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Group 1: Industry Investment Rating - No information provided Group 2: Core Viewpoints - As of the week ending October 23, 2025, the U.S. soybean export inspection volume was 1,061,375 tons, in line with market expectations, and the cumulative export inspection volume for this crop year was 6,715,111 tons, lower than the same period last year [1] - As of last Thursday, the planting rate of soybeans in Brazil's 2025/26 season reached 36% of the expected sown area, unchanged from the same period last year [1] - From October 1 - 25, 2025, Malaysia's palm oil production increased by 2.78% month - on - month, with a 1.63% increase in fresh fruit bunch yield and a 0.22% increase in oil extraction rate [1] - Different institutions' data on Malaysia's palm oil exports from October 1 - 25, 2025 showed different trends: SGS reported a 23.79% increase, while AmSpec reported a 0.3% decrease and ITS reported a 0.4% decrease [1] Group 3: Summary by Related Catalogs Overnight Market Information - U.S. soybean export inspection volume as of the week ending October 23, 2025 was 1,061,375 tons, with market expectations of 1,000,000 - 1,500,000 tons, and the previous week's revised volume was 1,590,264 tons [1] - As of the week ending October 24, 2024, the U.S. soybean export inspection volume was 2,630,651 tons [1] - The cumulative U.S. soybean export inspection volume for this crop year was 6,715,111 tons, compared to 10,643,999 tons in the same period last year [1] - Brazil's 2025/26 season soybean planting rate reached 36% as of last Thursday, unchanged from the same period last year and up from 24% the previous week [1] - From October 1 - 25, 2025, Malaysia's palm oil production increased by 2.78% month - on - month, fresh fruit bunch yield increased by 1.63%, and oil extraction rate increased by 0.22% [1] - SGS reported that Malaysia's palm oil exports from October 1 - 25, 2025 were 985,301 tons, a 23.79% increase from the same period last month [1] - AmSpec reported that Malaysia's palm oil exports from October 1 - 25, 2025 were 1,182,216 tons, a 0.3% decrease from September [1] - ITS reported that Malaysia's palm oil exports from October 1 - 25, 2025 were 1,283,814 tons, a 0.4% decrease from the same period last month [1] Spot Prices - Spot prices of various products (bean meal in Jiangsu, rapeseed meal in Guangdong, soybean oil in Jiangsu, palm oil in Guangzhou, and rapeseed oil in Jiangsu) from October 21 - 27, 2025 are provided [5] Others - Information on precipitation in major producing countries, import soybean crushing profit on the futures market, and grease import profit are mentioned but no specific data is provided [1] - Information on grease basis, grease and oilseed price spreads on the futures market, and protein meal basis are mentioned but no specific data is provided [8][10][13]

Report Industry Investment Rating - There is no information about the industry investment rating in the report. Core Viewpoints - For PTA, the low processing fee of TA has persisted for a long time, and the improvement in terminal data supports the continuity of polyester operation. With limited future production, the processing fee center may gradually recover [2]. - For MEG, the industry has entered a continuous inventory accumulation phase, but there may be some negative feedback on the supply side after the weakening of coal - based efficiency and price ratio. Attention should be paid to the opportunity of selling put options near the coal - based cost [3]. - For polyester staple fiber, the overall efficiency and operation of polyester yarn have not improved significantly. With high exports and good spot efficiency, the inventory pressure is limited. Attention should be paid to the opportunity of expanding the spread at low prices and the situation of warehouse receipts [3]. - For natural rubber and 20 - numbered rubber, the national explicit inventory is stable at a non - high level, and the price of Thai cup rubber is stable with rainfall affecting tapping. The strategy is to wait and see [3]. Summary by Product PTA - **Data Changes**: From October 21 to 27, 2025, the price of PTA increased by 55 to 4505, the PX price increased by 9 to 824, and the PXN spread decreased. The spot processing fee decreased, and the inventory increased slightly [2]. - **Device Changes**: The 3 - million - ton unit of Dushan Energy was put into operation [2]. - **Outlook**: TA low processing fee persists, terminal data improves, and the processing fee center may recover [2]. MEG - **Data Changes**: From October 21 to 27, 2025, the MEG price increased slightly, and the coal - based profit decreased by 4. The total load remained unchanged, and the port inventory continued to accumulate slightly [3]. - **Device Changes**: The 400,000 - ton unit of Fulian was under maintenance [3]. - **Outlook**: The industry is in the inventory accumulation phase, but there may be supply - side negative feedback, and attention should be paid to the put - selling opportunity near the coal - based cost [3]. Polyester Staple Fiber - **Data Changes**: From October 21 to 27, 2025, the price of 1.4D cotton - type staple fiber increased by 5 to 6405, and the profit decreased by 5. The operation rate remained at 94%, and the inventory decreased [3]. - **Device Changes**: No device maintenance information was reported [3]. - **Outlook**: The overall situation of polyester yarn is not significantly improved, and attention should be paid to the opportunity of expanding the spread at low prices and the warehouse receipt situation [3]. Natural Rubber & 20 - numbered Rubber - **Data Changes**: From October 21 to 27, 2025, the price of Shanghai full - latex increased by 525 to 14635, and the price of Thai cup rubber increased by 2 to 52.4. The national explicit inventory was stable, and the price of Thai cup rubber was stable [3]. - **Device Changes**: No device - related information was reported [3]. - **Outlook**: The main contradiction lies in stable inventory and rainfall - affected tapping, and the strategy is to wait and see [3]. Styrene - **Data Changes**: From October 21 to 27, 2025, the price of styrene decreased by 5 to 795, and the profit of EPS increased by 10 to 345 [6]. - **Device Changes**: No device - related information was reported [6]. - **Outlook**: There is no outlook information provided in the report [6].

意转载、复制、传播本网站中所有研究分析报告、行情分析视频等全部或部分材料、内容。对可能因互联网软硬件设备故障或失灵、或因不可抗力造成的全部或部分信息中断、延迟、遗漏 、误导或造成资料传输或储存上的错误、或遭第三人侵入系统篡改或伪造变造资料等，我司均不承担任何责任。 最新 日变化 周变化 月变化 年变化 最新 日变化 周变化 月变化 年变化 秦皇岛5500 768.0 -1.0 15.0 59.0 -87.0 25省终端可用天数 24.1 0.1 4.1 3.2 6.5 秦皇岛5000 677.0 -1.0 15.0 58.0 -78.0 25省终端供煤 535.5 -2.4 -73.0 -104.5 -87.3 广州港5500 805.0 0.0 10.0 40.0 -105.0 北方港库存 2207.0 -1.0 -37.0 156.0 -137.9 鄂尔多斯5500 550.0 -10.0 15.0 55.0 -80.0 北方锚地船舶 101.0 -7.0 16.0 23.0 31.0 大同5500 600.0 -10.0 20.0 45.0 -110.0 北方港调入量 187.1 23.0 50.9 4 ...

废钢早报 研究中心黑色团队 2025/10/28 | 日期 | 华东 | 华北 | 中部 | 华南 | 东北 | 西南 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025/10/21 | 2227 | 2300 | 2051 | 2226 | 2256 | 2134 | | 2025/10/22 | 2227 | 2302 | 2053 | 2228 | 2250 | 2135 | | 2025/10/23 | 2228 | 2304 | 2053 | 2231 | 2250 | 2134 | | 2025/10/24 | 2228 | 2304 | 2053 | 2230 | 2250 | 2131 | | 2025/10/27 | 2235 | 2302 | 2053 | 2230 | 2258 | 2129 | | 环比 | 7 | -2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | -2 | 免责声明: 以上内容所依据的信息均来源于交易所、媒体及资讯公司等发布的公开资料或通过合法授权渠道向发布人取得的资讯，我们力求分析及建议内 容的客观、公正，研究方法专业审慎，分析 ...

Report Summary 1) Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2) Core View of the Report - The PG main contract fluctuated upwards. The basis was -69 (-49), the 11 - 12 spread was 90 (-47), and the 12 - 01 spread was 113 (-1). Domestic civil gas prices dropped significantly. The cheapest deliverable was East China civil gas at 4279 (-66), Shandong at 4360 (+160), and South China at 4405 (-55). With no pressure on inventory and an increase in downstream purchasing willingness, spot prices are expected to rise slightly. Propane is still greatly affected by the Sino - US tariff policy, and cautious participation is recommended. [4] 3) Summary by Relevant Content Daily Changes - On Monday, the decline of civil gas continued. In East China, it was 4282 (+3), in Shandong 4270 (-90), and in South China 4410 (+5). Ether - after carbon four was 4430 (-40). The lowest delivery location was Shandong, with a basis of -83 (-14), the 11 - 12 spread was 80 (-10), and the 12 - 01 spread was 106 (+1). FEI and CP increased to 495 (+3) and 458 (+4) dollars/ton respectively. [4] Weekly View - The PG main contract fluctuated upwards. The basis was -69 (-49), the 11 - 12 spread was 90 (-47), and the 12 - 01 spread was 113 (-1). Domestic civil gas prices dropped significantly. The cheapest deliverable was East China civil gas at 4279 (-66), Shandong at 4360 (+160), and South China at 4405 (-55). There were 2416 lots of warehouse receipts, including 2300 from Wanhua, an increase of 64 from Yunda, and an increase of 52 from Haiyu Petrochemical. The overseas market prices rose sharply. The FEI spread was -6.25 US dollars (+3.75), and the CP spread was -8 US dollars (-4). PG - CP reached 114 (-17), PG - FEI reached 79 (-33), and FEI - CP reached 35 (+15). The US - Asia arbitrage window opened. The CP South China CIF discount was 74 (-4). The freight from the US Gulf to Japan was 116 (+0), and from the Middle East to the Far East was 56 (-4). The FEI - MOPJ decreased but the switching window was still open, at -82.5 (-11.5). PDH profit decreased. The arrival volume was at a low level, the external release decreased, and both port inventory and factory inventory decreased. Supported by chemical demand and with the expectation of a recovery in combustion demand, the PDH operating rate was 71.66% (+2.9pct) due to the restart of Hebei Haiwei and the increased load of Wanda Tianhong, but Zhongjing Phase II shut down again. Lihuayi Weiyuan is expected to resume next week. [4]

研究中心农产品团队 2025/10/28 | 玉米/淀粉 | | | | 玉米 | | | | | 淀粉 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 日期 | 长春 | 锦州 | 潍坊 | 蛇口 | 基差 | 贸易利润 进口盈亏 | 黑龙江 | 潍坊 | 基差 | 加工利润 | | 2025/10/21 | 2020 | 2130 | 2170 | 2310 | -14 | 40 195 | 2700 | 2800 | 226 | 112 | | 2025/10/22 | 2020 | 2130 | 2180 | 2300 | -3 | 30 185 | 2700 | 2800 | 229 | 112 | | 2025/10/23 | 2050 | 2110 | 2190 | 2290 | -30 | 30 176 | 2700 | 2800 | 205 | 112 | | 2025/10/24 | 2050 | 2110 | 2190 | 2280 | -23 | 20 142 | 2700 | 2800 ...

焦煤日报 2025/10/28 研究中心黑色团队 | | 最新 | 日变化 | 周变化 | 月变化 年变化 | | 最新 | 日变化 | 周变化 | 月变化 年变化 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 柳林主焦 | 1575.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 72.00 | 5.00% Peak Downs | 209.70 | 0.00 | 5.20 | 4.70 | -5.70 | | 原煤口岸库提价 | 1135.00 | 5.00 | 20.00 | 95.00 | -2.58% Goonyella | 209.70 | 0.00 | 5.20 | 4.20 | -5.70 | | 沙河驿蒙5# | 1470.00 | 0.00 | 50.00 | 120.00 | -12.50% 盘面05 | 1315.00 | -2.50 | 50.00 | 2.50 | -7.20% | | 安泽主焦 | 1600.00 | 0.00 | 50.00 | 100.00 | -7.51% 盘面09 ...

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No specific industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core View - The report presents cross - market, cross - period, spot - futures, and cross - variety arbitrage tracking data for various non - ferrous metals (copper, zinc, aluminum, nickel, lead, tin) on October 28, 2025, including domestic and LME prices, ratios, equilibrium ratios, profits, spreads, and theoretical spreads [1][4][5]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Cross - Market Arbitrage Tracking - **Copper**: On October 28, 2025, the domestic spot price was 88210, LME spot price was 11036, with a ratio of 7.94; the domestic March price was 88360, LME March price was 11060, with a ratio of 7.98. The equilibrium ratio for spot import was 8.07, and the profit was - 797.43 [1]. - **Zinc**: The domestic spot price was 22210, LME spot price was 3251, with a ratio of 6.83; the domestic March price was 22390, LME March price was 3039, with a ratio of 5.74. The equilibrium ratio for spot import was 8.48, and the profit was - 5375.30 [1]. - **Aluminum**: The domestic spot price was 21160, LME spot price was 2890, with a ratio of 7.32; the domestic March price was 21380, LME March price was 2887, with a ratio of 7.36. The equilibrium ratio for spot import was 8.32, and the profit was - 2886.43 [1]. - **Nickel**: The domestic spot price was 124400, LME spot price was 15155, with a ratio of 8.21. The equilibrium ratio for spot import was 8.17, and the profit was - 1527.44 [1]. - **Lead**: The domestic spot price was 17275, LME spot price was 1984, with a ratio of 8.70; the domestic March price was 17525, LME March price was 2018, with a ratio of 11.06. The equilibrium ratio for spot import was 8.72, and the profit was - 49.75 [3]. Cross - Period Arbitrage Tracking - **Copper**: The spreads of次月 - spot month, March - spot month, April - spot month, and May - spot month were 670, 660, 680, and 610 respectively, while the theoretical spreads were 541, 979, 1427, and 1874 [4]. - **Zinc**: The spreads were 50, 75, 110, and 120, and the theoretical spreads were 215, 335, 456, and 576 [4]. - **Aluminum**: The spreads were 155, 175, 175, and 175, and the theoretical spreads were 217, 335, 453, and 571 [4]. - **Lead**: The spreads were - 115, - 110, - 120, and - 190, and the theoretical spreads were 213, 322, 432, and 541 [4]. - **Nickel**: The spreads of次月 - spot month, March - spot month, April - spot month, and May - spot month were 540, 700, 870, and 1080 [4]. - **Tin**: The 5 - 1 spread was 200, and the theoretical spread was 5928 [4]. Spot - Futures Arbitrage Tracking - **Copper**: The spreads of the current - month contract - spot and the next - month contract - spot were - 485 and 185, and the theoretical spreads were 287 and 872 [4]. - **Zinc**: The spreads were 105 and 155, and the theoretical spreads were 153 and 302 [5]. - **Lead**: The spreads were 360 and 245, and the theoretical spreads were 194 and 309 [5]. Cross - Variety Arbitrage Tracking - On October 28, 2025, for copper/zinc, copper/aluminum, copper/lead, aluminum/zinc, aluminum/lead, and lead/zinc, the Shanghai (three - continuous) ratios were 3.95, 4.13, 5.04, 0.95, 1.22, and 0.78 respectively, and the London (three - continuous) ratios were 3.60, 3.82, 5.44, 0.94, 1.42, and 0.66 [5].

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content Core Viewpoints - The recent market has been strong due to shipping companies' additional sailings cancellations and good cargo receipts on multiple routes at the end of October. The current valuation of the December contract is high, but due to multiple expected price increase nodes and the upward drive during the long - term contract signing season, the logic of going long on dips for the December contract remains unchanged. There may be short - term downward disturbances, and attention should be paid to possible price cuts by shipping companies in early November. Against the backdrop of geopolitical uncertainties, the February contract may have more upside potential with the arrival of the peak season, but there are also geopolitical fluctuations. The April contract maintains the view of shorting on rallies, but it may follow the near - term contracts and fluctuate strongly during the peak season from November to January and can be gradually short - positioned [2][22]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs EC Futures Contract Information - EC2510: Yesterday's closing price was 1137.8, up 0.15%, with a direct difference of 2.6, yesterday's trading volume was 817, yesterday's open interest was 4292, and open interest decreased by 526 [2][22]. - EC2512: Yesterday's closing price was 1831.0, up 2.11%, with a direct difference of - 690.6, yesterday's trading volume was 35117, yesterday's open interest was 30249, and open interest increased by 1335 [2][22]. - EC2602: Yesterday's closing price was 1601.0, up 1.20%, with a direct difference of - 460.6, yesterday's trading volume was 3971, yesterday's open interest was 11509, and open interest increased by 971 [2][22]. - EC2604: Yesterday's closing price was 1179.6, up 0.67%, with a direct difference of - 39.2, yesterday's trading volume was 1726, yesterday's open interest was 14224, and open interest increased by 170 [2][22]. - EC2606: Yesterday's closing price was 1397.9, up 1.68%, with a direct difference of - 257.5, yesterday's trading volume was 585, yesterday's open interest was 1377, and open interest decreased by 25 [2][22]. Month - to - Month Spread - EC2510 - 2512: The previous day's spread was - 693.2, the spread decreased by 36.2 compared to the previous day, and decreased by 111.3 compared to last Friday [2][22]. - EC2512 - 2602: The previous day's spread was 230.0, the spread increased by 18.9 compared to the previous day, and increased by 70.0 compared to last Friday [2][22]. Spot Freight Index - SCFI (European Line): Updated weekly, as of October 24, 2025, it was 1246 US dollars/TEU, up 8.82% from the previous period and 7.21% from two periods ago [2][22]. - CCFI: Updated weekly, as of October 24, 2025, it was 1293.12, up 1.99% from the previous period and down 1.49% from two periods ago [2][22]. - NCFI: Updated weekly, as of October 24, 2025, it was 822.3, up 2.38% from the previous period and 14.96% from two periods ago [2][22]. Recent European Line Quotations - Currently, downstream customers are booking spaces for the end of October and early November (Week 44 - 45). In Week 44, the offline quotes were PA 1400, GEMINI 1600, and OA 1800 US dollars. Shipping companies plan to increase prices in November, mostly in the range of 2500 - 2700 US dollars, with an average equivalent to about 1800 points on the futures market. On Tuesday, MSK opened bookings at 2350 US dollars, in line with expectations [3][23]. Relevant News - On October 27, US Treasury Secretary Yellen said that the US would no longer consider imposing a 100% tariff on China. On October 26, the China - US economic and trade teams concluded a two - day negotiation in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia. This was the fifth face - to - face negotiation between the two teams since May this year [4][24]. - On October 27, the Israeli government spokesman said that Israel would maintain full security control over the Gaza Strip [4][24].