Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the industry, highlighting several companies as key investment opportunities [6][7]. Core Views - The report emphasizes that the end of the U.S. government shutdown and improving liquidity will support price performance in the metals market. It notes that macroeconomic factors, including weak economic data and interest rate cut expectations, will continue to influence metal prices positively [2][4]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry and Stock Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.18%, while the SW Nonferrous Index rose by 0.20% during the week [3]. - Precious metals like gold and silver saw significant increases, with gold up by 1.91% and silver by 4.51% [3]. 2. Base Metals 2.1 Industrial Metals - Copper prices are supported by a decline in the U.S. consumer confidence index and expectations of interest rate cuts, despite a decrease in import volumes due to operational inefficiencies at Tanzanian ports [4][48]. - Aluminum production capacity remained stable, with domestic supply holding firm. However, demand is expected to weaken as the market transitions from peak to off-peak seasons [4][27]. - The report recommends companies such as Luoyang Molybdenum, Zijin Mining, and China Aluminum for investment [4]. 2.2 Energy Metals - The report is optimistic about energy metals, particularly lithium and cobalt, due to sustained demand from the energy storage sector and electric vehicles. Cobalt prices are expected to rise due to supply shortages [5]. - Key companies recommended include Huayou Cobalt and Tianqi Lithium [5]. 2.3 Precious Metals - The report anticipates continued upward movement in gold and silver prices, driven by central bank purchases and weakening U.S. dollar credit. It highlights geopolitical tensions as a significant factor influencing precious metal prices [5][80]. - Recommended companies in this sector include Western Gold and Shandong Gold [5]. 3. Price and Inventory Changes - The report provides detailed price changes for various metals, noting that aluminum prices are expected to range between 21,700 and 22,400 CNY/ton, while copper is projected to fluctuate between 86,000 and 89,000 CNY/ton [28][49]. - Inventory levels for aluminum and copper have shown mixed trends, with some increases in LME stocks for zinc and lead [14][50]. 4. Company Earnings Forecasts - The report includes earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for several companies, with Zijin Mining projected to have an EPS of 1.21 CNY in 2024, and Huayou Cobalt expected to reach 2.50 CNY [6].

【外交部：#反华势力炮制新疆强迫劳动谎言#】#外交部回应美方机构抹黑中国#11月14日，外交部发言 人林剑主持例行记者会。彭博社记者提问，摩根士丹利正面临美国众议院中国特设委的调查，调查该银 行在承销紫金黄金国际公司公开募股时是否进行了尽职调查，争议在于这笔交易可能帮助了中国企业紫 金矿业。而紫金矿业因涉嫌在新疆使用"强迫劳工"而被美国列入黑名单。外交部对该调查有何评 论？"我不了解你提到的商业行为。"林剑对此表示，所谓新疆存在"强迫劳动"，完全是反华势力炮制的 谎言。我想说的是，一个惯于无中生有、抹黑中国的美方机构，反复翻炒一个早已被事实揭穿的虚假叙 事，无理打压中国企业，只会让世人进一步看清这个机构毫无信誉、大搞政治操弄的本质，最终伤及美 方自身的利益和信誉。（@北京日报 记者 刘晓琰 视频来源：环球时报） ...

Group 1 - Foreign capital in A-shares decreased by 166 million shares in Q3, totaling 1.161 billion shares, but the total market value increased by 12.4% to 2.73 trillion yuan [4][5] - The electronic, chemical, and automotive sectors saw significant increases in foreign holdings, with increases of 19.6 million shares, 5.04 million shares, and 3.62 million shares respectively [8][10] - Major foreign institutions such as Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs increased their holdings by over 15%, with Morgan Stanley's holdings increasing by 33.1% [22][24] Group 2 - The electronic industry had the highest increase in foreign holdings, with a market value increase of 161.35 billion yuan, ranking first among all sectors [10][12] - Traditional sectors like banking, construction decoration, and non-bank financials faced significant reductions in foreign holdings, with declines of 67.68 million shares, 22.54 million shares, and 18.75 million shares respectively [12][21] - QFII/RQFII increased their holdings in the real estate sector by 361.1% compared to the previous quarter [15][18] Group 3 - The overall trend shows foreign capital is shifting from traditional consumer and financial sectors to technology and manufacturing sectors, reflecting confidence in China's economic transformation [25][32] - Foreign capital's interest in sectors like new energy and semiconductors continues to grow, while traditional blue-chip stocks are experiencing phase-out reductions [29][33] - The top foreign institutions are increasingly favoring high-end manufacturing and energy technology stocks, indicating a strategic shift in investment focus [22][25]

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley is under investigation by the U.S. House of Representatives' China Select Committee regarding its due diligence in underwriting the IPO of Zijin Mining Group, which is alleged to have benefited Chinese enterprises despite being sanctioned for using "forced labor" in Xinjiang [1] Group 1: Company Investigation - The investigation focuses on whether Morgan Stanley conducted adequate due diligence during the underwriting process for Zijin Mining's IPO [1] - The controversy arises from allegations that Zijin Mining is involved in forced labor practices in Xinjiang, leading to its inclusion on a U.S. sanctions list [1] Group 2: Diplomatic Response - The Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesperson, Lin Jian, dismissed the allegations of forced labor as a fabrication by anti-China forces [1] - Lin emphasized that the repeated promotion of discredited narratives by U.S. institutions undermines their credibility and ultimately harms U.S. interests and reputation [1]

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley is under investigation by the U.S. House of Representatives' China Select Committee regarding its due diligence in underwriting the IPO of Zijin Mining Group, which is linked to allegations of forced labor in Xinjiang [1] Group 1: Company Investigation - The investigation focuses on whether Morgan Stanley conducted adequate due diligence during the underwriting process for Zijin Mining Group's IPO [1] - The controversy arises from Zijin Mining's association with allegations of forced labor in Xinjiang, leading to its blacklisting by the U.S. [1] Group 2: Government Response - The Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesperson dismissed the allegations of forced labor in Xinjiang as fabrications by anti-China forces [1] - The spokesperson criticized the U.S. institution for its lack of credibility and accused it of political manipulation that ultimately harms U.S. interests and reputation [1]

Core Views - The report emphasizes that the metal industry is expected to see a rise in prices and profitability due to supply-demand dynamics and interest rate cuts, with a focus on industrial metals like copper and aluminum [5][6][10]. Industrial Metals - Copper prices are projected to rise as the global copper market faces a supply shortage of approximately 1% in 2026 and 0.5% in 2027, primarily due to the anticipated recovery of the Grasberg and Panama copper mines [5][23]. - The report notes that the Grasberg copper mine's production cut has led to a significant upward adjustment in copper price expectations, with a potential price increase from 79,000 CNY/ton to 82,000-83,000 CNY/ton [21][24]. - Aluminum profitability is expected to increase further, with China's electrolytic aluminum capacity utilization reaching 98%, indicating a tight supply-demand balance that could lead to price surges if demand exceeds expectations [5][30]. Precious Metals - The long-term outlook for gold remains positive, driven by factors such as weakening U.S. non-farm data, manageable inflation, and a dovish stance from the Federal Reserve, which is expected to lower interest rates further [6][10]. Energy Metals - Cobalt prices are anticipated to rise due to policy changes in the Democratic Republic of Congo, which has implemented an export quota system that could create a supply-demand gap of over 10% in the global cobalt market [7]. - The lithium industry is expected to enter a new growth cycle, with demand for energy storage batteries significantly exceeding previous forecasts, leading to a potential supply shortage if production does not keep pace [8]. Minor Metals - The strategic importance of rare earth metals is highlighted, with China maintaining a dominant position in global production and supply, which is expected to strengthen prices further [10]. - Tungsten prices may rise due to recovering overseas demand and relaxed export controls, while antimony prices are also expected to increase following recent export policy adjustments [11][12]. Uranium - The demand for uranium is projected to increase alongside the growth of nuclear power generation in China, with expectations of a significant rise in nuclear capacity by 2035 [13]. Recommended Stocks - The report suggests a selection of stocks across various metal sectors, including copper, aluminum, precious metals, energy metals, and minor metals, indicating a diversified investment strategy [14].

Core Viewpoint - Hai'an Group (001233.SZ) is set to be publicly offered on the Shenzhen Main Board, focusing on the research, production, and sales of giant all-steel engineering radial tires and mining tire operation management [1][2]. Company Overview - Hai'an Group is recognized as a national high-tech enterprise and was awarded the title of "specialized and innovative 'little giant'" by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology in 2021 [1]. - The company has been acknowledged as a "service-oriented manufacturing demonstration enterprise" since 2018 [1]. Financial Information - The offering price is set at 48.00 yuan per share, with an institutional quotation of 48.93 yuan per share, and a market capitalization of 6.695 billion yuan [2]. - The company's earnings per share (EPS) is projected at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 13.94, compared to the industry average P/E ratio of 26.38 [2]. - The company plans to allocate raised funds for various projects, including: - Expansion of all-steel giant engineering radial tire production: 1.945 billion yuan (65.90%) - Automation upgrades for production lines: 371 million yuan (12.56%) - R&D center construction: 286 million yuan (9.69%) - Working capital: 350 million yuan (11.86%) [2]. Market Position - Giant engineering tires are defined as tires with a rim diameter of 49 inches or more, primarily used in large mining dump trucks and loaders [3]. - The global market for all-steel giant tires has seen growth from 167,000 units in 2017 to 215,000 units in 2022, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.18% [3]. - Hai'an Group has become the third manufacturer globally capable of mass-producing a full range of all-steel giant tires, breaking the domestic market monopoly held by international brands [3]. Production and Sales - In 2022, Hai'an Group ranked first in domestic production and fourth globally for giant tire output [4]. - The company has established a significant customer base, including well-known domestic firms such as Zijin Mining and XCMG [4]. - Hai'an Group has a global presence with 12 overseas subsidiaries, selling products to dozens of countries and regions, with over 75% of revenue coming from exports [4]. Revenue Trends - The proportion of overseas sales in the main business revenue is projected to be 65.19% in 2022, increasing to 76.16% in 2023, and stabilizing around 67.18% by mid-2025 [4]. - Revenue from the Russian market has significantly increased, especially following the exit of major international brands from that market [4].

Market Performance - On November 13, the A-share market experienced a significant rally, with the Shanghai Composite Index reaching a ten-year high and the ChiNext Index rising over 2% [2] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4029.5, up 0.73%, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose 1.78% to 13476.52, and the ChiNext Index increased by 2.55% to 3201.75 [3] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 2.04 trillion yuan, an increase of 969 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [2] Sector Performance - The lithium battery industry chain saw widespread gains, with significant activity in the consumer sector and a notable surge in the Fujian sector [2] - A total of 104 stocks hit the daily limit up, while the oil and gas sector faced declines [2] - Energy metals, battery, and non-ferrous metals sectors led the gains, while sectors like fentanyl and oil and gas experienced the largest declines [2] International Market Overview - On the same day, U.S. stock indices saw significant declines, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropping 797.60 points (1.65%) to 47457.22, and the Nasdaq Composite falling 536.10 points (2.29%) to 22870.36 [4] - European markets also closed lower, with the FTSE 100 down 1.05% and the DAX index down 1.39% [4] - International oil prices saw slight increases, with WTI crude oil rising 0.34% to $58.69 per barrel [4] Financial Data - As of the end of October, China's social financing scale stock was 437.72 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 8.5% [6] - The broad money supply (M2) stood at 335.13 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 8.2% [6] Regulatory Developments - The Chinese government is reinforcing export controls on rare earth materials to maintain national security and stability [7] - The market regulatory authority plans to enhance anti-monopoly and anti-unfair competition enforcement to address "involution" competition issues [8] - A new revised "Commercial Bank M&A Loan Management Measures" is set to be released to support mergers and acquisitions, particularly for tech companies [9] Corporate News - Alibaba has secretly launched the "Qianwen" project, aiming to develop a personal AI assistant to compete with ChatGPT [12] - Semiconductor company SMIC reported a 41.1% year-on-year increase in net profit for the first three quarters [17] - BoRui Pharmaceutical received approval for clinical trials of its BGM1812 injection, which is the first of its kind for weight loss indications [18]

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley is under scrutiny from the Republican head of the US House China committee regarding its due diligence in underwriting the $3.7 billion IPO of Zijin Gold International Co. in Hong Kong, which is linked to a company on a US blacklist for alleged human rights violations [1][3]. Group 1: Regulatory Scrutiny - Representative John Moolenaar has requested additional information from Morgan Stanley, including documents related to the IPO, as part of a broader investigation into Wall Street banks' involvement with Chinese companies [2][5]. - The inquiry focuses on whether the IPO facilitated Zijin Mining Group's consolidation of overseas gold assets while maintaining control, raising concerns about Morgan Stanley's due diligence practices [3][5]. Group 2: IPO Details - The IPO of Zijin Gold International Co. was the largest since May and the second-largest listing in Hong Kong for the year, following a $5.3 billion deal by Contemporary Amperex Technology Co. Ltd. [4]. - Zijin Gold's shares surged 68% on their first trading day and have since doubled in value [4]. Group 3: Broader Context - The House Select Committee on China is reviewing the involvement of Wall Street banks in IPOs of Chinese firms with military ties or records of labor abuses, indicating a heightened regulatory environment [5][6].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the collaboration between Foshan Plastics Technology and Zijin Mining's subsidiaries to establish a project company for the investment and construction of a lithium sulfide pilot platform project, highlighting the growing interest in battery-grade materials in the energy sector [2]. Group 1: Project Overview - Foshan Plastics Technology announced plans to invest in a pilot platform for battery-grade lithium sulfide, with a total investment of 113 million yuan, aiming to build a production line with a capacity of 100 tons per year [2]. - The project company will have a registered capital of 100 million yuan, with Foshan Plastics contributing 5 million yuan (5% equity), Zijin Lithium contributing 60 million yuan (60% equity), Xiamen Zijin contributing 10 million yuan (10% equity), and Guangxin Research Institute contributing 25 million yuan (25% equity) [2]. Group 2: Company Background - Foshan Plastics Technology specializes in the production and sales of advanced polymer functional films, covering various fields such as woven materials, high-precision capacitor films, and polyamide nylon films [3]. - Zijin Mining Group is a large multinational mining group engaged in the exploration and development of various metal resources, including lithium, and is one of China's largest mineral gold producers [4]. Group 3: Research and Development - The article mentions several patents related to the preparation and production methods of lithium sulfide, indicating ongoing research and innovation in this area [3]. - The collaboration aims to enhance the development of high-purity battery-grade lithium sulfide products, which are critical for the energy storage and electric vehicle industries [2][3].