Core Viewpoint - The report from China Merchants Securities International raises Tencent Holdings' target price by 9% to HKD 766, maintaining a "Buy" rating, driven by improved earnings forecasts and operational efficiencies from AI [1] Financial Projections - Tencent's revenue is projected to grow by 14% and 10% year-on-year for the fiscal years 2025 and 2026, respectively [1] - Non-IFRS net profit is expected to increase by 17% and 15% for the same fiscal years [1] Valuation Metrics - The forecasted price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio for Tencent is 21x and 19x for the fiscal years 2025 and 2026, which is above the average plus one standard deviation [1] - In comparison, the P/E ratios for Chinese peers are 17x and 15x, while U.S. peers are at 28x for both years [1] Competitive Advantages - Tencent benefits from a strong social network moat and advancements in AI technology [1] - The company is expected to see profit and valuation upside from AI-driven initiatives, advertising, AI product commercialization, and overseas opportunities [1] Key Risks - Major risks identified include macroeconomic factors, consumer behavior, regulatory challenges, competition, and product pipeline issues [1]

Core Viewpoint - The report from China Merchants Securities International raises the target price for Tencent Holdings (00700) by 9% to HKD 766, maintaining a "Buy" rating, driven by improved earnings forecasts and operational efficiencies from AI [1] Financial Projections - Tencent's revenue is projected to grow by 14% and 10% year-on-year for the fiscal years 2025 and 2026, respectively [1] - Non-IFRS net profit is expected to increase by 17% and 15% year-on-year for the same periods [1] Valuation Metrics - The forecasted price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio for Tencent in fiscal years 2025 and 2026 is 21x and 19x, respectively, which is above the average by +1 standard deviation [1] - In comparison, the P/E ratios for Chinese peers are 17x and 15x, while U.S. peers are at 28x for both years [1] Growth Drivers - The report highlights several growth drivers for Tencent, including strong community network advantages, AI technology, commercialization of AI products, advertising, and overseas opportunities [1] - AI-driven efficiency improvements are expected to enhance profit margins, contributing to potential upside in earnings and valuation [1] Risks Identified - Key risks mentioned include macroeconomic factors, consumer behavior, regulatory challenges, competition, and product pipeline issues [1]

为深入推进投资者教育纳入国民教育体系，助力金融科技复合型人才培育，2025年11月7日与11日，招 商证券（600999）国家级投教基地联合招证国际走进南方科技大学，成功开展《大数据技术在金融行业 的应用》《云原生技术在金融行业的应用》两门前沿课程讲座。招证国际信息技术部数据专家王超主讲 授课，为南科大学子搭建起理论与金融实务深度衔接的学习桥梁，助力学子精准把握行业发展趋势。 课程中，王超以技术演进为主线，系统拆解大数据与云原生核心技术体系：在大数据课程中，从 Hadoop生态圈、Spark、Flink等关键技术特性切入，结合证券行业数字化转型实战案例，生动阐释技术 在精准客户画像、智能风控、精准营销等核心场景的落地应用，解读金融数据生态整合多元数据源的发 展趋势；在云原生课程中，梳理技术从萌芽到成熟的脉络，解析其为金融机构构建高效架构、支撑海量 交易处理的核心逻辑，通过券商与银行实际案例，展现技术在支付清算、风险管理中的落地路径。同 时，他前瞻性展望云原生与人工智能、大数据融合的行业图景，并结合行业需求为学生职业规划提供实 用指引，让学子切实感受技术迭代为金融业带来的深刻变革。 此次课程是招商证券产学研融合 ...

Group 1 - The report highlights that the brokerage industry is entering an upward trajectory after hitting a low in Q4 2023, with significant growth observed in Q2 and Q3 of 2025 [5][18]. - The brokerage sector has seen a shift from "customer acquisition" to "existing customer management and institutional deepening," focusing on creating a comprehensive product matrix across various investment types [5][29]. - The report identifies three categories of brokers that have outperformed: those with low valuations and improving fundamentals, those involved in mergers and acquisitions, and those driven by innovative business models [5][12]. Group 2 - The report indicates that the performance of H-shares has outpaced A-shares due to a stronger Hong Kong market, lower valuations, and accelerated interconnectivity between capital markets [11][12]. - As of November 14, 2025, the brokerage index has increased by 4.29%, while the Shanghai Composite Index has risen by 19.06%, indicating a significant underperformance of the brokerage sector compared to the broader market [11][12]. - The report notes that the brokerage sector's price-to-book ratio is currently at 1.41 times, which is at the 47th percentile since 2018, suggesting that the sector is undervalued [5]. Group 3 - The report emphasizes the importance of wealth management as a core support for brokerage businesses, driven by increased asset allocation from residents into the equity market [5][34]. - The brokerage industry is expected to benefit directly from the increasing attractiveness of the equity market, with specific recommendations for companies like GF Securities, Huatai Securities, and China Galaxy Securities [5]. - The report outlines that the brokerage sector's net profit for the first nine months of 2025 has increased by 66% year-on-year, with significant contributions from brokerage and interest income [18][34]. Group 4 - The report discusses the internationalization of brokerage services, driven by client demand, with major firms establishing overseas subsidiaries and focusing on cross-border services [5][18]. - The brokerage sector is experiencing a "counter-cyclical" asset allocation strategy, with a continued increase in equity asset allocation expected in 2025 [5][18]. - The report highlights that the brokerage industry is positioned for a recovery in public fund profitability, with the potential for increased allocations from public funds to the non-bank financial sector [5][18].

Core Viewpoint - Bilibili's Q3 revenue grew by 5% year-on-year, meeting expectations, while non-GAAP operating profit and net profit exceeded expectations by 6% and 22% respectively, driven by better-than-expected cost control and efficiency improvements from AI [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Bilibili's Q3 revenue growth of 5% aligns with market expectations [1] - Non-GAAP operating profit and net profit surpassed expectations by 6% and 22%, respectively [1] - The company is expected to see a 22% and 19% year-on-year increase in advertising revenue for Q4 this year and next year [1] Group 2: Business Segments - The gaming segment is anticipated to recover quarter-on-quarter due to new popular products [1] - Strong performance in advertising is supported by Bilibili's rich content, traffic, and share of young users [1] Group 3: Future Outlook - The company maintains a positive outlook on its ability to adapt to the preferences of young users and sustain classic product operations [1] - Non-GAAP net profit forecasts have been raised by 4% to 7%, with expected revenues increasing by 13% and 9% year-on-year over the next two years [1] - The target price for Bilibili's US stock is set at $30, with a target price of HKD 234 for its H-shares [1]

Core Viewpoint - Tencent Music's Q3 performance exceeded expectations, driven by strong growth in non-subscription business and stable subscription growth [1] Financial Performance - Revenue increased by 21% year-on-year, with non-subscription business growing by 51% year-on-year and subscription business growing by 17% year-on-year [1] - Non-GAAP net profit exceeded expectations by 4% [1] Investment Outlook - The company is viewed positively due to its strong content and services, establishing a solid competitive moat [1] - The target price for US stocks has been revised down from $29.2 to $25.6, maintaining a "Buy" rating [1]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is expected to maintain a long-term upward trend despite short-term fluctuations, with a focus on sector rotation and investment opportunities in technology and cyclical industries [1][3][10]. Market Performance - The A-share market has been oscillating around the 4000-point mark, with a slowdown in the upward slope of the index, but this does not indicate the end of the current market cycle [1][10]. - The market is currently in a "systematic slow bull" phase, with a positive long-term outlook [1][12]. Sector Rotation - There is a notable rotation among sectors, with funds shifting from previously high-performing technology stocks to sectors like lithium batteries and consumer goods, benefiting from policy support [3][10][11]. - Investment themes to watch include anti-involution and dividend opportunities, as well as specific technology segments that may see a rebound [2][4]. Institutional Behavior - As the year-end approaches, institutional allocations are expected to stabilize, leading to a focus on balanced investment strategies [3][8]. - The upcoming Central Economic Work Conference is anticipated to set the tone for macroeconomic policies and investment priorities for the following year [8][11]. Economic Indicators - Recent economic indicators show a decline in M1 growth, suggesting a weakening macro liquidity environment, which may impact market dynamics [10]. - The market is currently experiencing a "high position oscillation," with expectations of a gradual recovery in economic conditions [5][16]. Investment Strategies - Investors are advised to focus on sectors with potential for performance improvement, such as AI, engineering machinery, and renewable energy, while also considering the implications of global market trends [7][17]. - The emphasis on "small and mid-cap + thematic investment" is seen as a favorable strategy in the current market environment [15].

Focus Review - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) will conduct a 6-month reverse repurchase operation of 800 billion yuan to maintain liquidity in the banking system, resulting in a net injection of 500 billion yuan after accounting for maturing operations [3] - The PBOC has established a pattern of monthly liquidity injections, indicating a continued focus on maintaining a loose monetary environment amid increased growth demands [3] Equity Market - CITIC Securities suggests that China's capital market is transitioning from an emerging market to a mature market, with an increasing global business exposure for listed companies, which is foundational for a low-volatility bull market [5] - Huatai Securities predicts that the A-share profit cycle will likely recover in the first half of 2026, driven by positive signals from capacity inventory cycles and overseas expansion [6] - Galaxy Securities warns of a potential decline in market risk appetite as the year-end approaches, suggesting a focus on cyclical sectors and dividend stocks that may benefit from improved Sino-U.S. trade relations [7] Industry Research - HSBC Jintrust Fund highlights the storage industry as a sector with multiple opportunities, driven by policy shifts and increased demand, particularly from AI data centers, suggesting a strategic opportunity for high growth [12] -招商证券 identifies investment potential in sectors experiencing supply clearing, particularly in resources, consumer goods, and traditional machinery, recommending focus on quality leaders and low-inventory industries [13] - 嘉实基金 sees significant long-term growth potential in China's innovative pharmaceutical sector, suggesting that recent corrections are a market adjustment rather than an end to the growth trend [14] Asset Allocation - Guosen Securities indicates that the bull market may be entering its second phase, with economic conditions improving and a broadening market trend, particularly in technology and undervalued sectors like liquor and real estate [22]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook on the non-bank financial sector, highlighting the potential for growth in wealth management and asset management businesses within brokerages [3][4]. Core Insights - The report indicates a significant shift of household deposits from traditional banks to capital markets, with a notable increase in non-bank institution deposits by 1.85 trillion yuan in October 2025, while household deposits decreased by 1.34 trillion yuan [4]. - The insurance sector shows robust growth, with insurance funds' investment balance reaching 37.5 trillion yuan by the end of Q3 2025, reflecting a 3.4% increase from Q2 2025 and a 12.6% increase year-on-year [4]. - The report emphasizes the increasing attractiveness of the equity market, which is expected to benefit brokerage firms' wealth management and asset management businesses [4]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4,628.14 with a weekly change of -1.08%, while the non-bank index rose slightly by 0.16% [7]. - The brokerage sector index decreased by 1.01%, while the insurance sector index increased by 2.63% [7]. Non-Bank Financial Data - As of November 14, 2025, the average daily trading volume in the stock market was 20,283.14 billion yuan, reflecting a slight decrease of 0.76% from the previous period [46]. - The margin trading balance reached 25,065.34 billion yuan, an increase of 34.4% compared to the end of 2024 [19]. Key Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on brokerage firms that will benefit from the increased attractiveness of the equity market, specifically highlighting firms such as GF Securities, Huatai Securities, and China Galaxy Securities [4]. - In the insurance sector, companies like China Life, China Pacific Insurance, and AIA are recommended due to their strong performance and growth potential [4].

Core Viewpoint - The renewable energy sector has entered a new growth cycle driven by policy support, rising demand, and technological advancements, particularly in solar, lithium battery, and energy storage segments [1][3][18]. Policy Support - The "anti-involution" policy is being reinforced, which is expected to improve the supply-demand structure in the solar industry and curb excessive competition [6][10]. - The "14th Five-Year Plan" has shifted focus from rapid growth to high-quality development, emphasizing the importance of renewable energy in meeting future electricity demands [11][12]. Demand Dynamics - The demand for renewable energy is primarily driven by two sectors: the electric vehicle market and energy storage. The electric vehicle market is seeing strong sales due to new model releases and upgraded subsidy policies [4][7]. - Energy storage is transitioning from policy-driven demand to economic-driven demand, with significant cost reductions in storage systems and increasing profitability due to market price fluctuations [4][7]. Technological Advancements - Solid-state batteries are expected to achieve small-scale production by 2027 and enter the mid-to-high-end power battery market by 2030, driven by technological breakthroughs [1][17]. - Perovskite solar cells are anticipated to be commercialized around 2030, potentially enhancing efficiency and reducing costs in the solar sector [16][17]. Market Performance - The renewable energy sector has rebounded significantly after a prolonged adjustment period, with various sub-sectors experiencing substantial price increases [3][19]. - The sector's valuation remains relatively low compared to historical levels, presenting an attractive investment opportunity for those seeking growth with a margin of safety [19][20]. Investment Opportunities - Investors interested in lithium battery demand and solid-state battery breakthroughs can consider the CSI New Energy Vehicle Index, which covers the entire lithium battery supply chain [2][25]. - For those focused on the "anti-involution" concept, the CSI Photovoltaic Industry Index is recommended, while the ChiNext New Energy Index offers comprehensive coverage of lithium, storage, solar, and wind energy sectors [2][25].