Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating to the company with a target price of 76.76 CNY [4][10]. Core Insights - The company is a leader in industrial equipment intelligent operation and maintenance solutions, benefiting from the release of downstream digital transformation demands, with growth momentum continuously strengthening [2]. - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 687 million, 839 million, and 1,047 million CNY for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits of 137 million, 178 million, and 239 million CNY for the same years [17][22]. Summary by Sections 1. Revenue and Profit Forecast - The industrial equipment status monitoring and fault diagnosis system is expected to see revenue growth driven by increasing digitalization and intelligent transformation in various industries, with a projected revenue growth rate of 18.3%, 23%, and 25% from 2025 to 2027 [14][16]. - The software, self-manufactured sensors, and subscription-based diagnostic services are anticipated to contribute significantly to revenue, with expected growth rates of 15%, 17%, and 25% from 2025 to 2027 [15][16]. 2. Valuation Analysis - The report utilizes both PE and PS valuation methods, estimating a reasonable valuation of 67.64 billion CNY based on a 38x PE for 2026 and a 9x PS for the same year [18][22]. - The average PE of comparable companies for 2026 is noted to be 30.8x, indicating a strong market position for the company [22][24].

Trading Activity - The average daily trading volume on the North Exchange decreased by 28.69% to 204.93 billion CNY, down from 287.38 billion CNY in the previous week[5] - The weekly turnover rate for the North Exchange was 19.15%, indicating a slight decline compared to previous weeks[7] Index Performance - The North 50 Index experienced a slight decline of 0.70% during the week, with fluctuations influenced by the weak performance of small-cap stocks[14] - Other indices such as the Sci-Tech 50 and the ChiNext Index saw declines of 5.76% and 3.28% respectively, highlighting a broader market downturn[14] Sector Analysis - Most sectors on the North Exchange reported negative median returns, with the beauty and personal care sector leading with a median increase of 2.32%, while the oil and petrochemical sector had the largest decline at -8.42%[20] - The computer industry had the highest median price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio at 139.57 times, indicating a relatively high valuation compared to other sectors[20] New Listings and Market Activity - There were two new IPOs on the North Exchange during the week, but no new stocks were listed[40] - The overall trading scale of the New Third Board decreased, with the innovative tier and basic tier seeing transaction amounts drop by 15.61% and 25.94% respectively[34] Risk Considerations - There is a noted risk of pullback in North Exchange stocks, particularly as trading volumes have shown signs of contraction, which may lead to further declines in the North 50 Index[42]

Employment Data - In January 2026, the U.S. added 130,000 non-farm jobs, significantly exceeding the market expectation of 65,000 jobs[9] - The unemployment rate fell to 4.3%, better than the expected 4.4%, with a labor force participation rate increase to 62.5%[14] - Average weekly hours worked rose to 34.3 hours, and average hourly earnings increased by 0.4%, surpassing the expected 0.3%[17] Annual Revision - The non-seasonally adjusted non-farm employment figure for March 2025 was revised down by 862,000 jobs, close to the previous estimate of 911,000[22] - The total annual job additions for 2025 were revised down from 584,000 to 181,000, resulting in an average monthly addition of approximately 15,000 jobs[23] Federal Reserve Outlook - The stronger-than-expected employment data has reduced market expectations for interest rate cuts, with a less than 6% probability of a rate cut in March[28] - The Federal Reserve may have room to pause rate cuts before June, with potential cuts expected in June and September[28] Risks - Inflation exceeding expectations could limit the space for rate cuts, and political pressures may threaten the independence of the Federal Reserve[29]

美国的"再通胀"之路 [Table_Authors] 韩朝辉(分析师) ——全球流动性"潮汐"研究一 "再通胀"的归途 当"K型分化"转向"再通胀" 本报告导读： 当美国从"K型分化"转向"再通胀"，近期全球流动性似乎也从宽松预期的放缓， 转向紧缩预期的抬头。"降息+缩表"的政策组合预期下，注定这是一场非典型的再 通胀交易（有时更像是滞胀交易）。关注全球流动性"潮汐"下的大类资产联动。 投资要点： [Table_Summary] "K型分化"的来路 美国资产负债表的结构特征。 →美国私人部门的资产负债表相当健康（尤其是 2020 年疫后 QE 阶 段加了一波杠杆的群体），导致美国高净值群体拥有大量的净资产（其中 以房产和股权为主）；而疫后美国的利率结构也比较特殊，由于大量的信 贷扩张是发生在 QE阶段，导致高净值群体的存量抵押贷款利率并不算高 （目前是 4.2%）。作为对比，目前 30 年期新发贷款利率在 6.1%。 导致利率敏感度的截然不同。 →"高净值群体"可以通过再融资贷款（cash-out refinance）将净资产 变现，支撑消费端韧性和美股流动性，所以当新旧贷款利差（再融资扩张 的边际成本）收窄 ...

| 北证日均成交额环比继续下降，北证 50 | | --- | | 指数当周震荡显著 | ——北交所周报（2026 年 2 月第 1 周） 本报告导读： 2 月第 1 周 A 股市场缩量震荡，小盘股表现稍弱，北证 50 指数波动明显，单周小幅 下跌 0.70%，日均成交额回落至 200 亿元附近。当周北交所 2 只新股招股，无新股 上市。 次新板块持续回调，科创板年内首只未盈利新股 上市 2026.02.10 新股精要—动力电池热失控防护零部件领先提供 商固德电材 2026.02.10 IPO 月度数据一览（2026 年 1 月） 2026.02.03 次新板块回调明显，恒运昌申购收益亮眼 2026.02.02 北证交易活跃度回升，北证 50 指数回调 2026.02.01 证 券 研 究 报 告 投资要点： 新股研究 /[Table_Date] 2026.02.12 | [Table_Authors] | 王政之(分析师) | | --- | --- | | | 021-38674944 | | | wangzhengzhi@gtht.com | | 登记编号 | S0880517060002 | | | ...

债券研究 /[Table_Date] 2026.02.12 本报告导读： 博弈偏股条款，挖掘偏高利差。 投资要点： 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 产业永续债分析框架和机会挖掘 [Table_Authors] 王宇辰(分析师) 010-83939801 wangyuchen4@gtht.com 登记编号 S0880523020004 [Table_Report] 相关报告 如何择时股债对冲效率 2026.02.05 "做陡曲线"还是"宏观对冲"，基金参与国债期 货的两面 2026.02.01 如何理解 ONRRP 类工具与双向隔夜回购 2026.01.30 承接"存款搬家"，理财投了什么，收益如何 2026.01.30 债券 ETF 规模跃升之后：业绩归因、策略优化与 未来挑战 2026.01.29 债 券 研 究 专 题 研 究 证 券 研 究 报 告 [Table_Summary] 产业永续债的发行主要以降低企业杠杆率为目标，过去有两轮发行 与净融资的高峰。（1）2018 年-2020 年，《关于加强国有企业资产负 债约束的指导意见》的落地，推动国有企业平均资产负债率到 2020 年年末比 2017 年 ...

Group 1: ETF Market Overview - The ETF market in China has rapidly developed over the past few years, forming a comprehensive product system that covers various asset types and investment markets, including domestic and international markets [3] - ETFs are categorized by asset type into three main categories: equities, bonds, and commodities, with equity ETFs further divided into broad-based, sector, thematic, and strategy types [3] - The complete and evolving ecosystem of ETFs provides essential tools for investors to conduct refined and diversified asset allocation [3] Group 2: Military Industry Developments - The successful flight test of the Long March 10 rocket and the Dream Chaser spacecraft marks a significant breakthrough in China's manned lunar exploration program, with expectations for rapid development in space economy sectors such as space tourism and resource development during the 14th Five-Year Plan [7][8] - The Chinese government aims to achieve its first manned moon landing by 2030, with a series of planned missions leading up to this goal, including the launch of the Chang'e 7 and Chang'e 8 missions [8] - The military industry is expected to see commercial space ventures become a core investment direction during the 14th Five-Year Plan, driven by advancements in space exploration projects [8][9] Group 3: Absolute and Relative Return Strategies - Five absolute return strategies have been constructed, with annualized returns ranging from 6.74% to 11.66% over various periods, indicating the potential for stable returns through diversified asset combinations [4] - Relative return strategies include style rotation and industry rotation, with annualized returns for style rotation strategies reaching up to 26.65% and industry rotation strategies achieving returns of 20.17% [5] Group 4: Service Industry Insights - The service industry in China has significant potential for growth, with the value-added share expected to increase as the economy transitions from goods to services, reflecting a shift in consumer behavior [15][16] - The analysis indicates that sectors such as retail, dining, and healthcare within the service industry have considerable room for improvement, driven by demand and productivity changes [18]

| [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 秦和平(分析师) | 0755-23976666 | qinheping@gtht.com | S0880523110003 | | 高翩然(分析师) | 0755-80305701 | gaopianran@gtht.com | S0880525040066 | 本报告导读： AI 丰富内容创作，致力于打造全球最智能的代理式媒体平台。 投资要点： | 财务摘要(百万欧元) | 2024A | 2025A | 2026E | 2027E | 2028E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入 | 15,673 | 17,186 | 19,760 | 22,683 | 25,662 | | (+/-)% | 18.3% | 9.7% | 15.0% | 14.8% | 13.1% | | 归母净利润 | 1,137 | 2,214 | 2,593 | 3,227 | 3,992 | | (+/-)% | -313.7% | ...

央行视角下的货币财政协同与存款搬家 [Table_Authors] 唐元懋(分析师) 2025 年 Q4 货政报告解读 本报告导读： "货币财政协同"下的流动性宽松，"存款搬家"推动银行体系内负债再分配。 投资要点： 债券研究 /[Table_Date] 2026.02.11 | | 0755-23976753 | | --- | --- | | | tangyuanmao@gtht.com | | 登记编号 | S0880524040002 | | | 杜润琛(分析师) | | | 021-38031034 | | | durunchen@gtht.com | | 登记编号 | S0880525110004 | 证 券 研 究 报 告 事 件 [Table_Report] 相关报告 沃什获提名：联储的独立性变化与美债策略应对 2026.01.31 首批申报，商业不动产 REITs 带来的资产重估逻 辑 2026.01.30 欧洲抛售美债对美债有何影响 2026.01.22 25 年 12 月央行资产负债表：央行扩表仍主要表 现在对银行投放 2026.01.22 财政金融促内需新政对债市有何影响 2026.0 ...

Group 1: Economic Overview - The U.S. real estate market is viewed as a "watchtower" for the K-shaped economy, where high-income groups support GDP resilience while traditional industries and low-income groups contract[8] - The housing affordability index is currently at a historical low but remains above 100, indicating that median-income households can still afford to purchase homes[12] - The K-shaped economic divergence raises questions about whether it will lead to recession or re-inflation driven by wealthier groups supporting the economy[8] Group 2: Housing Affordability - 60% of the decline in housing affordability can be attributed to high home prices, while 40% is due to elevated interest rates[16] - A significant improvement in housing affordability is expected if mortgage rates drop below 5.6% (currently at 6.1%) or if the price-to-income ratio falls to 3.5 (currently at 3.8)[16] - Median household income growth is projected to remain robust at 4-5% in 2025, outpacing the 1-2% growth in median home prices, which supports a favorable outlook for affordability[17] Group 3: Supply and Demand Dynamics - The U.S. housing market has faced long-term supply shortages since the subprime crisis, with challenges including difficult land acquisition, labor shortages, and regulatory constraints[27] - Existing home supply is constrained due to high interest rates, and the sensitivity of new home prices to supply has decreased over the past decade[27] - The overall housing supply gap is expected to widen, making it difficult to quickly rectify the supply-demand mismatch even if construction capacity improves[27] Group 4: Inflation and Interest Rates - Housing inflation typically leads CPI by about 18 months, but in the current K-shaped economy, inflation expectations are coupled with interest rate cuts rather than tightening, resulting in a weaker dollar[38] - The long-term U.S. Treasury yield is projected to potentially exceed 4.5% and may challenge 5% due to the self-reinforcing cycle of inflation expectations[38] - The market has begun to accept a loss of independence for the Federal Reserve, reflected in the long-end Treasury yields anchoring inflation expectations at 2.4%[38]