Investment Rating - The report provides a comprehensive valuation table for various companies in the building materials industry, indicating a range of price-to-earnings (PE) and price-to-book (PB) ratios for 2025E and 2026E [1] Core Insights - The report highlights the expected growth in net profit for several companies, with notable increases such as 90 million CNY for Conch Cement in 2025E and 100 million CNY in 2026E, reflecting a strong market position [1] - The PE ratios for the companies vary significantly, with Conch Cement at 15.3 for 2025E and 13.8 for 2026E, while companies like Jidong Cement show a much higher PE of 37.2 for 2025E [1] - The report emphasizes the valuation metrics, with companies like China National Building Material having a low PB ratio of 0.34, indicating potential undervaluation [1] Summary by Category Cement - Conch Cement has a total market value of 138.1 billion CNY, with projected net profits of 90 million CNY in 2025E and 100 million CNY in 2026E, and a PE of 15.3 for 2025E [1] - Huaxin Cement is valued at 31.9 billion CNY, with net profits expected to reach 25 million CNY in 2025E and 30 million CNY in 2026E, showing a PE of 12.7 for 2025E [1] - Other notable companies include Tianshan Shares with a market value of 43.1 billion CNY and projected net profits of 15 million CNY in 2025E [1] Consumer Building Materials - Rabbit Baby is projected to have net profits of 7.5 million CNY in 2025E and 8.5 million CNY in 2026E, with a PE of 11.2 for 2025E [1] - China Liansu is valued at 14.5 billion CNY, with expected net profits of 22 million CNY in 2025E and 24 million CNY in 2026E, showing a low PE of 6.6 for 2025E [1] Glass and Fiberglass - Shandong Pharmaceutical Glass has a market value of 15.1 billion CNY, with projected net profits of 10.5 million CNY in 2025E and 11.5 million CNY in 2026E, and a PE of 14.3 for 2025E [1] - China Jushi is valued at 51.5 billion CNY, with net profits expected to reach 35 million CNY in 2025E and 40 million CNY in 2026E, showing a PE of 14.7 for 2025E [1] New Materials - Zhongfu Shenying has a market value of 19.3 billion CNY, with projected net profits of 0.5 million CNY in 2025E and 1.5 million CNY in 2026E, reflecting a very high PE of 385.0 for 2025E [1] - Jilin Carbon Valley is valued at 8.5 billion CNY, with expected net profits of 1 million CNY in 2025E and 1.3 million CNY in 2026E, showing a PE of 85.0 for 2025E [1]

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.62% on July 22, with 22 industries experiencing gains, led by coal and building materials, which increased by 6.18% and 4.49% respectively [2] - The banking and computer industries saw the largest declines, with decreases of 0.98% and 0.73% [2] Capital Flow Analysis - The main capital outflow from the two markets totaled 37.702 billion yuan, with 10 industries seeing net inflows [2] - The coal industry had the highest net inflow of capital, amounting to 2.704 billion yuan, while the food and beverage sector followed with a net inflow of 2.137 billion yuan and a daily increase of 1.73% [2] Building Materials Industry - The building materials sector increased by 4.49%, despite a net capital outflow of 1.612 billion yuan [3] - Out of 71 stocks in this sector, 52 stocks rose, with 12 hitting the daily limit, while 19 stocks declined [3] - Notable stocks with significant net inflows included Tianshan Shares (116 million yuan), Beixin Building Materials (78.9527 million yuan), and Puhua Shares (73.7603 million yuan) [3] - Major stocks with net outflows exceeding 100 million yuan included Conch Cement (564.0534 million yuan), Qingsong Construction (272.7623 million yuan), and Hainan Ruize (235.7191 million yuan) [3] Individual Stock Performance - The top performers in the building materials sector included: - Conch Cement: +10.00% with a turnover rate of 6.77% and a net outflow of 564.0534 million yuan [4] - Qingsong Construction: +8.43% with a turnover rate of 22.23% and a net outflow of 272.7623 million yuan [4] - Hainan Ruize: +5.12% with a turnover rate of 25.94% and a net outflow of 235.7191 million yuan [4] - Other notable stocks with significant capital flow included: - Tianshan Shares: +9.98% with a net inflow of 1159.093 million yuan [5] - Beixin Building Materials: +4.20% with a net inflow of 789.527 million yuan [5] - Puhua Shares: +7.95% with a net inflow of 737.603 million yuan [5]

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - **Industry**: Chinese Building Materials - **Quarter**: 2Q25 - **General Outlook**: The demand backdrop remains tough, with expectations of double-digit year-over-year (yoy) declines in net profit for most companies in the sector, except for Skshu Paint due to favorable raw material conditions and headcount optimization [1][11] Core Insights - **Demand Trends**: Underlying demand has slowed across almost all companies and distributors, with a slight narrowing in yoy decline for new builds. Secondary property transactions and infrastructure fixed asset investment (FAI) growth have also decelerated [5][11] - **Pricing Environment**: Pricing has stabilized sequentially, with 4Q24 confirmed as the pricing bottom for most companies. However, price restoration efforts for certain products have not been effective, leading to skepticism about the execution of recent price hikes [5][11] - **Earnings Expectations**: Most companies are expected to see a double-digit decline in earnings, with Skshu Paint being the exception. The focus will be on the execution of price hikes and the potential for earnings growth in 3Q25 if these hikes are successful [1][11] Company-Specific Insights - **Skshu Paint**: EPS forecasts have been raised by 12-41% for 2025E-27E due to raw material tailwinds. However, concerns remain about the sustainability of margin recovery and competition from larger brands [6][8][55] - **Oriental Yuhong**: The company is positioned to expand market share in a fragmented waterproofing market, despite challenges in the property sector. It is expected to pay an interim dividend of approximately RMB 2 billion [42][11] - **Beijing New Building Materials (BNBM)**: The company is optimistic about its gypsum board business and new product expansions, including waterproofing and coatings, which are expected to drive earnings growth [48][11] - **Vasen**: The company faces earnings downgrade potential due to the property market downturn and competition. It is rated as a sell due to unfavorable risk-reward dynamics [8][52] - **Yuhong and BNBM**: Both companies are rated as buy due to expected earnings recovery and attractive dividend yields [8][11] Financial Metrics and Estimates - **Revenue and Profit Estimates**: Most companies are expected to see a yoy decline in revenue due to negative pricing impacts and sluggish demand. Skshu Paint is expected to maintain flat revenue due to its exposure to the secondary property market [11] - **Margin Expectations**: Margins are expected to compress yoy for most companies, with Skshu benefiting from raw material tailwinds. Seasonal improvements and lower SG&A expenses are anticipated for some companies [11] - **Target Prices**: Target prices for companies have been revised, with changes ranging from -5% to +32% based on updated earnings estimates and valuation adjustments [7][11] Risks and Considerations - **Market Risks**: Key risks include weaker-than-expected construction activities, unexpected increases in raw material costs, and potential impairment losses related to receivables from developers [45][50] - **Competition Risks**: Intensified competition in certain product categories may negatively impact volumes and margins for companies like Vasen and Skshu Paint [7][8] Conclusion - The Chinese building materials sector is facing significant challenges with demand and pricing pressures. However, select companies like Skshu Paint, Oriental Yuhong, and BNBM are positioned to navigate these challenges effectively, with potential for recovery in the latter half of 2025 if recent price hikes are successfully implemented [1][11][48]

Core Viewpoint - The official launch of the Yarlung Tsangpo River downstream hydropower project has led to a significant surge in the water conservancy and cement sectors, with related ETFs experiencing substantial gains in trading volume and price [1][3]. Group 1: ETF Market Performance - The E Fund Building Materials ETF (159787) saw a half-day increase of 8.23%, with a trading volume of 26.74 million yuan [2][3]. - The Building Materials ETF (159745) recorded a half-day trading amount of 234 million yuan, indicating high trading activity [1][3]. - Year-to-date, the Building Materials ETF (159745) has seen an increase of 23.1 million shares, with a change rate of 28.11% [2]. Group 2: Industry Price Trends - Many building material prices are currently at historically low levels, with the national average price of high-standard cement down by 31 yuan/ton year-on-year and 17 yuan/ton month-on-month [3]. - Float glass prices have decreased by 27.2% year-on-year and 6.1% month-on-month [3]. - The industry is expected to improve due to a combination of stable growth policies and an enhanced competitive landscape [3]. Group 3: Index Composition - The CSI All Share Building Materials Index includes listed companies involved in the building materials sector, reflecting the overall performance of these companies [4]. - Major weighted stocks in the index include Conch Cement (14.46%), Beijing New Building Materials (11.04%), and Oriental Yuhong (9.05%) [5].

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese flame-retardant board industry is experiencing continuous technological innovation and product upgrades, driven by increasing fire safety requirements in various sectors such as public spaces and high-rise buildings [1][6]. Group 1: Industry Definition and Classification - Flame-retardant boards are specialized boards made by adding flame retardants to engineered wood boards, enhancing their fire resistance while maintaining basic properties of engineered wood [2][10]. - They can be classified into several types based on the base materials, including wood-based, gypsum, metal composite, plastic, and mineral wool boards [2][3]. Group 2: Industry Development Status - In 2023, China's engineered wood board production reached 33,598 million cubic meters, with projections of approximately 35,000 million cubic meters by 2025 [4][6]. - From 2019 to 2024, a total of 2,761 flame-retardant board patents were filed in China, with over 400 patents filed annually from 2020 to 2022, peaking at 482 in 2021 [1][6]. Group 3: Industry Chain - The flame-retardant board industry chain includes upstream raw materials (wood, gypsum, metals, plastics, mineral wool), midstream production, and downstream applications in construction, transportation, electronics, and furniture [10][11]. - The industry is driven by policy standards, fire safety demands, and environmental trends, with future growth expected due to rising building safety requirements and advancements in green manufacturing [10][11]. Group 4: Competitive Landscape - The flame-retardant board industry in China features a competitive landscape dominated by large building material groups, supplemented by regional companies and foreign brands [12][14]. - Major companies include Daya Saint, Rabbit Baby, Fenglin Group, Qiannianzhou, Beixin Building Materials, Huayuan Holdings, CIMC, Kingfa Technology, and Plit [12][14]. Group 5: Representative Companies - Beixin Building Materials is a leading player with a focus on gypsum boards and has a production capacity exceeding 3.5 billion square meters, generating revenue of 13.107 billion yuan in 2024 [14][16]. - Fenglin Group is recognized for its environmentally friendly flame-retardant boards used in significant public buildings and has a production volume of 1.5314 million cubic meters in 2024, with revenue of 1.908 billion yuan [16][17]. Group 6: Industry Development Trends - The demand for flame-retardant materials is steadily increasing due to urbanization and safety regulations, with the industry undergoing technological upgrades and policy-driven transformations towards eco-friendliness, high performance, and globalization [19].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the construction materials industry [1] Core Views - The construction materials sector is expected to benefit from increased fixed asset investments to stabilize economic expectations, particularly with the launch of major hydropower projects [3][4] - The cement market is experiencing a slight price decline, but overall demand is stabilizing, with an average shipment rate of 46% [11][17] - The report highlights the potential for recovery in valuations for leading companies in the sector due to improved supply-demand dynamics and ongoing industry consolidation [4][12] Summary by Sections 1. Sector Overview - The construction materials sector saw a slight decline of 0.23% in the past week, underperforming the broader market indices [3] - The report emphasizes the importance of government policies aimed at stabilizing the economy and boosting demand in the construction materials sector [3][4] 2. Bulk Construction Materials Fundamentals and High-Frequency Data 2.1 Cement - The national average price for high-standard cement is 343.8 yuan/ton, down 3.3 yuan from last week and down 46.2 yuan from the same period last year [18][19] - The average cement inventory level is 65.8%, with a shipment rate of 45.9%, reflecting a slight increase in demand [27] - The report anticipates that the industry's profit center will be better than last year due to enhanced self-discipline among leading companies [4][11] 2.2 Glass Fiber - The report notes a clear trend towards upgrading electronic glass fiber products, with high-end products expected to see increased market penetration [12] - The profitability of ordinary glass fiber remains resilient, supported by growth in domestic demand from sectors like wind power and thermoplastics [12] - Leading companies are expected to benefit from improved product structures and market conditions, with recommendations for companies like Zhongcai Technology and Honghe Technology [12][13] 2.3 Glass - The glass industry is expected to see a supply-side contraction, which may improve the short-term supply-demand balance [13] - The report suggests that leading companies in the float glass sector will benefit from resource advantages and potential excess profit opportunities [13] 2.4 Renovation and Building Materials - The report highlights the positive impact of government policies on domestic demand for renovation materials, with expectations for continued growth in consumer confidence [14] - Recommendations include companies that are well-positioned to benefit from these trends, such as Beixin Building Materials and Arrow Home [14][15] 3. Industry Dynamics Tracking - The report discusses the ongoing policy environment and its implications for the construction materials sector, emphasizing the need for companies to adapt to changing market conditions [4][14] - The report also tracks the performance of various companies within the sector, providing insights into their financial metrics and market positioning [15][16]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the construction materials industry is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The central urban work conference emphasized urban renewal, which is expected to drive demand for construction materials such as pipes, waterproofing, and coatings. This will lead to significant improvements in the real estate chain's fundamentals [3] - The report recommends several companies in the consumer building materials sector, including Sankeshu (channel expansion), Dongfang Yuhong (waterproofing leader), Weixing New Materials (high retail business ratio), and Jianlang Hardware. Beneficiary companies include Beixin Building Materials (gypsum board leader) [3] - The National Development and Reform Commission's action plan for the cement industry aims to control cement clinker capacity at around 1.8 billion tons by the end of 2025, which is expected to accelerate energy-saving and carbon reduction efforts [3] Market Performance - The construction materials index fell by 0.23% in the week from July 14 to July 18, 2025, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 1.32 percentage points. Over the past three months, the CSI 300 index rose by 7.17%, while the construction materials index increased by 4.36%, underperforming by 2.82 percentage points. In the past year, the CSI 300 index rose by 14.68%, and the construction materials index increased by 16.62%, outperforming by 1.94 percentage points [4][13] Cement Sector - As of July 18, 2025, the average price of P.O42.5 bulk cement nationwide was 280.87 CNY/ton, down 0.71% month-on-month. The clinker inventory ratio was 67.24%, up 1.35 percentage points [6][27] - The report highlights regional price variations, with Northeast China stable, North China up by 0.74%, and East China down by 1.90% [26] Glass Sector - The spot price of float glass as of July 18, 2025, was 1214.63 CNY/ton, an increase of 0.71% from the previous week. The inventory of float glass nationwide decreased by 175 million weight boxes, a decline of 3.05% [82][84] - The average price of photovoltaic glass remained stable at 116.02 CNY/weight box [89] Fiberglass Sector - The market price for non-alkali 2400tex direct yarn ranged from 3300 to 4100 CNY/ton, with variations depending on the manufacturer [6] Consumer Building Materials - As of July 18, 2025, the price of asphalt was 4570 CNY/ton, stable week-on-week, and up 2.93% year-to-date. The price of titanium dioxide was 13050 CNY/ton, down 1.14% month-on-month [6]

Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Recommended [4] Core Insights - The establishment of China Yajiang Group marks the orderly advancement of major engineering projects, with significant investment opportunities in geotechnical engineering and civil explosives [1][8] - The demand for civil explosives is expected to concentrate further, benefiting companies like Guangdong Hongda and Xuefeng Technology [1] - The traditional industry is experiencing a "anti-involution" trend, with recommendations for cement leaders such as Conch Cement and Huaxin Cement [1][9] - Domestic substitution is gaining momentum, with recommendations for companies like Maijia Xincai and Songjing Co., which are expected to benefit from tariff relief and increased shipping demand [1][10] Summary by Sections 1. Market Trends - In the 29th week, new housing and second-hand housing market transaction volumes showed a downward trend, with new housing transaction area in 30 major cities down by 25% year-on-year [2][23] - The average price of cement in the national market is 356 RMB/ton, continuing to decline with a drop of 1% [3][27] 2. Investment Opportunities - Major water conservancy and hydropower projects are expected to generate substantial demand for engineering, building materials, and civil explosives, with total investment in the Yarlung Hydropower Project estimated at approximately 1.2 trillion RMB [8] - The civil explosives industry is undergoing consolidation, with the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology aiming to reduce the number of production enterprises to 50 by 2025 [8] 3. Cement Industry Analysis - Cement prices are under downward pressure, particularly in East and Southwest China, with average shipment rates around 43.2% [3][27] - The cement market is expected to continue experiencing price fluctuations due to weak overall demand and high inventory levels [27][54] 4. Recommendations - Recommended companies include Conch Cement, Huaxin Cement, and companies in the waterproofing sector like Dongfang Yuhong and Keshun Co. [1][9] - For domestic substitution, companies like Maijia Xincai and Songjing Co. are highlighted for their growth potential in the ship coating sector [1][10]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Buy" for Beixin Building Materials and "Overweight" for Weixing New Materials [5][9]. Core Views - The Yarlung Tsangpo River downstream hydropower project has officially commenced, with a total investment of approximately 1.2 trillion yuan, expected to boost infrastructure in Tibet [2]. - The cement industry is currently experiencing a demand downturn, but supply-side adjustments, such as staggered production halts, are anticipated to improve the situation [2][3]. - The glass manufacturing sector is facing supply-demand contradictions, but the recent self-discipline production cuts in photovoltaic glass may alleviate some of these issues [2][6]. - The consumption building materials sector is benefiting from favorable second-hand housing transactions and consumption stimulus policies, with significant potential for market share growth [2][6]. - The fiberglass market shows signs of recovery, particularly in wind power demand, while electronic fiberglass prices remain stable amid supply-demand differentiation [2][7]. Summary by Sections Cement Industry Tracking - As of July 18, 2025, the national cement price index is 343.37 yuan/ton, down 0.69% week-on-week, with a total cement output of 2.7828 million tons, up 2.09% [3][16]. - Infrastructure remains the only positive demand driver for cement, but local government funding pressures persist [3][16]. - The cement industry is expected to see structural opportunities in key regions like Sichuan-Chongqing and the Yangtze River Delta [3][16]. Glass Industry Tracking - The average price of float glass is 1211.96 yuan/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 0.58% [6][31]. - Inventory levels for sample enterprises have decreased, indicating a potential for short-term replenishment demand [6][31]. - The market remains cautious, with limited order improvements expected in the near term [6][31]. Fiberglass Industry Tracking - The price of non-alkali fiberglass has shown slight weakness, while demand from wind power and thermoplastics remains relatively strong [7]. - The electronic fiberglass market is experiencing stable pricing, with high-end products seeing a notable supply-demand gap [7]. Consumption Building Materials - The consumption building materials sector is experiencing a weak recovery, supported by declining prices of upstream raw materials [6][7]. - Companies like Beixin Building Materials and Weixing New Materials are highlighted for their growth potential in this sector [5][9]. Carbon Fiber Industry Tracking - The carbon fiber market remains stable, with production costs at 106,400 yuan/ton and a negative profit margin [8]. - Demand is expected to grow in sectors like wind power and hydrogen storage, although recovery is gradual [8].

Core Insights - The article discusses the competitive landscape and strategic positioning of companies in China's building energy efficiency market, highlighting key players and their market strategies [1][4][7]. Company Layout - Major companies in the building energy efficiency sector include China National Materials Group (中材节能), Beixin Building Materials (北新建材), Qidi Design (启迪设计), and others, with a focus on providing comprehensive energy-saving solutions [1]. - Companies like Nanwang Energy (南网能源) and Dashi Intelligent (达实智能) are particularly focused on offering integrated energy-saving services to the construction industry [1]. Regional Distribution - The building energy efficiency companies are primarily concentrated in Eastern and Southeastern coastal regions of China, with Jiangsu and Guangdong having the highest representation [3]. Competitive Hierarchy - The industry is divided into three tiers: - The first tier includes leaders like Beixin Building Materials, Nan Glass Group (南玻集团), and Huajian Group (华建集团), which have strong market influence and comprehensive capabilities [4]. - The second tier consists of companies like Nanwang Energy and Qidi Design, which focus on niche areas but have notable professional advantages [4]. - The third tier includes smaller firms like China National Materials Group and Hengshang Energy, which are still in the process of market expansion and technology accumulation [4]. Strategic Cluster Analysis - The competitive landscape is analyzed through a four-quadrant model based on revenue and gross margin, identifying Beixin Building Materials as a leader due to its innovative technologies and sustainable practices [7]. - Other notable companies in the prominent category include Nan Glass Group and Huajian Group, which maintain their leadership through resource management and energy efficiency measures [7]. Market Segmentation - In specific segments, companies like China Nanbo (中国南玻) and Fuyao Glass (福耀玻璃) lead in low-energy glass, while the window industry remains fragmented with no clear leader [11]. Competitive Dynamics - The analysis using Porter's Five Forces model indicates that supplier bargaining power is moderate, while buyer power is slightly weaker due to cost sensitivity and regulatory requirements [13]. - The threat of new entrants is low due to high technical barriers and regulatory requirements, although some cross-industry players are entering through partnerships [13]. - The intensity of rivalry is high, driven by technological advancements and price competition, alongside a surge of capital into the sector [13].