Investment Rating - The report gives a positive outlook on the central state-owned real estate industry, rating it as "Look Favorably" [3] Core Insights - The report evaluates the ESG performance of 10 central state-owned enterprises in the real estate sector, highlighting that over half of the companies scored above 60 points, with strong performance in social responsibility and governance, but needing improvement in climate and environmental disclosures [4][12] - The scoring results show a significant disparity, with three companies scoring below 60, three between 80-89 (including China Merchants Shekou, Poly Developments, and Dayuecheng), and one company, China Merchants Jinling, scoring above 90 [12] - The report emphasizes the importance of enhancing climate disclosures, as over half of the companies still need to improve in this area [27] Summary by Sections Overall Score Distribution - More than half of the companies scored above 60 points, indicating a relatively good performance in social responsibility and environmental aspects, while climate disclosures require further enhancement [12][27] Environmental Performance - Most central state-owned real estate companies show strong awareness of environmental protection, with five companies scoring between 17-20 points and four companies scoring between 14-16 points [18][22] - Companies have disclosed resource utilization and emission reduction measures, with high scores in "green low-carbon measures," "green buildings," and "green construction" [18][22] Climate Performance - The climate indicators received lower scores, with three companies scoring between 14-19 points and five companies scoring between 0-6 points, indicating a need for improved climate disclosures [27][32] - Only one company, China Merchants Jinling, fully disclosed its climate governance measures, while eight companies disclosed their climate response strategies, but only one did so completely [29][33] Social Responsibility - The social indicators scored relatively high, with five companies scoring between 23-29 points, demonstrating good performance in fulfilling social responsibilities, including rural revitalization and consumer rights protection [35][39] - Nine companies disclosed rural revitalization cases, and five companies reported measures for constructing affordable housing [39] Governance - The governance indicators also scored high, with most companies having well-structured governance frameworks. Six companies scored between 17-22 points, while four scored between 14-16 points [47][52] - All ten companies disclosed their governance structures, indicating a commitment to transparency and compliance [52][56]

招商局蛇口工业区控股股份有限公司 修订《公司章程》的临时受托管理事务报告 中信证券股份有限公司作为招商局蛇口工业区控股股份有限公司（以下简称 "公司"、"发行人"）2020 年面向合格投资者公开发行公司债券（第一期）（品种 一）、招商局蛇口工业区控股股份有限公司 2021 年面向合格投资者公开发行公司 债券（第一期）（品种一）、招商局蛇口工业区控股股份有限公司 2021 年面向合 格投资者公开发行公司债券（第二期）（品种一）、招商局蛇口工业区控股股份有 限公司 2022 年面向专业投资者公开发行公司债券（第一期）（品种二）、招商局 蛇口工业区控股股份有限公司 2022 年面向专业投资者公开发行公司债券（第二 期）（品种二）、招商局蛇口工业区控股股份有限公司 2022 年面向专业投资者公 开发行公司债券（第三期）、招商局蛇口工业区控股股份有限公司 2022 年面向专 债券简称：20 蛇口 01 债券代码：149301 债券简称：21 蛇口 01 债券代码：149448 债券简称：21 蛇口 03 债券代码：149497 债券简称：22 蛇口 02 债券代码：149938 债券简称：22 蛇口 04 债券代码：1 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the real estate industry is "Positive" (maintained) [3][4] Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes the importance of stabilizing the real estate market and stock market as a means to boost social expectations and facilitate domestic demand circulation. The focus is on high-quality housing and urban renewal, with a potential wave of development for high-quality residential properties [4][45] - The report suggests that the central government's consistent messaging since September 2024 has been to stabilize the real estate market, especially in light of external economic pressures [4][45] Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.4%, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell by 1.3%, and the ChiNext Index dropped by 3.9%. The real estate sector (Shenwan) decreased by 0.8% during the week [4][7] - In terms of individual stocks, Hefei Urban Construction saw a significant increase of 18.1%, while Shenzhen Real Estate A experienced a decline of 12.0% [4][7] Data Tracking New Housing Transactions - In the week of October 4-10, 2025, 42 key cities recorded a total new housing transaction volume of 980,000 square meters, a decrease of 51.0% from the previous week and a year-on-year decline of 53.5% [11][17] - For the month up to October 10, 2025, new housing transactions in these cities totaled 1.22 million square meters, down 44.8% month-on-month and 39.5% year-on-year [17] Second-Hand Housing Transactions - During the same week, 21 key cities recorded a total of 860,000 square meters in second-hand housing transactions, a decrease of 26.6% from the previous week and a year-on-year decline of 48.4% [29][35] - For the month up to October 10, 2025, second-hand housing transactions totaled 930,000 square meters, down 64.5% month-on-month and 29.3% year-on-year [35] Industry News - The Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development is focusing on urban renewal and governance, with plans to upgrade old houses into "good houses" [45] - New regulations in Shenzhen limit the height of residential buildings to manage safety risks, while Chengdu has increased the area limit for balconies and other auxiliary spaces [45][46] Company Announcements - In September 2025, China Overseas Development reported a sales figure of 20.17 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.2%, while Poly Developments reported 20.53 billion yuan, a decrease of 1.8% [48] - New City Holdings issued a total of 160 million USD in unsecured fixed-rate bonds with a 2-year term and an interest rate of 11.88% [48]

Sales Performance - In the first nine months of 2025, the total sales amount of the top 30 real estate companies in Beijing reached 257.34 billion yuan, with China Overseas Land & Investment, Yuexiu Property, and China Resources Land leading the sales at 31.08 billion yuan, 21.25 billion yuan, and 20.53 billion yuan respectively [10] - The total sales area for the top 30 companies was 4.796 million square meters, with China Overseas Land & Investment, China Resources Land, and Shoukai Co., Ltd. achieving sales areas of 430,000 square meters, 340,000 square meters, and 333,000 square meters respectively [10] Policy Changes - The annual adjustment policy for Beijing's housing provident fund has been implemented, maintaining a contribution rate between 5% and 12%, with the upper limit for monthly contributions adjusted to 35,811 yuan and the lower limit to 2,540 yuan [10] Market Activity - In September, Beijing recorded 3,556 new housing contracts, showing a month-on-month increase of 9.9% and a year-on-year increase of 13.4%. The second-hand housing market saw 15,829 contracts, with month-on-month and year-on-year increases of 24.8% and 18.7% respectively [10] - The top-selling project in September was the Zhongjian Yunhe Jiuyuan, which achieved a sales amount of 3.568 billion yuan and a sales area of 58,000 square meters, topping both the sales amount and area rankings [10] Land Market - In September, four residential land plots were successfully auctioned in Beijing, with the Chaoyang District Sun Palace plot sold at a premium rate of 39.18%. The plot attracted nine bidders and was ultimately won by China Construction Intelligence with a total price of 4.3145 billion yuan and a floor price of 85,331 yuan per square meter [11]

Core Viewpoint - The stock of China Merchants Shekou Industrial Zone Holdings Co., Ltd. has shown positive performance with a year-to-date increase of 2.62% and significant gains over various trading periods, indicating investor confidence and potential growth in the real estate sector [1][2]. Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, the company reported a revenue of 51.485 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 0.41%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.448 billion yuan, up by 2.18% [2]. - Cumulatively, since its A-share listing, the company has distributed a total of 38.997 billion yuan in dividends, with 6.429 billion yuan distributed over the past three years [3]. Shareholder Information - As of June 30, 2025, the number of shareholders decreased by 1.70% to 140,400, while the average number of circulating shares per person increased by 3.39% to 60,265 shares [2]. - The top ten circulating shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, which holds 144 million shares, a decrease of 7.0339 million shares from the previous period [3]. Stock Performance - The stock price of China Merchants Shekou increased by 2.08% to 10.31 yuan per share, with a trading volume of 1.67 billion yuan and a market capitalization of 93.417 billion yuan [1]. - The stock has experienced a 3.72% increase over the last five trading days, a 10.74% increase over the last 20 days, and a 16.67% increase over the last 60 days [1]. Business Overview - The company, established on February 19, 1992, and listed on December 30, 2015, is primarily engaged in park development and operation, community development and operation, and cruise industry construction and operation [1]. - The revenue composition of the company includes 77.54% from development business, 15.75% from property services, and 6.71% from asset operation [1].

Core Viewpoint - Shanghai's recent announcement reveals the launch of 8 new residential projects across 6 districts, totaling 874 units and a construction area of 105,710 square meters, indicating a continued push in the real estate market despite no new developments being introduced [2][10]. Group 1: Project Details - The projects include various types of apartments, with the largest being located in Pudong and Hongkou, featuring high average prices and strong demand [4][5]. - The "Feiyun Yuefu" project in Pudong has seen significant success, with a total sales amount of 12.691 billion yuan in the first nine months of the year, ranking among the top three in Shanghai [5]. - The "Wai Tan Rui Fu" project in Hongkou sold out on its opening day, showcasing the competitive pricing and demand in the area [5]. Group 2: Market Trends - The overall sales performance of the real estate market in Shanghai has improved, with new home transaction areas increasing by nearly 40% in September compared to the previous month [10]. - The introduction of new policies aimed at optimizing housing purchases has positively impacted market dynamics, particularly in outer districts [10]. - China Resources Land has emerged as a significant player in the market, with a total sales volume of 35.594 billion yuan in the first nine months, closely trailing behind the leading company [10].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for several companies in the real estate sector, including New World Development (9.70 HK), China Resources Land (35.30 HK), and Yuexiu Property (10.70 HK) [3][4][12]. Core Insights - The overall real estate market showed signs of recovery in September 2025, with total sales from the top 100 developers increasing by 20.9% month-on-month to 266.1 billion RMB [4][12]. - The report highlights that state-owned enterprises (SOEs) dominate the sales rankings, with nine out of the top ten developers being SOEs, and Poly Developments maintaining the top position [4][12]. - The central government continues to implement policies aimed at stabilizing the real estate market, focusing on urban renewal and improving housing standards [4][14][35]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The report indicates that the stock performance of Chinese enterprises has generally outperformed that of mainland developers, with the industry net asset value discount slightly narrowing to 83.7% [5][12]. Sales Performance - In September 2025, the sales of 21 tracked listed developers increased by 4.4% month-on-month, driven by significant growth from China Resources Land and Jianfa Properties, which saw increases exceeding 30% [12][13]. - The average selling price rose by 13.7% month-on-month, while the sales area decreased by 9.1% [12][13]. Market Dynamics - The report notes a 14.75% month-on-month increase in new home transaction volumes across ten cities in September, with supply rising by 42.5% [21][22]. - The inventory turnover period has expanded to approximately 19.13 months, indicating a need for further market adjustments [21][22]. Policy Review - Central policies in September 2025 focused on stabilizing the real estate market, enhancing housing support, and promoting urban renewal projects [35][37]. - Local governments have introduced measures to lower purchasing thresholds and optimize credit support to stimulate market demand [37][38]. Company Updates - Kaisa Group's offshore debt restructuring became effective, involving the issuance of new notes totaling 6.686 billion USD [39]. - China Resources Land reported a significant increase in contract sales, reflecting its strong market position [4][12]. - Poly Developments is actively engaging in asset-backed securities projects to optimize its capital structure [45].

Core Insights - The report from CICC indicates that the second-hand housing market in September shows a mixed performance, with transaction volume declining month-on-month but increasing year-on-year, suggesting ongoing market weakness [1][2]. Transaction Volume and Price Trends - In September, the transaction volume index for second-hand residential properties in 80 cities decreased by 10% month-on-month but increased by 19% year-on-year (Q3 +19%, Q2 +17%) [1]. - The registered transaction area in 15 cities rose by 6% month-on-month and grew by 9% year-on-year (Q3 +3%, Q2 +11%) [1]. - The price index for homogeneous second-hand residential properties fell by 1.7% month-on-month (Q3 average -1.7%, Q2 average -1.4%) [1]. - The negotiation space for transactions increased by 25 basis points to 8.91% [1]. Listing Trends - The number of second-hand residential listings in 130 cities increased by 0.4% month-on-month, continuing a slight upward trend [2]. - The price index for homogeneous listings in key cities decreased by 1.5% month-on-month (Q3 average -1.3%, Q2 average -1.2%) [2]. - The average adjustment for listed properties was -5.24%, indicating a conservative price expectation among sellers [2]. Rental Market Insights - The rental index for homogeneous listings decreased by 0.8% month-on-month (August -0.5%) [3]. - The average rental period remained stable at 2.12 months [3]. - The rental-to-sale ratio increased by 2 basis points to 2.33% due to declining listing prices [3]. Investment Recommendations - The company suggests focusing on investment opportunities in the real estate and property management sectors, particularly in companies with solid fundamentals and profit quality such as China Resources Land, Jianfa International, and others [4]. - It also recommends considering undervalued stocks like Greentown China and New Town Holdings, given potential liquidity improvements [4]. - The report highlights the importance of identifying stocks with strong growth prospects or attractive dividend yields across various sectors [4].

Core Insights - The real estate market in key cities of Central and Western China, particularly Wuhan and Chengdu, is experiencing a notable increase in new property launches and varying levels of sales performance [1][2][7]. Group 1: Market Overview - From September 8 to October 5, 2025, Wuhan and Chengdu saw a total of 41 new property launches, with 4,406 units released, marking an 82% increase month-over-month [1]. - In Wuhan, 18 launches introduced 2,692 units with an overall absorption rate of approximately 41%, a decrease of about 6 percentage points from the previous month [2]. - Chengdu had 25 launches with 2,302 units, maintaining a similar absorption rate of 41%, with a focus on upgrading and newly renovated properties [7]. Group 2: Performance by City - In Wuhan, the Jiang'an District had the highest number of launches at 998 units, while only Jiang'an and Donghu High-tech Zone had absorption rates below 30% [2]. - The Wuhan Chengjian Jiangnan An project achieved a remarkable absorption rate of 89% with a launch of 142 units at an average price of 26,100 yuan per square meter [3][6]. - In Chengdu, the project "Zhaoshang Jinchengxu" sold all 92 units on the first day, achieving a 100% absorption rate, with an average price of 34,429 yuan per square meter [9]. Group 3: Product Types and Pricing - The majority of new launches in both cities are focused on upgrading and improvement-type products, with 85.4% of the offerings in Wuhan falling into these categories [1]. - In Wuhan, the price range for newly launched properties varies, with some projects offering units priced between 16,346 and 26,100 yuan per square meter [10]. - Chengdu's newly launched properties feature a price range of 22,000 to 60,000 yuan per square meter, with a significant portion being newly renovated [7][10]. Group 4: Upcoming Projects - Several notable projects are scheduled for launch in October 2025 in both cities, including "Wuhan Ideal Land" and "Chengdu Fudi Kunyu," with details on pricing and unit counts yet to be determined [12].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the real estate sector, indicating a positive outlook amidst current market conditions [9]. Core Insights - The real estate market is expected to stabilize and recover, driven by policy support and a focus on internal demand as a core driver [14]. - The report highlights the defensive characteristics of quality state-owned developers during market disruptions, particularly in response to tariff impacts [15]. - Commercial real estate is identified as having strong recovery potential, with specific companies like New Town Holdings and China Resources Mixc showing significant alpha during market sentiment recovery [16][17]. Summary by Sections Market Overview - The A-share real estate sector experienced a decline of 0.82%, underperforming the broader market by 0.30 percentage points, ranking 23rd among 31 sectors [21]. - The Hong Kong real estate sector outperformed the market with a gain of 1.25%, exceeding the Hang Seng Index by 4.39 percentage points, ranking 4th among 12 sectors [36]. Credit Market - The issuance of real estate credit bonds totaled 940 million yuan this week, with a net financing amount of 939 million yuan. Cumulative issuance reached 337.01 billion yuan, with a net financing deficit of 38.57 billion yuan year-on-year [20][42]. Housing Market - New housing transaction volumes decreased by 11.69% year-on-year, while second-hand housing transactions increased by 4.33% year-on-year, indicating a mixed recovery in the housing market [6]. Land Market - The supply and transaction area of land in 100 cities increased by 7.07% and 18.60% respectively, with a rise in premium rates by 4.83% [5]. REITs Market - The REITs index saw a slight decline of 0.31%, with the property-type REITs index down by 0.51% and the franchise-type REITs index down by 0.07% [44].