Hu Xiu
Search documents
教育不是投资,而是投机
Hu Xiu· 2025-10-09 13:19
Core Concept - Education is often perceived as an investment, but it resembles speculation due to its uncertain returns and high costs [1][4][11]. Group 1: Investment vs. Speculation - The distinction between investment and speculation is highlighted, with investment characterized by high return probability and controlled risk, while speculation involves high risk and uncertain outcomes [2][3]. - Education is argued to align more closely with speculation due to the unpredictability of returns despite the high costs involved [4][11]. Group 2: Uncertainty in Educational Returns - The average starting salary for graduates from prestigious universities can be significantly higher than that of graduates from less recognized institutions, but this does not guarantee a return on investment [5][11]. - The lack of a guaranteed method to ensure admission to top universities further emphasizes the speculative nature of educational investments [6][11]. Group 3: Cost vs. Return Analysis - The costs associated with education, including tuition and opportunity costs, are certain, while the returns in terms of career and income are uncertain, making education more speculative [11][23]. - In Shanghai, for instance, the acceptance rate for top universities is only about 13%-15%, indicating a low probability of success for educational investments [15][16]. Group 4: Psychological and Social Factors - Parents often make irrational decisions regarding educational investments, driven by emotional factors and societal pressures, which resemble speculative behavior [20][21][22]. - The phenomenon of "herd mentality" in educational spending leads families to invest heavily despite low probabilities of success [21][22]. Group 5: Alternative Perspectives on Education - Education can be viewed as a form of insurance, providing a safeguard against unemployment and social exclusion, which is a necessary investment for all families [28][30]. - It can also be likened to options trading, where investments are made for children with potential, but with a focus on controlling losses due to the inherent uncertainties [31][33]. Group 6: Broader Implications of Educational Investment - The societal implications of viewing education as a speculative investment can lead to a rise in "education uselessness" narratives, especially if personal returns remain low [40][45]. - The case of Japan illustrates a shift in perception towards practical skills over traditional degrees, reflecting a growing skepticism about the value of higher education [45][46].
姚顺宇离职背后:国产大模型已经上桌了
Hu Xiu· 2025-10-09 13:19
Core Viewpoint - Yao Shunyu has left Anthropic to join Google DeepMind, citing opposition to Anthropic's stance on China as a "hostile nation" and undisclosed internal information as reasons for his departure [2][5]. Group 1: Departure Reasons - Yao Shunyu's departure from Anthropic is attributed to 40% opposition to the company's recent statements labeling China as a "hostile nation" and 60% to undisclosed internal information [2]. - Anthropic has increasingly adopted an anti-China stance, which Yao explicitly mentioned in his blog [5]. Group 2: Anthropic's Business Strategy - Since 2025, Anthropic has been expanding its business while explicitly excluding Chinese capital and markets from its official policies [6]. - On September 5, Anthropic announced a halt to services for companies with majority Chinese ownership, directly impacting subsidiaries in regions like Singapore and Hong Kong [7][8]. - Anthropic completed a $13 billion Series F funding round, tripling its valuation to $183 billion in just six months [9]. Group 3: Competitive Landscape - In response to Anthropic's service restrictions, several Chinese AI companies are seizing the opportunity to offer alternatives, leading to a competitive "technology cold war" [20]. - Major Chinese players, including Alibaba and DeepSeek, are rapidly enhancing their models and services to attract former Claude users [21][23]. - AWS has begun offering competing models from Alibaba and DeepSeek, indicating a shift in the competitive dynamics of the AI market [28][29].
性感模特在线打碟,海底捞为什么要把自己玩成夜店?
Hu Xiu· 2025-10-09 13:01
Core Viewpoint - Haidilao is transforming into a nightlife venue, featuring attractive models and male servers, creating a unique dining experience that combines elements of nightlife with traditional hot pot dining [1] Group 1 - The incorporation of models and male servers showcasing their physiques has generated significant customer interest, with patrons expressing that the experience offers great value for money [1] - The shift towards a nightlife atmosphere raises questions about the sustainability of this business model and whether customers will continue to pay for such experiences [1]
在不确定的时代,如何安放我们的焦虑?
Hu Xiu· 2025-10-09 12:41
Core Insights - The report highlights anxiety, meaninglessness, and depression as the top three emotional issues that the public seeks to address [1] - The current era is characterized by uncertainty, where effort does not guarantee results, leading to increased anxiety among individuals [2][5] - The discussion emphasizes that anxiety is a genuine psychological response to the unpredictable social structure faced by contemporary youth [3][4] Group 1: Nature of Anxiety - Anxiety is a common psychological phenomenon that has existed across different eras, but today's youth experience it in the context of heightened uncertainty [4][5] - The current generation's anxiety stems from a perceived lack of control over their destinies, exacerbated by the rapid changes in society and technology [5][6] - The rise of social media and the internet has contributed to feelings of helplessness and fragmentation among young people, as they often seek validation and satisfaction in virtual experiences [6][7] Group 2: Coping Mechanisms - Older generations find solace in activities like travel and traditional arts, while younger individuals often turn to social media and virtual worlds for emotional relief [10][12] - The phenomenon of "chasing stars" and attending concerts has become a popular form of self-affirmation for youth, reflecting their desire for real-life experiences [15][19] - The discussion suggests that the search for a "safe haven" is crucial for individuals to maintain a healthy distance from reality and find personal space [10][11] Group 3: Physical and Mental Health - Addressing anxiety may require a focus on physical well-being, as improvements in physical health can lead to better mental health outcomes [21][25] - The importance of reconnecting with the body and nature is emphasized as a means to restore energy and balance, which is essential for mental resilience [26][27] - The integration of physical, mental, and spiritual dimensions is proposed as a holistic approach to overcoming anxiety and achieving personal growth [27][28]
从日本车企定价看美国通胀的“隐退”与“回涌”
Hu Xiu· 2025-10-09 12:35
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses how Japanese automakers have responded to increased tariffs imposed by the Trump administration by collectively lowering prices instead of passing costs onto consumers, creating an unexpected buffer against inflation in the U.S. market [1][3][4]. Group 1: Japanese Automakers' Pricing Strategy - Following the announcement of a 25% tariff on imported vehicles, Japanese automakers adopted a "price reduction" strategy to maintain market share in the U.S. [3][5]. - The price index for cars exported to North America dropped by 19.4% year-on-year, indicating a significant reduction aimed at stabilizing prices in the U.S. market [5][6]. - Despite a decline in profits, Japanese manufacturers managed to maintain a 1.3% increase in sales revenue, demonstrating the effectiveness of their pricing strategy [6]. Group 2: Impact of Tariffs on Inflation - The collective price reductions by Japanese automakers have contributed to a decrease in the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index for imported vehicles, which fell by 0.52% in May, marking the largest drop in nearly a year [16][17]. - However, the overall impact on U.S. inflation has been limited, as the weight of Japanese cars in the PCE index is relatively small, accounting for only about 0.5% [17][19]. - The strong U.S. market has allowed for a "neutralization" effect on inflation, where competitive pressures have absorbed tariff impacts without significantly raising consumer prices [14][19]. Group 3: Broader Global Manufacturing Trends - Other countries, including South Korea and Germany, have also seen similar price reductions in key export sectors, indicating a widespread response to U.S. tariffs [4][19]. - The phenomenon of "price elasticity" in the U.S. market has forced foreign manufacturers to absorb costs rather than pass them on to consumers, creating a temporary buffer against inflation [12][20]. - The overall trend suggests that the competitive landscape in the U.S. has led to a collective effort among global manufacturers to mitigate inflationary pressures through price adjustments [20][39]. Group 4: Future Implications for Inflation - As Japanese automakers begin to raise prices in response to profit pressures, the previous buffer against inflation may diminish, potentially leading to renewed inflationary pressures in the U.S. [22][28]. - The combination of rising import prices and the depletion of existing inventory is expected to contribute to an upward trend in inflation indicators [34][39]. - The ongoing monetary policy changes, including potential interest rate cuts, may further complicate the inflation landscape, suggesting a challenging environment for both manufacturers and consumers [38][39].
别急着让诺奖“治病”:调节性T细胞离药还远
Hu Xiu· 2025-10-09 12:35
Core Insights - The 2025 Nobel Prize in Physiology or Medicine was awarded for the discovery of regulatory T cells, which play a crucial role in immunology and have potential applications in treating diseases like cancer and autoimmune disorders [1][5][13] - Despite the excitement surrounding this discovery, there are currently no approved drugs on the market that are based on regulatory T cells [3][4] - The timeline for potential therapies utilizing regulatory T cells is uncertain, with estimates suggesting it could take up to 20 years for effective treatments to emerge [5][16] Industry Trends - Several biotechnology companies founded by the Nobel laureates are focused on developing therapies that target regulatory T cells, but their products are still in early research stages [6] - The overall outlook for cell therapies, aside from CAR-T, is not optimistic, with some companies, like Takeda, halting their investments in cell therapy [7][8] - The advancements in cancer and autoimmune disease treatments over the past 30 years have largely not involved regulatory T cells, with significant breakthroughs coming from other areas of immunology [10][11] Research and Development Challenges - The journey from scientific discovery to practical application is lengthy, and the complexity of diseases may limit the effectiveness of therapies targeting regulatory T cells [16][18] - Potential safety concerns and manufacturing challenges could hinder the development of drugs based on regulatory T cells, as altering their function may lead to severe adverse reactions [18]
哪些情况下,微信群聊别人八卦可能违法?
Hu Xiu· 2025-10-09 12:15
近日,浙江省台州市天台县公安局的一则处罚决定书,引发媒体热议和公众关注。事情起因是杭州一名女教师在三人的微信聊天群中八卦他 人,被警方以诽谤为由作出了行政拘留二日的处罚。 天台县公安局行政处罚决定书图源:智通财经 最初媒体在刊载这则新闻时,标题就足以让人瞠目:"女教师在三人微信群聊八卦被行拘!"在微信群聊中调侃、八卦、戏谑,已是公众再日常 不过的交流方式,如果熟人间的此类行为都可能违法或涉罪,那么法律惩罚当事人的边界又在哪里? 媒体刊载新闻时还特意强调,女教师八卦的场域并非几百人的微信群,仅是只有三人的闺蜜群和亲属群。如果此类行为也构成违法,似乎也与 公众朴素的法律直觉之间出现了明显的罅隙。 所以,在条分缕析后,大致可得出如下结论: 一、哪些情况下,微信群八卦别人可能违法? 本案中,天台县公安局处罚女教师的法律依据是《中华人民共和国治安管理处罚法》第50条,"公然侮辱他人或者捏造事实诽谤他人的",处五 日以下拘留或者一千元以下罚款。治安管理处罚的诽谤行为是捏造并散布虚构事实,损害他人人格、破坏他人名誉,但尚不构成刑事处罚的行 为。由此来看,诽谤作为治安违法行为是由"捏造事实+公然散布"两个要件所构成的。 从本 ...
那一刻,我发现人生突然变好了
Hu Xiu· 2025-10-09 12:02
本文来自微信公众号:简单心理 (ID:jdxl2000),作者:予警,头图来自:AI生成 前段时间,在陈鲁豫的视频播客《慢谈》中,易立竞谈起了自己北漂时的低谷期: 在皮包公司打工,被拖欠工资,三天吃不上饭,只能去鞋摊做兼职;住在潮湿的地下室,房东不让开 灯、不准说话;因为带着外地口音,屡屡碰壁,连应聘餐厅服务员都被直接拒绝...... 在深不见底的谷底,她看不清未来的方向,也不敢去思考明天。唯一支撑她的念头是:"如果有一天我 能走出谷底的时候,我还有这样的一个皮囊,可以去迎接我未来"。 于是,她让自己的生活被具体的行动填满,不给焦虑留下发作的空间。在那三百多天里,她像上班打卡 一样,每天七点起床,去运动、读书、看纪录片…… @炎炎(一名抑郁症患者) 和朋友吃完饭后回到办公室,隔壁组的师兄在吃橘子,那个橘子味好香,我也想吃橘子,意识到自己要 好起来了。把这件事跟一起吃饭的好友说了,对方激动地给我买了一大袋橘子。 @光芒 上一份工作被领导PUA,持续一年多都很抑郁,那时候才20出头,连性格都变得孤僻,多疑,虚荣,敏 感,感觉这辈子都要砸在这儿。 后来在系统内部调动,到了一个更好的单位,领导和同事都很喜欢我,越来越 ...
国家统计局8月房价数据,揭示两个信号
Hu Xiu· 2025-10-09 12:02
Core Insights - The National Bureau of Statistics released data on the housing price changes in 70 large and medium-sized cities for August 2025, indicating a notable decline in high-quality assets [1] Group 1: Market Trends - The data provided by the National Bureau of Statistics is relatively abstract, making it difficult to discern market trends directly [1] - The analysis includes a transformation of some data into charts to facilitate a more intuitive understanding of market trends [1]
匈牙利作家拉斯洛获2025年诺贝尔文学奖,曾多次到访中国
Hu Xiu· 2025-10-09 11:56
Core Points - The 2025 Nobel Prize in Literature was awarded to Krasznahorkai László for his impactful works that reaffirm the power of art amidst apocalyptic fears [1] - Krasznahorkai, born in 1954 in Hungary, gained prominence with his debut novel "Satan's Tango" in 1985, which features a unique narrative structure and explores themes of hope and despair in a decaying village [1][2] - His writing style is characterized by long, winding sentences and a postmodern approach, often addressing dystopian and melancholic themes [2] Summary by Sections - **Author Background** - Krasznahorkai László was born into a Jewish middle-class family in Hungary and studied law and Hungarian literature at university [1] - He has lived in Berlin since 1987 and has traveled extensively across Europe, influencing his writing [2] - **Notable Works** - "Satan's Tango" (1985) is a significant work that helped establish his reputation, later adapted into a film by Béla Tarr [1] - "The Melancholy of Resistance" (1989) critiques Western civilization through a surreal narrative involving a circus and a whale specimen [2] - Other notable works include "War and War" and "Seiobo There Below," showcasing his exploration beyond Hungarian themes [2] - **Awards and Recognition** - Krasznahorkai has received numerous prestigious awards, including the International Booker Prize and the National Book Award [2] - He is regarded as one of the most prominent contemporary Hungarian authors, with his writing often described as challenging and profound [2] - **Chinese Translations** - His works available in Chinese include "Satan's Tango," "The Melancholy of Resistance," and collections like "Kind Relations" and "The World is Advancing" [3]