Market Overview - A-shares experienced a slight decline, ending a streak of gains, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.07% at 4,082.98 points[16] - The Hang Seng Index fell 1.17% to 26,149 points, with all three major indices in Hong Kong closing lower[11] - U.S. markets showed mixed results, with the Dow Jones up 0.55% at 49,266 points, while the Nasdaq dropped 0.44% to 23,480 points[9] Fixed Income - U.S. Treasury yields rose by 2-3 basis points, with the 10-year yield at 4.17%[28] - A total of $48.21 billion in new bonds was issued on Thursday, bringing the weekly total to $952.21 billion[28] - The Asian bond market remained resilient, with mixed performance across bonds and spreads remaining stable[28] Commodities - Oil prices surged over 3%, with WTI crude closing at $57.76 per barrel, driven by geopolitical tensions and supply concerns[25] - Gold prices remained stable, closing at $4,460.7 per ounce, as the market awaited U.S. non-farm payroll data[25] Economic Indicators - The U.S. labor market showed resilience, with a decrease in layoffs and an increase in hiring plans, marking the highest level since 2022[5] - The U.S. trade deficit narrowed by nearly 40% in October due to a significant drop in imports[5] Sector Performance - In the U.S., the energy sector led gains with a 3.20% increase, while technology stocks faced pressure, particularly Nvidia, which fell 2.15%[9] - In Hong Kong, high-dividend sectors like coal and electricity stocks performed well, while technology and financial sectors struggled[11]

渣打方面建议，投资者在基础投资组合中超配股票和黄金，对于中国资产则重点关注科技、 健康护理和通信行业。 超配中国股票 "站在2026年的新起点，全球市场正面临关键的转折，地缘政治冲突、人工智能泡沫等讨论 备受关注。我们预见，美元的结构性支撑将逐步减弱，而亚洲经济的韧性与改革红利正日益 凸显。"渣打银行（中国）有限公司财富方案部总经理梁大伟指出。 渣打预期，风险资产在2026年将表现领先，在市场上升的同时分化将更为明显，建议在更广 泛的资产类别中进行分散投资。面对增长动能转换与地缘格局重塑的双重变奏，投资者更需 要在不确定性中保持定力，在变化中前瞻布局。 日前，渣打银行财富方案部发布《2026年全球市场展望》，主题为 "浮沤危悬？多元布 局！"。 在采访中，渣打中国财富方案部投资策略总监王昕杰表示，从宏观层面看，2026年美国经济 软着陆的几率上升，随着全球贸易紧张局势缓和、主要经济体将推进宽松的财政和货币政 策，以及人工智能蓬勃发展，风险资产预期将表现领先。 来源：券商中国 在基础配置中，渣打建议超配美国、印度和中国股票，新兴市场债以及黄金，同时低配欧 洲、英国和日本股票。其中，中国股票则有望获益于企业治理的 ...

证券时报记者 李颖超 "站在2026年新起点，全球市场正面临关键转折，地缘政治冲突、人工智能泡沫等话题备受关注。我们 预计，美元的结构性支撑将逐步减弱，而亚洲经济的韧性与改革红利正日益凸显。"渣打银行（中国） 有限公司（下称"渣打中国"）财富方案部总经理梁大伟在接受证券时报记者采访时如是说。 渣打中国财富方案部投资策略总监王昕杰也对证券时报记者表示，随着全球贸易紧张局势缓和、主要经 济体将推进宽松的财政和货币政策，加上人工智能蓬勃发展，预计风险资产将表现领先。 在上述报告中，渣打就认为风险资产将在2026年给出领先表现，不过在市场上升的同时也会有更为明显 的分化，投资者可在更广泛的资产类别中进行分散投资。面对增长动能转换与地缘格局重塑的双重变 奏，投资者更需要在不确定性中保持定力，在变化中前瞻布局。 证券时报记者了解到，渣打仍然超配中国股票，该机构认为定向的政策刺激以及与人工智能主题相关的 企业盈利增长强劲，将为中国经济提供强有力的支持。 渣打表示，中国在2026年可能推出更果断、有针对性的刺激措施，尤其是"十五五"规划建议重点提 出"加快先进技术的投资以提升自主能力和生产力"。 近日，渣打银行财富方案部发布 ...

近日，渣打银行财富方案部发布了《2026年全球市场展望》报告，主题为"浮沤危悬？多元布局！"。 "站在2026年新起点，全球市场正面临关键转折，地缘政治冲突、人工智能泡沫等话题备受关注。我们 预计，美元的结构性支撑将逐步减弱，而亚洲经济的韧性与改革红利正日益凸显。"渣打银行（中国） 有限公司（下称"渣打中国"）财富方案部总经理梁大伟在接受证券时报记者采访时如是说。 渣打中国财富方案部投资策略总监王昕杰也对证券时报记者表示，随着全球贸易紧张局势缓和、主要经 济体将推进宽松的财政和货币政策，加上人工智能蓬勃发展，预计风险资产将表现领先。 在上述报告中，渣打就认为风险资产将在2026年给出领先表现，不过在市场上升的同时也会有更为明显 的分化，投资者可在更广泛的资产类别中进行分散投资。面对增长动能转换与地缘格局重塑的双重变 奏，投资者更需要在不确定性中保持定力，在变化中前瞻布局。 在基础配置方面，渣打建议超配美国、印度和中国股票，新兴市场债以及黄金。其中，中国股票有望获 益于企业治理的改善，以及针对科技与创新的政策支持。 渣打表示，中国在2026年可能推出更果断、有针对性的刺激措施，尤其是"十五五"规划建议重点提 出 ...

沙特对也门发动空袭，中东局势存升级风险。地缘因素推升油价，纽约期油报每桶58.08美元，升近 2.4%；伦敦布伦特期油报每桶61.94美元，升2.1%。 金吾财讯 | 石油股普升，中海油(00883)涨3.88%，中石油(00857)涨1.94%，中海油田服务(02883)涨 1.15%，中石化(00386)涨0.65%。 金吾财讯 | 石油股普升，中海油(00883)涨3.88%，中石油(00857)涨1.94%，中海油田服务(02883)涨 1.15%，中石化(00386)涨0.65%。 沙特对也门发动空袭，中东局势存升级风险。地缘因素推升油价，纽约期油报每桶58.08美元，升近 2.4%；伦敦布伦特期油报每桶61.94美元，升2.1%。 ...

Market Overview - A-shares experienced a pullback after an initial rise, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing up 0.04% at 3,965 points, marking a nine-day winning streak, while the Shenzhen Component and ChiNext Index fell by 0.49% and 0.66% respectively[15] - The Hang Seng Index declined by 0.71% to 25,635 points, with major tech stocks like Alibaba dropping 1.8%[10] - The KOSPI index in South Korea rose by 2.2% to 4,220 points, leading gains in the Asia-Pacific region[20] Economic Predictions for China - In 2026, China's macroeconomic growth is expected to be driven by domestic demand recovery, with investment shifting from total pressure to structural optimization[5] - Export growth is anticipated to remain resilient, supported by easing US-China relations and diversified market deployments, contributing to a moderate appreciation of the RMB[5] Commodity and Forex Market - Gold and silver prices fell by 4.5% and 8.7% respectively after reaching new highs, while copper prices hit a historical peak due to supply concerns[26] - International crude oil prices rose over 2%, with WTI crude oil reaching $58.08 per barrel[26] Fixed Income Market - Global focus on geopolitical developments has led to increased risk aversion, with European bond markets showing significant gains and US Treasury yields slightly rising[4] - The yield on 10-year US Treasuries decreased by approximately 1.8 basis points to 4.11%[29] Sector Performance - In the US market, technology stocks are expected to yield a reasonable target of 20% returns in 2026, driven by EPS growth despite potential market volatility[8] - The carbon fiber sector is projected to benefit from the booming commercial aerospace industry, with companies like Jilin Chemical Fiber and Guangwei Composite expected to gain[18]

Economic Indicators - In November 2025, the U.S. added 64,000 non-farm jobs, exceeding the expected 50,000, while the unemployment rate rose to 4.6%, higher than the anticipated 4.5%[5] - October's non-farm employment saw the largest decline in five years, with a drop of 105,000 jobs, primarily due to federal employees opting for "delayed resignation" programs[5] Stock Market Performance - U.S. stock indices showed mixed results, with the Dow Jones falling 302 points (0.62%) to 48,114, while the Nasdaq rose 0.23% to 23,111[8] - European markets declined, with the UK FTSE 100 down 0.68% to 9,684 and the German DAX down 0.63% to 24,076[8] Commodity and Currency Trends - WTI crude oil prices fell below $55 per barrel for the first time since 2021, influenced by oversupply and geopolitical tensions[27] - The U.S. dollar index decreased by 0.2%, reflecting a year-to-date decline of 9.5%[26] Bond Market Insights - U.S. Treasury yields fell by 1-3 basis points, with the 10-year yield at 4.15% and the 30-year yield at 4.81%[30] - The bond market showed mixed signals, with the 2-year Treasury yield at 3.49%, down 1.5 basis points[30] Asian Market Dynamics - The Asia-Pacific stock markets mostly declined, with South Korea's KOSPI dropping 2.2% to 3,999 points, while Vietnam's index rose 2.0% to 1,679 points[21] - Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index fell 1.54% to 25,235 points, with significant declines in technology and financial sectors[10]

Group 1 - The US stock market saw a broad increase, with the Nasdaq, Dow Jones, and S&P 500 indices rising by 0.57%, 0.44%, and 0.39% respectively [3] - The healthcare sector led the performance among US industries, with a gain of 3.73%, followed by utilities at 2.76% and information technology at 1.48% [3][21] - The pharmaceutical sector experienced significant stock price increases following an agreement between major US pharmaceutical companies and former President Trump to lower drug prices [5] Group 2 - The US government officially entered a shutdown on October 1, which has raised market risk aversion and led to a historic high in gold prices [4] - OpenAI's release of its advanced video generation model Sora 2.0 and new partnerships with South Korean companies have positively impacted the tech sector, particularly chip stocks [4] - The Brent crude oil price has been negatively affected by OPEC+ production increase expectations, while LME cobalt, copper, and COMEX gold saw significant price increases [3][13] Group 3 - The outlook for the Chinese stock market remains positive, with expectations for more policy support following the upcoming 20th Central Committee meeting [6] - The macroeconomic environment indicates a focus on liquidity, with expectations for a bullish stock market as fundamentals gradually improve [6]

Market Overview - The trend of "de-dollarization" is strengthening, leading to a preference for non-USD assets, with Asian equities being steadily revalued[6] - The A-share market is heating up, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.21% to 3,519 points, while the Shenzhen Component and ChiNext Index fell by 0.11% and 0.45% respectively[17] - The Hang Seng Index and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index increased by 0.26% and 0.52% respectively, although market sentiment remains cautious[11] Commodity and Forex Insights - International oil prices fell by 2%, with NYMEX crude down 2.15% to $66.98 per barrel, and Brent crude down 1.63% to $69.21 per barrel[28] - The US dollar index slightly increased by 0.2%, while gold prices experienced a minor decline[28] - The Chinese yuan appreciated by 1.8% year-to-date against the US dollar, closing at 7.172[27] Fixed Income Market - US Treasury yields rose slightly, with the 30-year yield approaching 5%[5] - Asian bond markets showed cautious sentiment initially but improved later, with Chinese investment-grade bond spreads narrowing by 1-2 basis points[31] - The yield on Japan's 10-year government bonds reached its highest level since 2008, reflecting market concerns ahead of upcoming elections[31] Sector Performance - In the A-share market, sectors such as energy and utilities saw gains of 1.5% and 0.8% respectively, while real estate declined by 0.9%[17] - The healthcare sector in Hong Kong rose by 2.4%, while the financial sector remained flat[12] Key Economic Indicators - The US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for June is set to be released, which may influence market expectations regarding interest rates[5] - China's foreign currency deposits exceeded $1 trillion for the first time in over three years, indicating a strong capital inflow[6]

Macro Outlook - Standard Chartered Bank's Wealth Solutions Division released the "Global Market Outlook for the Second Half of 2025," indicating that global central bank easing, a potential soft landing for the U.S. economy, and a weaker dollar are favorable for risk assets, maintaining a positive outlook on global equities [1] - The bank expects a weaker dollar to benefit the euro, pound, yen, and 5-7 year U.S. dollar bonds, while upgrading emerging market local currency debt to overweight [1] Investment Strategy - The Chief Investment Officer for North Asia at Standard Chartered, Zheng Zifeng, highlighted the current uncertain global investment environment, emphasizing the structural risks of "de-dollarization" and the influx of funds into emerging markets due to a weaker dollar [1] - The bank suggests that investors should diversify not only across asset classes but also geographically to maintain long-term superior returns [1] Fixed Income - Standard Chartered views the bond market as a core investment allocation, overweighting emerging market local currency government bonds while underweighting developed market investment-grade corporate bonds due to high valuations and risks associated with U.S. economic growth uncertainty [2] - The bank remains positive on emerging market Asian local currency bonds, UK government bonds (unhedged), and U.S. Treasury inflation-protected securities [2] Equities - The bank continues to overweight global equities, citing easing trade tensions and robust earnings growth, despite the impact of tariffs [2] - Asian (excluding Japan) equities have been upgraded to overweight, driven by a weaker dollar attracting more funds into emerging markets [2] Currency Outlook - Standard Chartered anticipates a weaker dollar over the next 6 to 12 months, with the euro and yen likely benefiting from this trend, while the pound shows resilience [2] Commodities - In the gold market, if Middle Eastern tensions are controlled, short-term upside for gold may be limited, but it remains an important strategic hedge [3] - The bank raised its 3-month gold price forecast to $3,400 while maintaining a 12-month forecast of $3,500 [3] - For oil, Standard Chartered expects prices to stabilize around $65 per barrel in the next 3 to 12 months, with geopolitical risks potentially causing short-term spikes [3]