Inflation Data - The U.S. April CPI increased by 0.22% month-on-month, recovering from a -0.05% in March, but still below the expected 0.3%[1] - Core CPI rose from 0.06% in March to 0.24% in April, also lower than the expected 0.3%[1] - Year-on-year CPI for April was 2.3%, below the expected 2.4%[1] Tariff Impact - The anticipated impact of tariffs on inflation has not yet materialized, with prices for high-import items like clothing and furniture showing limited recovery[1] - The average tariff rate remains high at approximately 15-17%, despite recent reductions in U.S.-China tariffs[1] - The effect of tariffs on inflation may become more evident in May and June, particularly as retailers have 5-7 weeks of inventory[1] Federal Reserve Considerations - The Federal Reserve is likely to focus more on economic activity data, with employment figures in May and June being critical for future interest rate decisions[1] - Research indicates that tariffs implemented in 2018-2019 fully transmitted to consumer prices within two months[1] Core Inflation Components - Core services saw a month-on-month increase from 0.11% in March to 0.29% in April, driven largely by housing[4] - Core goods showed a slight recovery, with a month-on-month increase from -0.09% to 0.06%[4] - Energy prices saw a significant month-on-month increase of 0.67%, while food prices fell to -0.08%[4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [8] Core Views - The company has made strategic investments in AI chip technology, which aligns with its long-term growth strategy in emerging industries [1][2] - The company's Q1 2025 revenue increased by 10.5% year-on-year, and net profit attributable to shareholders rose by 49.4%, indicating stabilization in its core business operations [1][3] - The company plans to implement a second employee stock ownership plan to enhance long-term development momentum [4] Summary by Sections Investment Overview - The company invested 200 million RMB and 50 million RMB in Shanghai Zhenliang Intelligent Technology, acquiring 11.43% and 2.86% equity, respectively [1] - The investment is expected to accelerate the company's development in domestic AI chip sectors, despite limited short-term returns [1][2] Financial Performance - For 2024, the company anticipates revenue of 6.33 billion RMB, a 12% increase year-on-year, with net profit expected to be 318.59 million RMB, a decrease of 18.29% [7] - In Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 16.7 billion RMB, with a gross margin of 16.0%, reflecting an improvement in operational metrics [3] Employee Incentives - The second phase of the employee stock ownership plan involves 10 executives and 110 employees, with a share price set at 4.58 RMB [4] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company has adjusted its revenue and net profit forecasts for 2025-2026, with expected EPS of 0.33 RMB for 2025 [5] - The target price is set at 7.59 RMB, based on a 23x PE ratio for 2025, reflecting an increase from the previous target of 3.71 RMB [5][9]

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage on Nintendo with a "Buy" rating and sets a target price of 14,884.97 JPY, corresponding to a FY27 30x PE [8][18]. Core Views - Nintendo is transitioning into a platform company, leveraging its unique development model that integrates software and hardware to enhance IP value. The upcoming release of Switch 2 is expected to restore revenue and profit growth in the short term, while the establishment of a platform ecosystem will enhance third-party game supply in the medium term. Long-term, the company aims for diversified commercialization strategies to optimize revenue structure and demonstrate resilience across cycles [1][5][18]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Nintendo has a rich history in the gaming industry, known for iconic IPs like Mario and Pokémon. The company has successfully navigated market challenges by focusing on gameplay rather than just high performance and graphics [23][18]. Revenue Structure - In FY25, hardware revenue is projected to be 473.5 billion JPY (41% of total), while software revenue is expected to be 610 billion JPY (52%). The revenue from IP-related activities remains relatively low, indicating significant potential for future growth [18][19]. Platform Strategy - The Switch has redefined the gaming console market by merging home and handheld gaming. The upcoming Switch 2 is anticipated to meet the performance demands of AAA games, with a projected revenue increase of 55% year-on-year in FY26 [3][19]. User Engagement and Profitability - Nintendo has built a robust ecosystem around its first-party games, which are crucial for user acquisition. The company’s online services are expected to enhance user engagement, with digital game sales projected to exceed 50% of total game revenue by FY25 [4][20]. Market Position and Competitive Advantage - Unlike competitors, Nintendo's strategy emphasizes expanding its user base through innovative gameplay experiences and diverse IP monetization channels, including theme parks and mobile services. This approach has allowed Nintendo to maintain a competitive edge in a crowded market [18][21]. Financial Projections - The report forecasts net profits for FY26, FY27, and FY28 to be 328.8 billion JPY, 577.7 billion JPY, and 684.2 billion JPY, respectively, reflecting a strong growth trajectory supported by the platform model [6][7].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight (Maintain)" for both Electronics and Semiconductors [6]. Core Insights - The report highlights that DISCO's 1QFY25 shipment guidance exceeds expectations, with the impact of tariffs still under observation [1]. - The growth in performance is primarily driven by the demand for generative AI-related equipment, leading to significant increases in logic and packaging shipments [1][2]. - The report anticipates a bifurcation in global semiconductor equipment investment in CY2025, with strong demand and revenue from AI-related sectors, while power semiconductor investments are expected to remain weak [5]. Summary by Sections 1QFY25 Guidance - The company expects a significant increase in shipment volume by 10.3% to JPY 102.0 billion, despite a projected revenue decline of 37.9% to JPY 75 billion due to currency fluctuations [3]. - The anticipated decline in gross margin is attributed to changes in exchange rate assumptions, with a potential drop of at least 4 percentage points to around 65.8% [3]. 4QFY24 Review - In 4QFY24, revenue reached JPY 120.7 billion, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter increase of 29.0% and a year-on-year increase of 15.7% [2]. - The revenue breakdown by business segments shows precision processing equipment contributing 70% of total revenue, with strong performance in HBM and logic/packaging shipments [2]. Demand Dynamics - The report notes that AI continues to drive strong investment in HBM, with expectations of quarterly fluctuations in demand [5]. - Power semiconductor demand is projected to weaken, with a decrease in its contribution to total shipments from 15% in 4QFY24 to 10% in 1QFY25 [5]. Tariff Response and Capital Expenditure - The company anticipates a 52.9% year-on-year decrease in capital expenditure for FY25 to JPY 3.3 billion, primarily due to the completion of expansion projects in FY24 [4]. - The direct impact of tariffs is considered limited, as only 10% of sales are directed towards the U.S., with production based in Japan [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Meitu, with a target price of 7.49 HKD [11]. Core Viewpoints - AI technology is expected to have a supplementary effect on image life scenarios in the short term, while the long-term competitiveness will rely on vertical data-driven AI model tuning and user understanding [5][14][19]. - The global market for image life scenarios is projected to reach approximately 7 billion USD in 2024, with a low average payment penetration rate of around 4% [21][25]. - Meitu is well-positioned to benefit from user growth and increased subscription penetration driven by AI, leveraging its deep understanding of user needs and experience in high-quality domestic products [6][49]. Summary by Sections Industry Investment Rating - The report recommends a "Buy" rating for Meitu, indicating confidence in its market position and growth potential [11]. Market Analysis - The image life scenario market primarily targets social and entertainment needs, with a user base of approximately 4 billion but a low payment penetration rate of 4% [21][25]. - The potential market space for image life scenarios in 2024 is estimated at 7 billion USD, which is significantly less than productivity scenarios [21][25]. AI Impact on the Industry - AI is expected to enhance product capabilities rather than replace existing applications in the short term, with traditional applications maintaining an advantage due to established user habits and data accumulation [5][14][19]. - AI can create new user growth paths and expand subscription opportunities, with successful examples like FaceApp and Meitu demonstrating the effectiveness of AI-driven features in user engagement [3][15][40]. Regional Market Opportunities - The report highlights the differences in subscription model maturity across global markets, with the US and Europe being more established, while Southeast Asia presents significant growth potential due to its large user base and cultural affinity [4][18][62]. - In the US market, the revenue contribution is high, while Southeast Asia has a larger number of active users, making both regions key targets for Meitu's international expansion [62][63]. Competitive Landscape - The report argues against the prevailing market view that AI will disrupt traditional image life applications, asserting that the short-term impact will be more about enhancement than replacement [5][19]. - Meitu's long-standing experience in the beauty application sector positions it favorably to leverage AI advancements for sustained growth and user retention [6][49].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the energy and power equipment sectors [7] Core Viewpoints - The acceleration of the national unified electricity market is driving the construction of ultra-high voltage (UHV) projects, which are essential for achieving interconnection within the national grid [2][19] - The construction of UHV is not only to meet renewable energy consumption but also to address long-term energy imbalances, with significant demand for long-distance transmission solutions [14][41] - The report anticipates a peak in approvals for UHV projects, with expectations of 5-6 direct current (DC) and 3-4 alternating current (AC) projects approved in 2025, a significant increase from 2024 [3][45] Summary by Sections UHV Project Acceleration - The report predicts that the pace of UHV project approvals will accelerate, with an expected average of 6-7 UHV projects starting annually during the 14th Five-Year Plan period [1][3] - The expected annual order volume for UHV projects is projected to reach approximately 46 billion yuan, a 182% increase compared to the average winning bid amount from 2020 to 2024 [3][14] Market Dynamics - The UHV equipment market is characterized by high barriers to entry and concentrated profits, with major equipment components accounting for 80% of the market share [5][15] - Key suppliers such as State Grid NARI, Pinggao Electric, China XD Electric, and XJ Electric are expected to benefit significantly from the upward cycle of the sector [6][15] Back-to-Back Projects - Back-to-back DC transmission projects are crucial for addressing the power interconnection needs of adjacent provinces with asynchronous grids, with 5-6 projects expected to be approved within the year [4][16] - The report highlights that suppliers of converter transformers and converter valves are likely to see significant benefits from these projects [4][16] Financial Projections for Key Companies - State Grid NARI is projected to generate net profits of 1.15-1.64 billion yuan from each conventional/flexible DC UHV project, with an estimated profit elasticity of 1.1-1.6% [6][18] - Pinggao Electric is expected to earn 0.84/1.05 billion yuan from each DC/AC UHV project, with a profit elasticity of 4.2%/5.3% [6][18] - China XD Electric is projected to earn 2.4/1.2 billion yuan from each DC/AC UHV project, with a profit elasticity of 10.1%/5.0% [6][18] - XJ Electric is expected to generate net profits of 0.66-0.99 billion yuan from each conventional/flexible DC UHV project, with a profit elasticity of 3.1-4.7% [6][18]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the glass fiber industry, specifically recommending companies such as China Jushi, Zhongcai Technology, and Changhai Co., Ltd. [7][11][55] Core Insights - The glass fiber industry is experiencing a gradual improvement in profitability, with new production capacity being gradually released. The overall profitability of glass fiber companies is expected to improve year-on-year in 2025 due to price recovery and capacity expansion [1][3][31]. - The industry saw a significant increase in new production capacity in 2024, with 773,000 tons added, representing a year-on-year growth of 89% [1][24]. - The market share of leading companies remains stable, with the top five companies holding a combined market share of 74% as of April 2025 [1][24]. Summary by Sections Production and Capacity - In 2024, China's glass fiber yarn production reached 7.56 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 4.6%, although the growth rate has been declining for three consecutive years [2][12]. - The report highlights that the production capacity of leading companies is expanding, with China Jushi and International Composites having significant overseas production capacities [2][12][24]. Pricing and Profitability - The average selling price of glass fiber products decreased in 2024, with China Jushi's price dropping by 12.0% year-on-year. However, prices are expected to recover in 2025, supported by long-term contracts [3][34]. - The report indicates that the profitability of glass fiber companies has shown a quarterly improvement since Q2 2024, with significant year-on-year growth in net profit for Q1 2025 [4][31][39]. Financial Performance - The report notes that while the net profit of several companies declined in 2024, there was a substantial recovery in Q1 2025, with China Jushi's net profit increasing by 342.5% year-on-year [4][31][56]. - The capital expenditures of major companies decreased in 2024, indicating that the peak of new capacity investment may be nearing its end [5][51]. Recommendations - The report recommends China Jushi, Zhongcai Technology, and Changhai Co., Ltd. as key investment opportunities due to their competitive advantages and growth potential in the glass fiber market [11][55].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [8] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 46.97 billion RMB in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 11.5%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 450 million RMB, up 89.1% year-on-year, slightly exceeding expectations [1] - The integrated supply chain business revenue grew by 13.2% year-on-year, accounting for 49.4% of total revenue, driven by increased income from JD Group and a rise in external customer numbers [3] - The company is expected to benefit from enhanced logistics capabilities and competitive products, as well as accelerated overseas expansion, which will continue to drive overall revenue and profit growth [1] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a Non-IFRS net profit of 750 million RMB, a year-on-year increase of 13.4%, with a gross margin of 7.2% [1][4] - The revenue from JD Group was 14.1% higher year-on-year, contributing 31.3% to total revenue, while external customer revenue grew by 10.3%, making up 68.7% of total revenue [2] Business Segments - The integrated supply chain business generated 23.2 billion RMB in revenue, up 13.2% year-on-year, while other businesses (express and freight) saw revenue of 23.77 billion RMB, growing by 9.8% [3] - The number of external integrated supply chain customers reached 63,061, reflecting a 13.1% increase year-on-year [2] Cost and Profitability - The company increased investments in logistics infrastructure and personnel, leading to a higher cost growth rate than revenue growth, resulting in a slight decline in gross margin [4] - The report anticipates that as business volume increases, economies of scale will improve margins in subsequent quarters [4] Future Outlook - The net profit forecast for 2025 has been slightly reduced by 3% to 6.9 billion RMB, with the target price adjusted down by 6% to 16.7 HKD [5] - The company is projected to achieve a revenue of 205.13 billion RMB in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 12.19% [29]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [8] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 46.97 billion RMB in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 11.5%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 450 million RMB, up 89.1% year-on-year [1] - The company is expected to benefit from its integrated supply chain logistics capabilities and accelerated overseas expansion, which will continue to drive revenue and profit growth [1] - The report slightly lowers the net profit forecast for 2025 by 3% due to increased resource investment leading to higher costs, adjusting the target price down by 6% to 16.7 HKD [5] Revenue Breakdown - Revenue from JD Group business in Q1 2025 was 14.7 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 14.1%, accounting for 31.3% of total revenue [2] - External customer business revenue was 32.27 billion RMB, growing 10.3% year-on-year, making up 68.7% of total revenue [2] - Integrated supply chain business revenue reached 23.2 billion RMB, up 13.2% year-on-year, representing 49.4% of total revenue [3] Profitability Metrics - The gross margin for Q1 2025 was 7.2%, down 0.5 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to increased investments in logistics infrastructure and personnel [4] - The report anticipates an improvement in gross margin and Non-IFRS profit margin in Q2 2025 as business volume increases and economies of scale are realized [4] Financial Projections - Projected revenue for 2025 is 205.13 billion RMB, with a year-on-year growth of 12.19% [29] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach 6.9 billion RMB in 2025, reflecting an 11.36% increase [29] - The report provides a PE ratio forecast of 10.92 for 2025, indicating a valuation aligned with comparable companies [29]

Core Insights - The willingness of incremental capital to flow into the market has shown signs of recovery, with trading funds experiencing a net inflow for the first time in six weeks, indicating a shift in sentiment towards growth sectors [1][4] - Foreign capital has also turned to net inflow, supported by easing trade tensions, with emerging market allocation remaining below 40% since 2018 [1][5] - Recent financial policies are expected to enhance the resilience of the capital market and guide funds towards benchmark allocations, particularly in sectors like banking, utilities, and oil and petrochemicals [1][6] Group 1: Trading Capital Recovery - Trading capital sentiment has improved, with net inflows of financing capital amounting to 167 billion, marking a recovery in trading activity [4][20] - The allocation of funds has increased towards growth sectors such as electronics, computers, machinery, and pharmaceuticals [4][53] - Retail investors saw a net outflow of 41 billion, but the outflow has narrowed compared to previous weeks [7][12] Group 2: Foreign Capital Inflows - For the period from April 30 to May 7, foreign capital saw a net inflow of 15.8 billion, primarily driven by passive allocation funds [5][60] - Despite the recent inflow, foreign capital allocation in A-shares remains low, with emerging market funds holding less than 40% of A-shares [5][66] - The average daily trading volume of northbound funds has slightly increased to 160.4 billion [60][61] Group 3: Fund Allocation Trends - The recent regulatory framework aims to guide funds towards benchmark allocations, particularly benefiting underweighted sectors like state-owned banks and financial services [6][32] - The issuance of new equity funds has decreased, with only 61 billion shares launched last week [32][43] - The average equity allocation of long-term insurance funds has slightly decreased, indicating a cautious approach to market exposure [56][57] Group 4: ETF and Private Fund Activity - Last week, stock ETFs experienced a net outflow of 32.4 billion, with significant redemptions in broad-based ETFs [43][52] - Private funds have shown increased interest in sectors like pharmaceuticals and electronics, with a notable rise in research activity [53][54] - The overall sentiment in the ETF market reflects a preference for sectors such as technology and public services, which have seen net inflows [43][49]