银行螺丝钉

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固收+创新高,收益来自于哪里?|投资小知识
银行螺丝钉· 2025-06-01 13:42
Group 1 - The article introduces "Yuexinbao" as a good choice for obtaining regular cash flow through its investment strategy [1] - It highlights the "365-day investment advisory portfolio" as a strategy that can capitalize on bull markets while providing protection in bear markets [1]
[6月1日]美股指数估值数据(全球股市上涨;全球指数星级更新)
银行螺丝钉· 2025-06-01 13:42
文 | 银行螺丝钉 (转载请注明出处) 祝大家六一儿童节快乐! 送上一份给孩子的礼物:《 儿童节,送孩子这3份长长久久的礼物 》 有朋友问螺丝钉,能不能针对 全球股票指数、美债指数等 , 做个估值表。 目前内地能买到的、投资海外市场的基金品种不多。 不过在海外这些品种比较丰富。 可以先从指数估值的角度,了解海外市场不同品种的估值情况。 螺丝钉也做了美股、全球股票指数、美债指数的估值表。见文章下面图片。 每周日会在公众号、以及「 今天几星 」小程序,每周定期更新。 海外市场指数数量很多,后面大家 有希望增加的品种 ,可以反馈给螺丝钉。 目前螺丝钉后台系统,已经覆盖海外主流的几百只指数品种。 1. 本周全球股票市场微涨微跌。 全球股票市场指数,回到了3.5星。 美股指数本周略微上涨。 非美股市场本周微跌。 A股港股本周微跌。港股结束连续6周的上涨,本周也略微下跌。 2. 本周前半段,全球股票市场上涨,到周四周五回调。 原因还是跟特朗普的关税政策有关。 美国联邦法院,本周阻止了特朗普4月2日的关税政策生效。 不过随后特朗普政府又上诉,让美国联邦巡回上诉法院,暂时恢复关于提高关税的政策。 (1)对美元来说,关税是一把 ...
儿童节,送孩子这3份长长久久的礼物
银行螺丝钉· 2025-05-31 20:27
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of financial education for children, suggesting that parents can provide lifelong gifts by helping their children develop financial literacy, proper consumption habits, and planning for future education expenses [1][26]. Group 1: Financial Literacy - The first gift is to help children develop financial thinking by introducing them to financial concepts early on, which can benefit them throughout their lives [1][7]. - Recommended methods include reading financial education books together with children to instill the right money mindset [1][7]. - A suggested book list is provided to aid in this financial education [1]. Group 2: Consumption Awareness - The article stresses the need to improve children's consumption awareness, starting with saving money before investing [2][4]. - It highlights the challenge many face in resisting the temptation of immediate consumption due to easy access to credit [2][3]. - Parents are encouraged to teach children the value of saving and the benefits of investing over time [2][4]. Group 3: Asset Accumulation - The article suggests starting with money market funds to help children visualize asset accumulation, showing them how their savings can grow over time [5][8]. - It provides an example of how saving can lead to purchasing more toys in the future compared to immediate spending [6]. Group 4: Insurance and Protection - The second gift involves securing proper insurance for children, including basic health insurance and additional commercial insurance for comprehensive coverage [9][10]. - It emphasizes the importance of parents also having their own insurance to ensure they can protect their children effectively [11]. Group 5: Education Fund Planning - The third gift is planning for children's education funds, which should be prepared early to ensure that educational expenses are covered regardless of future financial situations [11][12]. - Suggestions for investment vehicles include high-dividend funds that can provide regular cash flow for educational expenses [12][18]. Group 6: Cash Flow Management - The article introduces a cash flow management product called "Monthly Salary Treasure," which offers regular cash flow while maintaining a balanced investment in stocks and bonds [17][22]. - It explains that this product can provide stable cash flow regardless of market fluctuations, making it suitable for long-term financial planning [22][24].
每日钉一下(基金的追踪误差是啥,会影响我们的投资收益吗?)
银行螺丝钉· 2025-05-31 13:52
这里有一门限时免费的福利课程,介绍了基金投顾的方方面面。 很多行业都有顾问,特别是一些专业性很强的行业。 例如, 基金投资也是如此。 基金投顾的诞生,正是为了解决基金行业存在的"基金赚钱,基民不赚钱"的问题。 那么,基金投顾有哪些优势? 是如何通过"投"和"顾",帮助投资者获得好收益的呢? 文 | 银行螺丝钉 (转载请注明出处) 基金投顾,顾名思义,就是基金的投资顾问。 想要获取这个课程,可以添加下方「课程小助手」,回复「 基金投顾 」领取哦~ 更有课程笔记、思维导图,帮您快速搞懂课程脉络,学习更高效。 ◆◆◆ ▼点击阅读原 文,免费学习大额家庭资产配置课程 • 看病吃药,需要医生,医生就是顾问; • 有法律问题,需要律师,律师也是顾问。 ...
为什么高收入可能不会持续:从行业红利到时代红利 | 螺丝钉带你读书
银行螺丝钉· 2025-05-31 13:52
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the concept of "era dividends," emphasizing the different stages of industry development and the opportunities and challenges they present for individuals and companies [4][11]. Industry Dividend Periods - **Startup Phase (0-5%)**: In this initial stage, small entrepreneurial teams innovate to meet customer needs, while large companies are less involved due to limited profit potential [6]. This phase is characterized by high risk for founders [7]. - **High Growth Phase (5%-30%)**: As the industry matures, larger companies enter the market, leading to rapid growth and increased demand for professionals. During this period, personal income can grow significantly, often outpacing average societal growth [8][9]. - **Mature Phase (30% and above)**: The competitive landscape stabilizes, with a few leading companies dominating the market. This results in an oversupply of professionals, leading to slower income growth and potential layoffs [10]. Recent Era Dividends - The last few decades have seen widespread era dividends driven by globalization, urbanization, and technological advancements. For instance, joining the WTO spurred rapid growth in domestic manufacturing, transitioning from low-end to high-end industries [11][12]. - Urbanization led to a real estate boom, benefiting various related sectors and significantly increasing wealth accumulation for many [12][13]. - Technological progress, particularly in the internet and AI sectors, has also resulted in explosive salary growth for professionals in these fields [13]. Conclusion on Era Dividends - Era dividends are finite, and every industry will eventually reach a saturation point. Individuals should be aware of the cyclical nature of income growth and prepare for future changes by saving during high-growth periods [15][16]. - New era dividends will continue to emerge, with disruptive innovations occurring approximately every 10-20 years, providing new opportunities for each generation [18][19]. - The current economic landscape suggests a reduction in high-growth sectors, prompting individuals to consider their strategies for future success [20][22].
[5月30日]指数估值数据(创业板的估值如何;港股估值表更新;抽奖福利)
银行螺丝钉· 2025-05-30 13:47
文 | 银行螺丝钉 (转载请注明出处) 今天大盘微跌,还在5星。 沪深300略微下跌,小盘股下跌略多。 红利、银行等价值风格整体上涨,成长风格下跌。 医药行业比较坚挺。 港股昨天上涨比较多,今天也变成下跌。 美国联邦法院,昨天阻止了特朗普4月2日的关税政策生效。 关税提升是导致4月初全球股票市场大跌的主要因素,提高关税受阻,对全球股票市场有利。 周四全球股票市场整体上涨。 不过随后特朗普政府又上诉,让美国联邦巡回上诉法院,暂时恢复关于提高关税的政策。 今天亚太地区股票市场又整体下跌。 关税政策反反复复,也会带来市场波动。 不过之前咱们提到过,对美元来说,关税是一把双刃剑。 关税提升,不利于美元通货膨胀降低;如果美元通货膨胀降不下去,那美联储降息节奏会放缓。 庞大的美元负债,较高的利息支出,对美元压力也比较大。 提高关税更多的是一个谈判工具,而非最终的目的。 所以关税这两月来回扯皮,真正落地的高关税并不多。 市场对此也逐渐没那么敏感了。 1. 有朋友问,创业板的估值如何? 创业板指,在2024年2-3季度也是在低估的。 后来到了4季度上涨后回到了正常估值。 2. 不过创业板历史上有过泡沫估值。 在2014-20 ...
一个小妙招,教你黄金如何估值|投资小知识
银行螺丝钉· 2025-05-30 13:47
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of strategic asset allocation for families to optimize their wealth management and investment returns [1] Group 1: Industry Insights - The current market environment presents both challenges and opportunities for investors, particularly in the context of rising interest rates and inflation [1] - Diversification across various asset classes is highlighted as a key strategy to mitigate risks and enhance returns [1] Group 2: Company Analysis - Companies that adapt to changing market conditions and consumer preferences are more likely to succeed in the long term [1] - The article discusses specific sectors that are expected to perform well, including technology and renewable energy, due to their growth potential [1]
每日钉一下(基金业绩偏离基准,要不要卖掉?)
银行螺丝钉· 2025-05-30 13:47
这里有一门限时免费的福利课程,介绍了个人养老金的投资方法。 想要获取这个课程,可以添加下方「课程小助手」,回复「 养老金 」领取哦~ 更有课程笔记、思维导图,帮您快速搞懂课程脉络,学习更高效。 ◆◆◆ ▼点击阅读原 文,免费学习大额家庭资产配置课程 文 | 银行螺丝钉 (转载请注明出处) 投资个人养老金,既可以为自己的养老增添一份保障,还能享受个税递延的优惠。 个人养老金账户如何开通?5大品种如何投资? ...
[5月29日]指数估值数据(全球股市大涨;A股是分红市还是融资市;红利估值表更新;指数日报更新)
银行螺丝钉· 2025-05-29 13:56
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current trends in the A-share and Hong Kong stock markets, highlighting a shift towards a dividend-focused market as opposed to a financing-driven one, with significant growth in dividend payouts and a decrease in new stock issuances. Market Performance - The overall market is experiencing an upward trend, with the closing rating at 5 stars, close to 4.9 stars [1] - All market caps (large, mid, and small) are rising, with small-cap stocks showing greater elasticity [2] - Growth styles are generally on the rise [3] - Technology and healthcare sectors are leading the gains, particularly innovative pharmaceuticals [4] - The Hong Kong stock market is also seeing overall increases, with technology stocks leading the charge [5] Earnings Recovery - In Q1 of this year, both A-shares and Hong Kong stocks have shown a recovery in earnings growth [6] - Notably, technology and healthcare stocks have experienced significant year-on-year earnings growth, becoming leading sectors post-Spring Festival [7] - Other sectors are expected to enter a phase of earnings recovery as well [8] Tariff Impact - The recent market rise is partially attributed to tariff-related developments, particularly the U.S. federal court's organization of Trump's tariff policy effective April 2 [9] - The increase in tariffs was a major factor leading to a global stock market decline in early April, and the obstruction of these tariffs is beneficial for the global stock market [10] - Recently, the global stock market has largely recovered from the declines experienced in early April [11] - However, Trump remains an unstable factor, with potential for further policy changes [12] Dividend Market Transition - A significant change in A-shares over recent years is the encouragement for listed companies to increase their dividend payout ratios [13] - The dividend payout ratio indicates the percentage of profits distributed as dividends [14] - Historically, A-shares distributed 30-40% of profits as dividends, which has increased to 40-50% in recent years [16][17] - The total dividend payout for A-shares in 2024 is projected to reach a historical high of approximately 2.4 trillion [18] - The frequency of dividends has also increased, with more companies distributing dividends twice a year and some experimenting with quarterly dividends [19] Financing Trends - In previous years, A-shares experienced a surge in new stock issuances, but this has significantly decreased following regulatory changes [20] - The total financing from new IPOs in A-shares for 2024 is expected to be only 67.3 billion [21] - Including convertible bonds and additional financing, the total financing amount is around 288 billion [22] - The opportunities for new stock and bond issuances have diminished considerably in recent years [23] - A-shares have transitioned into a standard dividend market, with total dividends far exceeding total financing [24] Future Projections - For 2025, the dividend payout ratio is expected to continue increasing, with total dividends projected to grow further [25] - New stock issuance is anticipated to remain low in 2025 [26] - The issuance of REITs has increased compared to previous years, but REITs are also high-dividend products, suggesting that over time, REITs will also see dividends surpass financing amounts [27] - It is expected that 2025 will maintain the trend of total dividends exceeding total financing [28] - This shift represents a positive long-term direction for A-shares, moving from a financing market to a dividend market [29] Fund Dividend Trends - The increase in stock dividends has also led to a rise in fund dividends [33] - In previous years, there was debate over whether funds should distribute dividends, but this controversy has diminished [34] - The number and scale of regularly distributing funds have grown significantly, reflecting high investor demand for such funds [36] - From early 2025 to mid-May 2025, the total amount of fund dividends has increased by 40% compared to 2024 [39] - Bond funds and dividend equity funds are the primary contributors to this increase in dividends [40] Valuation Tables - The article includes valuation tables for dividend indices and funds for reference [42] - These tables provide insights into earnings yield, price-to-earnings ratio, and other financial metrics for various indices and funds [42]