Group 1: Implied Volatility Index and Its Calculation - The implied volatility index of financial options reflects the 30 - day implied volatility (IV) trend as of the previous trading day. The implied volatility index of commodity options is obtained by weighting the IV of the two strike - prices above and below the at - the - money option of the front - month contract, reflecting the IV change trend of the front - month contract [2] - The difference between the IV index and historical volatility (HV) indicates the relative level of IV to HV. A larger difference means higher IV relative to HV, and a smaller difference means lower IV relative to HV [2] Group 2: Implied Volatility and Historical Volatility Difference Graph - The document presents graphs showing the IV, HV, and IV - HV differences for various financial and commodity options, including 300 - stock index, 50ETF, 1000 - stock index, 500ETF, and many commodity options such as soybeans, corn, sugar, cotton, etc [3] Group 3: Implied Volatility Quantile and Volatility Spread Quantile Ranking - Implied volatility quantiles represent the current level of a variety's IV in history. A high quantile means the current IV is high, and a low quantile means the current IV is low. The volatility spread is calculated as the IV index minus the historical volatility [4] - The implied volatility quantile rankings are provided for different options, such as 50ETF with a quantile of 0.79, 300 - stock index with 0.80, iron ore with 0.37, PVC with 0.46, etc [5][7]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. 2. Core Views - **Methanol**: Port inventory has significantly accumulated, with high imports and high actual inventory. The expected return of inland supply is anticipated. With the upcoming peak season for traditional demand, attention should be given to whether demand can support the market after the return of inland supply. If inventory deteriorates significantly, methanol may experience a valuation decline [2]. - **Polyethylene**: The inventory of the two major oil companies is neutral year - on - year. Upstream, the two major oil companies are accumulating inventory, while coal - chemical enterprises are reducing inventory. Downstream inventory of raw materials and finished products is neutral. Overall inventory is neutral. The 09 basis is around - 150 in North China and - 100 in East China. The import profit is around - 100 with no further increase for now. The price of non - standard HD injection molding is stable, other price spreads are fluctuating, and LD is weakening. In August, maintenance has decreased month - on - month, and domestic linear production has increased. Attention should be paid to the LL - HD conversion situation, US quotes, and the commissioning of new plants in 2025 [7]. - **Polypropylene**: Upstream, the two major oil companies are accumulating inventory, while the middle - stream is reducing inventory. In terms of valuation, the basis is - 60, the non - standard price spread is neutral, and the import profit is around - 800. Exports have been consistently good this year. The non - standard price spread is neutral. The PDH profit is around - 200, propylene is fluctuating, and powder production is stable. The拉丝 production ratio is neutral. Supply in June is expected to increase slightly month - on - month. Downstream orders are currently average, and raw material and finished product inventories are neutral. Under the background of over - capacity, the 09 contract is expected to face moderate to excessive pressure. If exports continue to increase or there are many PDH plant maintenance, the supply pressure can be alleviated to a neutral level [7]. - **PVC**: The basis is maintained at 01 - 270, and the factory - pickup basis is - 480. Downstream operating rates are seasonally weakening, but there is a strong willingness to hold inventory at low prices. Mid - and upstream inventories are continuously accumulating. Northwest plants are undergoing seasonal maintenance in summer, with the load center between the spring maintenance and the high - production period in Q1. Attention should be paid to the commissioning of new plants and export sustainability in Q4. Near - term export orders have slightly declined. Coal sentiment is positive, and the cost of semi - coke is stable. The profit of calcium carbide is under pressure due to PVC maintenance. The FOB counter - offer for caustic soda exports is 380. The PVC comprehensive profit is - 100. Currently, the static inventory contradiction is accumulating slowly, costs are stable, downstream performance is average, and the macro - environment is neutral. Attention should be paid to exports, coal prices, commercial housing sales, terminal orders, and operating rates [7]. 3. Data Summaries Methanol | Date |动力煤期货|江苏现货|华南现货|鲁南折盘面|西南折盘面|河北折盘面|西北折盘面|CFR中国|CFR东南亚|进口利润|主力基差|盘面MTO利润| | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025/08/15 | 801 | 2325 | 2325 | 2550 | 2560 | 2560 | 2695 | 264 | 324 | 34 | - 8 | - 1237 | | 2025/08/18 | 801 | 2307 | 2303 | 2515 | 2535 | 2560 | 2670 | 263 | 324 | 24 | - 5 | - 1237 | | 2025/08/19 | 801 | 2280 | 2280 | 2515 | 2500 | 2560 | 2670 | 263 | 322 | 13 | 0 | - 1237 | | 2025/08/20 | 801 | 2305 | 2290 | 2510 | 2500 | 2500 | 2670 | 266 | 322 | 6 | - 5 | - 1237 | | 2025/08/21 | 801 | 2305 | 2305 | 2510 | 2500 | 2500 | 2670 | 266 | 322 | 6 | - 5 | - 1237 | |日度变化|0|0|15|0|0|0|0|0|0|0|0|0|[2] Polyethylene | Date |东北亚乙烯|华北LL|华东LL|华东LD|华东HD|LL美金|LL美湾|进口利润|主力期货|基差|两油库存|仓单| | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025/08/15 | 825 | 7220 | 7335 | 9525 | 7650 | 850 | 906 | - 134 | 7351 | - 80 | 77 | 7345 | | 2025/08/18 | 825 | 7200 | 7300 | 9525 | 7600 | 850 | 906 | - 170 | 7334 | - 120 | 77 | 7345 | | 2025/08/19 | 825 | 7180 | 7300 | 9525 | 7600 | 850 | 906 | - 167 | 7307 | - 120 | 77 | 7724 | | 2025/08/20 | 830 | 7200 | 7300 | 9500 | 7570 | 845 | 851 | - 117 | 7347 | - 110 | 77 | 7684 | | 2025/08/21 | 830 | 7230 | 7325 | 9500 | 7570 | 845 | 851 | - 117 | 7386 | - 160 | 77 | 7684 | |日度变化|0|30|25|0|0|0|0|0|39|- 50|0|0|[7] Polypropylene | Date |山东丙烯|东北亚丙烯|华东PP|华北PP|山东粉料|华东共聚|PP美金|PP美湾|出口利润|主力期货|基差|两油库存|仓单| | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025/08/15 | 6400 | 745 | 7035 | 7058 | 6900 | 7234 | 860 | 970 | - 19 | 7084 | - 50 | 77 | 12860 | | 2025/08/18 | 6400 | 745 | 7005 | 7035 | 6870 | 7234 | 860 | 970 | - 16 | 7048 | - 60 | 77 | 12860 | | 2025/08/19 | 6400 | 745 | 6970 | 7015 | 6870 | 7230 | 865 | 970 | - 14 | 7016 | - 50 | 77 | 14040 | | 2025/08/20 | 6380 | 750 | 6930 | 7000 | 6860 | 7202 | 865 | 980 | - 18 | 7056 | - 50 | 77 | 13940 | | 2025/08/21 | 6450 | 750 | 6950 | 6998 | 6870 | 7202 | 865 | 980 | - 18 | 7048 | - 90 | 77 | 13940 | |日度变化|70|0|20|- 2|10|0|0|0|0|- 8|- 40|0|0|[7] PVC | Date |西北电石|山东烧碱|电石法 - 华东|乙烯法 - 华东|电石法 - 华南|电石法 - 西北|进口美金价（CFR中国）|出口利润|西北综合利润|华北综合利润|基差(高端交割品)| | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025/08/15 | 2250 | 852 | 4880 | 5500 | 5450 | 4550 | 700 | 468 | 356 | - 244 | - 70 | | 2025/08/18 | 2200 | 872 | 4860 | 5500 | 5450 | 4530 | 700 | 492 | 356 | - 244 | - 170 | | 2025/08/19 | 2200 | 872 | 4820 | 5500 | 5450 | 4530 | 700 | 494 | 356 | - 244 | - 170 | | 2025/08/20 | 2200 | 872 | 4800 | 5500 | 5450 | 4530 | 725 | 494 | 356 | - 244 | - 170 | | 2025/08/21 | 2200 | 867 | 4850 | 5500 | 5450 | 4500 | 725 | 494 | 356 | - 244 | - 180 | |日度变化|0|- 5|50|0|0|- 30|0|0|0|0|- 10|[7]

Group 1: Report Investment Rating - No investment rating information provided Group 2: Core Viewpoints - This week, the macro sentiment continued to show a rise in risk appetite. Although domestic economic and financial data were poor, the stock market sentiment remained high. In August, there may be a small accumulation of inventory under the full - supply pattern, but the market may focus more on the tight - balance pattern after the off - season [1] - Aluminum supply increased slightly, and the demand in August was expected to be in the seasonal off - season, with a possible slight improvement in the middle and late stages. An inventory increase was expected in August. Attention should be paid to the demand situation and potential arbitrage opportunities [5] - Zinc prices fluctuated widely this week. Supply increased, while domestic demand was seasonally weak but had some resilience, and overseas demand was average. The strategy was to wait and see in the short term, hold a short position in the long - term, and consider positive arbitrage opportunities [8] - Nickel supply remained at a high level, demand was weak, and inventories were stable. Opportunities for narrowing the nickel - stainless steel price ratio could be continued to be observed [9] - The fundamentals of stainless steel remained weak. Supply was partially reduced, demand was mainly for rigid needs, costs were stable, and inventories decreased slightly. Attention should be paid to future policy trends [12] - Lead prices fluctuated this week. Supply was affected by various factors, demand was lackluster, and it was expected that lead prices would remain in a low - level oscillation next week [13] - Tin prices fluctuated widely. Supply was affected by domestic production cuts and overseas复产 signals, demand was weak, and the short - term supply - demand situation was weak. Short - term short - selling and long - term long - holding strategies were recommended [15] - Industrial silicon production in Xinjiang, Sichuan, and Yunnan showed different trends. The current balance was in a state of slight inventory reduction, and the long - term outlook was for bottom - level oscillation [16] - Lithium carbonate prices were strong this week. The core contradiction was the long - term over - capacity and short - term resource - end disturbances. The price had a large upward elasticity and strong downward support in the short term [18] Group 3: Summary by Metal Copper - From August 15th to 21st, the spot premium of Shanghai copper decreased by 40, the waste - refined copper spread increased by 40, and other indicators showed corresponding changes. The downstream orders had support around 7 - 8, and the spot market trading was okay. The potential impact of the decline in recycled rod production on refined copper consumption should be noted [1] Aluminum - From August 15th to 21st, Shanghai, Yangtze River, and Guangdong aluminum ingot prices increased, while the domestic and imported alumina prices remained unchanged. The supply increased slightly, demand was in the off - season, and an inventory increase was expected in August [5] Zinc - From August 15th to 21st, the spot premium of zinc increased by 10, and zinc prices in different regions showed an upward trend. Supply increased, domestic demand was seasonally weak, and overseas demand was average. Short - term observation and long - term short - position strategies were recommended [8] Nickel - From August 15th to 21st, the price of 1.5 - grade Philippine nickel ore remained unchanged, and the Shanghai nickel spot price decreased by 100. Supply remained high, demand was weak, and inventories were stable [9] Stainless Steel - From August 15th to 21st, the price of 201 cold - rolled stainless steel decreased by 50, and other prices remained unchanged. Supply was partially reduced, demand was mainly for rigid needs, and inventories decreased slightly [12] Lead - From August 15th to 21st, the lead spot premium decreased by 5, and other indicators changed accordingly. Supply was affected by various factors, demand was lackluster, and lead prices were expected to remain low - level oscillating [13] Tin - From August 15th to 21st, the tin spot import and export earnings, positions, and other indicators changed. Supply was affected by domestic production cuts and overseas复产 signals, demand was weak, and short - term short - selling and long - term long - holding strategies were recommended [15] Industrial Silicon - From August 15th to 21st, the basis of different grades of industrial silicon changed, and the number of warehouse receipts increased by 553. The current balance was in a state of slight inventory reduction, and the long - term outlook was for bottom - level oscillation [16] Lithium Carbonate - From August 15th to 21st, the SMM electric and industrial lithium carbonate prices decreased by 500, and the basis and other indicators changed. The price was strong this week, with large upward elasticity and strong downward support in the short term [16][18]

Group 1: Report Information - Report title: Pulp Morning Report [2] - Report date: August 22, 2025 [2] - Research team: Energy and Chemicals Team of the Research Center [2] Group 2: SP Main Contract Information - Closing price on August 21, 2025: 5130.00 [3] - Closing price trends from August 15 - 21, 2025: Decreased from 5306.00 to 5130.00 [3] - Dollar - converted price trends from August 15 - 21, 2025: Decreased from 645.15 to 623.85 [3] - Daily price change rates from August 15 - 21, 2025: - 0.22565%, - 1.01772%, - 1.40899%, - 0.81112%, - 0.11682% [3] - Shandong Yinxing basis trends from August 15 - 21, 2025: Increased from 544 to 670 [3] - Jiangsu, Zhejiang and Shanghai Yinxing basis trends from August 15 - 21, 2025: Increased from 579 to 685 [3] Group 3: Pulp Price and Profit Information - Canadian Lion brands (Golden Lion, Lion) and Chilean Silver Star price, import profit: Golden Lion (CFR, port price 780 dollars, Shandong price 6350 yuan, profit - 48.45 yuan); Lion (CFR, port price 730 dollars, Shandong price 5500 yuan, profit - 442.78 yuan); Silver Star (CFR 90 - day letter of credit, port price 720 dollars, Shandong price 5800 yuan, profit - 111.65 yuan) [4] Group 4: Pulp and Paper Product Price and Margin Information - National and Shandong regional pulp average prices from August 15 - 21, 2025: No change in all types of pulp (coniferous, broad - leaf, natural color, chemimechanical) [4] - Paper product index (cultural, packaging, living paper) from August 18 - 21, 2025: No change [4] - Paper product profit margin trends from August 18 - 21, 2025: Double - offset paper margin increased from 4.8673% to 5.0306%; Double - copper paper margin increased from 22.6786% to 22.8214%; White - card paper margin increased from - 13.4568% to - 13.3333%; Living paper margin increased from 6.8022% to 7.4515% [4] Group 5: Pulp Price Difference Information - Coniferous - broadleaf, coniferous - natural color, coniferous - chemimechanical, coniferous - waste paper price differences from August 15 - 21, 2025: Coniferous - broadleaf price difference decreased from 1650 to 1620; Coniferous - natural color price difference decreased from 450 to 400; Coniferous - chemimechanical price difference decreased from 2025 to 1975; Coniferous - waste paper price difference decreased from 4274 to 4224 [4]

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the document Core Viewpoints - Not provided in the document Summary by Relevant Catalogs BR (Butadiene Rubber) - **Contract Information**: On August 21, the closing price of the main contract was 11,775, with a daily increase of 60 and an interval increase of 130; the position was 38,436, up 2,745 daily and 14,763 in the interval; the trading volume was 106,881, down 62,183 daily but up 38,728 in the interval; the warehouse receipt quantity was 12,190, unchanged daily and up 1,720 in the interval; the virtual - real ratio was 15.77, up 1 daily and 4 in the interval [3][13][23]. - **Spot Market**: The Shandong market price was 11,750, up 150 daily and 50 in the interval; the Chuanhua market price was 11,700, up 200 daily and 50 in the interval; the Qilu ex - factory price was 11,900, unchanged daily and up 100 in the interval; CFR Northeast Asia was 1,450, unchanged; CFR Southeast Asia was 1,725, unchanged daily and down 10 in the interval [3][13][23]. - **Profitability**: The spot processing profit was - 64, up 12 daily; the disk processing profit was - 39, down 78 daily and up 105 in the interval; the import profit was - 85,257, up 142 daily and down 733 in the interval; the export profit was - 469, down 130 daily and down 46 in the interval [3][13][23]. BD (Butadiene) - **Price**: The Shandong market price was 9,425, up 135 daily and 25 in the interval; the Jiangsu market price was 9,350, up 100 daily and 50 in the interval; the Yangzi ex - factory price was 9,400, unchanged; CFR China was 1,080, unchanged daily and up 10 in the interval [3][13][23]. - **Profitability**: The butene oxidative dehydrogenation profit was 256, up 100 daily and 50 in the interval; the import profit was 442, up from the previous value; the export profit was - 1,037, down 15 daily and up 26 in the interval; the butadiene styrene production profit was 938, unchanged daily and up 100 in the interval; the SBS production profit (791 - H) was 1,145, unchanged [3][13][23]. Price Spreads - **Inter - Variety**: The Thailand mixed - butadiene spread was 2,870, down 60 daily and up 150 in the interval; the 3L - butadiene styrene spread was 2,600, down 100 daily and up 150 in the interval [3][13][23]. - **Intra - Variety**: The butadiene standard - non - standard price spread was 150, unchanged daily and down 50 in the interval; the butadiene styrene 1502 - 1712 spread was 1,000, up 50 daily and unchanged in the interval [3][13][23].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - No explicit core viewpoints are presented in the given content 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Global Asset Market Performance - **10 - Year Treasury Yields of Major Economies**: On August 21, 2025, the 10 - year Treasury yields in the US, UK, France, etc. were 4.329, 4.729, 3.461 respectively. The latest changes, weekly changes, monthly changes, and annual changes varied across countries. For example, the US had a latest change of 0.037, a weekly change of 0.043, a monthly change of - 0.069, and an annual change of 0.485 [3] - **2 - Year Treasury Yields of Major Economies**: On August 21, 2025, the 2 - year Treasury yields in the US, UK, Germany, etc. were 3.750, 3.966, 1.969 respectively. The latest changes, weekly changes, monthly changes, and annual changes also differed. For instance, the US had a latest change of - 0.020, a weekly change of 0.030, a monthly change of 0.030, and an annual change of - 0.300 [3] - **Exchange Rates of the US Dollar against Major Emerging Economies' Currencies**: On August 21, 2025, the exchange rates against the Brazilian real, Russian ruble, South African rand, etc. were 5.476, - (not available), 17.718 respectively. The latest changes, weekly changes, monthly changes, and annual changes showed different trends. For example, against the Brazilian real, the latest change was - 0.12%, the weekly change was 1.08%, the monthly change was - 0.81%, and the annual change was 0.37% [3] - **Stock Indices of Major Economies**: On August 21, 2025, the Dow Jones, S&P 500, NASDAQ, etc. had values of 6370.170, 44785.500, 21100.310 respectively. The latest changes, weekly changes, monthly changes, and annual changes varied. For example, the Dow Jones had a latest change of - 0.40%, a weekly change of - 1.52%, a monthly change of 17.22%, and an annual change not fully shown [3] - **Credit Bond Indices**: The emerging economies' investment - grade and high - yield credit bond indices, US investment - grade and high - yield credit bond indices, and euro - zone investment - grade and high - yield credit bond indices had different latest changes, weekly changes, monthly changes, and annual changes. For example, the emerging economies' investment - grade credit bond index had a latest change of - 0.26%, a weekly change of - 0.27%, a monthly change of 1.00%, and an annual change of 3.91% [3][4] Stock Index Futures Trading Data - **Index Performance**: The A - share, CSI 300, SSE 50, ChiNext, and CSI 500 had closing prices of 3771.10, 4288.07, 2862.18, 2595.47, and 6704.17 respectively on the reporting date, with corresponding percentage changes in price [5] - **Valuation**: The PE (TTM) of CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, S&P 500, and German DAX were 13.73, 11.71, 32.02, 27.00, and 20.07 respectively, with corresponding环比 changes [5] - **Risk Premium**: The risk premium of S&P 500 and German DAX were - 0.63 and 2.23 respectively, with corresponding环比 changes [5] - **Fund Flow**: The latest values and 5 - day average values of fund flow in A - shares, main board, small and medium - sized enterprise board, ChiNext, and CSI 300 were presented. For example, the latest value of A - share fund flow was - 1351.53, and the 5 - day average was - 312.50 [5] - **Trading Volume**: The latest trading volumes and环比 changes of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets, CSI 300, SSE 50, small - cap board, and ChiNext were given. For example, the latest trading volume of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets was 24240.57, with a环比 change of 158.23 [5] - **Main Contract Premium or Discount**: The basis and percentage of basis for IF, IH, and IC were - 5.87 (- 0.14%), 3.22 (0.11%), and - 47.77 (- 0.71%) respectively [5] Treasury Bond Futures Trading Data - The closing prices of T00, TF00, T01, and TF01 were 108.000, 105.500, 107.875, and 105.450 respectively, with corresponding percentage changes in price [6] - The R001, R007, and SHIBOR - 3M had values of 1.5143%, 1.5356%, and 1.5500% respectively, with daily changes in basis points [6]

Report Title - "Iron Alloy Morning Report" [1] Report Date - August 22, 2025 [2] Key Information on Silicon Iron Price - For natural silicon iron blocks: in Ningxia 72, the spot price is 5330 with no daily change and a weekly decrease of 170; in Inner Mongolia 72, it's 5300, down 50 daily and 150 weekly; in Qinghai 72, 5300, down 50 daily and 200 weekly; in Shaanxi 72, 5300, no daily change and a 150 weekly decrease; in Shaanxi 75, 5900, no daily change and a 100 weekly increase [2]. - For qualified silicon iron blocks in Jiangsu 72, the spot price is 5600, with no daily change and a 50 weekly decrease [2]. - For silicon iron export prices in Tianjin 72, it's 1055, no daily change and a 30 weekly increase; in Tianjin 75, it's 1110, up 10 daily and 35 weekly [2]. Futures - The main contract price of silicon iron is 5638, up 16 daily and down 106 weekly; the 01 contract is 5614, up 14 daily and down 290 weekly; the 05 contract is 5734, up 6 daily and down 304 weekly; the 09 contract is 5454, up 8 daily and down 290 weekly [2]. Spreads - The main - month basis is - 8, down 16 daily and 64 weekly; the 1 - 5 month spread is - 120, up 8 daily and 14 weekly; the 5 - 9 month spread is 280, down 2 daily and 14 weekly; the 9 - 1 month spread is - 160, down 6 daily and no weekly change; the double - silicon main spread is - 200, up 14 daily and 106 weekly [2]. Key Information on Silicon Manganese Price - For silicon manganese production areas: in Inner Mongolia 6517, the ex - factory price is 5750, no daily change and a 50 weekly decrease; in Ningxia 6517, it's 5570, down 30 daily and 300 weekly; in Guangxi 6517, 5780, down 20 daily and 120 weekly; in Guizhou 6517, 5730, down 20 daily and 140 weekly; in Yunnan 6517, 5730, down 20 daily and 140 weekly; in Guangxi 6014, 5250, down 50 daily and 50 weekly [2]. Futures - The main contract price of silicon manganese is 5838, up 2 daily and down 212 weekly; the 01 contract is 5838, up 2 daily and down 306 weekly; the 05 contract is 5888, up 2 daily and down 290 weekly; the 09 contract is 5746, down 10 daily and 304 weekly [2]. Spreads - The main - month basis is 132, down 32 daily and up 82 weekly; the 1 - 5 month spread is - 50, no daily change and a 16 weekly decrease; the 5 - 9 month spread is 142, up 12 daily and 14 weekly; the 9 - 1 month spread is - 92, down 12 daily and up 2 weekly [2]

Group 1: Report General Information - The report is a Coke Daily Report by the Black Team of the Research Center, dated August 22, 2025 [1] Group 2: Price and Production Data - The latest price of Shanxi quasi - first wet - quenched coke is 1481.33, with a weekly increase of 54.61 and a monthly increase of 218.45, and a year - on - year decrease of 14.82% [2] - The latest price of Hebei quasi - first wet - quenched coke is 1725.00, with a weekly increase of 75.00, a monthly increase of 240.00, and a year - on - year decrease of 12.44% [2] - The latest price of Shandong quasi - first dry - quenched coke is 1660.00, with a weekly increase of 55.00, a monthly increase of 220.00, and a year - on - year decrease of 17.41% [2] - The latest price of Jiangsu quasi - first dry - quenched coke is 1700.00, with a weekly increase of 55.00, a monthly increase of 220.00, and a year - on - year decrease of 17.07% [2] - The latest price of Inner Mongolia second - grade coke is 1180.00, with a weekly increase of 50.00, a monthly increase of 200.00, and a year - on - year decrease of 15.71% [2] - The blast furnace开工率 (blast furnace operating rate) is 90.22, with a weekly increase of 0.13, a monthly decrease of 0.67, and a year - on - year increase of 3.68% [2] - The daily average iron water output is 240.75, with a weekly increase of 0.09, a monthly decrease of 1.48, and a year - on - year increase of 7.26% [2] - The price of the 05 contract on the futures disk is 1772, with a daily increase of 4.00, a weekly decrease of 45.50, a monthly decrease of 1.50, and a year - on - year decrease of 8.19% [2] - The price of the 09 contract on the futures disk is 1624, with a daily increase of 5.00, a weekly decrease of 25.50, a monthly decrease of 77.50, and a year - on - year decrease of 12.52% [2] - The price of the 01 contract on the futures disk is 1679, with a daily decrease of 1.00, a weekly decrease of 50.00, a monthly decrease of 64.00, and a year - on - year decrease of 11.09% [2] - The coking plant inventory is 39.47, with a weekly increase of 0.16, a monthly decrease of 10.65, and a year - on - year decrease of 15.82% [2] - The port inventory is 214.62, with a weekly decrease of 0.49, a monthly increase of 16.49, and a year - on - year increase of 12.24% [2] - The steel mill inventory is 609.59, with a weekly decrease of 0.21, a monthly decrease of 30.39, and a year - on - year increase of 13.52% [2] - The steel mill inventory days are 10.76, with a weekly decrease of 0.07, a monthly decrease of 0.69, and a year - on - year decrease of 0.46% [2] - The coking capacity utilization rate is 74.13, with a weekly increase of 0.38, a monthly increase of 1.23, and a year - on - year increase of 2.33% [2] - The daily average coke output is 51.63, with a weekly decrease of 0.04, a monthly decrease of 1.47, and a year - on - year decrease of 5.20% [2] - The 05 basis is 9.00, with a daily decrease of 4.00, a weekly increase of 45.50, a monthly increase of 236.39, and a year - on - year decrease of 69.65% [2] - The 09 basis is 157.00, with a daily decrease of 5.00, a weekly increase of 25.50, a monthly increase of 312.39, and a year - on - year increase of 4.85% [2] - The 01 basis is 102.00, with a daily increase of 1.00, a weekly increase of 50.00, a monthly increase of 298.89, and a year - on - year decrease of 18.15% [2] - The 5 - 9 spread is - 93.00, with a daily decrease of 5.00, a weekly decrease of 4.50, a monthly decrease of 62.50, and a year - on - year decrease of 51.50% [2] - The 9 - 1 spread is 148.00, with a daily decrease of 1.00, a weekly decrease of 20.00, a monthly increase of 76.00, and a year - on - year increase of 74.50% [2] - The 1 - 5 spread is - 55.00, with a daily increase of 6.00, a weekly increase of 24.50, a monthly decrease of 13.50, and a year - on - year decrease of 23.00% [2] Group 3: Historical Price Charts - There are historical price charts for Linfen ex - factory price, Lvliang ex - factory price, Rizhao Port quasi - first flat - closing price, Changzhi ex - factory price, Qingdao Port quasi - first flat - closing price, Tianjin Port quasi - first flat - closing price from 2021 to 2025 [3][4][5][6][9] - There are also historical charts for 247 - blast furnace capacity utilization rate, iron water output, 110 - steel mill coke inventory, Mongolian port pick - up price, Liulin main coking coal, coke main basis rate, 230 - coking capacity utilization rate, 230 - coke output, port total inventory, coke total inventory (weighted), coking profit, and full - sample coking coke inventory from 2021 to 2025 [7]

Group 1: Investment Ratings - No investment ratings provided in the report Group 2: Core Views - Corn prices will continue to fluctuate with an upper limit and lower support in the short - term, and are expected to decline under pressure in the long - term [2] - Starch prices are expected to continue to fluctuate weakly in the short - term and remain bearish in the long - term [3] - International sugar prices are under pressure, and domestic sugar prices face upward pressure on the futures market [5] - Cotton prices have limited downward space and are in a wait - and - see state for demand verification [8] - Egg prices may trigger more old - hen culling if the rebound in late August is less than expected [13] - Apple production in the new season may not differ much from last year, and consumption is in a off - season [16] - Pig prices have short - term weak fluctuations, and the medium - term supply is still under pressure, while the long - term has policy - related support [16] Group 3: Corn/Starch Price Data - From August 15 - 21, 2025, the price in Jinzhou remained at 2210, in Weifang it decreased by 8 to 2446, and in Shekou it remained at 2380. The basis increased by 4 to 44, and the trade profit changed by - 5 and import profit changed by 2 [2] Market Analysis - In the short - term, corn prices will continue to fluctuate. In the long - term, prices are expected to decline under pressure until consumption improves or there is a reluctance to sell in the production areas [2] - Starch prices will continue to fluctuate weakly in the short - term and remain bearish in the long - term due to high inventory and expected lower raw material costs [3] Group 4: Sugar Price Data - From August 15 - 21, 2025, the spot prices in Liuzhou, Nanning, and Kunming remained unchanged. The basis decreased by 12 to 342, the import profit increased by 61, and the number of warehouse receipts decreased by 493 to 15752 [5] Market Analysis - International sugar prices are under pressure due to Brazil's peak crushing season. Domestic sugar prices are affected by large - scale point - pricing of processing sugar mills and upcoming large - scale imports [5] Group 5: Cotton/Cotton Yarn Price Data - From August 15 - 21, 2025, the price of 3128 cotton decreased by 5 to 15025, the import profit had no available data for change, and the sum of warehouse receipts and forecasts decreased by 181 to 7523. The import profit of Vietnamese yarn increased by 23 to 466, and the 32S spinning profit increased by 5 to - 876 [8] Market Analysis - Cotton prices have limited downward space, and attention should be paid to demand - side changes [8] Group 6: Eggs Price Data - From August 15 - 21, 2025, the price in Hebei remained at 3.31, in Henan decreased by 0.05 to 3.05, and in Hubei decreased by 0.11 to 3.11. The basis decreased by 40 to 320 [12] Market Analysis - Egg prices rebounded from a low level in July but declined in early August due to insufficient demand. Attention should be paid to the rhythm of chicken culling and cold - storage egg release [13] Group 7: Apples Price Data - From August 15 - 21, 2025, the price of Shandong 80 first - and second - grade apples remained at 7300. The basis for January decreased by 24 to - 704, for May decreased by 14 to - 692, and for October decreased by 85 to - 803 [15][16] Market Analysis - Apple production in the new season may not differ much from last year. Consumption is in an off - season, and the market share is occupied by seasonal fruits [16] Group 8: Pigs Price Data - From August 15 - 21, 2025, the price in Henan Kaifeng decreased by 0.10 to 13.73, in Hubei Xiangyang increased by 0.10 to 14.05, in Shandong Linyi decreased by 0.10 to 13.87, in Anhui Hefei decreased by 0.05 to 14.10, and in Jiangsu Nantong decreased by 0.20 to 14.05. The basis decreased by 90 to - 35 [16] Market Analysis - Pig prices have short - term weak fluctuations, with medium - term supply pressure and long - term policy - related support. Attention should be paid to the slaughter rhythm, weather, and policies [16]

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoints - The report presents overnight market information on oilseeds and oils, including US soybean export sales, Indian rapeseed oil imports, Malaysian palm oil production, and Indonesian palm oil inventory and exports [1] - It also shows the spot prices of related products from August 15 - 21, 2025 [2] Summary by Related Catalogs Overnight Market Information - From August 1 - 20, 2025, Malaysian palm oil production increased 0.30% month - on - month, with a 2.12% drop in fresh fruit bunch yield and a 0.46% increase in oil extraction rate [1] - As of August 14, US current market - year soybean export sales net decreased 0.57 million tons, down 98% from the previous week and 105% from the four - week average; next market - year sales net increased 114.26 million tons; export shipments were 51.79 million tons, down 3% from the previous week and up 9% from the four - week average [1] - Due to a price increase to a three - and - a - half - year high, India imported 6,000 tons of rapeseed oil from the UAE in August, the first import in five years, and soybean oil imports are also rising [1] - In June, Indonesia's palm oil inventory decreased 13% month - on - month to 2.53 million tons, exports increased 35.4% month - on - month to 3.61 million tons, and production increased 15.8% month - on - month to 4.82 million tons [1] Spot Prices - Spot prices of products such as soybean meal in Jiangsu, rapeseed meal in Guangdong, soybean oil in Jiangsu, palm oil in Guangzhou, and rapeseed oil in Jiangsu from August 15 - 21, 2025 are provided [2]