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广发期货《有色》日报-20250422
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-04-22 05:12
Report Industry Investment Ratings No relevant information provided. Core Views Tin - Supply side is gradually recovering, with smelter processing fees at a low level, and the supply pressure of tin ore has been alleviated to some extent. However, the US tariff still has room for fermentation. - Demand side has great uncertainty, although the solder开工率 has improved under the boost of domestic policies, mainly concentrated in leading enterprises, and the order improvement of small and medium - sized enterprises is limited. - It is expected that the tin price will fluctuate weakly, and it is recommended to hold short positions at high levels and take a short - selling approach on rebounds. Follow up on the production dynamics of tin mines in Myanmar [1]. Nickel - Macro - level: The impact of US tariff policies has been gradually digested, but policy uncertainty still exists. - Industry - level: The spot price of refined nickel has declined slightly, and the spot premium of various brands has mostly remained stable. The new policy on the royalty of nickel products in Indonesia is about to be implemented, which may increase the comprehensive cost of nickel mines. - Nickel iron prices are under pressure, and the profit of the nickel sulfate industry needs to be repaired. - Overall, the short - term macro situation is stable, but there is still uncertainty. The cost provides support at the bottom, but the medium - term supply is loose, so it is expected that the futures price will fluctuate and adjust, with the main contract running between 122,000 - 128,000 [2]. Stainless Steel - Macro: The impact of US tariff policies has been digested, but there is still uncertainty. - Industry: The price of nickel ore is relatively firm, but the price of nickel iron has declined. The supply is relatively loose in the short term, domestic demand has certain resilience but recovers slowly, and export demand is blocked. - Inventory pressure has been slightly relieved. It is expected that the futures price will fluctuate weakly, with the main contract running between 12,600 - 13,000 [4]. Lithium Carbonate - The market has basically digested the previous macro - sentiment, and the fundamentals lack positive factors. - The supply pressure is obvious, although the supply increase in April is expected to slow down marginally. - Demand is generally stable, but there is a risk of a decline in energy - storage export orders due to tariff policies. - Inventory is relatively high, and the pressure may increase with the rapid registration of warehouse receipts. It is expected that the futures price will fluctuate weakly, with the main contract running between 68,000 - 72,000 [6]. Zinc - Supply side: The trend of a loose ore end remains unchanged. Pay attention to the increase in TC and the expansion speed of refined zinc production. If the TC growth rate exceeds the theoretical expectation, it indicates that the looseness of the ore end is smoothly transmitted to the refined zinc end, and the overall industrial chain supply will be loose. - Demand side: After the peak season, orders and the start - up rate have weakened, and downstream enterprises mainly maintain rigid procurement, with general spot trading performance. - In the context of the US equivalent tariff policy, the demand side faces certain pressure. In a pessimistic scenario, the zinc price may decline; in an optimistic scenario, the zinc price may maintain a high - level shock. It is recommended to take a short - selling approach for medium - to - long - term layout, and focus on the growth rate of zinc ore production and the rhythm of tariff policies, with the main contract paying attention to the support level of 20,500 - 21,500 [9]. Alumina - Supply side: The operating capacity of alumina remains at a high level, but the situation of production cuts due to losses has increased recently. Coupled with the potential supply risk of the Guinea ore end, there is support for the short - term price decline. - Demand side: The domestic electrolytic aluminum capacity operates at a high level, the overall demand is stable with limited growth, the export window of domestic alumina is closed, and export demand has decreased. - Overall, short - term production cuts provide short - term support for the price, but the price is close to the cost. Pay attention to the dynamic changes in cost and the supply - side changes, and it is expected to fluctuate in the short term [11]. Aluminum - Supply side: The electrolytic aluminum capacity operates stably, and the复产 capacity in the Sichuan - Chongqing area has fully resumed production with limited subsequent growth. - Demand side: The start - up rate of downstream processing enterprises has returned to normal, and industries such as automobiles and home appliances maintain a seasonally prosperous level under the boost of domestic demand policies, but the peak season is coming to an end, and there is an expectation of marginal weakening in demand. - Inventory: Both LME and domestic social inventories are decreasing, and the low inventory provides support for the price. - Overall, the short - term fundamentals of Shanghai aluminum are good, but the tariff policy game suppresses the demand expectation and intensifies price fluctuations. It is expected that the aluminum price will fluctuate in the short term, with the main contract running between 19,000 - 21,000 [11]. Copper - Macro: The equivalent tariff is the core variable for asset pricing. Pay attention to the progress of tariff negotiations. The US "232" investigation on copper provides certain support for copper prices before a clear result is announced. - Fundamentals: The demand side is strong, with high copper rod start - up rates and inventory reduction. However, after the implementation of the US tariff policy, there is an expectation of weakening demand. - Overall, the copper market presents a combination of "strong reality + weak expectation". The strong fundamentals limit the decline of copper prices, while the weak demand expectation restricts the upward space. It is expected that the price will fluctuate in the short term, with the main contract paying attention to the pressure level of 76,000 - 77,000 [12]. Summaries by Relevant Catalogs Tin Price and Basis - SMM 1 tin price increased by 1,01% to 259,700 yuan/ton; SMM 1 tin premium decreased by 13.04% to 1,000 yuan/ton. - The import loss decreased by 13.38% to - 7,068.36 yuan/ton, and the Shanghai - London ratio was 8.27 [1]. Month - to - Month Spread - The spreads between 2505 - 2506, 2506 - 2507, 2507 - 2508, and 2508 - 2509 contracts changed by 600.00%, 340.00%, 18.18%, and - 29.63% respectively [1]. Fundamental Data - In March, the import of tin ore decreased by 4.83% to 8,323 tons, the production of refined tin increased by 7.33% to 15,080 tons, the import volume of refined tin increased by 12.41% to 2,101 tons, and the export volume decreased by 29.50% to 1,673 tons. - The average start - up rate of SMM refined tin in March was 62.60%, an increase of 7.38% [1]. Inventory - SHEF inventory decreased by 7.77% to 9,571 tons, social inventory decreased by 10.09% to 10,485 tons, SHEF warehouse receipts decreased by 0.30% to 9,183 tons, and LME inventory increased by 0.18% to 2,850 tons [1]. Nickel Price and Basis - The price of SMM 1 electrolytic nickel decreased by 0.31% to 126,900 yuan/ton, and the premium of 1 Jinchuan nickel increased by 4.26% to 2,450 yuan/ton. - The import loss of refined nickel decreased by 1.78% to - 3,469 yuan/ton, and the Shanghai - London ratio was 8.01 [2]. Cost of Electrolytic Nickel Production - The cost of producing electrolytic nickel from integrated MHP and high - grade nickel matte increased by 1.85% and 2.47% respectively, while the cost of producing from externally - purchased raw materials mostly decreased slightly [2]. New Energy Material Prices - The average price of battery - grade lithium carbonate decreased by 0.84% to 70,850 yuan/ton, and the average price of battery - grade nickel sulfate remained unchanged at 28,050 yuan/ton [2]. Month - to - Month Spread - The spreads between 2506 - 2507, 2507 - 2508, and 2508 - 2509 contracts changed by - 120 yuan/ton, + 130 yuan/ton, and - 180 yuan/ton respectively [2]. Supply, Demand, and Inventory - China's refined nickel production decreased by 5.69% to 28,320 tons, and the import volume increased by 99.27% to 18,897 tons. - SHFE inventory decreased by 8.00% to 30,594 tons, social inventory decreased by 5.87% to 43,308 tons, and LME inventory increased by 0.96% to 204,528 tons [2]. Stainless Steel Price and Basis - The price of 304/2B stainless steel coils in Wuxi and Foshan remained stable or decreased slightly, and the spot - futures spread decreased by 1.85% to 530 yuan/ton [4]. Raw Material Prices - The average price of Philippine laterite nickel ore remained unchanged at 61 US dollars/wet ton, and the price of 8 - 12% high - grade nickel pig iron decreased by 0.15% to 984 yuan/nickel point [4]. Month - to - Month Spread - The spreads between 2506 - 2507, 2507 - 2508, and 2508 - 2509 contracts changed by + 5 yuan/ton, + 5 yuan/ton, and - 5 yuan/ton respectively [4]. Fundamental Data - China's 300 - series stainless steel crude steel production increased by 11.37% to 344.01 million tons, and Indonesia's production decreased by 6.67% to 42.00 million tons. - Stainless steel imports decreased by 19.45% to 12.89 million tons, and exports increased by 70.98% to 47.06 million tons [4]. Inventory - The social inventory of 300 - series stainless steel decreased by 1.33% to 55.83 million tons, and SHFE warehouse receipts decreased by 1.87% to 17.65 million tons [4]. Lithium Carbonate Price and Basis - The average price of SMM battery - grade lithium carbonate decreased by 0.84% to 70,850 yuan/ton, and the basis increased by 346.67% to 670 yuan/ton [6]. Month - to - Month Spread - The spreads between 2505 - 2506, 2506 - 2507, and 2505 - 2512 contracts changed by 0 yuan/ton, - 80 yuan/ton, and - 220 yuan/ton respectively [6]. Fundamental Data - In March, lithium carbonate production increased by 23.44% to 79,065 tons, demand increased by 15.07% to 87,002 tons, imports in February increased by 47.03% to 18,125 tons, and exports decreased by 47.25% to 220 tons. - In April, the production capacity increased by 1.52% to 133,522 tons, and the start - up rate increased by 20.00% to 54% [6]. Inventory - In March, the total lithium carbonate inventory increased by 16.79% to 90,070 tons, downstream inventory increased by 27.94% to 39,293 tons, and smelter inventory increased by 9.40% to 50,777 tons [6]. Zinc Price and Basis - SMM 0 zinc ingot price increased by 0.49% to 22,540 yuan/ton, and the premium decreased by 20 yuan/ton to 150 yuan/ton. - The import loss decreased by 86 yuan/ton to - 173 yuan/ton, and the Shanghai - London ratio was 8.57 [9]. Month - to - Month Spread - The spreads between 2505 - 2506, 2506 - 2507, 2507 - 2508, and 2508 - 2509 contracts changed by - 30 yuan/ton, + 20 yuan/ton, + 10 yuan/ton, and 0 yuan/ton respectively [9]. Fundamental Data - In March, refined zinc production increased by 13.70% to 54.69 million tons, imports decreased by 15.27% to 3.37 million tons, and exports decreased by 91.04% to 0.04 million tons. - The start - up rates of galvanizing, die - cast zinc alloy, and zinc oxide were 64.34%, 58.39%, and 60.79% respectively. - China's seven - region social inventory of zinc ingots decreased by 11.93% to 9.30 million tons, and LME inventory increased by 2.52% to 19.5 million tons [9]. Alumina and Aluminum Price and Spread - The price of SMM A00 aluminum increased by 0.40% to 19,910 yuan/ton, and the premium increased by 10 yuan/ton to 60 yuan/ton. - The average price of alumina in Shandong remained unchanged at 2,840 yuan/ton, while the price in Shanxi increased by 0.35% to 2,880 yuan/ton. - The import loss of aluminum decreased by 25.6 yuan/ton to - 1,059 yuan/ton, and the Shanghai - London ratio was 8.30. - The spreads between 2505 - 2506, 2506 - 2507, 2507 - 2508, and 2508 - 2509 contracts changed by - 10 yuan/ton, - 5 yuan/ton, + 5 yuan/ton, and + 10 yuan/ton respectively [11]. Fundamental Data - In March, alumina production increased by 8.85% to 754.90 million tons, and electrolytic aluminum production increased by 11.22% to 371.42 million tons. - The start - up rates of aluminum profiles, aluminum cables, aluminum plates, and strips were 58.50%, 63.60%, 68.00%, and 73.00% respectively [11]. Inventory - China's electrolytic aluminum social inventory decreased by 7.04% to 67.30 million tons, and LME inventory decreased by 0.65% to 43.4 million tons [11]. Copper Price and Basis - SMM 1 electrolytic copper price increased by 0.31% to 76,550 yuan/ton, and the premium increased by 45 yuan/ton to 175 yuan/ton. - The refined - scrap copper price difference increased by 50.76% to 1,273 yuan/ton, and the import loss increased by 118.72 yuan/ton to - 206 yuan/ton. The Shanghai - London ratio was 8.34 [12]. Month - to - Month Spread - The spreads between 2505 - 2506, 2506 - 2507, and 2507 - 2508 contracts increased by 50 yuan/ton, 30 yuan/ton, and 90 yuan/ton respectively [12]. Fundamental Data - In March, electrolytic copper production increased by 6.04% to 112.21 million tons, and imports increased by 15.24% to 30.88 million tons. - The start - up rate of electrolytic copper rod production increased by 3.31% to 78.07%, and the start - up rate of recycled copper rod production decreased by 1.06% to 29.82%. - Domestic social inventory decreased by 21.56% to 19.65 million tons, and SHFE inventory decreased by 6.19% to 17.16 million tons [12
广发期货《金融》日报-20250422
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-04-22 05:11
| 股指期货价差日报 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1292号 | | | | | | 叶倩宁 Z0016628 2025年4月22日 | | | | | | 价左 品种 较前一日变化 历史1年分位数 全历史分位数 | 最新僧 | | | | | F期现价差 | -51.68 | 12.04 | 4.50% | 4.50% | | H期现价差 期现价差 | -21.41 | 2.83 | 10.20% | 7.30% | | IC期现价差 | -142.58 | 18.14 | 0.80% | 0.50% | | IM期现价差 | -182.64 | 7.05 | 70.00% | 2.60% | | 次月-当月 | -26.40 | 1.00 | 11.40% | 15.20% | | 李月-崇月 | -83.40 | -27.80 | 0.40% | 10.20% | | 远月-当月 | -99.60 | 10.60 | 2.80% | 18.20% | | F跨期价差 李月-次月 | -57.00 | -28 ...
《能源化工》日报-20250422
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-04-22 03:28
投资咨询业务资格:证监许可 【2011】1292号 | 下游聚酯产品价格及现金流 | 上游价格 | 品种 | 4月21日 | 涨跌 | 单位 | 品种 | 涨跌 | 单位 | 4月18日 | 旅跌幅 | 4月21日 | 4月18日 | 涨跌幅 | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | -2.5% | POY150/48价格 | 67.96 | -1.70 | - R | 布伦特原油(6月) | 66.26 | 6295 | 6310 | -0.2% | 美元/桶 | -2.5% | -25 | -1.60 | FDY150/96价格 | -0.4% | WTI原油(5月) | 63.08 | 64.68 | 6510 | 6535 | | | 5 | 0.9% | DTY150/48价格 | -35 | CFR日本石脑油 | 568 | 7615 ...
《特殊商品》日报-20250422
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-04-22 03:23
| 玻璃纯碱期现日报 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可 [2011] 1292号 2025年4月22日 | | | | 蒋诗语 | Z00170002 | | 玻璃相关价格及价差 | | | | | | | 品种 | 现值 | 削值 | 涨跌 | 张跌幅 | 单位 | | 华北报价 | 1260 | 1260 | 0 | 0.00% | | | 华东报价 | 1370 | 1370 | 0 | 0.00% | | | 华中报价 | 1180 | 1180 | 0 | 0.00% | | | 华南报价 | 1330 | 1330 | 0 | 0.00% | 元/四 | | 玻璃2505 | 1061 | 1084 | -23 | -2.12% | | | 玻璃2509 | 1130 | 1122 | 8 | 0.71% | | | 05基差 | 199 | 176 | 23 | 13.07% | | | 纯碱相关价格及价差 | | | | | | | 品种 | 现值 | 即值 | 涨跌 | 张跌幅 | 单位 | | ...
《农产品》日报-20250422
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-04-22 03:23
| 粕类产业期现日报 | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可 【2011】1292号 | | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 朱迪 | Z0015979 | 2025年4月22日 | | | | | | | | | | | 豆粕 | 现值 | 涨跌幅 | 前值 | 涨跌 | | | | | | | | | 3220 | 230 | 现价 | 3450 | 7.14% | 江苏豆粕 | 期价 | M2509 | 3045 | 3021 | 24 | 0.79% | | 墓差 | M2509 | 199 | 206 | 103.52% | 405 | 现货基差报价 | 广东现货墓差 | m2505+420 | m2505+250 | - | - | | 盘面进口榨利 | 美湾5月船期 | - | - | - | - | 223 | 盘面讲口榨利 | 巴西6月船期 | 205 | 8.8% | 18 | | 仓单 | 10600 | 10600 | 0 | 0.0% | ...
广发期货原木期货日报-20250422
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-04-22 03:21
原木期货日报 证监许可 【2011】1292号 2025年4月22日 曹剑兰 Z0019556 | 期货和现货价格 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 品种 | 4月21日 | 4月20日 | 张跌 | 涨跌幅 | 单位 | | 原木2507 | 811.5 | 822.0 | -10.5 | -1.28% | | | 原木2509 | 825.5 | 836.5 | -11.0 | -1.32% | | | 原木2511 | 832.5 | 840.0 | -7.5 | -0.89% | | | 7-9价差 | -14.0 | -14.5 | 0.5 | | | | 9-11价差 | -7.0 | -3.5 | -3.5 | | | | 7-11价差 | -21.0 | -18.0 | -3.0 | | | | 07合约基差 | -21.5 | -32.0 | 10.5 | | | | 09合约基差 | -35.5 | -46.5 | 11.0 | | | | 11合约基差 | -42.5 | -50.0 | 7.5 | | 元/立方米 | ...
广发早知道:汇总版-20250422
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-04-22 02:51
广发早知道-汇总版 投资咨询业务资格: 广发期货研究所 电 话:020-88830760 E-Mail:zhaoliang@gf.com.cn 目录: 金融衍生品: 金融期货: 股指期货、国债期货 贵金属: 黄金、白银 集运指数 商品期货: 有色金属: 铜、锌、镍、不锈钢、锡、碳酸锂 黑色金属: 钢材、铁矿石、焦煤、焦炭、铁合金 农产品: 油脂、粕类、玉米、生猪、白糖、棉花、鸡蛋、花生、红枣、苹果 能源化工: 原油、PTA、乙二醇、苯乙烯、短纤、尿素、瓶片、烧碱、PVC、LLDPE、 PP 特殊商品: 橡胶、玻璃纯碱、工业硅、多晶硅 2025 年 4 月 22 日星期二 证监许可【2011】1292 号 组长联系信息: 【市场情况】 张晓珍(投资咨询资格:Z0003135) 电话:020- 88818009 邮箱:zhangxiaozhen@gf.com.cn 刘珂(投资咨询资格:Z0016336) 电话:020-88818026 邮箱:qhliuke@gf.com.cn 叶倩宁(投资咨询资格:Z0016628) 电话:020- 88818017 邮箱:yeqianning@gf.com.cn 周敏波(投资咨 ...
广发期货全品种价差日报-20250422
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-04-22 02:04
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - There is no information about the industry investment rating in the provided content. 2. Core View of the Report - The report presents the spot prices, historical quantiles, basis, basis rates, and futures prices of various commodities and financial instruments on April 22, 2025, including ferrous metals, non - ferrous metals, precious metals, agricultural products, energy and chemical products, and stock index futures and bond futures [1]. 3. Summary by Categories Ferrous Metals - **Silicon Iron (SF506)**: Spot price is 5978, historical quantile is 87.50%, basis is 252, basis rate is 4.40%, and futures price is 5726 [1]. - **Silicon Manganese (SM509)**: Spot price is 6000, historical quantile is 39.40%, basis is 80, basis rate is 1.35%, and futures price is 5920 [1]. - **Rebar (RB2510)**: Spot price is 3180, historical quantile is 41.70%, basis is 67, basis rate is 2.15%, and futures price is 3113 [1]. - **Hot - Rolled Coil (HC2510)**: Spot price is 3260, historical quantile is 40.90%, basis is 51, basis rate is 1.59%, and futures price is 3209 [1]. - **Iron Ore (I2509)**: Spot price is 800, historical quantile is 62.10%, basis is 84, basis rate is 11.77%, and futures price is 716 [1]. - **Coke (J2509)**: Spot price is 1574, historical quantile is 24.29%, basis is - 43, basis rate is - 2.76%, and futures price is 1531 [1]. - **Coking Coal (JM2509)**: Spot price is 1058, historical quantile is 57.20%, basis is 101, basis rate is 10.61%, and futures price is 957 [1]. Non - Ferrous Metals - **Copper (CU2506)**: Spot price is 76550, historical quantile is 5.41%, basis is - 740, basis rate is - 0.96%, and futures price is 77290 [1]. - **Aluminum (AL2506)**: Spot price is 19910, historical quantile is 62.70%, basis is 40, basis rate is 0.20%, and futures price is 19870 [1]. - **Alumina (AO2509)**: Spot price is 2880, historical quantile is 48.87%, basis is 57, basis rate is 2.01%, and futures price is 2823 [1]. - **Zinc (ZN2506)**: Spot price is 22470, historical quantile is 56.25%, basis is 75, basis rate is 0.33%, and futures price is 22395 [1]. - **Tin (SN2505)**: Spot price is 259700, historical quantile is 4.79%, basis is - 3440, basis rate is - 1.31%, and futures price is 263140 [1]. - **Stainless Steel (SS2506)**: Spot price is 13320, historical quantile is 91.64%, basis is 530, basis rate is 4.14%, and futures price is 12790 [1]. - **Industrial Silicon (SI2505)**: Spot price is 10100, historical quantile is 51.15%, basis is 645, basis rate is 6.82%, and futures price is 9455 [1]. - **Lithium Carbonate (LC2507)**: Spot price is 70850, historical quantile is 67.45%, basis is 1850, basis rate is 2.68%, and futures price is 69000 [1]. Precious Metals - **Gold (AU2506)**: Spot price is 805.1, historical quantile is 63.80%, basis is - 1.2, basis rate is - 0.15%, and futures price is 803.9 [1]. - **Silver (AG2506)**: Spot price is 8227.0, historical quantile is 35.20%, basis is - 20.0, basis rate is - 0.24%, and futures price is 8247.0 [1]. Agricultural Products - **Soybean Meal (M2509)**: Spot price is 395.0, historical quantile is 65.10%, basis is 50.5, basis rate is 12.97%, and futures price is 344.5 [1]. - **Soybean Oil (Y2509)**: Spot price is 8070, historical quantile is 42.90%, basis is 348.0, basis rate is 4.51%, and futures price is 7722.0 [1]. - **Palm Oil (P2509)**: Spot price is 8890, historical quantile is 80.70%, basis is 822.0, basis rate is 10.19%, and futures price is 8068.0 [1]. - **Rapeseed Meal (RM509)**: Spot price is 2470, historical quantile is 5.00%, basis is - 161.0, basis rate is - 6.12%, and futures price is 2631.0 [1]. - **Rapeseed Oil (OI509)**: Spot price is 9280.0, historical quantile is 26.60%, basis is 60.0, basis rate is 0.65%, and futures price is 9340 [1]. - **Corn (C2507)**: Spot price is 2220, historical quantile is 11.90%, basis is - 82.0, basis rate is - 3.56%, and futures price is 2302.0 [1]. - **Corn Starch (CS2507)**: Spot price is 2630, historical quantile is 7.20%, basis is - 22.0, basis rate is - 0.83%, and futures price is 2652.0 [1]. - **Live Hogs (LH2509)**: Spot price is 14900, historical quantile is 54.80%, basis is 345.0, basis rate is 2.37%, and futures price is 14555.0 [1]. - **Eggs (JD2506)**: Spot price is 423.0, historical quantile is 58.70%, basis is 13.88%, and futures price is 3470 [1]. - **Cotton (CF509)**: Spot price is 14072, historical quantile is 81.10%, basis is 9.00%, and futures price is 12910.0 [1]. - **Sugar (SR509)**: Spot price is 6240, historical quantile is 57.90%, basis is 235.0, basis rate is 3.91%, and futures price is 6005.0 [1]. - **Apples (AP510)**: Spot price is 7922.0, historical quantile is 6.80%, basis is - 322.0, basis rate is - 4.06%, and futures price is 7600 [1]. - **Red Dates (CJ509)**: Spot price is 8300, historical quantile is 55.30%, basis is - 1140.0, basis rate is - 12.08%, and futures price is 9440.0 [1]. Energy and Chemical Products - **Para - Xylene (PX509)**: Spot price is 6110.0, historical quantile is 64.00%, basis is 106.1, basis rate is 1.74%, and futures price is 6216.1 [1]. - **PTA (TA509)**: Spot price is 4350.0, historical quantile is 51.10%, basis is 0.0, basis rate is 0.00%, and futures price is 4350.0 [1]. - **Ethylene Glycol (EG2505)**: Spot price is 4205.0, historical quantile is 53.30%, basis is - 25.0, basis rate is - 0.59%, and futures price is 4180.0 [1]. - **Polyester Staple Fiber (PF506)**: Spot price is 6010.0, historical quantile is 89.40%, basis is 270.0, basis rate is 4.49%, and futures price is 6280.0 [1]. - **Styrene (EB2506)**: Spot price is 7525.0, historical quantile is 67.10%, basis is 210.0, basis rate is 2.87%, and futures price is 7315.0 [1]. - **Methanol (MA509)**: Spot price is 2275.0, historical quantile is 88.70%, basis is 135.0, basis rate is 5.93%, and futures price is 2410.0 [1]. - **Urea (UR509)**: Spot price is 1760.0, historical quantile is 38.30%, basis is 90.0, basis rate is 5.11%, and futures price is 1850.0 [1]. - **LLDPE (L2509)**: Spot price is 7500.0, historical quantile is 88.50%, basis is 317.0, basis rate is 4.41%, and futures price is 7183.0 [1]. - **PP (PP2509)**: Spot price is 7315.0, historical quantile is 71.50%, basis is 203.0, basis rate is 2.85%, and futures price is 7112.0 [1]. - **PVC (V2509)**: Spot price is 5045.0, historical quantile is 24.00%, basis is - 225.0, basis rate is - 4.46%, and futures price is 4820.0 [1]. - **Caustic Soda (SH202)**: Spot price is 2593.8, historical quantile is 75.70%, basis is 163.8, basis rate is 6.74%, and futures price is 2430.0 [1]. - **LPG (PG2506)**: Spot price is 4375.0, historical quantile is 87.30%, basis is 773.0, basis rate is 17.67%, and futures price is 5148.0 [1]. - **Asphalt (BU2506)**: Spot price is 3450.0, historical quantile is 74.60%, basis is 101.0, basis rate is 3.02%, and futures price is 3349.0 [1]. - **Butadiene Rubber (BR2505)**: Spot price is 11700.0, historical quantile is 80.20%, basis is 505.0, basis rate is 4.51%, and futures price is 11195.0 [1]. - **Glass (FG509)**: Spot price is 1130.0, historical quantile is 63.44%, basis is - 2.0, basis rate is - 0.18%, and futures price is 1128.0 [1]. - **Soda Ash (SA509)**: Spot price is 1340.0, historical quantile is 12.60%, basis is - 41.0, basis rate is - 3.16%, and futures price is 1299.0 [1]. - **Natural Rubber (RU2509)**: Spot price is 14500.0, historical quantile is 81.66%, basis is - 295.0, basis rate is - 2.03%, and futures price is 14795.0 [1]. Financial Futures - **Stock Index Futures** - **CSI 300 (IF2506)**: Spot price is 3912.8, historical quantile is 75.60%, basis is - 5.4, basis rate is - 0.14%, and futures price is 3918.2 [1]. - **SSE 50 (IH2506)**: Spot price is 2652.8, historical quantile is 7.30%, basis is 21.4, basis rate is 0.81%, and futures price is 2631.4 [1]. - **CSI 500 (IC2506)**: Spot price is 5840.7, historical quantile is 56.70%, basis is - 18.1, basis rate is - 0.31%, and futures price is 5822.6 [1]. - **CSI 1000 (IM2506)**: Spot price is 5952.6, historical quantile is 2.70%, basis is - 182.6, basis rate is - 3.17%, and futures price is 5770.0 [1]. - **Bond Futures** - **2 - Year Bond (TS2506)**: Spot price is 102.39, historical quantile is 4.00%, basis is - 0.19, basis rate is - 0.18%, and futures price is 102.58 (converted) [1]. - **5 - Year Bond (TF2506)**: Spot price is 106.09, historical quantile is 21.70%, basis is - 0.04, basis rate is - 0.04%, and futures price is 106.13 (converted) [1]. - **10 - Year Bond (T2506)**: Spot price is 108.79, historical quantile is 10.10%, basis is - 0.07, basis rate is - 0.06%, and futures price is 108.86 (converted) [1]. - **30 - Year Bond (TL2506)**: Spot price is 136.50, historical quantile is 21.30%, basis is 0.15, basis rate is 0.13%, and futures price is 136.35 (converted) [1].
《金融》日报-20250421
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-04-21 07:05
| 股指期货价差日报 | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1292号 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Z0016628 | 叶倩宁 | 2025年4月21日 | 品种 | 最新值 | 历史1年分位数 | 全历史分位数 | | | | | | | | | | | 价差 | 较前一日变化 | F期现价差 | -63.72 | -2.10 | 3.20% | 3.50%6 | | | | | | | | | | | H期现价差 | -24.24 | 8.60% | 2.06 | 4.80% | 期现价差 | -160.72 | IC期现价差 | -154.91 | 0.40% | 0.20% | -3.92 | IM期现价去 | -189.69 | 60.00% | 2.10% | | 次月-当月 | -27.40 | 0.20 | 11.00% | 14.40% | 李月-崇月 | ...
《农产品》日报-20250421
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-04-21 06:31
| 油脂产业期现日报 | | --- | | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可 【2011】1292号 Z0019938 王涛辉 2025年4月21日 | | 原田 | | 4月18日 4月17日 涨跌 涨跌幅 | | 现价 江苏一级 8140 8110 30 0.37% | | 期价 Y2509 7726 7768 -42 -0.54% | | 墓差 Y2509 414 342 72 21.05% | | 现货墓差报价 江苏4月 05+380 05+380 0 - | | 仓单 735 735 0 0.00% | | 棕榈油 | | 4月18日 4月17日 涨跌 涨跌幅 | | 现价 广东24度 9100 9150 -20 -0.55% | | 期价 P2509 8582 8720 -138 -1.58% | | 墓差 P2509 518 430 88 20.47% | | 现货墓差报价 广东4月 05 + 500 05+530 -30 - | | 盘面进口成本 广州港5月 9186.3 9324.7 -138.4 -1.48% | | -604 盘面进口利润 广州港5月 -605 0 0.07% | | 仓单 ...