证券研究报告 | 2025年09月01日 华电国际（600027.SH） 优于大市 煤价下降使得利润增长，经营性净现金流大幅提升 电价、电量下降使得营业收入同比下降，归母净利润实现增长。2025 年上 半年，公司实现营收 599.53 亿元（-8.98%），归母净利润 39.04 亿元 （+13.15%），扣非归母净利润 37.54 亿元（+13.37%）。2025 年第二季 度，公司营业收入 333.76 亿元（-4.42%），归母净利润 19.73 亿元 （+24.27%），扣非归母净利润 18.58 亿元（+9.9%）。公司营业收入同 比下降主要原因是发电量减少、电价下降及煤炭贸易业务模式优化等影 响，2025 年上半年，公司发电量 1206.21 亿千瓦时，追溯调整后同比下 降 6.41%；上网电价 516.80 元/兆瓦时，追溯调整后同比下降 1.44%。 公司归母净利润同比增长主要系燃料成本下降影响，2025 年上半年，公 司入炉标煤单价为 850.74 元/吨，追溯调整后同比下降 12.98%；同期内， 公司燃料成本约 379.52 亿元（-13.28%）。2025 年上半年，公司经营性 净现金 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5][9][12] Core Views - The company reported a total revenue of 3.2 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 7.1%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 610 million yuan, up 22.5% year-on-year [1][7] - The beer business experienced both volume and price increases, with revenue from beer rising by 7.8% year-on-year, driven by the strong performance of the high-end product "97 Pure Draft" [1][2][8] - The company is expected to continue benefiting from the strong performance of high-end products, leading to an upward adjustment in revenue and profit forecasts for 2025-2027 [3][9] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the beer business revenue increased by 7.8%, with sales volume up 5.1% and price per ton up 2.6% [1][7] - The gross profit margin for the beer business improved by 3.3 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to product mix upgrades and cost savings [2][8] - The company expects to achieve total revenues of 6.13 billion yuan, 6.62 billion yuan, and 7.07 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits of 990 million yuan, 1.15 billion yuan, and 1.28 billion yuan [3][4][9] Product and Market Analysis - The revenue from high-end, mid-range, and mass-market products grew by 15.9%, -17.5%, and 7.5% respectively, with high-end products accounting for 73.9% of total revenue [1][7] - The company is actively expanding its product matrix with new offerings such as the 970ml bottle of "97 Pure Draft" and other products to enhance market presence [3][9] Competitive Position - The company is positioned to expand its competitive advantage as its main competitors in the Guangdong market are undergoing adjustments [3][9]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [6] Core Views - The company's housing transaction business is a cornerstone of its performance, with revenue growth and improved profitability. In H1 2025, the total housing transaction amount reached 137.5 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10%, while operating revenue was 5.7 billion yuan, a decrease of 3% [1][2][9] - The company achieved a net profit attributable to shareholders of 38.4 million yuan in H1 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 31%, with a net profit margin of 0.7%, up 0.2 percentage points year-on-year [1][9] - The asset management business is developing steadily, with operational efficiency remaining good. The revenue from this segment was 2.7 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 17%, primarily due to the new product "Xiangyu Preferred" adopting a net method for revenue recognition [3][48] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved a total housing transaction amount of 137.5 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 10%. The revenue from brokerage, new housing, and asset management businesses accounted for 36%, 8%, and 48% of total revenue, respectively [1][2][9] - The company operated 2,626 stores by the end of H1 2025, with 81% being direct-operated stores and 31,000 brokers [2][28] Business Segments - Brokerage business transaction amount was 110.8 billion yuan, up 10% year-on-year, with revenue of 2 billion yuan, an increase of 14% year-on-year. The gross margin for this segment was 23%, showing slight improvement [2][28] - The asset management business had a revenue of 2.7 billion yuan, down 17% year-on-year, with a negative gross margin due to new leasing standards. However, if adjusted, the actual gross margin would be 14.1%, up 2.2 percentage points year-on-year [3][48] Future Outlook - The company has adjusted its revenue forecasts for 2025 and 2026 to 13.2 billion yuan and 13.8 billion yuan, respectively, down from previous estimates of 13.7 billion yuan and 14.6 billion yuan. The net profit forecasts for the same years are now 230 million yuan and 270 million yuan, down from 300 million yuan and 380 million yuan [3][56]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [6] Core Views - The company achieved over 30% growth in both revenue and profit in the first half of the year, with revenue reaching 12.867 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 33.36%, and net profit attributable to the parent company at 1.167 billion yuan, up 33.8% [1][3] - The company continues to validate its multi-category strategy and product innovation, alongside global expansion, contributing to strong overall performance [1][3] Revenue and Profit Analysis - The revenue from the charging and energy storage segment grew by 37% to 6.816 billion yuan, accounting for 52.97% of total revenue [2] - The smart innovation segment saw a revenue increase of 37.77% to 3.251 billion yuan, representing 25.27% of total revenue [2] - The smart audio-visual segment's revenue grew by 21.2% to 2.798 billion yuan, making up 21.75% of total revenue [2] - North America experienced a steady revenue growth of 23.2% to 5.7 billion yuan, while Europe accelerated with a growth of 66.96% to 3.427 billion yuan [2] Financial Metrics and Forecasts - The company’s gross margin for the first half was 44.73%, a slight decrease of 0.45 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to changes in product mix [2] - The company’s net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been revised upwards to 2.598 billion yuan, 3.218 billion yuan, and 3.921 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 28.5, 23, and 18.9 [3][4] - The projected revenue for 2025 is 32.051 billion yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 29.71% [4] Market Position and Strategy - The company is positioned as a leader in its industry, benefiting from an improving competitive landscape due to changing trade environments [3] - The company is committed to global expansion and leveraging product innovation to capture growth opportunities in various markets [3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [6][16][20] Core Views - The company has shown strong growth in C-end paid users, with a revenue increase of 24.10% in C-end income, reaching 7.18 billion yuan [3][4] - The company is enhancing its AI capabilities, particularly in its core product, Scanning King, which continues to upgrade features such as AI document format conversion and AI image text editing [3][4] - The B-end revenue has also seen growth, with a 13.73% increase, driven by the introduction of new AI products and applications [4][16] Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company reported a revenue of 843 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 22.51%, and a net profit of 235 million yuan, up 6.63% [2][8] - The gross margin for the first half of 2025 was 86.29%, reflecting a 1.4 percentage point increase year-on-year, indicating improved profitability [2][8] - The company’s sales, management, and R&D expenses increased by 41.94%, 15.91%, and 27.54% respectively, with significant growth in advertising expenses to enhance brand influence [2][8] Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 17.57 billion yuan, 21.61 billion yuan, and 26.48 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding net profits of 4.86 billion yuan, 5.95 billion yuan, and 7.25 billion yuan [4][16] - The company is expected to maintain a PE ratio of 51, 41, and 34 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, indicating a favorable valuation outlook [4][16]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company [6][4]. Core Insights - The company's core products have seen rapid sales growth after being included in the medical insurance directory, with revenue for the first half of 2025 reaching 1.41 billion yuan, a 37.8% increase year-on-year, and commercial sales revenue of 1.40 billion yuan, up 49.2% [1][9]. - The company reported a loss of 588 million yuan for the first half of 2025, widening from a loss of 249 million yuan in the same period last year, primarily due to investment losses, increased R&D expenses, and stock incentive costs [1][9]. - The company has a strong cash reserve of approximately 7.14 billion yuan as of mid-2025, indicating a solid financial position [1][9]. Summary by Sections Clinical Development - The drug "依沃西" has achieved significant overall survival (OS) benefits in the HARMONi-A trial and has initiated 13 Phase III clinical trials, with 4 trials already showing positive results [2][15]. - Two indications for "依沃西" have been approved in China, and it is also being tested in various cancers, including colorectal and pancreatic cancers [2][15]. Pipeline and Strategy - The company is upgrading its pipeline with a focus on IO2.0 and ADC strategies, with several innovative candidates in clinical trials, including AK137 (CD73/LAG3 dual antibody) and AK138D1 (HER3 ADC) [3][17]. - The company aims to provide new treatment options through internal pipeline combinations [3][17]. Financial Forecast - The report forecasts revenues of 3.30 billion yuan, 5.20 billion yuan, and 7.90 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with net profits projected at 29 million yuan, 730 million yuan, and 1.79 billion yuan for the same years [4][18].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [4][17]. Core Views - The sales of Siponimod have experienced rapid growth, with revenue reaching 499 million yuan in the first half of 2025, representing an increase of 812%. The sales of Siponimod alone accounted for 169 million yuan [7][17]. - The company reported a loss of 79 million yuan in the first half of 2025, an improvement from a loss of 337 million yuan in the same period last year. Research and development expenses increased by 9% to 360 million yuan, while sales expenses surged by 492% to 138 million yuan [7][17]. - The company has approximately 2.8 billion yuan in cash as of mid-2025 [7]. Summary by Sections Sales Growth and Product Pipeline - Siponimod was approved for market launch in September 2024 and has received approval for three indications: atopic dermatitis, chronic rhinosinusitis with nasal polyps, and seasonal allergic rhinitis. The unique indications in the nasal category are exclusive to China, which is expected to drive sales growth [13][17]. - Ongoing clinical trials for additional indications, including nodular prurigo and atopic dermatitis in adolescents and children, are in Phase 3 [13]. Future Revenue Projections - The revenue forecast for the company has been revised upwards due to successful licensing transactions, with expected revenues of 827 million yuan, 1.095 billion yuan, and 2.046 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [17]. - The projected net profit for the parent company is expected to improve to -490 million yuan in 2025, -576 million yuan in 2026, and a profit of 53 million yuan in 2027 [17]. Clinical Development Progress - The company’s pipeline includes CMG901 (CLDN18.2 ADC), which has been licensed to AZ and is currently undergoing global registration clinical trials. Other candidates like CM512 (TSLPxIL13 bispecific antibody) are in Phase 2 trials for various indications [2][13].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Neutral" [6] Core Views - The company has maintained a stable growth in revenue and has shown excellent profitability, with a revenue of 12.27 billion yuan and a net profit of 6.62 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing year-on-year growth of 5.91% and 7.29% respectively [1][4] - The company is experiencing rapid asset expansion, with total assets exceeding 1.37 trillion yuan as of June 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 14.32% [2] - The net interest margin remains relatively stable at 1.62%, with net interest income increasing by 7.59% to 9.77 billion yuan despite slight pressure from narrowing margins [3] - Asset quality is strong, with a non-performing loan ratio of 0.66% and a provision coverage ratio of 452.65% as of June 2025 [3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 12.27 billion yuan and a net profit of 6.62 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 5.91% and 7.29% respectively [1] - The annualized weighted ROE stands at 15.88%, although it has decreased by 2.16 percentage points year-on-year [1] Asset Growth - Total assets grew by 14.32% year-on-year, reaching over 1.37 trillion yuan by June 2025 [2] - Loans (excluding accrued interest) increased by 17.96% to 833.4 billion yuan, indicating strong local credit demand [2] Income Sources - The net interest margin is reported at 1.62%, with a slight year-on-year decline of 4 basis points [3] - Net interest income rose by 7.59% to 9.77 billion yuan, while non-interest income slightly decreased by 0.16% to 2.50 billion yuan [3] Asset Quality - The non-performing loan ratio is stable at 0.66%, with a provision coverage ratio of 452.65% [3] - The attention rate is at 0.44%, showing a slight decrease from the previous quarter [3] Investment Forecast - The company is expected to maintain stable performance, with projected net profits of 14 billion yuan, 15.1 billion yuan, and 16.2 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 8.8%, 7.6%, and 7.7% [4][5]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [6][4]. Core Views - The company has demonstrated rapid revenue and profit growth, with a 48.65% increase in revenue to 523 million yuan and a 98.36% increase in net profit to 205 million yuan in H1 2025. The growth is attributed to the increasing demand for information technology procurement from key sector clients [1][8]. - The company maintains a leading position in the relational database market, with a 13.48% market share in the financial sector for centralized databases in 2024. The domestic product procurement ratio is increasing, expanding from traditional office automation to critical business areas [3]. - The company has adjusted its profit forecast upwards, expecting revenues of 1.327 billion yuan, 1.692 billion yuan, and 2.167 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits of 484 million yuan, 609 million yuan, and 785 million yuan for the same years [4][16]. Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company's gross margin was 96.22%, significantly higher than in H1 2024. The net profit margin increased to 38.69%, up over 10 percentage points from the previous year [2]. - The software licensing revenue reached 482 million yuan, growing by 44.31%, while maintenance service revenue increased by 66.67% to 25 million yuan [1]. - The company has shown a significant decrease in expense growth rates compared to revenue growth, with sales, management, and R&D expenses growing at 25.19%, 6.43%, and 21.55% respectively [2]. Financial Forecasts - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 1.327 billion yuan in 2025, with a growth rate of 27.0%, and net profits of 484 million yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 33.8% [5]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to rise from 2.62 yuan in 2023 to 4.28 yuan in 2025, indicating a strong upward trend [5]. - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is forecasted to decrease from 109.1 in 2023 to 66.8 in 2025, suggesting an improving valuation as earnings grow [5].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5][24]. Core Views - The company has shown accelerated revenue growth and significant profit recovery in H1 2025, with revenue reaching 2.53 billion (+18.9%) and net profit attributable to shareholders at 200 million (+27.3%) [1]. - The kitchen small appliance sector is stabilizing and showing upward trends, benefiting from national subsidy policies, which have led to a recovery in prices and improved demand for mid-to-high-end products [1][2]. - Emerging categories such as maternal and infant care and personal care appliances are growing rapidly, with maternal and infant small appliance revenue increasing by 40.5% to 150 million and personal care appliances growing by 416.0% to 320 million [2]. - The company's gross margin and profitability have improved significantly, with H1 gross margin at 37.2% (+0.5 percentage points) and net profit margin at 6.2% (+5.1 percentage points) [3]. Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 2.53 billion, a year-on-year increase of 18.9%, and a net profit of 200 million, up 27.3% [1]. - Q2 2025 saw revenue of 1.21 billion (+29.6%) and net profit of 80 million (+641.5%) [1]. - The company’s H1 gross margin improved to 37.2%, with Q2 gross margin at 37.6% [3]. Market Trends - The kitchen small appliance market in China saw a retail sales increase of 9.3% to 31.9 billion in H1 2025, with average retail prices expected to rise over 10% [1]. - Domestic sales increased by 8.4% to 2.12 billion, while overseas sales surged by 138.8% to 410 million, largely due to the contribution from the acquisition of Roman Smart [2]. Financial Forecasts - The company’s net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been raised to 450 million, 518 million, and 584 million, respectively, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 56%, 15%, and 13% [4][5]. - The projected PE ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 19, 17, and 15 times, respectively [4].