Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Neutral" rating for both the real estate and building materials sectors [1][3] Core Insights - The central economic work conference emphasizes stabilizing the real estate market, with expectations for new policies to be introduced to control supply, reduce inventory, and improve the quality of housing supply [4][25] - In November, first-tier cities saw a significant increase in second-hand housing transactions, reaching 49,033 units, a 20% month-on-month increase, marking a seven-month high [4][25] - The building materials sector is focusing on improving profitability, with a target for green building materials revenue to exceed 300 billion yuan by 2026 [5][47] Summary by Sections Real Estate Sector - The real estate sector is currently in a "bottoming" phase, with expectations for policy support to enhance market stability and recovery [4][25] - The report highlights a shift from high leverage and turnover to a focus on quality, service, and sustainability in the industry [4][25] - Key companies to watch include Poly Developments, Binjiang Group, and China Merchants Shekou, which are expected to perform well in the evolving market landscape [4][25] Building Materials Sector - The building materials sector has seen a slight increase of 0.89% in the last two weeks, outperforming the CSI 300 index [26] - The cement industry is undergoing structural upgrades, with over 83.59 million tons of clinker capacity being eliminated as part of the capacity replacement policy [47] - The report suggests focusing on companies with strong fundamentals and high dividend yields, such as Conch Cement, Taipai Group, and Huaxin Cement [47] Market Trends - The report notes that the overall profitability of the cement industry has significantly improved, with leading companies showing strong cash flow and performance [47] - The glass fiber sector is experiencing a shift in demand from traditional construction materials to high-growth areas such as renewable energy and high-end electronic fibers [5][48] - The report indicates that the market for photovoltaic glass is under pressure due to high inventory levels and weak demand, but long-term growth prospects remain strong [5][42]

今年，兔宝宝实力参建浙江好房子，震动业界。兔宝宝为何全力以赴，又凭何实力担当？2025年12月15日，兔宝宝将诚邀多家权威媒体，亲临品牌现场， 参观好房子实景展，共同开启"探秘品质内核，解码未来之家——兔宝宝好房子媒体工厂行"活动。 届时，兔宝宝将围绕品质展开深度对话，涵盖产品品控、品牌服务、企业文化等全链路环节，让媒体朋友全方位领略兔宝宝的综合实力与"让家更好"的使 命践行，亲身感受"好房子"如何从理念走进现实。 兔宝宝实力助建 2025浙江好房子展 兔宝宝实力助建好房子 解锁改善型人居新体验 解锁改善型人居新体验 新华社 "好房子"之内样造 玄关空间 e "顶天立地"收纳柜 解锁超大储物容量 钢琴键挂钩设计 兼具艺术感与实用性 内置电动旋转鞋架 一键操控轻松取放 新华社 中国名牌 TUBAO免宝宝 "好房子"之内样造 ENTRYWAY SPACE · 宠物天地 8 PET PARADISE 安全环保材质 全方位守护宠物健康 灵活组合场景模块 打造宠物玩耍专属区 定制多功能储物柜 巧妙收纳宠物用品 兔宝宝实力助建好房子) 新华社 解锁改善型人居新体验 中国名牌。 "好房子"之内样造 TUBAO免宝宝 音变空 ...

证 券 研 究 报 告 兔宝宝（002043）深度研究报告 推荐（首次） 多元渠道织网，下沉市场掘金 目标价：15.19 元 ❖ 风险提示：渠道布局成效不如预期，品牌形象受公共事件损坏，写字楼、地产 持续下行风险等。 [ReportFinancialIndex] 主要财务指标 | | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万元) | 9,189 | 9,213 | 10,159 | 11,144 | | 同比增速(%) | 1.4% | 0.3% | 10.3% | 9.7% | | 归母净利润(百万元) | 585 | 781 | 788 | 861 | | 同比增速(%) | -15.1% | 33.5% | 0.8% | 9.3% | | 每股盈利(元) | 0.71 | 0.94 | 0.95 | 1.04 | | 市盈率(倍) | 19 | 14 | 14 | 13 | | 市净率(倍) | 3.7 | 3.3 | 3.2 | 3.0 | 资料来源：公司公告，华创证券预测 注：股价为 2025 ...

中国银河（601881）证券发布研报称，2026年去产能效果有望显现，行业供需格局改善预期增强，价格 有望回升，企业盈利有望逐步修复。此外，水泥龙头企业加速海外产能布局，将贡献更多业绩增量，拉 开龙头企业盈利差距。玻璃纤维下游新兴产业发展势头较好，AI算力需求驱动下，特种玻纤纱高景气 有望持续；城市更新驱动消费建材在旧改、修缮市场的需求释放，消费升级将带动高品质绿色建材需求 提升；终端需求改善预期较弱，"反内卷"有望加速玻璃供给侧优化。 消费建材：10月家装零售需求走弱，高品质存量需求托底消费建材市场 2025年1-10月建筑及装潢材料类零售额同比增长0.5%，其中10月单月同比下降8.3%，环比下降2.1%。 随着地产销售的走弱，存量家装市场需求有所减弱，且因新房需求大幅缩减，今年消费建材需求不及往 年同期。后续城市更新战略的持续落地将释放修缮、旧改等需求，"好房子"建设标准的推进将提升高品 质绿色建材的市场渗透率。 浮法玻璃：供给缩减，但提振效果有限，11月价格继续承压 11月浮法玻璃市场刚需变化不明显；月产能减少，行业总供给收缩；企业库存虽有所下降，但仍处于历 史高位；浮法玻璃价格进一步下滑。后续来看， ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for both the construction and building materials sectors [10]. Core Viewpoints - The construction and building materials sector is expected to experience a spring rally in 2026, driven by improvements in construction PMI, order volume, and favorable market conditions such as a later Spring Festival and strong domestic excavator sales [13][19]. - The report emphasizes the importance of high dividend and price-increasing stocks, recommending companies with stable performance and high dividend yields, as well as traditional building materials with price increase potential [13][19]. - The report identifies three main investment themes: sustainable growth in renovation, thorough industry clearing in construction materials, and opportunities in high-quality leading companies in various segments [14][21]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The report highlights a potential spring rally for the building materials sector, supported by fiscal improvements and strong domestic machinery sales [19]. - Historical data shows that the building materials index has a high probability of outperforming the market in Q1, with a 57% chance of rising based on past performance [15]. Key Companies and Recommendations - The report recommends several companies, including China Chemical, China National Materials, and Xinyi Glass, with target prices and buy ratings [10][38]. - Specific recommendations include: - China Chemical (601117 CH) - Target Price: 12.05 - China National Materials (600970 CH) - Target Price: 14.23 - Xinyi Glass (868 HK) - Target Price: 9.54 - Others include China United Plastic, Jinggong Steel Structure, and Dongfang Yuhong [10][38]. Market Dynamics - Recent data indicates a 1.2% week-on-week increase in national cement prices, while the average price of float glass has risen by 2.3% [2][28]. - The report notes that the domestic float glass market is stabilizing, with some regions experiencing price increases due to supply constraints [28][30]. - The electronic fabric market is also showing signs of price increases, driven by demand from PCB clients [25][33]. Future Outlook - The report anticipates continued demand in the cleanroom engineering and special electronic fabric sectors, with a focus on companies that can adapt to new production capabilities and traditional industry upgrades [14][19]. - The construction sector is expected to benefit from urban renewal initiatives and the ongoing recovery of the real estate market, with a focus on renovation and construction materials [21][22].

饰面纸（三聚氰胺浸渍胶膜纸）2025年前三季度销售额达9.6亿元，同比增长12.34%。公司依托集中采 购体系，向板材OEM供应商销售浸渍纸，并优先将订单分配给产能充足、成本优势显著的纸厂，实现 成本管控与效率提升。 在长期品牌建设与运营实践中，兔宝宝坚守"兔宝宝，让家更好"的企业使命，聚焦环保健康核心诉求， 为消费者提供高品质家居产品与服务，成功塑造了高端化、环保化的品牌形象。兔宝宝先后斩获浙江省 政府质量奖、新华社"中国名牌"、中国年度影响力十大环保品牌、中国十大生态板品牌、国家绿色建材 品牌计划"百强品牌"、中国板材国家品牌、2024-2025十大生态板品牌、板材行业领先品牌等多项重磅 荣誉。强大的品牌势能支撑公司在行业调整周期中实现逆周期稳健增长，更赋予产品显著品牌溢价空 间，成为驱动营收与利润持续提升的核心动力之一。 近年来，受房地产行业调整影响，产业链整体盈利承压，但"十五五"规划建议对房地产领域的关注度显 著提升，后续稳市纾困政策有望持续落地见效。申万宏源研报指出，人们对居住环境改善的需求从不停 歇，"好房子"建设代表居住环境改善的本质需求，有望带动建材提质增量。在此背景下，具备高端化、 环保化 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" and maintained [10] Core Views - Focus on the expectation of glass cold repairs and emphasize high-quality leading companies in consumer building materials [5][6] - Cement prices continue to decline, while glass inventory has slightly decreased month-on-month [7][8] - The real estate policy outlook is improving, suggesting a focus on high-quality leading companies in consumer building materials [5][6] Summary by Sections Cement - National cement prices have continued to decline, with a current average price of 355.00 yuan/ton, down 0.65 yuan/ton month-on-month and down 77.10 yuan/ton year-on-year [26] - The cement market is entering the off-season, with a national shipment rate of approximately 45%, down 0.3 percentage points month-on-month and down 2.5 percentage points year-on-year [7][26] - The northern market is experiencing a seasonal decline in demand, while some southern regions show slight recovery [7][25] Glass - The domestic float glass market prices have stabilized after a decline, with a current average price of 60.59 yuan/weight box, down 0.59 yuan/weight box month-on-month and down 15.51 yuan/weight box year-on-year [39] - The production capacity of float glass has slightly decreased, with 218 out of 283 production lines currently in operation, and a daily melting capacity of 156,155 tons [8][36] - Inventory levels in key monitored provinces have decreased, with a total inventory of 59.32 million weight boxes, down 730,000 weight boxes month-on-month [38][39] Consumer Building Materials - High-quality leading companies in consumer building materials are expected to have bottom value, with recommendations for companies like SanKeTree, TuBaoBao, and WeiXing New Materials [6] - From a cyclical bottom and structural optimization perspective, companies in waterproofing and coatings are recommended due to significant supply exits and increased market share for leading companies [6] - If market conditions improve, the expected price performance ranking is waterproofing > coatings > pipes/hardware/gypsum board [6] Special Fabrics - Attention is drawn to the opportunities in AI special fabrics after recent adjustments, with domestic leaders like ZhongCai Technology benefiting from domestic substitution trends [9]

Group 1: New Consumption - The report emphasizes the continuous exploration of new products, channels, and brand changes within the new consumption sector, highlighting the resilience of leading companies despite market concerns about revenue growth and profit realization in 2026 [8][15][9] - Key sectors include eyewear, with a focus on AI and AR technologies, recommending companies like 康耐特光学 for their innovative approaches [18][30] - The潮玩 (trendy toys) sector is noted for its high growth potential, particularly with brands like 泡泡玛特 and their successful IP strategies [34][38] - The personal care and household cleaning segment is undergoing a transformation, driven by the rise of platforms like 抖音, which enhances brand visibility and sales conversion [54][55] Group 2: Export Chain - The report identifies the light industry export chain as a key area, emphasizing the importance of high pricing power, market diversification, and mature overseas production capabilities [10] - Recommendations include关注匠心家居, 共创草坪, and other companies that demonstrate strong performance in international markets [10] Group 3: Cyclical Opportunities - The report suggests a focus on quality leaders in the cyclical sector, particularly in home textiles and furniture, where companies like 水星家纺 and 欧派家居 are highlighted for their strong market positions [11][11] - The report notes the increasing differentiation within the home goods market, recommending companies that offer value and competitive pricing [11]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint highlights the increasing pressure in the construction materials industry, with a focus on the expected rise in real estate policies and the potential for quality leading companies in consumer building materials to gain value [2][3] - The industry is experiencing a significant downward trend, with expectations for policy tools aimed at reducing housing burdens, such as interest subsidies or tax deductions, to support housing demand [2][3] - Key companies recommended for investment include Sanhe Tree, Rabbit Baby, and Weixing New Materials, which are seen as having bottom value and potential to benefit from policy changes [2][3] Group 2 - Cement prices have slightly decreased, with demand in southern regions recovering while northern regions face weakened demand due to cold weather [3] - The national cement enterprise shipment rate is approximately 45.5%, reflecting a month-on-month decline of about 0.4 percentage points [3] - In the glass market, prices are trending downward, with an increase in inventory levels, indicating ongoing pressure on production and sales [4] Group 3 - The focus on African supply chains includes recommendations for Huaxin Cement and Keda Manufacturing, which are expected to benefit from overseas performance and domestic market recovery [5] - The stock chain is highlighted for its potential recovery, with leading companies in consumer building materials expected to see demand restoration and structural optimization [5] - Special electronic fabrics are noted for their growth potential due to high demand and supply barriers, with companies like Zhongcai Technology positioned to benefit from domestic substitution [5][6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the building materials industry [12]. Core Viewpoints - The report highlights an increase in expectations regarding real estate policies, suggesting a focus on high-quality consumer building materials leaders. The industry is experiencing intensified downward pressure, but the anticipated policy tools aim to reduce housing burdens, which could support residential demand [6][9]. - The report recommends focusing on quality leaders in consumer building materials, such as SanKeTree, TuBaoBao, and WeiXing New Materials, as they possess bottom value and are expected to benefit from policy changes and operational turning points [6][9]. - The report notes a slight decline in cement prices and a shift in glass inventory from decrease to increase, indicating ongoing challenges in the market [7][8]. Summary by Sections Basic Situation - Cement prices have slightly decreased, with a national average of 355.65 yuan/ton, down 1.45 yuan/ton week-on-week and down 76.77 yuan/ton year-on-year. The cement output rate is approximately 45.5%, reflecting a 0.4 percentage point decrease [24][32]. - The glass market is operating weakly, with a national average price of 61.55 yuan per weight box, down 1.84 yuan per weight box week-on-week and down 15.22 yuan year-on-year. The inventory of glass has increased, indicating pressure on the market [38][40]. Recommendations - The report continues to recommend investments in the African supply chain and existing supply chain leaders, highlighting companies like Huaxin Cement and Keda Manufacturing as key players benefiting from demand recovery and structural optimization [9]. - It emphasizes the importance of focusing on quality leaders in the consumer building materials sector, particularly those with strong business models and growth potential, such as SanKeTree and TuBaoBao [9]. Market Trends - The report indicates that the downward slope of the industry is increasing, with a focus on the expected rise in real estate policies. The core reasons for the pressure on housing prices in major cities are linked to income and inflation expectations, as well as the rental-to-sale ratio being inverted with mortgage rates [6][9].