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陆家嘴财经早餐2025年12月17日星期三
Wind万得· 2025-12-16 22:57
1. 中央财办有关负责同志详解2025年中央经济工作会议精神指出,扩大内需是明年排在首位的重点任务,要从供需两侧发力提振消费,统筹提振消费和扩 大投资。 另外,明年要从供需两端发力稳定房地产市场。供给端要严控增量、盘活存量,加快消化库存。需求端要采取更多针对性措施,充分释放居民 刚性和改善性需求。 1.据中国证券报,回望2025年,"支持性"始终是货币政策实施的核心基调。 展望2026年,"支持性"基调有望延续。央行将继续实施适度宽松的货币政策, 坚持精准施策与协同发力,灵活运用降准降息等工具,促进社会综合融资成本低位运行。 更好地运用结构性货币政策工具,精准滴灌实体经济的重点领 域和薄弱环节。此外,还将继续探索拓展中央银行宏观审慎与金融稳定功能,维护金融市场稳定,坚决守住不发生系统性金融风险的底线。 2. 海南省政府发布通告,自2025年12月18日起,海南自由贸易港正式启动全岛封关。 封关后,加工增值免关税政策迎来优化调整;进口"零关税"商品税 目由1900多个扩大到6600多个,占全部商品税目比例由21%扩大至74%。 3.围绕规范平台经济、食品安全以及反垄断反不正当竞争工作,市场监管总局将有一系列新规 ...
12月17日热门路演速递 | 2026固收破局、宏观稳中求进、AI规模化兑现、地产新解
Wind万得· 2025-12-16 22:57
Group 1: Fixed Income Insights - The focus is on the asset allocation challenges in a low interest rate environment in 2026, with a deep dive into the framework of major asset allocation and the steady approach of "fixed income +" strategies [2] - The strategic value of bond ETFs and structural opportunities in credit bonds and convertible bonds will be analyzed to provide practical guidance for diversified allocation [2] Group 2: Macroeconomic Stability - The forum will explore how China's macro economy can achieve "steady progress" in 2025, addressing whether the current economy is "steady with progress" or "progress with concerns" [5] - Key issues such as low CPI operation and the stabilization of the real estate market will be discussed, along with the balance between "stabilizing growth" and "preventing risks" [5] Group 3: Technology Sector Strategy - The outlook for 2026 highlights the advancement of AI, focusing on three main areas: the large-scale implementation of domestic computing power, breakthroughs in multimodal capabilities of large models, and the scaling of enterprise-level AI applications [7] - The discussion will center on the industrial transition from "+AI" to "AI+" and the investment opportunities that arise from this shift [7] Group 4: Real Estate Market Analysis - The analysis indicates that stable policy expectations, a low interest rate environment, and improved supply-demand structures are key forces supporting the stabilization of the real estate market [10]
每日债市速递 | 发改委称坚定实施扩大内需战略
Wind万得· 2025-12-16 22:57
1. 公开市场操作 央行公告称, 12 月 16 日以固定利率、数量招标方式开展了 1353 亿元 7 天期逆回购操作,操作利率 1.40% ,投标量 1353 亿元,中标量 1353 亿元。 Wind 数据显示,当日 1173 亿元逆回购到期,据此计算,单日净投放 180 亿元 。 2. 资金面 (*数据来源:Wind-央行动态PBOC) 虽然适逢月度税期时点,银行间市场周二整体流动性依然偏松,存款类机构隔夜回购加权利率( DR001 )进一步下行至 1.27% 附近。 海外方面,最新美国隔夜融资担保利率为 3.67% (IMM) // 债市综述 // (*数据来源:Wind-国际货币资金情绪指数、资金综合屏) 3. 同业存单 全国和主要股份制银行一年期同业存单最新成交在 1.67% 附近,较上日小幅上行。 (*数据来源:Wind-同业存单-发行结果) 4. 银行间主要利率债收益率 (*数据来源:Wind-利差分析) 6. 国债期货收盘 30 年期主力合约跌 0.19% 10 年期主力合约涨 0.05% 5 年期主力合约涨 0.03% 2 年期主力合约跌 0.02% (*数据来源:Wind-国债期货) | ...
全球大公司要闻 | “亚洲锂都”拟一次性注销27宗采矿权,江特电机提出“异议申请”
Wind万得· 2025-12-16 22:57
Group 1 - 360 announced that it is addressing false statements made by a former executive, clarifying that the individual never held a core management position and that the company's gaming business revenue recognition complies with accounting standards, denying any allegations of financial fraud [2] - Ford has canceled multiple electric vehicle models, including the F150 Lightning, leading to a projected revenue decrease of $19.5 billion, with most losses accounted for in the current quarter [2] - PayPal has applied for a banking license to expand its loan services and introduce interest-bearing savings accounts, aiming to reduce reliance on third-party institutions [2] Group 2 - XPeng Motors has obtained an L3 autonomous driving road test license in Guangzhou and plans to launch L4 level vehicles by 2026 [5] - Jiangte Motor announced that it has submitted an objection regarding the proposed cancellation of its lithium mining rights in Yichun, following regulatory actions [5] - Jingyu Medical received regulatory approval for its invasive brain-computer interface products aimed at treating drug addiction, marking a significant milestone in mental health treatment [5] Group 3 - Apple plans to significantly expand its iPhone product line over the next two years, including the release of at least seven new models by fall 2027 [8] - Tesla intends to start battery cell production at its Berlin factory in 2027, with an annual capacity of 8 GWh [8] - Microsoft emphasized its AI capabilities, stating that its growth is not solely dependent on OpenAI, while also rolling out updates for Windows 11 [8] Group 4 - Honda plans to increase its stake in parts supplier Astemo by 21%, aiming for full control to enhance its automotive supply chain integration [11] - Samsung Electronics is negotiating 2nm orders with AMD while ramping up its foundry business for Intel's PCH chips [11] - SK Hynix warned of a continued DRAM chip shortage until 2028 and is collaborating with NVIDIA on AI-specific SSDs [11] Group 5 - Volkswagen will close its Dresden factory, transitioning it into an AI and chip research hub as part of a broader cost-cutting strategy [13] - Porsche is adjusting its 718 EV platform to accommodate internal combustion engines due to slowing demand for electric vehicles [13] - Mercedes-Benz reported significant usage of its driver assistance systems and is focusing on high-quality development in China [14]
全球大公司要闻 | iRobot申请破产,中国企业接盘
Wind万得· 2025-12-15 22:38
Group 1 - iRobot has officially filed for bankruptcy protection in Delaware, with Shenzhen PICEA Robotics and its subsidiary acquiring all shares, leading to iRobot's delisting from NASDAQ and privatization [3] - Tesla has initiated Robotaxi road tests without human safety operators, with reports of at least one Model Y operating in Austin, Texas, without safety monitoring equipment [3] - Google has introduced its seventh-generation TPU using HBM3E8 chips from Samsung and SK Hynix, with plans to adopt HBM3E12 chips for enhanced performance [3] Group 2 - Luoyang Molybdenum has acquired four operating gold mines in Brazil, marking a significant step in its "copper-gold dual-pole" acquisition strategy to enhance its resource layout in South America [5] - Unisoc has established a central research institute to focus on developing new architectures for edge AI chips [5] Group 3 - Apple faces potential increases in hardware costs as DRAM long-term order agreements expire, with Samsung and SK Hynix planning price hikes starting January [7] - Ford plans to convert an electric vehicle battery plant in Kentucky to produce batteries for grid storage and announced the creation of thousands of new jobs across the U.S. [7] - Novo Nordisk Canada has received conditional marketing authorization from Health Canada for semaglutide injection (Wegovy) for treating certain patients with non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) [7] Group 4 - Samsung Electronics aims to expand HBM3E chip supply to become Broadcom's largest supplier and plans to exit the consumer electronics SSD market to focus on AI industry supply [9] - Toyota announced plans to build a manufacturing plant in the U.S. and issue bonds worth up to 5 billion Indian Rupees, while recalling nearly 100,000 vehicles due to safety issues [9] - SK Hynix has ordered a hot-press bonding machine from ASMPT for HBM4 production, anticipating DRAM shortages to persist until 2028 [9] Group 5 - Volkswagen Group announced the first closure of a domestic production line in Germany in 88 years, significantly reducing the budget for its battery subsidiary PowerCo [12] - Porsche is adjusting its 718 EV platform to accommodate internal combustion engines due to slowing demand for pure electric vehicles, incurring approximately £6.65 billion in conversion costs [12] - HSBC has sent privatization documents for Hang Seng Bank, with a court meeting and shareholder meeting scheduled for January 1, 2026 [12]
每日债市速递 | 中国11月经济“成绩单”出炉
Wind万得· 2025-12-15 22:38
1. 公开市场操作 央行公告称, 12 月 15 日以固定利率、数量招标方式开展了 1309 亿元 7 天期逆回购操作,操作利率 1.40% ,投标量 1309 亿元,中标量 1309 亿元。 Wind 数据显示,当日 1223 亿元逆回购到期,据此计算,单日净投放 86 亿元 。 2. 资金面 (*数据来源:Wind-央行动态PBOC) 银行间市场周一流动性依旧宽松,存款类机构隔夜回购加权利率( DR001 )略降;匿名点击( X-repo )系统上,隔夜报价仍在 1.25% 不过供给明显收 敛;非银机构质押信用债融入隔夜资金报价暂在 1.45% 一线。 海外方面,最新美国隔夜融资担保利率为 3.66% 。 // 债市综述 // 3. 同业存单 (*数据来源:Wind-国际货币资金情绪指数、资金综合屏) 全国和主要股份制银行一年期同业存单最新成交在 1.66% 附近,较上日变化不大。 (IMM) (*数据来源:Wind-同业存单-发行结果) 4. 银行间主要利率债收益率 | (*数据来源:Wind-成交统计BMW) | | --- | 5. 近期城投债(AAA)各期限利差走势及数据 (*数据来源:Wind- ...
12月16日热门路演速递丨前瞻2026:新质生产力、港股与商业航天如何布局?
Wind万得· 2025-12-15 22:38
12月16日热门路演速递丨前瞻2026:新质生产力、港股与商业航天如何 布局? 01 核心看点: 2026年宏观经济"修复式增长"下如何实现再平衡?市场策略"攻守易形"将如何影响资产配置?金融工程 领域的基准库落地又怎样推动投资进入工具化新时代?本次策略会将从宏观、策略与金融工程三维度解 析新蓝图。 2026年宏观经济将如何影响指数化投资布局?创业板50ETF作为新质生产力代表具备哪些估值优 势?"黄金+"策略在当前利率环境下如何增强资产组合韧性?港股与海外市场又存在哪些结构性机会? 嘉宾: 扫码预约 李超丨浙商证券首席经济学家、研究所联席所长 倪斌丨指数与量化投资部副总监、基金经理 苏卿云丨指数与量化投资部副总监,基金经理 许之彦丨华安基金总经理助理,首席指数投资官 王立新丨世界黄金协会中国区CEO 徐灵琳丨指数与量化投资部 分析师/主持人 02 西部证券 | 新蓝图 新突破 - 2026年度策略会年度策略报告巡礼之总量篇上午场 9:30-12:00 指数专场:指数赋能,积木星球(上) | 实力为鞍,乘势笃行——华安基金2026马年 投资嘉年华 09:00-11:30 核心看点: 嘉宾: 边泉水丨西部证券宏 ...
陆家嘴财经早餐2025年12月16日星期二
Wind万得· 2025-12-15 22:38
Group 1 - The article emphasizes that expanding domestic demand is a strategic move essential for economic stability and security, aiming to meet the long-term needs of economic growth and the people's quality of life [2] - The National Bureau of Statistics reported that in November, the industrial added value increased by 4.8% year-on-year, the service production index rose by 4.2%, and the retail sales of consumer goods grew by 1.3% year-on-year [3] - The fixed asset investment from January to November decreased by 2.6%, with manufacturing investment increasing by 1.9% and real estate development investment dropping by 15.9% [3] Group 2 - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology announced the first batch of L3 conditional autonomous driving vehicle approvals, marking a significant step towards commercial application in China [11] - The Ministry of Commerce and other departments released an action plan to promote high-quality development of service outsourcing, aiming to cultivate competitive leading enterprises by 2030 [3] - The Securities Regulatory Commission outlined key reform directions for the capital market, including enhancing corporate governance and promoting dividend and buyback efforts among quality companies [5] Group 3 - The A-share market experienced a decline, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing down 0.55% and the Shenzhen Component Index down 1.1%, amid a total market turnover of 1.79 trillion yuan [5] - Institutional interest in listed companies remains high, with over 520 companies receiving institutional research in December [7] - The cash dividend total for A-share companies reached 2.56 trillion yuan this year, surpassing the total for the entire previous year, marking a historical high [7] Group 4 - The energy work conference set a target for adding over 20 million kilowatts of wind and solar power capacity in 2026, with a projected 14% year-on-year growth in total installed power generation capacity by 2025 [4] - The food safety office emphasized strict enforcement against illegal food practices during the upcoming holiday season [4] - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange is considering reforms regarding trading units and extending trading hours, indicating potential changes in market operations [8]
如何通过基金布局十五五规划
Wind万得· 2025-12-15 03:02
对机构与个人投资者来说, "十五五规划"不再只是新闻里的几个关键词,而是未来几年产业方向、 政策支持和资金流向的 导航图 。 用 Alice 选基,把国家战略变成投资组合 Wind金融终端输入命令" FF " 点击基金-多维数据-" 基金索引( FF) "。 // 从政策语言到选基语言 // 传统做 "规划主题基金池",往往要先看文件、拆方向,再回到终端里一条条设条件、反复调参—— 过程清楚,但很耗精力。 "十五五"时期(2026–2030 年),被明确为迈向 2035 年基本实现社会主义现代化的关键五年。官方 建议里已经划出了一条很清晰的主线: Alice 选基做了两件事: 1)一句话需求,系统自动"翻译"指标 你可以直接用 "人话"提需求,比如:" 如何提前布局十五五规划基金 " , 在这句话背后,系统会自 动拆解出一组可执行条件,如 一带一路、粤港澳大湾区、雄安新区、高 端制造 、人工智能、量子 科技等 相关主题并给出候选基金列表。 2)给出可调整的量化边界 "稳一点""不要太集中的行业"这些模糊表达,会被映射为: · 特定的基金类型 ; · 特定的主题分类; · 合理的区间收益 /最大回撤条件; 你可 ...
刚刚!万科公布最新中票宽限期内本息偿付安排
Wind万得· 2025-12-15 01:37
万科企业股份有限公司(以下简称"公司")在中国银行间市场交易商协会网站(简称"交易商协会",www.nafmii.org.cn)披露了《关于万科企业股份有限 公司2022年度第四期中期票据宽限期内本息偿付安排的公告》。根据相关规定,公司同步在巨潮资讯网(www.cninfo.com.cn)对该公告予以刊登,供参 阅。 | 发行人名称 | 万科企业股份有限公司 | | --- | --- | | 债项名称 | 万科企业股份有限公司 2022年度 | | | 第四期中期票据 | | 债项简称 | 22 万科 MTN004 | | 债项代码 | 102282715 | | 发行金额(亿元) | 20.00 | | 起息日 | 2022-12-15 | | 发行期限 | 3 स | | 债项余额(亿元) | 20.00 | | 偿还类别 | 本息兑付 | | 本计息期债项利率(%) | 3 | | 本息兑付日 | 2025-12-15 | | 本期应偿付本息金额 | 正在筹备召开第二次持有人会议 | | (亿元) | 商议相关安排 | | 宽限期约定 | 根据《万科企业股份有限公司 2022 | | | 年度第四期中 ...