● 本报记者 连润 王舒嫄 近日召开的国务院常务会议和全国消费品以旧换新工作推进电视电话会议对下阶段消费品以旧换新作出 部署，释放出政策支持加力信号。 专家表示，从当前各地对以旧换新政策优化调整的路径看，后续以旧换新政策有可能在上调资金支持规 模、扩大品类范围等方面发力，同时将进一步强化政策协同与技术赋能，确保政策红利直达消费者，有 效扩大内需、提振消费。 政策效果明显 今年以来，以旧换新政策持续发力，范围有所扩大，涉及产品越来越多。在政策带动下，传统消费领域 和智能消费领域活力持续释放，政策效果显著。 最新数据显示，7月，限额以上单位家用电器和音像器材类、文化办公用品类、家具类和通讯器材类商 品零售额同比分别增长了28.7%、13.8%、20.6%、14.9%，均明显快于商品零售额增速，继续支撑商品 销售增长。 以旧换新政策同样惠及汽车行业。最新发布的增值税发票数据显示，2024年4月至2025年7月，全国新能 源车销量同比增长81.7%，增长势头迅猛。 国家统计局新闻发言人付凌晖表示："消费品以旧换新政策加力扩围，对相关商品销售带动作用继续显 现。" 支持力度料加码 从中央层面看，加力支持以旧换新的政策信 ...

7月主要商品中，涨幅最明显的是文化办公用品，同比涨幅达78%。其次是家用电器和音像器材 类，增幅为49.7%。 记者 李珺瑶 崔艺林 实习生 詹傢杰 上海市统计局近日公布了7月社会消费品零售总额情况。7月，上海社会消费品零售总额为1291.38 亿元，同比增长7.8%。对比全国同比3.7%的增长，上海7月消费数据可谓亮眼。 办公用品和家电增速靠前 从统计数据看，7月商品零售额达1140.85亿元，同比增长9.7%，拉高了社零增速。 具体分析，7月黄金珠宝消费回暖，与"五五购物节""上海之夏"等大力度的消费促销活动大有关 系。如"五五购物节"期间全市黄金消费最集中的黄浦区举办了"璀璨金喜大豫园"精品推广节活动，消费 者最高能享受10000减1000，5000减750的活动。不少店铺还推出限时特价、满额赠礼等活动。从不少黄 金珠宝品牌公布的业绩看，7月回暖趋势也非常明显。 汽车消费年内首次正增长 值得注意的是，7月上海的汽车消费出现了同比增长，这也是今年首次正增长。此前，虽然整体汽 车市场受"以旧换新"政策拉动，但受市场竞争影响，许多厂家与经销商以降价换销量，导致销量涨而收 入不涨、收入增而利润不增，销售额持续走 ...

Economic Performance Overview - In July, the industrial added value of large-scale enterprises increased by 5.7% year-on-year, indicating stable growth in production supply [1][2] - The total retail sales of consumer goods rose by 3.7% year-on-year, with retail sales of goods increasing by 4% [2][4] - The total import and export volume of goods grew by 6.7% year-on-year, reflecting resilience in foreign trade [1][2] Sectoral Growth Insights - The equipment manufacturing sector saw an increase of 8.4% in added value, outpacing the overall industrial growth rate [2] - High-tech manufacturing added value grew by 9.3%, continuing to exceed the industrial growth rate [3] - The production index for information transmission, software, and IT services rose by 11.9%, while leasing and business services increased by 8% [3] Consumer Market Dynamics - The combined retail of goods and services is estimated to have grown by around 5% year-on-year from January to July, indicating a stable upward trend in consumption [4][5] - The "old for new" consumption policy has positively impacted sales of home appliances, cultural office supplies, furniture, and communication equipment, with respective growth rates of 28.7%, 13.8%, 20.6%, and 14.9% [4] - The tourism and leisure sectors experienced double-digit growth in retail sales, driven by increased consumer demand during the summer [4] Policy and Future Outlook - The government plans to continue implementing measures to boost consumption, focusing on expanding both goods and service consumption [5][7] - Despite facing challenges, the long-term supportive conditions for economic growth remain unchanged, with a focus on stabilizing employment, enterprises, and market expectations [7][8] - The International Monetary Fund has raised its growth forecast for China's economy by 0.8 percentage points, reflecting increased confidence from the international community [8]

Economic Growth - In July 2025, China's industrial added value grew by 5.7% year-on-year, slowing down by 1.1 percentage points from June[9] - Fixed asset investment from January to July 2025 increased by 1.6% year-on-year, a decrease of 1.2 percentage points compared to the first half of the year[10] - Social retail sales in July 2025 rose by 3.7% year-on-year, down 1.1 percentage points from the previous month[10] Trade and Exports - In July 2025, China's total exports reached $321.78 billion, a year-on-year increase of 7.2%, up 1.4 percentage points from the previous month[38] - Imports totaled $223.54 billion in July 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 4.1%[51] - The trade surplus for July 2025 was $98.24 billion[38] Inflation and Prices - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) in July 2025 showed no growth year-on-year, a decrease of 0.1 percentage points from the previous month[57] - The Producer Price Index (PPI) fell by 3.6% year-on-year, remaining stable compared to the previous month[57] Monetary Policy - New social financing in July 2025 was 1.16 trillion yuan, a decrease of 64.8% compared to July 2024[14] - New RMB loans in July 2025 were -50 billion yuan, a drop of 119% year-on-year[14] - M2 money supply grew by 8.8% year-on-year, reflecting a stable expansion of monetary supply[15]

Group 1: Overall Consumption Trends - In the first seven months, the total retail sales of consumer goods reached 28,423.8 billion yuan, growing by 4.8% year-on-year; in July alone, the retail sales totaled 3,878 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 3.7% [1] - The consumption market shows a stable development trend, with basic living and upgraded goods sales improving, and the "old-for-new" policy contributing to the growth of certain products [4][5] Group 2: Service Consumption Growth - The service retail sales increased by 5.2% year-on-year in the first seven months, outpacing the growth of goods retail sales by 0.3 percentage points [2] - The rural market's sales growth outpaced urban areas, with rural retail sales reaching 516 billion yuan, growing by 3.9% [2] Group 3: Specific Product Categories - In July, retail sales of basic living and upgraded goods showed positive trends, with over 70% of product categories in large retail units experiencing growth; categories like sports and entertainment goods grew by 13.7%, jewelry by 8.2%, and daily necessities by 8.2% [4] - The "old-for-new" policy has led to significant growth in home appliances and audio-visual equipment retail sales, which increased by 28.7% year-on-year [4][5] Group 4: Online Consumption Dynamics - Online retail sales reached 86,835 billion yuan in the first seven months, with a year-on-year growth of 9.2%; physical goods online retail sales grew by 6.3%, accounting for 24.9% of total retail sales [6] - New consumption models such as live-streaming e-commerce are maturing, contributing to the growth of the silver economy and first-release economy [7] Group 5: Future Outlook - The overall consumption market is expected to maintain stability, with ongoing implementation of macro policies aimed at boosting consumption and improving the consumption environment [7]

Core Viewpoint - The economic performance in July 2025 demonstrates resilience and vitality despite external pressures and adverse weather conditions, with steady growth in production, consumption, and investment, alongside stable employment and prices [7][10][20]. Economic Performance Overview - The industrial output in July showed a year-on-year increase of 5.7%, with the equipment manufacturing sector growing by 8.4%, indicating strong industrial growth [7][51]. - The service sector also performed well, with a production index growth of 5.8% in July, driven by increased tourism and related services [7][15]. - Social retail sales increased by 3.7% year-on-year in July, with a notable 4% growth in goods retail [8][14]. - Fixed asset investment grew by 1.6% from January to July, with significant contributions from equipment updates and manufacturing investments [8][45]. Trade and Employment - The total import and export volume increased by 6.7% year-on-year in July, reflecting the resilience of foreign trade despite a complex international environment [8][31]. - The urban unemployment rate remained stable at 5.2%, indicating a steady employment situation [9][20]. New Growth Drivers - High-tech manufacturing saw a 9.3% increase in output, with significant growth in sectors like integrated circuits and new energy vehicles [10][38]. - The digital economy is rapidly developing, with a 8.4% increase in digital product manufacturing in July [10][38]. Consumer Trends - Consumer demand is being stimulated by policies such as the "old for new" consumption initiative, leading to increased sales in home appliances and cultural products [8][14]. - The service sector is experiencing growth, particularly in tourism and digital services, with a notable increase in transportation and cultural service indices [15][56]. Investment Landscape - Investment in manufacturing is growing, with a 6.2% increase in manufacturing investment from January to July, particularly in textiles and automotive sectors [45][46]. - Infrastructure investment is also on the rise, with water management and information transmission sectors seeing significant growth [46][47]. Policy Impact - The implementation of proactive macroeconomic policies is supporting production and investment growth, with a focus on stabilizing employment and market expectations [10][23]. - The government's commitment to deepening reform and opening up is enhancing the resilience and vitality of the economy [21][32].

Economic Overview - In July, the national economy showed stable operation with major economic indicators remaining within a reasonable range, including a 5.7% year-on-year growth in industrial added value and a 3.7% increase in retail sales of consumer goods [1][6] - The total import and export volume increased by 6.7% year-on-year in July, with exports growing by 8%, indicating strong resilience and vitality in trade [1][6] Consumption Trends - The retail sales growth rate for consumer goods decreased to 3.7% in July, down 1.1 percentage points from the previous month, but the overall consumption expansion trend remains unchanged [2] - The service market sales remained stable, with a 5.2% growth in service retail from January to July, indicating consistent consumer demand [2][3] - Significant growth was observed in specific categories such as home appliances (28.7%), cultural and office supplies (13.8%), and furniture (20.6%) [2] Investment Insights - Fixed asset investment grew by 1.6% from January to July, with real growth estimated at 4% to 5% after adjusting for price factors [4][5] - Manufacturing investment increased by 6.2%, with notable growth in aerospace (33.9%) and computer equipment (16%) [5] - The investment structure is continuously optimizing, driven by innovation and large-scale equipment updates, despite some short-term pressures [5][6] Future Outlook - The economic foundation remains strong with significant potential for growth, supported by ongoing consumption initiatives and a favorable macroeconomic environment [6][7] - The International Monetary Fund has raised its growth forecast for China's economy by 0.8 percentage points, reflecting increased confidence from the international community [6] - Upcoming policies aimed at boosting consumption and infrastructure investment are expected to stabilize domestic demand [7]

Economic Overview - The national economy shows a steady development trend, with a need for macro policies to effectively release domestic demand potential and promote dual circulation [1][2] - In July, exports increased by 7.2% year-on-year, surpassing the previous value of 5.9%, while social retail sales grew by 3.7%, down from 4.8% in June [1][2] - Fixed asset investment from January to July grew by 1.6%, a decline of 1.2 percentage points compared to the first half of the year, with manufacturing, infrastructure, and real estate investments showing a slowdown [1][2] Industrial Performance - In July, the industrial added value for large-scale enterprises increased by 5.7% year-on-year, lower than the previous value of 6.8%, influenced by slowing investment and consumption growth [2] - The producer price index for industrial producers fell by 0.2% month-on-month, with a year-on-year decrease of 3.6% [2] Consumption and Policy Measures - Starting in August, measures to expand consumption include the introduction of childcare subsidies and the exemption of certain education fees, aimed at boosting consumer spending [3][4] - The third batch of 690 billion yuan in central fiscal consumption subsidies will be implemented, with a fourth batch expected to continue until the end of the year, supporting retail growth [2][3] Challenges and Future Outlook - The real estate sector and local infrastructure investment present ongoing challenges, requiring time to address accumulated issues [3][4] - Short-term factors such as extreme weather and adjustments in consumption subsidies have impacted July's economic data, but the introduction of macroeconomic policies in August is expected to promote effective investment and enhance domestic demand [4]

Economic Performance Overview - In July, the industrial added value above designated size increased by 5.7% year-on-year, indicating stable growth in production supply [1][2] - The total retail sales of consumer goods rose by 3.7% year-on-year, reflecting a steady increase in consumption [1][2] - The total import and export of goods grew by 6.7% year-on-year, showing resilience in foreign trade [1][2] Development of New Growth Drivers - High-tech manufacturing saw a significant increase, with added value rising by 9.3% year-on-year, outpacing overall industrial growth [3] - The modern service industry also experienced rapid growth, with information transmission and software services increasing by 11.9% [3] - The integrated circuit manufacturing sector grew by 26.9% year-on-year, and the production of new energy vehicles increased by 17.1% [3] Consumer Market Dynamics - The combined retail of goods and services is estimated to have grown by around 5% year-on-year from January to July, indicating a stable upward trend in consumption [4] - The "old for new" consumption policy has positively impacted sales, with significant year-on-year growth in categories such as home appliances (28.7%) and furniture (20.6%) [4] - Service retail related to cultural and recreational activities has also seen robust growth, driven by increased travel and leisure spending [4] Economic Stability and Future Outlook - Despite fluctuations in some economic indicators, the overall growth rate of key indicators remains stable, with employment and prices steady [7] - The macroeconomic policies implemented have effectively supported production demand and economic stability [7] - The International Monetary Fund has raised its forecast for China's economic growth by 0.8 percentage points, reflecting increased confidence in China's economic development [8]

7月份规模以上工业增加值同比增长5.7%、社会消费品零售总额同比增长3.7%、货物进出口总额同 比增长6.7%……国家统计局8月15日发布了7月国民经济"成绩单"。数据显示，国民经济保持稳中有进发 展态势，生产需求持续增长，就业物价总体稳定，新质生产力培育壮大，高质量发展取得新成效。 发展新动能稳步成长 国家统计局新闻发言人、总经济师、国民经济综合统计司司长付凌晖介绍，7月份国民经济主要有 以下几方面特点： 生产供给稳定增长。7月份规模以上工业增加值同比增长5.7%，继续保持较快增长。产业升级发展 带动下，装备制造业增势较好，有力支撑工业增长。7月份规模以上装备制造业增加值同比增加8.4%， 明显快于规模以上工业增速。 消费投资保持增长。提振消费相关政策发力显效，文化体育娱乐需求增加，商品销售和服务消费均 保持增长。7月份，社会消费品零售总额同比增长3.7%，其中商品零售额增长4%。1—7月份，服务零售 额同比增长5.2%，增势总体平稳。 "总的来看，7月份商品市场销售增速有所放缓，服务零售保持总体稳定。在提振消费专项行动带动 下，消费扩大态势没有改变，消费新动能持续壮大。"付凌晖说。下阶段，要继续深入实施提 ...