——公司 2025 年一季报点评报告 投资评级：买入（维持） 日期 2025/5/7 当前股价(元) 12.22 一年最高最低(元) 20.18/11.76 总市值(亿元) 329.12 流通市值(亿元) 329.12 总股本(亿股) 26.93 流通股本(亿股) 26.93 近 3 个月换手率(%) 38.73 股价走势图 数据来源：聚源 -48% -36% -24% -12% 0% 12% 24% 2024-05 2024-09 2025-01 2025-05 淮北矿业 沪深300 煤炭/煤炭开采 淮北矿业（600985.SH） Q1 降本对冲煤价下滑影响，关注成长性及破净修复 2025 年 05 月 08 日 相关研究报告 《煤炭量价齐跌致业绩承压，关注成 长性及破净修复—公司 2024年报点评 报告》-2025.3.28 《Q3 煤炭量价齐跌拖累业绩，关注煤 矿+煤化工成长—公司信息更新报告》 -2024.10.30 《煤炭量价回落，关注煤矿和煤化工 项目成长—公司 2024 年中报点评报 告》-2024.8.30 张绪成（分析师） zhangxucheng@kysec.cn 证书编号：S079052 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a significant decline in Q1 2025 financial performance, with revenue and net profit dropping sharply due to lower production and sales volumes in the coal sector, alongside price reductions in various products [1][2][3]. Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 10.6 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 39.0% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 690 million yuan, down 56.5% year-on-year [1] - The adjusted net profit was 670 million yuan, reflecting a decline of 59.96% year-on-year [1] Coal Production and Sales - The company's coal production in Q1 2025 was 4.31 million tons, a decrease of 17.73% year-on-year [1] - Coal sales volume was 2.97 million tons, down 26.18% year-on-year [1] - The average selling price of coal was 938 yuan per ton, a decline of 20.3% year-on-year [1] - The cost per ton was 520 yuan, down 12.3% year-on-year, resulting in a gross profit of 418 yuan per ton, which is a 28.4% decrease year-on-year [1] Chemical Sector Performance - The company’s anhydrous ethanol project, with a capacity of 600,000 tons, commenced production in 2024 and is expected to contribute profits in 2025 [2] - In Q1 2025, the production and sales of anhydrous ethanol were 100,000 tons and 90,000 tons respectively, generating revenue of 440 million yuan [2] - The production and sales of coke were 740,000 tons and 700,000 tons, down 15.2% and 18.8% year-on-year respectively, with a selling price of 1,499 yuan per ton, a decrease of 35.2% [2] - Methanol production was 120,000 tons, up 31.16% year-on-year, while sales were 40,000 tons, down 47.23% year-on-year [2] Project Development - The company is advancing several new projects, including an 8 million ton coal project expected to be completed by the end of 2025 [3] - Non-coal business includes the acquisition of 10 million tons of limestone resources and the establishment of 7 mines, increasing limestone production capacity to 27.4 million tons per year [3] - The company is also progressing on a 2×660MW supercritical power generation project, expected to be operational by the end of 2025 [3] Profit Forecast - The company forecasts revenues of 56.9 billion yuan, 58.3 billion yuan, and 57.2 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with year-on-year changes of -13.60%, +2.51%, and -1.93% respectively [3] - Expected net profits for the same period are 3.39 billion yuan, 3.94 billion yuan, and 4.64 billion yuan, with year-on-year changes of -30.3%, +16.3%, and +18.0% respectively [3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report highlights that the company has excellent cost control and that ongoing construction projects are expected to enhance performance [3][4] - The coal business experienced a decline in both volume and price, but the company is expected to stabilize due to long-term contract pricing [9][10] Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 10.567 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 39%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 0.692 billion yuan, down 56.5% year-on-year [8] - The weighted average return on equity (ROE) was 1.62%, a decrease of 2.5 percentage points year-on-year [8] Coal Business Analysis - In Q1 2025, the company produced 4.31 million tons of commercial coal, a decrease of 18% year-on-year, and sold 2.97 million tons, down 26% year-on-year [9] - The unit price of commercial coal was 938 yuan per ton, a decrease of 20% year-on-year, while the cost per ton was 520 yuan, down 12% year-on-year [9] - The gross profit per ton of coal was 418 yuan, a decrease of 28% year-on-year [9] Construction Projects - The company is progressing with the construction of its first large-scale coal mine in Inner Mongolia, with an annual capacity of 8 million tons, expected to be completed by the end of 2025 [9] - The Xinhai coal mine has entered a new phase of systematic recovery [9] Chemical Business Performance - In Q1 2025, the company saw a decline in both coke and methanol sales, with coke production at 740,000 tons (down 15% year-on-year) and sales at 700,000 tons (down 19% year-on-year) [9] - The unit price of coke was 1,499 yuan per ton, down 35% year-on-year, leading to a sales revenue of 1.051 billion yuan, a decrease of 47% [9] - Methanol production was 120,000 tons (up 31% year-on-year), but sales were only 40,000 tons (down 47% year-on-year) [9] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company is expected to achieve operating revenues of 63.4 billion yuan, 67.9 billion yuan, and 70.7 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year changes of -4%, +7%, and +4% [9] - Net profits attributable to shareholders are forecasted to be 3.2 billion yuan, 3.9 billion yuan, and 4.4 billion yuan for the same years, with year-on-year changes of -34%, +23%, and +10% [9] - The estimated earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 1.19 yuan, 1.47 yuan, and 1.62 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, corresponding to price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 10, 8, and 7 [9]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Positive" [1] Core Viewpoints - The coal sector's overall performance in Q1 2025 showed a decline, with a total net profit of 24.12 billion yuan, down 41.5% year-on-year. Among 37 listed companies, 25 reported profits, with 23 experiencing a year-on-year decline in net profit [3] - The report suggests that the weak demand in Q1, influenced by holidays and higher temperatures, led to increased supply and falling coal prices. However, due to long-term contract pricing, the performance of thermal coal companies remained relatively stable. A rebound in coal prices is expected around mid-May [3] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring demand recovery and suggests that the current demand may represent the annual bottom, with a potential rebound in prices during the peak season [3] Industry Market Performance - As of April 29, the CITIC coal industry index fell by 3.69%, underperforming the CSI 300 index, which declined by 2.89%. Year-to-date, the coal sector has dropped by 13.99%, lagging behind the CSI 300 by 9.93 percentage points [10] - The coal industry's price-to-earnings ratio (TTM) is 11.5, which is relatively low compared to other sectors, ranking 27th among 30 CITIC primary industries [10] Supply and Demand Situation - In Q1 2025, the average daily sales of the top 20 coal groups decreased by 3.5% year-on-year, while national coal production increased by 8.1% to 1.2 billion tons [4][40] - The total coal consumption in China for Q1 2025 was 1.27 billion tons, a slight increase of 0.2% year-on-year, with the power sector consuming 740 million tons, down 3% [59] - The report indicates that coal prices have generally declined in Q1, with thermal coal prices at 767.6 yuan/ton, down 16.5% year-on-year [4] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on high-dividend thermal coal companies during market dips, specifically mentioning China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry, and China Coal Energy for thermal coal, and Huabei Mining and Lu'an Environmental Energy for coking coal [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for Huabei Mining (600985.SH) [4][6] Core Views - The company's Q1 2025 performance exceeded expectations, with sufficient medium to long-term growth potential despite a significant decline in revenue and profit [1] - The coal and coal chemical product prices have decreased, impacting profitability, but the company is expanding its coal and coal chemical production capacity [4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 10.567 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 39.0%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 0.692 billion yuan, down 56.5% [1] - The coal production volume was 4.308 million tons, a decrease of 17.7% year-on-year, while sales volume dropped by 26.2% [2] - The average selling price of coal was 937.8 yuan per ton, down 20.3% year-on-year, leading to a gross profit margin of 44.56%, which is a decline of 5.1 percentage points [2] Production and Capacity Expansion - The company is set to increase its coal production capacity with the completion of the 8 million tons/year Tohutu Mine by the end of 2025 and the gradual resumption of operations at the Xinh Lake coal mine [4] - The coal chemical segment is also expanding, with the official launch of the ethanol project contributing to profitability [4] Profit Forecast - The forecasted net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is projected to be 1.924 billion yuan, 2.474 billion yuan, and 3.383 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.71 yuan, 0.92 yuan, and 1.26 yuan [5] - The price-to-earnings ratio (PE) for 2025 is estimated at 17 times, decreasing to 9 times by 2027 [5]

证券研究报告 公司研究 [Table_ReportType] 公司点评报告 [Table_StockAndRank] 淮北矿业（600985） 左前明 能源行业首席分析师 执业编号：S1500518070001 联系电话：010-83326712 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDA SECURITIES CO.,LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲127号金隅大厦 B座 邮编：100031 [Table_Title] 提质降本凸显业绩韧性，产量恢复助力业绩向好 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 4 月 30 日 [Table_S 事件：2025 ummar年y]4 月 29 日 ，淮北矿业发布 2025 年一季报，2025 年第一季 度，公司单季度营业收入 105.99 亿元，同比下降 38.95%，环比上涨 0.17%； 单季度归母净利润 6.92 亿元，同比下降 56.50%，环比下降 3.44%；单季度 扣非后净利润 6.74 亿元，同比下降 56.96%，环比上涨 19.86%。 点评： 请阅读最后一页免责声明及信息披露 http://www.cindasc.com 1 [Table_A ...

证券研究报告 公司研究 [Table_StockAndRank] 淮北矿业（600985） 左前明 能源行业首席分析师 执业编号：S1500518070001 联系电话：010-83326712 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDA SECURITIES CO.,LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲127号金隅大厦 B座 邮编：100031 [Table_Title] 提质降本凸显业绩韧性，产量恢复助力业绩向好 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 4 月 30 日 [Table_S 事件：2025 ummar年y]4 月 29 日 ，淮北矿业发布 2025 年一季报，2025 年第一季 度，公司单季度营业收入 105.99 亿元，同比下降 38.95%，环比上涨 0.17%； 单季度归母净利润 6.92 亿元，同比下降 56.50%，环比下降 3.44%；单季度 扣非后净利润 6.74 亿元，同比下降 56.96%，环比上涨 19.86%。 点评： 请阅读最后一页免责声明及信息披露 http://www.cindasc.com 1 [Table_ReportType] 公司点评报告 [Table_A ...

证券代码：600985 证券简称：淮北矿业 公告编号：2025-019 淮北矿业控股股份有限公司 2024年年度股东大会决议公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 本次会议是否有否决议案：无 一、 会议召开和出席情况 (一)股东大会召开的时间：2025 年 4 月 29 日 (二)股东大会召开的地点：安徽省淮北市人民中路 276 号淮北矿业会议中心 (三)出席会议的普通股股东和恢复表决权的优先股股东及其持有股份情况： | 1、出席会议的股东和代理人人数 | 558 | | --- | --- | | 2、出席会议的股东所持有表决权的股份总数（股） | 1,886,923,043 | | 3、出席会议的股东所持有表决权股份数占公司有表决权股 | 70.0609 | | 份总数的比例（%） | | (四)表决方式是否符合《公司法》及《公司章程》的规定，大会主持情况等。 本次会议由公司董事会召集，董事长孙方先生主持会议。本次会议采取现场 和网络投票相结合的方式召开，现场会议采取记名投票表决的方式，本次会 ...

一安徽天禾律师事务所 == 安徽天禾律师事务所 2024 年年度股东大会 的法律意见书 地址: 安徽省合肥市怀宁路 288 号置地广场 A 座 34-35 楼 电话:(0551) 2642792 传真:(0551) 2620450 淮北矿业 2024年年度股东大会法律意见书 安徽天禾律师事务所 关于淮北矿业控股股份有限公司 淮北矿业 2024 年年度股东大会法律意见书 关于淮北矿业控股股份有限公司 本法律意见书是天禾律师根据对有关本次股东大会事实的了解及对我国现 行法律、法规和规范性文件的理解而做出的。 天禾律师同意将本法律意见书作为本次股东大会的公告文件,随公司其他 文件一并提交上海证券交易所审核公告。天禾律师根据《证券法》第 163 条的 要求,按照律师行业公认的业务标准、道德规范和勤勉尽责精神,参与了本次 股东大会并对公司提供的有关文件和事实进行了核查和验证,现出具法律意见 书如下: 一、关于本次股东大会的召集、召开程序 (一)根据公司 2025年3月26日第十届董事会第四次会议决议,公司于 2025 年 3 月 28 日在上海证券交易所网站公告了《关于召开 2024 年年度股东大 会的通知》,上述通知 ...

证券代码：600985 证券简称：淮北矿业 公告编号：临 2025-021 淮北矿业控股股份有限公司 关于召开 2025 年第一季度业绩说明会的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 投资者可于 2025 年 4 月 30 日(星期三)至 5 月 9 日(星期五)16:00 前登 录 上 证 路 演 中 心 网 站 首 页 点 击 " 提 问 预 征 集 " 栏 目 或 通 过 公 司 邮 箱 zqtzb@hbcoal.com 进行提问。公司将在说明会上对投资者普遍关注的问题进行 回答。 淮北矿业控股股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）已于 2025 年 4 月 30 日发 布 2025 年第一季度报告，为便于广大投资者更全面深入地了解公司 2025 年第一 季度经营成果、财务状况，公司计划于 2025 年 5 月 12 日(星期一)上午 11:00-12:00 举行 2025 年第一季度业绩说明会，就投资者关心的问题进行交流。 （二）投资者可于 2025 年 4 月 30 日(星期三)至 5 月 9 ...