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申万宏源:猪价跌速加快 调控力度或将加码
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-09-15 08:05
Group 1: Swine Industry - The average selling price of external three-yuan pigs in China on September 14 was 13.27 yuan/kg, a week-on-week decrease of 2.5% [1] - The average selling price of weaned piglets was 294 yuan/head, down 29 yuan/head week-on-week, marking a new low for the year [1] - The average selling price of two-yuan sows was 1595 yuan/head, down 1 yuan/head week-on-week, also a new low for the year [1] - The weak prices of piglets and sows reflect the industry's pessimistic expectations for pig prices in 2026 [1] - The expectation of upgraded capacity regulation in the industry is gaining traction, emphasizing the importance of the "anti-involution" process [2] - The industry is expected to enter a phase of stable and high-quality development, with improved profitability for leading pig companies [2] Group 2: Poultry Industry - The average selling price of white feather broiler chicks was 3.26 yuan/chick, down 1.21% week-on-week [3] - The average selling price of white feather broiler meat was 3.45 yuan/kg, down 1.15% week-on-week [3] - The average selling price of chicken meat cuts was 8687.95 yuan/ton, down 0.09% week-on-week [3] - The seasonal rebound in July-August has ended, with continued ample supply of white chickens expected to be a theme for 2025 [3] - The average selling price of Qingjiao Ma chicken was 5.75 yuan, down 0.3% week-on-week, maintaining a high level for the year [3] - The industry turned profitable in August, with further profit increases expected in September, suggesting a focus on companies' third-quarter performance [3] Group 3: Pet Food Industry - The total sales of pet food on platforms like Tmall, JD, and Douyin in August reached 2.34 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8% and a month-on-month increase of 19% [4] - Cumulative sales from January to August 2025 reached 19.21 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11% [4] - Leading domestic brands showed significant growth, with Blue's, Honest Bite, and Fresh Lang increasing by 42%, 33%, and 27% year-on-year, respectively [4] - Overseas leading brands also saw growth, with Pro Plan, Royal Canin, and Orijen increasing by 45%, 28%, and 17% year-on-year, respectively [4]
申万宏源证券:非银存款连创新高 “存款搬家”提速
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-09-15 06:31
新华财经上海9月15日电申万宏源证券研报分析认为,9月12日央行公布的8月金融数据中最明显的变化 体现为"存款搬家",居民存款连续两个月超季节性下行,以及非银存款的再度多增。7、8月居民存款连 续两个月低于季节性增幅,为2025年首次。另外,8月非银存款新增11800亿,连续创有数据以来同期新 高。居民存款和非银存款连续两个月呈"跷跷板"关系,和资本市场表现联系紧密,反映居民资产结构变 化初露端倪。 (文章来源:新华财经) ...
申万宏源最新研判:当前“长牛”“慢牛”的市场条件充分
21世纪经济报道记者 刘夏菲 8月以来,A股持续冲高,沪指一度冲击3900点大关。进入9月,A股延续上行趋势的同时,板块轮动加 快。如何看待当前A股市场所处的阶段,本轮上涨行情的持续性如何?如何利用好ETF等工具调动更多 投资者参与其中? 在9月12日举办的申万宏源证券财富管理论坛,多位研究所专家、公私募机构代表及上市公司高管等嘉 宾从当前市场出发,共同探讨宏观经济、ETF生态圈、上市公司及量化私募服务等热点议题。 图:论坛现场 "当前,全球正处于'高波动、再平衡'新周期。美联储降息路径扰动流动性潮汐,地缘博弈重塑产业链 版图,AI革命引爆新一轮科技投资浪潮。国内政策加力提效、信用周期修复、剩余流动性宽裕,财富 管理行业迎来了全新机遇。"申万宏源证券党委副书记、总经理张剑在论坛开幕致辞中表示。 "长牛""慢牛"逻辑凸显 "在2025年的四月份,中国资本市场可能就已经开启了一轮'慢牛'。"申万宏源研究总经理、首席策略分 析师王胜认为,当前"长牛""慢牛"的市场条件已经比较充分。 从基本面层面来看,一方面,通过反内卷与供给侧结构性改革,中长期行业供需格局得到明显改善;另 一方面,科创企业持续成长,"人工智能+"必 ...
申万宏源证券召开“云行龙骧·九万里——2025申万宏源证券财富管理论坛”
Zhong Zheng Wang· 2025-09-12 14:08
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles emphasizes that the wealth management industry in China is entering a new opportunity phase due to enhanced domestic policies, credit cycle recovery, and ample remaining liquidity [1][2] - The company plans to focus on building an "ETF ecosystem" as a strategic priority, integrating production, education, research, and investment to provide professional investment research and comprehensive advisory services to investors [1] - The current global technological revolution is seen as a pivotal moment, with breakthroughs in artificial intelligence, quantum computing, biotechnology, and new energy reshaping global industrial patterns and investment logic [1] Group 2 - The company aims to transform residents' wealth from "short-term savings" to "long-term allocation" by incorporating "new productive forces" into ETFs, addressing the pain points of wealth management transformation [2] - As a large comprehensive securities firm, the company is committed to supporting various investors through professional research, investment financing, and wealth management services, aligning with national strategies and contributing to China's modernization [2]
申万宏源张剑:把握“高波动、再平衡”新周期 以ETF生态与科技赋能财富管理新未来
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-12 12:41
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article emphasizes the analysis of global economic trends and wealth opportunities in the context of a "high volatility, rebalancing" new cycle [1] - The company, Shenwan Hongyuan, aims to leverage ETF ecosystem construction, technology empowerment in finance, and the transformation of buy-side advisory services to help investors seize the benefits of industrial changes [1] - The event, "Cloud Walk Long Xiang • Nine Thousand Miles - 2025 Shenwan Hongyuan Securities Wealth Management Forum," took place in Guangzhou, highlighting the company's commitment to supporting China's modernization development [1]
调研速递|青岛银行接受申万宏源等6家机构调研,信贷与净息差成关注要点
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-11 11:29
声明:市场有风险,投资需谨慎。 本文为AI大模型基于第三方数据库自动发布,任何在本文出现的信 息(包括但不限于个股、评论、预测、图表、指标、理论、任何形式的表述等)均只作为参考,不构成 个人投资建议。受限于第三方数据库质量等问题,我们无法对数据的真实性及完整性进行分辨或核验, 因此本文内容可能出现不准确、不完整、误导性的内容或信息,具体以公司公告为准。如有疑问,请联 系biz@staff.sina.com.cn。 点击查看公告原文>> 责任编辑:小浪快报 9月11日,青岛银行接待了申万宏源、长信基金、华安基金、华夏基金、长盛基金、牧鑫资产等6家机构 的特定对象调研。以下为本次调研的详细情况: 调研基础信息投资者活动关系类别:特定对象调研时间:2025年9月11日(星期四)14:00 - 15:00地点: 青岛银行股份有限公司总行6楼会议室参与单位名称:申万宏源林颖颖、冯思远;长信基金吴廷华;华 安基金郭昶皓;华夏基金晏屹江;长盛基金王欣;牧鑫资产汪晨曦上市公司接待人员姓名:本行相关部 门工作人员 调研核心内容信贷投放方向:2025年,青岛银行持续优化资产负债结构,稳步扩大资产规模,大力增加 贷款投放。截至20 ...
中信、银河、申万宏源、兴业等券商再亮国际化布局,走出去,引进来各有章法
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-11 09:34
Group 1 - The 25th China International Investment Trade Fair was held in Xiamen from September 8 to September 11, showcasing the latest international strategies of major securities firms like CITIC Securities, Galaxy Securities, Shenwan Hongyuan Securities, and Industrial Securities [1][2] - The theme of this year's fair was "Join Hands with China, Invest in the Future," focusing on three main areas: "Investing in China," "Chinese Investment," and "International Investment," with a significant increase in exhibition area and number of exhibitors compared to previous years [1][2] - Over 70 leading international capital firms, domestic major stock exchanges, financial industry associations, funds, securities firms, investment banks, banks, insurance companies, and quality listed companies participated, highlighting the vast prospects and vitality of the Chinese investment market [1] Group 2 - During the fair, key economists from major securities firms provided constructive suggestions on how the Chinese economy can respond to external challenges and internal pressures [2] - CITIC Securities showcased its international strategy through a diverse and digital exhibition format, emphasizing its role in serving the real economy and acting as a bridge for international cooperation [3] - Galaxy Securities focused on the Southeast Asian market, presenting its international brand image and demonstrating its leading position in the region's brokerage business, particularly in Malaysia, Singapore, and Indonesia [4][5] Group 3 - Shenwan Hongyuan Securities highlighted its commitment to the financial "Five Major Articles" and engaged in discussions on cross-border investment cooperation during the fair [6] - Industrial Securities presented an immersive experience at its booth, showcasing its wealth management capabilities and interactive financial education activities [7]
申万宏源:维持康耐特光学(02276)“买入”评级 智能眼镜长期空间广阔
智通财经网· 2025-09-11 08:41
Core Viewpoint - The report from Shenwan Hongyuan maintains a "buy" rating for Kangnait Optical (02276), projecting net profit growth of 28.5%, 24.0%, and 23.1% for 2025-2027, with figures of 5.50, 6.82, and 8.40 billion yuan respectively. The company is a leading lens manufacturer with a solid product SKU matrix and strong upstream and downstream partnerships, showcasing significant supply chain advantages [1][2]. Group 1: Company Overview - Kangnait Optical is positioned as a leading enterprise in lens manufacturing, with a comprehensive product SKU matrix and stable upstream and downstream collaborations [1]. - The company has been actively expanding its domestic market presence and developing its own brand, creating new growth momentum [1]. - The increasing proportion of differentiated products is enhancing the company's profitability [1]. Group 2: Market Trends - The smart glasses market is experiencing robust growth, with Kangnait Optical strategically positioning itself to leverage first-mover advantages [1]. - The demand for smart glasses is expected to drive both volume and price increases in the lens industry, as consumers are willing to pay higher prices for premium lenses [2]. - The global demand for lenses is steadily increasing, particularly in China, where there is significant growth potential [2]. Group 3: Product Demand and Supply Dynamics - On the demand side, there is a shift towards high refractive index and functional upgrades in product structure, indicating a healthy global demand growth [2]. - International brands hold a first-mover advantage, but domestic companies like Kangnait Optical are gradually achieving import substitution [2]. - The combination of AR displays and optical lenses creates high barriers for pre-installed prescription lenses, leading to higher price points and a more optimized competitive landscape for quality suppliers [2].
申万宏源:维持康耐特光学“买入”评级 智能眼镜长期空间广阔
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-09-11 08:40
Core Viewpoint - The report from Shenwan Hongyuan maintains a "buy" rating for Kangnait Optical (02276), forecasting net profit growth for 2025-2027 at 5.50, 6.82, and 8.40 billion yuan, representing year-on-year increases of 28.5%, 24.0%, and 23.1% respectively [1] Group 1: Company Overview - Kangnait Optical is a leading manufacturer in the lens industry with a comprehensive product SKU matrix and strong upstream and downstream partnerships, showcasing significant supply chain advantages [1] - The company has been actively expanding its domestic market presence and developing its own brand, creating new growth momentum [1] - The increasing proportion of differentiated products has led to continuous improvement in profitability [1] Group 2: Industry Trends - The smart glasses market is experiencing robust growth, with Kangnait Optical positioning itself advantageously, as evidenced by the continuous investment and acquisition of company shares by Goer [1] - Smart glasses combine attributes of new smart wearable devices and traditional eyewear, indicating a broad long-term market potential [1] - In 2024, global shipments of finished reading glasses and sunglasses are projected to be 277 million and 413 million pairs respectively, while shipments of myopia lenses and frames are expected to reach 816 million and 699 million pairs [1] Group 3: Market Demand and Supply - On the demand side, the product structure is upgrading towards high refraction and functionalization, with steady global demand growth and significant potential in China [2] - On the supply side, international brands hold a first-mover advantage, while domestic companies like Kangnait Optical are gradually achieving import substitution [2] - The smart glasses segment is expected to drive both volume and price increases in the industry, as consumers are willing to pay higher prices for lenses, thus facilitating product structure upgrades [2]
申万宏源天添利货币将管理费率下调至0.3%/年
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-10 09:35
Core Viewpoint - The company announced a reduction in the management fee rate from 0.90% to 0.30% per annum due to the seven-day annualized estimated yield being less than or equal to twice the current deposit rate, aiming to mitigate risks associated with negative estimated net returns and potential overdraft issues for sales institutions [1] Group 1 - The management fee adjustment is effective from September 8 [1] - The decision is based on the asset management contract and prospectus agreements [1] - The management fee will revert to 0.90% per annum once the associated risks are eliminated [1]