Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.33% on July 25, with 9 out of the 28 sectors rising, led by the electronics and computer sectors, which increased by 1.37% and 1.26% respectively [1] - The construction materials sector ranked second in terms of decline, dropping by 1.69% [1] Fund Flow Analysis - The total net outflow of capital from the two markets was 49.376 billion yuan, with only 4 sectors experiencing net inflows [1] - The computer sector had the largest net inflow of 2.924 billion yuan, followed by the electronics sector with a net inflow of 2.348 billion yuan [1] Construction Materials Sector - The construction materials sector saw a net outflow of 3.028 billion yuan, with 71 stocks in the sector; 14 stocks rose, including 1 hitting the daily limit, while 55 stocks fell, with 2 hitting the daily limit [2] - The top three stocks with the highest net outflow in the construction materials sector were Tibet Tianlu, Hainan Ruize, and Hanjian Heshan, with net outflows of 2.112 billion yuan, 112 million yuan, and 96.126 million yuan respectively [2] Individual Stock Performance - The stock with the highest net inflow in the construction materials sector was Puhua Co., with a net inflow of 594.184 million yuan, followed by Rabbit Baby and China Glass, with net inflows of 193.110 million yuan and 143.695 million yuan respectively [2][4] - The stocks with the largest declines included Tibet Tianlu (-9.98%), Hainan Ruize (-8.81%), and Hanjian Heshan (-9.98%) [2][3]

Investment Rating - The report indicates a continued decline in public fund allocation to the chemical industry, with the allocation ratio dropping to 4% in Q2 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 1.8 percentage points and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 0.1 percentage points, reflecting a historically low level [1][11]. Core Insights - The focus of public funds has shifted towards sectors such as civil explosives, potassium fertilizers, and fluorochemicals, with significant increases in holdings for companies like China National Materials, Guangdong Hongda, and Blue Sky Technology [2][3]. - The polyurethane and tire sectors have seen continuous reductions in holdings, particularly for Wanhua Chemical, due to declining core product prices and a drop in profitability [3][4]. - The report highlights a strong interest in new materials, particularly in the fiberglass sector, driven by high demand in AI applications [3][4]. Summary by Sections Public Fund Allocation in the Chemical Industry - The allocation of public funds to the chemical industry has been on a downward trend since Q2 2022, with a significant drop from 8.5% in Q3 2021 to 4% in Q2 2025 [1][11]. Individual Stock Changes - Key stocks that received increased allocations include China National Materials, Guangdong Hongda, and Blue Sky Technology, while significant reductions were noted for Wanhua Chemical and Satellite Chemical [2][16]. - The top ten stocks by market value in the chemical sector saw a decrease in concentration, with the top 15 companies holding a combined market value of 33.2 billion yuan, down 1.5 percentage points [14][15]. Industry Trends - The civil explosives, potassium fertilizers, and fluorochemical sectors are gaining attention, with the civil explosives sector benefiting from ongoing supply-side reforms and increased demand in regions like Xinjiang and Tibet [3][4]. - The potassium fertilizer market is supported by significant price increases in contracts signed in mid-June, while fluorochemicals are experiencing price rises due to quota implementations [3][4]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on sectors with fundamental support, such as potassium fertilizers and fluorochemicals, while also highlighting the importance of domestic demand in the civil explosives sector amid global trade uncertainties [4][5]. - New materials, particularly those related to AI applications, are recommended for investment consideration, alongside traditional cyclical sectors showing positive supply-side changes [4][5].

Core Viewpoint - A governance initiative against "involution" is gaining momentum in various traditional industries in China, with the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology implementing a new round of growth stabilization plans for ten key industries, including steel, non-ferrous metals, petrochemicals, and building materials [1] Group 1: Industry Response - The steel, non-ferrous metals, and building materials industries are responding quickly with production cuts, indicating a proactive approach to the new policies [1] - The policies aim to eliminate ineffective supply and enhance industry concentration, suggesting a better development environment for quality enterprises [2] Group 2: Structural Opportunities - The steel industry is expected to benefit significantly from high-barrier, high-value-added special steel due to the trend of high-quality economic development and new productivity [2] - In the non-ferrous metals sector, the implementation of policies is anticipated to optimize supply structure and improve efficiency across the industry chain, leading to a mid-term recovery in capacity profits [2] - The building materials industry is poised to benefit from ongoing favorable real estate policies, with leading companies expected to achieve sustained growth through channel optimization and product diversification [2] Group 3: Market Performance - Market enthusiasm has surged, with 68 stocks in the steel, non-ferrous metals, and building materials sectors projected to see a year-on-year net profit increase in the first half of 2025, including 22 companies expected to turn losses into profits [3] - Notable profit growth is reported for companies like Sanhe Pile and Northern Rare Earth, with Sanhe Pile's net profit expected to increase by 30.91 to 38.89 times, driven by product matrix richness and cost control [3] Group 4: Capital Inflow - The improvement in performance has led to a significant influx of market capital, with the aforementioned 68 stocks averaging a 15.82% increase in July, and some stocks like Liugang Co. and Shenghe Resources seeing cumulative gains exceeding 40% [5] - As of July 23, 23 stocks had rolling P/E ratios below 30, indicating perceived undervaluation, with companies like Huaxin Cement and Zijin Mining in the 10-15 P/E range [5] - Financing activities have also increased, with several stocks, including Zijin Mining and Huayou Cobalt, seeing net purchases exceeding 100 million yuan since July [5]

Investment Rating - The report provides a comprehensive valuation table for various companies in the building materials industry, indicating a range of price-to-earnings (PE) and price-to-book (PB) ratios for 2025E and 2026E [1] Core Insights - The report highlights the expected growth in net profit for several companies, with notable increases such as 90 million CNY for Conch Cement in 2025E and 100 million CNY in 2026E, reflecting a strong market position [1] - The PE ratios for the companies vary significantly, with Conch Cement at 15.3 for 2025E and 13.8 for 2026E, while companies like Jidong Cement show a much higher PE of 37.2 for 2025E [1] - The report emphasizes the valuation metrics, with companies like China National Building Material having a low PB ratio of 0.34, indicating potential undervaluation [1] Summary by Category Cement - Conch Cement has a total market value of 138.1 billion CNY, with projected net profits of 90 million CNY in 2025E and 100 million CNY in 2026E, and a PE of 15.3 for 2025E [1] - Huaxin Cement is valued at 31.9 billion CNY, with net profits expected to reach 25 million CNY in 2025E and 30 million CNY in 2026E, showing a PE of 12.7 for 2025E [1] - Other notable companies include Tianshan Shares with a market value of 43.1 billion CNY and projected net profits of 15 million CNY in 2025E [1] Consumer Building Materials - Rabbit Baby is projected to have net profits of 7.5 million CNY in 2025E and 8.5 million CNY in 2026E, with a PE of 11.2 for 2025E [1] - China Liansu is valued at 14.5 billion CNY, with expected net profits of 22 million CNY in 2025E and 24 million CNY in 2026E, showing a low PE of 6.6 for 2025E [1] Glass and Fiberglass - Shandong Pharmaceutical Glass has a market value of 15.1 billion CNY, with projected net profits of 10.5 million CNY in 2025E and 11.5 million CNY in 2026E, and a PE of 14.3 for 2025E [1] - China Jushi is valued at 51.5 billion CNY, with net profits expected to reach 35 million CNY in 2025E and 40 million CNY in 2026E, showing a PE of 14.7 for 2025E [1] New Materials - Zhongfu Shenying has a market value of 19.3 billion CNY, with projected net profits of 0.5 million CNY in 2025E and 1.5 million CNY in 2026E, reflecting a very high PE of 385.0 for 2025E [1] - Jilin Carbon Valley is valued at 8.5 billion CNY, with expected net profits of 1 million CNY in 2025E and 1.3 million CNY in 2026E, showing a PE of 85.0 for 2025E [1]

Core Viewpoint - As of July 21, the total market financing balance reached 1.90 trillion yuan, reflecting an increase of 15.398 billion yuan from the previous trading day, indicating a growing interest in margin trading [1]. Financing Balances - The financing balance for the Shanghai Stock Exchange was 959.609 billion yuan, up by 7.417 billion yuan; for the Shenzhen Stock Exchange, it was 938.876 billion yuan, increasing by 7.824 billion yuan; and for the Beijing Stock Exchange, it was 6.081 billion yuan, rising by 158 million yuan [1]. Individual Stock Performance - On July 21, a total of 2,131 stocks received net financing purchases, with 646 stocks having net purchases exceeding 10 million yuan. Notably, 33 stocks had net purchases over 100 million yuan [1]. - C Huaxin led with a net purchase of 504.835 million yuan, followed by Zhongji Xuchuang and Feilihua with net purchases of 453.477 million yuan and 387.185 million yuan, respectively [2]. Industry Analysis - The industries with the highest concentration of stocks receiving net purchases over 100 million yuan included non-bank financials, electronics, and power equipment, with 5, 5, and 3 stocks respectively [1]. - In terms of board distribution, 25 stocks were from the main board, 6 from the ChiNext board, and 2 from the Sci-Tech Innovation board [1]. Financing Balance to Market Value Ratio - The average ratio of financing balance to circulating market value for stocks with significant net purchases was 2.75%. The stock with the highest ratio was Dongfang Caifu, with a financing balance of 23.316 billion yuan, accounting for 7.47% of its market value [2]. - Other notable stocks with high financing balance ratios included C Huaxin (6.22%), Shenghe Resources (5.74%), and Zhongxing Communications (5.18%) [2].

沪指7月21日上涨0.72%，申万所属行业中，今日上涨的有27个，涨幅居前的行业为建筑材料、建筑装 饰，涨幅分别为6.06%、3.79%。建筑材料行业位居今日涨幅榜首位。跌幅居前的行业为银行、综合， 跌幅分别为0.77%、0.34%。 资金面上看，两市主力资金全天净流出69.45亿元，今日有11个行业主力资金净流入，电力设备行业主 力资金净流入规模居首，该行业今日上涨2.06%，全天净流入资金31.93亿元，其次是建筑材料行业，日 涨幅为6.06%，净流入资金为20.38亿元。 主力资金净流出的行业有20个，计算机行业主力资金净流出规模居首，全天净流出资金93.19亿元，其 次是电子行业，净流出资金为20.52亿元，净流出资金较多的还有医药生物、银行、通信等行业。 建筑材料行业今日上涨6.06%，全天主力资金净流入20.38亿元，该行业所属的个股共71只，今日上涨的 有68只，涨停的有22只；下跌的有2只。以资金流向数据进行统计，该行业资金净流入的个股有44只， 其中，净流入资金超5000万元的有18只，净流入资金居首的是中材科技，今日净流入资金3.29亿元，紧 随其后的是青龙管业、四川金顶，净流入资金分别为 ...

Group 1 - PCB concept stocks experienced a significant afternoon surge, with Zhongcai Technology (002080) hitting the daily limit up [1] - Defu Technology (301511) rose over 10%, while Jingwang Electronics (603228), Dazhu CNC (301200), and Shennan Circuit (002916) also saw gains [1]

Investment Rating - Industry rating is maintained at "Outperform" [5] Core Viewpoints - The cement industry is expected to achieve a total profit of 15-16 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, recovering from a loss of 1.1 billion yuan in the same period last year. Several cement companies have announced significant profit increases, with Tianshan Co. and Jidong Cement reducing losses by 2.5 billion and 660 million yuan respectively. Other companies like Tapai, China Resources, and Wan Nian Qing have seen profit growth exceeding 80%, while Huaxin Cement's profit increased by 50-55% [2][18] - The substantial improvement in performance is attributed to several factors: 1) Major companies have enhanced their price stability awareness since Q4 last year, leading to a price increase of approximately 20 yuan/ton in the average cement price year-on-year; 2) Cement production decreased by 4.3% year-on-year, with the decline narrowing significantly; 3) The average coal price fell by about 200 yuan/ton year-on-year [2][18] - Short-term cement prices are still slightly declining due to seasonal factors, but the downward space is limited. Prices are expected to rise as demand enters the peak season in August. Current cement valuations are relatively low, with a price-to-book ratio of only 0.7, which is at the 17th percentile over the past three years. The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has announced a new round of growth stabilization plans for the building materials industry, which is expected to catalyze further valuation recovery [3][18] Summary by Sections Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.09%, while the building materials sector (CITIC) fell by 0.02%. Notable stock performances included Lifan Shuke (+26.9%), Shiming Technology (+15%), and Hainan Ruize (+13.9%). The recommended stocks from the previous week showed mixed results, with China National Materials (+8.8%) and Huaxin Cement (+0.9%) performing well, while Sanhe Pile (-4.5%) and International Composite (-1.4%) declined [1][12] Recent Real Estate Fundamentals - In the week of July 4-10, the sales area of commercial housing in 30 major cities was 1.3391 million square meters, a year-on-year decrease of 22.55% [14] Key Sub-industry Tracking - Cement: National cement market prices continued to decline, with a drop of 1%. The price drop was mainly concentrated in East and Southwest China, with a range of 10-30 yuan/ton. However, demand is expected to improve slightly with better weather conditions [16] - Glass: The domestic photovoltaic glass market remained stable, with prices holding steady. The average price of float glass increased slightly to 1211.96 yuan/ton, with production costs varying based on fuel types [17] - Fiberglass: The market for non-alkali yarn showed a downward trend, with prices declining slightly. The overall demand remains weak, although there is some support from wind power orders [17]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the construction materials industry [1] Core Views - The construction materials sector is expected to benefit from increased fixed asset investments to stabilize economic expectations, particularly with the launch of major hydropower projects [3][4] - The cement market is experiencing a slight price decline, but overall demand is stabilizing, with an average shipment rate of 46% [11][17] - The report highlights the potential for recovery in valuations for leading companies in the sector due to improved supply-demand dynamics and ongoing industry consolidation [4][12] Summary by Sections 1. Sector Overview - The construction materials sector saw a slight decline of 0.23% in the past week, underperforming the broader market indices [3] - The report emphasizes the importance of government policies aimed at stabilizing the economy and boosting demand in the construction materials sector [3][4] 2. Bulk Construction Materials Fundamentals and High-Frequency Data 2.1 Cement - The national average price for high-standard cement is 343.8 yuan/ton, down 3.3 yuan from last week and down 46.2 yuan from the same period last year [18][19] - The average cement inventory level is 65.8%, with a shipment rate of 45.9%, reflecting a slight increase in demand [27] - The report anticipates that the industry's profit center will be better than last year due to enhanced self-discipline among leading companies [4][11] 2.2 Glass Fiber - The report notes a clear trend towards upgrading electronic glass fiber products, with high-end products expected to see increased market penetration [12] - The profitability of ordinary glass fiber remains resilient, supported by growth in domestic demand from sectors like wind power and thermoplastics [12] - Leading companies are expected to benefit from improved product structures and market conditions, with recommendations for companies like Zhongcai Technology and Honghe Technology [12][13] 2.3 Glass - The glass industry is expected to see a supply-side contraction, which may improve the short-term supply-demand balance [13] - The report suggests that leading companies in the float glass sector will benefit from resource advantages and potential excess profit opportunities [13] 2.4 Renovation and Building Materials - The report highlights the positive impact of government policies on domestic demand for renovation materials, with expectations for continued growth in consumer confidence [14] - Recommendations include companies that are well-positioned to benefit from these trends, such as Beixin Building Materials and Arrow Home [14][15] 3. Industry Dynamics Tracking - The report discusses the ongoing policy environment and its implications for the construction materials sector, emphasizing the need for companies to adapt to changing market conditions [4][14] - The report also tracks the performance of various companies within the sector, providing insights into their financial metrics and market positioning [15][16]

Group 1 - The rapid development of AI computing power is driving the upgrade of PCBs towards high-frequency and high-speed applications, leading to an explosion in demand for specialty electronic fabrics [3][5] - Specialty electronic fabrics are high-performance woven materials that optimize chemical composition and manufacturing processes to achieve specific electrical, thermal, or mechanical properties, supporting high-frequency signal transmission and reducing energy loss [3][10] - The market for AI/HPC server PCBs (excluding packaging substrates) is expected to grow at a CAGR of 32.5% from 2023 to 2028, significantly higher than other sectors [3][10] Group 2 - Low-DK electronic fabrics, characterized by low dielectric constant (DK) and low dielectric loss (DF), are crucial for AI servers and data center switches, enhancing signal efficiency in high-frequency environments [10][11] - The demand for Low-DK fabrics is projected to grow rapidly in 2024, driven by the transition to low-dielectric PCBs in AI server architectures and the global data center upgrade [10][11] - The global Low-DK electronic fabric market is expected to exceed $200 million by 2025 and reach $530 million by 2031, with a CAGR of 18.7% [11][16] Group 3 - Quartz fiber fabric (Q fabric), a high-performance material, is expected to see strong demand growth due to its application in advanced packaging technologies for AI hardware and data center switches [12][19] - The third-generation low-dielectric electronic fabric, Q fabric, utilizes high-purity silica to achieve ultra-low dielectric constant and loss, presenting significant technical barriers to mass production [12][19] - The core mission of Low-CTE electronic fabrics is to address thermal management issues in advanced chip packaging, with demand surging due to the explosive growth of AI computing power [19][20] Group 4 - Domestic manufacturers are accelerating capacity expansion in the specialty electronic fabric sector, responding to the growing demand from AI computing power upgrades [22][24] - Key suppliers of specialty electronic fabrics include Japanese, Taiwanese, and mainland Chinese companies, with domestic firms rapidly increasing production capabilities to meet market needs [22][24] - The competitive advantage of specialty electronic fabric suppliers lies in their ability to quickly innovate product performance and scale up production [22][24]