Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the electric equipment and new energy industry [1][2]. Core Insights - The report highlights the positive outlook for the new energy vehicle (NEV) sector, with a significant increase in production and sales, indicating a year-on-year growth of 41.4% and 40.3% respectively in the first half of 2025 [1]. - The introduction of solid-state batteries in vehicles, such as the MG4, marks a significant technological advancement, with expectations for increased demand for related materials and equipment [1]. - The photovoltaic (PV) sector is experiencing price increases, driven by government policies aimed at regulating competition and improving product quality, despite some weakness in terminal prices [1][2]. - The report projects an upward revision of domestic PV installation demand for 2025 to a range of 270-300 GW, reflecting a robust growth outlook [1][2]. Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The electric equipment and new energy sector saw a weekly increase of 3.03%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index, which rose by 1.67% [10][13]. - The nuclear power sector led the gains with a 3.98% increase, followed by power generation equipment and lithium battery indices [10][13]. Key Industry Information - The report notes a projected retail market for narrow passenger vehicles in July at approximately 1.85 million units, with NEV sales expected to reach 1.01 million units, achieving a penetration rate of about 54.6% [27]. - The National Energy Administration reported a total PV installation of 14.36 GW in June 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 38%, while the first half of 2025 saw a total installation of 212.21 GW, marking a 107% increase [27]. Company Updates - Companies such as Keda Li and Tongwei have announced significant profit forecasts and stock buyback plans, indicating positive financial health and management confidence [29]. - Notable corporate actions include shareholding adjustments and refinancing approvals, reflecting ongoing strategic maneuvers within the industry [29]. Price Observations - The report details price trends in the lithium battery and PV markets, with significant fluctuations noted in raw material costs, particularly silicon and battery components [14][15][24]. - The price of silicon materials has seen a notable increase, with dense silicon prices rising to approximately 50-52 RMB per kg, influenced by government policies and market dynamics [15][21]. Market Dynamics - The report emphasizes the importance of supply chain adjustments and regulatory measures in shaping market conditions, particularly in the PV sector, where price stability is being sought amid fluctuating demand [24][25]. - The ongoing adjustments in pricing strategies among manufacturers indicate a cautious yet optimistic approach to market recovery and growth [19][20].

金融工程| 证券研究报告 —周报 2025 年 7 月 27 日 中银量化大类资产跟踪 融资余额持续上行，小盘成长风格占优行情延 续 股票市场概览 ◼ 本周 A 股上涨，港股上涨，美股上涨，其他海外权益市场走势分化。 A 股风格与拥挤度 成长 vs 红利：成长风格拥挤度及超额净值持续处于历史低位；红利 风格拥挤度近期处于历史较低位置。 小盘 vs 大盘：大盘、小盘风格超额净值及拥挤度均处于历史低位。 微盘股 vs 基金重仓：近期微盘股拥挤度上升至历史较高位置；基金 重仓拥挤度及超额累计净值持续处于历史低位。 A 股行情及成交热度 汇率市场 ◼ 近一周在岸人民币较美元升值，离岸人民币较美元升值。 商品市场 ◼ 本周中国商品市场整体上涨，美国商品市场整体上涨。 ◼ 本周领涨的行业为煤炭、钢铁、有色金属；领跌的行业为银行、综合 金融、通信。本周成交热度最高的行业为建筑、钢铁、轻工制造；成 交热度最低的行业为电子、食品饮料、传媒。 A 股估值与股债性价比 A 股资金面 机构调研活跃度 ◼ 当前机构调研活跃度历史分位居前的行业为房地产、商贸零售、通 信，居后的行业为银行、医药、电子。 利率市场 ◼ 本周中国国债利率上涨 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a market price of RMB 76.10 and a sector rating of outperforming the market [2][4]. Core Insights - The company is leveraging its technological advantages to transition quartz fabric from "0 to 1," establishing a first-mover advantage in the emerging AI Infra market. The company is expanding into the electronic fabric sector, supported by its full industry chain capabilities and a strong commitment to core talent through stock incentives, reflecting confidence in future growth [4][9]. Financial Projections - The company is projected to achieve EPS of RMB 1.16, 1.65, and 2.45 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively. The total market capitalization is approximately RMB 39.74 billion, with corresponding PE ratios of 65.4, 46.0, and 31.1 for the same years [6][11]. - Revenue forecasts indicate a growth trajectory with expected revenues of RMB 2,318 million in 2025, RMB 3,366 million in 2026, and RMB 5,052 million in 2027, reflecting growth rates of 33.1%, 45.2%, and 50.1% respectively [8][10]. Market Position and Strategy - The company has a 60-year history in quartz technology, positioning itself as a leading supplier in aerospace and semiconductor sectors. It is one of the few manufacturers capable of mass-producing quartz fiber, which is critical for the electronic fabric market. The company is actively expanding its production capacity to capture opportunities in this blue ocean market [9][10]. - The stock incentive plan aims to bind 255 core technical and sales personnel, granting 1.6881 million shares at a price significantly below the market price, with performance targets based on net profit growth over the next three years [9][10].

Core Insights - The current industry allocation of the Bank of China multi-strategy system includes Computer (9.6%), Steel (9.2%), Non-ferrous Metals (7.8%), Consumer Services (7.2%), and Banking (6.8) among others, indicating a diversified investment approach across various sectors [1] - The average weekly return of the CITIC primary industries is 3.5%, with the best-performing sectors being Coal (10.5%), Steel (10.2%), and Non-ferrous Metals (9.6%), while the worst performers are Banking (-2.1%), Communication (-0.6%), and Comprehensive Finance (-0.1%) [3][11] - The composite strategy achieved a cumulative return of 3.4% this week, with an annual cumulative return of 16.4%, outperforming the CITIC primary industry equal-weight benchmark by 1.9% [3] - The highest weight strategy currently is the medium to long-term reversal strategy (S4) at 21.4%, while the lowest is the macro style rotation strategy (S3) at 8.0% [3] - Recent adjustments in positions indicate an increase in upstream cyclical sectors and a decrease in TMT sectors [3] Industry Performance Review - The top three industries in terms of weekly performance are Coal (10.5%), Steel (10.2%), and Non-ferrous Metals (9.6%), while the bottom three are Banking (-2.1%), Communication (-0.6%), and Comprehensive Finance (-0.1%) [11] - The average monthly return over the past month is 7.3%, indicating a positive trend across the industries [11] Valuation Risk Warning - The current PB valuation for the Retail, Automotive, Defense, and Media industries exceeds the 95th percentile of their historical valuations, triggering a high valuation warning [14][15] Strategy Performance - The S1 strategy focusing on high profitability industries shows a weekly excess return of -0.4%, while the S2 strategy tracking unverified sentiment has an excess return of 3.0% [3] - The S4 medium to long-term reversal strategy has the highest weight and has shown significant performance, indicating its effectiveness in the current market environment [3][16] Sector Rankings - The current top three sectors based on profitability expectations are Computer, Non-ferrous Metals, and Steel [17] - The S2 strategy ranks Mechanical, Computer, and Comprehensive as the top sectors based on implied sentiment [20] Macro Style Rotation - The macro style rotation strategy indicates a bullish outlook for Comprehensive Finance, Computer, Media, Defense, Electronics, and Comprehensive sectors based on current macro indicators [24][25]

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content Report's Core View - In June, the uncertainty of US trade policy continued to ease, and Sino-US economic and trade consultations made new progress. With the increasing expectation of the Fed's interest rate cut, the US dollar index continued to decline with an enlarged decline, the RMB bilateral exchange rate gradually appreciated, and the multilateral exchange rate continued to weaken. This helps enhance the competitiveness of China's export products, but attention should be paid to the international community's attention and even speculation on China's currency issues [2]. - Against the backdrop of the easing of Sino-US economic and trade conflicts in June, the net inflow of cross - border funds slowed down, mainly due to the small net outflow of securities investment and the expansion of the net outflow scale of income and current transfers. However, thanks to the strong resilience of China's foreign trade exports, the surplus of goods trade receipts and payments increased month - on - month, reaching a record high for the same period, and continued to play a stabilizing role in cross - border capital flows [2]. - In June, bank settlement and sales of foreign exchange showed a surplus for the fourth consecutive month, and the surplus scale expanded month by month. In May and June, the market's on - the - spot settlement willingness and purchase motivation both decreased, and the purchase motivation was relatively stable, indicating that the market's expectation of the RMB exchange rate continued to diverge, and the demand for foreign exchange purchase at low prices was relatively strong [2]. Summary According to Related Catalogs 1. Exchange Rate Situation - In June, the US trade policy uncertainty continued to ease, and Sino - US economic and trade consultations achieved new progress. After the leaders' phone call on June 5, the first meeting of the Sino - US economic and trade consultation mechanism was held in London from June 9 - 10, reaching a principled framework, and on June 27, the details of the framework were further confirmed [3]. - In June, the US dollar index continued to decline since February, dropping to 96.8 at the end of the month, a new low since March 2022. The monthly decline expanded from 0.2% last month to 2.7%, with a cumulative decline of 2.0% in late June. The expectation of the Fed's interest rate cut increased. The market expected the probability of three interest rate cuts by the Fed within the year to exceed 50% [4]. - In June, the RMB exchange rate continued to appreciate slowly. The appreciation of the central parity rate expanded from 0.2% last month to 0.4%, while the appreciation of on - shore and off - shore spot exchange rates narrowed from 0.9% last month to 0.4% and 0.7% respectively. The divergence of the "three prices" of the RMB exchange rate continued to converge [4]. - The three major RMB exchange rate indices all declined. The CFETS RMB exchange rate index and the RMB exchange rate index referring to the BIS currency basket fell for the sixth consecutive month, with the month - on - month decline expanding from 0.2% and 0.5% last month to 0.6% and 0.9% respectively; the RMB exchange rate index referring to the SDR currency basket turned from rising to falling, with a month - on - month decline of 0.9% [5]. 2. Cross - border Capital Flows - In June, the surplus of banks' foreign - related receipts and payments on behalf of customers continued for the fifth consecutive month, but the surplus scale decreased by $7.7 billion month - on - month to $25.3 billion. The RMB foreign - related receipts and payments on behalf of customers turned from a surplus of $2.6 billion last month to a deficit of $21.6 billion, contributing 316% to the narrowing of the surplus. The foreign - currency foreign - related receipts and payments on behalf of customers continued to have a surplus, increasing by $16.6 billion month - on - month to $47 billion, a new high since October last year [10]. - In June, securities investment foreign - related receipts and payments turned from a surplus of $5.2 billion last month to a deficit of $5.6 billion. Overseas institutions continued to reduce their holdings of RMB bonds, with the balance of bonds held decreasing by 116.1 billion yuan, an increase of 19.8 billion yuan from last month. However, foreign investors' willingness to increase their holdings of domestic stocks increased. In the first half of the year, foreign investors net - increased their holdings of domestic stocks and funds by $10.1 billion, and the net - increase scale in May and June reached $18.8 billion [11][12]. - In June, the deficit of income and current transfers expanded for the fourth consecutive month to $26.9 billion. The surplus of goods trade foreign - related receipts and payments increased by $7.6 billion month - on - month to $66.8 billion, reaching a record high for the same period. The deficit of service trade narrowed for the fifth consecutive month to $8.1 billion, the lowest since July 2023. The deficit of direct investment narrowed for the second consecutive month to $2.7 billion, the lowest since November last year [12]. 3. Bank Settlement and Sales of Foreign Exchange - In June, bank settlement and sales of foreign exchange (including forward and options) showed a surplus for the fourth consecutive month, and the surplus scale increased by $6.7 billion month - on - month to $32.1 billion. The surplus of bank settlement and sales of foreign exchange on behalf of customers increased by $8.3 billion to $25.6 billion, the deficit of banks' own settlement and sales of foreign exchange narrowed for the second consecutive month, and the net purchase scale of forward and options foreign exchange derivatives continued to decline [20]. - From May to June, the surplus of banks' foreign - currency foreign - related receipts and payments on behalf of customers and the surplus of bank settlement and sales of foreign exchange on behalf of customers continued to expand, and the gap between them widened. The market's overall settlement willingness and purchase motivation both decreased, indicating that the market's expectation of the RMB exchange rate continued to diverge, and the demand for foreign exchange purchase at low prices was relatively strong [21]. - In June, the settlement willingness of foreign trade enterprises and the household sector increased, and the purchase motivation decreased. The forward settlement hedging ratio ended its five - month upward trend, and the forward purchase hedging ratio stopped falling and rebounded, indicating that relevant market players' exchange rate expectations were biased towards depreciation [25].

Group 1 - The overall activity level of the A-share merger and acquisition market in China has slightly decreased, characterized by high frequency, diverse participants, and broad fields [1][2] - A total of 66 disclosed merger and acquisition events were recorded, with a cumulative transaction amount of 523.44 billion RMB, showing a significant increase in transaction value despite a decrease in the number of major events [1][2] - Key sectors such as machinery, basic chemicals, electronic equipment, instruments and components, electrical equipment, and automotive parts are experiencing high activity levels, becoming the main drivers of mergers and acquisitions [1][2] Group 2 - Private enterprises and local state-owned enterprises are actively engaging in horizontal integration and strategic cooperation, indicating diverse motivations for mergers and acquisitions [1][2] - Although the number of mergers and acquisitions has decreased, structural reorganizations are on the rise due to optimized regulatory policies, suggesting potential for further industry integration and value reconstruction supported by economic recovery and policy encouragement [1][2] - The report anticipates that the A-share merger and acquisition market will maintain a high-frequency operational trend in the future, driven by both policy and proactive corporate adjustments [2] Group 3 - 38 listed companies have suspended trading to plan or announce restructuring proposals, with an average bi-weekly stock price fluctuation of 5.19%, and 16 companies have made significant progress post-announcement, with an average fluctuation of 4.29% [2] - The report highlights that the restructuring index has shown a bi-weekly fluctuation of 4.29%, indicating ongoing investor interest in merger and acquisition activities [2][3] Group 4 - The report includes detailed tables of companies that have announced restructuring plans, including their stock codes, names, industries, company attributes, restructuring events, and purposes, showcasing a variety of strategic intents across different sectors [3][4][5] - Notable companies such as China Shipbuilding and China Heavy Industry are involved in significant mergers, with strategic cooperation as a common goal [8][9]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Outperform" rating to the nuclear fusion industry [1] Core Insights - China's nuclear fusion technology has developed over 60 years, establishing a theoretical and engineering foundation for next-generation energy [1] - The report highlights significant advancements in nuclear fusion technology, with many countries accelerating their development strategies, particularly in the U.S. with Tokamak and linear devices [3] - The investment in China's nuclear fusion sector is expected to be sustainable, benefiting the related industrial chain [1][3] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The nuclear fusion industry is transitioning from a "0 to 1" phase, with key components such as magnets, power supplies, and vacuum switches presenting investment opportunities [3][29] - The report emphasizes the importance of the ITER project in enhancing China's theoretical knowledge and equipment manufacturing capabilities [3][21] Technological Advancements - Breakthroughs in key technologies, including superconducting magnets and tritium processing, have resolved engineering obstacles in nuclear fusion devices [3][21] - The report notes that the U.S. aims to demonstrate nuclear fusion by 2030 and commercialize it by 2040, while China is expected to see significant project launches in the next 2-3 years [3][29] Policy and Government Support - The Chinese government has identified nuclear fusion as a key focus for future energy development, with various local governments actively supporting foundational research and equipment manufacturing [3][31] - The report outlines that the 14th Five-Year Plan emphasizes the importance of nuclear fusion, hydrogen energy, and biomass as future energy sources [3][29] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies involved in core components of the nuclear fusion industry, such as Western Superconducting, Lianchuang Optoelectronics, and Antai Technology [3][29] - It suggests that the nuclear fusion sector is poised for accelerated investment during the 14th Five-Year Plan period [3][29]

Economic Data Comparison - The core economic indicator for both China and the U.S. is GDP, with different statistical methods: China primarily uses the production approach, while the U.S. relies on the expenditure approach[1] - China's GDP data is mainly sourced from the National Bureau of Statistics, while the U.S. data comes from multiple agencies, including the Department of Commerce and the Bureau of Labor Statistics[2] Statistical System Differences - China's statistical system is centralized, with a unified leadership structure, while the U.S. employs a decentralized system involving over 70 federal agencies[3] - In the U.S., the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) is responsible for GDP calculations, which include comprehensive data, direct indicators, and trend-based data[4] GDP Calculation Methods - China's quarterly GDP is often estimated using related indicators, while annual GDP is calculated using production or income methods[5] - The U.S. GDP is published quarterly, with initial estimates released 30 days after the quarter ends, followed by two revisions[6] Monthly Economic Data - The U.S. releases key economic data monthly, including employment figures and consumer spending, while China’s data is more production-oriented[7] - Important monthly indicators in the U.S. include PMI, manufacturing orders, and trade data, which are released at different times throughout the month[8] Data Source and Reliability - China's GDP data relies heavily on statistical surveys and administrative records, while the U.S. incorporates a mix of official and non-official data sources, including private sector reports[9] - The differences in data collection methods lead to variations in the interpretation and application of economic indicators between the two countries[10]

Key Points - The report highlights a selection of stocks for July, including companies such as Binjiang Group (002244.SZ) and SF Holding (002352.SZ) as part of the recommended investment portfolio [1] - The establishment of China Fusion Energy Co., Ltd. marks a significant step in the commercialization of fusion energy in China, with a capital increase of 11.5 billion yuan from seven state-owned enterprises [2][7][9] - The fusion company aims to develop fusion energy through a phased approach, focusing on magnetic confinement Tokamak technology, with the goal of achieving commercial application [8][10] - The report discusses the acquisition plan by GoerTek to purchase 100% equity of Mega Precision Technology Limited and Channel Well Industrial Limited for approximately 9.5 billion yuan, which is expected to enhance the company's performance [3][12][13] - The report emphasizes the strong competitive position of the target companies in the precision metal components sector, which is crucial for high-tech industries [14]

Core Insights - H20's resumption of sales to China is expected to alleviate supply pressure on computing chips, stimulating the entire computing infrastructure and AI industry chain [2][3] - Since the rebound on April 9, overseas computing has seen a significant increase of 40.9%, while domestic computing, represented by Huawei's chain, has only increased by 21.1% [3][4] - The performance of domestic computing has improved, and H20's impact on domestic computing is limited, indicating that domestic computing still has long-term growth potential [5] Industry Overview - The computing power industry chain has been catalyzed by H20's return to the Chinese market, which is designed to comply with U.S. export restrictions and is specifically tailored for the Chinese market [3][5] - The domestic computing power industry is entering a growth cycle, supported by technological advancements, commercial applications, and increasing demand for AI models [4] - Key companies in the domestic computing power sector, such as Huawei, have demonstrated significant performance improvements, with Huawei's computing cluster outperforming NVIDIA's GB200 NVL72 [4][5] Investment Opportunities - The report suggests focusing on specific segments within the computing infrastructure industry, including servers, liquid cooling, copper connections, PCBs, optical communications, cloud computing, and domestic computing [5] - The IPO acceptance of domestic GPU manufacturers like Muxi Integration and Moore Threads fills the gap in the A-share market for full-function GPUs, further supporting the domestic computing ecosystem [4]