Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected investment return that will outperform the market benchmark by more than 15% over the next 6-12 months [5][12]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 169 million yuan in 2024, a decrease of 9.02% year-on-year, with a net loss attributable to the parent company of 240 million yuan [1][3]. - The successful approval of Gsorese tablets in November 2024 marks a significant milestone, alongside positive results from the D-2570 Phase II clinical trial for psoriasis [2][3]. - The company is advancing its clinical research with multiple products in various stages, including D-0502 in Phase III trials and D-0120 in Phase II trials [2]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections show a recovery with expected growth rates of 36.80% in 2025 and 35.89% in 2026, reaching 231 million yuan and 314 million yuan respectively [4][8]. - The net profit forecast for 2025 and 2026 has been revised down to -257 million yuan and -223 million yuan, respectively, with a new estimate for 2027 at -46 million yuan [3][4]. - The company’s total assets are projected to decline from 2,162 million yuan in 2023 to 1,438 million yuan by 2027, while total liabilities are expected to increase slightly [9]. Clinical Development Progress - The D-2570 product is being developed for multiple indications, including psoriasis, ulcerative colitis, and Crohn's disease, with promising clinical results indicating significant efficacy compared to existing treatments [2][3]. - The company has two products already authorized for sale and several others in various stages of clinical trials, showcasing a robust pipeline [2]. Market Performance - The current stock price is 22.56 yuan, with a market capitalization of approximately 13.047 billion yuan [5]. - The stock has shown a relative performance increase of 129.75% over the past year, indicating strong market interest [7].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Tianrun Dairy (600419.SH) [6] Core Views - Tianrun Dairy's 2024 annual revenue reached 2.804 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.33%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders dropped by 69.26% to 43.66 million yuan [1] - The company faced challenges in the first quarter of 2025, with a revenue of 625 million yuan, a decrease of 2.50% year-on-year, and a net loss of 73.30 million yuan [1][4] - The report highlights the impact of cattle impairment on short-term profits, with a projected recovery in profitability expected as the company normalizes its cattle culling rate [3][4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, Tianrun Dairy's revenue was 2.804 billion yuan, with a net profit of 43.66 million yuan, and a significant decline in net profit margin to 1.56% [1][3] - The first quarter of 2025 showed a revenue of 625 million yuan, with a net loss of 73.30 million yuan, indicating a challenging market environment [1][4] Product Categories - The revenue breakdown for Q1 2025 showed that the revenue from ambient dairy products, low-temperature dairy products, and livestock products were 347 million yuan, 239 million yuan, and 17 million yuan respectively, with low-temperature products being relatively stable [2] Profitability and Costs - The gross margin for 2024 was 16.76%, with a decline in Q1 2025 to 14.63% due to increased promotional activities [3] - Selling expense ratio increased to 6.87% in Q1 2025, attributed to promotional discounts [3] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been revised down to 108 million yuan and 195 million yuan, respectively, with an introduction of a 2027 forecast of 247 million yuan [4] - The report indicates that the current stock price corresponds to a P/E ratio of 29x for 2025, 16x for 2026, and 13x for 2027, reflecting the company's differentiated product advantages and growth potential in external markets [4]

2025 年 5 月 6 日 公司研究 低温业务增势良好，盈利能力持续提升 ——新乳业（002946.SZ）2024 年报及 2025 年一季报点评 要点 事件：新乳业发布 2024 年年报和 2025 年一季报，2024 全年实现营业收入 106.65 亿元，同比-2.93%；归母净利润 5.38 亿元，同比+24.80%；扣非归母净 利润 5.79 亿元，同比+24.47%。其中，24Q4 单季度实现营业收入 25.16 亿元， 同比-9.94%；归母净利润 0.64 亿元，同比+28.08%；扣非归母净利润 0.72 亿元， 同比-2.25%。25Q1 实现营业收入 26.25 亿元，同比+0.42%；归母净利润 1.33 亿元，同比+48.46%；扣非归母净利润 1.41 亿元，同比+40.35%。 低温品类持续向好，电商渠道增长积极。1）分产品看，2024 年液态奶/奶粉/ 其他产品分别实现营收 98.36/0.71/7.58 亿元，同比+0.83%/-9.63%/ -34.27%。 其中低温鲜奶和低温酸奶收入同比实现中高个位数增长，高端鲜奶及低温调制乳 品类收入同比实现双位数增长。公司持续推进新品 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 7.21 CNY per share [6]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 2.82 billion CNY for 2024, a decrease of 9.73% year-on-year, but achieved a net profit of 83 million CNY, marking a turnaround from losses [1]. - The cloud computing segment is emerging as a second growth curve, with revenue from this business increasing by 10.09% year-on-year to 256 million CNY, while the network security business saw a decline of 11.49% to 2.55 billion CNY [1]. - The company has implemented cost control and quality improvement measures, resulting in a gross margin increase of 0.85 percentage points to 61.04% in 2024 [2]. - The company is focusing on AI integration in its products, enhancing its capabilities in AI security and cloud security, and has signed a memorandum of understanding with Huawei to further its development in this area [3]. Revenue and Profit Forecast - The forecast for net profit has been adjusted downwards for 2025 and 2026 to 179 million CNY and 248 million CNY, respectively, reflecting a reduction of 50.0% and 39.5% [4]. - The projected revenue for 2025 is 3.11 billion CNY, with a growth rate of 10.23%, followed by 3.49 billion CNY in 2026 and 3.92 billion CNY in 2027 [5]. Financial Metrics - The company’s gross margin is expected to remain stable around 59.6% to 61.0% over the next few years, with a projected return on equity (ROE) increasing from 0.9% in 2024 to 3.1% in 2027 [11]. - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to decrease from 102 in 2024 to 28 in 2027, indicating an improving valuation as profitability increases [12].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 1.659 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 17.56%, and a net profit of 182 million yuan, recovering from a net loss of 11 million yuan in the same period last year [1] - The domestic market shows strong growth in self-owned brands, while the agency business continues to shrink, leading to a decline in domestic revenue [2] - The gross margin improved in 2024, but profitability faced pressure due to increased marketing expenses related to the New Zealand grain project [3] - The company is adjusting its profit forecasts for 2025-2026 due to uncertainties related to tariff impacts, projecting net profits of 200 million yuan and 240 million yuan respectively [4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported total revenue of 1.659 billion yuan, with a significant increase in self-owned brand revenue, while agency brand revenue declined [2] - The gross margin for 2024 was 29.42%, with a notable improvement in the first quarter of 2025 [3] - The net profit for 2024 was 182 million yuan, a recovery from the previous year's loss, with projections for future profits adjusted downwards [4] Market Dynamics - The domestic market is performing well for self-owned brands, while the agency business is contracting, impacting overall revenue [2] - The company is diversifying its overseas revenue sources to mitigate tariff impacts, particularly in the context of its operations in Vietnam and Cambodia [2] Profitability and Cost Management - The gross margin for 2024 was 29.42%, with a year-on-year increase in the first quarter of 2025 attributed to improved margins in self-owned brands [3] - Marketing expenses increased due to the upcoming large-scale production of the New Zealand grain project, affecting overall profitability [3] Future Outlook - The company has revised its profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026, now expecting net profits of 200 million yuan and 240 million yuan, respectively, due to tariff uncertainties [4] - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is 0.80 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 19 [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company has experienced rapid revenue growth in the 3C and passenger vehicle sectors, driven by new coating solutions [6][8] - The company reported a revenue of 746 million yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 26.41%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 86.4 million yuan, up 6.52% year-on-year [5] - The company is focusing on high-end consumer electronics and passenger vehicle markets, with significant partnerships with major clients [6][7] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 746 million yuan, with a net profit of 86.4 million yuan, and a quarterly revenue of 2.19 billion yuan in Q4 2024, reflecting a 25.23% year-on-year growth [5] - For Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 1.53 billion yuan, a 13.24% year-on-year increase, but a net profit of 381 thousand yuan, down 68.52% year-on-year [5][6] Revenue Growth Drivers - The 3C sector saw a revenue increase of 26.9% in 2024, attributed to deepened cooperation with North American clients and expanded product offerings [6] - The passenger vehicle sector achieved a revenue of 1.28 billion yuan in 2024, a 29.6% increase, with Q4 2024 showing a 51.6% year-on-year growth [6] Strategic Initiatives - The company is advancing new coating solutions and has successfully launched a new molecular coating material solution [7] - The company is also expanding into strategic emerging fields such as aerospace, with ongoing collaborations and product development [7] Profitability and Valuation - The report projects net profits of 127 million yuan for 2025, down from a previous estimate of 154 million yuan, with continued growth expected in the 3C and passenger vehicle sectors [8][9] - The company’s gross margin is expected to decline to 48.9% in 2025, with an increase in operating expenses impacting profitability [12]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for China Energy Construction (3996.HK) [1] Core Views - The company has demonstrated stable operations with rapid growth in its new energy business, achieving a revenue of 436.71 billion CNY and a net profit of 8.4 billion CNY in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 7.6% and 5.1% respectively [4][5] - The new energy and integrated smart energy sectors have shown significant revenue growth, contributing to the overall revenue increase and optimization of the business structure [5] - The company has improved its cash flow management, with a net operating cash inflow of 11.03 billion CNY in 2024, an increase of 15.4 billion CNY compared to the previous year [8] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of 436.71 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 7.6%, and a net profit of 8.4 billion CNY, up 5.1% [4] - For Q1 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 100.37 billion CNY, a 3.0% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 1.61 billion CNY, which is an 8.8% increase [4] - The gross margin for 2024 was 12.4%, slightly down from the previous year, while the net margin was 2.7% [6] Business Segments and Regional Performance - The new energy and integrated smart energy sectors generated revenue of 139.76 billion CNY in 2024, a 13.9% increase year-on-year [5] - The company’s engineering construction, investment operation, industrial manufacturing, and surveying design and consulting segments reported revenues of 366.82 billion CNY, 36.13 billion CNY, 32.22 billion CNY, and 20.83 billion CNY respectively in 2024 [5] - Domestic and overseas revenues for 2024 were 380.57 billion CNY and 56.14 billion CNY, reflecting increases of 8.8% and 0.03% respectively [5] Contract and Order Growth - The company signed new contracts worth 1,408.88 billion CNY in 2024, a 9.8% increase year-on-year, with significant contributions from engineering construction and surveying design [7] - In Q1 2025, new contracts amounted to 388.9 billion CNY, a 5.8% increase year-on-year, with notable growth in the new energy sector [7] Profitability and Valuation - The report projects a decrease in net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 to 9.1 billion CNY and 9.6 billion CNY respectively, reflecting adjustments due to market conditions [8] - The estimated P/E ratio for 2025 is 4.2, indicating a favorable valuation compared to historical performance [9]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for both A-shares and H-shares of China Railway (601390.SH/0390.HK) with current prices at 5.52 CNY and 3.38 HKD respectively [1]. Core Views - The company is experiencing operational pressure, with a significant decline in revenue and net profit for 2024, but new emerging businesses are growing rapidly [1][5]. - The company aims to improve cash flow and plans to increase mid-term dividends in 2025 [7][8]. Financial Performance - For 2024, the company reported operating revenue of 115.74 billion CNY, a decrease of 8.2% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 27.89 billion CNY, down 16.7% [4][5]. - In Q1 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 24.86 billion CNY, a decline of 6.2% year-on-year, with net profit down 19.5% [4][5]. Business Segments - The main business segments, including infrastructure, design consulting, equipment manufacturing, real estate development, and resource utilization, saw revenue declines ranging from 2.5% to 13.1% in 2024 [5]. - The company’s overseas business revenue increased by 10.3% while domestic revenue decreased by 9.1% [5][6]. Emerging Business Growth - New contracts signed in 2024 totaled 2715.18 billion CNY, a decrease of 12.4% year-on-year, with domestic contracts down 14.0% and international contracts up 10.6% [6]. - Emerging business contracts grew by 11.3%, particularly in water conservancy and clean energy sectors, which saw increases of 50% and 22.6% respectively [6]. Cost Management and Dividends - The company effectively managed overall expenses in 2024, despite increased financial costs due to delayed payments from project owners [7]. - A proposed dividend of 1.78 CNY per 10 shares for 2024 reflects a payout ratio of 15.79%, an increase of 0.27 percentage points from the previous year [7]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecast for 2025 and 2026 has been adjusted downwards, with net profit estimates of 28.22 billion CNY and 28.64 billion CNY respectively, reflecting a decrease of 10% and 13% [8]. - The report maintains a "Buy" rating based on the rapid growth of emerging industries and overseas orders [8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company has significantly increased its potassium chloride production and sales in 2024, and is actively advancing the construction of a second million-ton project [5][6] - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 4.196 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.79%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 10.97% to 564 million yuan [4][7] - The company’s potassium chloride business revenue reached 2.364 billion yuan in 2024, up 16.3% year-on-year, with production increasing by 35% to 1.2 million tons and sales rising by 39% to 1.21 million tons [5][6] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, the company reported a revenue of 1.085 billion yuan, a decrease of 16.63% year-on-year, and a net profit of 98 million yuan, down 22.01% year-on-year [4] - For Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 954 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.48%, and a net profit of 206 million yuan, up 22.70% year-on-year [4] Business Segments - The construction segment, including steel structures and installation, generated 1.783 billion yuan in revenue in 2024, a decrease of 7.4%, but with an improved gross margin of 9.0% [5] - The company is progressing with its second 1 million tons/year potassium fertilizer project and has a strong market position in the steel structure business, particularly in power grid procurement [6] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company’s net profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 817 million yuan, 852 million yuan, and 1.032 billion yuan respectively, with a downward adjustment for 2026 due to slower-than-expected capacity construction [7][8] - The report projects a revenue growth rate of 14.37% for 2025 and a net profit growth rate of 44.74% for the same year [8][11]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4][6]. Core Views - The company turned profitable in Q1 2025, with a net profit of 1.51 billion yuan, marking a significant recovery from previous losses [1][2]. - The overall gross margin improved significantly due to the reduction in inventory costs, with a year-on-year increase of 2.9 percentage points to 27.2% [2]. - The company's cash flow from operating activities showed a net inflow of -2.07 billion yuan, an improvement of 5.28 billion yuan year-on-year, representing the best level since 2019 [2]. Sales Performance - North America saw a 15% year-on-year increase in sales, driven by strong performance in consumer and professional solutions [3]. - Sales in the Asia-Pacific region decreased by 7%, while China experienced an 8% growth due to recovering global demand [3]. - The Latin America region faced a 23% decline in sales, attributed to intensified competition and unfavorable currency exchange rates [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been revised upwards, with expected net profits of 4.17 billion yuan, 7.09 billion yuan, and 10.28 billion yuan respectively [4]. - The report highlights that the improvement in gross margin and cash flow is expected to continue benefiting from the company's operational enhancements and the recovery of certain product prices [4]. - The estimated P/E ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 35, 20, and 14 respectively, indicating a positive outlook for the company's valuation [5][12].