行 业 有色金属行业 标配（维持） 有色金属行业双周报（2026/01/16-2026/01/29） 金属价格高位震荡，有色板块分化加剧 2026 年 1 月 30 日 S0340523120001 电话：0769-23320072 邮箱： xuzhengkun@dgzq.com.cn 行 业 研 究 资料来源：东莞证券研究所，iFind 相关报告 投资要点： 申万有色金属行业指数走势 贵金属。黄金方面，近期在地缘局势扰动以及资金涌入等推动下，黄金价格 再度上行。短期需重点关注避险情绪退却、投机资金退出等风险。截至1月29 日，COMEX黄金价格收于5410.80美元/盎司，较1月初上涨1068.9美元，COMEX 白银价格收于115.79元/盎司，较1月初上涨44.81美元，上海黄金交易所黄金 Au（T+D）价格收于1243.40元/克，较1月初上涨269.01元。建议关注紫金矿 业（601899）。 工业金属。在全球降息周期开启的大背景下，有色金属价格屡创新高。随着 主流工业金属铜、锡等供需格局加快转好，以及工业金属补涨贵金属的机会 仍存，工业金属价格有望进一步上行。截至1月29日，LME铜价收于1370 ...

Core Insights - The article highlights the achievements of ten distinguished entrepreneurs who have significantly contributed to China's economic landscape, showcasing their courage, vision, and resilience in various industries [2][33]. Group 1: Industrial Leadership - Chen Jinghe, founder of Zijin Mining, transformed the company from a small local enterprise into a global mining giant by overcoming technical challenges and establishing an international strategy [5][37]. - Ma Changhai, chairman of Weichai Power, led the company through a comprehensive reform process, focusing on mastering core technologies and achieving breakthroughs in heavy-duty engines and hydraulic systems [7][40]. - Both Chen and Ma's stories symbolize China's industrial evolution from scale chasing to technological and value chain leadership [8][40]. Group 2: Manufacturing Excellence - Cold Friend, chairman of Feihe Dairy, adopted a long-term strategy to ensure the safety and quality of infant formula, establishing a complete supply chain from pasture to product [9][43]. - Wu Xiangdong, chairman of Guizhou Zhenjiu, transitioned from brand management to controlling core production capacities through strategic acquisitions, enhancing the cultural value of Chinese liquor [11][45]. - Ma Yin, founder of Anaya, created a unique cultural and tourism destination that emphasizes the integration of business and humanity, setting a new value benchmark in the real estate sector [14][47]. Group 3: Technological Innovation - Peng Jun, chairman of Pony.ai, is pioneering the field of autonomous driving, addressing complex challenges in algorithms and hardware to redefine future transportation [19][53]. - Zhao Deli, founder of XPeng, is working on flying cars, tackling significant technical and regulatory challenges to establish a new industry in low-altitude economy [22][56]. - Liu Debing, chairman of Zhipu AI, is focused on developing AI infrastructure with independent intellectual property rights, marking a significant step in China's AI industry [23][60]. - Han Bicheng, founder of Strong Brain Technology, is innovating in brain-computer interfaces, contributing to advancements in life sciences and assistive technologies [25][58]. Group 4: Social Responsibility and Vision - Lu Mai, former vice chairman of the China Development Research Foundation, emphasizes the importance of early childhood development in rural areas, advocating for immediate action to support children's growth [16][50]. - The article underscores the entrepreneurial spirit as a driving force behind China's transition from manufacturing to value creation, highlighting the importance of social responsibility and cultural heritage in business [18][52].

Core Insights - The report indicates that the non-ferrous metals and new materials industry is currently in a high cost-performance investment phase, with expectations for continued growth [1] - As of December 31, 2025, the Shenwan Non-Ferrous Metals Index has seen a cumulative increase of 94.73% for the year, ranking first among 31 Shenwan primary industries, significantly outperforming the CSI 300 Index by 77.07 percentage points [1][13] - The industry is influenced by international dynamics and changes in supply patterns, with some metal prices reaching new highs [1] Supply and Demand Dynamics - The ongoing strategic competition between major powers like the US and China has made upstream metal resources a critical area of contention, leading to significant impacts on the stability of the metal supply chain [2] - Supply disruptions are expected to increase raw material costs, while tighter controls on strategic metals by various countries will further exacerbate price pressures [2] - The demand outlook for non-ferrous metals is clear, supported by long-term fundamentals [2] Investment Opportunities - The report highlights investment opportunities in precious metals, copper, and strategic metals, noting that gold has evolved into a strategic asset for managing systemic risks, with central banks likely to increase gold reserves [3] - The mining of copper is becoming increasingly challenging, with supply constraints supporting a long-term upward price trend [3] - The geopolitical competition is expected to lead to enhanced resource controls, creating structural investment opportunities in related sectors [3] Emerging Industries and Material Demand - Rapidly expanding sectors such as artificial intelligence, electric vehicles, renewable energy, and high-end semiconductors are driving unprecedented demand for upstream materials, which are now classified as "key strategic materials" or "high-tech value-added new materials" [4] - The performance, purity, form, and functionality of materials are subject to increasingly stringent standards, indicating a fundamental shift in investment logic [4] Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on sectors such as copper, gold, and strategic metals, particularly in 2026, with an emphasis on leading companies that operate in high-growth areas with strong technological monopolies [5] - Specific companies to watch include Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, Jiangxi Copper, Tongling Nonferrous Metals, China Rare Earth, Northern Rare Earth, Shenghe Resources, Xiamen Tungsten, Zhongtung High-tech, and Zhangyuan Tungsten [5]

最终，公司将初始转股价格锁定在63.30港元，相较于周四的收盘价溢价约37%。 根据周五发布的证券交易所公告，此次发行的可转债票面利率为零，并将于2031年到期。同时，债券持 有人将有权要求紫金矿业在2029年2月5日赎回债券。对于公司而言，此次可转债涉及90天的锁定期。 资金用途与全球扩张布局 据悉，此次募集的15亿美元资金有着清晰的战略投向。其中最核心的部分将用于资助其位于秘鲁的La Arena金矿项目的建设资本支出。剩余资金将用于补充营运资本以及满足其他一般性的企业用途。 在近期金价飙升和地缘政治紧张局势的背景下，中国矿业巨头紫金矿业集团股份有限公司成功抓住了资 本市场的窗口期。该公司15亿美元的可转债发行项目在认购开启后仅10分钟内即被投资者抢购一空，显 示出全球资本对优质矿业资产的强烈追捧。 据知情人士向彭博透露，此次发行获得了近8倍的超额认购，吸引了超过200家投资机构参与，需求之旺 盛远超预期。参与认购的资金来源广泛，涵盖了国际及中国的长线基金和对冲基金。这一强劲的市场反 应不仅凸显了紫金矿业在行业内的领先地位，也反映了投资者对金属与矿业板块持续看好的态度。 此次发行的可转债为2031年到期的零 ...

扬子晚报网1月30日讯(记者范晓林)截至收盘，沪指本月累计涨3.76%，呈现"冲高后窄幅震荡"的走势，一月中旬再创十年新高后小幅回落，最终站稳4100 点关口上方。 | 三四自选 行情 资讯 | | Q | | --- | --- | --- | | A股 全球 | 港股 股指 ETF 新三板 | 可转债 | | 大盘 板块 | 创业板 科创板 | 北交所 | | 热门行业 热门概念 | | | | 今日涨幅最大 5日涨幅最大 | 主力净买入 | 热力图 | | 农牧饲渔 | 造纸印刷 | 通信设备 | | 1.97% | 1.54% | 1.19% | | 神农种业 +12.91% | 松炀资源 +10.00% | 太辰光 +12.91% | | 装修装饰 | 电子化学品 | 旅游酒店 | | 1.09% | 1.06% | 1.05% | | 罗曼股份 +10.00% | 飞凯材料 +6.16% | 凯撒旅业 +7.01% | | 4330.40 | 石油类 石油类 | 4.15% 大飞机 | | --- | --- | --- | | 煤炭 煤炭 | | | | 文化传媒 | 酒菜 | | | 小金属概 ...

黄金、基本金属概念股现跌停潮，申万有色金属指数跌7.8%，其中晓程科技（300139）20cm跌停。 A股1月收官！1月30日，上证指数收跌0.96%，站稳4100点关口，创业板指涨1.27%。全市场近2900股下 跌。 1月，有色金属板块成为最大亮点，权重紫金矿业（601899）创历史新高，并且涌现出多只翻倍股，其 中湖南白银（002716）涨175%，四川黄金（001337）涨137%。AI应用概念强势爆发，卓易信息涨 98%，蓝色光标（300058）股价翻倍。据不完全统计，A股1月至少10只个股股价翻倍。 | 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌幅 ▲ | | --- | --- | --- | | 晓程科技 | 67.50 | -20.00% | | 电工合金 | 18.83 | -12.30% | | 浩通科技 | 33.65 | -11.21% | | 一科研 | 59.93 | -10.28% | | 南山铝业 | 7.34 | -10.05% | | 云南铜业 | 26.52 | -10.01% | | 贵研铂业 | 23.55 | -10.01% | | 兴银锡 | 61.52 | -10.01% | ...

记者丨刘雪莹 编辑丨曾静娇 A股1月收官！1月30日，上证指数收跌0.96%，站稳4100点关口，创业板指涨1.27%。全市场近2900股下跌。 | 涨跌分布 行情 | 资金净流入 | | | --- | --- | --- | | 上证指数 | 深证成指 | 科创综指 | | 4117.95 | 14205.89 | 1832.56 | | -40.04 -0.96% -94.18 -0.66% +1.45 +0.08% | | | | 万得全A | 创业板指 | 北证50 | | 6783.79 | 3346.36 | 1531.55 | | -63.49 -0.93% +41.84 +1.27% -4.45 -0.29% | | | | 沪深300 | 中证500 | 中证A500 | | 4706.34 | 8370.52 | 5898.13 | | -47.53 -1.00% -147.32 -1.73% -70.79 -1.19% | | | | 中证1000 | 深证100 | 中证红利 | | 8254.86 | 5858.28 | 5700.01 | | -77.35 -0.93% +3.9 ...

每经AI快讯，紫金矿业(02899.HK)现跌超8%，截至发稿跌8.63%，报42.16港元，成交额69.71亿港元。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） ...

Group 1 - Zijin Mining (02899) shares fell over 8%, currently down 8.63% at HKD 42.16, with a trading volume of HKD 6.971 billion [1] - The company announced plans to issue USD 1.5 billion zero-coupon secured convertible bonds maturing in 2031, with net proceeds of approximately USD 1.527 billion intended for capital expenditures on the Arriaga project in Peru, while the remainder will be used for working capital and general corporate purposes [1] - Reports indicate that the USD 1.5 billion convertible bonds were fully subscribed within 10 minutes [1] Group 2 - Citigroup released a report expressing a lack of confidence in recent copper price trends, suggesting that in the coming weeks, Chinese investors may further allocate or rotate funds into base metals to counter rising precious metal prices [1] - In the context of soaring silver and gold prices, copper prices could potentially rise to USD 15,000 to USD 16,000 per ton; however, Citigroup's baseline expectation is that copper prices will remain around USD 13,000 per ton by 2026, sufficient to achieve market supply-demand balance this year [1]

花旗发布研报称，对近期铜价走势缺乏信心；未来两周，很可能看到中国投资者进一步将资金配置或轮 动至基本金属，以对抗贵金属价格上扬；在白银和黄金价格呈抛物线式上涨的背景下，铜价飙升至1.5 万至1.6万美元/吨并非不可能。但花旗的基本预期是，即使实体市场对金属高价的阻力加剧，铜价在 2026年仍将维持在1.3万美元/吨左右，足以在今年实现市场供需平衡。 消息面上，紫金矿业公告，拟发行于2031年到期的15亿美元零息有担保可换股债券。待完成债券发行 后，债券认购事项的所得款项净额将约为15.27亿美元，用于秘鲁阿瑞那项目建设资本开支，剩余将用 于补充流动资金和一般公司用途。今日午后有报道称，紫金矿业15亿美元可转债据悉10分钟内就全部获 得认购。 紫金矿业（601899）(02899)现跌超8%，截至发稿，跌8.63%，报42.16港元，成交额69.71亿港元。 ...