Group 1: Core Views - The report maintains an "outperform" rating for the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery sector, highlighting a favorable investment environment for livestock, pet, and pork industries [1][3][12] - The report emphasizes the potential reversal of the beef cycle in 2025, with expectations of rising prices driven by both domestic and international markets [14][21] - The pet industry is identified as a high-growth sector, benefiting from changing consumer demographics and increasing emotional spending [15][18] Group 2: Investment Recommendations - Key recommendations for the livestock sector include Guangming Meat Industry, a rare listed beef company with stable resources from New Zealand, and Muyuan Foods, a leading player in pig farming [1][3][18] - In the pet food sector, Zhongchong Co. is highlighted as a pioneer with synchronized growth in domestic and international markets [1][3][18] - For the pork industry, the report recommends companies such as DeKang Agriculture and Muyuan Foods, which are expected to benefit from improving cash flows and dividend ratios [1][3][16] Group 3: Market Trends and Data - As of June 2025, the average price of live pigs was 14.80 yuan/kg, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 2.85% [2][21] - The report notes a decrease in the price of 7kg piglets to 433 yuan/head, down 13.95% month-on-month, indicating a cautious approach to industry expansion [2][21] - The poultry sector is experiencing increased supply, with expectations of demand recovery, particularly for yellow chickens, which are anticipated to benefit from domestic demand improvements [28][39]

证券研究报告 | 2025年07月11日 | 晨会纪要 | | --- | | 数据日期:2025-07-10 | 上证综指 | 深证成指沪深 | 300 指数 | 中小板综指 | 创业板综指 | 科创 50 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘指数（点） | 3509.68 | 10631.12 | 4010.02 | 12093.58 | 3053.44 | 979.98 | | 涨跌幅度（%） | 0.47 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.28 | -0.01 | -0.31 | | 成交金额（亿元） | 6131.60 | 8809.87 | 3478.36 | 3072.32 | 4194.52 | 221.67 | 【常规内容】 行业与公司 电力设备新能源行业点评：多家企业上调硅片报价，国家新增重点行业 绿电消费比例 电力设备新能源行业点评：三部委推动国家级零碳园区申报，节能风电 拟投建 500MW 工业园区铁合金绿电消纳项目 豪鹏科技(001283.SZ) 财报点评:Q2 盈利能力持续提升，AI 端侧客户开 拓顺利 金融工程 金 ...

- The report does not contain any quantitative models or factors related to construction, testing, or evaluation[1][2][3][4][5][6][8][9][10][12][13][14][15][16][17][18][19][20][21][22][23][24][25][26][27][28][29][30][31][32][33][34][35][36][37][38][39][40][41]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the textile and apparel industry is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The update on Trump's tariff policy indicates a trade agreement with Vietnam, imposing a 20% tariff on Vietnamese exports, significantly lower than the previous 46% [2] - The determination of "transshipment" by U.S. Customs focuses on the country of origin, with the final decision resting with U.S. Customs [2] - The textile industry in Southeast Asia shows high dependency on fabric imports, with Vietnam's self-sufficiency in textile and footwear materials reported at approximately 40-45% [2][47] Summary by Sections 1. Trump Tariff Policy Update - On July 2, Trump announced a trade agreement with Vietnam, reducing tariffs on Vietnamese exports to 20% from 46% [2][10] - A 40% punitive tariff will be applied to goods transshipped through Vietnam to third countries [2][11] 2. "Transshipment" Determination Rules - U.S. Customs uses the "substantial transformation" principle to determine the country of origin for goods not entirely produced in one country [2][15] - The determination process involves a five-step assessment based on product characteristics and processing operations [2][21] 3. Textile Industry Capacity Distribution and Tariff Risk Exposure - Southeast Asian countries have high fabric import dependency, with Vietnam's dependency exceeding 70% [47] - Companies with less than 20% revenue exposure to the U.S. include Shenzhou International and Jian Sheng Group, while those with significant production in Southeast Asia have over 40% revenue exposure to the U.S. [2] - Companies with double-digit net profit margins include Shenzhou International (20.9%), Rihong (18.0%), and Huayi Group (16.0%) [2] 4. Investment Recommendations - Key recommendations include Shenzhou International, which has low U.S. revenue exposure and high net profit margins, and Huayi Group, which has a strong market position and high capacity in Vietnam [6]

Group 1: Photovoltaic Silicon Material Industry - The photovoltaic silicon material industry is expected to accelerate capacity consolidation, with the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology emphasizing the need for high-quality development in the solar industry [1] - By 2027, the industry is projected to enter a stable development phase, with significant advantages in the silicon material segment due to differences in capacity costs and financial strength among companies [1] - Key companies to watch include GCL-Poly Energy, Xinte Energy, Tongwei Co., and TBEA [1] Group 2: Solid-State Battery Industry - The solid-state battery industry is witnessing continuous advancements, with equipment from Winbond Technology successfully delivered to major domestic clients [2] - Material production is ramping up, with significant capacity in oxide electrolytes and expectations for sulfide electrolytes to achieve ton-level shipments by 2025 [2] - Companies of interest in this sector include Xiamen Tungsten, Tianqi Lithium, and others involved in the solid-state battery supply chain [2] Group 3: Offshore Wind Power Development - The central government is promoting the orderly development of offshore wind power, with a focus on enhancing the marine economy and encouraging private investment [3] - Goldwind Technology has secured over 7.7GW of international orders for 2024, with significant revenue growth reported for its international subsidiary [3] - Key players in the wind power sector include Goldwind Technology, Oriental Cable, and Dajin Heavy Industry [3] Group 4: Data Center Investment - Global data center investments are accelerating, with Amazon planning to invest AUD 20 billion (approximately USD 13.1 billion) in Australia and SK Telecom collaborating with Amazon Web Services for a significant data center project in South Korea [4] - The deployment of NVIDIA's GB300 AI systems is underway, indicating a growing demand for AI computing resources [4] - Companies to monitor in the AIDC power equipment sector include Jinpan Technology, Xinte Electric, and others [4] Group 5: Key Company Earnings Forecasts - The report provides earnings forecasts and investment ratings for several companies, with Goldwind Technology rated "Outperform" and projected to have an EPS of 1.28 in 2025 [5] - Jinpan Technology and other companies also received "Outperform" ratings, indicating positive market sentiment [5] Group 6: Industry Performance Overview - The electric power equipment sector outperformed the market in June, with a 6.68% increase compared to a 2.5% rise in the CSI 300 index [13] - The sector's PE ratio at the end of June was 30.3, reflecting a slight recovery in valuations [13] - The report highlights that the electric power equipment industry has shown strong performance across various sub-sectors, including lithium battery materials and wind power [23]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the electric equipment and renewable energy industry is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, and the National Energy Administration have jointly issued a notice to promote the construction of national-level zero-carbon parks, encouraging local departments to recommend suitable parks for this initiative [3] - The energy-saving wind power company has approved an investment of 2.09 billion RMB to construct a 500MW green power supply project in Inner Mongolia, which is expected to connect to the grid by the end of December 2026 [4] - The national encouragement of zero-carbon parks and green electricity direct connection projects will benefit the demand for distribution equipment at the park level and incremental distribution network equipment, particularly for DC technology [1][3] Summary by Sections National-Level Zero-Carbon Park Initiative - The notice requires local departments to recommend up to two parks for national-level zero-carbon park construction by August 22 [3] - It emphasizes the development and utilization of renewable energy in and around the parks, supporting the matching of parks with nearby non-fossil energy generation resources [3] Investment Projects - The energy-saving wind power project will install 50 wind turbines with a capacity of 10MW each and includes the construction of a 220kV booster substation and a 75MW/300MWh energy storage system [4] - The generated electricity will be consumed by two ferroalloy companies in the Beijing-Mongolia cooperation industrial park [4] Company Recommendations - Investment suggestions include companies such as Teruid and Sifang Co., with projected net profits for 2024 at 9.2 billion RMB and 7.2 billion RMB respectively [2][6]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve rapid growth in H1 2025, with projected revenue between 2.68 billion to 2.80 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 16% to 21%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be between 90 million to 102 million yuan, showing a significant year-on-year growth of 228% to 272% [1][3] - The company's Q2 2025 performance indicates a continuous improvement in capacity utilization and profitability, driven by domestic consumption policies and strong demand in portable energy storage and overseas commercial sectors [2] - The company is actively investing in R&D, focusing on advanced technologies such as silicon anodes, steel shell stacking, and solid-state batteries, which positions it well for future growth [3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For H1 2025, the company anticipates revenue of 26.8-28.0 billion yuan, with a net profit of 0.90-1.02 billion yuan, and a non-GAAP net profit of 0.70-0.82 billion yuan, reflecting substantial growth rates [1] - In Q2 2025, the expected revenue is 14.55-15.75 billion yuan, with a net profit of 0.58-0.70 billion yuan, indicating a year-on-year growth of 142%-192% [1][2] Capacity Utilization and Market Demand - The company has seen a steady increase in capacity utilization in Q2 2025, supported by the domestic consumption electronics upgrade policy and strong demand in the portable energy storage market [2] - The company has successfully expanded its customer base in the AI sector, with applications in AI PCs, headphones, glasses, and toys, which is expected to drive revenue growth in H2 2025 [2] R&D and Technological Advancements - The company is prioritizing R&D investments in key areas such as high-voltage cathode materials and solid-state battery technologies, which are crucial for enhancing product safety and performance [3] - The company has completed validation of high-safety solid-state batteries and is actively engaging with clients for prototype designs and sample testing [3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the power equipment and new energy industry is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [2][17] Core Insights - Several companies have raised silicon wafer prices, with increases ranging from 8.0% to 11.7% [2][4] - The National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration have issued green electricity consumption ratios for key industries for 2025 and 2026, including steel, cement, and polysilicon industries [2][10] Summary by Sections Silicon Wafer Price Changes - On July 9, multiple silicon wafer companies increased their prices, with the following changes: - N-type 183 silicon wafer price increased by 11.1% to 1.0 CNY per piece - N-type 210R silicon wafer price increased by 11.7% to 1.15 CNY per piece - N-type 210 silicon wafer price increased by 8.0% to 1.35 CNY per piece - After the price increase, the unit gross profit for N-type 183 silicon wafers improved to -0.27 CNY per piece (equivalent to -0.03 CNY/W), indicating a reduction in loss margin [4][6] Green Electricity Consumption Ratios - The newly issued green electricity consumption ratios for key industries in 2025 include: - Steel, cement, polysilicon industries, and newly established data centers at national hubs [10][11] - The green electricity consumption ratios for various provinces in 2025 and 2026 have been specified, with notable percentages such as: - Hunan: 50.5% in 2025 and 51.5% in 2026 - Sichuan and Yunnan: 70.0% in both years [11][12] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on TBEA Co., Ltd. and Tongwei Co., Ltd. as potential investment opportunities [3][14]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the power equipment and new energy industry is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [2] Core Insights - Several companies have raised silicon wafer prices, with increases ranging from 8.0% to 11.7% [2] - The National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration have issued green electricity consumption ratios for key industries for 2025 and 2026, including steel, cement, and polysilicon industries [2][10] Summary by Sections Silicon Wafer Price Changes - On July 9, multiple silicon wafer companies increased their prices, with the following changes: - N-type 183 silicon wafer price increased by 11.1% to 1.0 CNY per piece - N-type 210R silicon wafer price increased by 11.7% to 1.15 CNY per piece - N-type 210 silicon wafer price increased by 8.0% to 1.35 CNY per piece - After the price increase, the unit gross profit for N-type 183 silicon wafers improved to -0.27 CNY per piece (equivalent to -0.03 CNY/W), indicating a reduction in loss margin [4] Renewable Energy Consumption Ratios - The newly issued green electricity consumption ratios for key industries in 2025 include: - Steel, cement, polysilicon industries, and newly established data centers at national hubs [10] - The 2025 renewable energy electricity consumption responsibility weight is a binding indicator for provincial assessments, while the 2026 weight is a forecast indicator for project reserves [10] Company Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on TBEA Co., Ltd. and Tongwei Co., Ltd. as potential investment opportunities [3][14]

Group 1 - The report highlights the deep analysis of Luzhou Laojiao (000568.SZ), emphasizing a consumer-centric approach and digital empowerment of the supply chain to enhance competitive barriers [9][10] - The company is expected to face a 21% underperformance compared to the liquor sector from H2 2023 to H1 2025, with a projected PE decline of 45% due to internal and external cyclical pressures [9][11] - Luzhou Laojiao is actively reducing channel burdens and advancing digital transformation, which is seen as a strategic advantage in a weak industry environment [9][10] Group 2 - The semiconductor industry is experiencing a significant demand increase driven by AI applications, with TI expanding production to meet future needs and storage prices continuing to rise [19][21] - The global semiconductor sales in May 2025 reached $58.98 billion, marking a 19.8% year-on-year growth, with China's semiconductor sales at $17.08 billion, up 13% [21][22] - The report recommends focusing on semiconductor manufacturing companies and AI-related enterprises, highlighting the importance of domestic AI development in the semiconductor supply chain [21][27] Group 3 - The medical and biological sector is witnessing a strong performance, with a focus on innovative drug development, particularly in radioactive ligand therapy, which is expected to grow rapidly [29][30] - The report identifies XTR005 and XTR008 as key products in the pipeline, with XTR005 being the first PET diagnostic radioactive ligand approved in China [30][31] - The overall medical sector is projected to continue its upward trend, with a notable increase in clinical data competitiveness for domestic innovative drugs [31]