核心观点 金融工程日报 市场表现：20260127 规模指数中中证 500 指数表现较好，板块指数中科创 100 指数表现较好，风格指数中中证 500 成长指数表现较好。国防军工、电 子、通信、传媒、机械行业表现较好，煤炭、农林牧渔、综合金融、钢铁、 医药行业表现较差。培育钻石、超硬材料、先进封装、光芯片、存储器等概 念表现较好，锂电电解液、六氟磷酸锂、动物疫苗、锂电隔膜、珠宝等概念 表现较差。 市场情绪：20260127 收盘时有 59 只股票涨停，有 13 只股票跌停。昨日涨 停股票今日高开高走，收盘收益为 2.58%，昨日跌停股票今日收盘收益为 -0.43%。今日封板率 71%，较前日提升 10%，连板率 19%，较前日提升 3%。 市场资金流向：截至 20260126 两融余额为 27254 亿元，其中融资余额 27080 亿元，融券余额 174 亿元。两融余额占流通市值比重为 2.6%，两融 交易占市场成交额比重为 9.5%。 证券研究报告 | 2026年01月27日 金融工程日报 沪指震荡收涨，培育钻石概念拉升、黄金股再度大涨 折溢价：20260126 当日 ETF 溢价较多的是国证 2000ET ...

证券研究报告 | 2026年01月27日 安踏体育（02020.HK） 收购彪马 29.06%股权，全球化战略进一步深化 公司研究·海外公司快评 纺织服饰·服装家纺 投资评级：优于大市（维持） 证券分析师： 丁诗洁 0755-81981391 dingshijie@guosen.com.cn 执证编码：S0980520040004 证券分析师： 刘佳琪 010-88005446 liujiaqi@guosen.com.cn 执证编码：S0980523070003 事项： 1 月 26 日，公司公告与 Pinault 家族的投资公司 Groupe Artémis 达成购股协议，以每股 35 欧元的价格收 购 PUMA SE 共计 43,014,760 股普通股（占其全部已发行股本约 29.06%），总对价 15.05 亿欧元（约合人 民币 122.78 亿元）。 国信纺服观点： 1、标的概况：PUMA 现管理层正推动品牌复苏，短期产生一次性成本，致力于 2027 年恢复增长； 4、风险提示：关税政策不确定性；品牌形象受损；市场的系统性风险。 5、投资建议：看好集团多品牌全球化运营下，持续好于行业的成长潜力。此次 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the refining and chemical industry [10] Core Views - The refining and chemical industry is expected to experience a mid-term profit recovery due to long-term supply contraction and declining costs [1] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has issued a growth stabilization plan for the petrochemical industry, emphasizing the "reduce oil and increase chemicals" strategy [1][19] - The global oil price is projected to fluctuate within a comfortable range for refineries, with Brent crude oil expected to stabilize between $55 and $65 per barrel by 2026 [2] - The sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) market is anticipated to grow significantly, becoming a new source of demand after the peak of traditional oil products [4] Summary by Sections Industry Growth and Policy - The petrochemical industry is a crucial pillar of the national economy, with a target of over 5% annual growth in value added from 2025 to 2026 [19] - The industry is approaching a policy control line of 1 billion tons in refining capacity, leading to the gradual consolidation and elimination of smaller capacities [20][21] - The focus is on optimizing the structure of the industry, with support for the transformation of aging facilities and the demonstration of new technologies [1][19] Cost and Profitability - Recent adjustments in oil prices and the reduction of official Saudi oil prices (OSP) are expected to alleviate cost pressures on domestic refineries [2] - Despite a slowdown in demand growth for refined oil products, the profit margins for refineries are expected to improve due to structural optimization and cost reductions [2][8] Chemical Products and Market Dynamics - The supply-demand structure for PX and PTA is improving, with no new PX capacity expected until 2026, leading to increased profitability in the refining and chemical sectors [3] - The SAF market is projected to have a demand space exceeding 40 million tons by 2050, with significant capacity development expected in China [4][8] Key Companies and Recommendations - Key companies recommended for investment include China Petroleum, Rongsheng Petrochemical, and Tongkun Co., with strong positions in refining and chemical production [9][10] - China Petroleum is noted for its extensive refining capacity and integrated operations across the oil and gas value chain [9] - Rongsheng Petrochemical leads in PX and PTA production, benefiting from improved profitability in the aromatic and polyester chains [9]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the refining and chemical sector [1][8][10]. Core Insights - The refining and chemical industry is undergoing a structural transformation driven by supply constraints and cost reductions, leading to a mid-term recovery in refining and petrochemical profits [1][8]. - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has issued a growth plan for the petrochemical industry, emphasizing the need for capacity control and the promotion of "reducing oil and increasing chemicals" as a necessary transformation path for refineries [1][19]. - The international oil price is expected to fluctuate within a comfortable range for refineries, with Brent crude oil projected to stabilize between $55 and $65 per barrel by 2026 [2][38]. - The demand for refined oil products is slowing down, but the structural optimization in supply and declining costs are expected to improve refining margins [2][8]. Summary by Sections Industry Growth and Policy - The petrochemical industry is a crucial pillar of the national economy, with a target of over 5% annual growth in value added from 2025 to 2026 [19][21]. - The industry is approaching a policy control line of 1 billion tons in refining capacity, leading to the gradual elimination of smaller, less efficient capacities [20][21]. Refining Costs and Profitability - Recent adjustments in Saudi OSP prices and improvements in VLCC freight rates are expected to alleviate cost pressures on domestic refineries [2][8]. - The overall refining margin is anticipated to improve due to a combination of limited supply growth and structural optimization initiatives [2][8]. PX and PTA Market Dynamics - The supply-demand structure for PX and PTA is improving, with no new PX capacity expected in 2024-2025, leading to a significant increase in PX price spreads [3][8]. - PTA processing fees have also risen, indicating a recovery in profitability for the refining sector [3][8]. Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) Market - The SAF market is projected to grow significantly, with the EU setting a target for SAF blending ratios to exceed 70% by 2050, creating a demand gap that Asia-Pacific countries, including China, are expected to fill [4][8]. - China's SAF production capacity is anticipated to increase rapidly, contributing to the overall growth of the refined oil market post-peak [4][8]. Key Company Recommendations - The report recommends investing in leading domestic refining and petrochemical companies, including China Petroleum, Rongsheng Petrochemical, and Tongkun Co., which are expected to benefit from the recovery in refining margins [8][9][10].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Outperform" rating for the company [2][7]. Core Insights - The company is a leading domestic magnetic component manufacturer, enhancing its overseas presence and actively entering the solid-state transformer market [4][5]. - The magnetic components market is expected to grow significantly, driven by the increasing demand in sectors such as new energy vehicles, energy storage, and AI servers [4][34]. - The company plans to establish subsidiaries in Mexico and Vietnam to strengthen its international market position and enhance local delivery capabilities [3][15]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Established in 1995, the company has a long history in the magnetic components sector and has strengthened its position through acquisitions and international expansion [4][8]. - The company has established strong partnerships with major clients such as BYD, Bosch, and Huawei, which enhances its market credibility [4][8]. Market Potential - The global magnetic components market is projected to reach USD 27.2 billion by 2031, with a CAGR of 5.1% from 2025 to 2031 [4][34]. - The demand for magnetic components is expanding due to the growth in applications across various sectors, including automotive electronics and renewable energy [4][34]. Product Development - The company is focusing on developing solid-state transformers, which are expected to become a key power supply solution in the AIDC era, with a projected market size of CNY 87 billion by 2030 [5][59]. - The company is also innovating in high-frequency transformers, which are critical components for solid-state transformers, leveraging its existing technology and customer base [5][62]. Financial Performance - The company expects significant growth in net profit, projecting CNY 3.35 billion, CNY 4.40 billion, and CNY 5.99 billion for the years 2025 to 2027, representing year-on-year growth rates of 45.5%, 31.3%, and 36.3% respectively [5][63]. - The revenue from magnetic components is anticipated to reach CNY 48.66 billion by 2025, with a growth rate of 24.8% [75]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is implementing a stock incentive plan to align the interests of its core team with long-term performance goals, reflecting confidence in future growth [18]. - Continuous investment in R&D is a priority, with R&D expenses maintained at 3%-4% of revenue, supporting innovation and product development [70].

证券研究报告 | 2026年01月23日 2026年01月24日 2026年01月27日 特步国际（01368.HK） 第四季度主品牌流水持平，索康尼增长超 30% |  | 公司研究·海外公司快评 |  | 纺织服饰·服装家纺 |  投资评级：优于大市（维持） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 证券分析师： | 丁诗洁 | 0755-81981391 | dingshijie@guosen.com.cn | 执证编码：S0980520040004 | | 证券分析师： | 刘佳琪 | 010-88005446 | liujiaqi@guosen.com.cn | 执证编码：S0980523070003 | 事项： 公司公告：1 月 23 日，公司发布 2025 年第四季度及全年营运状况，第四季度特步主品牌线上线下全渠道 零售销售流水同比持平，零售折扣7.0-7.5折；索康尼品牌线上线下全渠道零售销售流水同比增长超过30%； 2025 全年，特步主品牌全渠道零售销售流水同比增长低单位数，年末渠道库销比约 4.5 个月；索康尼品牌 线上线下全渠道零售销售流水同比增长超 ...

- The report does not contain any specific quantitative models or factors for analysis[1][2][3] - The report primarily focuses on market performance, sentiment, fund flows, ETF premiums/discounts, block trading discounts, and index futures basis rates, but does not detail any quantitative models or factor construction processes[4][5][6] - No formulas or specific quantitative testing results for models or factors are provided in the report[7][8][9]

证券研究报告 | 2026年01月23日 2026年01月24日 2026年01月27日 3、投资建议：看好主品牌发挥跑步品类优势销售稳健增长，专业运动品牌快速增长盈利提升。公司聚焦 跑步领域、发挥跑步品类专业优势，四季度在气温和春节延迟的负面因素影响下，主品牌流水保持同比持 平，跑鞋品类及核心系列"两千公里"、"冠军家族"表现亮眼；专业运动品牌索康尼环比提速至 30%以 上增长，全年 30%的增速达成管理层此前指引。我们看好未来主品牌聚焦大众市场获得稳健增速，索康尼 和迈乐分别聚焦"双精英人群"和户外，保持较快增速，并在未来 3-5 年盈利持续提升。我们维持盈利预 测，预计 2025-2027 年净利润分别为 14.0/14.9/16.0 亿元，同比增长 13.2%/5.9%/7.7%。维持 6.1-6.6 港 元的合理估值区间，对应 2026 年 11-12x PE，维持"优于大市"评级。 评论： 第四季度特步主品牌流水同比持平、折扣保持稳定，库存小幅上升；索康尼流水增长 30%，迈乐流水增 长双位数 公司公告：1 月 23 日，公司发布 2025 年第四季度及全年营运状况，第四季度特步主品牌线上线下全渠 ...

证券研究报告|2026年01月27日 2026年01月27日 固收+基金四季报分析 增配债底强化防御，业绩分化凸显结构机遇 基金个数：按照国信研究"固收+"基金样本池，截至 2025 年四季度末， 发行在外的固收+基金共有 2,091 只，数量占全基金市场的 15.4%。四季 度共发行了固收+基金 85 只，与去年同期比大幅增加；2025 年全年共发 行了固收+基金 192 只，同比也有明显的增长。 基金规模：四季度末，已披露季报的固收+基金总资产和净资产分别为 32,023 亿元和 28,442 亿元，较上季度大幅增加，平均规模也环比上升。 具体分基金类型来看，混合债券型二级基金存续规模最大为 17,331 亿 元，占比 54.1%。 杠杆率：杠杆率方面，四季度末，整体法口径下固收+基金平均杠杆率为 1.13，较上季度末增加了 0.03。平均法口径下固收+基金平均杠杆率为 1.11，较上季度末增加了 0.01。 基金净值增长率：净增长率方面，2025 年 2025 年四季度固收+基金单季 平均净值增长率为 0.46%，增长率较上季度环比有所回落。细分来看， 2025 年四季度不同类型的固收+基金的净值增长率 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Outperform" rating for TCL Electronics [2][3]. Core Viewpoints - TCL Electronics has entered a strategic partnership with Sony to establish a joint venture for the development, manufacturing, and sales of home entertainment products, which is expected to accelerate global expansion in the television business [4][10]. - The collaboration is anticipated to leverage Sony's advanced technology and brand value alongside TCL's strengths in display technology and global scale, enhancing operational quality and production efficiency for Sony's television products [5][10]. - TCL Electronics is positioned as a leading player in the global television market, with a projected shipment of 29 million units in 2024, ranking second globally, and leading in Mini LED television shipments [9][69]. Company Overview - TCL Electronics is a major player in the television industry, with a comprehensive business model that includes display technology, internet services, and innovative marketing across various product categories [5][9]. - The company has achieved a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 14.5% in revenue from 2016 to 2024, reaching HKD 99.3 billion, with net profit growing at a CAGR of 32.7% to HKD 1.8 billion [5][21]. - In 2024, over 60% of TCL's revenue is expected to come from television sales, with overseas markets contributing 58% of total revenue [5][11]. Market Dynamics - The global television market is stabilizing, but there are opportunities for growth through product upgrades such as larger screens and Mini LED technology, which are expected to drive up average selling prices [6][30]. - TCL and Hisense have significantly increased their market share in the global television market, with the combined market share of the top four brands rising from 44.5% in 2018 to 56.2% in 2024 [45][48]. - TCL's Mini LED technology has positioned it as a leader in the segment, with a global market share of 28.8% in 2024, reflecting a significant increase from previous years [69]. Financial Projections - Revenue forecasts for TCL Electronics from 2025 to 2027 are projected at HKD 112.5 billion, HKD 126.5 billion, and HKD 138.1 billion, representing year-on-year growth rates of 13.3%, 12.5%, and 9.2% respectively [8]. - Net profit is expected to reach HKD 24.1 billion, HKD 28.2 billion, and HKD 32.5 billion over the same period, with corresponding growth rates of 37.2%, 16.8%, and 15.3% [8][21].