Group 1 - MISTINE collaborates with the popular game "Light and Night of Love" to launch new products including sunscreen and cushion foundation, featuring game-themed designs to attract young consumers [2] - Face Gym, a UK skincare brand, receives investment from Reliance Industries, led by Mukesh Ambani, indicating interest in the international beauty market and providing strong financial support for global expansion [3] - Upm's brand Han Shu wins the Rongge Technology Innovation Award for its "X Peptide Cream" and has filed a patent for a hair loss prevention composition, showcasing innovation in the personal care sector [5] Group 2 - Henkel appoints Rajat Agarwal as North America President, effective July 1, 2025, to drive growth in the personal care business, strengthening the connection between packaging strategy and product portfolio [6] - Changzhou Baijiji Biopharmaceutical Co., Ltd. responds to IPO review and forecasts its functional skincare business to achieve breakeven by Q4 2027, with projected revenues of 73.14 million, 88.58 million, and 108.96 million over the next three years [7] - HBN collaborates with Pantone to define "Oriental Native White," creating four color cards and scientifically analyzing its texture, enhancing brand visibility in the color trend space [8]

Investment Rating - The report rates the cosmetics and medical beauty industry as "Positive" [2][3] Core Viewpoints - The cosmetics retail sales growth for January to May 2025 is 4.1%, an increase of 2 percentage points compared to the same period last year, indicating a steady recovery in demand [3] - The performance of leading brands remains strong, with double-digit growth, supported by the theme of self-care in new consumption trends, leading to a positive outlook for the first half of 2025 [3] - The 618 shopping festival saw strong performances from domestic brands, with notable rankings on platforms like Tmall and Douyin [3] Summary by Sections Cosmetics Industry Outlook - The report anticipates significant revenue and net profit growth for major companies in Q2 and H1 2025, with specific forecasts: - Up Beauty Co. is expected to see a revenue increase of 16% and a net profit increase of 25% [3] - Marubi is projected to grow revenue by 22% and net profit by 28% in Q2 2025 [3] - Proya is expected to achieve a revenue growth of 10% and net profit growth of 15% in Q2 2025 [3] Key Companies Performance - Notable companies and their expected performance include: - Mao Geping is projected to have a revenue increase of 38% and net profit increase of 35% in H1 2025 [3] - Ruibin is expected to see a revenue increase of 15% and net profit increase of 15% in Q2 2025 [3] - Huaxi Biological is expected to maintain stable performance with a 0% revenue growth and a 10% net profit increase in Q2 2025 [3] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies with strong brand matrices and comprehensive product layouts, such as Up Beauty Co., Marubi, and Proya, which are expected to benefit from the live e-commerce traffic [3] - It also highlights the importance of niche market players like Ruibin and Mao Geping, who are positioned to capitalize on the rise of personal care and domestic beauty trends [3] - For the medical beauty sector, the report suggests focusing on companies with high R&D barriers and strong profitability, recommending companies like Aimeike and Langzi [3] E-commerce and Other Segments - The report suggests monitoring e-commerce companies like Ruibin, which is expected to see significant growth in revenue and net profit [3] - In the maternal and infant sector, Kid King is projected to exceed market expectations with a revenue increase of 10% and a net profit increase of 70% in Q2 2025 [3]

Group 1: Gold and Jewelry - In H1 2025, gold prices surged, leading to a decline in gold jewelry consumption while investment gold consumption increased, continuing the trend from 2024 [13][17] - The report anticipates that in H2 2025, gold prices may fluctuate at high levels due to geopolitical conflicts and economic downturns, with central banks continuing to purchase gold [23] - Recommended companies include Laopuhuang, Chow Tai Fook, Chao Hong Ji, and Cai Bai Co., which are expected to benefit from the ongoing trends in gold consumption [23][24][26][30] Group 2: Cosmetics - The cosmetics market showed weak performance in H1 2025, with a cumulative year-on-year growth of 4.1% from January to May, lagging behind overall retail growth [32][35] - Long-term trends in the cosmetics industry remain focused on increasing penetration rates and domestic brand substitution, with a recommendation to focus on brands like Mao Ge Ping and Shangmei Co. for their strong performance and growth potential [35][36][42] - Mao Ge Ping is highlighted for its high-end positioning and significant growth in both online and offline channels, while Shangmei Co. has shown impressive performance during promotional events [36][42] Group 3: Personal Care - The personal care sector, particularly in sanitary napkins and oral care, is expected to maintain stable demand, with domestic brands leading the market [49][51] - The oral care segment is experiencing a shift towards higher-value products driven by consumer demand for efficacy, with domestic brands like Deng Kang Oral Care gaining market share [53][54] - Key companies to watch include Baiya Co. and Deng Kang Oral Care, which are well-positioned to capitalize on these trends [49][53] Group 4: Apparel and Footwear - The apparel retail sector showed moderate growth in H1 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 3.3% in retail sales from January to May [8][14] - Outdoor brands are performing exceptionally well, with high-end outdoor brands like Amer Sports and Anta showing significant revenue growth [8][15] - Recommended companies include Anta Sports for its strong outdoor brand growth and Mercury Home Textiles for its effective marketing strategies [15][16] Group 5: Textile Manufacturing - The textile manufacturing sector is witnessing a shift in export share towards Southeast Asia, with a notable decline in imports from China to the U.S. [8][18] - The report indicates that U.S. apparel imports from Southeast Asia are increasing, while imports from China are decreasing, suggesting a strategic shift in manufacturing locations [18][19] - Companies with diversified production capabilities across regions are recommended for investment consideration [18][19] Group 6: Home Furnishings - The home furnishings market is experiencing growth driven by government policies encouraging upgrades, with furniture retail sales in May 2025 showing a year-on-year increase of 25.6% [8][20] - Key players in the home furnishings sector include Gujia Home and Oppein Home, which are expected to benefit from the ongoing market trends [20][21]

Core Insights - The strategic vision of Up Beauty Co., led by CEO Lv Yixiong, emphasizes long-term focus and multi-brand matrix, which is increasingly evident in the cosmetics industry development in the first half of 2025 [1] - Up Beauty Co. leverages a "single focus, multi-brand, globalization" approach to navigate challenges in the global beauty market, achieving record sales during the 618 shopping festival [1] Group 1: Main Brand Performance - The main brand, Han Shu, has maintained a leading position in the competitive beauty market, ranking as the top beauty brand on Douyin for two consecutive years [2] - During the 618 period, Han Shu achieved significant sales growth across major platforms, with Tmall sales increasing by over 46% and Douyin sales reaching top rankings in multiple categories [2][7] - The Han Shu X Peptide series achieved over 100 million in sales during the 618 event, showcasing the brand's strong research and innovation capabilities [4] Group 2: New Brand Growth - Newpage, a brand focused on infant skincare, reported a revenue of 376 million yuan in 2024, marking a year-on-year growth of 146.3% [11] - During the 618 shopping festival, Newpage saw triple-digit growth across major e-commerce platforms, with Tmall sales increasing by 106% within the first 3.5 hours [11] - The brand's "medical-research co-creation" model has proven effective, leading to significant sales of its star product, the infant soothing cream [12] Group 3: Emerging Brand Success - Anminyou, a brand targeting sensitive skin, experienced a sales increase of over 65% during the 618 period, with notable growth across various platforms [21] - The brand's star product, Qinghao Soothing Essence, ranked second on Douyin's anti-wrinkle essence list during the 618 event, indicating strong market presence [26] Group 4: Strategic Development and Innovation - Up Beauty Co. aims to reach a target of 30 billion yuan by 2030, focusing on a multi-brand and multi-category business model [27] - The company has invested in AI-driven smart factories, enhancing production capacity and efficiency, with a daily output of 2 million bottles [27] - Up Beauty Co. has established a robust research and development framework, including a scientific committee of over 300 researchers, to drive innovation and product development [29]

Summary of Shangmei Co., Ltd. Conference Call Company Overview - Shangmei Co., Ltd. operates in the beauty and personal care industry, focusing on multiple segments including mass skincare, premium skincare, personal care, medical beauty, maternal and infant care, and cosmetics [2][3][4]. Key Points and Arguments Multi-Brand Strategy - The company employs a multi-brand matrix strategy to cater to diverse consumer needs, enhancing profitability and sustainable growth [2][5]. - The Han Shu brand targets the mass market and has achieved rapid growth through category expansion and channel diversification, particularly on e-commerce platforms like Douyin [2][4]. Sales Performance - During the 2025 618 shopping festival, the cosmetics series sales exceeded 100 million RMB, marking a new growth point for the company [2][3]. - The high-end infant care brand New Page is projected to reach sales of 800-1,000 million RMB by 2025, while the anti-hair loss brand Ji Fang quickly became the top seller on Douyin [2][6]. Future Growth Strategy - The company aims to achieve a sales target of 30 billion RMB by 2030 through its "Six Six Strategy," which focuses on strengthening the Han Shu brand and expanding into men's care and other areas [2][7]. - Anticipated growth in the second half of 2025 is expected to outperform the first half due to new channels, teams, product categories, and emerging brands [2][8]. Financial Metrics - Shangmei Co., Ltd. reports a profit margin exceeding 10%, a gross margin above 70%, and a return on equity (ROE) of over 30% [4][16]. Market Dynamics - The beauty and personal care market is valued at 700 billion RMB, with diverse consumer demands across various price segments [4][11]. - Despite intense competition, the industry continues to innovate, creating new demand and structural opportunities for domestic brands [12][40]. Brand Positioning - The Han Shu brand is positioned as a mass-market beauty brand with a broad product range, not reliant on specific channels or consumer perceptions, allowing for significant growth potential [17][18]. Product Development - The company has successfully launched several new products, including men's skincare and various beauty items, which have shown strong market acceptance [3][6][29]. Talent and Organizational Structure - Shangmei Co., Ltd. emphasizes talent acquisition and organizational efficiency to support its multi-brand strategy and enhance its competitive edge in the market [32][35]. Additional Important Insights - The company is expanding its presence on various e-commerce platforms, achieving significant growth rates on platforms like Taobao and JD.com [26]. - The competitive landscape shows that while foreign brands dominate certain segments, domestic brands like Han Shu are gaining market share due to their flexibility and value propositions [25][40]. - The anticipated launch of new brands in the second half of 2025, including a children's care brand and a makeup artist brand, is expected to further enhance market penetration [37][38]. This comprehensive overview highlights Shangmei Co., Ltd.'s strategic initiatives, market positioning, and growth prospects within the beauty and personal care industry.

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market opened lower but rebounded, with the Hang Seng Index closing up 0.67% at 23,689.13 points and a total turnover of HKD 198.59 billion [1] - The Hang Seng Technology Index rose over 1%, indicating a positive sentiment in the tech sector despite geopolitical tensions in the Middle East [1] Blue Chip Performance - Li Auto (02015) led blue-chip stocks with a 5.49% increase, closing at HKD 107.6, contributing 12.27 points to the Hang Seng Index [2] - Other notable performers included Zhongsheng Holdings (00881) up 4.91% and SMIC (00981) up 4.56%, while Xinyi Solar (00968) and Mengniu Dairy (02319) saw declines [2] Sector Highlights - Semiconductor stocks performed well, with Hongguang Semiconductor (06908) up 7.84% and SMIC (00981) up 4.56% [3] - The U.S. plans to tighten semiconductor technology exemptions, which may impact global supply chains and create opportunities in the domestic semiconductor industry [3] Stablecoin Concept - The stablecoin sector showed positive momentum, with companies like Lianlian Digital (02598) and ZhongAn Online (06060) seeing significant gains [4] - The launch of the Cross-Border Payment System is expected to enhance the application of stablecoins, particularly in small and frequent transactions [4] Oil and Gas Sector - Oil and gas equipment stocks rose, with Shandong Molong (00568) up 8.65% and Baqian Oil Services (02178) up 7.14% [4] - The geopolitical situation, including U.S. airstrikes in Iran, has led to increased oil prices, with WTI crude oil rising over 6% at one point [5] Shipping Sector - Shipping stocks performed strongly, with Pacific Basin Shipping (02343) up 19.8% [6] - The potential closure of the Strait of Hormuz due to geopolitical tensions could disrupt global shipping routes, leading to increased interest in shipping stocks [6] New Consumption Trends - New consumption concepts are gaining traction, with companies like Shangmei (02145) and Maogeping (01318) reporting significant growth during the 618 shopping festival [7] - Analysts suggest that sectors meeting emotional value and high-frequency consumption criteria are likely to see long-term growth [7] Notable Stock Movements - China Tianrui Group Cement (01252) saw a significant increase of 14.81% after announcing a recovery in profits [8] - Xiaocaiyuan (00999) rose 10.15% following the lifting of a share lock-up period [9] New Listings - Yaojie Ankang-B (02617) surged 78.71% on its debut, focusing on innovative therapies for cancer and other diseases [10] - Baize Medical (02609) also performed well, increasing 42.18% after its IPO [11] - Sanhua Intelligent Control (02050) saw a slight decline of 0.13% on its first trading day [12]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, with an initial coverage forecast for net profit attributable to the parent company reaching 1.01 billion, 1.23 billion, and 1.45 billion yuan for the years 2025 to 2027 respectively [12][13]. Core Insights - The company, as one of the earliest established Chinese cosmetics firms, has achieved cyclical growth through strong channel and marketing capabilities, supported by a mature supply chain and deep in-house research and development capabilities [5][12]. - The main brand, Han Shu, is expanding its product categories and channels, with a focus on high-priced single products and reducing reliance on high-fee Douyin channels, which is expected to improve sales structure and contribute to revenue and performance elasticity [5][12]. - The sub-brands are well diversified, with the mother and baby brand Newpage showing strong growth, indicating potential for long-term group expansion [5][12]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company is a leading multi-brand cosmetics firm in China, covering various categories including skincare, maternal and infant care, hair care, and makeup, with a price range from mass-market to high-end [9][21]. - The main brand, Han Shu, is projected to achieve a revenue of 5.6 billion yuan in 2024, accounting for 82% of total revenue [21][23]. Development Review - The company's growth can be divided into four phases: 1. Startup Phase (2003-2007) and Rapid Growth Phase (2008-2018) where it leveraged offline stores and emerging channels to establish its brand. 2. Adjustment Phase (2019-2022) where it faced challenges due to channel and consumer concept changes, leading to a brand repositioning. 3. Transformation Breakthrough Phase (2023-present) where it successfully capitalized on the Douyin live-streaming e-commerce trend, revitalizing the Han Shu brand [10][33]. Growth Potential - The main brand is entering a stable growth phase, with future revenue growth expected from category expansion into high-priced products and channel diversification beyond Douyin [11][12]. - The sub-brands are positioned to support long-term group expansion, with a comprehensive product matrix that enhances the company's competitive edge in the cosmetics market [11][12]. Investment Recommendations - The report emphasizes the optimization of Han Shu's sales structure and the contribution of sub-brands to the company's long-term growth potential, projecting significant profit growth in the coming years [12][23].

Investment Rating - Industry rating: Recommended [5] Core Insights - The beauty sector experienced a stable conclusion during the 618 shopping festival, with significant changes in platform and brand dynamics driven by reduced commission policies and interest-based content ecosystems [1][2] - The total GMV for beauty products across four major e-commerce platforms (Taobao, JD, Douyin, Kuaishou) during the 618 period was between 600-700 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of over 10% [1] - Taobao maintained the largest market share at 41.3%, followed by Douyin at 35.7%, JD at 14.8%, and Kuaishou at 8.2% [1][13] Summary by Sections E-commerce Platform Dynamics - Douyin's beauty segment is rapidly growing, supported by merchant subsidies and interest-driven consumer engagement, achieving double-digit growth [2] - Douyin's promotional strategies included a 1.4 billion yuan subsidy for merchants in May, with individual merchant reductions reaching up to 2.99 million yuan [2] Skincare and Makeup Categories - In the skincare category, domestic brands like Proya and Han Shu led the market, maintaining their top positions on Taobao and Douyin [3] - The top five brands in the skincare category on Taobao remained stable, with Proya and Han Shu continuing to dominate [3] - In the makeup and fragrance category, new domestic brands are emerging, with Ti Luo Wei achieving rapid growth by focusing on base makeup products [4] International and Domestic Brand Strategies - International brands are performing well due to localized marketing strategies and a willingness to engage with local consumers [8] - Domestic brands are expected to break out of the competitive cycle focused on ingredients and efficacy, emphasizing brand influence and comprehensive user experience [8] Investment Recommendations - Focus on domestic companies with strong brand equity and comprehensive channel strategies, particularly Proya and Han Shu [9] - Highlight technology-driven skincare brands like Betaini and Juzi Biology that target specific consumer needs [9] - Consider daily chemical brands with strong cost-performance ratios and excellent management of emerging channels, such as Runben and Dengkang [9]

Group 1 - Key Point 1: 基石药业-B (02616) rose over 5% after its drug for lung cancer,舒格利单抗, received long-term survival data recognition in The Lancet Oncology, reinforcing its position as a first-line treatment in Europe [2] - Key Point 2: 海昌海洋公园 (02255) increased by over 4% as a major shareholder, 祥源控股, is set to acquire a 38.6% stake for HKD 22.95 billion, potentially alleviating liquidity pressures [2] - Key Point 3: 冠忠巴士 (00306) surged 27% with a projected 143% increase in annual pre-tax profit to HKD 165 million, driven by revenue growth, reduced fuel costs, and autonomous driving licenses [2] Group 2 - Key Point 1: 东方表行 (00398) fell over 5% due to a 5.2% decline in revenue and a 20% drop in net profit, attributed to weak luxury goods demand amid geopolitical conflicts and interest rate fluctuations [2] - Key Point 2: 北森控股 (09669) plummeted over 17% as its adjusted annual EBITDA was only HKD 28.9 million, with Everbright Securities lowering revenue forecasts by 10%-15% due to growth challenges [3] - Key Point 3: 顺丰控股 (06936) rose over 6% to a new high, with May express delivery revenue increasing by 13.4%, and the scaling of unmanned delivery vehicles potentially opening up future profit opportunities [3] Group 3 - Key Point 1: 中国中免 (01880) increased by over 5% as it accelerates the expansion of its duty-free stores, with 4 already opened and 9 more in preparation, benefiting from favorable policies [3] - Key Point 2: 华虹半导体 (01347) rose over 7% with a capacity utilization rate of 102.7%, and Tianfeng Securities optimistic about future contributions of USD 1.28 billion from its 9th factory [3] - Key Point 3: 网龙 (00777) increased over 3% after showcasing AI digital human presentation technology at a UN conference, launching the "EDA Education Metaverse" strategy, which catalyzed a revaluation of AI [4]

Core Viewpoint - The report from CICC maintains the profit forecast for Shumei Co., Ltd. (02145) for 2025-2026, with the current stock price corresponding to a P/E ratio of 27/22x for those years. The target price is raised by 55% to HKD 85, indicating a 15% upside potential based on the company's positive fundamentals and improved sector valuation [1]. Company Status - CICC recently invited the company to a mid-term strategy meeting to discuss its operational status and development strategy. The company’s main brand, Han Shu, has optimized its Douyin channel live-streaming structure, with rapid growth in external channels. The second-tier products and categories are showing good growth trends, while the small brand Newpage maintains high growth and profitability. The optimization of channels and brand structure is expected to enhance the company's overall profitability [2]. Channel and Product Performance - Han Shu's Douyin channel has seen a GMV increase of 13% year-on-year in May, maintaining its position as the top beauty brand on Douyin. The optimization of live-streaming structure has led to a 71% year-on-year increase in self-broadcasting and product card GMV. The overall GMV for Han Shu on Douyin from May 1 to June 14 increased by 18% year-on-year, with significant growth in Tmall, JD, Pinduoduo, and other external channels [3]. - The second-tier product, the White Waist series, has increased its GMV share to 27% in May, with high-margin lines and makeup series contributing over 10% each. The hair care category has also started to gain traction, indicating a richening product matrix [3]. Brand Matrix and New Product Launches - The multi-brand matrix is becoming more complete, with Newpage continuing its high growth trend, showing a GMV increase of 157% year-on-year from January to May 2025. The brand's profit margin is significantly higher than the company's overall margin. The company plans to launch new brands in the second half of the year, including NAN Beauty and the IP collaboration with the baby care brand Bread Superhero, which is expected to open a new growth curve [4]. Talent and Organizational Development - The company is continuously optimizing its organizational structure and strengthening its talent pool, having recently recruited a former Tmall beauty general manager to partner with NAN Beauty. The company plans to follow a "2+2+2" strategy over the next three years, focusing on skincare, hair care, and maternal and infant products, with six major brands. The long-term growth potential as a multi-category, multi-brand cosmetics group is viewed positively [5].