Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 43.0 HKD [7][8]. Core Views - The company reported Q1 2025 revenue of 541 million USD, a year-over-year increase of 17.6% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 0.3%, driven by increased wafer shipments [16][20]. - The gross margin for Q1 2025 was 9.2%, up 2.8 percentage points year-over-year but down 2.2 percentage points quarter-over-quarter due to depreciation from new production lines [16][20]. - The company expects Q2 2025 revenue to be between 550 million and 570 million USD, with a gross margin guidance of 7% to 9% [21]. Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - Q1 2025 revenue reached 541 million USD, with wafer shipments of 1.231 million pieces, reflecting a 20% year-over-year increase [16][20]. - The company anticipates a stable ASP (Average Selling Price) throughout the year, with potential for price increases in 12-inch products as capacity ramps up [3][5]. Capacity and Production - The production capacity utilization rate was 102.7% in Q1 2025, with the second 12-inch production line expected to ramp up steadily [2][21]. - The company plans to shorten ramp-up times and increase shipment volumes to stabilize gross margins [2]. Market Trends and Product Segments - The company is benefiting from local production trends accelerated by tariffs, particularly in the analog and power management segments, which saw a 34.8% year-over-year revenue increase [4][26]. - The 12-inch wafer segment generated 310 million USD in Q1 2025, a 40.8% year-over-year increase, while the 8-inch segment saw a decline [24][22]. Financial Forecasts - The report projects revenue growth of 8.2%, 13.1%, and 11.7% for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with net profit estimates of 52 million, 82 million, and 97 million USD for the same years [18][19]. - The target price of 43.0 HKD is based on a 1.5x multiple of the 2025 estimated book value per share [5][29].

Group 1: Trade Negotiation Outcomes - The US will retain 10% of the 20% tariff on fentanyl and suspend 90% of the remaining 24% tariffs for 90 days, while canceling all tariffs imposed on April 8 and 9[1] - China will suspend the implementation of the 24% tariffs on US goods for the initial 90 days, retaining 10% on these products and canceling other subsequent tariffs[1] - The tariff reductions exceed previous investor expectations, potentially raising the volatility center of the domestic equity market[1] Group 2: Market Reactions and Predictions - A-shares opened higher and closed up, with significant gains in sectors like power equipment, machinery, and electronics, confirming the positive outlook[2] - The market's risk appetite is expected to increase further due to the positive signals from the US-China negotiations, with potential recovery in the export chain[2] - The current A-share risk premium is influenced by domestic credit cycles and the US dollar cycle, with a reasonable P/E ratio estimated at 21x compared to the current 19x[4] Group 3: Investment Strategies - Short-term recommendations include increasing allocations to technology and export sectors, while maintaining a cautious stance on industries with high US exposure[5] - Mid-term strategies should focus on sectors benefiting from internal certainty, such as public funds and industries with improved earnings forecasts[5] - The Hong Kong market is expected to show relative returns, with recommendations to increase allocations in technology and consumer sectors[6]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Overweight" indicating that the expected performance of the industry stocks will exceed the benchmark [7]. Core Insights - The total asset scale of the ETF market has surpassed 4 trillion yuan, with a month-on-month growth of 6.9%, and the stock ETF scale increased by 4.5% due to significant adjustments in the equity market caused by equal tariffs [11][12]. - The "Action Plan for Promoting the High-Quality Development of Public Funds" has been implemented, aiming to enhance the ecosystem of public funds and significantly increase the scale and proportion of equity investments in public funds, which is expected to accelerate the development of stock ETFs [5][31][32]. Summary by Sections Total Scale - As of the end of April 2025, the net asset value of stock ETFs reached 29,484 billion yuan, a month-on-month increase of 4.5%. The total net asset value of all ETFs exceeded 40,604 billion yuan, with a month-on-month growth of 6.9% [2][12]. Competitive Landscape - The concentration of leading fund companies has slightly increased, with the CR3, CR5, and CR10 reaching 45.1%, 57.8%, and 77.9% respectively, showing a month-on-month increase [3][17]. New Product Launches - In April 2025, stock ETFs raised a total of 9.6 billion yuan through batch issuance, including various thematic ETFs such as those focused on the aerospace and digital economy [4][23]. Policy Dynamics - The recently released "Action Plan for Promoting the High-Quality Development of Public Funds" outlines a comprehensive reform roadmap, emphasizing the need to bind fund company revenues to investor returns and enhance the scale of equity investments [5][31][32].

证券研究报告 宏观 4 月全球 PMI:关税拖累开始显现 华泰研究 2025 年 5 月 09 日│中国内地 动态点评 研究员 易峘 evayi@htsc.com SAC No. S0570520100005 SFC No. AMH263 +(852) 3658 6000 研究员 胡李鹏，PhD SAC No. S0570525010001 hulipeng@htsc.com +(86) 10 6321 1166 研究员 陈玮 SAC No. S0570524030003 SFC No. BVH374 chenwei023580@htsc.com +(86) 10 6321 1166 联系人 赵文瑄 SAC No. S0570124030017 zhaowenxuan@htsc.com +(86) 10 6321 1166 图说全球 PMI | 2025 年 4 月 本系列为华泰宏观出品、全球 PMI 月度追踪系列的第二十二期。4 月全球制 造业 PMI 显示关税的影响开始显现，制造业 PMI 回落至荣枯线以下，部分 新兴市场经济体回落较为明显；制造业新订单和新出口订单分项明显回落； 价格指标维持高位，产成品 ...

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Overweight" indicating that the expected performance of the industry stock index will surpass the benchmark [7]. Core Insights - The total asset scale of the ETF market has surpassed 4 trillion yuan, with a month-on-month growth of 6.9%, and the stock ETF scale increased by 4.5% [11][12]. - The "High-Quality Development Action Plan for Public Funds" has been implemented, aiming to enhance the ecosystem of public funds and significantly increase the scale and proportion of equity investments in public funds, which is expected to accelerate the development of stock ETFs [5][31][32]. Summary by Sections Total Scale - As of the end of April 2025, the net asset value of stock ETFs reached 29,484 billion yuan, a month-on-month increase of 4.5%. The total net asset value of all ETFs exceeded 40,604 billion yuan, with a month-on-month growth of 6.9% [2][12]. Competitive Landscape - The concentration of leading fund companies has slightly increased, with the CR3, CR5, and CR10 reaching 45.1%, 57.8%, and 77.9% respectively, showing a month-on-month increase of 0.1%, 0.3%, and 0.2% [3][17]. New Product Launches - In April 2025, stock ETFs raised a total of 9.6 billion yuan through batch issuance, including various thematic ETFs such as those focused on the aerospace and digital economy sectors [4][23]. Policy Dynamics - The "High-Quality Development Action Plan for Public Funds" was released on May 7, 2025, outlining a comprehensive reform roadmap to enhance governance, product issuance, investment operations, and assessment mechanisms within the industry [5][31]. The plan emphasizes increasing the scale and proportion of equity investments in public funds, which is expected to accelerate the development of stock ETFs [32].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained as "Buy" with a target price of RMB 7.15 [7][8]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of RMB 3.945 billion for 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 9.40%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 138.55 million, up 36.40% year-on-year [1][6]. - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of RMB 747 million, a 10.86% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of RMB 40.79 million, reflecting a 32.32% year-on-year growth [1][6]. - The increase in gross margin to 14.81% in 2024, up 3.76 percentage points year-on-year, is attributed to a higher proportion of revenue from transportation vessels [2][3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company’s gross margin improved to 19.48% in Q1 2025, a slight increase of 0.04 percentage points year-on-year [2]. - The company delivered 16 transportation vessels and 5 offshore engineering vessels in 2023, with plans to deliver 22 transportation vessels and 5 offshore vessels in 2024 [2]. - The total order backlog for marine engineering design business is RMB 1.39 billion, with construction business orders increasing by 29.37% year-on-year [2]. Market Outlook - The development of "Deep Sea Technology" is expected to enhance the company's order volume, supported by government initiatives to promote the marine economy [3]. - The International Maritime Organization's (IMO) mid-term agreement on shipping carbon emissions is anticipated to boost demand for green vessels, where the company holds a leading position [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been adjusted downwards to RMB 189.87 million and RMB 248.54 million, respectively, due to uncertainties in revenue recognition for high-margin businesses [4]. - The company is assigned a PE ratio of 65 times for 2025, reflecting its leadership in ship design and development [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the real estate development and service sectors [5]. Core Insights - The real estate market in China is experiencing a seasonal decline in activity, with new home registrations in 44 cities down by 26% week-on-week, and second-hand home registrations down by 15% [1]. - Despite the recent decline, year-to-date new home sales in 44 cities show a slight increase of 0.2% year-on-year, while second-hand home sales have surged by 28% [1]. - Inventory levels in 21 key cities have decreased by 0.6% week-on-week, indicating a gradual improvement in market conditions [1]. - The report highlights a positive outlook for companies with strong cash flow and performance, particularly in key urban markets, suggesting potential valuation recovery [3]. Summary by Sections Market Overview - The real estate market's activity has seen a seasonal dip, with new home registrations in 44 cities down 26% and second-hand home registrations down 15% week-on-week [1]. - Year-to-date, new home sales in 44 cities are up 0.2% year-on-year, while second-hand home sales have increased by 28% [1]. Inventory and Sales Dynamics - As of May 4, inventory in 21 key cities decreased by 0.6% week-on-week, with a year-on-year decline of 15% [29]. - The report notes that the de-stocking speed has improved, with a current pace of 80 weeks, which is 3 weeks faster than the previous period [29]. Recommended Companies - The report recommends several companies for investment, including: - Chengdu Investment Holdings (600649 CH) with a target price of 6.34 and a "Buy" rating [6]. - Chengjian Development (600266 CH) with a target price of 7.32 and a "Buy" rating [6]. - Binjiang Group (002244 CH) with a target price of 12.08 and a "Buy" rating [6]. - China Overseas Development (688 HK) with a target price of 17.07 and a "Buy" rating [6]. - China Resources Land (1109 HK) with a target price of 32.72 and a "Buy" rating [6]. - The report emphasizes the potential for valuation recovery for companies with solid cash flow and market presence [3].

证券研究报告 金融 公募改革落地，政策组合拳共振 华泰研究 2025 年 5 月 11 日│中国内地 行业周报（第十九周） 本周观点 投资机会方面银行>证券>保险。央行降准 50bp+降息 10bp 并引导存款利率 下调，平衡稳息差与降成本。银行系 AIC 布局加速，兴业银行获批筹建国 内第六家 AIC，招商银行、中信银行拟出资设立。国新办新闻发布会召开， 支持资本市场和稳定金融体系的政策组合拳落地；公募基金改革方案发布， 推动行业从"重规模"向"重投资者回报"转型，用 3 年左右形成高质量 发展"拐点"。权益投资偿付能力风险因子下调 10%，有助于推动险资入市， 降低保险公司偿付能力压力。 子行业观点 1）银行：央行降准 50bp+降息 10bp 并引导存款利率下调，平衡稳息差与 降成本。3 月按揭利率边际回升，下一步将出台金融促消费一揽子政策举措， 增加信贷资金供给支持。银行系 AIC 布局加速，为股权投资市场再添活水。 2）证券：公募基金改革方案有望加速行业生态重构，推动头部集中与差异 化竞争。国新办发布会是继去年"924"后的新一轮政策组合拳，从制度、 生态、资金多维度呵护市场平稳运行，权益市场底部有 ...

证券研究报告 工业/基础材料 重点工程积极推进，关注淡季价格支撑 华泰研究 2025 年 5 月 11 日│中国内地 行业周报（第十九周） 本周观点：基建重点工程积极推进，关注建材淡季价格回落幅度 上周"一揽子金融政策支持稳市场稳预期"新闻发布会召开，公布实施降准 降息、公积金贷款和结构性货币政策工具利率下调、房地产融资制度改革等， 有望助力地产需求"止跌回稳"趋势。超长期特别国债和新型政策性金融工 具有望加快基建重点工程建设，今年 1-4 月全国铁路投资同比+5.3%，4 月 单月同比+5.7%，铁路、水利、核电等重点领域基建投资延续高景气。上周 公募基金改革方案发布，中长期有望提升低配的建筑建材龙头配置比例。我 们持续推荐估值尚处于低位的基建链及地产链龙头，短期重点推荐四川路 桥、中材国际、海南华铁、三联虹普、中国建筑国际、华新水泥、上峰水泥、 中材科技、兔宝宝、中国联塑。 上周细分行业回顾 截至 5.9，上周全国水泥价格周环比-1.2%；水泥出货率 48.1%，周环比/同 比-1.5%/-6.1pct；上周国内浮法玻璃均价 71 元/重量箱，周环比/同比 -0.3%/-21.3%，重点样本企业库存 58 ...

Core Insights - The report highlights the recent trade agreement framework between the US and UK, which is seen as a potential model for future agreements, although it lacks detailed coverage and may not be easily replicated by other countries [2][3][5] - The report indicates that the trade negotiations between the US and China are ongoing, with expectations of a potential reduction in tariffs, creating a "window period" for possible agreements [5][6] - The macroeconomic environment is characterized by cautious optimism, with improvements in risk sentiment supporting market performance, particularly in the Hong Kong stock market [6][7] Macroeconomic Overview - The global PMI data for April shows a decline in manufacturing new orders and export orders, indicating the impact of tariffs on economic activity [3] - The US Federal Reserve remains cautious, with no immediate changes to monetary policy expected, pending further economic data [3][5] - The report notes that the trade tensions have led to a mixed performance in global markets, with US stocks experiencing slight declines while commodities generally rose [3][5] Industry Analysis - The automotive sector is highlighted for its resilience, with a notable increase in sales for domestic brands like BYD, driven by the "old-for-new" policy stimulating demand [16][18] - Semiconductor company SMIC reported a revenue of $2.25 billion for Q1 2025, with a slight increase in wafer shipments, although ASP declined [18] - The defense sector, represented by Tianhai Defense, showed significant growth in revenue and net profit, benefiting from advancements in deep-sea technology [19] Investment Strategy - The report suggests focusing on sectors supported by government policies, particularly technology and consumer sectors, as well as dividend stocks with stable performance [6][7] - It emphasizes the importance of identifying quality thematic opportunities in the current market environment, particularly in sectors like innovation and technology [13][19] - The report advises maintaining a neutral position in convertible bonds while focusing on specific opportunities within the market [13][14]