Group 1 - The A-share liquor sector has experienced a significant pullback, with Shanxi Fenjiu dropping nearly 4% [1] - Luzhou Laojiao and Jiugui Liquor both fell over 3%, while Yingjia Gongjiu, Jiansi Yuan, and Gujing Gongjiu declined more than 2% [1] - Kweichow Moutai saw a decrease of 1.3%, with other companies like *ST Yanshi and Jinhui Liquor also following the downward trend [1]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Outperform" rating to multiple companies in the consumer staples sector, including Moutai, Wuliangye, Luzhou Laojiao, and others, indicating a positive outlook for these stocks [1]. Core Insights - The report highlights a general decline in wholesale prices across most categories of consumer staples, particularly in the baijiu segment, with significant price drops noted for Moutai and Wuliangye [3][32]. - It emphasizes the structural opportunities arising from policy catalysis in the consumer staples sector, suggesting that investors should focus on these potential growth areas [3]. Summary by Sections Price Trends - Recent wholesale prices for Moutai show a decrease, with Feitian Moutai (case) priced at 1845 yuan, down 70 yuan from the previous month, and a year-to-date decline of 395 yuan [32]. - Wuliangye's eighth-generation price remains stable at 920 yuan, with no change since the beginning of the year [32]. - The report notes that the prices of various baijiu brands have shown a downward trend, with year-on-year declines for many products [4][32]. Discount Trends - Discounts on mass-market consumer goods have widened, particularly for liquid milk, soft drinks, infant formula, seasonings, and beer, indicating a shift in consumer purchasing behavior [19][30]. - The average discount rate for liquid milk decreased from 79.1% to 74.8%, while soft drinks saw a drop from 91.8% to 88.3% [19][30]. - The report provides a detailed overview of discount rates across various categories, showing a general trend of increasing discounts in the consumer staples market [20][21].

Core Viewpoint - The market is experiencing rapid style rotation, with a shift in risk appetite leading funds to move from high-positioned sectors to those with performance certainty and valuation safety margins [1] Market Performance - On August 26, the Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3868.38 points, down 0.39% - The liquor sector closed at 2410.43 points, slightly up by 0.05%, with 12 liquor stocks declining [1] Individual Stock Performance - Kweichow Moutai closed at 1481.61 CNY per share, down 0.59% - Wuliangye closed at 129.74 CNY per share, down 0.15% - Shanxi Fenjiu closed at 207.90 CNY per share, up 1.08% - Luzhou Laojiao closed at 140.83 CNY per share, up 1.32% - Yanghe Brewery closed at 74.42 CNY per share, up 0.20% [1] Valuation Insights - According to a report by Founder Securities, the liquor sector's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio percentiles over the past 1 year, 2 years, and 5 years are 21.81%, 10.93%, and 4.37% respectively - Current valuations are at the bottom, and with policy recovery and fundamental improvement, the sector is expected to complete its bottoming process, leading to valuation reconfiguration and gradual performance recovery [1]

Group 1 - The three major indices collectively rose, with the Shanghai Composite Index reaching 3888 points, an increase of 0.11% [1] - The liquor sector closed at 2423.25 points, up 0.58%, with the leading stock, JiuGuiJiu, rising by 6.03% [1] - Guizhou Moutai's closing price was 1489.60 CNY per share, down 0.05%, while Wuliangye closed at 130.59 CNY, up 0.51% [1] Group 2 - Huatai Securities' research report indicates that the liquor sector is showing signs of bottoming out, suggesting potential for bottom-fishing [1] - The valuation and sentiment in the liquor sector are currently low, with the overall fundamentals stabilizing [1] - The upcoming Mid-Autumn Festival is expected to boost demand, and the government continues to focus on stimulating domestic consumption with ongoing promotional policies [1]

Core Viewpoint - The liquor sector is showing signs of stabilization and potential recovery, supported by government policies aimed at boosting domestic demand and the upcoming Mid-Autumn Festival [1] Industry Summary - The three major indices collectively rose, with the Shanghai Composite Index reaching 3888 points, up 0.11% [1] - The liquor sector index closed at 2423.25 points, increasing by 0.58%, with strong performance from individual stocks such as JiuGuiJiu, which rose by 6.03% [1] - Major liquor companies are focusing on maintaining investor interests, with several announcing long-term and mid-term dividend plans [1] Company Summary - Kweichow Moutai closed at 1489.60 CNY per share, down 0.05% [1] - Wuliangye closed at 130.59 CNY per share, up 0.51% [1] - Shanxi Fenjiu closed at 207.02 CNY per share, up 0.65% [1] - Luzhou Laojiao closed at 140.11 CNY per share, up 0.81% [1] - Yanghe Brewery closed at 74.94 CNY per share, up 0.90% [1]

Market Overview - The liquor sector experienced a decline of 0.22% on August 26, with *ST Rock leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3868.38, down 0.39%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12473.17, up 0.26% [1] Liquor Sector Performance - Notable gainers in the liquor sector included: - Jiu Gui Jiu (Code: 000799) with a closing price of 69.40, up 3.37% and a trading volume of 447,900 shares, totaling 3.066 billion yuan [1] - Jin Hui Jiu (Code: 616809) closed at 21.26, up 1.72% with a trading volume of 132,800 shares, totaling 283 million yuan [1] - Lu Zhou Lao Jiao (Code: 000568) closed at 140.83, up 1.32% with a trading volume of 178,200 shares, totaling 2.489 billion yuan [1] - Major decliners included: - *ST Rock (Code: 600696) closed at 6.67, down 4.17% with a trading volume of 131,100 shares, totaling 87.8443 million yuan [2] - Shui Jing Fang (Code: 600779) closed at 48.01, down 2.04% with a trading volume of 115,500 shares, totaling 559 million yuan [2] - Ying Jia Gong Jiu (Code: 603198) closed at 46.13, down 2.02% with a trading volume of 175,400 shares, totaling 817 million yuan [2] Capital Flow Analysis - The liquor sector saw a net outflow of 299 million yuan from major funds, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 222 million yuan [2] - Specific stock capital flows included: - Lu Zhou Lao Jiao had a net inflow of 1.44 billion yuan from major funds, but a net outflow of 403.18 million yuan from retail investors [3] - Yang He Co. (Code: 002304) experienced a net inflow of 35.93 million yuan from major funds, but a net outflow of 40.70 million yuan from retail investors [3] - *ST Rock had a significant net outflow of 577.19 million yuan from major funds, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 857.14 million yuan [3]

Group 1 - A-shares experienced a decline in most major indices on August 26, with the Tianhong Food and Beverage ETF (159736) showing a slight increase of 0.13% during trading [1] - The Tianhong Food and Beverage ETF has seen a net inflow of funds for five consecutive days, accumulating 86.54 million yuan, with a net inflow of 9.03 million yuan on the previous day [1] - The ETF closely tracks the CSI Food and Beverage Index, which includes major companies in the beverage, packaged food, and meat sectors, with top holdings including Kweichow Moutai, Yili, and Wuliangye [1] Group 2 - In the first half of 2025, China's retail sales of consumer goods reached 24.55 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.0%, with restaurant revenue at 2.75 trillion yuan, up 4.3% [2] - Among 231 listed companies in the food and beverage sector, 82 have reported their first-half 2025 earnings, with total revenue of 550.84 billion yuan, a 7.12% increase year-on-year, and net profit of 82.13 billion yuan, up 15.30% [2] - The overall trend in the food and beverage industry indicates stable growth in both revenue and profit, with a focus on the performance of snack brands and the recovery of consumer confidence [2]

25 August 2025 | 3:47PM HKT China Spirits Tracker: Market sentiment recovering from low, demand still improving gradually; Moutai/Wuliangye wholesale price weakens We have recently observed market sentiment rotation to laggards as investors take a "worst is over" stance on the spirits space (ie. sequential normalization of anti-graft policy impact), with the spirits P/E gap vs. A-share P/E approaching a decade low at c.2-3x (18% premium vs. last decade average at 103%, see Exhibit 1) and Northbound fund flo ...

Group 1 - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3883.56 points, up 1.51% on August 25 [1] - The liquor sector index closed at 2409.35 points, increasing by 2.89%, with 20 liquor stocks rising [1] - Kweichow Moutai's stock price reached 1490.33 CNY per share, up 1.80% [1] Group 2 - Wuliangye's stock price closed at 129.93 CNY per share, up 3.29% [1] - Shanxi Fenjiu's stock price closed at 205.68 CNY per share, up 4.65% [1] - Luzhou Laojiao's stock price closed at 138.99 CNY per share [1] Group 3 - Huatai Securities indicated that the liquor market's fundamentals are stabilizing, with a narrowing decline in sales since August [1] - The recovery in consumption is particularly noted in scenarios like graduation banquets and gatherings, especially for liquor priced below 300 CNY [1] - The current recovery in the market is also reflected in the performance of government and business consumption [1]

北京商报讯（记者 刘一博 冯若男）8月25日尾盘，沪指3883.56点上涨1.51%。白酒板块2409.35点收盘 上涨2.89%，其中20只白酒股上涨，贵州茅台1490.33元/股收盘。 华泰证券指出，当前基本面环比企稳，预计8月以来，白酒动销端表现环比降幅收窄，尤其升学宴、亲 朋聚饮等大众宴席场景修复较快，300元以下大众价位白酒产品有所修复；当前，政商务消费仍然有所 承压，但预计未来随政策限制边际收窄，也将稳步恢复。同时，由于前期需求快速下滑，部分渠道和终 端经销商回款和出货更为谨慎。整体看，当前行业基本面表现筑底企稳，中秋旺季将近，期待需求稳步 修复带动行业动销改善。 从个股来看，贵州茅台收盘价达1490.33元/股，上涨1.80%；五粮液收盘价达129.93元/股，上涨3.29%； 山西汾酒收盘价达205.68元/股，上涨4.65%；泸州老窖收盘价达138.99元/股，上涨6.35%；洋河股份收 盘价达74.27元/股，上涨2.92%。 ...