块表现出众，堪称今日最靓的仔，其中，幸福蓝海（300528.SZ）涨停20%，该公司5天内录得4个大号涨停板，累计上涨113%。此外，慈文传媒 （002343.SZ）、金逸影视（002905.SZ）涨10%，北京文化（000802.SZ）涨超9%。 据悉，幸福蓝海参与出品的影片《南京照相馆》，上映后连续多日蝉联票房冠军。灯塔专业版数据显示，上映6天以来，《南京照相馆》累计录得票房6.61 亿元（截至7月30日上午10时），观影总人次超1800万。其中，该片7月27日的票房为1.46亿元，这也打破了过去3年暑期档历史片单日票房纪录。 创新药持续活跃，辰欣药业（603367.SH）、东诚药业（002675.SZ）涨10%，华润双鹤（600062.SH）、浙江医药（600216.SH）、康辰药业（603590.SH） 均大涨。 中信证券研报称，目前创新药行业已经完成底部夯实，进入到真正的"临床价值重估"阶段，产业估值逻辑正 ...

Market Overview - The market showed mixed performance with the Shanghai Composite Index reaching a new high for the year, while the Shenzhen Component and ChiNext Index experienced slight declines [1][11] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 1.09 trillion yuan, a decrease of 43.2 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] Sector Performance - The pharmaceutical sector remained active, with multiple stocks such as Chenxin Pharmaceutical and others hitting the daily limit [1][3] - The film and entertainment sector saw a resurgence, particularly with the film "Nanjing Photo Studio" performing well, grossing over 600 million yuan within five days of its release [3][14] - The steel sector also showed strength, with Xining Special Steel achieving seven consecutive trading limits [5][27] Individual Stock Highlights - A total of 32 stocks hit the daily limit, with a sealing rate of 69%, and nine stocks achieved consecutive limits [1][13] - Notable performers included Chenxin Pharmaceutical with five consecutive limits and Xizang Tourism with eight consecutive limits [1][21] Investment Opportunities - The ongoing trend in innovative pharmaceuticals is highlighted by the collaboration between Heng Rui Pharmaceutical and GlaxoSmithKline, potentially worth up to 12.5 billion USD [5] - The film industry is expected to see steady growth due to the successful release of quality films during the summer season [3][14] Regulatory and Policy Insights - The China Steel Industry Association emphasized the need for self-discipline and stable pricing in the steel industry amid ongoing capacity governance policies [9] - The National Development and Reform Commission is seeking public input on guidelines for government investment funds, aiming to enhance long-term capital deployment [34]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market experienced mixed performance in the morning session, with the Shanghai Composite Index reaching a new high for the year, while overall trading volume decreased compared to the previous trading day [1] Market Overview - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 1.09 trillion, a decrease of 43.2 billion from the previous trading day [1] - More than 3,100 stocks in the market declined, indicating a broad-based sell-off [1] Sector Performance - Active sectors included pharmaceuticals, with stocks like Chenxin Pharmaceutical hitting the daily limit, and the film industry, where companies like Xingfu Lanhai achieved three consecutive daily limits [1] - Super water and electricity concept stocks saw a temporary surge, with Xining Special Steel achieving six daily limits in seven days [1] - Declining sectors included stablecoin concept stocks, with companies like Dongxin He Ping dropping over 5% [1] Index Performance - At the close, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.08%, the Shenzhen Component Index fell by 0.06%, and the ChiNext Index increased by 0.71% [1]

Market Overview - The market showed mixed performance with the Shanghai Composite Index reaching a new high for the year, closing up by 0.52% at 3628.53 points [2] - The Shenzhen Component Index fell by 0.06% to 11283.18 points, while the ChiNext Index decreased by 0.71% to 2389.58 points [2] - Total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 1.09 trillion yuan, a decrease of 43.2 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [5] Sector Performance - The pharmaceutical sector remained active, with stocks like Chenxin Pharmaceutical hitting the daily limit [2] - The film and television sector saw a resurgence, with companies like Xingfu Lanhai achieving three consecutive daily limits [2] - The super hydropower concept stocks experienced a surge, with Xining Special Steel achieving six consecutive daily limits [2] - Conversely, the stablecoin sector faced adjustments, with multiple stocks like Dongxin Peace dropping over 5% [2][3] Stock Movement - Over 3100 stocks in the market declined, indicating a broader downtrend [2] - The number of stocks hitting the daily limit was 35, while 3 stocks were suspended from trading [4]

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The steel market is currently in a game between weak reality and strong expectations, with high hopes for "anti - involution" and strengthened optimistic expectations for macro - policies. The iron ore market is under pressure due to potential iron - water production decline and high port trade - mine inventory, but the short - term price is supported by inventory decline [2][4]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Threaded Steel and Hot - Rolled Coils - **Market News**: The China Iron and Steel Association called on enterprises to control production and stabilize prices, and some Hebei steel mills are required to reduce production due to the parade. These news boosted the threaded steel price, which increased in volume and reached a new stage high [2]. - **Supply and Demand**: Last week, the production and apparent demand of threaded steel increased, the factory inventory decreased for the second consecutive week, and the social inventory increased for the second consecutive week. The total inventory of the five major varieties increased, and the apparent demand declined. In the summer high - temperature season, demand is expected to weaken further, and inventory is expected to rise [2]. - **Technical Analysis**: After a significant correction, the futures price increased in volume, indicating strong bullish power [2]. - **Operation Suggestion**: Hold long positions lightly. For empty - position investors, buy on dips, conduct short - term trading, and set stop - losses and take - profits in a timely manner [2]. - **Related Data**: The closing prices of the main contracts of threaded steel and hot - rolled coils, as well as their spot prices, all increased. The basis and spreads of various varieties showed different degrees of change. The production, inventory, and trading volume data of steel also had corresponding fluctuations [2]. 2. Iron Ore - **Supply and Demand**: The profitability of steel mills is acceptable, but the iron - water production is expected to decline significantly in the short term. The global iron ore shipment is at a relatively high level and rising seasonally, and the future arrival volume is expected to remain high. The port inventory is slowly decreasing, but the port trade - mine inventory is high [4]. - **Technical Analysis**: After a short - term adjustment, the futures price stabilized and rebounded [4]. - **Operation Suggestion**: Try to go long on dips in the short term and set stop - losses and take - profits in a timely manner [5]. - **Related Data**: The prices of various iron ore varieties, basis, spreads, shipment volume, freight rates, exchange rates, inventory, and production data all showed different degrees of change [5]. 3. Industry News - The fourth round of coke price increase was fully implemented, with different price adjustments in Shandong and Hebei markets [8]. - From July 21st to 27th, 2024, the total iron ore inventory of seven major ports in Australia and Brazil decreased slightly. The inventory of imported iron ore at 47 ports in China decreased compared with last Monday due to a decline in arrival volume [8]. - The China Iron and Steel Association called on enterprises to continue to adhere to the "Three - Fixed and Three - No" principle, control production, and stabilize prices, and promote self - discipline in key steel product markets [9]. - Hainan Development's subsidiary, Haikong Sanxin, recently reduced production by shutting down a 550 - ton kiln and five deep - processing production lines [9].