Policy Impact - The "Two New" policy has effectively promoted consumption and investment, driving related product sales exceeding 1.6 trillion yuan in 2025[2] - The scope of the old-for-new policy has expanded in 2025, with a total sales amount from five categories (automobiles, home appliances, digital products, home decoration, and electric bicycles) surpassing 1.6 trillion yuan by June 2025, exceeding the 2024 sales figures[5] Market Performance - The median market value change for consumer service stocks on the Beijing Stock Exchange was -2.21% from July 28 to August 1, 2025, with only 22% of companies experiencing an increase[2] - The total market capitalization of consumer service companies decreased from 123.5 billion yuan to 120.6 billion yuan during the same period[41] Sector Analysis - The median price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio for consumer service stocks rose from 52.1X to 53.5X[36] - The median P/E ratio for the broader consumer sector decreased from 72.9X to 72.6X, indicating a slight contraction in valuation[39] Company Highlights - Taihu Snow reported a 70% year-on-year increase in net profit for the first half of 2025, with revenue reaching approximately 280.82 million yuan, a 17.75% increase[2] - A total of 63 companies on the Beijing Stock Exchange are identified as beneficiaries of the "Two New" policy, with 10 in the equipment update category and 53 in the old-for-new category[29]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - The report does not provide a specific industry investment rating. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - China's pension system is undergoing profound changes due to the acceleration of population aging. The enterprise annuity, as an important part of the second - pillar pension, has significant development potential. In the future, through measures such as expanding coverage, optimizing equity allocation, and integrating the three - pillar pension system, it is expected to enhance the retirement income replacement rate of employees in small and medium - sized enterprises and become a key support in addressing the challenges of aging [1]. - The enterprise annuity is transitioning from "short - term investment of long - term funds" to "long - term investment of long - term funds". With the implementation of the "automatic enrollment + voluntary withdrawal" mechanism, the establishment of a long - term assessment mechanism, and the integration of the three - pillar pension system, the enterprise annuity's role in the pension system will be further strengthened [1]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Historical Evolution - **Non - marketization to Marketization**: From 1991 - 2004, it was the non - marketization operation stage, including the exploration period (1991 - 2000) and the pilot transformation period (2000 - 2004). After 2004, it entered the market operation stage, with the rapid development period from 2007 - 2016 and the mature deepening period from 2017 to the present. During this process, policy dividends continuously promoted scale expansion, but there were also deep - seated contradictions such as system design and investment performance fluctuations [8][9][10]. - **Enterprise Annuity Management Institutions**: The market shows characteristics of high concentration and professional division of labor. There are four types of management institutions, with different numbers and types of institutions in each category. The insurance - based institutions dominate the trustee market, and the public - offering fund companies play an important role in the investment management field [16]. - **Enterprise Annuity Plans and Pension Products**: There are single plans and collective plans. Single plans are suitable for large enterprises, while collective plans have advantages such as high efficiency and low cost. Pension products have gradually expanded their investment scope over the years [39][41][44]. 3.2 Current Situation of Enterprise Annuity - **Coverage and Regional Characteristics**: The number of participating employees in enterprise annuities is increasing, but the coverage rate has not improved significantly. The participation rate is far lower than that of OECD countries. In terms of regional distribution, central enterprises and economically developed regions dominate [45][50]. - **Investment Performance**: The overall performance of enterprise annuities has been growing steadily in the long - term. In the past three years (2022Q1 - 2025Q1), the cumulative return reached 7.46%. Asset allocation is significantly differentiated, with fixed - income products performing better in the past three years. The performance also varies between different plans and investment managers [55][65][71]. - **Different Investment Managers**: The market shows a trend of strengthening the leading position of top - tier institutions. The assessment mechanism is shifting towards long - term orientation. Different types of institutions have different investment capabilities in equity and fixed - income products [71][72]. - **Annuity Pension Products**: As of 2025Q1, there are 649 registered pension products and 573 actually operating products. The top three in terms of the number of actually operating products are common stock - type, hybrid, and common fixed - income products [75]. 3.3 Future Development of Enterprise Annuity - **Coverage Expansion**: The "automatic enrollment + voluntary withdrawal" mechanism may be promoted to reduce the participation threshold for small and medium - sized enterprises and expand the coverage [1][82]. - **Head - Concentration of Institutions**: The "Matthew effect" in the trustee and investment management markets may intensify, with insurance - based institutions continuing to dominate, and the proportion of large state - owned banks may increase [82]. - **Structural Adjustment of Investment Management**: There may be a two - way evolution in the investment management of single and collective plans. The long - term assessment mechanism may be implemented soon, and the equity allocation ratio may increase [83].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook based on improving free cash flow and expected dividend increases [5][8]. Core Views - The company is a state-owned water utility in Tianjin, with over 20 years of industry experience, primarily engaged in wastewater treatment, recycled water supply, and tap water supply. The wastewater treatment segment is expected to contribute nearly 80% of revenue and gross profit in 2024 [7][16]. - The company has shown stable profitability with a net profit margin around 17% and a return on equity (ROE) between 8% and 10% from 2019 to 2024. The gross margin has been steadily increasing [19][21]. - Free cash flow turned positive in 2024, with expectations for continued improvement due to reduced capital expenditures and enhanced collection of receivables [10][21]. - The company has a significant potential for dividend increases, with a current dividend payout ratio around 30%, which is lower than industry peers [10][11]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - As of August 1, 2025, the closing price is 5.92 CNY, with a total market capitalization of approximately 9,296.88 million CNY [3]. Financial Forecasts and Valuation - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 48.64 billion CNY, 49.04 billion CNY, and 50.35 billion CNY, with year-on-year growth rates of 0.8%, 0.8%, and 2.7% respectively. Net profit estimates are 9.58 billion CNY, 9.95 billion CNY, and 10.27 billion CNY, with growth rates of 18.65%, 3.89%, and 3.19% respectively [6][40]. - The current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios are projected at 10, 9, and 9 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, which is significantly lower than the industry average P/E of 17 [8][40]. Investment Logic - The company has a strong market position in wastewater treatment, with a stable revenue stream and improving margins. The wastewater treatment price has increased from 1.7 CNY/ton to 1.92 CNY/ton from 2021 to 2024, reflecting a consistent upward trend [10][33]. - The company is expected to benefit from the cessation of goodwill impairment losses starting in 2025, which could positively impact net profit by approximately 1.5 billion CNY [11][38]. Key Assumptions - The report assumes new wastewater treatment capacity additions of 9, 5.5, and 6 thousand tons per day for 2025-2027, with a consistent treatment price of 1.92 CNY/ton [9][41].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No specific industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The credit bond market has recovered after last week's adjustment caused by the "anti - involution" trend. On August 1st, under the influence of the tax new policy, the cost - performance of credit bonds has been passively improved. It is recommended to continue to pay attention to long - duration sinking urban investment bonds, capital bonds, and insurance sub - debt. Specifically, long - duration capital bonds of Minsheng Bank, Bohai Bank, and Hengfeng Bank are strongly recommended. There is an optimistic view on urban investment dim sum bonds and US dollar bonds, and opportunities in capital bonds of Tianjin Bank, Beibu Gulf Bank, and China Property Insurance are worth attention [3][45]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Weekly Market Overview - **Primary Market**: This week, the issuance volume, repayment volume, and net financing of traditional credit bonds decreased significantly compared with last week. The net financing of asset - backed securities decreased by 46.5 billion yuan compared with last week. The weighted average issuance interest rates of industrial bonds and urban investment bonds increased, while the issuance cost of financial bonds decreased to varying degrees [1][8][20]. - **Secondary Market**: The trading volume of credit bonds decreased by 73.8 billion yuan compared with last week. In terms of turnover rate, the turnover rate of credit bonds showed mixed trends compared with last week, and the turnover rate of asset - backed securities rebounded. The yields of most credit bonds with different maturities and ratings decreased, except that the yield of AAA + credit bonds over 10 years increased slightly. Overall, the credit spreads of different industries and ratings fluctuated, with a maximum amplitude of no more than 5BP [2][25][31]. - **Negative Public Opinions**: A total of 58 bond implicit ratings were downgraded this week. Among them, 38 bond implicit ratings of Financial Street Holding Co., Ltd. were downgraded. The "21 Meibi 01" bond issued by Xi'an Qujiang Meibi Lake Investment and Construction Co., Ltd. was placed on the watch list. The entity rating of Guizhou Huaxi Rural Commercial Bank Co., Ltd. was downgraded, and the rating of its "21 Huaxi Rural Commercial Secondary 01" bond was also downgraded. The entity rating of Guiyang Baiyun Industrial Development Investment Co., Ltd. was downgraded, and the rating of its "19 Baiyun Industrial Investment Bond 01" bond was downgraded. The "19 Contemporary 01" bond issued by Contemporary Energy - Saving Real Estate Co., Ltd. was extended [2][42]. 3.2 Primary Market - **Net Financing Scale**: The net financing of credit bonds (excluding asset - backed securities) was 100.6 billion yuan this week, a decrease of 286.1 billion yuan compared with last week. The net financing of asset - backed securities was - 12.4 billion yuan, a decrease of 46.5 billion yuan compared with last week. By product type, the net financing of urban investment bonds, industrial bonds, and financial bonds decreased compared with last week [8]. - **Issuance Cost**: The weighted average issuance interest rates of industrial bonds and urban investment bonds increased. Specifically, the issuance interest rates of AA, AA +, and AAA urban investment bonds increased by 10BP, 13BP, and 10BP respectively compared with last week, and those of AA, AA +, and AAA industrial bonds increased by 12BP, 14BP, and 14BP respectively. The issuance interest rate of AA + financial bonds decreased by 25BP, and that of AAA financial bonds decreased slightly by 4BP [20]. 3.3 Secondary Market - **Trading Volume**: The trading volume of credit bonds (excluding asset - backed securities) decreased by 73.8 billion yuan compared with last week. Among them, the trading volume of urban investment bonds increased by 13.8 billion yuan, the trading volume of industrial bonds decreased by 28.2 billion yuan, and the trading volume of financial bonds decreased by 59.4 billion yuan. The trading volume of asset - backed securities increased by 2.1 billion yuan [21]. - **Turnover Rate**: The turnover rate of credit bonds showed mixed trends compared with last week. The turnover rate of urban investment bonds increased by 0.08 pct, the turnover rate of industrial bonds decreased by 0.17 pct, and the turnover rate of financial bonds decreased by 0.41 pct. The turnover rate of asset - backed securities increased by 0.07 pct [22]. - **Yields**: The yields of most credit bonds with different maturities and ratings decreased, except that the yield of AAA + credit bonds over 10 years increased slightly. For example, the yields of AA, AAA -, and AAA + credit bonds within 1 year decreased by 3BP, 3BP, and 2BP respectively compared with last week [25]. - **Credit Spreads**: Overall, the credit spreads of different industries and ratings fluctuated, with a maximum amplitude of no more than 5BP. The credit spreads of AA banks, AA + mining and non - banking finance, and AAA electrical equipment industries compressed relatively significantly, within the range of 3 - 4BP. The credit spreads of AA + comprehensive and food and beverage industries widened relatively significantly, within the range of 4 - 5BP [31]. - **Urban Investment Bonds**: The credit spreads of urban investment bonds within 1 year compressed slightly, while those of other maturities widened slightly. In terms of regions, most urban investment credit spreads widened [34][35]. - **Industrial Bonds**: The credit spreads of industrial bonds fluctuated slightly within 5BP as a whole, and the spreads of 3 - 5Y industrial bonds were under pressure and adjusted slightly [38]. - **Bank Capital Bonds**: The credit spreads of bank Tier 2 and perpetual bonds performed well, with different maturities and ratings compressing by 2 - 5BP [39]. 3.4 Investment Recommendations - The central bank achieved a net injection of 6.9 billion yuan this week. The DR001 decreased from 1.40% at the close on Monday to 1.25%. The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3560 points, and the equity market cooled down and corrected. Commodity futures may have corrected synchronously due to the cooling of the "anti - involution" sentiment. It is necessary to continue to pay attention to the development direction of the "anti - involution" market in the future [44]. - The credit spreads of different industries and ratings fluctuated slightly. It is recommended to continue to focus on long - duration sinking urban investment bonds, capital bonds, and insurance sub - debt, and pay attention to relevant investment opportunities [45].

Investment Rating - Investment Rating: Positive (Maintained) [4] Core Views - The report highlights that the price of praseodymium and neodymium oxide has entered an upward channel, with a recent increase of 10.97% to 531,000 CNY/ton. Meanwhile, dysprosium oxide has decreased by 2.38% to 1,640,000 CNY/ton, and terbium oxide has dropped by 0.97% to 7,110,000 CNY/ton. The positive sentiment is driven by supply constraints and strong demand for end-use magnetic materials [3][4][12]. - The molybdenum market is experiencing a price increase, with molybdenum concentrate prices rising by 7.53% to 4,285 CNY/ton. However, downstream demand is weak, leading to expectations of price fluctuations [4][24]. - Tungsten prices have reached a historical high due to supply reductions and price adjustments in long-term contracts, with black tungsten concentrate prices increasing by 7.82% to 193,000 CNY/ton [4][34]. - The tin market is characterized by a supply-demand imbalance, with SHFE tin prices rising by 0.15% to 265,000 CNY/ton, while LME tin prices increased by 0.08% to 33,185 USD/ton [4][40]. - Antimony prices are experiencing fluctuations, with antimony ingot prices decreasing by 1.32% to 187,500 CNY/ton, attributed to low smelting output and tight raw material supply [4][56]. - The report emphasizes the accelerating commercialization of controlled nuclear fusion materials, with significant investments from state-owned enterprises, indicating a promising outlook for upstream materials [6]. Summary by Sections Rare Earths - Recent price movements show praseodymium and neodymium oxide prices increased by 10.97% to 531,000 CNY/ton, while dysprosium and terbium prices decreased [12][4]. Molybdenum - Molybdenum concentrate prices rose by 7.53% to 4,285 CNY/ton, with expectations of price stabilization due to weak downstream demand [24][4]. Tungsten - Black tungsten concentrate prices increased by 7.82% to 193,000 CNY/ton, driven by supply constraints and price adjustments in long-term contracts [34][4]. Tin - SHFE tin prices rose by 0.15% to 265,000 CNY/ton, while LME tin prices increased by 0.08% to 33,185 USD/ton, reflecting a supply-demand imbalance [40][4]. Antimony - Antimony ingot prices decreased by 1.32% to 187,500 CNY/ton, influenced by low smelting output and tight raw material supply [56][4]. Nuclear Fusion Materials - The commercialization of controlled nuclear fusion is accelerating, with significant investments indicating a positive outlook for upstream materials [6].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the non-ferrous metals industry is "Positive" (maintained) [4] Core Views - The report highlights the impact of the recent 232 tariffs on copper, which do not include refined copper, leading to a significant drop in US copper prices. The week saw a decline in copper prices with LME copper down 2.51%, SHFE copper down 1.07%, and US copper down 23.45% [5][10]. - The report emphasizes the recovery in downstream copper demand, with the copper rod operating rate increasing by 2.36 percentage points to 71.73% [5]. - The report suggests monitoring the supply disruptions in Chile and the potential impact of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts in September [5]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Overview - Important macroeconomic information includes lower-than-expected job vacancies in the US and mixed employment data, indicating a cautious economic outlook [9]. - The non-ferrous metals sector underperformed, with the Shenwan non-ferrous index down 4.62%, lagging behind the Shanghai Composite Index by 3.68 percentage points [12]. 2. Industrial Metals Copper - LME copper prices fell by 2.51%, while SHFE copper prices decreased by 1.07%. LME copper inventory increased by 10.33% [26]. - The report notes a copper smelting profit of -2408 CNY/ton, indicating a narrowing loss [26]. Aluminum - LME aluminum prices dropped by 4.12%, and SHFE aluminum prices fell by 1.33%. The report indicates a decrease in aluminum smelting profit to 4116 CNY/ton, down 7.71% [37]. Lead and Zinc - LME lead prices decreased by 3.30%, and SHFE lead prices fell by 1.48%. LME zinc prices dropped by 4.59%, while SHFE zinc prices decreased by 2.19% [52]. - The report highlights a smelting profit of 346 CNY/ton for zinc, with mining profits down 6.47% to 6884 CNY/ton [52]. Tin and Nickel - LME tin prices fell by 5.10%, and SHFE tin prices decreased by 2.47%. LME nickel prices dropped by 4.08%, while SHFE nickel prices fell by 2.83% [66]. 3. Energy Metals Lithium - Lithium carbonate prices decreased by 2.13% to 71350 CNY/ton, while lithium hydroxide prices increased by 4.04% to 65670 CNY/ton [83]. - The report indicates a smelting profit of 862 CNY/ton for lithium from spodumene, while the profit from lithium from lepidolite was -4608 CNY/ton [83]. Cobalt - Domestic cobalt prices surged by 11.29% to 276000 CNY/ton, with significant increases in cobalt smelting profits [96]. 4. Market Performance - The report provides a detailed analysis of the performance of various non-ferrous metal stocks, highlighting the top gainers and losers in the market [12]. 5. Valuation Changes - The report notes that the PE_TTM for the non-ferrous sector is 20.54, with a decrease of 0.88, while the PB_LF is 2.37, down 0.11 [21].

Report Industry Investment Rating - The industry investment rating for August is "Bullish", suggesting that going long in the bond market is the path of least resistance [3][20]. Core Viewpoints - The tax policy adjustment on August 8, 2025, will resume the collection of VAT on the interest income of newly - issued government bonds and financial bonds, which will impact bond pricing and investment strategies [2][6]. - The bond market is recommended to go long in August, with the 10Y Treasury yield expected to return to around 1.65% and the 5Y state - owned and joint - stock secondary bonds to fall below 1.9% [3][20]. Summary by Related Catalogs Tax Policy Changes - Starting from August 8, 2025, VAT will be resumed on the interest income of newly - issued government bonds and financial bonds, with a clear demarcation between old and new bonds, and no changes to income tax and bond transfer income tax policies [2][6]. - Before the new tax policy, general financial institutions paid 6% VAT on interest income during financial product holding, while asset management products and public funds paid 3% using the simplified tax calculation method. Interest income from government bonds, local government bonds, and financial inter - bank transactions was VAT - exempt [2][8]. - After the new policy, public funds will pay a total of 3.26% VAT and surcharges on the interest income of newly - issued government bonds and financial bonds after August 8, 2025, while the trading spread income remains VAT - exempt. Asset management products like bank wealth management need to pay 3.26% VAT and surcharges on both interest and trading spread income of newly - issued bonds [2][9]. - Commercial banks' self - operation will pay a total of 6.34% VAT and surcharges on the interest income of newly - issued government bonds and financial bonds after August 8, 2025, while the interest income of bonds issued before remains VAT - exempt until maturity [10]. - The interest income from inter - bank certificates of deposit and inter - bank deposits will continue to be VAT - exempt [2][12]. - The interest income from discounted government bonds and policy - based financial bonds issued after August 8 may be subject to VAT [11]. Impact on Bond Pricing - The new tax policy may cause a yield spread of 5 - 10BP between government bonds and financial bonds issued before and after August 8, mainly to compensate for the VAT difference [2][14][15]. - The new tax policy will make the yields of newly - issued corporate bonds and financial bonds of the same term and rating closer, but there are still capital occupation differences for bank self - operation investors [3][19][20]. Impact on Commercial Banks - As of the end of March 2025, the balance of financial bonds issued by commercial banks was 10.42 trillion yuan, accounting for 2.9% of total liabilities. The new tax policy has a small impact on commercial banks' liability costs and short - term performance [2][13]. Investment Recommendations - In August, the bond market is recommended to go long, with a preference for long - duration sinking urban investment and capital bonds, urban investment dim - sum bonds, and US dollar bonds. Perpetual bonds of Minsheng, Bohai, and Hengfeng Banks are strongly recommended, and attention should be paid to the capital bond opportunities of Tianjin Bank, Beibu Gulf Bank, and China Property Insurance [3][20].

Investment Rating - The report suggests to "pay attention" to the company [48] Core Viewpoints - Zhigao Machinery is recognized as a national-level "little giant" in air compressors and rock drilling equipment, with a projected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 11% for net profit attributable to shareholders from 2020 to 2024 [11] - The company plans to raise approximately 400 million yuan through an initial public offering to expand its production capacity for intelligent drilling rigs and enhance its research and development capabilities [9][10] - The company has a strong market position, ranking among the top three in the domestic market for mobile air compressors and matching drilling rigs from 2021 to 2023 [35] Summary by Sections Initial Issuance - The initial issuance consists of 21.48 million shares at a price of 17.41 yuan per share, with an earnings per share (EPS) ratio of 14.24X [2][5] - The total number of shares after issuance will be 85.93 million, with the issuance accounting for 25% of the total shares before the exercise of the over-allotment option [5] Business Overview - Zhigao Machinery specializes in the research, development, production, and sales of air compressors and rock drilling equipment, with over 400 product models [11][12] - The company has achieved revenues of 888 million yuan in 2024, with a net profit of 105.05 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 5.72% and 1.49% respectively [27][29] Market Position - The market size for rock drilling machinery in China reached 492.2 billion yuan in 2023, with a CAGR of approximately 3.81% from 2018 to 2023 [40] - The market for screw air compressors grew from 12.34 billion yuan in 2018 to 15.68 billion yuan in 2023, with a CAGR of about 4.9% [39] Financial Performance - The company’s net profit has increased from 68.65 million yuan in 2020 to 105.05 million yuan in 2024, with a CAGR of 11.22% [27] - The gross profit margin for drilling rigs was 34.04% in 2024, while for screw compressors it was 13.98% [19][27] Competitive Landscape - Key comparable companies include Shanhai Intelligent, Kaishan Shares, Xinlei Shares, and Dongya Machinery, with the median PE ratio of comparable companies at 31.3X [49][45] - Zhigao Machinery's products have received recognition both domestically and in international markets, including countries along the Belt and Road Initiative [48]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - The report maintains an overall optimistic view of the North Exchange market for the whole year, believing that the positioning and development direction of the "specialized, refined, characteristic, and innovative" North Exchange market are highly consistent with the national policy orientation of the "self - controllable" and innovation - driven development strategy [24]. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In July 2025, the North - 50 Index and the North Specialized, Refined, Characteristic, and Innovative Index underperformed major indices such as the ChiNext and STAR Market. However, in the first seven months of 2025, the North - 50 Index rose 37%, outperforming other major indices. The market was weak in July, but some sub - sectors like building decoration and pharmaceutical biology performed well. The market has been in a range - bound consolidation for over two months, and with continuous progress in "high - quality" expansion, code switching of existing stocks, and the issuance of specialized, refined, characteristic, and innovative index funds, the market should gradually turn optimistic. The market may return to the performance - driven mainline, and attention should be paid to high - quality companies with continuous high - growth performance [3][6][24]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Week - view - In July 2025, the North - 50 Index fell 1.68%, and the North Specialized, Refined, Characteristic, and Innovative Index fell 2.70%, underperforming major indices. In the first seven months of 2025, the North - 50 Index rose 37%, far outperforming other major indices, and indices such as the STAR - 200 and CSI 2000 also rose over 20%. In July, sectors such as building decoration and pharmaceutical biology in the North Exchange market had relatively high increases. Only 16 companies had a monthly increase of over 20%, and 6 companies including Hengli Drilling Tools had an increase of over 50%. Compared with June 2025, trading volume, turnover, and turnover rate in July all declined. As of July 31, 2025, the overall price - to - earnings ratio (TTM, excluding negatives) of the North Exchange A - share index reached 51 times, 134% of the ChiNext index and 84% of the STAR Market index [3][6][12]. 3.2 Market Performance - This week, the overall price - to - earnings ratios of the ChiNext, STAR Market, and North Exchange A - shares declined. The North Exchange A - shares' overall PE dropped from 52.17X to 50.92X. In terms of liquidity, the daily average trading volume of North Exchange A - shares this week was 257 billion yuan, a 17% decrease from last week. The daily average turnover rate of North Exchange A - shares dropped to 5.94%, a decrease of 1.1 percentage points from last week. The North - 50 Index fell 2.70% this week, and major indices such as the CSI 300, STAR - 50, and ChiNext also declined [26][27]. 3.3 New Stock Listings - From January 1, 2024, to August 1, 2025, 30 new companies were listed on the North Exchange. From July 28 to August 1, 2025, 1 new company, Dingjia Precision, was listed. From January 1, 2023, to August 1, 2025, the average issue price - to - earnings ratio of 107 listed companies was 16.20X, and the median was 15.86X. The average first - day increase was 111%, and the median was 51% [32][35]. 3.4 New Stock IPOs - From July 28 to August 1, 2025, 2 companies, Aomisen and Sanxie Electric, updated their review status to registration; 1 company, Yangtze River Energy Technology, updated its status to passing the listing committee meeting; 22 companies updated their status to being under inquiry. Next week, the North Exchange will review the IPO applications of 2 companies, Zhongcheng Consulting and Nante Technology [41].

Investment Rating - Investment rating: Positive (maintained) [4] Core Viewpoints - The approval of coal power and pumped storage remains at a high level, indicating a sustained demand for traditional power generation equipment [5][7] - In July 2025, China approved 5.3GW of new coal power installations, lower than the 12.7GW in 2023 and 6.7GW in 2024 for the same period. The cumulative approved capacity from January to July reached 35.9GW, which is lower than 53GW in 2023 but roughly equal to 36GW in 2024 [11][15] - The peak load issue in China is becoming more pronounced due to the faster growth of electricity consumption in the tertiary sector and among urban and rural residents compared to the secondary sector. As of July 16, 2025, the highest electricity load in China exceeded 1.5 billion kilowatts, an increase of 0.55 million kilowatts compared to 2024, with further increases likely [15][17] Summary by Sections Section 1: Coal Power and Pumped Storage - The approval intensity for coal power remains unexpectedly high, with a total of 90.5GW, 83GW, and 78GW approved from 2022 to 2024, respectively. The current approval strength in 2025 has not declined, supporting previous assessments that the sustainability of high-intensity coal power approvals may exceed market expectations [15][21] - The effective capacity of coal power units is determined by the nameplate capacity minus auxiliary power consumption, while the effective capacity of wind and solar power is significantly lower, at 7% and 1% of their installed capacity, respectively [18][19] - For 2030, it is estimated that a net increase of 340GW of coal power will be needed to ensure system reserve rates do not decline, given the expected peak load increase to 1.94 billion kilowatts [18][19] Section 2: Pumped Storage - From January to July 2025, China approved 18.9GW of pumped storage, lower than 26.6GW in 2023 but higher than 14.3GW in 2022 and 16GW in 2024, indicating a sustained high approval intensity [6][19] - The cumulative approved capacity for pumped storage from 2022 to the first half of 2025 reached 189GW, with an estimated total order value of approximately 150 billion yuan based on a value of 800 million yuan per GW for hydraulic turbines [19][21] - Key companies in the pumped storage sector include Harbin Electric and Dongfang Electric, with Harbin Electric's new water power orders in 2024 reaching 9.65 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 64% [19][21]