1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not available 2. Core Viewpoints - Not available 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Price and Profit - The report presents the daily spot prices of various steel products from December 23 to 29, 2025, including Beijing, Shanghai, Chengdu, Xi'an, Guangzhou, and Wuhan's rebar prices, as well as Tianjin, Shanghai, and Lecong's hot-rolled and cold-rolled coil prices [1] Output and Inventory - Not available Basis and Spread - Not available

Group 1: Global Asset Market Performance - The latest yields of 10 - year government bonds in major economies: US 4.111, UK 4.486, France 3.524, Germany 2.828, Italy 3.503, Spain 3.249, Switzerland 0.263, Greece 3.393, Japan 2.045, Brazil 6.156, China 1.854, Australia 4.755, New Zealand 4.439 [3] - The latest yields of 2 - year government bonds in major economies: US 3.456, UK 3.715, Germany 2.114, Japan 1.151, Italy 2.205, China (1Y yield) 1.324, Australia 4.049 [3] - The latest exchange rates of the US dollar against major emerging - economy currencies: Brazil 5.573, South Africa zar 16.678, Korean won 1434.000, Thai baht 31.448, Malaysian ringgit 4.060 [3] - The latest exchange rates of the RMB: on - shore RMB 7.006, off - shore RMB 6.997, RMB central parity rate 7.033, RMB 12 - month NDF 6.871 [3] - The latest values of major economies' stock indices: S&P 500 6905.740, Dow Jones Industrial Average 48461.930, Nasdaq 23474.350, Mexican stock index 65347.080, UK stock index 9866.530, France CAC 8112.020, Germany DAX 24351.120, Spanish stock index 17195.800, Japanese Nikkei 50526.920, Hong Kong Hang Seng Index 25635.230, Shanghai Composite Index 3965.280, Taiwan stock index 28810.890, South Korean stock index 4220.560, Indian stock index 8644.256, Thai stock index 1254.030, Malaysian stock index 1680.990, Australian stock index 9032.046, emerging - economy stock index 1401.660 [3] - The latest values of credit - bond indices: Eurozone investment - grade credit - bond index 265.878, Eurozone high - yield credit - bond index 410.230 [3] Group 2: Stock Index Futures Trading Data - Index performance: A - share closing price 3965.28, up 0.04%; CSI 300 closing price 4639.37, down 0.38%; SSE 50 closing price 3034.63, down 0.35%; ChiNext closing price 3222.61, down 0.66%; CSI 500 closing price 7430.61, down 0.38% [4] - Valuation: PE (TTM) of CSI 300 is 14.16 (up 0.01), SSE 50 is 11.81 (up 0.03), CSI 500 is 33.70 (down 0.13), S&P 500 is 27.59 (down 0.09), Germany DAX is 18.85 (up 0.01) [4] - Risk premium: 1/PE - 10 - year interest rate of S&P 500 is - 0.49 (up 0.03), Germany DAX is 2.48 [4] - Fund flow: A - shares' latest value is - 858.51, 5 - day average is - 242.00; Main - board's latest value is - 675.82, 5 - day average is - 229.00; ChiNext's latest value is - 163.63, 5 - day average is - 17.01; CSI 300's latest value is - 150.77, 5 - day average is 25.26 [4] Group 3: Other Trading Data - Transaction amount: The latest value of Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets is 21393.38 (down 208.53), CSI 300 is 4826.14 (up 221.87), SSE 50 is 1171.20 (up 162.03), small and medium - sized board is 4629.60 (down 42.78), ChiNext is 5379.66 (down 333.48) [5] - Main contract basis and spread: IF basis is - 29.17 (- 0.63%), IH basis is 3.37 (0.11%), IC basis is - 94.01 (- 1.27%) [5] - Treasury - bond futures: T2303 closing price is 107.98 (down 0.30%), TF2303 closing price is 105.84 (down 0.20%), T2306 closing price is 107.99 (down 0.30%), TF2306 closing price is 105.85 (down 0.17%) [5] - Fund interest rates: R001 is 1.3376% (down 19.00 BP), R007 is 1.9360% (up 41.00 BP), SHIBOR - 3M is 1.6000% (no change) [5]

Report Information - Report Title: Coking Coal Daily Report - Date: December 30, 2025 - Team: Black Team of the Research Center [1] Price and Inventory Information Coal Prices - The latest price of Liulin Main Coking Coal is 1450.00, with no daily change, a weekly decrease of 50.00, a monthly decrease of 55.00, and an annual increase of 2.11% [2] - The latest price of Raw Coal Port Pick-up Price is 955.00, with a daily decrease of 15.00, a weekly decrease of 15.00, a monthly decrease of 45.00, and an annual increase of 1.60% [2] - The latest price of Shaheyi Mongolian No. 5 is 1340.00, with no daily change, a weekly decrease of 20.00, a monthly decrease of 80.00, and an annual decrease of 8.22% [2] - The latest price of Anze Main Coking Coal is 1600.00, with no daily change, no weekly change, a monthly increase of 20.00, and an annual increase of 10.34% [2] Inventory Levels - The total inventory is 4011.40, with a weekly increase of 77.29, a monthly increase of 290.20, and an annual decrease of 15.69% [2] - The coal mine inventory is 282.90, with a weekly increase of 10.13, a monthly increase of 58.98, and an annual decrease of 17.19% [2] - The port inventory is 286.17, with a weekly decrease of 21.33, a monthly decrease of 5.33, and an annual decrease of 40.26% [2] - The steel mill coking coal inventory is 804.99, with a weekly increase of 10.34, a monthly increase of 7.91, and an annual increase of 6.06% [2] - The coking coking coal inventory is 1036.29, with a weekly decrease of 1.01, a monthly decrease of 1.90, and an annual decrease of 2.44% [2] Coking Indicators - The coking capacity utilization rate is 71.66, with a weekly decrease of 0.39, a monthly decrease of 1.29, and an annual decrease of 1.97% [2] - The coking coke inventory is 85.52, with a weekly decrease of 0.21, a monthly increase of 0.10, and an annual decrease of 0.86% [2] Futures Market - The latest price of Futures Contract 05 is 1108.50, with a daily increase of 6.50, a weekly decrease of 16.50, a monthly decrease of 55.50, and an annual decrease of 2.72% [2] - The latest price of Futures Contract 09 is 1188.00, with a daily increase of 12.00, a weekly decrease of 11.50, a monthly decrease of 47.00, and an annual decrease of 2.06% [2] - The latest price of Futures Contract 01 is 1016.00, with a daily decrease of 1.00, a weekly decrease of 18.50, a monthly decrease of 60.50, and an annual increase of 0.44% [2] - The 05 basis is -120.22, with a daily decrease of 78.91, a weekly decrease of 21.43, a monthly decrease of 39.90, and an annual decrease of 75.90 [2] - The 09 basis is -199.72, with a daily decrease of 84.41, a weekly decrease of 26.43, a monthly decrease of 48.40, and an annual increase of 0.70 [2] - The 01 basis is -27.72, with a daily decrease of 71.41, a weekly decrease of 19.43, a monthly decrease of 34.90, and an annual decrease of 1.33 [2] - The 5 - 9 spread is -79.50, with a daily decrease of 5.50, a weekly decrease of 5.00, a monthly decrease of 8.50, and an annual increase of 0.08 [2] - The 9 - 1 spread is 172.00, with a daily increase of 13.00, a weekly increase of 7.00, a monthly increase of 13.50, and an annual decrease of 0.15 [2] - The 1 - 5 spread is -92.50, with a daily decrease of 7.50, a weekly decrease of 2.00, a monthly decrease of 5.00, and an annual decrease of 0.28 [2]

废钢早报 研究中心黑色团队 2025/12/30 华东 स्क 中部 东北 日期 华南 2025/12/23 | 2174 2254 原点 2032 2227 2216 2226 2025/12/24 2174 2254 2036 2216 2227 2025/12/25 2174 2254 2036 2217 沙钢重三价格 (含税) ◆ 2022 ↓ 2023 ↓ 2024 ● 2025 4,200元/吨 3,900 3,600 3,300 3,000 2,700 镇江鸿泰剪切料价格（不含税） ● 2022 ● 2023 ● 2024 ● 2025 3,600元/吨 3,300 3,000 2,700 2,400 2,100 1,800 品因H 1月 2月 3月 4月 5月 6月 7月 8月 9月 10月11月12月 短流程日耗 ◆ 2022 ↓ 2023 ↓ 2024 ● 2025 倡展H lle 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 1月 2月 3月 4月 5月 6月 7月 8月 9月 10月 11月 12月 张家港废钢到货 ) 脂点资讯 ● 2022 ● 2023 ● 2024 ● 2025 tial 3 ...

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core Viewpoints - As of the week ending December 25, 2025, the U.S. soybean export inspection volume was 750,312 tons, in line with market expectations [1] - A private exporter reported a sale of 10,000 tons of soybeans to Egypt for delivery in the 2025/2026 market year [1] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Overnight Market Information - The U.S. soybean export inspection volume as of the week ending December 25, 2025, was 750,312 tons, with the previous market forecast ranging from 750,000 - 1,200,000 tons. The volume in the previous week was revised to 929,365 tons from an initial value of 870,199 tons. The export inspection volume to the Chinese mainland that week was 135,417 tons, accounting for 18.05% of the total. As of the week ending December 26, 2024, the U.S. soybean export inspection volume was 1,643,692 tons. So far this crop year, the cumulative U.S. soybean export inspection volume is 15,396,334 tons, compared with 28,671,623 tons in the same period of the previous year [1] - A private exporter reported a sale of 10,000 tons of soybeans to Egypt for delivery in the 2025/2026 market year [1] Spot Prices - The spot prices of various products from December 23 - 29, 2025, are presented in a table, including prices of soybean meal in Jiangsu, rapeseed meal in Guangdong, soybean oil in Jiangsu, palm oil in Guangzhou, and rapeseed oil in Jiangsu [2] Protein Meal Basis - Not provided in the given content Fatty Basis - Not provided in the given content Fatty Oil Futures Spread - Not provided in the given content

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Views - The report presents cross - market, cross - period, and cross - variety arbitrage tracking data for multiple non - ferrous metals including copper, zinc, aluminum, nickel, lead, and tin on December 30, 2025, offering insights for potential arbitrage opportunities [1][4][8] Summary by Relevant Catalogs Cross - Market Arbitrage Tracking - **Copper**: Spot price is 100950 domestically and 12584 on LME with a ratio of 7.80; March price is 98940 domestically and 12553 on LME with a ratio of 8.09. Spot import equilibrium ratio is 7.96 with a loss of 1855.70 [1] - **Zinc**: Spot price is 23380 domestically and 3086 on LME with a ratio of 7.58; March price is 23285 domestically and 3116 on LME with a ratio of 5.65. Spot import equilibrium ratio is 8.38 with a loss of 2484.97 [1] - **Aluminum**: Spot price is 22490 domestically and 2934 on LME with a ratio of 7.66; March price is 22625 domestically and 2972 on LME with a ratio of 7.66. Spot import equilibrium ratio is 8.34 with a loss of 1994.64 [1] - **Nickel**: Spot price is 130850 domestically and 15520 on LME with a ratio of 8.43. Spot import equilibrium ratio is 8.05 with a profit of 1196.97 [1] - **Lead**: Spot price is 17475 domestically and 1967 on LME with a ratio of 8.83; March price is 17465 domestically and 2011 on LME with a ratio of 11.63. Spot import equilibrium ratio is 8.62 with a profit of 421.73 [3] Cross - Period Arbitrage Tracking - **Copper**: Differences between subsequent months and spot month are 260, 340, 400, 390; theoretical differences are 595, 1088, 1590, 2092 [4] - **Zinc**: Differences between subsequent months and spot month are 55, 85, 130, 130; theoretical differences are 219, 344, 469, 594 [4] - **Aluminum**: Differences between subsequent months and spot month are 235, 290, 325, 340; theoretical differences are 223, 346, 470, 594 [4] - **Lead**: Differences between subsequent months and spot month are - 50, - 75, - 95, - 125; theoretical differences are 213, 321, 430, 539 [4] - **Nickel**: Differences between subsequent months and spot month are - 730, - 410, - 140, 200 [4] - **Tin**: 5 - 1 difference is 1320 with a theoretical difference of 6865 [4] Spot - Futures Arbitrage Tracking - **Copper**: Differences between current - month and subsequent - month contracts and spot are - 2120 and - 1860; theoretical differences are 26 and 620 [4] - **Zinc**: Differences between current - month and subsequent - month contracts and spot are - 180 and - 125; theoretical differences are 119 and 288 [5] - **Lead**: Differences between current - month and subsequent - month contracts and spot are 65 and 15; theoretical differences are 144 and 260 [5] Cross - Variety Arbitrage Tracking - Ratios of copper/zinc, copper/aluminum, copper/lead, aluminum/zinc, aluminum/lead, and lead/zinc are 4.25, 4.37, 5.67, 0.97, 1.30, 0.75 in Shanghai and 3.96, 4.14, 6.09, 0.96, 1.47, 0.65 in London [8]

Group 1: Investment Ratings - No investment ratings are mentioned in the report Group 2: Core Views - Corn prices are currently weak due to the directional auction policy, but may rise after New Year's Day due to downstream seasonal restocking. In the medium to long term, focus on import and domestic auction policies [5] - Starch prices are expected to strengthen slightly after New Year's Day supported by year - end stocking. In the long term, downstream consumption rhythm is the key [5] - Short - term sugar prices are driven by short - covering, and in the long term, if the global sugar surplus increases, prices may fall to the out - of - quota import cost [7] - Cotton is suitable for long - term buying as demand is expected to improve next year due to factors like expanding textile production, good profits and favorable tariff policies [10] - For eggs, the key is the egg - laying hen culling rhythm. Accelerated culling may benefit second - quarter egg prices [16] - Apple prices show a pattern of good quality goods being stable and lower - quality goods weakening. The market is expected to be near - strong and far - weak [19] - Pig prices are rising due to factors such as supply reduction by farmers, second - round fattening, and New Year's Day stocking. Pay attention to factors like the slaughter rhythm, diseases and policies [19] Group 3: Corn and Starch - **Price Data**: From December 23 to 29, 2025, corn prices in Changchun remained at 2160, while in other regions, there were changes such as a 30 increase in Jinzhou and a 6 decrease in Weifang. Starch prices in Heilongjiang and Weifang remained at 2750 and 2800 respectively [4] - **Analysis**: Short - term corn prices are affected by the auction policy and downstream restocking. Starch prices are affected by downstream restocking enthusiasm and raw material costs [5] Group 4: Sugar - **Price Data**: From December 23 to 26, 2025, sugar prices in Liuzhou, Nanning and Kunming showed an upward trend, and the basis and import profit also changed [6] - **Analysis**: Short - term sugar prices are driven by short - covering, and long - term prices depend on the global sugar supply situation [7] Group 5: Cotton and Cotton Yarn - **Price Data**: From December 23 to 29, 2025, cotton price at 3128 index changed from 14895 to 15240, and other related data such as import profit and spinning profit also had fluctuations [20] - **Analysis**: Cotton demand is expected to improve next year, and it is suitable for long - term investment [10] Group 6: Eggs - **Price Data**: From December 23 to 29, 2025, egg prices in different production areas changed, and the basis decreased by 105.00 [15] - **Analysis**: The key to egg price trends is the culling rhythm of egg - laying hens [16] Group 7: Apples - **Price Data**: From December 23 to 29, 2025, the price of Shandong 80 first and second - grade apples remained at 8900.00, and the basis for different months changed [18] - **Analysis**: The apple market is currently in a weak state with slow inventory removal, and the price pattern is expected to be near - strong and far - weak [19] Group 8: Pigs - **Price Data**: From December 23 to 29, 2025, pig prices in different production areas increased significantly, and the basis also increased [19] - **Analysis**: Pig prices are rising due to supply and demand factors, and attention should be paid to factors like the slaughter rhythm, diseases and policies [19]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core Viewpoints - Not provided in the given content 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Spot Market Information - **Australian Mainstream Iron Ore**: Newman powder price is 794, up 4 daily and 2 weekly, with an import profit of 19.31; PB powder price is 797, up 4 daily and 2 weekly, with an import profit of -12.85; Mac powder price is 795, up 10 daily and 10 weekly, with an import profit of 49.12; Jinbuba powder price is 750, up 4 daily and 2 weekly, with an import profit of 39.70; Mixed powder price is 740, up 6 daily and 2 weekly, with an import profit of 9.76; Super special powder price is 675, up 2 daily and down 2 weekly, with an import profit of -10.58; Roy Hill powder price is 784, up 4 daily and 2 weekly, with an import profit of 41.96 [1] - **Brazilian Mainstream Iron Ore**: Brazilian mixed powder price is 833, up 4 daily and 3 weekly, with an import profit of 2.39; Brazilian coarse IOC6 price is 761, up 4 daily and down 4 weekly; Brazilian coarse SSFG price is 766, up 4 daily and down 4 weekly [1] - **Other Varieties**: Ukrainian concentrate powder price is 873, up 2 daily and down 2 weekly; 61% Indian powder price is 739, up 4 daily and 2 weekly; Karara concentrate powder price is 878, up 3 daily and 3 weekly; 57% Indian powder price is 610, up 2 daily and down 2 weekly; Atlas powder price is 735, up 6 daily and 2 weekly [1] - **Domestic Ore**: Tangshan iron concentrate powder price is 982, up 6 daily and 6 weekly [1] Futures Market Information - **Dalian Commodity Exchange Contracts**: i2601 price is 801.5, up 3.5 daily and 3.5 weekly, with a monthly spread of -40.5; i2605 price is 783.0, up 4.5 daily and 3.0 weekly, with a monthly spread of 18.5; i2609 price is 761.0, up 4.0 daily and 3.0 weekly, with a monthly spread of 22.0 [1] - **Singapore Exchange Contracts**: FE01 price is 104.05, unchanged daily and down 0.83 weekly, with a monthly spread of -3.69; FE05 price is 102.37, unchanged daily and down 0.49 weekly, with a monthly spread of 1.68; FE09 price is 100.36, unchanged daily and down 0.43 weekly, with a monthly spread of 2.01 [1]

Group 1: Implied Volatility Index and Historical Volatility - The financial option implied volatility index reflects the 30 - day implied volatility trend as of the previous trading day, and the commodity option implied volatility index is obtained by weighting the implied volatilities of the two - strike options above and below the at - the - money option of the main contract month, reflecting the implied volatility change trend of the main contract [3] - The difference between the implied volatility index and historical volatility, a larger difference indicates higher implied volatility relative to historical volatility, while a smaller difference represents lower implied volatility relative to historical volatility [3] Group 2: Implied Volatility Quantile and Volatility Spread Quantile - The implied volatility quantile represents the current level of the implied volatility of a variety in history. A high quantile means the current implied volatility is high, and a low quantile means the current implied volatility is low [5] - The volatility spread is the implied volatility index plus historical volatility [5]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the given content. 2. Core Viewpoints - For contracts after 02, the focus is on spot trends. It's difficult to predict the peak height, time, and subsequent price - drop rhythm of January freight rates. At the current level, entry is not recommended [2][7]. - The 04 contract is moderately over - valued, but there is short - term upward risk (due to factors like capital position transfer, geopolitical reversal, pre - holiday position reduction, and price increase notices after reaching the bottom). The strategy is to short on rallies [2][7]. - Far - month contracts are greatly affected by geopolitics. Under the long - term logic of expected resumption of shipping and the off - season, the strategy for the 10 contract is to short on rallies [2][7]. 3. Summaries by Related Catalogs 3.1 Futures Contract Data - **EC Contracts**: EC2512 had a 0.31% change, with a price of 1613.0 and a decrease of 23.8. EC2602 had a 1.38% change, with a price of 1824.5 and a decrease of 235.3. Other contracts also had their respective price and change data [2][7]. - **Month - to - Month Spreads**: For example, EC2512 - 2504 had a spread of 458.2, with a change of - 19.8 compared to the previous period [2][7]. 3.2 Index Data - **SCEIS**: It had a 5.21% change this period and a 0.10% change compared to the previous period, with a value of 1509.10 as of 2025/12/22, updated weekly [2][7]. - **SCFI (European Line)**: It had a 10.24% change this period and a - 0.33% change compared to the previous period, with a value of 1690 dollars/TEU as of 2025/12/26, updated weekly [2][7]. - **CCFI**: It had a 3.06% change this period and a 0.23% change compared to the previous period, with a value of 1519.06 as of 2025/12/26, updated weekly [2][7]. - **NCFI**: It had a 7.22% change this period and a 0.30% change compared to the previous period, with a value of 1144.37 as of 2025/12/26, updated weekly [2][7]. 3.3 European Line Spot Situation - **Week 52**: MSK opened at 2300 dollars, and other companies generally followed Week 51's rates. The central rate was 2500 dollars, equivalent to about 1750 points on the futures market [2][7]. - **Week 1**: MSK opened at 2500 dollars, OA at 2700 - 2800 dollars (EMC's partial routes at 2500+ dollars), and PA at 2800 dollars (with a volume - related rate of 2600 dollars). The central rate was 1950 dollars, equivalent to about 1950 points on the futures market [2][7]. - **Week 2**: MSK kept the rate at 2500 dollars, but the rate at Hamburg Port was 2600 dollars (a 100 - dollar increase from the previous period) [2][7]. 3.4 Related News - On 12/28, there were significant differences between the US and Israel on the Gaza issue. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu visited the US, aiming to persuade the US to accept a tougher stance on the Gaza cease - fire agreement [2][7]. - On 12/27, the rift in the Gulf region deepened as Saudi Arabia attacked a faction in Yemen supported by the UAE [2][7].