中信证券：内外兼顾，寻求交集 从此次中央经济工作会议内容来看，做大内循环仍是重心，定位和去年相似。但对于股票市场而言，内需品种 和外需品种的预期和定价与去年存在巨大差异：去年底，投资者对外需普遍谨慎，对内需充满期待，但最终外 需的表现大超预期；今年是重仓布局外需敞口品种，预期相对充分，但对内需品种欠缺信心。实际上，明年外 需继续超预期的难度在加大，但内需可期待的因素在增多。 从这些角度来看，海外敞口品种业绩兑现力强，但估值继续提升难度大；内需敞口品种景气度一般，但一旦超 预期修复，估值弹性不小。配置上要寻求交集，即海外敞口为基底、内需积极变化也会产生催化的品种。 国泰海通：当下是布局春季行情的重要窗口 对于后市，我们比市场共识更乐观：部分投资者以政策表述从"超常规"到"跨周期"解读政策不积极，但这存在 谬误，2025年超常规是相较于2024年尾部风险暴露而言。面向2026年，中央经济工作会议明确"巩固拓展经济 稳中向好势头"，并要求财政政策"更加积极"与"内需主导"，首次提出"推动投资止跌回稳"，并时隔十年重提 房地产"去库存"；中财办副主任韩文秀表示将根据形势变化出台实施增量政策，继续实施"国补"与靠前实 ...

【大河财立方消息】2025年A股已进入收官倒计时，步入年末，市场正处于全年业绩兑现与2026年开局 衔接的关键节点。来年如何布局？跨年行情怎么看？大河财立方记者梳理了6家券商最新解读。 中信建投：跨年行情蓄势待发 中信建投分析师夏凡捷、何盛发表研报认为，从9月初至12月初，AH两地市场经历了较长时间的调整， 投资者情绪趋于谨慎，而近期，多项关键事件与数据相继公布，整体基调符合或略好于市场预期。 中信建投认为，牛市底层逻辑仍在，主要由结构性行情和资本市场改革政策推动。目前市场已经基本完 成调整，叠加基金排名基本落地，跨年有望迎来新一波行情。 中期行业配置方面，中信建投建议重点关注具有一定景气催化的有色金属和AI算力，主题上以商业航 天为主，可控核聚变和人形机器人为辅；港股也具有投资机会，潜在热点板块主要有互联网巨头、创新 药。重点关注：有色、商业航天、AI、人形机器人、可控核聚变、创新药、非银金融等。 中信证券：内外兼顾，寻求交集 中信证券裘翔、刘春彤等人发表研报认为，从此次中央经济工作会议内容来看，做大内循环仍是重心， 定位和去年相似。 研报中提到，但对于股票市场而言，内需品种和外需品种的预期和定价与去年存在 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report from CITIC Securities indicates that the A-share and H-share markets have undergone a prolonged adjustment period from early September to early December, with investor sentiment becoming cautious. However, recent key events and data releases have met or slightly exceeded market expectations, suggesting that the underlying logic for a bull market remains intact, driven by structural trends and capital market reform policies [1] Market Adjustment and Outlook - The market has largely completed its adjustment phase, and with fund rankings being finalized, there is potential for a new wave of market activity as the year-end approaches [1] Sector Focus - Mid-term industry allocation should focus on sectors with certain growth catalysts, particularly non-ferrous metals and AI computing power. Thematic investments should prioritize commercial aerospace, with additional attention to controllable nuclear fusion and humanoid robots [1] Investment Opportunities - The Hong Kong stock market also presents investment opportunities, with potential hot sectors including internet giants and innovative pharmaceuticals. Key areas of focus include non-ferrous metals, commercial aerospace, AI, humanoid robots, controllable nuclear fusion, innovative pharmaceuticals, and non-bank financials [1]

Core Viewpoint - The underlying logic of the bull market remains intact, driven by structural trends and capital market reform policies. The market has largely completed its adjustment, and a new wave of market activity is expected as year-end approaches [1][2][34]. Market Overview - From early September to early December, the AH markets experienced a prolonged adjustment period, with investor sentiment becoming cautious. Most funds remained in a wait-and-see mode, anticipating the outcomes of significant domestic and international events by year-end [4][33]. - Recent key events and data releases have provided important decision-making guidance for the market, with the overall tone aligning with or slightly exceeding market expectations [4][34]. Policy Environment - The Central Political Bureau meeting has maintained a loose monetary policy and emphasized the importance of boosting the artificial intelligence industry. The macroeconomic policy will continue to be stable and expansionary, focusing on "continuously expanding domestic demand" as a primary task [5][34]. - Fiscal policy will remain proactive, with necessary spending levels maintained while emphasizing fiscal discipline and sustainability. Monetary policy will continue to be moderately loose, utilizing tools like reserve requirement ratio cuts and interest rate reductions to promote reasonable price recovery [5][35]. Economic Data - Economic data shows a slow recovery trend, with November CPI rising to 0.7% year-on-year, while PPI slightly decreased to -2.2% year-on-year. The recovery in CPI and PPI is gradually being anticipated by the market, although internal demand recovery remains insufficient [7][36][38]. - Retail sales in October fell to a year-on-year growth of 2.9%, and the manufacturing PMI for November recorded 49.2, indicating weak manufacturing demand and structural economic issues [9][38]. Investment Opportunities - Mid-term industry allocation should focus on sectors with certain catalytic prospects, such as non-ferrous metals and AI computing power, with themes centered on commercial aerospace, controllable nuclear fusion, and humanoid robots. The Hong Kong stock market also presents investment opportunities, particularly in internet giants and innovative pharmaceuticals [2][20][28]. - The commercial aerospace sector is supported by policy backing and industrial breakthroughs, showing potential for long-term growth. Recent performance in satellite computing has been notable, with leading stocks experiencing significant gains [26][55]. Market Sentiment - The market is currently characterized by a "weak recovery, strong policy" dynamic, necessitating continued loose policies to support economic stability. The market's expectations for fundamentals are already low, limiting further downside potential [9][38]. - The recent adjustments in the AI computing sector, combined with policy support and technological breakthroughs, provide a basis for potential upward momentum in this area [20][49][51]. Conclusion - The market is poised for a new phase of activity as it transitions from a period of adjustment, with key sectors identified for potential growth. The overall policy environment remains conducive to stabilizing market expectations and fostering structural trends [1][2][34].

Core Viewpoint - The conference focused on enhancing the quality of wealth management services in response to the growing number of clients, emphasizing effective client segmentation to provide higher quality services [1][4]. Group 1: Client Segmentation and Services - CITIC Securities is implementing effective client segmentation to cater to a growing client base, aiming to provide higher quality services [1][3]. - For high-net-worth and affluent clients, CITIC Securities offers a "1+1+N" professional service model, leveraging headquarters' capabilities for product configuration [3]. - The majority of clients, particularly those with investment amounts below 500,000 yuan, cannot rely on one-on-one advisory services, prompting CITIC Securities to establish four inclusive centers powered by AI for precise service delivery [3]. Group 2: AI Utilization in Wealth Management - AI is recognized as a crucial tool for enhancing efficiency and professional capabilities in wealth management [3]. - CITIC Securities utilizes the Lingxi platform to assist financial planners in client engagement and opportunity identification, shifting from "people finding business" to "products finding people" [3]. - The Deep Timing investment research platform is employed to help individual and small clients achieve trading equality [3]. Group 3: Conference Themes and Discussions - The conference, a significant annual event by Shanghai Securities News, centered on the theme "New Narratives of the Era, New Future of Wealth," discussing how the wealth management industry can navigate economic cycles and enhance competitiveness while supporting the real economy [4].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights that capital strength has become a key factor influencing the operations and development of securities firms, leading them to actively issue bonds to supplement capital and enhance competitiveness in a favorable market environment [1][2]. Group 2 - Securities firms have significantly increased their bond issuance this year, with a total of 925 bonds issued, amounting to 1.8 trillion yuan, representing a 44.79% increase compared to the same period last year [2]. - The issuance includes 502 corporate bonds totaling 1.08 trillion yuan, 311 short-term financing bonds amounting to 540.87 billion yuan, and 112 subordinated bonds totaling 181.29 billion yuan [2]. - Factors driving this increase include a strong desire for business expansion, a low-interest-rate environment reducing financing costs, and the need to continuously supplement capital in response to increasing industry competition [2][3]. Group 3 - A total of 54 securities firms have successfully issued 70 technology innovation bonds this year, raising 82.44 billion yuan, with Guotai Junan leading at 18 billion yuan [2]. - The issuance of technology innovation bonds reflects the firms' commitment to supporting the real economy and aligning with national strategies [3]. Group 4 - Among the 75 firms that issued bonds, four major firms led the market with issuance exceeding 100 billion yuan, including China Galaxy at 146.9 billion yuan, Guotai Junan at 135.3 billion yuan, Huatai Securities at 125.6 billion yuan, and CITIC Securities at 102.7 billion yuan [3]. - Additionally, seven firms have issued 30 bonds in overseas markets, raising a total of 4.703 billion USD, a 33.12% increase from the previous year [3]. Group 5 - The industry is focusing on improving debt financing mechanisms and enhancing capital efficiency, with firms like Dongwu Securities and CITIC Securities implementing strategic frameworks for financing and capital management [4]. - The overall financing pace in the securities industry is expected to accelerate, with a shift towards high-capital and high-return businesses, potentially enhancing overall profitability and driving high-quality development [4].

会议延续前期政策对于稳楼市的明确态度。去年年底的中央经济工作会议对于房地产的提法为"持续用力推动房地产市场止跌回稳"，今年4月25日的中央 政治局会议以"持续巩固房地产市场稳定态势"替代了"止跌回稳"的提法；本次中央经济工作会议提出"着力稳定房地产市场"，延续了前期的政策定调，稳 楼市态度明确。今年前10月全国商品房销售面积同比下降6.8%，降幅较去年全年的-12.9%有所收窄，楼市处在回稳的过程中；在中央政策的支持性定调 下，供需两端政策的持续优化有望进一步推动稳楼市进程。 更加积极的财政政策、适度宽松的货币政策，共同支持房地产市场稳定进程。此次会议提到"继续实施更加积极的财政政策，保持必要的财政赤字、债务 总规模和支出总量"，政策通过加大逆周期和跨周期调节力度，将推动经济增长与房地产市场稳定。此外，此次会议还提到"继续实施适度宽松的货币政 策，灵活高效运用降准降息等多种政策工具"，未来LPR有望进一步调降，减轻购房者的还贷压力、支撑需求释放。 会议强调扩内需，商业地产有望持续受益。此次会议提到"坚持内需主导；深入实施提振消费专项行动，制定实施城乡居民增收计划；扩大优质商品和服 务供给"，未来居民的收入预期 ...

截至发稿，新铝时代市值为71亿元。 每经头条（nbdtoutiao）——实施城乡居民增收计划、降准降息等工具灵活高效运用、增加普通高中学 位……深度解读中央经济工作会议 每经AI快讯，新铝时代（SZ 301613，收盘价：49.18元）发布公告称，2025年12月12日，新铝时代接受 中信建投证券等投资者调研，公司董事长何峰、董事会秘书周子彦参与接待，并回答了投资者提出的问 题。 （记者 王晓波） 2024年1至12月份，新铝时代的营业收入构成为：汽车制造业占比100.0%。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report from CITIC Securities highlights the robust financial performance of Sanqi Interactive Entertainment, with a significant year-on-year increase in net profit for the first three quarters of 2025, indicating strong growth potential in the gaming industry [1] Financial Performance - For the period of January to September 2025, the net profit attributable to shareholders reached 2.345 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 23.57% [1] - In Q3 2025, the net profit attributable to shareholders was 944 million yuan, showing a remarkable year-on-year increase of 49.24% [1] - The non-recurring net profit for Q3 was 870 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 45% [1] Dividend Distribution - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 2.10 yuan for every 10 shares to all shareholders [1] Product and Technology Development - The company has a rich product matrix, and its future pipeline is expected to be promising [1] - There is a commitment to deeply integrate AI technology into game development and operations [1] Regulatory Environment - The company has addressed regulatory risks, which is anticipated to lead to a recovery in its valuation [1]

Core Viewpoint - CITIC Securities report indicates that Huadong Medicine's operations remain stable in the first three quarters of 2025, with performance meeting previous expectations, maintaining a "Buy" rating [1] Segment Summaries Pharmaceutical Industry - The pharmaceutical manufacturing sector shows strong profit performance, with innovative momentum gradually being released [1] Pharmaceutical Commerce - The pharmaceutical commerce segment has returned to a growth trajectory, demonstrating resilience in response to industry changes [1] Aesthetic Medicine - Domestic and international aesthetic medicine sectors are undergoing adjustments due to external environmental impacts, while pipeline layout continues to advance [1] Microbial Products - The microbial products segment maintains rapid growth and is actively expanding into overseas markets [1] Future Outlook - The progress of innovation transformation is expected to be realized, with attention on subsequent data disclosures and potential external collaborations [1] - The aesthetic medicine pipeline is entering a harvest phase, which is anticipated to bring profit elasticity [1] - The microbial products segment has multiple catalysts, strengthening overseas expansion [1]